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Joint association of sedentary behaviour and physical activity with cardiovascular disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies aimed to synthesize existing evidence on the joint association of physical activity (PA) and sedentary behaviour (SB) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among adults. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane for English studies published between January 2010 and February 2025 that examined the joint association of PA and SB (fatal and non-fatal) CVD among adults and pooled their results through meta-analyses using study-level data. Using findings from 17 studies, the pooled effect size for the lowest PA + highest SB group was 1.78 (95% CI: 1.59-2.00), suggesting increased risk for CVD compared with the reference group (i.e. highest PA + lowest SB). Compared with the same reference group, we found an increased risk for CVD in the lowest PA + lowest SB (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.12-1.40) and the highest PA + highest SB (HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.06-1.27) groups. Subgroup analyses according to domains or types of PA and SB exposure, outcome measures, and exposure measurement method revealed a similar pattern. In conclusion, individuals with the lowest PA combined with the highest SB may experience an increased risk for CVD events compared with those with the highest PA and lowest SB. There was also an increased risk for individuals with a combination of either low PA + low SB and high PA + high SB, albeit to a lesser extent. Although substantial study-level heterogeneity exists, the results highlight the potential value of considering both behaviours jointly in relation to CVD risk.

Humans

Future promise, current clinical ambiguity: a systematic review of machine learning algorithm outputs predicting risk of cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the outputs of machine learning algorithms designed to predict risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) address known deficiencies of the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and improve risk estimates. METHODS: For this critical review, Medline, Embase and IEEE were searched from inception to 1 January 2025. Included were studies describing machine learning algorithms designed to specifically compare output of cardiovascular risk assessment with the FRS. Commentaries, letters, unpublished work or non-peer-reviewed papers were excluded.Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, two reviewers screened titles and abstracts independently, then populated a purpose-built data extraction form. A subsequent qualitative thematic analysis focused on algorithms' strengths, added value, potential harms, unintended consequences and equity implications.The main outcome assessed was whether, among healthy adults, the algorithm improved CVD risk prediction relative to the FRS. RESULTS: Of 707 studies retrieved, 29 met inclusion criteria. 23 reported improved predictive ability relative to the FRS. Most datasets and/or medical records used included sociodemographic predictors of CVD not included among FRS inputs. Some added costly diagnostic tests like CT angiography to FRS screening indicators. When they were defined, inputs and outcomes such as hypertension or myocardial infarction did not always adhere to FRS values. Statistical significance was generally taken as a proxy for clinical significance. Some algorithms overestimated the number at risk compared with the FRS without discussing whether that larger proportion might be at risk of overdiagnosis rather than CVD, while a few decreased the proportion found to be at risk. CONCLUSIONS: Use of artificial intelligence to improve accuracy of risk assessment for CVD demonstrates the technological capacity to merge known sociodemographic predictors with biologic variables and examine non-linear interactions among these. Still needed to achieve patient benefit is clinical insight, adherence to screening principles and cost-benefit assessment of inputs selected.

Humans

How Do Climatic Factors Directly Influence the Incidence and Risk of Meningococcal Meningitis Across the African Meningitis Belt? A Narrative Literature Review.

Globally, the highest incidence of meningococcal meningitis occurs within the African meningitis belt, spanning 26 countries across sub-Saharan Africa. Meningococcal meningitis incidence is highly seasonal in this region specifically, with outbreaks mostly occurring during the dry season, characterized by low rainfall and atmospheric humidity, high temperature, and increased dust and wind speed. The strong seasonality of meningococcal outbreaks coincides with seasonal variation in climatic factors. This multicollinearity can make it difficult to identify environmental drivers of disease and the mechanisms by which they operate. This review aims to collate existing evidence to better clarify the mechanisms by which climatic variables influence meningococcal meningitis incidence. We examined the impact of dust, wind speed, temperature, rainfall, and land cover on meningococcal meningitis outbreaks. Within the literature, atmospheric dust and wind speed had the strongest statistical association with meningococcal outbreaks and demonstrated greater predictive probability than other climatic variables. However, several climatic factors have demonstrable influences on one another, reflected in the seasonality of meningococcal meningitis. Atmospheric dust can reduce precipitation levels in part through its radiative properties. Decreased rainfall and increasing temperatures can dry out soil, increasing its availability to be uplifted as dust. Alongside, this lower atmospheric humidity increases evaporative demand, leading to faster soil moisture loss and enhanced surface drying. We argue that rainfall, temperature, and land cover variability may act as part of a broader climatic mechanism, increasing atmospheric dust. This increases the incidence and risk of meningococcal meningitis.

