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Joint association of sedentary behaviour and physical activity with cardiovascular disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies aimed to synthesize existing evidence on the joint association of physical activity (PA) and sedentary behaviour (SB) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among adults. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane for English studies published between January 2010 and February 2025 that examined the joint association of PA and SB (fatal and non-fatal) CVD among adults and pooled their results through meta-analyses using study-level data. Using findings from 17 studies, the pooled effect size for the lowest PA + highest SB group was 1.78 (95% CI: 1.59-2.00), suggesting increased risk for CVD compared with the reference group (i.e. highest PA + lowest SB). Compared with the same reference group, we found an increased risk for CVD in the lowest PA + lowest SB (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.12-1.40) and the highest PA + highest SB (HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.06-1.27) groups. Subgroup analyses according to domains or types of PA and SB exposure, outcome measures, and exposure measurement method revealed a similar pattern. In conclusion, individuals with the lowest PA combined with the highest SB may experience an increased risk for CVD events compared with those with the highest PA and lowest SB. There was also an increased risk for individuals with a combination of either low PA + low SB and high PA + high SB, albeit to a lesser extent. Although substantial study-level heterogeneity exists, the results highlight the potential value of considering both behaviours jointly in relation to CVD risk.

Humans

Adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors in early-stage breast cancer: Clinical evidence and considerations for risk stratification and treatment selection.

Hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer is the most common biologic subtype and carries a persistent risk of recurrence, particularly in patients with high-risk, early-stage disease. Cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors, initially established as a standard component of first-line therapy in the metastatic setting based on improvements in progression-free and overall survival, have since been evaluated in the adjuvant setting. While adjuvant palbociclib did not improve invasive disease-free survival, the monarchE and NATALEE trials demonstrated that abemaciclib and ribociclib, respectively, reduce recurrence risk in patients with high-risk, early-stage disease, with emerging overall survival data further supporting their use. However, the absolute magnitude of benefit varies substantially with baseline risk, and treatment-related toxicity and adherence challenges must be considered, as approximately 20% to 25% of patients discontinue therapy before completion. The integration of these agents into clinical practice also intersects with ongoing efforts to deescalate axillary surgery, as treatment eligibility has been largely defined by anatomic staging, particularly nodal status. Available data suggest that the incremental impact of axillary surgery on identifying candidates for cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibition is modest, especially among the favorable-risk populations now eligible for surgical deescalation. As the field evolves, advances in molecular risk stratification, genomic profiling, and dynamic biomarkers are poised to shift treatment selection from anatomic staging toward biologically driven approaches. Multidisciplinary decision-making that integrates tumor biology, anticipated absolute benefit, toxicity, patient preferences, and surgical considerations will be essential to ensure individualized care.

Humans

CT-Derived pelvic morphometry for preoperative risk assessment of recurrent unilateral inguinal hernia.

