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Overexpression of phosphorylated histone H3 is an indicator of poor prognosis in gastric adenocarcinoma patients.

Ki-67 immunostaining is commonly used for assessing cell proliferation, but studies of its use as a prognostic indicator have revealed discordant results in gastric cancer patients. Recently, antibodies for phosphorylated histone H3 have been used to identify dividing cells because of its precise overexpression in mitosis. The authors tested the hypothesis that phosphorylated histone H3 overexpression might be a good prognostic indicator for gastric cancer patients by conducting an immunohistochemical comparison with Ki-67 in gastric cancer samples. One hundred twenty-two surgically resected primary cases were selected and histologically categorized in accordance with Lauren's classification. No correlation was found between phosphorylated histone H3 and Ki-67 regarding overexpression. However, correlations between phosphorylated histone H3 overexpression and clinicopathologic variables were noted for histologic type (intestinal type predominant in high labeling indices [LIs], defined as over the value of the 75th percentile; P<0.01), vessel invasion (positive in high LIs; P=0.05), and lymph node metastasis (positive in high LIs; P=0.04). With regard to Ki-67 overexpression, no correlation was evident with the clinicopathologic variables except histologic type (intestinal type predominant; P=0.05). By the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test, cases overexpressing phosphorylated histone H3 showed a poorer prognosis than cases with low expression (P<0.01). In contrast, Ki-67 expression did not influence prognosis. Multivariate analyses indicated phosphorylated histone H3 overexpression to be an independent prognostic factor, together with lymphatic invasion and venous invasion (P<0.01). In conclusion, it seems likely that phosphorylated histone H3 plays an important role in the prognosis of gastric cancer, and its immunohistochemical investigation is useful for the prediction of prognosis in gastric cancer.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Quality of life and prognosis among survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We reviewed the topic of quality of life and prognosis of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors, focusing on more recent developments. RECENT FINDINGS: In 2003 to 2004, published experiences from Canada, the United States, and Europe indicate that the quality of life among out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors is acceptable and that prognosis may be improving over time. However, a minority of survivors has substantial neurologic impairment that adversely affects the quality of life and prognosis. Recent investigations indicate that bystander CPR, early defibrillation by nontraditional first responders, and active induction of hypothermia offer potential means to improve functional outcomes that may translate into better quality of life and prognosis. Acute treatment of the underlying etiology and effective secondary prevention also can benefit the out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivor, although only a portion who could benefit appear to receive these therapies. SUMMARY: The optimal strategy for improving long-term outcomes requires a multifaceted, integrative approach that begins with prehospital care and extends to secondary prevention.

Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation↗

Are anti-Chlamydia pneumoniae antibodies prognosis indicators for peripartum cardiomyopathy?

BACKGROUND: The authors recently pointed out an epidemiological relation between specific anti-Chlamydia pneumoniae antibodies and peripartum cardiomyopathy in Niamey (Republic of Niger). DESIGN: In this work, they studied the prognosis value of such specific antibodies. METHODS: The serological status for specific IgG, IgA and IgM anti-C. pneumoniae antibodies of 50 African women (age, mean+/-SD = 30.2 +/- 7 years) hospitalized in Niamey, with peripartum cardiomyopathy, was determined at the time of diagnosis. The diagnosis was categorized as 'complete remission' (13 patients, age = 29.3 +/- 6.5 years, observation delay = 27 months), 'incomplete remission' (27 patients, age = 30.7 +/- 7.6 years, observation delay = 14 months) and 'deceased' (10 patients, age = 30.3 +/- 6.2 years, observation delay = 13 months). The control group comprised 27 African women (age = 25.2 +/- 4.6 years), living in the same area. The Mann-Whitney and Fisher's exact tests were used for the statistical comparison. RESULTS: The dilution of IgG specific anti-C. pneumoniae antibodies was higher (P = 0.047) in the 'incomplete remission' compared with 'complete remission'. The dilution of IgA specific anti-C. pneumoniae antibodies was higher (P = 0.033) in the patients with a severe evolution ('deceased' + 'incomplete remission') compared with 'complete remission'. There was no significant difference between patients in 'complete remission' compared with 'controls'. CONCLUSIONS: At the time of peripartum cardiomyopathy diagnosis the specific IgG and IgA anti-C. pneumoniae antibodies are of prognosis value: a high dilution is more often associated with a poor prognosis. This is the first identified prognosis factor during the precocious evolution of peripartum cardiomyopathy.

