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Contribution of obesity to hepatitis C-related fibrosis progression.

OBJECTIVE: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) disease progression is variable. Identification of factors predictive of rapid progression is an important goal for improving patient management. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive role of several variables, including some that are etiologically related to the nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) syndrome such us obesity, in fibrosis progression in both patients with elevated and normal transaminase levels. METHODS: A total of 114 chronic HCV-infected (HCV-RNA positive) patients were recruited prospectively between 2000 and 2001. All patients had at least one liver biopsy. The annual change in fibrosis stage (fibrosis progression rate) was assessed from the time of presumed infection (fibrosis = 0) among those who had only one biopsy (n = 97) or between two biopsies if these were available (n = 17). Based on published data, we arbitrarily defined a patient as a rapid progressor when the fibrosis progression rate was > 0.2 U/yr. Potential predictors of rapid progression were: age at infection and biopsy, sex, significant alcohol intake (> 50 g/day), risk factor of HCV acquisition (based on answers to a questionnaire), obesity (based on body mass index [BMI]), autoantibodies, iron overload (ferritin, transferrin saturation), diabetes, hyperlipidemia, anti-HBcore IgG, genotype, and viral load. RESULTS: The median fibrosis progression rate was 0.05 U/yr (range 0-1.58 yr). In all, 22 patients (19%) were rapid progressors. Variables associated with progression by multivariate analysis included: advanced age at infection (p = 0.0001), BMI > or = 25 (p = 0.01), and ALT > 1.5 times upper limit of normal (p = 0.01). Among patients with ALT > 1.5 times upper limit of normal, these variables were advanced age at infection, BMI > or = 25, diabetes and transferrin saturation > 45. Among those with normal ALT levels, only BMI > or = 30 was predictive of progression. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity, advanced age at infection, and elevated ALT levels predict rapid disease progression, suggesting that measures aimed at weight reduction may play a significant role in hepatitis C management. The natural history of hepatitis C is independent of the presence of autoimmunity markers.

Adult↗

Estimated prediagnosis radiological progression: an important tool for studying the effects of early disease modifying antirheumatic drug treatment in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if intrapatient comparisons between prediagnosis and subsequent radiological progression could be used to assess effects of DMARDs in an RA inception cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 149 non-randomised patients with newly diagnosed RA in four groups were analysed: patients treated with (a) methotrexate (n = 56); (b) sulfasalazine (n = 55); (c) auranofin (n = 19); and (d) controls who were poor treatment responders (n = 19). Radiographs were quantified using the Larsen erosion score. The prediagnosis radiological progression from the onset of RA symptoms to diagnosis was calculated and compared with the observed progression rate during the first year after diagnosis while receiving DMARD treatment. RESULTS: Mean (SD) disease duration from onset of symptoms until diagnosis was 6.7 (4.0) months. Mean (SD) baseline Larsen score was 13.2 (9.3), giving a mean (SD) estimated prediagnosis progression rate of 23.6 (12.4) Larsen score units/year. Control and auranofin groups showed radiological progression after diagnosis similar to the progression predicted by prediagnosis progression rates. Patients receiving methotrexate or sulfasalazine showed a marked reduction (71% and 73%, respectively; p<0.001) in radiographic progression compared with prediagnosis progression. CONCLUSIONS: Prediagnosis rates of radiological progression can be used quantitatively to obtain information on the potential efficacy of DMARDs, and indicate that methotrexate and sulfasalazine, but not auranofin, significantly retard radiographic damage in the first year after diagnosis.

Adult↗

Some dissociating factors in the analysis of structural and functional progressive damage in open-angle glaucoma.

AIM: To identify the presence, and origin, of any "dissociating factors" inherent to the techniques for evaluating progression that mask the relationship between structural and functional progression in open-angle glaucoma (OAG). METHODS: 23 patients (14 with OAG and 9 with ocular hypertension (OHT)) who had received serial Heidelberg Retina Tomograph (HRT II) and Humphrey Field Analyser (HFA) examinations for >or=5 years (mean 78.4 months (SD 9.5), range 60-101 months) were identified. Evidence of progressive disease was retrospectively evaluated in one eye of each patient using the Topographic Change Analysis (TCA) and Glaucoma Progression Analysis (GPA) for the HRT II and HFA, respectively. RESULTS: Six patients were stable by both techniques; four exhibited both structural and functional progression; seven exhibited structural progression, only, and six showed functional progression, only. Three types of dissociating factors were identified. TCA failed to identify progressive structural damage in the presence of advanced optic nerve head damage. GPA failed to identify progressive functional damage at stimulus locations, with sensitivities exhibiting test-retest variability beyond the maximum stimulus luminance of the perimeter, and where a perimetric learning effect was apparent. CONCLUSION: The three dissociating factors accounted for nine of the 13 patients who exhibited a lack of concordance between structural and functional progressive damage.

