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Variations in asthma hospitalizations and deaths in New York City.

BACKGROUND: Recent reports have identified New York City as having asthma mortality rates that are substantially higher than expected based on US rates. This study investigates the problems of asthma morbidity and mortality in New York City. METHODS: Data on asthma hospitalizations (1982 to 1986) and deaths (1982 to 1987) among persons aged 0 to 34 years were studied. Descriptive and multivariate techniques were used to examine differences in rates among subgroups and across geographic areas. RESULTS: The average annual hospitalization rate was 39.2 per 10,000; the mortality rate was 1.2 per 100,000. Hospitalization and death rates among Blacks and Hispanics were 3 to 5.5 times those of Whites. Large geographic variations in hospitalizations and mortality occurred. Asthma hospitalization and mortality rates were highly correlated (r = .67), with the highest rates concentrated in the city's poorest neighborhoods. Household income, percentage of population Black, and percentage of population Hispanic were significant predictors of area hospitalization rates (adjusted R2 = .75). CONCLUSION: These findings provide a basis for focusing investigations of the causes of variations in asthma outcomes and targeting interventions to reduce the disproportionate morbidity and mortality borne by poor and minority populations.

Abstracting and Indexing↗

Realizing the potential of practice pattern profiling.

In January 1992, the Physician Payment Review Commission held a conference to learn about the appropriateness of present uses of profiling of practice patterns, and to identify what will be required to realize the full potential of this technique in the future. The conference addressed the data needs of profiling, the development of valid and relevant profiles, the impact of profiles on medical practice, and controversies surrounding public access to profiling information and the uses to which profiling has been put. This paper, based in part on that conference, reviews the basic concepts that underlie profiling and describes the roles that profiling can play in quality improvement, assessment of provider performance, and utilization review. It uses case studies to illustrate the types of problems that have arisen in actual usage and discusses what will be required to resolve them. The final section describes the roles that profiling can play in achieving the goals of health care reform, and concludes with what is needed in data and infrastructure development to improve the quality and usefulness of profiling.

Data Collection↗

Mortality of iron foundry workers. II. Analysis by work area.

Plantwide analyses of the mortality experience of 8147 foundrymen revealed excesses for several diseases including lung cancer. Using indirect measures of smoking, it appeared that most, if not all, of the excess of lung cancer deaths could be explained by smoking habits. To explore further the possible association between these mortality excesses and foundry exposures, jobs were grouped into six work areas on the basis of similarities in production processes. The findings of analyses by work areas support the inferences from plantwide observations. No evidence was found of a relationship between lung cancer and foundry exposures. The pattern of mortality from emphysema and cerebrovascular disease in the different work areas paralleled that of lung cancer, suggesting that mortality from these diseases may have been influenced by a common etiologic agent, probably tobacco smoke. The data also reveal possible associations between metal pattern-making and colon cancer, silica or metal dust and stomach cancer, and carbon monoxide and ischemic heart disease.

Adult↗

Health service areas for the United States.

The objectives of this report are to document methods used to identify health service areas for the United States and to describe and evaluate these areas. A health service area is defined as one or more counties that are relatively self-contained with respect to the provision of routine hospital care. Service areas that include more than one county are characterized by travel between the counties for routine hospital care.

Catchment Area, Health↗

Changing patterns of asthma mortality. Identifying target populations at high risk.

Studies have suggested increases in hospitalization for asthma and in asthma mortality during the early 1980s. Using US Vital Records, we examined asthma mortality from 1968 through 1987 to describe the rates of change among children and young adults (aged 5 to 34 years) with time and in small geographic areas. During the 1970s, US asthma mortality declined by 7.8% per annum (+/- 1.0%), declining faster among women and nonwhites. During the 1980s, mortality increased by 6.2% per annum (+/- 1.2%), increasing faster among those aged 5 to 14 years than among those aged 15 to 34 years. Small-area geographic analysis revealed four areas with persistently high asthma mortality. Neither changes in International Classification of Diseases coding nor improved recognition of asthma, as demonstrated by trends in autopsy rates or rates of in-hospital deaths, seems to explain the increasing mortality of the 1980s.

Adolescent↗

Spatial statistical methods in environmental epidemiology: a critique.