Adult↗

Clinical factors that influence the prognosis of facial nerve paralysis and the magnitudes of influence.

OBJECTIVE: To show the significance of various factors when predicting the outcome of facial nerve paralysis. DESIGN: Retrospective chart review. SETTING: Nihon University Itabashi Hospital in Tokyo. SUBJECTS: Four hundred sixty-seven patients with facial paralysis who visited the hospital within 14 days of disease onset. METHODS: The failure rate of complete recovery was studied for each of these nine factors: sex, age, varicella-zoster virus (VZV) infection as the cause of paralysis, initial severity of paralysis, number of days from onset of paralysis to the beginning of medical treatment, nerve excitability test (NET), stapedial reflex, lacrimal secretion, and severity of facial paralysis 1 month after onset. These factors were analyzed by logistic regression. RESULTS: Logistic regression clarified that age, VZV infection, NET response, loss of stapedial reflex, and the state of paralysis 1 month after the onset had statistical significance for the prognosis of facial paralysis. The poor recovery rate was greater than 50% in the patients who exhibited abnormal responses on NET or failed to attain recovery to grade III or better during the 1-month period after the onset of paralysis. These findings were therefore considered as high risk factors for the prognosis. The poor recovery rate was between 25% and 50% in patients who were 50 years or older or whose initial grading of paralysis was V or worse. These findings were classified as moderate risk factors. Patients with VZV-caused paralysis and loss of stapedial reflex had poor recovery rates of below 25%, and these were classified as low risk factors. CONCLUSION: It is possible to predict the prognosis of facial paralysis on the basis of several clinical findings. NET response, severe initial paralysis, age 50 years or older, and, as a second-stage factor, severity of facial paralysis 1 month after the onset were found to be especially important factors for predicting the prognosis of facial paralysis.

Adult↗

Prognosis after hepatic resection for stage IVA hepatocellular carcinoma: a need for reclassification.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the prognosis of the four categories of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) classified as stage IVA in the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification of the International Union Against Cancer (UICC) is homogeneous. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Hepatic resection has been proposed as the treatment of choice for patients with TNM stage IVA HCC, which consists of four different categories. It is unknown whether the prognosis of the four categories of patients is homogeneous. METHODS: Clinicopathologic and follow-up data of 106 patients with resection of stage IVA HCC from 1989 to 2000 were prospectively collected. Survival results of the four categories of stage IVA patients were compared. RESULTS: Among stage IVA patients, survival was significantly worse in those with tumors involving a major branch of the portal or hepatic veins than in those with tumors invading adjacent organs, bilobar multiple tumors, or perforated visceral peritoneum. There were no significant differences in survival among the latter three groups. By Cox regression analysis, invasion of the portal or hepatic veins and presence of cirrhosis were independent adverse prognostic factors of overall survival among stage IVA patients, and invasion of the portal or hepatic veins was the only significant adverse prognostic factor of disease-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: The prognosis of the four categories of patients with stage IVA HCC under the current UICC TNM staging was not homogeneous. A refined classification of stage IV HCC is needed to take into consideration the worse prognosis associated with tumor invasion of a major branch of the portal or hepatic veins.

Analysis of Variance↗

The prognosis of occupational contact dermatitis in 2004.

