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Assessing nonlinearity in compartment models via the relative curvature measure.

In pharmacokinetics, compartment models often play an important role in the description of the concentration of the drug in the blood over time after its administration to an individual. Statistical inference in these models can be conducted based on a linear approximation with respect to the parameter related to pharmacokinetic indices, in the same way that the usual nonlinear regression models are dealt with. Therefore, it is necessary to assess the degree of nonlinearity in a compartment model and to evaluate its effect on the linear approximation. The relative curvature measure that enables us to assess the intrinsic and parameter-effects (PE) nonlinearity can be used, but in practice it has not been applied to compartment models in pharmacokinetics. One reason may be that the relative curvature measure cannot be directly applied to blood drug concentration data that exhibit heteroscedasticity. Therefore, the relative curvature measure including the heteroscedastic variance function was utilized to assess the nonlinearity in the compartment models, and in particular, the influences of some of the reparameterizations that are empirically used in fitting the compartment models were examined. Several examples showed that the reparameterized compartment model had less PE nonlinearity than the original compartment model, but that several reparameterizations could increase the PE nonlinearity. In addition, by means of a simulation experiment with heteroscedastic blood drug concentration data, the accuracy, and precision of the relative curvature measure with the heteroscedastic variance function were evaluated and compared with those of the original relative curvature measure. The results showed that the relative curvature measure with the variance function was not affected by heteroscedastic blood drug concentration data and could be utilized for the assessment of the nonlinearity in compartment models.

Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal↗

Bacteremia following dental cleaning in patients with and without penicillin prophylaxis.

The rate, type, and magnitude of bacteremia were studied in 56 patients undergoing dental cleaning with and without penicillin prophylaxis. Sixty-one percent of patients without penicillin prophylaxis were bacteremic 5 minutes following the procedure. Although a significant decrease in detectable bacteremia occurred in patients receiving penicillin prophylaxis, the recovery of streptococci was not significantly different in the two groups. Using the present sample of patients as a basis for statistical inference, the true rate of bacteremia in such patients could be between 41% and 79% with 95% certainty. The magnitude of bacteremia was low and positive quantitative pour plates occurred at 5 minutes and only in patients without penicillin prophylaxis. Of the 71 total bacterial isolates, 53 (74.6%) were anaerobes and 18 (25.4%) were aerobes. This study indicates that parenteral penicillin prophylaxis for dental cleaning decreased detectable bacteremia rates significantly and could be recommended for patients with valvular heart disease who are known to be vulnerable to endocarditis.

Adult↗

The relationship between spontaneous rupture of membranes, labor, and microbial invasion of the amniotic cavity and amniotic fluid concentrations of prostaglandins and thromboxane B2 in term pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between rupture of membranes, labor, and microbial invasion of the amniotic cavity and amniotic fluid concentrations of eicosanoids in patients with spontaneous rupture of membranes at term. STUDY DESIGN: Amniotic fluid was retrieved by transabdominal amniocentesis from patients with rupture of membranes and patients with intact membranes at term. Studies to determine the microbial state of the amniotic cavity included culture for bacteria and mycoplasmas, Gram stain, amniotic fluid white blood cell count, and Limulus amebocyte lysate. Eicosanoids (prostaglandin E2, prostaglandin F2 alpha and its stable metabolite, 6-keto-prostaglandin F1 alpha, and thromboxane B2) were determined with sensitive and specific radioimmunoassays validated for human amniotic fluid. Statistical inference was conducted with analysis of variance and linear contrast. RESULTS: (1) Spontaneous rupture of membranes at term was associated with a significant increase in amniotic fluid concentrations of all eicosanoids measured in this study except 6-keto-prostaglandin F1 alpha. (2) Early labor in patients with rupture of membranes was associated with a significant increase in the amniotic fluid concentration of all eicosanoids. (3) A significant increase in amniotic fluid eicosanoids in women with microbial invasion of the amniotic cavity could not be documented. CONCLUSIONS: Whereas preterm labor in the absence of microbial invasion of the amniotic cavity is not associated with a significant increase in amniotic fluid concentrations of prostaglandins, a clear increase was documented in women with early labor after spontaneous rupture of membranes. These observations suggest that there are fundamental differences in the biochemistry of term and preterm parturition.

Amnion↗

Gene expression in mental illness: a navigation chart to future progress.

An initial course in disentangling complex causal interactions in psychiatric illnesses, we suggest, is finding co-familial traits with classical Mendelian segregation. Starting with non-Mendelian traits, three methods can be used to find underlying Mendelian phenotypes. (1) Statistically-inferred latent traits, with more nearly Mendelian transmission than the measures from which they are derived, can serve as pointers to concrete Mendelian phenotypes. (2) Linkage of non-Mendelian traits to genetic markers, if it can be established, can be followed by searching for phenotypes that discriminate carriers from non-carriers of the imputed trait gene. (3) In the long run, the most successful method is likely to be direct refinement of non-Mendelian behavioral and physiological traits into more fundamental components.

