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PubMed2005

Histologic coagulative tumor necrosis as a prognostic indicator of renal cell carcinoma aggressiveness.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic markers for renal cell carcinoma (RCC), such as patient symptoms, tumor stage, tumor size, and tumor grade, are useful for determining appropriate follow-up and selecting patients for adjuvant therapy. Histologic coagulative tumor necrosis, also reported to be a prognostic marker for RCC, has not previously been extensively described or investigated. Hence, the objective of the current study was to characterize tumor necrosis as a prognostic feature of RCC. METHODS: The authors of the current study identified 3009 patients treated surgically for RCC between 1970 and 2002 from the Mayo Clinic Nephrectomy Registry (Rochester, MN). Associations of tumor necrosis with clinical, laboratory, and pathologic features were examined with chi-square, Fisher exact test, and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Cancer-specific survival was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method, and associations with outcome were assessed with Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Tumor necrosis was present in 690 of 2445 (28%) clear cell, 196 of 421 (47%) papillary, and 28 of 143 (20%) chromophobe RCCs. The risk ratio for death from RCC in patients with necrotic compared with non-necrotic tumors was 5.27 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.56-6.09; P < 0.001) for clear cell, 4.20 (CI: 1.65-10.68; P < 0.001) for chromophobe, and 1.49 (CI: 0.81-2.74; P = 0.199) for papillary RCC. The survival difference for clear cell RCC persisted even after multivariate adjustment for tumor stage, size, and grade (risk ratio 1.90; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Histologic coagulative tumor necrosis is an independent predictor of outcome for clear cell and chromophobe RCC, and it should be routinely reported and used in clinical assessment.

Adenocarcinoma, Clear Cell↗
PubMed1989

Cell-mediated immune responses--prognostic indicators of survival from breast cancer.

The prognostic significance of cell-mediated immunity measured by a single post-operative in vitro lympho-proliferation assay with an autologous tumor hypotonic membrane preparation (HMP) and in the mixed leukocyte culture (MLC) is shown in white and black breast cancer patients followed for as long as 14 years. Nine of 16 white patients and 6 of 11 black patients who did not respond to their tumor but who had a normal MLC died of systemic breast cancer as compared to 1 of 20 white and 2 of 5 black patients who responded to the HMP and/or had a depressed MLC. When high-risk clinical variables (nodal status, tumor size and cell differentiation) were combined with high-risk immunological risk factors in white patients, the prognostic values of both the immunological and clinical categories were enhanced. Seven of 9 concordant high-risk white patients died from systemic breast cancer. These results point to the necessity of immunological testing as an aid in clinical staging of breast cancer patients.

Antigens, Neoplasm↗
PubMed2005

Pre- and post-chemotherapy alkaline phosphatase levels as prognostic indicators in adults with localised osteosarcoma.

The prognostic value of alkaline phosphatase (AP) measured before and after chemotherapy, but before surgery was established in a retrospective survey of patients. The patients were 18 years or older, with non-metastatic high-grade osteosarcoma. Pre-chemotherapy AP was available in 89 cases, post-chemotherapy AP in 86 patients, and both in 71 cases. AP was classified as Normal (< 100% upper limit), High (100% < or = AP < 200%) or Very High (AP > or = 200%). Osteosarcoma subtype was predominantly conventional. No correlation was found between subtype and chemotherapy response, local recurrence or survival. Pre-chemotherapy AP was raised more in the osteoblastic subtype. Post-chemotherapy AP and normalisation were the same among different subtypes. AP was not correlated with local recurrence. Normal or High pre-chemotherapy AP correlated with better survival at 10 years (64% and 70%) than Very High pre-chemotherapy AP (37%, P = 0.005). Post-chemotherapy AP correlated with survival (68%, 39% and 25% in the Normal, High and Very High group, P = 0.0007) and response to chemotherapy (P = 0.049). A pre-chemotherapy AP above twice Normal correlated with worse survival. If AP decreased after chemotherapy, but was still raised, survival was better, but still worse than if AP normalised. A raised post-chemotherapy AP predicts poor chemotherapy response.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Disseminated tumor cells in bone marrow of patients with transitional cell carcinoma: immunocytochemical detection and correlation with established prognostic indicators.