Africa

A Dynamic Nomogram to Predict Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease in Patients with Metabolic Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) involves multiple metabolic disorders. This study aimed to identify high-risk populations for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) in patients with MetS and to establish a dynamic predictive nomogram. METHODS: A total of 627 patients with MetS from six regions in Zhejiang Province were enrolled and categorized into MAFLD and non-MAFLD groups, then randomly assigned to training and validation sets at a ratio of 7:3. Independent predictors of MAFLD were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and multivariable logistic regression analyses. These predictors were then used to construct a dynamic nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 627 patients with MetS were included in the final analysis, of whom 77.0% (483/627) were diagnosed with MAFLD. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), total cholesterol (TC), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), MetS-defined dysglycemia, and education level as independent risk factors for MAFLD. MetS-defined dysglycemia showed the highest odds ratio (OR) for MAFLD development [OR = 1.87, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-3.29]. Although the number of MetS components and the metabolic syndrome score were significantly associated with MAFLD in univariate analysis, they were not independently associated with MAFLD in the multivariate model. A dynamic nomogram for predicting MAFLD risk in patients with MetS was developed and internally validated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.834 (95% CI: 0.787-0.880) in the training set and 0.839 (95% CI: 0.771-0.899) in the validation set, indicating strong predictive performance. Bootstrap internal validation demonstrated good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes in calibration curves. Decision curve analysis further indicated favorable clinical applicability of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: BMI, WC, TC, ALT, MetS-defined dysglycemia, and education level are independent risk factors for MAFLD. A dynamic nomogram for predicting MAFLD risk in patients with MetS was successfully developed and validated.

Humans

Construction of precision clinical-proteomics risk model based on machine learning for predicting heart failure in type II diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a severe complication in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but current risk stratification scores have limited predictive accuracy. We aimed to develop novel prediction tools integrating clinical variables with proteomics to improve risk stratification of hospitalization for HF in T2DM. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study, we included 2111 UK Biobank participants with T2DM but no prior HF, and profiled 2920 proteins to predict 10-year incident HF hospitalization. Participants were randomly divided into training (70%), tuning (10%), and validation (20%) sets.Three prediction models were developed: a Clinical model based on demographic characteristics, comorbidities, medication use, and laboratory indices; a Protein model based on 40 proteins selected by the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM); and the Clinical OMics and Protein ASSessment for Heart Failure (COMPASS-HF) model, which integrated both clinical variables and the LGBM-selected proteins. Models were evaluated for area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. During follow-up, 168 participants (7.96%) developed incident HF. The COMPASS-HF model showed better discrimination than the Clinical model, with an AUC of 0.897 (95% CI: 0.850-0.945) versus 0.790 (95% CI: 0.723-0.856). It also demonstrated higher sensitivity (0.882; 95% CI: 0.725-0.967) and consistent performance in subgroups. COMPASS-HF effectively stratified risk of hospitalization for HF, with cumulative incidence rates of 31.9% in the high-risk group and 1.2% in the low-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: By combining clinical and proteomic variables, we developed a high-performance HF prediction model for T2DM, enabling precise risk stratification and informing early intervention strategies.

Humans

Prevalence and risk factors of red blood cell alloimmunization among sickle cell disease patients in resource-limited countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sickle cell disease (SCD) is an inherited hemoglobinopathy characterized by hemoglobin S production, in which homozygous individuals (HbSS) develop a broad range of acute and chronic complications. While disease-modifying and curative therapies are increasingly available in high-income settings, red blood cell (RBC) transfusion remains the mainstay of treatment in resource-limited countries and is associated with high rates of alloimmunization. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the prevalence of alloimmunization and identify associated risk factors among patients with SCD living in resource-limited settings. METHODS: Africa Journals Online (AJOL), Embase, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched for original studies published from inception to December 15, 2025. Only studies conducted in low- and lower-middle-income countries (LMICs) were included. Eligible studies evaluated the prevalence of alloimmunization in patients with SCD receiving RBC transfusions. A random-effects meta-analysis of proportions was performed to pool quantitative data, while qualitative findings were systematically summarized in tabular form. Statistical heterogeneity was assessed using the I² statistic and further explored using Baujat plots, leave-one-out analyses, and meta-regression. RESULTS: Our analysis included 27 studies conducted in Africa (n = 23) and Asia (n = 4), predominantly from lower-middle-income countries (n = 19) and mainly employing a cross-sectional design (n = 20), comprising 3128 previously transfused patients with SCD. The pooled prevalence of RBC alloimmunization was 8.76% (95% CI: 6.71-11.37%; I² = 75%). Higher alloimmunization rates were observed in West and North Africa, particularly in Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, and Nigeria, whereas lower rates were reported in Asia and East Africa. The most frequently identified antibodies belonged to the Rh blood group system (n = 153), followed by the Kell system (n = 65). CONCLUSION: In resource-limited settings, RBC alloimmunization is a frequent and clinically significant complication in patients with SCD, contributing to increased morbidity and potential mortality. Targeted and economically viable antigen matching may reduce alloimmunization rates and improve transfusion safety in LMICs.