Despite recent advances in the available statistical methods for geographical analysis, there are many constraints to their application in environmental epidemiology. These include problems of data availability and quality, especially the lack in most situations of environmental exposure measurements. Methods for disease 'cluster' investigation, point source exposures, small-area disease mapping and ecological correlation studies are critically reviewed, with the emphasis on practical applications and epidemiological interpretation. It is shown that, unless dealing with rare diseases, high specificity exposures and high relative risks, cluster investigation is unlikely to be fruitful, and is often complicated by the post hoc nature of such studies. However, it is recognized that in these circumstances proper assessment of the available data is often required as part of the public health response. Newly available methods, particularly in Bayesian statistics, offer an appropriate framework for geographical analysis and disease mapping. Again, it is uncertain whether they will give important clues as to aetiology, although they do give valuable description. Perhaps the most satisfactory approach is to test a priori hypotheses using a geographical database, although problems of interpretation remain.

Adult↗

Changes in Connecticut hospital use rates: have small-area variations been affected?

This paper examines the extent to which changes (prospective payment, alternative delivery systems, etc.) in the hospital environment and the general decline in hospital days affect small-area variations in hospital use rates for 18 selected diagnoses in nine hospital service areas in Connecticut. After adjusting for coding changes between DRGs, we found that variation across the service areas did not, in general, differ for any one of the years 1981-86. In one instance (cardiac catheterization), however, we found that a DRG-specific change in knowledge and technology decreased the extent of small-area variation for that diagnosis.

Analysis of Variance↗

Colour measurements of all ceramic crown systems.

The objectives of this study were: (i) to determine variability among colour parameters of five different ceramic crown systems; and (ii) to measure the effect of using coloured luting agents on restoration colour. The crown systems studied were Cerestore, Dicor, Hi-Ceram, Renaissance, and Vitadur-N. Five crowns for each system were made according to manufacturer's instructions with the same nominal shade (Vita Lumin Vacuum A2) to fit an Ivorine central incisor tooth. Restoration thickness was adjusted to within +/- 0.1 mm (+/- 0.05 mm in the mid-facial area where colour measurements were to be made) with the aid of a dial calliper prior to glazing or, in the case of Dicor, surface staining. Where a core was part of the system this was fabricated to the minimum recommended thickness. The crowns were cemented using luting agents of five different colours in a randomly chosen sequence. The colour of each restoration/cement combination was measured three times using a small-area colorimeter (Minolta CR-121). The variance of each colour parameter (L*, a*, b*) was statistically compared for each crown system using an analysis of variance procedure, as was the effect of the cement. Observed differences were related to visual perception by using the colour difference formula. There were statistically significant differences among the variances of the crown systems and the cements, with significant interactions between crown systems and direction of colour and between cement and direction of colour. Restorations made with different ceramic crown systems had noticeably different colour despite having the same nominal shade. Changing the shade of the luting agent had a perceivable effect on Dicor crowns and, to a lesser extent, on Vitadur-N crowns but not on the other systems due, presumably, to the opacity of their core materials.

Color↗

Small-area variation in hospital discharge rates. Do socioeconomic variables matter?

Although numerous studies have been made of the determinants of small-area variation in hospital discharge rates, there is still disagreement about the role of socioeconomic factors. The lack of consensus stems, in part, from the difficulty in comparing results across studies that use different units and methods of analysis. Many of the studies using well-defined hospital service areas did not have the data needed to conduct a controlled analysis of the determinants of hospital utilization. Most of the studies that have performed controlled analyses have relied on larger geopolitical areas, which are not believed to capture self-contained health care systems. The study described here used a consistent set of data, three methods of analysis, and two units of analysis to test the importance of socioeconomic characteristics in explaining the variation in medical and surgical discharge rates in Michigan. Socioeconomic factors are found to be statistically significant determinants of the variation in both medical and surgical discharge rates, whether the method of analysis is simple correlations or multiple regressions, and whether the unit of analysis is the county or a well-designed hospital service area. These results suggest that previous small-area variation studies may have incorrectly concluded that socioeconomic characteristics do not explain differences in utilization rates.

Hospitals↗

The new United States Cancer Atlas.

Published in 1975, the Atlas of Cancer Mortality for U.S. Counties: 1950-1969 proved useful in identifying geographic patterns, especially clusters of high-rate areas, that have stimulated further epidemiologic study of specific cancer sites. These data have been updated to include population and mortality statistics through 1980. Our new atlas presents static maps of area-specific mortality rates for each decade from 1950 to 1980 among white males and females for 33 cancer sites, along with dynamic maps illustrating the trends in these rates over time. Although the geographic distribution of mortality rates has become more uniform for most cancer sites, clusters of high-rate areas have persisted for several common tumors. However, some new patterns have appeared, notably the emergence of several high-rate areas for lung cancer among women. Possible explanations for the geographic peculiarities of cancer are considered, based on the results of correlation and analytic studies prompted by the earlier maps. These successive studies indicate the value of monitoring mortality statistics on a small-area scale as a strategy for generating etiologic clues and targeting epidemiologic research, although one must be mindful of geographic fluctuations in diagnostic and reporting practices, survival rates, and migration patterns.

