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A guide to comparing health care expenditures in the 1996 MEPS to the 1987 NMES.

Substantial changes in the organization, delivery, and financing of health care over the last decade, combined with data collection and methodological improvements in the 1996 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), pose special challenges in comparing expenditure estimates in MEPS with those in the 1987 National Medical Expenditure Survey (NMES). The 1987 NMES used charges as its fundamental expenditure concept, whereas the 1996 MEPS used actual payments as its expenditure measure. In spite of these differences, researchers and policymakers will want to be able to analyze trends in health care expenditures using these two surveys. We discuss these issues in detail and present a simple, straightforward adjustment method that can be applied to the 1987 NMES public use expenditure data to improve comparability to the MEPS. We base this adjustment method on an analysis of provider-reported payment data collected in NMES. We present several examples of the application of this method that illustrate the importance of the adjustments for analyses of trends in health care spending.

Actuarial Analysis↗

The income elasticity of health care spending. A comparison of parametric and nonparametric approaches.

Parametric and nonparametric estimation techniques are compared in estimating the relationship between income and health expenditures with implications for the reliability of past estimates of health expenditure income elasticity. Relative to a more flexible nonparametric approach, a parametric approach can generate over or underestimates in health expenditure. Three time series cross-section data sets are used: (a) United States state level data from 1980-1997, (b) Canadian province level data from 1965-2000, and (c) national level data for 16 OECD countries from 1960-1997. Relative to ordinary least squares, locally weighted scatterplot smoothing allows for variability in the income elasticity of health spending as income varies. Generally, results of the latter suggest that income elasticities are higher at low-income levels and lower at higher income levels. As well, these results confirm that income elasticity does vary by level of analysis with international income elasticities being generally larger than national or regional studies.

Journal Article↗

Substitutability of a process innovation in medical diagnosis: some empirical results.

The health sectors in many countries have been increasing in relative size, and medical innovations have been identified by some as a factor contributing to the rise in health expenditures. This paper begins by reviewing the various approaches that economists have employed to determine the connection, if any, between rising health expenditures and new medical technologies. It is then argued that another way to approach the issue is to determine if innovations have substituted for previously existing technologies. Thus this method cannot be applied to product innovations: it is restricted to process innovations. This procedure is applied to the innovation of fibre optic colonoscopy, a procedure for diagnosing diseases/conditions in the lower gastrointestinal tract. The data relate to private medical practice in Australia which operates on a fee-for-service basis. The empirical results indicate no evidence of substitution of the 'new' for the 'old' technology. Thus, there is some reason to believe that this innovation will have contributed to rising health expenditures for diagnosis of the lower gastrointestinal tract. The paper concludes by considering policy options that could address the issue.

Australia↗

Ageing and healthcare costs in Australia: a case of policy-based evidence?

There have been dire predictions that population ageing will result in skyrocketing health costs. However, numerous studies have shown that the effect of population ageing on health expenditure is likely to be small and manageable. Pessimism about population ageing is popular in policy debates because it fits with ideological positions that favour growth in the private sector and seek to contain health expenditure in the public sector. It might also distract attention from the need to evaluate the appropriateness and effectiveness of current patterns of care. Pessimistic scenarios have stifled debate and limited the number of policy options considered. Policy making in Australia would be improved if we took a more realistic view of the effect of population ageing on health expenditure.

Australia↗

[National Health Insurance expenditures in 1994 for thirty long-term illness].

OBJECTIVE: The health insurance system carried out a survey in 1994 on the illnesses included in the regulations on the thirty long-term illnesses (ALD 30) exempt from patients' contributions to the costs of medical treatment. One of the objectives of this study was to provide the average amount, per patient with these illnesses, of the total expenditures of payments in kind reimbursed by the health insurance system and their distribution by principal expenditure post and by illness. METHODOLOGY: A sample of 67,828 patients was randomly selected at the rate of 2% of the total patients under ALD 30 in November 1994. The expenditures reimbursed over the course of June through November 1994 were collected from a computerized petition on the Health Insurance Information System. RESULTS: The average annual cost per patient within the regulation is estimated at 35,991 FF (+/- 692). Close to half of these expenditures correspond to public hospital stays. The annual expenditures extrapolated from the total ALD 30 is estimated at 143.7 billion FF, or 35% of the total expenditures of payments in kid reimbursed by the health insurance system. "Mental illnesses" represent the largest portion of these expenditures given to ALD 30 (23%). CONCLUSIONS: The survey allows for an evaluation of the average cost per patient covered 100% by the health insurance system under ALD 30. For the majority of these illnesses, these evaluations are the only benchmarks currently available.