Humans

Cardiovascular risks in psychiatric disorders and psychiatric risks in cardiovascular disorders: implications for prevention and clinical management - a large-scale umbrella review encompassing 76 meta-analyses.

OBJECTIVE: Psychiatric and cardiovascular disorders often co-occur, complicating their assessment and management. No umbrella review(UR) has summarized the meta-analytic evidence on the co-occurrence of psychiatric and cardiovascular disorders and assessed its credibility. METHODS: Meta-analytic systematic reviews of observational studies documenting the prevalence, risk factors, and outcomes associated with the co-occurrence of cardiovascular and psychiatric disorders, indexed from inception through March.16.2026, and meeting established diagnostic criteria, were included. Meta-analytic association and prevalence estimates were recalculated and graded based on established or adapted criteria. The AMSTAR-2 assessed the quality of the meta-analyses, while several subgroup analyses and meta-regressions aimed to explain the heterogeneity. RESULTS: We included 76 meta-analyses yielding 131 meta-analytic estimates. Based on pre-existing meta-analytic evidence, 22/24 prevalence estimates (91.7%) met moderate/strong credibility criteria. Strong credibility emerged for: orthostatic hypotension in Lewy body(58%;95%C.I. = 50-66%) and Alzheimer's dementias(28.0% = 95%C.I. = 17.0-40.0%); pericardial effusion in anorexia nervosa(25.0%;95%C.I. = 17.0-34.0%); in heart failure(HF): major depressive disorder(MDD)(41.9%;95%C.I. = 36.7-47.1%), mild cognitive impairment(MCI)(41.4%;95%C.I. = 38.3-45.6%), anxiety(32.0%;95%C.I. = 26.5-37.6%), MDD + anxiety(24.7%;95%C.I. = 17.9-34.3%), and dementia(19.8%;95%C.I. = 12.9-27.8%); in atrial fibrillation(AF): MCI(26.0%;95%C.I. = 21.0-30.0%), anxiety in patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation(PVI)(25.0%;95%C.I. = 12.0-46.0%), MDD in PVI patients (20.0%;95%C.I. = 13.0-29.0%); in coronary artery disease: MDD + anxiety(19.8%;95%C.I. = 16.0-24.6%): in schizophrenia spectrum disorders: clozapine-associated-cardiomyopathy(0.6%;95%C.I. = 0.2-2.3%); clozapine-associated-cardiomyopathy absolute death rates (0.0003;95%C.I. = 0.0001-0.0012); clozapine-associated-cardiomyopathy case fatality rate (0.078;95%C.I. = 0.018-0.285). Several additional disorders were multimorbid in>5% of people, yet with a lower credibility rating. No re-pooled risk factors/outcomes reached strong credibility criteria. CONCLUSIONS: The present study provides an atlas of cardiovascular and psychiatric multimorbidity across varying levels of credibility, reinforcing the need for an integrated, multidisciplinary approach to patient care and for more research on actionable risk/protective factors and outcomes.

Humans

Positive conversion of latent tuberculosis screening in patients with inflammatory bowel disease on antitumor necrosis factor alpha drugs: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients undergoing antitumor necrosis factor-alpha (anti-TNF) therapy are at increased risk of developing tuberculosis (TB), making screening before anti-TNF initiation mandatory. Repeated screening during treatment is not yet recommended because of a lack of studies to support this practice. We aimed to determine the proportion of patients who develop latent TB during anti-TNF therapy. We systematically searched studies from MEDLINE, Embase, and Lilacs, and performed a single-arm meta-analysis investigating the positive conversion rate in IBD patients under anti-TNF therapy with previous negative TB screening. We calculated the combined proportion with 95% confidence interval, using the random-effects model. A P value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant for subgroup differences. We included 13 studies from nine countries with 1153 patients. The overall positive conversion rate was 9.20%. Portugal had 18.01% of positive conversion, Spain 4.51%, and the USA 1.11%. Tests for subgroup differences were statistically significant for subgroup analysis by country and consistency of test used (performig same test as baseline). Subgroup analyses by continent, study design, or specific test (tuberculin skin test or interferon-gamma release assay) showed no statistical difference. Meta-regression analysis showed a significant positive association between positive conversion and TB incidence. In conclusion, IBD patients on anti-TNF therapy can have a positive conversion rate of 9.20%. Higher conversion rates were seen in European and Asian studies compared with those in the Americas (particularly the USA). TB prevention strategies should, therefore, be individualized and based on geographic location and risk factors.