BACKGROUND: Recurrent inguinal hernia remains a significant challenge in abdominal wall surgery despite advances in mesh-based repair techniques and minimally invasive approaches. Although pelvic skeletal morphology has been implicated in inguinal hernia development, its association with recurrent disease remains incompletely understood. This study aimed to evaluate computed tomography (CT)-derived pelvic morphometric parameters and investigate their potential value in preoperative recurrence risk assessment. METHODS: This retrospective study included 251 male patients with preoperative abdominal CT examinations and complete clinical records who underwent elective inguinal hernia repair at a tertiary referral center. After applying the predefined eligibility criteria, 188 patients with unilateral inguinal hernias constituted the primary study cohort, including 162 primary and 26 recurrent unilateral hernias. The Radoievitch angle and Ami's line were measured independently by two blinded radiology residents using a standardized CT-based pelvic morphometric measurement protocol, and the mean values were used for analysis. Multivariable logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to evaluate the association between pelvic morphometric parameters and recurrent inguinal hernia. RESULTS: Patients with recurrent unilateral inguinal hernias demonstrated significantly greater affected-side Ami's line measurements (8.27 ± 0.63 vs. 7.90 ± 0.71 cm, p = 0.014) and larger Radoievitch angles (40.68 ± 4.02° vs. 38.80 ± 3.68°, p = 0.018) than patients with primary unilateral hernias. Both the Radoievitch angle (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01-1.28, p = 0.033) and Ami's line (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.14-4.49, p = 0.020) remained independently associated with recurrent inguinal hernia after adjustment for age and body mass index. ROC analysis demonstrated modest discriminatory performance (AUC 0.634 for the Radoievitch angle and 0.633 for Ami's line), while the multivariable model incorporating age, body mass index, and Ami's line showed slightly improved discrimination (AUC 0.655). CONCLUSION: CT-derived pelvic morphometric parameters were independently associated with recurrent unilateral inguinal hernia. Although their individual discriminatory performance was modest, standardized CT-based pelvimetry may serve as an objective adjunctive tool for individualized preoperative recurrence risk assessment in patients who already undergo CT imaging for unrelated clinical indications. Prospective multicenter studies are warranted to validate these findings and determine their clinical applicability.

Humans

Comparative safety of lipid-lowering drugs alone or in combination: insights from a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although the safety profile of lipid-lowering therapies (LLTs) is known, there are no comprehensive comparative assessments. We aimed to compare the risk of muscle-related events, diabetes, liver dysfunction, and cognitive disorders among LLTs through a network meta-analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Databases were searched from inception to May 2025. Eligible studies included adult patients, using statins, ezetimibe, PCSK9 monoclonal antibodies (PCSK9mAbs), inclisiran, bempedoic acid, or their combinations as intervention, reporting the information about any of the selected adverse events, a total sample size of ≥200 subjects, and had ≥1 month of intervention. Pooled estimates were assessed by fixed effects model within a frequentist setting. Pooled relative risks (RR) and their 95% confidence interval were estimated. A total of 303,397 subjects from 153 RCTs were included. Bempedoic acid ranked the lowest risk of myalgia (vs PCSK9mAbs, RR 0.80 [0.69, 0.93]). PCSK9mAbs were associated with lower incidence of creatine kinase (CK) elevation, diabetes, and liver dysfunction comparing to statins (statins vs PCSK9mAbs, RR 1.44 [1.14, 1.81], RR 1.13 [1.05, 1.22], and RR 1.38 [1.17, 1.62], respectively). In terms of muscle-related events and cognitive disorders, no significant risk differences were found among treatments and their combinations. CONCLUSIONS: PCSK9mAbs appear to have a more favourable safety profile regarding the risk of CK elevation, diabetes, and liver dysfunction. Bempedoic acid seem to be a better choice for subjects with high risk of myalgia. This information can be valuable when selecting therapy for specific patient subgroups at higher risk of certain adverse events.

Humans

Enhanced risk stratification in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy through the integration of extracellular volume fraction on cardiovascular magnetic resonance.

AIMS: This study investigated the incremental prognostic value of cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR)-derived extracellular volume fraction (ECV), a marker of diffuse interstitial fibrosis, beyond late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed 990 consecutive HCM patients (median age 58 years, male 68.3%) who underwent CMR between 2012 and 2024. LGE and global ECV were quantified, and their associations with the primary endpoint of HCM-related events-a composite of sudden cardiac death (SCD) events, heart failure (HF) events, and HCM-related death-were assessed. During a median follow-up of 3.2 years, 64 (6.5%) patients experienced the primary endpoint. While LGE (median 7.1%, IQR 2.3-16.9%) and ECV (median 29.0%, IQR 26.6-32.0%) were moderately correlated (R = 0.604, P < 0.001), both were significantly associated with increased risk of the primary endpoint and individual outcomes of SCD and HF events, and optimal cutoffs were determined as LGE &#x2265; 27% and ECV &#x2265; 35%. Patients with ECV &#x2265; 35% had more symptoms, a more severe phenotype with greater systolic and diastolic dysfunction, and more pathogenic gene variants. Notably, ECV remained a significant predictor of the primary endpoint (adjusted HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.15, per 1%) after adjustment for key disease variables, including left ventricular ejection fraction and LGE. Elevated ECV effectively identified high-risk individuals even among lower-risk subgroups, including those with low LGE burden. CONCLUSION: Increased ECV is an independent predictor of HCM-related outcomes. ECV may serve as a novel imaging biomarker to refine risk stratification in HCM patients who do not meet traditional LGE-based high-risk criteria.

