The surveillance, epidemiology, and end-results program database as a resource for conducting descriptive epidemiologic and clinical studies.
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During 1973-1999, both the incidence of and death rates for cervical cancer decreased approximately 50% in the United States. For 2002, approximately 13,000 new cases of invasive cervical cancer are expected, and approximately 4,100 women will die of the disease. Although invasive cervical cancer can be prevented by regular screening, the prevalence of Papanicolaou (Pap) testing remains relatively low among minority populations such as Hispanic women. To characterize the incidence of invasive cervical cancer, CDC analyzed incidence data for Hispanic and non-Hispanic women during 1992-1999 in 11 geographic areas with population-based registries. This report summarizes the results of this analysis, which indicate that the incidence of invasive cervical cancer decreased for Hispanic and non-Hispanic women. However, among women aged > or = 30 years, cervical cancer incidence for Hispanic women was approximately twice that for non-Hispanic women. To lower the incidence of invasive cervical cancer, local health organizations should provide culturally appropriate public health interventions that encourage participation in readily accessible cervical cancer-screening programs.
PURPOSE: To determine the changes in clinical trials and outcomes of patients with advanced-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated on phase III randomized trials initiated in North America from 1973 to 1994. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Phase III trials for patients with advanced-stage NSCLC were identified through a search of the National Cancer Institute's Cancer Therapy Evaluation Program database from 1973 to 1994, contact with Cooperative Groups, and by literature search of MEDLINE. Patients with advanced NSCLC treated during a similar time interval were also examined in the SEER database. Trends were tested in the number of trials, in the number and sex of patients entered on the trials, and in survival over time. RESULTS: Thirty-three phase III trials were initiated between 1973 and 1994. Twenty-four trials (73%) were initiated within the first half of this period (1973 to 1983) and accounted for 5,359 (64%) of the 8,434 eligible patients. The median number of patients treated per arm of the trials rose from 77 (1973 to 1983) to 121 (1984 to 1994) (P <.001). Five trials (15%) showed a statistically significant difference in survival between treatment arms, with a median prolongation of the median survival of 2 months (range, 0.7 to 2.7 months). CONCLUSION: Analysis of past trials in North America shows that the prolongation in median survival between two arms of a randomized study was rarely in excess of 2 months. Techniques for improved use of patient resources and appropriate trial design for phase III randomized therapeutic trials with patients with advanced NSCLC need to be developed.
OBJECTIVE: Anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) is a rare and aggressive thyroid neoplasm. This study is the largest to date and aims to provide the most up-to-date analysis of demographics and clinicopathological factors of ATC. METHODS: Data for this study were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. RESULTS: A total of 1,769 cases of ATC were included with a median age at diagnosis was 71 years, and 59% were females. The most common site of metastasis was the lung (40.7%). The majority of patients underwent combination therapy (surgery with adjuvant chemoradiation) (19.2%). The 5-year OS was 7.3% (95% C.I. 6.6-8.0). The 5-year CSS was 11.8% (95% C.I. 10.8-12.8). The highest 5-year survival was observed with combination therapy (surgery with adjuvant chemoradiation) at 20.9%. Multivariable analysis revealed that age >60 years, Asian/Pacific Islander, >2 cm tumor size, and metastatic disease were independent risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: ATC is an uncommon tumor that mainly affects Caucasian females in their 70s. Older age, Asian/Pacific Islander race, and larger tumor size (>2 cm) were also associated with a worse prognosis. For better comprehension of pathogenesis, prospective clinical trials should include patients from all ethnicities, gender, and genomic analysis of ATC.
PURPOSE: A substantial literature describes age-dependent variations in breast cancer treatment, showing that older women are less likely to receive standard treatment than younger women. We sought to identify patient and tumor characteristics associated with the nonreceipt of standard primary tumor and systemic adjuvant therapies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We studied 1,859 women age 65 years or older with stage I and II breast cancer diagnosed between 1990 and 1994 who were cared for in six geographically dispersed community-based health care systems. We collected demographic, tumor, treatment, and comorbidity data from electronic data sources, including cancer registry, administrative, and clinical databases, and from subjects' medical records. RESULTS: Women 75 years of age or older and women with higher comorbidity indices were more likely to receive nonstandard primary tumor therapy, to not receive axillary lymph node dissection, and to not receive radiation therapy after breast-conserving surgery (BCS). Asian women were less likely to receive BCS, and African American women were less likely to be prescribed tamoxifen. Although nonreceipt of most therapies was associated with a lower baseline risk of recurrence, an important minority of high-risk women (16% to 30%) did not receive guideline therapies. CONCLUSION: Age is an independent risk factor for nonreceipt of effective cancer therapies, even when comorbidity and risk of recurrence are taken into account. Information regarding treatment effectiveness in this age group and tools that allow physicians and patients to estimate the benefits versus the risks of therapies, taking into account age and comorbidity burden, are critically needed.