Humans

Embedding cardiovascular risk assessment into routine BTK inhibitor management in chronic lymphocytic leukemia.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular (CV) toxicities remain a major challenge during Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor (BTKi) therapy for chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Selecting the optimal BTKi based solely on a history of overt CV disease may underestimate underlying cardiovascular vulnerability. AREAS COVERED: We performed a targeted, non-systematic review of PubMed and MEDLINE to examine the association between baseline CV comorbidities and BTKi-related CV toxicities in CLL. Current evidence indicates that preferential use of BTKis with more favorable CV safety profiles, coupled with appropriate cardio-oncology surveillance, reduces the risk of CV adverse events in patients with pre-existing CV disease. In patients without established CV disease, the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2) and SCORE2-Older Persons (SCORE2-OP) may help identify clinically meaningful latent CV risk, enabling early optimization of modifiable risk factors in line with the proactive cardiovascular management strategy endorsed by the 2026 European Hematology Association (EHA) CLL guidelines. EXPERT OPINION: A structured, risk-adapted approach integrating standardized CV risk assessment, early management of modifiable risk factors, individualized BTKi selection, and multidisciplinary cardio-oncology collaboration may improve the safety and tolerability of BTKi therapy in CLL. Pending prospective validation, SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP should complement, rather than replace, dedicated cardio-oncology evaluation.

Humans

IMPROVE kidney care: perspectives from marginalised people with CKD and risk factors for CKD on access to, and experience of, kidney care services: a cross-sector collaborative exploration, employing qualitative approaches.

BACKGROUND: Access to, and experience of, chronic kidney disease (CKD) care is inequitable-with barriers to accessing quality care for marginalised groups. We conducted an exploratory study employing qualitative approaches to understand the factors that influence access to, and experience of, healthcare services for marginalised people with CKD and at risk of CKD. METHODS: An exploratory study employing qualitative approaches was conducted as a cross-sector collaboration between kidney care services and an activist, antiracist community-based research and social justice organisation (Mabadiliko Community Interest Company (CIC)). Two groups were recruited: 1) those with risk factors for CKD or early-stage CKD, and 2) people who presented late to kidney care services. Semi-structured interviews were co-designed with people with lived experience and conducted by Mabadiliko CIC. Thematic analysis was undertaken, with themes refined by participants. RESULTS: Twenty interviews were undertaken with a diverse cohort of participants. Knowledge and awareness of CKD was limited, and compounded by a lack of delivery of accessible, culturally congruent information. Significant barriers to accessing kidney care exist for marginalised people, including people who are from global majority ethnic backgrounds, Disabled people, and/or people experiencing material hardship. These barriers are compounded by interpersonal discrimination and paternalistic power dynamics within healthcare interactions. CONCLUSION: This study captures the experiences of marginalised people at different stages of their journey with CKD, in accessing and engaging with kidney care services. Participants faced a complex array of challenges, highlighting opportunities for multi-level intervention. We outline recommendations to address these issues, co-developed with participants.

chronic kidney disease

Lateral Femoral Condyle Angle Is an Anatomic Risk Factor for Anterior Cruciate Ligament Primary Injury and Secondary Graft Rerupture.