Aged↗

Progression of hepatic fibrosis in patients with hepatitis C: a prospective repeat liver biopsy study.

BACKGROUND: The natural history of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains uncertain. Previous data concerning rates of progression are from studies using estimated dates of infection and single liver biopsy scores. We prospectively studied the rate of progression of fibrosis in HCV infected patients by repeat liver biopsies without intervening treatment. PATIENTS: We studied 214 HCV infected patients (126 male; median age 36 years (range 5-8)) with predominantly mild liver disease who were prospectively followed without treatment and assessed for risk factors for progression of liver disease. Interbiopsy interval was a median of 2.5 years. Paired biopsies from the same patient were scored by the same pathologist. RESULTS: Seventy of 219 (33%) patients showed progression of at least 1 fibrosis point in the Ishak score; 23 progressed at least 2 points. Independent predictors of progression were age at first biopsy and any fibrosis on first biopsy. Factors not associated with progression were: necroinflammation, duration of infection, alcohol consumption, alanine aminotransferase levels, current or past hepatitis B virus infection, ferritin, HCV genotype, and steatosis or iron deposition in the initial biopsy. CONCLUSIONS: One third of patients with predominantly mild hepatitis C showed significant fibrosis progression over a median period of 30 months. Histologically, mild hepatitis C is a progressive disease. The overall rate of fibrosis progression in patients with hepatitis C was low but increased in patients who were older or had fibrosis on their index biopsy. These data suggest that HCV infection will place an increasing burden on health care services in the next 20 years.

Adolescent↗

Factors predicting progression of gastric intestinal metaplasia: results of a randomised trial on Helicobacter pylori eradication.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Gastric intestinal metaplasia (IM) is generally considered to be a precancerous lesion in the gastric carcinogenesis cascade. This study identified the risk factors associated with progression of IM in a randomised control study. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A total of 587 Helicobacter pylori infected subjects were randomised to receive a one week course of anti-Helicobacter therapy (omeprazole, amoxicillin, and clarithromycin (OAC)) or placebo. Subjects underwent endoscopy with biopsy at baseline and at five years. Severity of IM was graded according to the updated Sydney classification and progression was defined as worsening of IM scores at five years in either the antrum or corpus, or development of neoplasia. Backward stepwise multiple logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors associated with IM progression. RESULTS: Of 435 subjects (220 in the OAC and 215 in the placebo group) available for analysis, 10 developed gastric cancer and three had dysplasia. Overall progression of IM was noted in 52.9% of subjects. Univariate analysis showed that persistent H pylori infection, age >45 years, male subjects, alcohol use, and drinking water from a well were significantly associated with IM progression. Duodenal ulcer and OAC treatment were associated with a reduced risk of histological progression. Progression of IM was more frequent in those with more extensive and more severe IM at baseline. With multiple logistic regression, duodenal ulcer (odds ratio (OR) 0.23 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.09-0.58)) was found to be an independent protective factor against IM progression. Conversely, persistent H pylori infection (OR 2.13 (95% CI 1.41-3.24)), age >45 years (OR 1.92 (95% CI 1.18-3.11)), alcohol use (OR 1.67 (95% CI 1.07-2.62)), and drinking water from a well (OR 1.74 (95% CI 1.13-2.67)) were independent risk factors associated with IM progression. CONCLUSION: Eradication of H pylori is protective against progression of premalignant gastric lesions.

Aged↗

Advancing donor liver age and rapid fibrosis progression following transplantation for hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Cirrhosis with liver failure due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the most common indication for liver transplantation (LT). Reinfection of the transplanted liver by HCV is inevitable, and aggressive hepatitis with accelerated progression to graft cirrhosis may be observed. Of concern, recent reports suggest that the outcome of LT for HCV may have deteriorated in recent years. Determinants of rate of progression to cirrhosis in the immunocompetent non-transplant patient are well defined, and the most powerful determinant is patient age at the time of infection. Following LT for HCV, recipient age does not affect outcome of HCV reinfection. However, the impact of donor age on graft fibrosis progression rate following LT has not been examined. METHODS: We have examined post-transplant biopsies to assess histological activity, including fibrosis stage (scored 0-6 units, 6 representing established cirrhosis), and to calculate fibrosis progression rates in 101 post-transplant specimens from 56 HCV infected LT patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses examined the impact of parameters including recipient and donor age and sex on fibrosis progression rate, and on predicted time to cirrhosis. RESULTS: For the cohort, median fibrosis progression rate was 0.78 units/year, and median interval from transplantation to development of cirrhosis was 7.7 years. In multivariate analysis, donor age (not recipient age) was a powerful determinant (p=0.02) of fibrosis progression rate. When the liver donor was younger than 40 years, median progression rate was 0.6 units/year and interval to cirrhosis was 10 years. When the donor was aged 50 years or more, median progression rate was 2.7 units/year and interval to cirrhosis only 2.2 years. During the observation period there has been a significant increase in donor age (p=0.01) but date of transplantation per se is not a determinant of progression rate when included in multivariate analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Donor age has a major influence on graft outcome following transplantation for HCV. The changing organ donor profile will affect the long term results of LT for HCV. These observations have important implications for donor liver allocation.