The prognosis of occupational contact dermatitis (OCD) takes into account the extent of healing, effect on quality of life and employment, and financial costs for both the individual and the wider community. We reviewed 15 studies published between 1958 and 2002, reporting the complete clearance of dermatitis (range of 18-72%). 9 of the 15 studies reported a clearance rate of between 18 and 40%. Improvement was reported as an outcome in 3 studies between 1991 and 2002 (range of 70-84%). A number of common variables were identified as of possible influence. These include age, sex, atopy, patient knowledge, disease aetiology, duration of symptoms and job change; clinical, financial and social issues are also described. All of these factors need to be considered when managing a patient with OCD. Improved patient knowledge and early diagnosis may be associated with improved prognosis, whereas job change does not make a significant difference. Some patients will develop persistent post-occupational dermatitis, which has important implications for prognosis and workers' compensation. Only a small proportion of eligible patients receive workers' compensation, even though financially supported healing time soon after diagnosis may result in an improved prognosis.

Cost of Illness↗

Prognosis of contact dermatitis in epoxy resin workers.

Between January 1993 and February 2002, 40 of 1354 (3%) workers who attended a tertiary referral occupational dermatology clinic were diagnosed with allergic contact dermatitis (ACD) from epoxy resin systems (ER). 20 of these patients were followed up at least 2 years post-diagnosis to establish prognosis. Characteristics collected at diagnosis, including age, atopic status and severity, were compared between the follow-up and not followed-up groups. No significant differences were observed. A clinician contacted patients and administered a telephone questionnaire based on variables identified from the literature, which were considered of importance for prognosis. All patients reported improvement of their skin condition since diagnosis. 12 of the 20 {60%[95% confidence interval (CI) 56-94%]} patients had applied for workers' compensation; all of these claims were successful. 16 had ceased working with ER. Of these, 9 [56% (95% CI 29-80%)] reported complete healing and 7 [44% (95% CI 19-70%)] reported ongoing dermatitis. Although no conclusions could be drawn because of the small sample size, factors that may be associated with a poor prognosis were age, atopy, duration of symptoms and severity at diagnosis. The prognosis of ACD from ER is not always favourable, even if a worker ceases exposure.

Adult↗

Ascertaining prognosis for breast cancer in node-negative patients with innovative survival analysis.

Clinical decisions to administer adjuvant systemic therapy to women with early breast cancer require knowledge about baseline prognosis, which is only assessable in the absence of such adjuvant treatment, which most patients currently do receive. The Cox model is the standard tool for assessing the effect of prognostic factors; however, there may be substantive differences in the estimated prognosis obtained by the Cox model rather than a log-normal model. For more than 50 years, clinical breast cancer data for cohorts of patients have supported the choice of a log-normal model. The prognostic impact of model type is examined here for a cohort of breast cancer patients, only 7% of whom received adjuvant systemic therapy. We quantitated prognosis utilizing Kaplan-Meier, Cox, and log-normal survival analyses for 415 consecutive T1-T3, M0, histologically node-negative patients who were operated on for primary breast cancer at Women's College Hospital between 1977 and 1986. Recurrence outside the breast for disease-free interval (DFI) and breast cancer death for disease-specific survival (DSS) were the events of interest. The patient follow-up for these investigations was 96% complete: a median 8 years for those surviving. Factors used in these investigations were age, weight, tumor size, histology, tumor grade, nuclear grade, lymphovascular invasion, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), combined ER/PR receptor, overexpression of neu oncoprotein, DNA ploidy, S-phase, and adjuvant therapy. In our study we found evidence against the Cox assumption of proportional hazards, which is not an assumption for the log-normal approach. We identified patients with greater than 96% and others with less than 40% DSS at 10 years. The difference in prognosis determined by using the Cox versus the log-normal model ranged for DFI from 1.2% to 8.1%, and for DSS from 0.4% to 6.2%; interestingly, the difference was more substantial for patients with a high risk of recurrence or death from breast cancer. Estimated prognoses may differ substantially by survival analysis model type, by amounts that might affect patient management, and we think that the log-normal model has a major advantage over the Cox model for survival analysis.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Epidemiological analysis of prognosis of 496 Japanese patients with progressive systemic sclerosis (SSc). Scleroderma Research Committee Japan.