Bipolar Disorder↗

A log-linear modeling framework for selective mixing.

Nonrandom mixing can significantly alter the diffusion path of an infectious disease such as AIDS that requires intimate contact. Recent attempts to model this effect have sought a general framework capable of representing both simple and arbitrarily complicated mixing structures, and of solving the balancing problem in a nonequilibrium multigroup population. Log-linear models are proposed here as a general framework for solving the first problem. This approach offers several additional benefits: The parameters used to govern the mixing have a simple, intuitive interpretation, the framework provides a statistically sound basis for the estimation of these parameters from mixing-matrix data, and the resulting estimates are easily integrated into compartmental models for diffusion. A modified selection model is proposed to solve the second problem of generalizing the selection process to nonequilibrium populations. The distribution of contacts under this model is derived and is found to satisfy the assumptions of statistical inference for log-linear models. Together these techniques provide an integrated and flexible framework for modeling the role of selective mixing in the spread of disease.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Three-year prospect of patients with common epithelial carcinoma of the ovary.

In order to forecast the survival of patients, we collected 417 cases of common epithelial carcinoma of the ovary as a population for this study, then selected 141 cases who had survived more than 3 years and 131 cases who had died within 3 years as a sample of statistical inference. The sample was computerized inputting 25 factors which were obtained mainly on the first surgery. We selected 8 factors with 46 items considering their weight to forecast the prognosis on convenience. The selection of factors was carried out by following three basic principles. First, we selected factors that retained high partial correlation coefficients. Second, we selected factors which did not overlap each other in their contents. Third, we selected factors which were not decided intentionally. Accordingly, the score for forecasting the 3-year survival of patients with ovarian carcinoma was framed. The correct discrimination rate of the score when it was judged at the 0 point was 86.8% in the sample group. However, in the sample group outside the population, it was 83.1%.

Adult↗

Tree structures, the work of listening, and schizophrenic discourse: a reply to Beveridge and Brown.

A. W. Beveridge and K. Brown (Brain and Language, 24, 174-181) have criticized a study reported by R. Hoffman, L. Kirstein, S. Stopek, and D. Cicchetti (Brain and Language, 15, 207-233), which examined processing tasks imposed upon listeners by schizophrenic speech. The authors argue that our discourse analysis was not sufficiently objective since different discourse structures can at times be generated on the basis of a particular deviant speech segment. However, the analysis which we described does not purport to yield an "objective" structure of schizophrenic texts but rather attempts to reflect representations that individual listeners generate in processing speech; our model only requires that different interpretations of a particular segment generate different discourse structures. Deficiencies in hierarchical structure associated with schizophrenic speech increase processing requirements for listeners and may cause interpretive variability. Incoherence scores generated on the basis of our analysis were used to estimate the amount of extra "work of listening" that particular speech segments require. Because these incoherence scores were blindly and reliably determined, they can be used to make statistical inferences about the prevalence of structural deficiencies of schizophrenic speech compared to the speech of controls.

Humans↗

Nested logit model and maximum quasi-likelihood method: a flexible methodology for analyzing interregional migration patterns.

"A flexible methodology for explaining interregional migration in terms of relevant socioeconomic variables is set forth in this paper. Concerned with setting observation against theory, it makes use of (1) the nested logit model as a theoretical substratum, and (2) the maximum quasi-likelihood method as a method for parameter estimation and statistical inference. Application to interprovincial migration data over a 22-year period (1961-1962 to 1982-1983) shows that, in Canada, migration does not appear to serve well as an equalizer of economic opportunities."

Americas↗

MULCOX2: a general computer program for the Cox regression analysis of multivariate failure time data.

Multivariate failure time data is commonly encountered in biomedicine, because each study subject may experience multiple events or because there exists clustering of subjects such that failure times within the same cluster are correlated. MULCOX2 implements a general statistical methodology for analyzing such data. This approach formulates the marginal distributions of multivariate failure times by Cox proportional hazards models without specifying the nature of dependence among related failure times. The baseline hazard functions for the marginal models may be identical or different. A variety of statistical inference can be made regarding the effects of (possibly time-dependent) covariates on the failure rates. Although designed primarily for the marginal approach, MULCOX2 is general enough to implement several alternative methods. The program runs on any computer with a FORTRAN compiler. The running time is minimal. Two illustrative examples are provided.

