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Long-term follow-up of IgM monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance.

The current study was conducted to determine the risk of adverse outcomes among patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) of the IgM class. Two hundred thirteen patients with IgM MGUS were identified in southeastern Minnesota from 1960 to 1994. The primary end point was progression to lymphoma or a related disorder assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method. Patients were followed for a total of 1,567 person-years (median, 6.3 years per subject). Seventeen patients developed lymphoma (relative risk [RR], 14.8) and six progressed to Waldenstrom's macroglobulinemia (RR, 262), while three developed primary amyloidosis (RR, 16.3) and three others had chronic lymphocytic leukemia (RR, 5.7). The relative risk of progression was 16-fold higher in the IgM MGUS patients compared to the white population of the Iowa Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. The risk of progression of MGUS of IgM type to lymphoma or related disorders averaged 1.5% per year throughout the period of observation.

Aged↗

Nodal yield in neck dissection and the likelihood of metastases.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to begin investigating the relationship between nodal yield in neck dissection and the likelihood of finding cervical metastases in T1 and T2 head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). No clinical implications are drawn from this preliminary work. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: This study was a retrospective analysis of 564 patients with T1 and T2 HNSCC of the oral cavity, oropharynx, or hypopharynx from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program registry. A multivariate analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship between nodal yield in neck dissection and the discovery of cervical metastases. Other independent factors included in the analysis were gender, age, race, and primary site of tumor. RESULTS: Compared with nodal yield < 13, cervical metastases were more likely to be found for nodal yield 21-28 (P < 0.001, odds ratio [OR] = 3.68), 29-40 (P = 0.021, OR = 1.98), and >40 (P < 0.001, OR = 3.52). Increased age, male sex, and oropharynx and hypopharynx primaries were also associated with a significantly increased likelihood of finding cervical metastases. CONCLUSION: In T1 and T2 cases of HNSCC, nodal yield >20, increased age, male sex, and primary site correspond with an increased likelihood of finding cervical metastases.

Adolescent↗

Ovarian cancer: changes in patterns at diagnosis and relative survival over the last three decades.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine patterns of diagnosis and relative survival in women who had a diagnosis of primary invasive epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) from 1973 to 1997, with follow-up through the end of 1999. STUDY DESIGN: From the population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program, 32,845 women diagnosed between 1973 and 1997 were used for analysis. The study population was divided in three cohorts based on year of diagnosis and the cohorts were compared with respect to variables of interest by using chi(2) tests and relative survival analysis by the life table method. RESULTS: There was an increase in the proportions of minorities diagnosed with EOC, of women 60 years or older at diagnosis, and of women undergoing surgery over time. Survival continuously improved over time, although older patients (60 years or older) and African Americans continued to have the poorest survival. CONCLUSION: Over time, relative survival of women who had primary invasive EOC diagnosed improved.

Adolescent↗

Primary malignant bone tumours in Western Australia, 1972-1996.

AIMS: To study the incidence of primary malignant bone tumours in Western Australia (WA) from 1972 to 1996 using the database of the WA Bone Tumour Registry (BTR) and to compare these rates with those in the United States of America (USA). In addition, to undertake a linkage study between the BTR database and that of the WA Cancer Registry (WACR) for the years 1980-1996 to determine if the BTR records could be regarded as population-based and valid for determining incidence rates in WA. METHODS: For each year of the review, standardised incidence rates were calculated for osteosarcoma, chondrosarcoma, Ewing's sarcoma and for all bone sarcomas combined. For comparison, incidence rates were calculated using data obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program Registry in the USA. RESULTS: Excluding myeloma, there were 263 cases of primary malignant bone tumours. Osteosarcoma (94 cases), chondrosarcoma (64 cases) and Ewing's sarcoma (49 cases), were the three most common and represented 78.7% of all primary bone sarcomas. Age-sex-standardised incidence rates for osteosarcoma in WA were 28% lower than in the USA. For chondrosarcoma and Ewing's sarcoma, no significant difference was found between rates in WA and the USA. CONCLUSIONS: The BTR provides a valuable resource for the study of primary bone tumours. This review has established reliable incidence rates for individual types of bone sarcoma. In both geographical sites there is a slight upward trend in the incidence of primary bone sarcoma.