For the first time, we performed an epidemiological study of SSc in Japan to study the factors influencing prognosis, survival rate and cause of death of Japanese SSc patients and to compare our data with those from foreign countries. Prognosis of 496 Japanese patients with progressive systemic sclerosis (SSc) was analyzed based on clinical data described in case cards provided by the members of the Scleroderma Research Committee of the Japanese Ministry of Health and Welfare. The essential observation period was from 5 to 20 years, at ending in 1994. Ninety patients died (males 11, females 79). The age of onset of the deceased patients was significantly higher than that of surviving patients (deceased, 45.6 yrs, surviving 41.3 yrs). Statistically significant factors for a poor prognosis were as follows: Barnett type III > type II > type I, positive for anti-Scl-70 antibody, negative for anti-centromere antibody. The survival rate at 5 years after the onset of the disease was 0.937, followed by 0.82 at 10 years, 0.567 at 20 years and 0.40 at 30 years after the onset. Sex was not a predictor for prognosis, although male patients died at an earlier stage of the disease. The most common causes of death were heart failure, pulmonary insufficiency, lung fibrosis, and renal failure. Twenty-four patients had cancer of which 13 were lung cancers. The current status of the survival rate and prognostic factors of 496 Japanese SSc patients is summarized. In future, more well-controlled studies using the same criteria should be performed for the better understanding and management of SSc.

Adult↗

Lack of evidence of association of p21WAF1/CIP1 polymorphism with lung cancer susceptibility and prognosis in Taiwan.

An association between the Arg allele of the p21WAF1/CIP1 codon 31 polymorphism and lung cancer has been reported. However, the genotype distribution of the p21 codon 31 polymorphism, as well as the association of this polymorphism with lung cancer risk and prognosis, remain undefined in the Taiwanese population. Therefore, we investigated the genotype distribution of the p21 codon 31 polymorphism in 155 lung cancer patients and 189 non-cancer controls. The genotype frequencies in the Taiwanese non-cancer controls were 0.51 (Ser) and 0.49 (Arg). Chi2 analysis indicated significant differences in Taiwanese genotype distribution of p21 from those reported for Swedes (P=0.001), Caucasians (P=0.001), Indians (P=0.001), and African-Americans (P=0.001). However, our data did not demonstrate an association of the Arg allele of the p21 polymorphism with lung cancer risk in Taiwan. Lung cancer patients with Ser/Arg and Arg/Arg genotypes were at a nonsignificant 1.15-fold increased risk of lung cancer when compared to individuals with the Ser/Ser genotype (95%CI, 0.70-1.86). In addition, although p21 is a downstream target of p53, we found no significant correlation of the p21 polymorphism with the p53 polymorphism and p53 gene mutation in lung cancer patients. We further investigated the association of the p21 polymorphism with prognosis in 154 lung cancer patients. Patients with the Ser/Ser genotype tended to have a poorer prognosis than those with the Ser/Arg and Arg/Arg genotypes (P=0.097, by the log rank test). Our data suggest that the p21 codon 31 polymorphism may not play a significant role in cancer susceptibility and the prognosis of lung cancer patients in Taiwan.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Electrophysiological prognosis in facial paralysis.

Electrical prognosis was evaluated in 79 patients with facial paralysis, of spontaneous (n = 43) or post-traumatic origin (n = 36). Three electrophysiological tests were employed jointly: detection, stimulation and stimulodetection. The patients were reviewed at least 1 year later, in order to appreciate the agreement between the electrical prognosis and the clinical outcome (satisfactory or not). Those patients with a favourable prognosis on electrical testing had in the majority of cases a satisfactory outcome. The accuracy of the prognosis was also better in cases of early examination (within 15 days) and partial paralysis.

Adolescent↗

Mental health nurses' and psychiatrists' views on the prognosis of schizophrenia and depression: an exploratory, qualitative investigation.