Age Factors↗

Underestimation of Schistosoma mansoni prevalences.

Field methods used for detecting Schistosoma mansoni infection miss a certain proportion of the infections. Prevalences of infection appear to be far under-estimated by faecal screening, with important consequences for control and research. Sake de Vlos and Bruno Gryseels investigate how the number of undetected infections can be statistically inferred from population surveys.

Journal Article↗

Multiple comparison of dried BCG vaccines: stability at 37 degrees C and persistence of strains in the mouse spleen.

The Gabriel test was used for multiple comparison of the stability of vaccines stored at 37 degrees C over a 28 day period and of the long-term relative persistence capacity (RPC) in mice spleen (residual virulence) over a 547 day period following intravenous vaccination with 12 BCG dried products. Multiple comparisons were performed after rejected null hypotheses (Anova, Regranal), with ranked mean viable units 10(6) ml-1 estimates (VU) of vaccines and with ranked mean RPC values in spleen determined with five sampling and on nine autopsy days, respectively. Results showed that VU X 10(6) ml-1 values of the compared vaccines at day 0 varied between 1.1 and 27.0 X 10(6) ml-1 and formed two homogeneous subsets. The heat stability test showed that the VU X 10(6) ml-1 values of the vaccines decreased parallely but at day 28 only six vaccines showed a survival rate over 20%. The RPC model showed that the trends of early multiplication and of late persistence capacity depended on the i.v. BCG VU doses. The Regranal of late RPC indicated that the decrease of BCG VU in mice spleen from 84 to 547 days was parallel and that six strains persisted over 20% at day 360. The overall RPC on the nine autopsy days of the BCG strains was evaluated with Kendall concordance test. In contrast with pairwise comparison, the Gabriel test reduces the risk of type I error in statistical inference at the 5% experimental level and selects the homogeneous subsets of ranked parameter estimates of the compared products.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Animals↗

Analysis of variables of plasmid transformation of a bacterial vaccine: studies on recombinant BCG.

Stepwise regression analysis was applied to evaluate the strength order of the effect of five explanatory variables on the transformation of BCG substrains by electroporation with hybrid shuttle plasmid [pAL5000:pIJ666] and derived as YUB plasmids containing a kanamycin resistance selection marker. From 66 successful transformations, data of 42 transformations of the Pasteur 1172P2 BCG substrain are analysed. The estimated parameters in the multiple linear regression model show that the association of the explanatory variables with the explained variable, i.e. the efficiency of the transformation of BCG expressed in c.f.u./microgram DNA, in decreasing strength order is: concentration of the plasmid DNA; viability of the non-electroporated concentrated BCG suspensions; viability of the BCG cultures; age of the BCG cultures; and time constant of the electroporation. More extended analysis of other factors of the transformation will improve objective statistical inference regarding the biophysical and molecular biological interpretation of the transformation mechanism by electroporation of the different bacterial species. More precise understanding of optimal conditions of genetic transformation will be particularly important for developing recombinant BCG vaccines.

BCG Vaccine↗

Microcomputer analysis of cortical power spectrum: calibration and correlates of behavioral artifacts.

Cortical power spectrum (CPS) is a quantitative estimate of EEG spectral power density. The CPS provides suitably precise data for quantification and statistical inference compared to the qualitative evaluation of EGG when interpreted by clinicians or researchers. In the past decade, the CPS has been applied to the studies of cognitive functions, memory, psi phenomena, speech laterality, and states of consciousness including coma, sleep, anesthesia, pathophysiology and pain state. However, few systematic evaluations of CPS methodology have been reported, rendering cross-laboratory comparisons difficult and external validity of experimental results uncertain. This report first describes a calibration procedure employing a microcomputer system for measuring the functional relationship between input signals and output cortical powers. Second, we examine controlled behavioral artifact effects on the CPS. The behavioral artifacts observed in the CPS can provide a measurement anchor for less ambiguous interpretation of CPS experiments conducted in clinical or laboratory settings.

Cerebral Cortex↗

Algorithms for Bayesian background-subtracted Fourier darkfield imaging.

Formal consideration of prior information on the Fourier amplitude of background contrast in an image, using the same Bayesian principles of statistical inference which underlie thermodynamics, allows one to subtract background without favoring only selected parts of frequency space. Without the bias in frequency space which causes periodicity bleeding and mars literal interpretation of Fourier-filtered images, the shape transform of aperiodic objects can be left intact. Algorithms for Bayesian background subtraction from one- and two-dimensional images are presented which further consider, in ad hoc fashion, one's uncertainty about background amplitude. The results help explain the reported success of Fourier truncation, and indicate that Bayesian background-subtracted images can minimize root-mean-square image error, as well as periodicity bleeding, in comparison to Fourier-filtered and Fourier-truncated alternatives.

