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Economic impact of HIV infection and coronary heart disease in immigrants to Canada.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the direct health care costs of illnesses associated with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and of coronary heart disease (CHD) in immigrants to Canada. DESIGN: Comparative cost analysis. PARTICIPANTS: All people who immigrated to Canada in 1988. The numbers with HIV infection and CHD were estimated from country-specific HIV seroprevalence data and national CHD mortality statistics and data from the Framingham study. Health care costs, projected over the 10 years after immigration, were calculated on the basis of data from the Hospital Medical Records Institute and provincial fee schedules. RESULTS: Of the 161,929 immigrants in 1988, 484 were estimated to be HIV positive. The total cost of treatment of HIV-related illnesses from 1989 to 1998 (discounted at 3%) would be $18.5 million: $17.1 million would be spent on the outpatient and inpatient care of the HIV-positive immigrants, $1.0 million on care of the subsequently infected sexual partners and $0.4 million on care of the HIV-positive children born to seropositive immigrant women. In comparison, CHD would develop in 2558 immigrants during the same 10-year period. The total CHD costs would be $21.6 million: $8.4 million would be spent on treating myocardial infarction, $3.2 million on coronary artery bypass grafting, $1.6 million on pacemaker insertion and $8.4 million on treating other CHD events. CONCLUSIONS: The economic impact of HIV infection in immigrants to Canada is similar to that of CHD. This comparison identifies an important shortcoming in current immigration policy: economic considerations can be arbitrarily applied to certain diseases, thereby discriminating against specific groups of immigrants.

Adult↗

The increase in working years due to elimination of cancer as a cause of death.

The relative significance of various forms of cancer in terms of causing death is analysed by estimation of the increase in person-years of working age (20-64 years) following elimination of the disease. Methods based upon the theory of competing risks are applied to the statistics on causes of death in Finland during the years 1966-70. It is estimated that if there were no lung cancer (the commonest type of cancer in both morbidity and mortality statistics in males in Finland) the annual deaths saved would yield 5,900 working years (both sexes combined). Leukaemia and cancer of the stomach would be next in rank order, with figures of respectively 4,000 and 3,900 working years more. Female cancer with the highest incidence, that of the breast, would be characterized by 2,900 additional working years. The significance of types of cancer that affect young people is stressed in these calculations: leukaemia, brain tumours and lymphomas (both sexes combined) are 6th, 12th and 11th respectively in the statistics of cancer causes of death, but 2nd, 4th and 6th respectively in the list of additional working years to be gained by elimination of the disease. On the other hand, cancer of the prostate, 3rd in males according to the annual numbers of cancer deaths, would take the 15th position for the increase in working years in males. If no risk of cancer existed, the annual deaths saved would produce 36,000 working years, a figure exceeded only by those for cardiovascular diseases (55,000 working years) and accidents (51,000 working years). The results indicate that no practical differences exist between the results derived under the assumptions of various models for competing risks, but that the exclusion of competing risks may result in considerable degrees of bias in estimation if the population has a high general mortality.

Adolescent↗

Factors involved in immunization program for swine influenza.

The decision to undertake a nationwide program of vaccination against swine influenza requires assessment of the status of immunity of those in various age groups in our population against this agent. Pools of serum were collected from persons born in the years from 1889 to 1943; they were tested for hemaggultinin inhibiting (HI) antibody against the HSW 1N1 influenza virus strains isolated in 1931 and 1976. The titers secured serve as an indication of the average level of immunity of those of different ages. Persons less than 43 years of age are found to be without antibody protection. The need for vaccination of people in different age groups based on mortality statistics of previous epidemics is evaluated. It is realized that no epidemic may occur and that a reduced virulence of the viral agent and use of antibiotics may reduce the death rate if the infection recurs. The extraordinary high mortality in 1918 in people between 15 and 44 years of age deserves recognition together with the fact that those in the same age group are now without protection. The fact that women of childbearing age fall into this group deserves special consideration in view of increased mortality in puerperal women observed in the pandemics of 1918 and 1957. The degree of protection afforded the newborn by transplacental transmission of maternal antibodies is discussed. The need of increasing the level of immunity in those who have varying titers of HI antibodies is considered in relation to the prevalence of cardiopulmonary complications and other chronic diseases in older subjects.