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Assessing trends in long-term cancer patient survival is an essential component of monitoring progress against cancer by cancer registries. Traditional assessment of long-term survival ('cohort analysis') is very useful to disclose trends in long-term survival rates of patients diagnosed many years ago, but it does not allow the disclosure of recent trends in long-term survival rates. The latter can be achieved by an alternative method of survival analysis ('period analysis'), which has been proposed a few years ago. On the other hand, unlike cohort analysis, period analysis does not provide estimates of long-term survival rates for patients diagnosed in the early years after initiation of cancer registration. In this paper, a method of retrospective analysis of time trends in long-term survival rates is introduced, which combines the advantages of both cohort and period analysis ('mixed analysis'). This method thereby allows for a comprehensive monitoring of trends in long-term survival over an extended time span from the earliest to the most recent years of cancer registration. The use of the method is illustrated for retrospective time trend analyses of long-term survival of cancer patients in the United States with the 1973-1999 database of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program of the National Cancer Institute.
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Prostate cancer is the second leading cause of cancer related death in men over the age of 50 in the United States today. The serum prostate specific antigen has the highest predictive value of any diagnostic test for prostate cancer. Highly screened communities have realized an impressive downward stage migration, younger average age at detection, and an improved five-year survival rate. These improvements are necessary components for any successful screening program.
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BACKGROUND: Squamous cancers of the upper aerodigestive tract (UADT) are related to the use of tobacco and/or alcohol, and in North America they are more common among the poor. They are usually locoregionally confined at diagnosis, and local treatment with surgery and/or radiation therapy is often curative. This study compares the incidence and survival of this group of diseases in Canada and the U.S., two North American neighbors with many cultural similarities but significant differences in their health care and social programs. METHODS: To describe and compare the case mix, incidence, and outcome of squamous cancers of the UADT in Ontario, Canada, and the U.S., we used the Ontario Cancer Registry (OCR) and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registries in the U.S. to identify all cases of cancer with International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes 141, 143-9, 160-1, and a subset of 140, which were diagnosed between 1982 and 1994. ICD-O histology codes were placed into clinically relevant groupings, and ICD-9 site codes were grouped into sites as defined by the International Union Against Cancer and the American Joint Committee on Cancer. Age-adjusted incidence rates were calculated for each site. For the SEER registry, race specific incidence rates were also calculated. Observed and expected survival were plotted by site and registry, and from these, relative survival was calculated. Survival was compared during the first 5 years after diagnosis and during the next 5 years among patients who had survived the first 5 years. RESULTS: Of the 16,577 and 42,990 cases identified in the OCR and SEER registries, respectively, squamous cancer was by far the most common histology (94.1% in OCR, 94.6% in SEER) and will form the main subject of this report. The distribution of squamous cancers by site, subsite, age, and gender were remarkably similar in the two populations. Overall, the incidence was about 17% higher in the U.S. than in Ontario, and this difference was seen for all sites except the nasopharynx, which was more common in Ontario. The higher incidence in the U.S. in part reflects the much higher rate for African Americans than for Americans of other ethnic backgrounds. During the first 5 years after diagnosis, when most deaths from UADT cancer occur, there was a significant relative survival difference in favor of the U.S. for cancer of the supraglottis, and in favor of Ontario for cancer of the oral cavity. There was a nonsignificant trend in favor of Ontario for cancer of the nasopharynx. Within the SEER population, for all sites except the nasopharynx, 5-year relative survival was considerably worse for African Americans than for Americans of other ethnic backgrounds. Examination of survival beyond 5 years after diagnosis for patients who had survived the first 5 years revealed that for all sites, the observed survival continued to diverge markedly from the expected survival. The excess mortality ranged from less than 20% for glottic and nasopharyngeal cancers to about 30-40% for oropharyngeal and supraglottic cancers. CONCLUSIONS: Despite remarkable similarities in case mix between the two countries, UADT cancers were more frequent in the SEER population of the U.S. than in Ontario, and this was partly attributable to the much higher incidence among African Americans. Significant differences between the registries in 5-year survival were seen for several sites. African Americans with UADT cancers had much worse prognoses than did Americans of other ethnic backgrounds. Patients who survive their UADT cancer remain at a higher-than-expected risk of death even after they have been cured.