Adolescent↗

Incidence rates of the major leukemia subtypes among US Hispanics, Blacks, and non-Hispanic Whites.

While leukemia rates are thought to be lower in South and Central America, no study has systematically investigated incidence rates of the leukemia subtypes among Hispanics in the U.S. This was a retrospective cohort study, using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program of the National Cancer Institute, 1992 - 2001, to compare leukemia incidence rates as a function of race and ethnicity. It was found that in adults, Hispanics had lower incidence rates for each of the major types of leukemia as compared to non-Hispanic Whites: For AML, elderly Whites had an incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 1.61 in comparison to Hispanics (p < 0.001) and 1.27 in comparison to Blacks (p < 0.001); for CML, the IRR among the elderly was 1.42 that of Hispanics (p < 0.001) and 1.22 that of Blacks (p = 0.003); and for CLL, the IRR was 2.31 times that of Hispanics (p < 0.001) and 1.48 times that of Blacks (p < 0.001). In ALL, however, Hispanics aged 0 - 19 had a significantly higher incidence rate than Whites and Blacks, with an IRR of 1.32 compared to Whites (p < 0.001), and 2.62 compared to Blacks (p < 0.001). In AML, CML, and CLL, among people age 65 or older, white non-Hispanics have higher incidence rates than Blacks, and Blacks have higher incidence rates than Hispanics. Childhood ALL incidence rates are highest among Hispanics, and lowest among Blacks.

Adolescent↗

Safety profile of phase I and II preventive HIV type 1 envelope vaccination: experience of the NIAID AIDS Vaccine Evaluation Group.

The NIAID-sponsored AIDS Vaccine Evaluation Group was established in 1988 to perform phase I/II clinical trials with candidate preventive HIV-1 vaccines. This report includes safety data from 1398 HIV-negative, healthy volunteers who were enrolled into 25 phase I and 1 phase H multicentered, randomized, double-blind studies evaluating seven recombinant HIV-1 envelope vaccines, two V3 loop synthetic peptide vaccines, and two live poxvirus-vectored recombinant envelope vaccines. All studies but three were placebo controlled; the placebo was either the adjuvant alone or, in studies of recombinant poxvirus vaccines, it was the vector with no gene insert or a non-HIV gene insert. All candidate vaccines were generally well tolerated. The only adverse effects that were clearly related to vaccination were occasional acute local and systemic reactions that were associated with the adjuvants. Three adjuvants in particular were associated with moderate to severe local reactions: alum plus deoxycholate (ImmunoAg), MTP-PE (Biocine Corp.), and QS21 (Genentech, Inc.). MTP-PE was also associated with self-limited severe systemic reactions. There were no serious adverse laboratory toxicities and no evidence of significant immunosuppressive events after receipt of the candidate vaccines. A few volunteers experienced symptoms that might relate to an underlying immunopathologic mechanism (rash, hemolytic anemia, arthralgia), but their presentations were mild and their incidence was low. Eleven volunteers were diagnosed with malignancies during or after their participation, which was within the 95% confidence interval of the number of cases predicted by the National Cancer Institute SEER (Program for cancer surveillance, epidemiology, and end result reporting) database. In conclusion, the envelope-based recombinant or synthetic candidate HIV-1 vaccines appear to be safe and this work has prepared the way for the testing of increasingly complex candidate HIV-1 vaccines.

AIDS Vaccines↗

Parametric and semiparametric approaches to testing for seasonal trend in serial count data.

We present two tests for seasonal trend in monthly incidence data. The first approach uses a penalized likelihood to choose the number of harmonic terms to include in a parametric harmonic model (which includes time trends and autogression as well as seasonal harmonic terms) and then tests for seasonality using a parametric bootstrap test. The second approach uses a semiparametric regression model to test for seasonal trend. In the semiparametric model, the seasonal pattern is modeled nonparametrically, parametric terms are included for autoregressive effects and a linear time trend, and a parametric bootstrap test is used to test for seasonality. For both procedures, a null distribution is generated under a null Poisson model with time trends and autoregression parameters. We apply the methods to skin melanoma incidence rates collected by the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) program of the National Cancer Institute, and perform simulation studies to evaluate the type I error rate and power for the two procedures. These simulations suggest that both procedures are alpha-level procedures. In addition, the harmonic model/bootstrap test had similar or larger power than the semiparametric model/bootstrap test for a wide range of alternatives, and the harmonic model/bootstrap test is much easier to implement. Thus, we recommend the harmonic model/bootstrap test for the analysis of seasonal incidence data.