Adult↗

Tooth-surface progression and reversal changes in fluoridated and no-longer-fluoridated communities over a 3-year period.

OBJECTIVE: To compare permanent tooth surface-specific progression/reversal changes between fluoridation-ended (F-E) and still-fluoridated (S-F) communities in British Columbia, Canada, over a 3-year period. METHODS: D1D2MFS examinations were contrasted for 2,964 schoolchildren in 1993/94 (grades 2, 3, 8 and 9) and 1996/97 (grades 5, 6, 11 and 12). Generalized Estimating Equation (GEE) models explored the relation between progression/reversal changes and fluoridation status, age, gender, socioeconomic status, and dietary/fluoride histories. RESULTS: Within a scenario of low levels of caries overall, few children had multiple surfaces progressing. At least one smooth surface progressed in 31.4% of subjects; at least one pit-and-fissure (PF) surface progressed in 43.1% of subjects. At least one smooth surface reverted in 89% of subjects who had reversible stages; at least one PF surface reverted in 23.8% of subjects who had reversible stages. GEE (smooth) indicated that odds ratios of progression were twice as large in the F-E site compared to the S-F site, and slightly increased in older participants and in participants exposed to more fluoride technologies. GEE (PF) also indicated that progression was slightly more common in the F-E site; more frequent snacking and lower parental educational attainment had modest associations with increased progression in PF surfaces. For the two types of surfaces, GEE models demonstrated that unerupted surfaces were less likely to progress than sound surfaces. No associations were found between reversals and independent variables. CONCLUSION: Progressions were found to be weakly linked to socio-demographic factors; baseline surface statuses were better predictors of progression. Using the current definitions for disease transitions, F-E communities had more frequent progressions than a S-F community.

Adolescent↗

Progression in lacunar stroke is related to elevated acute phase parameters.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Despite the small size of lacunar infarcts, progression of neurological deficits is a common problem in this stroke subtype. This investigation studied the frequency and the course of neurological deterioration as well as predictors and possible underlying pathomechanisms of early progression in lacunar stroke. METHODS: Fourty-six consecutive patients with acute lacunar stroke were prospectively evaluated by daily clinical neurological examination including the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and follow-up using the Barthel Index after 3 months. Progressive neurological deficit was defined as worsening by > or =1 point in the NIHSS for motor function. Progressive and stable patients were compared regarding clinical profile, inflammatory parameters (leukocytes, body temperature, C-reactive protein), coagulation parameters (fibrinogen, D-dimer, vWF, PTT), and glutamate plasma concentration, as well as blood glucose and blood pressure. RESULTS: Eleven patients (23.9%) showed progression of stroke symptoms, 9 of these within the first 24 h after admission. The score on the NIHSS on admission was similar in patients with progressive stroke and stable patients, but significantly higher in the progressive stroke group on days 2 (p = 0.01), 3 (p = 0.001) and at discharge (p = 0.003). Deterioration was significantly associated with a higher leukocyte count (p = 0.012), higher body temperature (p = 0.031) and a higher fibrinogen concentration (p = 0.046) on admission. Barthel Index at discharge (p = 0.001) and after 90 days (p < 0.001) was significantly worse in the progressive stroke group. CONCLUSIONS: Progression in lacunar stroke usually occurs within 24 h and may be related to an acute-phase response. The long-term prognosis of progressive stroke patients is persistently worse compared with patients with nonprogressive stroke.