Humans

Breaking the Debilitating Cycle: Pathophysiology, Assessment, and Multimodal Intervention of Secondary Debilitation After Hip Fracture in Older Adults-A Narrative Review.

Hip fractures pose a serious threat to the quality of life among older adults and impose a heavy burden on both society and families. Although current surgical techniques for hip fractures have become increasingly refined, postoperative quality of life and overall function in older adult populations often steeply decline. This decline is marked by "secondary debilitation," characterized by exacerbated sarcopenia, functional impairment, and physiological reserve depletion-a process that becomes a risk factor for recurrent fractures, creating a "vicious cycle" with hip fractures. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying "secondary debilitation," discusses the clinical application of risk assessment tools, and presents a phased, stepwise intervention strategy aimed at interrupting the "vicious cycle." The strategy includes early rapid rehabilitation, nutritional support, and prevention of complications; a mid-phase multimodal approach involving multidisciplinary management, comanaged wards, fracture liaison services, and systematic rehabilitation; and, finally, late-phase exploration of emerging pharmacotherapies and treatment methods. This review seeks to offer an evidence-based foundation for optimizing clinical risk assessment and developing precise interventional strategies.

Humans

Machine learning-based prediction of unplanned readmission and construction of an online calculator for elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To screen for independent risk factors for unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke, and to construct and validate an online risk prediction calculator based on an interpretable machine learning model, thereby providing a promising practical tool for accurate clinical assessment of 30&#x2011;day all&#x2011;cause unplanned readmission risk in this population. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted, including 1050 patients aged&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;60&#xa0;years with mild ischemic stroke admitted between August 2023 and September 2024. Participants were randomly divided into a training set (840 cases) and a test set (210 cases) at a ratio of 8:2. Risk factors were screened by univariate analysis and multivariable Logistic regression. Four machine learning models, namely LightGBM, XGBoost, Random Forest, and K&#x2011;Nearest Neighbors (KNN), were developed and their performance was evaluated using AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity as metrics. The SHAP framework was used for interpretability analysis, and an online calculator was subsequently developed based on the optimal model. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed significant differences (P&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05) in 13 factors including age, smoking, AIP, TyG index, HALP score, etc. Multivariable Logistic regression identified age (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;9.752), smoking (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;5.171), AIP (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;6.691), TyG index (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;4.393), HALP score (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.831), and&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;2 comorbidities (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;3.664) as independent risk factors. All four machine learning models demonstrated good predictive performance. Based on a comprehensive evaluation of multiple metrics and computational efficiency, the LightGBM model exhibited the best predictive performance (AUC&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.884, accuracy&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.829, sensitivity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.812, specificity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.875). SHAP analysis showed that age, AIP, TyG index, smoking, and HALP score were key predictors. An online calculator developed based on this model enables individualized risk predictions. CONCLUSION: Key risk factors associated with 30&#x2011;day unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke were identified. The LightGBM model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, and together with the interpretability analysis and online calculator, offers a practical tool to support clinical risk assessment. However, this tool requires future external validation.

Humans

A standardised risk-stratified approach to the urological management of children with spina bifida.