Journal Article↗

NQO1 T allele associated with decreased risk of later age at diagnosis lung cancer among never smokers: results from a population-based study.

The NAD(P)H:quinone oxidoreductase 1 gene, NQO1, contains a C to T transition at amino acid codon 187, which results in very low enzymatic activity. Previous studies of the association between NQO1 genotype and lung cancer have had mixed findings. This population-based case control study examines the association between NQO1 genotype and lung cancer in the largest sample of never smokers (<100 cigarettes, lifetime) to date. Cases (n = 161) were identified through the metropolitan Detroit Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program, and 5-year age- and race-matched population-based controls (n = 173) were identified using random digit dialing. Allele frequencies of C and T, respectively, were 0.79 and 0.21 in Caucasians, and 0.84 and 0.16 in African Americans. Among those diagnosed aged >/=50 years, C/T and T/T genotyped individuals had 0.48 times lower lung cancer risk than individuals with C/C genotype (95% CI: 0.27-0.87). There was a non-significant suggestion of a protective effect associated with the T allele among those with a history of environmental tobacco smoke exposure (OR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.32-1.03) but not among those without (OR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.41-2.38). Sex, race, family history of lung cancer and histologic type did not modify the effect of NQO1 genotype on lung cancer risk. The observed risk reductions may be attributable to the greatly reduced procarcinogen activating of NAD(P)H:quinone oxidoreductase 1 in individuals with at least one copy of the T allele.

Adult↗

GSTM1, GSTT1 and GSTP1 polymorphisms, environmental tobacco smoke exposure and risk of lung cancer among never smokers: a population-based study.

Glutathione S-transferases detoxify polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons found in tobacco smoke by glutathione conjugation. Polymorphisms within the GSTM1, GSTT1 and GSTP1 genes, coding for enzymes with deficient or reduced activity, have been studied as potential modifiers of lung cancer risk. It is hypothesized that risk associated with potential susceptibility gene polymorphisms might be most evident at low levels of exposure. Never smokers developing lung cancer represent a highly susceptible subset of the population, exposed to tobacco carcinogens only through environmental tobacco smoke. This population-based case-control study examines the association between GSTM1, GSTT1 and GSTP1 genotypes and lung cancer in one of the largest samples of never smokers to date. Cases (n = 166) were identified through the metropolitan Detroit Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program and age- and race-matched population-based controls (n = 181) were identified using random digit dialing. Overall, there was no significant association between single or combinations of genotypes at GSTM1, GSTT1 or GSTP1 and lung cancer risk after adjustment for age, race, sex and household ETS exposure in years. However, in never smokers exposed to 20 or more years of household ETS, carrying the GSTM1 null genotype was associated with a 2.3-fold increase in risk [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-5.13]. Individuals in this high ETS exposure category carrying the GSTM1 null and the GSTP1 Val allele were at over 4-fold increased risk of developing lung cancer (OR = 4.56, 95% CI: 1.21-17.21). These findings suggest that in the presence of ETS, the GSTM1 genotype both alone and in combination with the GSTP1 genotype alters the risk of developing lung cancer among never smokers.

Adult↗

Asian breast cancer survival in the US: a comparison between Asian immigrants, US-born Asian Americans and Caucasians.