Aged↗

Risk factors for progression of atherosclerosis measured at multiple sites in the arterial tree: the Rotterdam Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Studies investigating determinants of atherosclerotic disease progression are relatively rare. Moreover, although atherosclerotic disease can be assessed noninvasively in different vascular beds, previous studies have not considered progression of atherosclerosis at >1 site. The present study was designed to identify risk factors for progression of atherosclerosis measured at multiple sites in the arterial tree. METHODS: The Rotterdam Study is a population-based cohort study of 7983 men and women > or =55 years of age. Carotid plaques and intima-media thickness were assessed by ultrasound, aortic atherosclerosis by x-ray, and lower-extremity atherosclerosis by the ankle-arm index. Data on progression of atherosclerosis over an average period of 6.5 years were available for 3409 participants. Associations of established cardiovascular risk factors with mild, moderate, and severe progression of atherosclerosis were investigated through multinomial regression analysis. RESULTS: Age, smoking, total cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure and/or hypertension were strong, independent predictors of moderate and severe progression of atherosclerosis at multiple sites. Diabetes mellitus predicted only severe progression of atherosclerosis. Associations of sex with progression of atherosclerosis were remarkably modest. CONCLUSIONS: Age, smoking, total cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure and/or hypertension strongly predict progression of extracoronary atherosclerosis in the elderly, but sex remarkably does not. These results emphasize the need for prevention of progression of extracoronary atherosclerotic disease in men and women alike.

Aged↗

Progression of pseudomyxoma peritonei after combined modality treatment: management and outcome.

BACKGROUND: Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) is a treatment strategy for pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) with curative intent. The aim of this study was to determine the patterns of failure in patients who underwent such a procedure and to evaluate management and outcome of progressive disease. METHODS: After exclusion of patients with overt malignancy, progression was studied in 96 PMP patients treated primarily by CRS with HIPEC. Location, pathology, management and outcome were recorded. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 51.5 months (0.1-99.5). Median progression free survival (PFS) was 28.2 months (95% CI 18.3->). Progressive disease was mainly located sub hepatic (38%) or in multiple regions (36%). Pathological dedifferentiation was observed in 8 patients (20%). The choice of treatment depended on pathology, extent of disease and PFS. Seventeen patients were treated for progression by second CRS with (n=8) or without HIPEC (n=10). The 3-years overall survival (OS) probability after this treatment was 100% and 53.3% (95% CI 28.2-100%), respectively. Fifteen patients with (slow) progression were observed. Three-years OS probability of these patients was 66.0% (95% CI 43.4-100%). All patients treated for progression by systemic chemotherapy only (n=6) had died of disease after a median follow up of 14.8 (9.8-33.6) months. A longer PFS after primary treatment was associated with longer OS after progression (P = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Progressive PMP after primary CRS with HIPEC is probably the result of technical failure and/or tumor biology. Management of progressive PMP can be valuable for selected patients and should depend primarily on the PFS.

Adult↗

[Slowing the progression of chronic renal insufficiency with captopril in rats with spontaneous arterial hypertension and adriamycin nephropathy].