BACKGROUND: The establishment of a multidisciplinary spina bifida (SB) clinic in 2006 resulted in a review of the literature and an audit of renal outcomes based on then management practices. The audit showed 17% new onset renal scarring over a mean 5.8-year follow-up period. This prompted the development of a local protocol based on risk stratification combining serial ultrasound and non-invasive bladder function assessments, with invasive urodynamic studies reserved for high-risk patients. OBJECTIVE: This study sought to assess the impact of a risk stratified protocol on renal scarring and continence outcomes in children with SB. METHODS: A single centre, retrospective case review of SB patients treated after the introduction of the protocol was conducted. Electronic medical records were used to access patient demographics, continence status and the results of investigations and adherence to the local management protocol. Management that deviated from the protocol was deemed non-adherence. Renal scarring was determined by the presence of scarring on DMSA renogram. Continence was defined as having no urinary incontinence or no more than a single episode of incontinence in a month in patients above the age of 5. For statistical analysis, descriptive statistics in percentages were used, for comparisons of dichotomous variables the Students t-test was performed and to calculate statistical significance a Fisher exact test was done. RESULTS: 167 SB patients were identified with a mean follow up of 56 months. 141 patients were considered adherent to the protocol, 26 were non-adherent. In the protocol adherent group 5 patients (3.5%) developed renal scarring compared with 6 patients (23%) managed out of protocol (p = 0.002). Overall, 49/108 patients were continent either self-voiding 8/108 (7%), with urethral CIC 19/108 (20%) and 22/108 (45%) of them required bladder augmentation. Urinary continence improved with age with 26% continence at age 10, 64% continence by age 15 and 90% continent above 15 years of age. CONCLUSION: A management approach based on risk stratification resulted in incidence of renal scarring that is better than historical controls and comparable to published outcomes. Social continence was achieved in 90% of SB patients by 15 years of age. Hostile bladder changes can be readily identified using non-invasive assessment methods. An expectant treatment approach based on risk stratification is associated with good long term renal outcome and utilises invasive urodynamic resources for SB patients at high risk of renal injury or to address urinary continence in the older child.

Humans

Risk-Benefit of Phase 2 Monotherapy Trials in Adult Solid Cancers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Phase 2 (and phase 1 dose expansion, which we label phase 2 for the purposes of this study) cancer trials are the first direct tests of a new drug's efficacy. Because efficacy evidence is lacking, the therapeutic status of drug administration during ethical review is uncertain. We compared the efficacy and safety of cancer monotherapies in phase 2&#xa0;with phase 3, where clinical equipoise underwrites a therapeutic status for drug administration. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Clinicaltrials.gov for phase 2 and 3 investigational monotherapy drug trials in six solid malignancies, with primary completion dates 2015-2020, inclusive. Two independent reviewers completed data extraction. Effects were estimated using an inverse-variance weighted random-effects model meta-analysis of proportions using the R package meta. We analyzed 130 phase 2 and 52 phase 3 trial arms, enrolling 6665 and 18,694 patients. The pooled objective response rate was 7% (95% CI 5%-11%) in phase 2 versus 24% in phase 3 (95% CI 17%-31%; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001). The median PFS and OS were shorter in phase 2 compared to phase 3 (3.23 vs. 5.43&#x2009;months, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001; 9.46 vs. 14.44&#x2009;months, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0001). The pooled rate of drug-related grade 3-4 adverse events was 30% (95% CI 23%-37%) in phase 2 and 25% (95% CI 19%-32%) in phase 3. Monotherapies delivered in phase 2 cancer trials present diminished risk-benefit compared with phase 3 and align with historic estimates for phase 1. Though there may be exceptions, risks for drug administration in phase 2 should generally be justified by appeals to research rather than therapeutic value.

Humans

Microbial diversity, functional activities, and safety risks in fermented tea: a comprehensive review.