Chronology as Topic↗

Corrosion pattern of silver points in vivo.

The purpose of this study was to examine the electrochemical behavior of silver points in vivo. The apices of silver points removed from teeth with successful or failed endodontic treatments were subjected to complete surface characterization by small-area ESCA, scanning electron microscopy, and electron probe microanalyzer. Cross-sections of the points near the apex were examined with scanning electron microscopy and electron probe microanalyzer to identify the depth of corrosion involvement. According to the results, all silver points manifested evidence of corrosion attack. Electron probe microanalyzer showed no difference in the elemental distribution found on the points. ESCA analysis of the uppermost 5-nm point layer revealed the presence of N on silver points removed from failed treatments. The examination of cross-sections manifested deep S penetration in the bulk of the points removed from failed treatments. Considering the results of this study, no direct association seems to exist between the extent of the corrosion involvement and the prognosis of the treatment. Handling factors and the presence of bacteria are probably the parameters determining the outcome of a treatment.

Corrosion↗

The relationship between elastomer opacity, colorimeter beam size, and measured colorimetric response.

The effect of opacity on the colorimetric responses of large-area and small-area colorimeters was determined using an elastomer intended for maxillofacial prosthetics use and containing various pigments at different concentrations. Opacity was determined by calculating the contrast ratio of 2-mm-thick specimens against black and white backings, using Kubelka-Munk analyses to correct for thickness and backing color variations. The measure of comparison of the two colorimeters was the relative difference in tristimulus reflectance, with the tristimulus reflectance of the large-area colorimeter as the basis of the relative difference. A significant quadratic relationship was found between contrast ratio and the relative difference in tristimulus reflectance. This relationship may be used to describe opacity without the need to make optical observations or measurements of a thin layer of material on contrasting backings. The small-area colorimeter produced color parameters that are a measure of the combined effects of both color and opacity. The importance of beam size considerations of optical measuring devices for translucent natural and prosthetic materials was emphasized.

Color↗

Display of small-area variation in health-related data: a methodology using resistant statistics.

Health care planning requires characterization of the population to be served. Examination of available demographic and epidemiologic data is one early step in this process. However, aggregate data for the entire geographic area of concern often fail to reveal important differences among geographically defined sub-populations--differences that influence the form an effective delivery system should take. We present a methodology based on exploratory data analysis (EDA) techniques that we have found useful in examining health-related data for our ambulatory care catchment area. Our examples use three population characteristics that have major implications for health care planning for the elderly: 1970-1980 change in population aged 65+; the percent of the population aged 65+ below poverty level; and the percent of single-person households among households with one or more persons aged 65+. With these data for the 25 municipalities of Middlesex County, New Jersey, we illustrate a two-step process: (1) the construction of stem-and-leaf displays that permit examination of a data distribution for asymmetry, concentrations around specific values, gaps in values, and outliers; and (2) the use of the median, the fourth-spread, and other information from the stem-and-leaf display in the systematic selection of data value classes to be given distinct shadings on a map of the selected geographic area. Discussion emphasizes the usefulness of graphic display of data in detecting similarities and unusual data values. Comparison of maps based on the EDA techniques and maps based on several traditional methods of value classing for the same data illustrates the influence of classing choices on the interpretation of cartographic displays of health-related data.

Aged↗

Geographic variations in US asthma mortality: small-area analyses of excess mortality, 1981-1985.

US asthma mortality rates have been increasing during the past 10 years. Little is known about the geographic variation of this infrequent health event. Using US vital records for the 1981-1985 period, small-area variation of excess asthma mortality of young adults was studied. Several geopolitical definitions were used to define populations. A total of 22 single counties, 12 metropolitan statistical areas, 11 health service areas, and 29 state economic areas were identified as having mortality significantly in excess of that expected, based on US race/sex-specific rates. Significant variation in asthma mortality was found at several levels of geopolitical classification of the data. Elevated areas included the central plains states and three large urban metropolitan areas--Chicago, Illinois, New York, New York, and Phoenix, Arizona--as well as a few mostly suburban populations. Areas with excess mortality may provide a useful population base for further epidemiologic investigation into the risk factors associated with the more frequent morbid events of this disease, such as emergency room and hospital utilization.

Adolescent↗