Adolescent↗

Longitudinal Gompertzian analysis of ALS mortality in England and Wales, 1963-1989: estimates of susceptibility in the general population.

Mortality statistics in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), which is more commonly and generally termed motoneurone disease (MND) in the United Kingdom, have been shown to reflect the incidence of previously diagnosed cases of the disease in a more complete way than in other conditions [1,2]. An analysis of changing patterns of mortality may therefore be a particularly appropriate way of tracing the underlying trends in the disease and is in principle a useful way of investigating the relationship between environmental and genetically controlled factors in the genesis of the condition. The majority of analyses so far have concentrated on the crude rise in reported mortality rates evident in recent decades in a number of countries [2-5], on the uneven geographical distribution [6,7] and on the complex range of plausible causes for these reported rises. Debates have centred on whether the increases represent 'real' or 'artifactual' changes, with no apparent resolution of the issue [8,3]. Recently Riggs [9] proposed a novel way of analysing this issue by using a Gompertzian model and provided evidence of the existence of an inherently susceptible subset of the US population. Riggs indicated that while the rise in ALS mortality is real, it is for the most part the result of an increase in the size of this inherently susceptible sub-population due to greater longevity. In order to examine the wider applicability of a Gompertzian model to ALS the technique has been replicated with the mortality rates for England and Wales for the 27-year period from 1963 to 1989. The technique has been developed and extended to produce an estimate of the size of the inherently susceptible sub-population (both male and female) over the entire period.

Adolescent↗

Patterns of childhood mortality and growth status in a rural Zapotec community.

Infant and childhood mortality (birth to 14 years), and growth status of 143 schoolchildren (5 to 14 years) are considered for a rural, Zapotec-speaking community (population, 1703) in the Valley of Oaxaca, Mexico. Mortality statistics are based on civil records from 1945 to 1970. Growth status is based on weight and height for age, and weight for weight for height. In the Zapotec community, about 59% of all deaths occur in children under 15 years of age; thus, a considerable percentage of individuals die before reaching reproductive age. Children under 5 years of age, however, account for approximately 54% of all deaths, and mortality in children 1 to 4 years of age is especially high (27% of all deaths). The latter figure suggests chronic malnutrition, frequent disease and generally poor circumstances in the community. This suggestion is supported in the heights and weights of schoolchildren, survivors of the rigorous selection processes of the pre-school years. The majority of children are below the 5th centile for stature in well-nourished American children. Weight for height, however, approximates that of the USA reference data.

Adolescent↗

Premature mortality attributable to smoking and hazardous drinking in Canada.

All causes of death related to the two risk factors, smoking and hazardous drinking, have been reviewed followed by a selection of those causes of death for which the causal role of the risk factor appears to be quasi-certain. For each cause, existing epidemiologic data were reviewed and used to determine the fraction of premature mortality which could be attributed to each factor (called the attributable fraction). This fraction was then multiplied by the corresponding Canadian premature mortality measured in terms of deaths between ages one and 70 and potential years of life lost (PYLL) between ages one and 70, which gives a higher weight to younger deaths. Of the 73,440 deaths between ages one and 70 in Canada in 1974, 12% (or 8718 deaths) were found to be attributable to current smoking and 6% (4716) to hazardous drinking. In terms of PYLL between ages one and 70, hazardous drinking ranks ahead of current smoking with 10% (or 132,044 PYLL) of the total PYLL, whereas current smoking represents 8% (105,085 PYLL) of the total . Regardless of whether premature mortality is expressed in terms of deaths or PYLL, about 18% of Canadian premature mortality is attributable to current smoking and/or drinking (with the range of possible values being 14-22%).

Accidents↗

Accidental falls and injuries among seniors.