Microbial fermented teas are gaining global popularity due to their unique sensory profiles and health benefits. The quality and safety of these products are governed by complex microbial ecosystems that orchestrate the biotransformation of tea leaf components. This review addresses a critical paradox in the field: the same microbial activities that generate desirable bioactive metabolites, such as theabrownins and organic acids, also create ecological niches for mycotoxigenic fungi, posing significant health risks from contaminants like ochratoxin A, citrinin, and aflatoxins. While extensive research has cataloged the microbial diversity in these systems, a comprehensive framework linking processing environments to microbial community assembly, functional outcomes, and quantifiable safety risks remains elusive. This review systematically bridges this gap by synthesizing current knowledge on the microbial consortia-dominated by Aspergillus, Penicillium, Bacillus, and Lactiplantibacillus species-that drive tea fermentation. We critically analyze their functional roles in enhancing flavor, bioactivity, and potential probiotic activity while simultaneously evaluating the mechanisms of mycotoxin production and accumulation. By integrating microbial ecology, biochemistry, and food safety, we propose a forward-looking perspective focused on transitioning the industry from traditional, spontaneous fermentation to modern, controlled biotechnological processes. This approach, centered on the use of defined starter cultures, predictive modeling, and active biocontrol strategies, provides a roadmap for ensuring the consistent quality and safety of fermented tea products, ultimately unlocking their full potential as high-quality functional foods.

Tea

Pollution characteristics and health risks of PAHs and OPAHs in PM2.5 of an inland basin city in China under the influence of the clean air action plan.

Since the implementation of China's Clean Air Action, remarkable progress has been made in air pollution control, with continuous air quality improvement in Xi'an, a typical inland basin city in the Fenwei Plain. To clarify winter organic aerosol pollution variations and pinpoint targeted control needs under policy regulation, this study investigated PM2.5-bound polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and oxygenated derivatives (OPAHs) in winter Xi'an, focusing on pollution levels, chemical compositions, source contributions, meteorological impacts, regional transport and health risks. Historical comparison showed generally lower wintertime PAH concentrations in Xi'an during the period of China's clean-air actions. PMF results indicated mixed source influences on PAHs and OPAHs, with biomass-burning-related mixed combustion showing the largest contribution. During haze episodes, absolute concentrations of both PAHs and OPAHs increased; the increase was statistically significant for OPAHs but not for parent PAHs, while 4-5 ring PAHs and BcdPQ dominated the PAH and OPAH profiles, respectively. Meteorological variability, particularly synoptic pressure patterns, was strongly associated with pollutant concentrations, and regional pollution was dominated by in-basin accumulation combined with short-range transport from northern Shaanxi industrial zones. Haze periods exhibited higher toxic-equivalent concentrations, with OPAHs, particularly BcdPQ, dominating the toxicity-equivalent burden. Screening-level ILCR estimates generally remained below 10&#x207b;4 but increased during haze episodes, especially for adult and elderly groups. In conclusion, China's clean air actions have coincided with lower wintertime PAH pollution, but stronger control of residential biomass and other solid-fuel combustion, traffic emissions, and OPAH formation remains necessary in the Fenwei Plain.

China

Thrombus Metabolism-Based Molecular Subtyping for Prognostic Risk Stratification in Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Preliminary Study.

AIMS: To preliminarily characterize metabolic molecular subtypes of cerebral thromboemboli and evaluate their clinical significance in anterior circulation acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion (AIS-LVO). METHODS: Untargeted metabolomics was performed on thromboemboli retrieved from 36 patients with anterior circulation AIS-LVO using ultra-performance coupled liquid chromatography with quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry (UPLC-Q-TOF-MS). Unsupervised hierarchical clustering was employed to identify distinct metabolic molecular subtypes, and their associations with stroke etiology, radiographic severity, and functional outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS: Two distinct thrombus metabolic molecular subtypes (C1 and C2) were identified based on 12 metabolites significantly associated with both short-term (7-day &#x2206;NIHSS) and long-term (90-day mRS) functional outcomes. The C1 subtype, predominantly cardioembolic, exhibited enhanced lipid metabolism, whereas the C2 subtype, primarily atherothrombotic, demonstrated increased folate metabolism. Patients with C1 thromboemboli presented more severe admission ischemic lesions (as indicated by ASPECTS) and experienced poorer short-term and long-term outcomes. A six-metabolite signature derived from LASSO regression was identified for exploratory discrimination of thrombus metabolic subtypes, etiological subtypes, and 90-day outcomes. CONCLUSION: This preliminary exploratory study identifies two metabolically distinct thrombus molecular subtypes with clinical implications in anterior circulation AIS-LVO, providing a novel basis for risk stratification and personalized secondary prevention and warrants further investigation.