INTRODUCTION: The role of hypertension in chronic renal failure (CRF) progression was described in 1914 by Volhard and Fahr [1], in 1940 by Rite and colleagues [2] and subsequently many studies described the effects of various antihypertensive drugs on regulation of blood pressure and CRF progression. The recent experimental and clinical studies especially emphasized the role of angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors in the regulation of hypertension and slowing down of CRF progression, but there are still issues for discussion and disagreement [2-14]. The aim of this study was to analyse the effects of captopril on clinical, biochemical and morphological changes in spontaneously hypertensive rats (SHR) with adriamycin (ADR) nephropathy. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Experimental animals. Adult (24 weeks) female spontaneously hypertensive rats (SHR), weighting about 200 g, were bred at the Institute of Medical Research, Belgrade. The rats were randomly divided in the following groups: 1. CONTROL GROUP: 12 SHR; 2. Adriamycin group (ADR): 27 SHR treated with adriamycin (2 mg/kg i.v. twice for 20 days); 3. Adriamycin-captopril group (ADR-C): 30 SHR treated with adriamycin and thereafter with captopril (60 mg/kg/day). Animals were followed-up for 18 weeks after second adriamycin injection. Systolic blood pressure was measured at 2 weeks intervals throughout the study. Blood and urine samples were collected in weeks--4, 6, 12, and 18. Morphologic studies. Rats were killed at weeks 6, 12 or 18 after the second adriamycin injection, when the kidneys were removed and fixed in neutral buffered formalin (10%). Paraffin embedded tissue sections 4 microns thick were stained with hematoxylin and eosin, periodic acid-Schiff reagent (PAS), Thrichrom Masson and Silver methanamin (Jones) for light microscopic study. A semiquantitative score was used to evaluate glomerular, vascular and tubulointerstitial changes. A minimum of 60 glomeruli for each kidney were examined, and the severity of the lesions was graduated according to the percentage of glomerular sclerosis from 0 to 10 (0--0%; 2--20%; 5--20-50%; 10--100%) [16]. Vascular changes were graduated from 0 to 3 according to hyalinosis in the walls of the artenoles (1--0%; 2--< 50%; 3--50-100%; 4--100%) [17]. Tubulointerstitial changes were semiquantitatively expressed by calculation of separately the index of interstitial fibrosis (0--0%; 2--< 20%; 5--> 20%; IQ--> 40%) and the index of interstitial infiltration and tubular atrophy (0--0%; 1--< 20%; 2--> 20%; 3--> 40% [18]. Results were presented as mean +/- SD. Differences between groups in functional data as well as morphologic lesions were studied by one-way analysis of variance and the unpaired T-test. RESULTS: Captopril decreased systemic blood pressure in ADR SHR significantly, but failed to prevent proteinuria (Fig. 1). Urea and creatinine in serum progressively increased in all studied groups, but faster in ADR SHR groups than in controls (Table 1). Creatinine clearance decreased faster in ADR group than in ADR-C group, but without statistical significance (Table 1). Among sixty nine analysed rats at the beginning of the study, sixteen died during the study. The other animals (Table 1) were killed at weeks 6, 12 and 18; pathohistological changes of their kidneys with glomerular, vascular and tubulomterstial indexes are presented in Table 2. In control group of rats minimal glomerular and interstitial changes could be seen in week 18, mild tubular changes were present in weeks 12 and 18, and marked changes in blood vessels were manifested in week 12, as well as in week 18 (Fig. 2, Table 2), when their statistical significance was higher than in rats treated with adriamycin. Glomerular, tubular and interstitial changes were mostly pronounced in adriamycin treated rats and became more expressive during the experiment (Table 2, Fig. 3). In ADR-C group of rats captopril slowed down glomerular changes, but significantly in week 18 only (Table 2). The same was with interstitial changes (Table 2, Figs. 3-c, 4-c). Tubular and vascular changes were less in week 6 in ADR-C group than in ADR group, what was leveled off later in the study (weeks 12 and 18) (Table 2). DISCUSSION: Although Richard Bright was probably the first person to notice that severe renal diseases were associated with changes of the cardiovascular system, Volhard and Farhr first described that high blood pressure was the major cause of progressive loss of renal function in chronic renal diseases [1]. Subsequently, many authors in their experimental and clinical studies described the effects of various antihypertensive drugs on regulation of blood pressure and slowing down of CRF progression. Various experimental models were used in their studies [8, 19-21]. With discovery of ACE inhibitors and first studies which pointed that this group of drugs effectively slowed down CRF progression, many authors studied their effects on systemic blood pressure regulation, reduction of glomerular hypertension and slowing down of CRF progression. Anderson, Rennke and Brenner studied the effects of "triple therapy" (reserpine, hydralazine and hydrochlorotiazide) and ACE inhibitor enalapril in rats with subtotal nephrectomy [3]. Enalapril decreased systemic blood pressure, glomerular hypertension, proteinuria and glomerular sclerosis [9, 22-24], while "triple therapy" reduced only systemic hypertension with no effect on glomerular hypertension and glomerular damage [25]. The same was described in uninephrectomised DOCA rats [26]. Raij and colleagues also described better effects of enalapril in relation to "triple therapy": enalapril reduced mesangial expansion and proteinuria [27]. Our study [8] as well as that of other authors [3, 25, 26] agree that ACE inhibitor captopril was better in comparison with hydralazine in slowing down glomerular sclerosis and mesangial expansion inspite of good regulation of blood pressure with both drugs. In ADR SHR, ACE inhibitors reduced proteinuria [6, 10, 20, 25], regulated systemic blood pressure (Fig. 1-a), decreased glomerular hypertension and glomerular sclerosis [7, 10, 25, 28, 29] which were also found in our experimental study (Fig. 1, Table 2). These were confirmed in clinical studies too: first, in patients with diabetic nephropathy [30] and later in patients with nondiabetic kidney diseases [6, 30-34]. In SHRs blood pressure increased from week 4 to 10, and after week 12 blood pressure was stabilized on a constantly higher level [36]. Our studied rats were 24 weeks old at the beginning of the study and they had stable hypertension in that period (Fig. 1-a). With the age in SHRs renal function aggravated very slowly, with little changes in glomeruli, higher in tubuloniterstitium [19] and the highest in blood vessels. SHRs developed glomerular changes very late inspite of hypertension, because glomeruli were protected with preglomerular vasoconstriction [37]. These mild changes described by various authors could be also seen in our study (Fig. 2, Table 2). Pathohistological changes in rat kidneys caused with anthracycline were first described by Stenberg and Phillips in 1967 [41]. Adriamycin (doxorubicin hydrochloride) induced syndrome nephroticum. Light microscopic study revealed no changes at the beginning of the study, but later (7-9 months) glomerular sclerosis, tubular dilatation and interstitial fibrosis developed which led to chronic renal failure [42, 43], (Fig. 3). Therapy with ACE inhibitor, captopril, in rats with adriamycin nephropathy lowered glomerular sclerosis [7, 12, 25, 28, 29], and mesangial expansion was very rare. In our earlier studies, captopril was found to decrease glomerular sclerosis in the early phase of adriamycin nephropathy in SHRs [8, 29], what was also confirmed in this study: captopril decreased glomerular and tubulointerstitial changes in weeks 6, 12 and 18 after second adriamycin injection, but had no effect on vascular changes (Fig. 4, Table 2). Favorable effects of captopril on tubulointerstiatial changes (especially interstitial) are very important because many authors have described recently better correlation between tubulointerstitial changes and CRF progression [17, 44-46], in comparison to glomerular changes and CRF. Besides, some authors have confirmed better effects of ACE inhibitors when they were given earlier before glomeruli were damaged [47]. CONCLUSION: In SHRs with ADR nephropathy treatment with captopril normalized systemic blood pressure, and slowed down CRF progression in their early stage. These functional changes correlate with significant slowing of glomerular and interstitial changes.