This study analyzes data on accidental falls for those aged 65 and older. The data are based on mortality statistics from 1980 to 1989 and morbidity statistics from 1985 to 1989. These statistics are provided to the Canadian Centre for Health Information by the provincial governments. Mortality rates and hospital separation rates for accidental falls are highest for those aged 65 and older. Accidents are one of the leading causes of death and hospitalization among seniors. In 1989, for those aged 65 and older, accidental falls accounted for 56% of accidental deaths and 65% of accident-related hospital separations. Mortality and hospital separation rates for accidental falls increased with age. For those aged 65 and older, the mortality rates for accidental falls were higher for men than women. However, the accident-related hospital separation rate was higher for women than men. The reason for this difference is not fully understood, but it has been suggested that while more women fall than men, more men seriously injure themselves. For men requiring hospitalization due to accidental falls, the most common injuries, in descending order, were fractures of the hip, ribs, vertebral column, humerus, and pelvis. For women, the most common injuries were fractures of the hip, humerus, radius and ulna, pelvis, and ankle. Of fall-related injuries resulting in hospitalization, hip fractures were the leading cause of death and proportionately more men than women died of hip fractures.

Accidental Falls↗

Premature mortality, Israel 1986.

Mortality statistics serve as the most common tool for health policy planning. However, this method suffers from several shortcomings. The mortality patterns in Israel in 1986 are presented in this article using the measure of years of potential life lost (YPLL), which better expresses premature mortality and the burden of diseases on society. Ischemic heart disease, cancer, and accidents of all types are responsible equally for most premature deaths in males in Israel, whereas cancer is the leading cause of premature mortality in women in Israel. Planning future health policy should rely more heavily on measures such as YPLL.

Adolescent↗

[Mortality from acute respiratory infections and influenza (1976-1980)].

Acute respiratory infections (ARI) and influenza (flu) are extremely common illnesses, which make up the main causes of medical consultation and absence from work. OBJECTIVE. To discover the level of mortality because of ARI and flu in the Health Areas within the Community of Valencia; to analyse their possible relationship with socio-economic factors and also to identify higher-risk groups according to age and sex. DESIGN. Retrospective study. SITE. The Community of Valencia. PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS. Mortality data across the Community were obtained from the mortality statistics published by the Generalitat (Government) of Valencia during the five-year period of 1976 to 1980. MAIN MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS. The results establish that Health Areas 4, 6, 7, 9-12 and 18 present less mortality because of ARI and flu. These are the better areas, socio-economically speaking, although the data are without statistical significance. A spectacular increase in mortality in the age-group of those over 70 was observed, with no great differences found between the sexes. CONCLUSIONS. Given that the main interventions to prevent these diseases are based on vaccination, it would be useful to carry out vaccination programmes with greater thoroughness in those areas identified as of high risk.

Acute Disease↗

Impact on mortality of a community-based programme to control acute lower respiratory tract infections.

Acute lower respiratory tract infections (ALRIs) are a major cause of death among young children in developing countries. A targeted programme designed to treat children with ALRI was implemented in 1988 in a primary health care project in rural Bangladesh. In the 2 years preceding the introduction of the programme (1986-87), non-ALRI-specific health services were provided, including promotion of oral rehydration therapy, family planning, immunization of children and mothers, distribution of vitamin A, referral of severely sick children to field clinics, and nutritional rehabilitation of malnourished children. The targeted ALRI programme, which was in place in 1988-89, was based on systematic ALRI case detection and management by community health workers, who were linked to a referral system for medical support. These two levels of intervention have been evaluated by comparing the ALRI-specific mortality in the programme area and a neighbouring control area during the two periods. During the first phase (1986-87), the ALRI mortality among under-5-year-olds was 28% lower in the intervention than in the comparison area (P less than 0.01). During the second phase (1988-89), the ALRI mortality was 32% lower in the intervention area than during the preceding phase, while there was no significant difference for the comparison area. These findings suggest that in the study region the combination of specific and nonspecific interventions can reduce ALRI mortality by as much as 50% and the overall mortality among under-5-year-olds by as much as 30%.

Allied Health Personnel↗

Mortality trends in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire, 1983-1988.

To assess changes in mortality in Abidjan since the development of the AIDS epidemic, we compared official city mortality statistics and hospital fatality rates in 1983, before AIDS was recognized in Abidjan, with those in 1988. Review of records in the city's major hospitals showed that fatality rates (deaths per 1000 admissions) in adult medical patients increased by 54% between 1983 and 1988, with increases of 106 and 98% in men 20-29 and 30-39 years of age, respectively, and 199 and 42% in women of the same age ranges. Mortality rates in surgical patients showed little change, while in children they declined. Over the same period, official mortality statistics for the city showed reduced mortality rates in children and women 20-29 years of age, but an increase in mortality rates of 54% in men 20 years of age and older, and of 28% in women aged 30 years and older. HIV infection may be a major cause of the increased adult mortality documented in hospital and city records, and jeopardizes improved survival from preventive measures such as maternal and child health services.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Infant and child mortality in the Elim District, northern Transvaal, 1976-1986, and a comparison of trends.