Humans

From premature adrenarche to adult metabolic risk and hyperandrogenism: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: Idiopathic premature adrenarche (IPA) has been associated with a higher risk of metabolic and reproductive dysfunction, but long-term/adult outcomes remain incompletely known. OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationship between IPA and metabolic syndrome, as well as polycystic ovarian syndrome, in premenarcheal adolescent and adult women. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies reporting outcomes in females with IPA after menarche. Databases were searched through February 2025. Primary outcomes included body mass index (BMI), insulin resistance markers, and clinical and biochemical markers of hyperandrogenism. Data were pooled using random-effects models. The GRADE approach was applied to assess the certainty of evidence. RESULTS: A total of 21 studies comprising 635 females with IPA and 307 age-matched controls were included. Compared to controls, IPA individuals showed significantly higher BMI (mean difference: 1.4; CI: 1.0-1.9), fasting insulin, and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, indicating persistent insulin resistance. Markers of hyperandrogenism, including Ferriman-Gallwey score, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, and Free androgenic index, were also elevated. Secondary analyses revealed higher triglycerides, lower high-density lipoprotein, increased leptin, and greater carotid intima-media thickness, supporting an early pattern of cardiometabolic risk. GRADE assessment rated most outcomes as low certainty. CONCLUSION: Women with a history of IPA are at increased risk of long-term insulin resistance and hyperandrogenism, with early signs of adverse cardiometabolic profiles. These findings support the need for long-term monitoring in this population.

Humans

Diagnostic performance of machine learning models versus established risk stratification for intracranial aneurysm rupture: a systematic review and bivariate meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) models have been proposed to improve the discrimination of intracranial aneurysm rupture status beyond established clinical risk stratification tools. However, reported performance is heterogeneous and the relative contribution of model architecture and feature dominance remains unclear. METHODS: We performed a Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses-diagnostic test accuracy systematic review and diagnostic meta-analysis of studies evaluating ML models for intracranial aneurysm rupture discrimination. PubMed, Embase and CENTRAL were searched to February 2026. Sensitivity and specificity were pooled using a bivariate random-effects model, with summary receiver operating characteristic curves generated across training, internal testing and external validation datasets. Models were compared with regression-based approaches and Population, Hypertension, Age, Size of aneurysm, Earlier subarachnoid haemorrhage, Site of aneurysm (PHASES) scores. Subgroup and meta-regression analyses explored associations between algorithm family and feature domain. RESULTS: Sixty-two retrospective cohorts (29&#x2009;709 patients 209 models) met the inclusion criteria. In training datasets, pooled sensitivity and specificity for ML were 0.81 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.85)&#x2009;and 0.83 (0.80-0.86), with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.878, exceeding PHASES (AUC 0.667). In testing datasets, ML retained higher discrimination (AUC 0.837) than regression models (0.806) and PHASES (0.646). In external validation, sensitivity was preserved (0.82), but specificity declined (0.66). Deep learning demonstrated the highest AUCs (training and testing). Incorporation of haemodynamic or radiomic features improved pooled discrimination relative to morphology alone. Evidence of small-study effects and mostly unclear Prediction Model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool ratings were observed. CONCLUSIONS: ML approaches demonstrate higher pooled discrimination for aneurysm rupture status than conventional risk scores in retrospective datasets, but reduced external validation specificity and heterogeneity limit confidence for clinical translation. Prospective, externally validated, calibrated models are required before integration into routine cerebrovascular risk stratification.