PURPOSE: To define the lateral femoral condylar angle (LFCA)-a parameter measuring condylar inclination-and assess its predictive capacity for primary and recurrent anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries. METHODS: Patients aged 18 to 50&#x2009;years who underwent primary ACL reconstruction between 2017 and 2022 were screened. Those with graft rerupture were matched 1:1:1 by sex, age, body mass index, and meniscal status to ACL-intact controls and patients without graft failure during a minimum 48-month follow-up. LFCA was measured as the angle between the long axis of the distal femur and the axis of the lateral femoral condyle, alongside 38 established parameters using preoperative 3.0-T magnetic resonance imaging scans. Intergroup differences were assessed with one-way analysis of variance; multivariate regression and receiver operating characteristic analyses identified independent predictors and evaluated predictive performance. RESULTS: The study included 540 patients (180 per group: primary ACL injury, rerupture, controls). One-way analysis of variance revealed a significant gradient in LFCA across controls (81.3&#xb0;, 95% CI: 80.8-81.8&#xb0;), primary injuries (81.9&#xb0;, 95% CI: 81.5-82.3&#xb0;), and reruptures (84.2&#xb0;, 95% CI: 83.7-84.6&#xb0;) (P&#x2009;<&#x2009;.001). In multivariate models adjusted for baseline factors, LFCA independently predicted primary injury (odds ratio [OR]&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.27, 95% CI: 1.13-1.42, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;.001; area under the curve [AUC]&#x2009;=&#x2009;.576) and rerupture (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.46, 95% CI: 1.21-1.76, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;.001; AUC&#x2009;=&#x2009;.704). Combined models incorporating LFCA with tibial slopes, notch angle, and notch height achieved an AUC of .847 for primary injury prediction, whereas models with LFCA, lateral condylar flexion curvature radius, slope asymmetry, and tibial AP distance reached an AUC of .817 for rerupture. LFCA alone with lateral condylar flexion curvature radius yielded an AUC of .777 for rerupture prediction. Sex-stratified analyses confirmed LFCA predicted rerupture in both male patients (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.44, 95% CI: 1.19-1.75) and female patients&#xa0;(OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.49, 95% CI: 1.16-1.92), and primary injury in male patients&#xa0;(OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.30, 95% CI: 1.15-1.48). CONCLUSIONS: LFCA is an independent predictor of ACL injury, showing particular strength in identifying Asian patients at high risk for graft rerupture. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, retrospective case-control study.

Humans

The journey of fluxapyroxad, mandipropamid and mefentrifluconazole residues in two morphologically distinct chilli peppers: A comprehensive risk assessment from field to processing.

Understanding the residue fate of novel pesticides in crops is crucial for ensuring their safe application and safeguarding public health. This study examined the dissipation, processing factors (PFs), and risk assessment of fluxapyroxad, mandipropamid, and mefentrifluconazole in two morphologically distinct varieties of chilli peppers from field to processing. The half-lives of the three pesticides ranged from 5.42 to 10.05&#xa0;days, following first-order kinetics. The initial residues were higher in Chaotian chilli peppers (CCP) than in long green chilli peppers (GCP). However, dissipation occurred more rapidly in CCP. Washing notably reduced the residues (PF: 0.60-0.89), whereas sun drying and oven drying concentrated them (PF: 1.92-3.74), with oven drying leading to greater concentrations. Both chronic and acute dietary risk assessments suggested acceptable risk levels for the general population. This study offers reliable guidance for the rational application of these three pesticides in chilli pepper cultivation.

Capsicum

Premenarche risk factors for future dysmenorrhoea: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dysmenorrhoea, or pain during menstruation, is common in adolescence and is often dismissed or left untreated. Dysmenorrhoea can interfere with daily functioning and can lead to other chronic pain conditions; however, little is known about the risk factors for dysmenorrhoea. We aimed to characterise premenarche risk factors for the presence and severity of future dysmenorrhoea. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we obtained data for female adolescents from the population-based Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development Study (USA) who were premenarchal at baseline (age 9-10 years) and had both reached menarche and completed the Menstrual Cycle Survey at 3-year follow-up (age 12-13 years). Parents or guardians provided sociodemographic information and completed the Child Behavior Checklist, the Sleep Disturbance Scale for Children, and the Pubertal Development Scale, which captured data on non-painful somatic symptoms, attention problems, anxiety, depression, sleep disturbances, and pubertal development at baseline. Our primary objective was to analyse associations between dysmenorrhoea at 3-year follow-up (status and severity) with select symptom domains (sleep problems, attention problems, somatic symptoms, anxious or depressive symptoms, and baseline pain status) at baseline. We also investigated associations between dysmenorrhoea and participant characteristics (pubertal status, race or ethnicity, and income-to-needs ratio) that underlie social determinants of health. Differences by race were tested using Fisher exact tests. Differences by ethnicity and baseline pain status were tested using &#x3c7;2 tests. Differences in continuous variables were assessed using ANOVA. Wilcoxon-Rank Sum tests were used in analyses of sleep problems, attention problems, and somatic symptoms, and ANOVA was used for pubertal status and income-to-needs ratio. Multinomial logistic regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea severity, and linear regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea status and menstrual pain interference. FINDINGS: 2254 female adolescents were included in this study. 1299 (57&#xb7;6%) participants developed dysmenorrhoea at age 12-13 years, and 247 (19&#xb7;0% of those with dysmenorrhoea) reported severe dysmenorrhoea. Non-painful somatic symptoms were prospectively associated with future dysmenorrhoea (odds ratio [OR] 1&#xb7;17 [95% CI 1&#xb7;04-1&#xb7;32]; p=0&#xb7;0070), whereas anxiety or depression, sleep disturbances, and attention problems were not. Sleep disturbances were prospectively associated with menstrual pain interference (&#x3b2; coefficient 0&#xb7;16 [95% CI 0&#xb7;01-0&#xb7;31]). Advanced pubertal status at ages 9-10 years was prospectively associated with risk of dysmenorrhoea 3 years later (OR 1&#xb7;79 [95% CI 1&#xb7;47-2&#xb7;17]; p<0&#xb7;0001), as was lower income-to-needs ratio (0&#xb7;96 [0&#xb7;93-1&#xb7;00]; p=0&#xb7;031). Black (1&#xb7;38 [1&#xb7;05-1&#xb7;83]; p=0&#xb7;024) and Hispanic (1&#xb7;34 [1&#xb7;03-1&#xb7;68]; p=0&#xb7;010) young females were at a significantly greater risk of experiencing dysmenorrhoea than were White and non-Hispanic young females, respectively. INTERPRETATION: Sociodemographic characteristics and clinical symptoms present before menarche might help to identify at-risk individuals for dysmenorrhoea before pain becomes a lifelong issue. FUNDING: The National Institute of Nursing Research, the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, and the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute for Child Health and Human Development.

