[Spanish populations of over 5,000 inhabitants between the seventeenth and nineteenth centuries].
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PURPOSE: This study determined the reproducibility of resting systolic and diastolic blood pressure, mean arterial pressure, and heart rate (the average of three measures/day). METHODS: The data were obtained on two separate days prior to an exercise training intervention in a sample of 822 subjects participating in the HERITAGE Family Study. The same protocol was conducted across three days in an intracenter quality control substudy, which included an additional 60 subjects. RESULTS: Reproducibility estimates included technical error, coefficient of variation within subjects, and intraclass correlation with results expressed by sex, race, age, cuff size, BMI, and %fat. Since the data were collected across four Clinical Centers, the reproducibility estimates were also computed separately for each Center. The systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial blood pressures were highly reproducible with technical errors less than 5.1 mmHg, coefficients of variation of less than 7. 0% and intraclass correlations > 0.75. The heart rates were slightly less reproducible. These results were fairly consistent across subject populations and across all four Clinical Centers. CONCLUSION: It is concluded that within subject day-to-day variations are small compared to between subject variance for resting systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial blood pressure and heart rate at each of the Clinical Centers for all of the HERITAGE Family Study data. This makes it appropriate to pool the data and analyze it for changes subsequent to endurance exercise training and to determine the possible genetic basis for these changes.
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The authors first note that current official U.S. population estimates and projections are based on the assumption that certain characteristics of the institutionalized population remain constant between censuses. The article "examines the empirical validity of this assumption by using data from the decennial censuses for 1940-1980 and, in light of substantial decade to decade changes in the age patterns of the institutional proportions for sex- and race-specific populations, seeks to develop alternative methods." As part of these alternative methods, "parametric curves are fit to the age-specific institutional proportions for each population for each decade. A study of the observed historical variation in the parameters of these curves then leads to some suggestions about how their shapes can be estimated between censuses and projected beyond the latest available census to provide more accurate estimates and projections of the civilian noninstitutional population." This is a revised version of a paper originally presented at the 1984 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (see Population Index, Vol. 50, No. 3, Fall 1984, p. 439).
"The housing unit (HU) method is used by public and private agencies throughout the United States to make local population estimates. This article describes many of the different types of data and techniques that can be used in applying the HU method, and it discusses the strengths and weaknesses of each. Empirical evidence from four different states is provided, comparing the accuracy of HU population estimates with the accuracy of other commonly used estimation techniques. Several conclusions are drawn regarding the usefulness of the HU method for local population estimation."
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"An econometric model for forecasting net migration and natural increase is proposed and then estimated using time-series data for Texas. The model is simulated five years out-of-sample and found to be quite accurate in forecasting future population growth. It outperforms simpler prediction methods, thus indicating that explicit modeling of net migration and natural increase is superior to modeling only total population."
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The quality of data collected by the U.S. Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) is assessed, with a focus on differences between U.S. and U.N. definitions of immigrants, emigrants, and refugees. The author suggests that "gaps in migration data collected for the U.S. limit their usefulness for studying international migration and estimating national population change. For example, no information is collected on emigration of legal permanent residents or U.S. citizens, nor is there any direct information on the immigration of U.S. citizens. Data collected on legal immigrants are based on a legal and administrative definition that often conflicts with the demographic definition of an immigrant."
The author presents the methodology and results of a 1986 test census conducted in Central Los Angeles County, California, to examine the feasibility of adjusting the census for the estimated undercount using a post-enumeration survey. "The results of the dual-system estimates are presented for the test site by the three major race/ethnic groups (Hispanic, Asian, Other) by tenure, by age and by sex. Summaries of the small area adjustments of the census enumeration, by block, are presented and discussed."
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