BACKGROUND: This study examines whether acculturation of Asian American women, assessed by place of birth, is associated with survival after diagnosis of breast cancer. We hypothesized that environmental factors associated with acculturation, such as a high-fat diet, would result in a pattern of better survival for first-generation Asians compared with subsequent-generation Asian Americans. METHODS: Analyses compare survival among women of four ethnic groups (Chinese [n = 1842], Japanese [n = 3319], Filipino [n = 1598] and a random sample of Caucasians [n = 10,000]) who were diagnosed with primary invasive breast carcinoma in three Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) regions (San Francisco/Oakland, Hawaii, Seattle/Puget Sound) between 1973 and 1994. Analyses by birthplace compare first-generation Asian immigrants with subsequent-generation Asian Americans of the same ethnicity. Analyses were based on the Cox proportional hazards model and adjusted for age at diagnosis, stage of disease, year of diagnosis, type of treatment, marital status, and SEER region. RESULTS: Japanese women had significantly better survival than all other races, but there were no significant differences in survival between Chinese, Filipino, and Caucasian women. There were no significant differences in survival by place of birth within each Asian ethnic group, after adjustment for demographic characteristics, stage of disease, and treatment. CONCLUSION: The findings do not support the hypothesis that acculturation of Asian American women is associated with decreased breast cancer survival.

Acculturation↗

A comparison of trends in the incidence rate of lung cancer by histological type in the Osaka Cancer Registry, Japan and in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program, USA.

Trends in the incidence rate of lung cancer by histological type were examined, based on data from the Osaka Cancer Registry (OCR), Japan and the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program (SEER), USA. Among males, an increasing trend was observed for adenocarcinoma in both registries. In the OCR, the incidence rate of adenocarcinoma has recently overtaken that of squamous cell carcinoma, whereas in the SEER, adenocarcinoma had already taken the lead since 1990-93. For squamous cell carcinoma, the decreasing trends in the OCR were consistent with a previous study, whereas in the SEER, the decline was earlier and steeper. For small cell carcinoma, the incidence rate was leveling off in the OCR, whereas it was already in decline in the SEER. For large cell carcinoma, the decreasing trend began earlier in the SEER. Among females in both registries, the incidence rate of adenocaricinoma has clearly been on the increase, whereas in other histological types the incidence rates were decreasing or at least leveling off. As for the age-specific incidence rate, different patterns were observed between the two registries: in the OCR, the incidence rate was on the increase in older age groups such as 70-74 years and also in younger age groups such as 45-49 years, whereas it decreased in intermediate age groups such as 55-59. In contrast, stable decreasing trends were observed in the SEER, except for adenocarcinoma. The increase in incidence rate observed among younger age groups in the OCR should be carefully monitored.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Socioeconomic factors and cancer incidence among blacks and whites.

Findings from previous studies suggest that differences in socioeconomic status may be responsible for some, if not all, of the elevated incidence of cancer among blacks as compared with whites. Using incidence data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program, we tested this hypothesis by correlating black and white cancer incidence rates in three US metropolitan areas between 1978 and 1982 with data from the 1980 census on socioeconomic status within individual census tracts. The study analyzed data on the incidence of cancer at all sites combined (greater than 100 cancer sites) and at seven major sites separately. As in other studies, income and educational levels served as surrogates for socioeconomic status. The present study also used census-tract data on population density as a surrogate factor. Each of these measures of socioeconomic status was analyzed independently. Before correlation with census-tract data, age-adjusted data on cancer incidence showed statistically significant elevated risks among blacks for cancer at all sites combined and at four of the seven separate sites; whites showed an elevated risk for cancer at two sites. Cancer at only one site, the colon, showed no significant association with race. When age-adjusted incidence data were correlated with socioeconomic status, the comparative black-white risks changed: Whites showed an elevated risk of cancer at all sites combined and at three of the seven separate sites; blacks maintained their elevated risk at three sites. These findings suggest that the disproportionate distribution of blacks at lower socioeconomic levels accounts for much of the excess cancer burden among blacks. They also suggest that for both blacks and whites unidentified racial factors, which may be either cultural or genetic and which are not closely linked to socioeconomic status, may play a role in the incidence of some cancers.

Black or African American↗

Trends in cancer mortality in 15 industrialized countries, 1969-1986.