Humans

Sex Differences in Postoperative Recovery and Mortality After High-Risk Cardiac Surgery: A Propensity Score-Matched Post Hoc Analysis of the SUSTAIN-CSX Trial.

BACKGROUND: Sex-related differences after cardiac surgery remain controversial because women often present with higher baseline risk and complexity than men. We performed a post hoc propensity score-matched analysis of the SUSTAIN-CSX (Sodium Selenite Administration in Cardiac Surgery) trial to evaluate sex differences in mortality, postoperative complications, and recovery after high-risk cardiac surgery. METHODS: Of 1394 trial participants, 1386 had complete data. Women were matched 1:1 to men using nearest-neighbor propensity score matching based on age and European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II (EuroSCORE II), with exact matching on surgical category, yielding 327 female-male pairs. Prespecified sensitivity analyses adjusted for frailty, baseline hemoglobin, renal disease, left ventricular ejection fraction, previous myocardial infarction, preoperative medications, and baseline creatinine. RESULTS: In the primary matched analysis, 180-day survival did not differ between women and men (log-rank P=0.086; unadjusted hazard ratio, 1.80 [95% CI, 0.91-3.55]; P=0.091). In descriptive matched comparisons, women had numerically longer intensive care unit stay (median, 3&#x2009;days [quartile 1, quartile 3 (Q1, Q3)=1, 6&#x2009;days] versus 2&#x2009;days [Q1, Q3=1, 5&#x2009;days]) and hospital stay (median, 10&#x2009;days [Q1, Q3=7, 18&#x2009;days] versus 9&#x2009;days [Q1, Q3=6, 16&#x2009;days]; P=0.292), whereas major postoperative complications were similar. In adjusted sensitivity analyses accounting for the matched design and residual imbalance, female sex remained associated with longer intensive care unit stay (adjusted incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.8 [95% CI, 1.2-2.9]; P=0.009) and hospital stay (adjusted IRR, 1.4 [95% CI, 1.0-1.9]; P=0.031). Mortality sensitivity analyses were model-dependent. CONCLUSIONS: In this propensity score-matched cohort of high-risk cardiac surgery patients, women showed a longer postoperative recovery trajectory in adjusted analyses, whereas mortality findings were sensitive to model specification and should be interpreted cautiously. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02002247.

Aged

Health bill beneath the plastic feast: A phthalate contamination alert from takeout food containers.

The rapid growth of takeout food consumption in China has raised concerns regarding exposure to phthalic acid esters (PAEs) from food packaging. This study investigated the presence, source, contribution, and health risk of PAEs in commonly used takeout containers. Widespread contamination was observed, with total PAE concentrations ranging from below the limit of detection to 222,000 ng/g. Diisobutyl phthalate (DIBP), dibutyl phthalate (DBP), and bis(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP) were identified as the predominant compounds, accounting for 7.50 %, 14.7 %, and 18.7 % of the total concentration, respectively. These PAEs may originated from additives during manufacturing and potential contamination of raw materials. Human exposure assessment showed that daily exposure doses of DIBP, DBP, and DEHP via container ranged from 0.00 to 2340 ng/(kg&#xb7;day) among frequent takeout consumers, contributing substantially to overall PAE body burdens. To further assess exposure and associated risks, a nationwide online questionnaire survey was conducted across China. Based on this national-scale behavioral dataset, the health risks among Chinese residents were evaluated. Although the modeled non-carcinogenic risks of DIBP, DBP, and DEHP remained within acceptable limits, the simulation suggested that approximately 70 % of participants may experience potential exceedance of the carcinogenic risk threshold for DEHP. The frequency of takeout food consumption was identified as the most important factor affecting PAE exposure. These findings underscore the importance of limiting takeout frequency and reducing reliance on plastic containers to mitigate health risks. This study provides scientific evidence to support the development of safer packaging materials and informs public health strategies.