Animals↗

Detection of mature macrophages in urinary sediments: clinical significance in predicting progressive renal disease.

The ability to predict the rate of progression of renal parenchymal disease may help in its clinical management. We undertook characterization of urinary macrophages obtained from patients with various renal diseases paying special attention to the differentiation from non-progressive to progressive renal diseases. A total of 84 patients were divided into one of three categories. A highly progressive group included patients with rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis, diabetic nephropathy, membranoproliferative glomerulonephropathy, primary focal segmental sclerosis and diffuse proliferative lupus nephropathy, moderately progressive group included those with IgA nephropathy and Alport's syndrome and non-progressive group included patients with thin basement membrane nephropathy, minimal change nephrotic syndrome, idiopathic renal hematuria and urolithiasis. Urinary sediments were reacted with four monoclonal antibodies (CD68/macrophages vimentin, cytokeratin, and 25F9/mature macrophages). In normal individuals mature macrophages (25F9+ cells) were absent in urinary sediments. The number of 25F9+ cells in the urine was highest in the highly progressive group, less prominent in the moderately progressive group, and virtually absent in the non-progressive group. The 25F9+ cells reacted with anti-CD68 and antivimentin antibody, whereas the 25F9+ cells did not react with anti-cytokeratin antibody. These findings indicate that the detection of mature macrophages in urine is useful to estimate the prognosis of renal parenchymal diseases and may help to differentiate some glomerular diseases (e.g., thin basement membrane disease vs. Alport's syndrome, and minimal change nephrotic syndrome vs. primary focal segmental sclerosis).

Antigens, CD↗

Identifying predictive factors in melanoma progression.

Identification of risk factors is a fundamental goal of melanoma studies. The current understanding of melanoma progression is based primarily on two-stage modeling. A multistate Markov chain process combined with Cox proportional hazard regression is used to model the melanoma progression. The model is applied to 3,434 patients initially diagnosed as AJCC stage I or stage II. Parameter estimates are obtained using Cox regression and supplemented by plots of survival probabilities. Age is associated with increased risk of progression from stage I, II to stage III and from stage III to stage IV. Males experienced an increased risk of stage I, II to stage III progression. Primary tumor located on extremities decreased the risk of all transitions. Clark's level of invasion >III and Breslow's depth >1 mm increased the risk of progression from stage I, II to stage III and stage IV. The following interactions among the prognostic factors were identified for the first time in this research: interaction of age and gender in progression from stage I, II to stage III; interactions of level and depth and site by gender were found in the progression from stage I, II to stage III; interaction of site and gender in progression from stage III to stage IV and stage IV to death. Also we identified primary site as a new prognostic factor for the progression from stage IV to death. The study employed a multistate model in order to identify prognostic factors relevant for disease progression. The unique feature is the modeling of interactions among the prognostic factors and their identification.

Adult↗

Associations between MHC class I and susceptibility to HIV-2 disease progression.