Algorithms↗

Assessing the risk of birth defects associated with antiretroviral exposure during pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine teratogenic risk of antiretroviral (ARV) drugs. STUDY DESIGN: The Antiretroviral Pregnancy Registry (APR) monitors prenatal exposures to ARV drugs and pregnancy outcome through a prospective exposure-registration cohort. Statistical inference uses exact methods for binomial proportions. RESULTS: Through July 2003, APR has monitored 3583 live births exposed to ARV. Among 1391 first trimester exposures, there were 38 birth defects, prevalence of 2.7% (95% CI 1.9-3.7), not significantly higher than the CDC's population surveillance rate, 3.1 per 100 live births (95% CI 3.1-3.2). For lamivudine, nelfinavir, nevirapine, stavudine, and zidovudine, sufficient numbers of live births (>200) following first-trimester exposures have been monitored to allow detection of a 2-fold increase in risk of birth defects overall; no increases have been detected. CONCLUSION: APR data demonstrate no increase in prevalence of birth defects overall or among women exposed to lamivudine, nelfinavir, nevirapine, stavudine, and zidovudine.

Abnormalities, Drug-Induced↗

Characterization of macromolecular heterogeneity by equilibrium sedimentation techniques.

New graphical procedures have been developed to investigate the heterogeneity of protein preparations using sedimentation equilibrium. The heterogeneous systems that can be studied include self-associating systems contaminated by incompetent monomer, self-associating systems contaminated by non-dissociating oligomer and simple non-interacting monomer-oligmer disperse systems. The new procedures are based on the concentration dependence of the apparent association constants estimated by a non-linear least square fitting program (NONLIN), on the assumption of conservation of mass during sedimentation and on the applications of several standard techniques for statistical inferences of NONLIN estimations. The procedures outlined here can detect various types of heterogeneity, discriminate amongst different types of heterogeneity, estimate the amount of contaminant causing heterogeneity and determine the true equilibrium constant of the self-associating components. The procedures appear to be sensitive, accurate and easily applicable when tested using both protein samples and computer simulated data.

Attention↗

Pharmacokinetic and bioequivalence evaluation of two formulations of 100 mg trimebutine maleate (Recutin and Polybutin) in healthy male volunteers using the LC-MS/MS method.

BACKGROUND: Trimebutine maleate is a prokinetic agent that acts directly on the smooth muscle of the GI tract. A bioequivalence (BE) study of 2 oral formulations of 100 mg trimebutine maleate (TMB) was carried out in 24 healthy male Korean volunteers according to a crossover-randomized design. METHODS: Subjects were given a single dose of 2 100 mg tablets of each formulation. The test and reference formulations were Recutin (Hutax Co., South Korea) and Polybutin (Samil Co., South Korea), respectively. Each set of tablets was administered with 240 ml of water to subjects after 10 h overnight fasting on 2 treatment days separated by a 1 week washout period. After dosing, serial blood samples were collected for a period of 36 h. Plasma was analyzed for the main metabolite of TMB, N-monodesmethyl trimebutine (nor-TMB), by a validated LC with MS/MS detection capacity for nor-TMB in the range 5-1500 ng/ml, with a lower limit of quantification (LLOQ) of 5 ng/ml. Several pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters (including AUC(t), AUC(infinity), C(max), T(max), T(1/2), and K(e)) were determined from the plasma concentrations of nor-TMB of both formulations. AUC(t), AUC(infinity), and C(max) were tested for BE after log-transformation of the data. RESULTS: No significant difference was found based on ANOVA; 90% confidence intervals (98.98%112.03% for AUC(t); 98.60%-113.20% for AUC(infinity); 90.85%-107.87% for C(max)) for the test and reference were found within KFDA acceptance range of 80-125%. CONCLUSIONS: Based on these statistical inferences, it was concluded that Recutin is bioequivalent to Polybutin and can be used interchangeably in a clinical setting.

Adult↗

A family of evolution-entropy hybrid methods for ranking protein residues by importance.

In order to identify the amino acids that determine protein structure and function it is useful to rank them by their relative importance. Previous approaches belong to two groups; those that rely on statistical inference, and those that focus on phylogenetic analysis. Here, we introduce a class of hybrid methods that combine evolutionary and entropic information from multiple sequence alignments. A detailed analysis in insulin receptor kinase domain and tests on proteins that are well-characterized experimentally show the hybrids' greater robustness with respect to the input choice of sequences, as well as improved sensitivity and specificity of prediction. This is a further step toward proteome scale analysis of protein structure and function.

Amino Acid Sequence↗