Phthalic Acids

A Dynamic Nomogram to Predict Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease in Patients with Metabolic Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) involves multiple metabolic disorders. This study aimed to identify high-risk populations for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) in patients with MetS and to establish a dynamic predictive nomogram. METHODS: A total of 627 patients with MetS from six regions in Zhejiang Province were enrolled and categorized into MAFLD and non-MAFLD groups, then randomly assigned to training and validation sets at a ratio of 7:3. Independent predictors of MAFLD were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and multivariable logistic regression analyses. These predictors were then used to construct a dynamic nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 627 patients with MetS were included in the final analysis, of whom 77.0% (483/627) were diagnosed with MAFLD. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), total cholesterol (TC), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), MetS-defined dysglycemia, and education level as independent risk factors for MAFLD. MetS-defined dysglycemia showed the highest odds ratio (OR) for MAFLD development [OR = 1.87, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-3.29]. Although the number of MetS components and the metabolic syndrome score were significantly associated with MAFLD in univariate analysis, they were not independently associated with MAFLD in the multivariate model. A dynamic nomogram for predicting MAFLD risk in patients with MetS was developed and internally validated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.834 (95% CI: 0.787-0.880) in the training set and 0.839 (95% CI: 0.771-0.899) in the validation set, indicating strong predictive performance. Bootstrap internal validation demonstrated good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes in calibration curves. Decision curve analysis further indicated favorable clinical applicability of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: BMI, WC, TC, ALT, MetS-defined dysglycemia, and education level are independent risk factors for MAFLD. A dynamic nomogram for predicting MAFLD risk in patients with MetS was successfully developed and validated.

Humans

Exploring precision risk in pediatric vesicoureteral reflux: Innate immune gene variations and reflux outcomes in the RIVUR cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Children with vesicoureteral reflux (VUR) are at increased risk for morbidity from recurrent urinary tract infections (UTIs), yet the factors influencing spontaneous VUR resolution remain poorly defined. This study evaluates whether genetic variations in key urinary innate immune effectors (DEFA1A3, DMBT1, and RNASE7) influences VUR resolution and interacts with prophylaxis to alter clinical response. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of 303 RIVUR participants with available DEFA1A3 and DMBT1 copy number variation (CNV) data and RNASE7 rs1263872 genotype. Primary outcomes were (1) VUR improvement (decrease in grade) and (2) VUR resolution at study exit. Multivariable logistic regression models included genotype, treatment, and their interactions, adjusting for age, sex, baseline grade (high vs low), laterality, bowel/bladder dysfunction, and any UTI. Internal validation used 2000-sample bootstrap with bias-corrected and accelerated confidence intervals and influence diagnostics. RESULTS: Clinical covariates did not significantly predict VUR improvement. Children with DEFA1A3 CNV >5 had higher odds of improvement (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.12-4.96, p = 0.023), an effect that remained significant in bootstrap analyses. High-grade VUR was associated with lower odds of resolution (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.12-0.94, p = 0.038). A significant interaction was observed between prophylaxis and high DMBT1 copy number for VUR resolution (interaction OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.11-8.04, p = 0.031); no interaction was seen for improvement. RNASE7 rs1263872 was not associated with either outcome. CONCLUSION: Innate immune gene variation may contribute to heterogeneity in VUR outcomes. High DEFA1A3 copy number was associated with reflux improvement and a DMBT1-prophylaxis interaction was associated with reflux resolution. The results of this study is hypothesis-generating and prompt further evaluation to assess whether a subset of children may experience structural benefit from prophylaxis or have a more favorable natural history based on their innate immune genotype.

Humans