Chronic Disease↗

Effect of antihypertensive formulation on health service expenditures.

A major barrier to the management of hypertension is the extent to which patients comply with the treatment regimen. Herein we report the findings of a retrospective analysis designed to discern the relationship between antihypertensive formulation, regimen compliance and the utilization of health care services. Data for this analysis were derived from the state of South Carolina's Medicaid computer archive. The study population consisted of 1,000 randomly selected beneficiaries initially prescribed one of the following antihypertensive regimens as monotherapy: atenolol (daily); captopril (twice daily); oral clonidine (twice daily); transdermal clonidine (once a week); diltiazem (twice daily); enalapril (twice daily); metoprolol (twice daily); prazosin (twice daily); terazosin (daily); and verapamil-SR (daily). Multivariate regression analysis was used to determine the incremental influence of selected demographic characteristics, utilization of medical services prior to diagnosis for hypertension, initial antihypertensive medication, medication possession ratio for antihypertensive therapy, and the number of maintenance medications for disease state processes other than hypertension on post-period health care expenditure. Results indicate that patients initially prescribed antihypertensive medication requiring daily or weekly administration experience infrequent changes in their therapeutic regimen, far less use of concomitant therapy for blood pressure control, an increased utilization of antihypertensive medication, and a decrease in the use and cost of physician, hospital and laboratory services.

Aged↗

A cell based approach to modelling public expenditure.

The paper examines the use of a cell based model to analyse the effects of demographic change on the level and distribution of public expenditure. The nature and advantages of a cell based model for this purpose are described. The level and distribution of the key components of welfare state expenditure--health, education, social security--and of direct taxes, is examined for the base year of 1985. The net transfer of resources is compared to the distribution of income across cells. The effect of demographic change on the level and distribution of health and education expenditure is analysed. Issues in the further development of this approach are then reviewed.

Adolescent↗

Determinants of hospital utilization: the situation in Israel and selected countries.

BACKGROUND: In 1995 hospital costs constituted about 42% of the health expenditures in Israel. Although this proportion remained stable over the last decade, hospital discharge rates per 1,000 population increased, while hospitalization days per 1,000 population and average length of stay declined. OBJECTIVE: To gain an insight into the forces behind these changes, we compared the trends in hospital utilization in Israel with those in 21 developed countries with available data. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Our data were derived from The "Hospitals and Day Care Units, 1995" report by the Health Information and Computer Services of the Israel Ministry of Health, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Health Data, 98. We examined the numbers of acute care hospital beds, of patients on dialysis and of doctors' consultations, health expenditures and age structure of the population in 1995 or closest year with available data, as well as changes in DRs, HDs and ALOS between 1976 and 1995. RESULTS: In Israel the DRs increased from 130 in 1976 to 177 in 1995 (36%), HDs declined from 992 to 818 (18%), and ALOS declined from 7.60 to 4.51 days (41%). Relative to other countries, in 1995 Israel had the lowest ALOS; low HDs similar to those in the UK, Portugal, Spain, the USA and Sweden; and intermediate DRs similar to those in Belgium, Germany, Sweden and Australia. The number of acute care beds per 1,000 population was directly related to HDs (r = 0.954, P = 0.000) and to DRs (r = 0.419, P = 0.052). Health expenditures (% of the gross national product) correlated with the number of patients on dialysis per 1,000,000 population (r = 0.743, P = 0.000). Between 1976 and 1995, HDs and ALOS declined in most countries, however the trends in DRs varied from an increase by 119% in the UK to a decline by 29% in Canada. CONCLUSIONS AND HYPOTHESES: The increase in DRs in Israel from 1976 to 1995 was shared by many but not all countries. This variability may be related to differences in trends in local practice norms and in available hospital beds. If the number of patients on dialysis is a valid index for use of expensive treatment modalities, the correlation of health expenditures with the number of patients on dialysis suggests that the use of expensive technology is a more important determinant of health care costs than the age of the population or hospital utilization. Since the use of expensive technology is highest during the first few days in hospital, decisions about health care policy should consider the possibility that the savings incurred by a further decline in HDs and ALOS may be offset by a possible increase in per diem hospital costs and in health care expenditures after discharge from hospital.