PURPOSE: Previous investigations have demonstrated the prognostic value of disseminated cytokeratin positive cells in bone marrow of patients with breast, gastric, colon and prostate cancer. We evaluated the potential of an immunocytochemical assay, using a monoclonal antibody against cytokeratin 18 (CK 18), for the detection of disseminated tumor cells in bone marrow aspirates of patients with transitional cell carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Bone marrow aspiration was performed preoperatively on 128 patients with transitional cell carcinoma of various stages and on 27 controls with nonmalignant disease. Cytospin preparations of mononuclear bone marrow cells were incubated with a monoclonal anti-CK 18 antibody and stained using the alkaline phosphatase anti-alkaline phosphatase technique. RESULTS: Of the patients with transitional cell carcinoma 29.7% and none of the controls had a CK 18 positive bone marrow result. A significant correlation between the incidence of CK 18 positive cells in bone marrow and invasive transitional cell carcinoma (p <0.01), lymph node involvement (p <0.01), medium/high grade transitional cell carcinoma (p <0.01) and tumor progression in recurrent transitional cell carcinoma (p <0.05) was demonstrated. Furthermore, the mean number of CK 18 positive cells in bone marrow aspirates of patients with stage M+ and/or N+ disease was nearly 3 times as high as that of patients without clinically evident metastatic disease (10.4 versus 3.8 CK 18 positive cells per patient). CONCLUSIONS: A significant correlation between the incidence of CK 18 positive bone marrow results in patients with transitional cell carcinoma and established risk factors could be demonstrated in our study. Further prospective followup studies should be performed to determine the prognostic value of these findings.

Aged↗
PubMed1988

Prognostic indicators in centroblastic-centrocytic lymphoma.

The prognostic importance of ploidy and proliferative index (%S + G2) assessed by flow cytometry, mitotic and centroblast counts, and histological growth pattern were evaluated in biopsy specimens taken before treatment from 60 cases of centroblastic-centrocytic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Cases with a high proliferative index (greater than or equal to 18%) or DNA aneuploidy showed significantly poorer survival than those with a low proliferative index (less than 18%). A high mitotic count was also associated with a poor prognosis. On multiple regression analysis the flow cytometric assessments and mitotic counts were significant predictors of survival. Assessments of proliferative activity clearly have prognostic potential in centroblastic-centrocytic lymphoma and may permit more accurate characterisation of individual tumours.

Adult↗
PubMed1987

DNA flow cytometry as a prognostic indicator in head and neck cancer.

The prognostic significance of deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) flow cytometry has been investigated for many solid tumors, but few data have been accumulated for squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck. To our knowledge, we report the largest number of patients (69) with head and neck primary carcinomas to be studied by DNA flow cytometry. In the first part of this study, we reviewed 109 consecutive patients with laryngeal or hypopharyngeal primary carcinomas which were treated at North Carolina Memorial Hospital during the period of 1981 to 1984. The final analysis comprised 139 DNA histograms (mean coefficient of variation: 8.02) on paraffin-embedded specimens from 48 patients. Of the 48 patients with primary carcinomas, 24 had glottic, 18 had supraglottic, and 6 had carcinomas from the piriform sinus. Patients had follow-up for a minimum of 12 months, with a mean follow-up period of 23 months. Twenty-three of the 48 primary carcinomas (48%) were clearly aneuploid, and the remaining 52% were tetraploid (22%) or diploid (30%). We have concluded that patients with clearly aneuploid primary carcinomas had significantly better prognoses than those with diploid tumors (p = 0.008). High DNA amounts (greater than 40% of cells beyond the diploid peak, DNA G1G0) also correlated with a favorable prognosis when compared with low DNA amounts (p less than 0.01), and this remained significant when the clinical outcome was adjusted for staging of the primary site (T), nodal status, and stage of disease. Ploidy was the most significant prognostic variable for the laryngeal group of patients. In the second part of the study, twenty-one patients with oral cavity squamous cell carcinomas were studied in a similar fashion as the group with laryngeal carcinomas. In this group, a low DNA amount, with 40% as the cutoff point, was associated with a favorable prognosis (p = 0.024), and this remained significant while controlling for T, nodal status, and stage of disease. Numbers were too small to permit evaluation of the impact of ploidy in this group, but there was a slight trend toward aneuploidy and tetraploidy, correlating with a poor treatment outcome (p = 0.228). DNA amount was the most significant prognostic variable for the group of patients with oral cavity carcinomas.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Adult↗
PubMed1991

Serosal invasion as the single prognostic indicator in stage IIIA (T3N1M0) gastric cancer.