BACKGROUND: Assessing trends in cancer provides a means for gauging progress against the disease, estimating future demands for care and treatment, and suggesting clues about shifting causal factors that may account for the more recent changes. PURPOSE: This study was designed to evaluate trends in the major sites of cancer associated with high mortality rates in 15 industrialized countries. To highlight differences among regions, we grouped these countries into six geographic areas: United States, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, East Asia, Oceania, and Nordic countries. In addition, cancer mortality trends in these regions were compared with incidence patterns in the United States. METHODS: Data provided by the World Health Organization were used to evaluate age-specific mortality trends from 1969 through 1986 for lung, breast, prostate, stomach, and colorectal cancers and for all other sites considered as a group. We also assembled and analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program of the National Cancer Institute for the same sites and age groups from 1973 through 1986. RESULTS: Over the period 1969 through 1986, recorded cancer mortality in persons aged 45 years and older in the six regions studied has increased for lung, breast, and prostate cancers in most age groups, while the decline in stomach cancer mortality is substantial. The increase in lung cancer deaths in men aged 45-54 years has slowed greatly or reversed in all areas except Eastern Europe and East Asia. Trends for intestinal cancer vary by age and region. For all other sites considered as a group, increases have occurred for persons older than 64 years in most regions. In Eastern Europe, there are disturbingly high rates and rapid increases for several of the major forms of cancer in persons aged 45-54 years. In general, trends for cancer incidence in the United States parallel those for mortality. For intestinal cancer, however, incidence has increased while mortality has declined. CONCLUSIONS: The trends we report cannot be explained solely by changes in cigarette smoking or aging. Other causes of changes in cancer incidence and mortality need to be determined. IMPLICATIONS: The increasing and decreasing trends in mortality from and incidence of cancer that we found are important for health care planning and may also suggest opportunities for research in cancer prevention.

Age Factors↗

Cancer incidence in a population with a high prevalence of infection with human immunodeficiency virus type 1.

BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection is known to increase the incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Parallels with other causes of immunodeficiency suggest a possible effect of HIV-1 on additional cancers. PURPOSE: This study was designed to determine the types and rates of cancers occurring in excess in the presence of HIV-1 infection. METHODS: We examined cancer incidence in a population-based open cohort with a high prevalence of HIV-1 infection. The study population was never-married men aged 25-54 years who resided in San Francisco, Calif., of whom an estimated 20,000 (24%) were HIV-1 seropositive as of late 1984. Cancer registration data covering 1,390,000 person-years of observation of these men from 1973 through 1990 were obtained from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Standardized incidence rates and ratios of observed to expected cases (based on rates in the pre-acquired immunodeficiency syndrome [pre-AIDS] period [i.e., 1973-1979]) were calculated for cancers classified by site and by cell type. RESULTS: The incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma in never-married men plateaued in 1988-1990 at 0.5% per year. The incidence of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma increased 20-fold between 1973-1979 and 1988-1990; increases were most pronounced in tumors of higher grade histology and extranodal (especially central nervous system) primary sites. The incidence of Burkitt's and Burkitt-like tumors peaked in 1985-1987, whereas that of large cell diffuse and immunoblastic lymphomas increased throughout the study period. The incidence of Hodgkin's disease was 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.3-3.0) times expected in 1988-1990. The incidence of anal cancer was 9.9 (95% CI = 4.5-18.7) times expected in 1973-1979 and 10.1 (95% CI = 5.0-18.0) times expected in 1988-1990. Ratios of observed to expected cancers of most other sites were 2.0 or less; the ratio of leiomyosarcomas (at any site) was 2.5 (95% CI = 0.5-7.4). CONCLUSIONS: As the HIV-1 epidemic has progressed, the increases in AIDS-related Kaposi's sarcoma, Burkitt's tumor, and other non-Hodgkin's lymphoma have followed different patterns. The effect of HIV-1 on other cancers has been nondetectable. In particular, HIV-1 is not related to the increased risk of anal cancer in homosexual men, which antedated the AIDS epidemic. IMPLICATIONS: These data suggest that the etiologic mechanisms of HIV-1-related malignancy differ for specific cancers and do not globally increase cancer risk. Control of HIV-1-related cancer remains an unsolved challenge in the management of HIV-1 infection.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Factors associated with surgical and radiation therapy for early stage breast cancer in older women.