Humans

Effectiveness of Caregiver-Mediated Spoken Language Interventions for Children Under Five at Risk of Developmental Language Disorder: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Caregiver-mediated interventions are commonly used by Speech and Language Therapists to support early language development. Developmental Language Disorder (DLD) is associated with reduced quality of life throughout the lifespan. Understanding factors that predict intervention success is essential for developing appropriate, cost-effective therapy provision for the approximately 12% of preschool children who present with early markers for Developmental Language Disorder (DLD). This systematic review and meta-analysis examined the effectiveness of caregiver-mediated spoken language interventions for under-fives at risk of DLD, and factors influencing intervention effectiveness. METHODS: A systematic review following PRISMA guidelines was conducted. Five electronic databases were searched to identify experimental studies comparing caregiver-mediated spoken language interventions to control conditions in under-fives presenting with risk factors for DLD. Risk factors included prematurity, socioeconomic factors, caregiver language development concerns, and formal or informal language screening or assessment scores. Twenty-six experimental studies with 1407 child participants were included in qualitative synthesis. Meta-analysis was performed on nine Randomised Controlled Trials involving 947 children. RESULTS: Effectiveness was examined for outcomes including child language gains, child wellbeing, inclusion and attainment. Meta-analysis indicated a significant effect of caregiver-mediated spoken language interventions on language outcomes compared to treatment-as-usual, non-language intervention or waitlist control conditions. Non-language outcomes were evaluated via qualitative synthesis. Interventions significantly improved language development trajectories for under-fives presenting with risk factors or early markers for DLD. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: This review contributes to the growing evidence base demonstrating that caregiver-mediated interventions can positively impact language development and wellbeing outcomes for children under five at risk of DLD. These findings support the implementation of caregiver-mediated environmental language interventions in clinical practice to maximise accessibility and cost-effectiveness while delivering optimal outcomes for vulnerable populations. WHAT THIS PAPER ADDS: What is already known on this subject Previous research on caregiver-mediated spoken language interventions has highlighted gaps in the evidence regarding the impact of risk factors, demographic characteristics, dosage and intervention components on child language outcomes. Developmental Language Disorder has relatively high population prevalence, estimated at 7%. Prevalence is associated with risk factors including low household socioeconomic status (SES), prematurity and late language emergence. In contrast to its prevalence, there is low public and professional awareness of DLD and a low diagnostic rate. Therefore, a strengthened evidence base and additional insights into the factors affecting success of family-based interventions is important in order to increase the effectiveness of service provision and care planning for this underserved population. Timely and effective intervention with young children presenting with early markers for DLD has the potential to offer lifelong improvement to their wellbeing, inclusion and attainment outcomes. Recent systematic reviews of the effectiveness of caregiver-mediated language interventions had differences in population age range and diagnostic inclusion criteria. What this paper adds to existing knowledge Our review examines the effectiveness of caregiver-mediated early spoken language interventions on child language, attainment and wellbeing, and on caregiver self-efficacy and adherence to language support strategies. Our population was children under five presenting with risk factors for Developmental Language Disorder, in the absence of other neurodevelopmental or genetic conditions such as intellectual disability or autism. This review adds depth and detail to the evidence base supporting the effectiveness of caregiver-mediated spoken language interventions in improving outcomes for this population of young children, and factors that influence their success. What are the potential or actual clinical implications of this work? The high prevalence of Developmental Language Disorder, estimated at around 7% of the population, and the strong association with risk factors including low SES, prematurity and late language emergence, coupled with the low awareness of DLD and low diagnostic rate, mean that a strengthened evidence base and additional insights into the factors affecting success of family-based interventions can increase the effectiveness of service provision and care planning for this population. Timely and effective intervention in this group of young children has the potential to improve wellbeing and attainment outcomes across the lifespan. This review contributes to our understanding of how to implement cost-effective, socially valid and maximally engaging partnership working with families of young children at risk for DLD.