Because of advances in early detection and treatment, cancer has become a curable disease for some and a chronic illness for others. Underscoring this change, persons with diagnoses of cancer increasingly are described as "cancer survivors" rather than "cancer victims". Cancer survivors include all living persons who ever received a diagnosis of cancer. To highlight how the population of cancer survivors has changed in the United States, the National Cancer Institute and CDC studied cancer data collected during 1971-2001. This report summarizes the results of that study, which determined that the number of persons living with cancer increased from 3.0 million (1.5% of the U.S. population) in 1971 to 9.8 million (3.5%) in 2001. A national health objective for 2010 is to increase to 70% the proportion of cancer patients who are living > or =5 years after diagnosis, an objective already achieved for children with cancer but not yet for adults. The growing number of persons living with cancer poses challenges for researchers to understand the physical, psychosocial, and economic effects of surviving cancer and for public health practitioners to develop evidence-based programs to promote the health and well-being of cancer survivors.
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BACKGROUND: A seven-county, predominantly black, rural-poor population in Alabama is targeted for a program aimed at improving access to state-of-the-art cancer care. This paper presents combined age-adjusted cancer incidence rates for predominantly black, rural counties in North Carolina and Georgia similar to the Alabama counties and compares these rates with Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) incidence rates. METHODS: Cancer incidence data from 1990 to 1993 were obtained from the Georgia Center for Cancer Statistics for 10 rural counties with predominantly black populations. Likewise, cancer incidence data from 1990 to 1993 were obtained for seven rural-poor counties in North Carolina from the North Carolina Central Cancer Registry. SEER incidence rates from 1990 to 1992 were obtained for nine SEER sites. RESULTS: The overall cancer incidence rate from North Carolina and Georgia is lower by 22% than the SEER rate. Cancer incidence rates for cancers of the breast, colon/rectum, lung, and prostate were at least 15% lower than the SEER rates, while the invasive cervical cancer rate was 1.78 times higher than the SEER rate. CONCLUSION: Blacks comprise about 50% of the population in these counties. In contrast, the SEER population is predominantly white, and the black population is primarily urban. Estimates of the number of cancer cases in black, rural-poor populations based on SEER incidence rates is not reflective of the cancer experience in these populations.
The risk of malignant melanoma developing in an American in the United States has now reached 1 in 87 (up more than 1800% since the 1930s). This rising incidence of malignant melanoma is, in fact, real because (1) it is not due to increased surveillance; (2) it is not due to better cancer-counting methods in general; (3) it is not due to changes in histologic diagnostic criteria; (4) it is being noted worldwide; and (5) most importantly, despite rising survival percentages, the mortality rate from malignant melanoma also continues to rise. On the basis of these trends, incidence rates for malignant melanoma will continue to rise for at least the next 10 to 20 years, although the demographics of those affected may change. Effective programs to improve public and professional education must be developed to enhance early clinical detection and behavioral changes. An establishment of a National Melanoma Registry is needed to more effectively assess the magnitude and impact of future incidence and the success of prevention program efforts into the next century.
BACKGROUND: Low-dose CT scan screening greatly improves the likelihood of detecting small nodules and, thus, of detecting lung cancer at a potentially more curable stage. METHODS: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a single baseline low-dose CT scan for lung cancer screening in high-risk individuals, data from the Early Lung Cancer Action Project (ELCAP) was incorporated into a decision analysis model comparing low-dose CT scan screening of high-risk individuals (ie, those > or = 60 years with at least 10 pack-years of cigarette smoking and no other malignancies) to observation without screening. Cost-effectiveness was expressed as the incremental cost per year of life saved. The analysis adopted the perspectives of the health-care system. The probability of the different outcomes following the decision either to screen or not to screen an individual at risk was based on data from ELCAP and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Registry or published data, respectively. The cost of the screening and treatment of patients with lung cancer was established based on data from the New York Presbyterian Hospital's financial system. The base-case analysis was conducted under the assumption of similar aggressiveness of screen-detected and incidentally discovered lung cancers and then was followed by multiple sensitivity analyses to relax these assumptions. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of a single baseline low-dose CT scan was 2,500 US dollars per year of life saved. The base-case analysis showed that screening would be expected to increase survival by 0.1 year at an incremental cost of approximately 230 US dollars. Only when the likelihood of overdiagnosis was > 50% did the cost effectiveness ratio exceed 50,000 US dollars per year of life saved. The cost-effectiveness ratios were also relatively insensitive to estimates of the potential lead-time bias. CONCLUSIONS: A baseline low-dose CT scan for lung cancer screening is potentially highly cost-effective and compares favorably to the cost-effectiveness ratios of other screening programs.