This study uses a qualitative methodology to explore mental health literacy, specifically perceptions of prognosis, which is typically investigated with a quantitative, questionnaire-based approach. Two vignettes--one of a person with schizophrenia and one with depression--were shown to three mental health nurses and three psychiatrists. During semi-structured, open-ended interviews, they were asked to discuss their thoughts about the prognosis for the patient presented in each vignette. Participants tended to use the terms 'prognosis' and 'outcome' interchangeably. Psychiatrists tended to be more guarded in determining a prognosis than nurses. Both groups emphasized the importance of clinical experience in formulating views. However, nurses also discussed the role of the multidisciplinary team, whilst psychiatrists emphasized their reliance upon the scientific literature in shaping opinions. Participants identified information relevant for incorporating into future vignettes, to allow more informed research into literacy. The results of quantitative mental health literacy research should be interpreted with caution. Simplifying responses to allow comparative analysis is necessary, but masks more complex and important interpretations. Further qualitative research is recommended, the results of which can inform more comprehensive quantitative studies in the area.

Adult↗

Long-term prognosis and prognostic factors of liver cirrhosis in the 1980s.

The prognosis of 174 patients with cirrhosis during the 1980s (1981-89) was analysed. The estimated survival rates were 87.3% in 3 years and 68.5% in 5 years. During the follow-up period, 58 patients died: 20 of hepatocellular carcinoma (37.7%); 11 of hepatic failure (20.8%); eight of gastrointestinal bleeding (15.1%); and 14 of other causes (26.4%). Multivariate analysis revealed that serum albumin, indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min and white blood cell count were significantly associated with prognosis. The results were also compared to our previous study covering the 1970s (1971-80). The estimated survival rate was significantly improved compared to that during the 1970s (54.3% in 5 years, P < 0.001). In the 1980s, hepatic failure mortality significantly decreased (P < 0.01), and non-liver-related mortality significantly increased (P < 0.05). In summary, the prognosis of cirrhosis has improved in recent years, and changes of death cause and prognostic factors were observed. It was concluded that to evaluate the severity and prognosis of cirrhosis, new indices and appropriate classification were necessary.

Adult↗

A study on long-term prognosis of epilepsy.

Of 631 epileptic patients examined in our seizure clinic in the period between January 1961 and December 1966, 97 (15.4%) have been treated until September 1976, when the long-term prognosis was evaluated. The "good prognosis (completely controlled)" were found in 59% of grand mal, in 55% of focal motor seizure, in 42% of psychomotor and in 33% of the mixed seizure in which more than two types of seizures were combined; in 49% (48 cases) on the average. Seventy-nine percent of the cases of the mixed seizure were combined with psychomotor seizures. In the psychomotor and the mixed seizure groups, the presence of personality disorders tended to lead them to "poor prognosis" which meant that the seizures were not well controlled. Twelve cases manifested psychotic (paranoid) state: a schizophrenic, a case with chronic paranoid-hallucinatory state, and 10 patients with episodic paranoid state, whose episodes may be identified with the paranoid reactions. Out of the 49 "poor prognosis" cases, 17 (35%) had had seizure-free periods for more than three years in the past course of their treatment.

Adult↗

Long-term prognosis of behavior therapy in practice.

A prognosis study was carried out on 30 cases of patients treated with behavior therapy. The treatments, which took more than three years before the study, averaged four years and eight months. The results are as follows: (1) The improvement achieved by therapy was maintained or further improved in 29 cases during the post-therapeutic period of more than three years. (2) The prognosis largely depended on the grade of improvement at the end of therapy. A complete disappearance of symptoms at the end of therapy did not necessarily mean that it was a fair prognosis. (3) There was no relation between the prognosis and the length of history of illness or the situation of therapy terminated. (4) The impression is that long-term prognoses are different depending on the main symptoms.

Adolescent↗

Kinetic analysis of prostatic volume in patients with stage D prostatic cancer treated with LHRH analogues in relation to prognosis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical usefulness of the kinetic analysis of prostatic volume in the prognosis of patients with Stage D prostatic cancer treated using luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone (LHRH) analogues. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The reduction of prostatic volume was monitored in 12 patients with Stage D prostatic cancer using transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS) after treatment with LHRH analogues. Data obtained from the kinetic analysis of prostatic volume were compared with the prognosis. RESULTS: All the patients having a reduction time, tau (derived from the kinetic analysis of prostatic volume change with time), of less than 41 days had neither clinical progression within 15 months nor death caused by prostatic cancer during the 5-year follow-up, while the disease-specific 5-year survival rate in patients having a tau of greater than 42 days was as low as 17%. The difference in both the progression and disease-specific survival between these groups was statistically significant (P < 0.05) despite the limited number of patients. In contrast, conventional prognostic parameters showed no significant predictability for prognosis with the exception of prostatic acid phosphatase, which correlated strongly with the occurrence of progression within 15 months. CONCLUSION: The kinetic analysis of the change of prostatic volume using TRUS shows promise in the prognosis of the patients with Stage D prostatic cancer.