Humans

Acute and chronic effects of mixed nuts on energy metabolism in women at cardiometabolic risk: a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The effect of consuming a mix of Brazilian nuts on energy metabolism has not been explored. Thus, the present study aimed to evaluate the effects of acute and chronic consumption of mixed nuts on markers of energy metabolism in women with overweight/obesity. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a randomized, controlled, and parallel clinical trial with adult women. In an acute study, participants received a beverage containing mixed nuts (30&#xa0;g of cashew nuts&#xa0;+&#xa0;15&#xa0;g of Brazil nuts) or a control beverage, and energy metabolism markers were assessed for up to 3&#xa0;h postprandially. For the chronic study, participants received 45&#xa0;g of a mix of nuts/day and a -500kcal energy-restricted diet (MNG) or only a -500kcal energy-restricted diet free of nuts (CTG) for 8 weeks, and energy metabolism was assessed before and after the intervention period. In the postprandial period, fat oxidation was higher in the MNG than in the CTG (piAUC: 47.53&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;5.78&#xa0;mg/min vs. 27.93&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;6.98&#xa0;mg/min; p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.048). After 8 weeks of the intervention, fasting fat oxidation increased in the MNG (+16.0&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;7.0&#xa0;mg/min) and decreased in the CTG (-5.0&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;6.0&#xa0;mg/min), with no significant difference between groups. Other acute and chronic markers also showed no significant changes between groups. CONCLUSION: The acute consumption of mixed nuts increased postprandial fat oxidation, whereas chronic intake within an energy-restricted diet did not affect energy metabolism markers in women at cardiometabolic risk. REGISTRATION NUMBER FOR BRAZILIAN REGISTRY OF CLINICAL TRIALS: RBR-3ntxrm.

Humans

Rates, Timing, and Predictors of Retreatment Across Risk-Cohorts in Retinopathy of Prematurity: Intravitreal Bevacizumab Injection Versus Laser.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize rates, timing, and predictors of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) retreatment among infants treated with primary laser or intravitreal bevacizumab injection. DESIGN: Retrospective consecutive, comparative clinical study. PARTICIPANTS: Infants who underwent initial treatment for treatment-warranted ROP (TW-ROP) with either intravitreal bevacizumab or laser photocoagulation between 2017 and 2023. METHODS: Patients were stratified into two treatment groups: primary laser group vs primary bevacizumab group. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Retreatment within the first 3 months (0-90 days) was assessed and classified as early (&#x2264;30 days) or late (31-90 days). RESULTS: Two hundred and thirty eight eyes of 122 infants were treated for ROP; of those, 181 (76.1%) eyes of 93 (76.2%) patients were included. There were 116 (64.1%) eyes in the bevacizumab group, and 65 (35.9%) eyes in the laser group. Thirty-three (18.2%) eyes-all micro- or nano-premature (<27 weeks GA and/or <800 grams)-required retreatment for TW-ROP. Sixteen (8.8%) required early retreatment at a median postmenstrual age (PMA) of 40.4 weeks (IQR, 38.44-43.3). There were differences in the proportion of early retreated infants (21.5% for laser vs 1.7% for injection, P < .001). Seventeen (9.4%) eyes required late retreatment. The median PMA at late retreatment was 45.6 weeks (IQR, 43.7-47.4). Infants in the bevacizumab group had lower odds of retreatment within three months than those with laser (OR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.06-0.82). Similarly, patients in the bevacizumab group had lower odds of requiring early retreatment compared to those with laser (OR, 0.08; 95% CI, 0.04-0.18). Within eyes with retreatment, infants in the bevacizumab group had a later PMA at retreatment than those in the laser group (B = 6.81; 95% CI: 4.68-8.93). AROP was associated with earlier PMA at retreatment (B = -7.72; 95% CI, -9.36 to -6.10). CONCLUSION: In this study, early retreatment was low (8.8%), with most eyes initially treated with laser (21.5%) rather than bevacizumab (1.7%). Aggressive ROP was associated with earlier retreatment, highlighting its role as a marker of more severe disease. Compared to laser, bevacizumab was associated with lower overall and early retreatment, and delayed need for additional intervention when necessary. All retreatments occurred in micro- or nano-premature infants, suggesting that medium-to-low risk infants may require less strict post-treatment monitoring.