Australia↗

The role of marital status in health services expenditures for psychiatric outpatients.

This study tested the hypothesis that married psychiatric outpatients would have lower total health services expenditures than divorced or separated patients. Chart review of the 471 individuals attending an academic medical center outpatient psychiatric clinic during 1994 identified 131 married, 40 separated, and 93 divorced patients. Separated men had significantly higher average total charges ($16,890) than married ($5,279) or divorced ($5,539) men by one-way ANOVA (p < .05). The nonparametric Mann-Whitney test also showed that separated men had higher charges than married or divorced men. There were no differences between marital status groups for women.

Adolescent↗

The impact of substance abuse treatment modality on birth weight and health care expenditures.

During the 1990s, substance abuse treatment programs were developed for pregnant women to help improve infant birth outcomes, reduce maternal drug dependency and promote positive lifestyle changes. This study compared the relative impact of five treatment modalities--residential, outpatient, residential/outpatient, methadone and detoxification-only--on infant birth weight and perinatal health care expenditures for a sample of 445 Medicaid-eligible pregnant women who received treatment in Massachusetts between 1992 and 1997. Costs and outcomes were measured using the Addiction Severity Index and data from birth certificates, substance abuse treatment records and Medicaid claims. Multiple regression was used to control for intake differences between the groups. Results showed a near linear relationship between birth weight and amount of treatment received. Women who received the most treatment (the residential/outpatient group) delivered infants who were 190 grams heavier than those who received the least treatment (the detoxification-only group) for an additional cost of $17,211. Outpatient programs were the most cost-effective option, increasing birth weight by 139 grams over detoxification-only for an investment of only $1,788 in additional health care and treatment costs. A second regression using five intermediate treatment outcomes--prenatal care, weight gain, relapse, tobacco use and infection--suggested that increases in birth weight were due primarily to improved nutrition and reduced drug use, behaviors which are perhaps more easily influenced in residential settings.

Adult↗

Personal health care expenditures by state, selected years 1966-1978.

In 1966, spending for personal health care in the U.S. was $39 billion. By 1978, these expenditures had grown to $166 billion. Among regions and states, different patterns and levels of spending emerged, along with different rates of growth. Some of the highlights from the accompanying report which pinpoint personal health care spending differences among regions and states are listed below. In 1978, $745 per person was spent for personal health care services within the U.S. Massachusetts led the nation in spending with $935 per person. The lowest spending for personal health--$521 per capita--occurred in South Carolina. Expenditures for hospital care ranged from a high of $490 per capita in Massachusetts to a low of $197 per capita in Idaho, with the U.S. expenditure level at $337 per person.

Demography↗

[Market share of the for-profit and not-for-profit sector from health insurance expenditures].

AIM: The aim of the study is to analyze the market share of for-profit private and not-for-profit sector from the expenditures on medical services of the Hungarian National Health Insurance Fund (NHIF), to show its changes in the last years and to show on which field they can be found. DATA AND METHODS: The data derives from the financial database of the National Health Insurance Fund (NHIF) covering the period 1995-2002. The analysis includes the medical provisions (primary care, health visitors, dental care, out- and inpatient care, home care, kidney dialysis, CT-MRI). RESULTS: In 1995 only 6.91% (12.5 billions Ft) of total expenditure for medical services went to for-profit private providers. By 2002 the market share of private providers increased to 15.95% (78.5 billions Ft). During the same period we realized a dynamic increase in the market share of non-profit sector: from 1.04% in 1995 to 2.58% in 2002. The role of private providers is dominant in the case of general practitioners, dental care, transportation, kidney dialysis, CT/MRI and home care (home nursing). CONCLUSIONS: The financial data of the NHIF showed the dynamic increase of market share of for-profit private providers and non-profit sector in many field of health care, although they role in the two most important fields (out- and inpatient care) is still negligible.

Health Expenditures↗