Aged↗

Some aspects of prognosis in the epilepsies: a review.

The traditional view that epilepsy is usually a chronic condition in which the prognosis is consistently poor has been challenged in the last 2 decades. Evidence from population-based studies and from intervention studies in newly diagnosed patients has produced a wealth of information of a much better prognosis. It is now generally accepted that as many as 70-80% of people developing seizures for the first time will eventually achieve terminal remission, whereas the remaining 20-30% will continue to have recurrent seizures despite all treatment. Despite the high recurrence rate after a first epileptic seizure, remission usually occurs early and for most persons, epilepsy is a short-lived condition. The exact role of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) in this good outcome, however, remains open to debate, because the natural history of the untreated condition is largely unknown. In this article, factors that may influence the prognosis of the epilepsies, including the problems of diagnosis, are reviewed. Special emphasis is given to the issue of spontaneous remission and the question of prognosis of different epileptic syndromes.

Anticonvulsants↗

Prognosis of epilepsy: a review and further analysis of the first nine years of the British National General Practice Study of Epilepsy, a prospective population-based study.

PURPOSE: To understand the prognosis of newly diagnosed epilepsy to provide rational therapy and advice for patients and their physicians. METHODS: The National General Practice Study of Epilepsy (NGPSE) is the first large population-based study that has assessed the prognosis of patients with newly diagnosed epilepsy prospectively over a prolonged period. We review the previously published data on the prognosis of epilepsy after 9 years of follow-up. One thousand ninety-one patients with newly diagnosed or suspected epilepsy who were attending 1 of 275 general practices throughout the United Kingdom between 1984 and 1987 were ascertained. Cases in this study were defined as the occurrence of one or more seizures, including provoked seizures. Prognosis in terms of remission of seizures, and mortality, was analyzed in the patients who were classified 6 months after recruitment as having definite epilepsy (n = 564) or possible/probable epilepsy (n = 228). RESULTS: Only 33 patients were completely lost to follow-up. After 9 years, 86% [95% confidence interval (CI) 81, 90] of patients with definite epilepsy had achieved a remission of 3 years, and 68% (CI 61, 75), had achieved a remission of 5 years. For the complete cohort, with possible/probable epilepsy included, the rates increased to 87% (CI 83, 91) for 3-year remission and 71% (CI 65, 77) for 5-year remission. The proportion of patients with definite epilepsy who were still in remission at 9-year follow-up (terminal remission) was 68% (CI 62, 74) for 3-year remission and 54% (CI 48, 60) for 5-year remission. When stratified by etiology, the proportions achieving 5-year remission by 9 years was 69% (CI 60, 77) for idiopathic seizures, and 61% (CI 46, 75) for remote symptomatic epilepsy. Age and seizure type had small effects on the chances of achieving remission, with children experiencing slightly lower rates than older patients, and partial seizures having lower remission rates than generalized seizures. The overall standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for patients with definite or possible/probable epilepsy was 2.5 (CI 2.1, 2.9), and 3.0 (CI 2.5, 3.7) for patients who were classified as having definite epilepsy. The SMR for patients with idiopathic epilepsy was 1.6 (CI 1.0, 2.4), for those with remote symptomatic epilepsy it was 4.3 (CI 3.3, 5.5), and for those with acute symptomatic epilepsy it was 2.9 (CI 1.7, 4.5). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, most patients with epilepsy will enter remission; however, there is a higher than expected risk of death, especially in those with symptomatic epilepsy.

Actuarial Analysis↗