Humans

Machine learning-based prediction of unplanned readmission and construction of an online calculator for elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To screen for independent risk factors for unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke, and to construct and validate an online risk prediction calculator based on an interpretable machine learning model, thereby providing a promising practical tool for accurate clinical assessment of 30&#x2011;day all&#x2011;cause unplanned readmission risk in this population. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted, including 1050 patients aged&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;60&#xa0;years with mild ischemic stroke admitted between August 2023 and September 2024. Participants were randomly divided into a training set (840 cases) and a test set (210 cases) at a ratio of 8:2. Risk factors were screened by univariate analysis and multivariable Logistic regression. Four machine learning models, namely LightGBM, XGBoost, Random Forest, and K&#x2011;Nearest Neighbors (KNN), were developed and their performance was evaluated using AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity as metrics. The SHAP framework was used for interpretability analysis, and an online calculator was subsequently developed based on the optimal model. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed significant differences (P&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05) in 13 factors including age, smoking, AIP, TyG index, HALP score, etc. Multivariable Logistic regression identified age (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;9.752), smoking (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;5.171), AIP (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;6.691), TyG index (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;4.393), HALP score (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.831), and&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;2 comorbidities (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;3.664) as independent risk factors. All four machine learning models demonstrated good predictive performance. Based on a comprehensive evaluation of multiple metrics and computational efficiency, the LightGBM model exhibited the best predictive performance (AUC&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.884, accuracy&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.829, sensitivity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.812, specificity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.875). SHAP analysis showed that age, AIP, TyG index, smoking, and HALP score were key predictors. An online calculator developed based on this model enables individualized risk predictions. CONCLUSION: Key risk factors associated with 30&#x2011;day unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke were identified. The LightGBM model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, and together with the interpretability analysis and online calculator, offers a practical tool to support clinical risk assessment. However, this tool requires future external validation.

Humans

The effect of dietetic counseling combined with digital tools intervention on hemodynamic markers in Greek adults: The GATEKEEPER Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hypertension is a leading cardiovascular risk factor with substantial global impact on morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. While lifestyle interventions remain central to management, mHealth technologies offer promising adjunctive support, though their clinical effectiveness remains uncertain. This study evaluated whether combining dietetic counseling with digital tools improves hemodynamic markers in adults aged &#x2265;55 years with increased cardiometabolic risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: This 3-month RCT (NCT05031299) included 954 adults with at least one metabolic syndrome risk factor, allocated 1:1:1 to Standard Care (dietetic counseling), Platform (counseling plus web-based platform), or Platform&#xa0;+&#xa0;Devices (counseling plus platform plus wearables). Outcomes included anthropometrics, lifestyle characteristics, blood pressure, pulse pressure, and estimated pulse wave velocity, analyzed using linear mixed-effects models adjusted for age and sex. All groups improved over 3 months. Waist circumference decreased by -6.29, -4.92, and -4.69&#xa0;cm across Standard Care, Platform, and Platform&#xa0;+&#xa0;Devices groups respectively, and systolic blood pressure declined by -4.84 to -7.15&#xa0;mmHg across groups. The Platform&#xa0;+&#xa0;Devices group showed greater increases in physical activity (94.62 MET-min/week; 95% CI 66.49 to 122.76) and greater reductions in pulse pressure (-3.90&#xa0;mmHg; -6.58 to -1.22) versus Standard Care. Weight loss was associated with lower odds of hypertension (OR 0.4; 95% CI 0.2-0.7), greater likelihood of hypertension reversal (OR 3.6; 1.2-10.3), and higher probability of achieving normal pulse pressure (OR 1.8; 1.1-3.1). CONCLUSIONS: Dietary lifestyle intervention improved cardiometabolic outcomes, with limited added benefit from digital tools. Weight loss was the primary driver of hemodynamic improvement.

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