OBJECTIVES: Human immunodeficiency virus type 2 (HIV-2) progression to disease is significantly slower than that of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1). Genetic determinants for susceptibility to disease progression were hypothesized to play a more significant role in this infection compared with HIV-1. We sought to identify common human lymphocyte antigen (HLA) alleles in the Senegalese population and to compare HLA profiles between HIV-2-infected individuals with low and high risk for disease progression. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS: We conducted a case-control study investigating possible associations between MHC class I genes and the risk of disease progression in HIV-2-infected individuals. The MHC class I genotype was molecularly defined using polymerase chain reaction with sequence specific primers (PCR-SSP) in 62 female sex workers from the Dakar, Senegal cohort. Lack of antibodies to the HIV-2 antigen p26 has been previously shown to predict disease progression and was used in this study as a surrogate marker. Twenty-one cases were identified lacking antibodies to p26, therefore at a higher risk of disease progression, and were compared with 41 p26 antibody-positive, randomly selected controls. RESULTS: Statistical analysis showed that HLA B35 was significantly associated with lack of p26 antibodies, and higher risk of disease progression ( < 0.05). The same association was found for the self-defined class I haplotypes B35-Cw4 and A23-Cw 7 ( < 0.05). The HLA B 53 allele was associated with slower disease progression; however, this association was not statistically significant. We observed a trend whereby heterozygotes were at lower risk for HIV-2 disease progression, as previously reported in HIV-1 disease. CONCLUSIONS: In this West African population, a distinct profile of HLA class I alleles was observed, and many of these appear to influence disease progression in HIV-2 infection.

Alleles↗

Five-year risk of progression of ocular hypertension to primary open angle glaucoma. A population-based study.

PURPOSE: To report the progression of ocular hypertension (OHT) to primary open angle glaucoma (POAG) during a 5-year follow up of a population-based sample. METHODS: Twenty-nine patients diagnosed to have OHT and 110 randomly selected normals from a population-based study in 1995 were invited for ocular examination in 2000. All patients underwent a complete ophthalmic examination; including the daytime diurnal variation of intraocular pressure (IOP) and measurement of central corneal thickness (CCT). The "corrected" IOP was used for analysis. Progression to POAG was based on typical optic disc changes with corresponding field defects on automated perimetry. RESULTS: Twenty-five of the 29 persons with OHT who could be contacted were examined. After correcting for CCT, two persons were reclassified as normal. Four of 23 (17.4%; 95% CI: 1.95-32.75) had progressed to POAG. One person amongst the 110 normals progressed to normal tension glaucoma (NTG). The relative risk of progression amongst OHT was 19.1 (95% CI: 2.2-163.4). All those who progressed had bilateral OHT. The mean and peak IOP in those who progressed was 25.4 mm Hg and 29.3 mm Hg compared to 23.9 mm Hg and 25.7 mm Hg in those who did not. Those who progressed had more than 8 mm Hg diurnal variation. The diurnal variation was less than 6 mm Hg in those who did not progress. No patient developed blindness due to glaucoma. CONCLUSION: The 5-year incidence of POAG amongst OHT in this population was 17.4% (3.5% per year). Bilateral OHT, higher peak IOP and large diurnal variation may be the risk factors for progression.

Disease Progression↗

[Biologic characteristics of invasive bladder cancer: is there a difference between primary and progressive tumours?].

OBJECTIVE: In most muscle-invasive bladder cancer muscle invasion is present at the time of first diagnosis (primary tumours), in the rest of the patients muscle invasion is caused by progression of superficial tumours (progressive tumours). The aim of study is to determine whether a difference in natural history is between primary and progressive tumours. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In 1997-2001 we treated 278 patients with bladder cancer, 167 (60.1%) patients had superficial tumours and 111 patients had invasive tumours. At the time of diagnosis muscle invasion of the bladder was present in 90 (81.1%) patients, in 21 (18.9%) invasion was formed by progression of superficial tumours. The retrospective study evaluated and compared characteristics of patients (incl. survival) and tumours. Statistical significance was calculated by the chi2 test. RESULTS: A mean age of patients with primary tumours was 65.2 +/- 10.5 years, compared with mean age of 61.7 +/- 12.6 years of patients with progressive tumours. Gender--male:female ratio was 3.1:1 in primary tumours, as opposed to 4.2:1 in progressive. Progression of superficial tumours was noted on average within 35.4 months (range of 7-115). Within one year died 46 out of 90 (51.1%) patients with primary tumours and 11 out of 21 (52.4%) patients with progressive tumours. Three years survived 14 out of 61 (23%) patients with primary tumours and two out of 13 (15.4%) with progressive tumours. CONCLUSIONS: Prognosis of patients with progressive tumours is worse than prognosis of patients with primary invasive tumours. It is vital to detect superficial tumours in their pre-invasive stage, when they can be treated successfully.