Childhood mortality rates among rural blacks in South Africa are currently not based on a reliable registration system. National childhood mortality statistics rely on mortality extrapolations and population estimates. This study attempts to provide further information on infant and child mortality among rural blacks in the northern Transvaal, using a direct method. Currently available obstetric histories from hospital and clinic records of the Elim Hospital Health Ward were reviewed, covering the years 1976-1988 and approximately 28,000 pregnancies. The mean infant mortality rate was 88/1,000 live births, and did not change significantly over 10 years, in contrast to other populations in South Africa with documented decreases. Components of the infant mortality rate were also calculated. There was a 1 in 10 risk of death among children less than 5 years of age over this period, although the risk had declined slightly over 10 years. Mortality among boys was higher than that among girls in all age groups studied. Conclusions include that small but measurable changes have occurred in rural South African black childhood mortality rates, although there has been no discernible change in infant mortality, and that a simple direct method can illustrate levels as well as trends in mortality. This has implications for health policy.

Black or African American↗

Perinatal mortality statistics in Harare 1980-1989.

Perinatal and neonatal mortality rates, in the Greater Harare Maternity Unit, which showed a modest decline from 1980 to 1985, have rise dramatically since then. Half of the rise in neonatal mortality rate is due to increased numbers and an increased mortality rate in babies of birth weight less than 1001g. There is also an increase in the numbers of deaths of large babies. There is a strong case for a broad-based on-going enquiry into the reasons for such changes.

Birth Rate↗

[Incidence and mortality of malignant lymphomas in the GDR].

Based on data from the cancer register of the German Democratic Republic established in 1952 and on the official mortality statistics, incidence of and mortality from malignant lymphomas (ICD 200-203) in the GDR are analysed. Age-specific incidence and mortality of Hodgkin's disease show a peak in the age group of 25-30 years and rise steadily from 45 years on up to the highest age. Lymphosarcoma and reticulosarcoma increase slowly from infancy to old age, whereas multiple myeloma is a disease of the elderly and extremely rare before the age of 40. The apparent increase of malignant lymphoma may be due to underregistration at the beginning of the cancer register. In the past years mortality from Hodgkin's disease is slowly decreasing, thus reflecting progress in methods of treatment and results.

Adolescent↗

Perinatal and neonatal mortality and morbidity in Lusaka, 1976.

A prospective study of perinatal and neonatal mortality and morbidity at the University Teaching Hospital (UTH), Lusaka for 1976 is presented. The early neonatal mortality of the babies born in hospital was 28.7 per 1000 live-births; it was 239.96 per 1000 admissions of those born outside the hospital. The still-birth rate in the hospital-born babies was 25.2 per 1000 deliveries; the perinatal mortality was 53.3 per 1000 deliveries; and the neonatal mortality in the hospital-born was 31.1 per 1000 live-births. The cause of death were asphyxia, infections could injury, respiratory distress syndrome, congenital malformation and intracranial haemmorrhage. If the perinatal and neonatal mortality and morbidity are to be reduced, much effort and co-operation of all concerned with the health of the expectant mother, and her child are required. Records of birth-weights, stillbirth, and causes of deaths in the University Teaching Hospital (UTH) for the year 1976 have been analysed. The aim is to provide a basis for future comparisons and improvement of the care given to newborns.

Female↗

[Perinatal mortality. Statistics from the Gynecological and Obstetrical Service of the Notre-Dame-de-Bon-Secours Hospital (1961-1975)].

The authors present their statistics for perinatal mortality from 1961 to 1975. In the last 5 years this mortality is less than 15 per 1000, in spite of an increase in the numbers of pathological pregnancies. Over and above progress in obstetrics and neonatology that has occurred, this result can be attributed in part to the quality of supervision carried out by the senior obstetricians and in part to the existence of pathological consultation which takes place between colleagues about the therapy to be carried out in multidisciplinary meetings.

Female↗