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PubMed1991

Further analysis of contraceptive failure of the ovulation method.

Reanalysis of data on the ovulation method of natural family planning collected by the World Health Organization yields the following conclusions. The method is effective during perfect (correct and consistent) use, with a first-year probability of failure of 3.4%. However, it is extremely unforgiving of imperfect use, with a first-year probability of failure of 84.2% if the method is not used correctly. During the initial year, 87% of the cycles were characterized by perfect use. Nevertheless, the 13% of cycles characterized by imperfect use had a tremendous impact on the overall failure rate. During the first year of typical use 22.5% of the women in the clinical trial became accidentally pregnant.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Analysis of contraceptive failure data in intrauterine device studies. Modern competing risks approach.

The life table method used heretofore in case of intrauterine device (IUD) failure data requires grouping of data into intervals. If the termination times are recorded exactly along with the reason of termination, grouping of data results in some loss of information. Modern competing risks techniques are suggested here for the exact IUD failure data. The uses of cumulative incidence functions, which are essentially the quantity given by Potter's net rate, and cause-specific hazard rates are stressed. Also, this paper focuses on the flaws of life table estimates of net and gross rates, which have been widely used during the past three decades in the analysis of contraceptive failures. The methods suggested in this paper can be used in any other situation where the failure times and reasons of failure are recorded.

Equipment Failure↗
PubMed2002

Body weight and risk of oral contraceptive failure.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the hypothesis that higher body weight increases the risk of oral contraceptive (OC) failure. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of data from 755 randomly selected female enrollees of Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound who completed an in-person interview and dietary questionnaire between 1990 and 1994 as control subjects for a case-control study of ovarian cysts. Among the 618 women who were OC ever-users, we used Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate the relative risk (RR) of pregnancy while using OCs associated with body weight quartile. RESULTS: During 2822 person-years of OC use, 106 confirmed pregnancies occurred (3.8 per 100 person-years of exposure). After controlling for parity, women in the highest body weight quartile (70.5 kg or more) had a significantly increased risk of OC failure (RR 1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1, 2.4) compared with women of lower weight. Higher elevations of risk associated with the highest weight quartile were seen among very low-dose OC users (RR 4.5, 95% CI 1.4, 14.4) and low-dose OC users (RR 2.6, 95% CI 1.2, 5.9), controlling for parity, race, religion, and menstrual cycle regularity. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that body habitus may affect metabolism sufficiently to compromise contraceptive effectiveness. Consideration of a woman's weight may be an important element of OC prescription.

Absorption↗
PubMed2005

The role of body weight in oral contraceptive failure: results from the 1995 national survey of family growth.

PURPOSE: Many unintended pregnancies occur in women who use contraception. We conducted this study to determine if increasing body weight is associated with oral contraceptive (OC) failure. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study consists of the 1916 women who reported using OCs in January 1993 and provided complete covariate information on the 1993 National Health Interview Survey and 1995 National Survey of Family Growth. Body weight and body mass index (BMI) were self-reported in 1993. The outcome was defined to be any conception occurring in women reporting OC use during the month of conception. Cox proportional hazards models were used to model the body weight/BMI-OC failure association. RESULTS: Women with a BMI >/= 30 had a statistically significant increased risk of having an OC failure as compared to women with BMIs of 20 to 24.9 (HR=1.80, 95% CI, 1.01, 3.20). However, after adjustment for age, marital status, education, poverty, race/ethnicity, parity, and dual method use, this increased risk was attenuated and no longer statistically significant (HR=1.51, 95% CI, 0.81, 2.82). Increasing body weight was not associated with an increased risk of OC failure in the unadjusted or adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS: We did not find a strong or statistically significant association between increasing body weight/BMI and OC failure among this population of women. Prospective studies specifically designed to examine this association are needed to determine if heavier women should be advised to use a contraceptive method other than OCs to prevent pregnancy.

Adult↗
PubMed1997

Oral contraceptive failure rates and oral antibiotics.

BACKGROUND: Despite anecdotal evidence of a possibility of decreased effectiveness of oral contraceptives (OCs) with some antibiotics, it is not known whether antibiotic use in dermatologic practices engenders any increased risk of accidental pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to examine the effect of commonly prescribed oral antibiotics (tetracyclines, penicillins, cephalosporins) on the failure rate of OCs. METHODS: The records from three dermatology practices were reviewed, and 356 patients with a history of combined oral antibiotic/OC use were surveyed retrospectively. Of these patients, 263 also provided "control" data (during the times they used OCs alone). An additional 162 patients provided control data only. RESULTS: Five pregnancies occurred in 311 woman-years of combined antibiotic/OC exposure (1.6% per year failure rate) compared with 12 pregnancies in 1245 woman-years of exposure (0.96% per year) for the 425 control patients. This difference was not significant (p = 0.4), and the 95% confidence interval on the difference (-0.81, 2.1) ruled out a substantial difference (> 2.1% per year). There was also no significant difference between OC failure rates for the women who provided data under both conditions, nor between the two control groups. All our data groups had failure rates below the 3% or higher per year, which are typically found in the United States. CONCLUSION: The difference in failure rates of OCs when taken concurrently with antibiotics commonly used in dermatology versus OC use alone suggests that these antibiotics do not increase the risk of pregnancy. Physicians and patients need to recognize that the expected OC failure rate, regardless of antibiotic use, is at least 1% per year and it is not yet possible to predict in whom OCs may fail.

Administration, Oral↗
PubMed2006

Body mass index and risk for oral contraceptive failure: a case-cohort study in South Carolina.

PURPOSE: Studies have suggested that obesity is associated with an increased risk for oral contraceptive (OC) failure. We conducted a case-cohort study in South Carolina to examine the association between body mass index (BMI) and OC failure by using population-based data sources. METHODS: Our cohort sample from the source population consists of 205 women who reported using OCs to prevent pregnancy on the 1999 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System survey. The 153 women who reported using OCs at the time of conception on the 2000 Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System survey represent the case sample that arose from the source population. Logistic regression was used to obtain odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: In unadjusted models with normal BMI (20 to 24.9 kg/m(2)) as the comparison, greater BMI was associated significantly with OC failure (overweight [25 to 29.9 kg/m(2)], OR = 2.54; 95% CI, 1.18-5.50; and obese [> or =30 kg/m(2)], OR = 2.82; 95% CI, 1.05-7.58). After adjustment for education, income, and race/ethnicity, associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: In this heterogeneous population, we found a suggestion that overweight and obese women may be at increased risk for OC failure. However, long-term prospective studies are needed to study this association in diverse populations.

Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System↗