BACKGROUND: In addition to demographic and health care-related characteristics, the age and physiologic status of women at the time of breast cancer diagnosis have been reported to influence receipt of standard treatments. Previous studies of the influence of age and comorbidity have not examined whether other patient-, region-, or health care-related characteristics altered the association of age and comorbidity with type of treatment received. PURPOSE: This study examined factors associated with receipt of breast-conserving surgery and radiation therapy, both of which are recommended treatments for breast cancer, among a cohort of 18,704 women aged 65 years or more who had breast cancer diagnosed during the period from 1985 through 1989. METHODS: A data file linking Medicare claims records to data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program of the U.S. National Cancer Institute was utilized. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine associations between patient, region, and hospital characteristics and the receipt of specific treatments. The likelihood test was used to assess the significance of observed associations (expressed as odds ratios [ORs]). Because of multiple comparisons, only those ORs with two-sided P values <.01 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The frequency of breast-conserving surgery was highest (54%) among women aged 80 years or more, who had two or more comorbid conditions and stage I disease. However, in general, the receipt of radiation therapy among women undergoing breast-conserving surgery declined markedly with age, irrespective of comorbidity status and disease stage. Between the ages of 65-69 years and 80 years or older, radiation therapy declined from 77% to 24% among women with no comorbid conditions and from 50% to 12% among women with two or more comorbid conditions. In regression models that included hospital, region, and patient characteristics as variables, age and comorbidity remained independently associated with the receipt of radiation therapy (OR = 0.12 and 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.10-0.14 for women aged 80 years or more compared with women 65-69 years of age and OR of 0.33 [95% CI = 0.24-0.46] for women with two or more comorbid conditions versus no comorbid conditions). CONCLUSIONS: After adjustment for multiple clinical and nonclinical factors influencing treatment, chronologic age remains an important independent factor associated with the receipt of radiation therapy after breast-conserving surgery among women aged 65 years or more who were diagnosed with early stage breast cancer. IMPLICATIONS: Future studies should determine whether these differences in treatment patterns among older women result in increased morbidity (e.g., from recurrence), shortened disease-free or overall survival, or decreased quality of life.

Age Factors↗

Representation of African-Americans, Hispanics, and whites in National Cancer Institute cancer treatment trials.

BACKGROUND: The National Cancer Institute (NCI)-sponsored clinical trials cooperative groups place more than 25 000 American patients in treatment trials every year. Equal access and proportional representation of all races/ethnicities is desired. PURPOSE: Our objectives were to evaluate the inclusion of African-Americans, Hispanics, and non-Hispanic whites in NCI-sponsored treatment trials and to determine if there is proportional racial/ethnic representation. METHODS: During the period of January 1, 1991, through June 30, 1994, 99 495 cancer patients were enrolled in clinical trials and declared themselves as non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, or Hispanic (of any race). In the analysis, participants in NCI treatment trials were subdivided into three age groups: birth to 19 years, 20-49 years, and 50 or more years. The racial/ethnic composition of each of these age groups was compared with the racial/ethnic makeup of the American population with cancer. Estimates of the number of incident cancer cases per year were made for each racial/ethnic group within each age group using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program and the 1990 Census. The percentage of all cancer patients who were in each racial/ethnic group were compared with the population that entered clinical trials. Comparisons are also made separately for patients with leukemia and breast, colorectal, lung, and prostate cancers. RESULTS: Among patients 0-19 years old, 20-49 years old, and 50 years old or older there is relatively proportional representation of non-Hispanic blacks, Hispanics, and non-Hispanic whites in trials. It is noted that more than 70% of cancer patients aged 0-19 years are estimated to enter cooperative group clinical trials compared with 4.0% of cancer patients aged 20-49 years and 1.5% of patients aged 50 years or older. CONCLUSIONS: Accrual of American cancer patients to NCI-sponsored treatment trials generally parallels the incident burden of disease among non-Hispanic African-Americans, Hispanics, and non-Hispanic whites. IMPLICATIONS: This study shows that the NCI clinical trials are, as a whole, racially/ethnically representative of the American population and suggests that there is equal access to NCI clinical trials.