Aged↗

Bcl-2, Bax and p53 expression in B-CLL in relation to in vitro survival and clinical progression.

Our previous data have shown that isolated leukemic cells from progressive chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL) patients respond to growth stimulation in vitro and express high levels of p53, immunoreactive with the configuration-specific antibody PAb 240. We have now analyzed the in vitro survival of B-CLL cells in relation to Bcl-2, Bax alpha and p53 expression and compared this with the clinical progression of the disease. Leukemic cells from patients with progressive disease demonstrated higher in vitro survival, compared with non-progressive B-CLL and normal B cells. All cells were sensitive to treatment with a combination of glucocorticoid and cAMP. Bcl-2 protein levels were not related to clinical progression, as measured by flow cytometry. Competitive PCR showed that Bcl-2 mRNA was over-expressed in most of the B-CLL samples and that p53 mRNA expression was similar between B-CLL groups and normal values and thus not related to clinical progression. However, since Bax alpha expression was lower in progressive than in non-progressive patients, the Bcl-2/Bax alpha ratio at the mRNA level was significantly higher in the progressive group. Our data suggest that the Bcl-2/Bax alpha ratio is important for the regulation of B-CLL cell survival, that p53 over-expression in progressive B-CLL is the result of post-transcriptional modifications and that a directed PKA activation may potentiate the cytolytic effect of glucocorticoids in vivo.

Aged↗

Association of baseline levels of urinary glucosyl-galactosyl-pyridinoline and type II collagen C-telopeptide with progression of joint destruction in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether measurements of urinary glucosyl-galactosyl-pyridinoline (Glc-Gal-PYD) and urinary C-terminal crosslinking telopeptide of type II collagen (CTX-II), 2 new markers of destruction of the synovium and cartilage collagen breakdown, respectively, are associated with the progression of joint damage in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and to compare this association with that with serum matrix metalloproteinase 3 (MMP-3), a proteinase expressed by synovial tissue and chondrocytes, and that with serum C-reactive protein (CRP), an index of systemic inflammation. METHODS: The prospective study cohort comprised 116 patients with early RA who were part of a large, double-blind, randomized study comparing the efficacy of etanercept and methotrexate. The relationship between baseline levels of urinary Glc-Gal-PYD, urinary CTX-II, and serum MMP-3 and the progression of joint destruction, as measured by changes in the modified Sharp score (average findings of 2 independent readers) over 1 year, was investigated. RESULTS: Levels of urinary Glc-Gal-PYD (+70%), urinary CTX-II (+104%), and serum MMP-3 (+219%) were elevated compared with the levels in 76 healthy controls. The baseline levels of Glc-Gal-PYD (r = 0.30), CTX-II (r = 0.25), and MMP-3 (r = 0.29) correlated with the changes over 1 year in the total Sharp score (joint space narrowing and bone erosion). Patients with baseline levels of Glc-Gal-PYD, CTX-II, and MMP-3 that were higher than the mean + 2 SD in healthy controls had a significantly greater progression of joint damage, with an increase in the total Sharp score over 1 year that was from 3- to 8-fold higher than that in patients with low baseline levels of these markers. Moreover, patients with these higher levels of Glc-Gal-PYD, CTX-II, and MMP-3 had a higher risk of progression of the disease (increase in total Sharp score > or =0.5 units) than did the other patients (relative risks and 95% confidence intervals [95% CI] 3.3 [95% CI 1.5-7.4], 2.5 [95% CI 1.1-5.7], and 2.5 [95% CI 1.1-5.6], respectively). The baseline serum level of CRP was not significantly associated with the progression of joint damage. Adjustment of the levels of Glc-Gal-PYD, CTX-II, and MMP-3 according to radiologic damage at baseline did not alter their association with progression. After adjustment for serum CRP, the relative risk slightly decreased, but remained significant, for Glc-Gal-PYD (2.6 [95% CI 1.1-6.3]). Patients with both increased levels of the molecular markers and radiologic damage at baseline had a higher risk of progression of joint damage than did those with either high molecular marker levels or radiologic damage. CONCLUSION: High baseline levels of Glc-Gal-PYD, CTX-II, and MMP-3 are associated with increased risk of progression of joint destruction over 1 year in early RA. The association between baseline levels of urinary Glc-Gal-PYD and progression of joint erosion was independent of the severity of radiologic damage and inflammation at baseline. Combining the measurements of these molecular markers with radiologic assessment of joint damage may be useful for identifying patients with RA who are at high risk of rapid progression and for whom early aggressive treatment would be beneficial.

Adult↗