Black or African American↗

Assessing changes in the impact of cancer on population survival without considering cause of death.

BACKGROUND: We have previously argued against the calculation of cancer-specific death rates as philosophically undefined and biased. Deaths attributed to cancer during a particular year occur in patients diagnosed during an unknown distribution of past times, so cancer-specific death rates cannot be used to assess changes in the impact of cancer on survival of the population at specific periods of diagnosis. PURPOSE: Our goal was to develop and analyze three measures of the impact of cancer on population survival that do not use the attributed cause of death: 1) the age-adjusted proportion of the population diagnosed with cancer in a particular year and projected to be dead of any cause by a particular age; 2) the same measure corrected for population mortality; and 3) the expected years of life lost to a 20-year-old individual because of the possibility of a diagnosis of cancer. METHODS: Data on all adults diagnosed with any cancer during the period from January 1973 through December 1990 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program of the National Cancer Institute. The measures were calculated separately for various combined sex and race groups. Three 2-year diagnosis periods spaced 5 years apart were considered: 1975-1976, 1980-1981, and 1985-1986. A statistical model was used to extrapolate survival beyond observation; the same model was used for patients diagnosed in the three time periods to minimize the effect of possible model misspecification on changes. RESULTS: Cancer incidence increased for three of the four sex-race groups; age-adjusted changes from 1975 through 1976 to 1985 through 1986 were +11.5% for white men, +6.9% for white women, +15.1% for black men, and -9.2% for black women. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related cancers were responsible for an increased cancer incidence at early ages in white men in the latest time period studied. There was a decrease in the incidence of gynecologic cancers at early ages; the decrease was greater among black women (-55.1%) than among white women (-39.3%). Age- and incidence-adjusted 5-year survival increased by 17.9% for white men, 2.3% for white women, and 7.4% for black men and decreased by 14.1% for black women. When the data from 1985 through 1986 were compared with those from 1975 through 1976, the expected number of years lost to a 20-year-old individual because of cancer changed as follows for the various sex-race groups: +1.4% for white men (-4.0% if HIV-related cancers were not included in the calculation), +2.1% for white women, +12.2% for black men, and +8.8% for black women. CONCLUSIONS: For white men and women, there has been an increase in both the incidence of and survival following the diagnosis of cancer; the two effects nearly cancel in our measures. The experience of black men and women has worsened because of increasing incidence or decreased survival.

Adult↗

Are deaths within 1 month of cancer-directed surgery attributed to cancer?

BACKGROUND: Cancer mortality should include not only deaths from cancer but also deaths from cancer treatment. By convention, deaths within 30 days of a surgical procedure are considered treatment-related deaths in the calculation of operative mortality-that is, the chance of dying from surgery. How cause of death is attributed in patients who die within 1 month of cancer-directed surgery is unknown. METHODS: The National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program data from 1994 through 1998 were used to examine the cause of death in patients diagnosed with one of 19 common solid tumors who had died within 1 month of diagnosis and had also received cancer-directed surgery. We determined the proportion of deaths not attributed to the cancer and the magnitude of the undercount in cancer-specific mortality. RESULTS: Among 4135 patients with only one cancer who died within 1 month of diagnosis and cancer-directed surgery, the proportion of deaths not attributed to the coded cancer was 41% (1714/4135), ranging from 13% (1/8) for cervical cancer to 81% (13/16) for laryngeal cancer. Selected intermediate values include 25% (14/56) for esophageal cancer, 34% (177/525) for lung cancer, 42% (719/1695) for colorectal cancer, 59% (110/186) for breast cancer, and 75% (80/106) for prostate cancer. Restricting the analysis to deaths following specific major procedures (e.g., esophagectomy, pneumonectomy, colectomy) had little effect on the findings. If all deaths within 1 month of cancer-directed surgery were attributed to cancer, cancer mortality would rise about 1%. CONCLUSION: Some deaths that are conventionally attributed to surgery are not being attributed to the cancer for which the surgery was performed. Although the estimated effect of this misclassification on overall cancer mortality is modest, it may be indicative of more widespread confusion about how to code treatment-related deaths of patients with cancer.

Databases as Topic↗