Prognostic factors of gastric cancer with positive serosal invasion and regional lymph node metastasis were evaluated by multivariate analysis. Sixty-seven patients with the T3N1M0 subgroup of stage IIIA disease were evaluated, in which 34.9 +/- 13.4 nodes were dissected in extended lymph node dissection, and 6.5 +/- 6.2 were metastatic. Routine postoperative systemic chemotherapy with mitomycin C and N1-(2'-tetrahydrofuryl)-5-fluorouracil was administered. With this approach, the 5-year survival rate of stage IIIA disease was 47.6%. By Cox proportional hazards model, diameter of serosal invasion was the only significant determinant of prognosis in the T3N1M0 subgroup. The predicted 5-year survival rate for 24 patients with serosal invasion less than 3.0 cm in diameter was 59.5%, compared with 11.5% for 38 patients with invasion of 3.0 cm or larger in diameter. The number of metastatic nodes and the type of operation (total gastrectomy or less than total gastrectomy) did not affect the prognosis. When gastric cancer has both positive serosal invasion and metastatic regional lymph nodes, the diameter of serosal invasion is the more important factor for predicting prognosis.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed1996

[DNA index as a significant prognostic indicator of colorectal cancer].

To investigate the prognostic significance of DNA ploidy pattern and DNA index (DI), DNA contents were measured by flow cytometer in 412 patients with colorectal cancer and correlation between their prognoses and DNA contents were analyzed on the same clinical stage. There were significant differences in the survival rate and the incidence of tumor recurrence between diploid and aneuploid tumors, especially the poor survival rate and frequent tumor recurrence in the aneuploid tumor with DI above 1.5. Cox's multiple regression proportional hazard model was used to investigate the prognostic value of DNA ploidy pattern, DI and clinicopathological findings. From these analyses, DI 1.5 was found to be the most significant prognostic factor. These results suggest that flow cytometrically evaluated DI values have a relevant independent power for predicting the clinical outcome of colorectal cancer patients.

Colorectal Neoplasms↗
PubMed2006

Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase is a novel prognostic indicator for endometrial cancer.

Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO) is a tryptophan-catabolising enzyme inducing immune tolerance. The present study aimed to investigate IDO expression and its prognostic significance in endometrial cancer. Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase expression in endometrial cancer tissues (n = 80) was immunohistochemically scored as four groups (IDO-, 1+, 2+, and 3+). The high IDO expression (IDO2+ or 3+) in tumour cells was found in 37 (46.3%) of the 80 cases, and was positively correlated with surgical stage, myometrial invasion, lymph-vascular space involvement, and lymph node metastasis, but not with the histological grade. Patients with high IDO expression had significantly impaired overall survival and progression-free survival (PFS) (P = 0.002 and P = 0.001, respectively) compared to patients with no or weak expression of IDO (IDO- or 1+). The 5-year PFS for IDO-/1+, 2+, and 3+ were 97.7, 72.9, and 36.4%, respectively. Even in patients with early-stage disease (International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics I/II, n = 64), the PFS for IDO2+/3+ was significantly poor (P = 0.001) compared to that for IDO-/1+. On multivariate analysis, IDO expression was an independent prognostic factor for PFS (P = 0.020). These results indicated that the high IDO expression was involved in the progression of endometrial cancer and correlated with the impaired clinical outcome, suggesting that IDO is a novel and reliable prognostic indicator for endometrial cancer.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗
PubMed2003

Different prognostic indices in 310 patients with tonsillar carcinomas.

BACKGROUND: Several modifications of the TNM system have been reported as better prognostic tools than the original classification in head and neck cancer, but none of these modifications has been tested in a large series of tonsillar carcinomas. These studies did not examine host and treatment factors as predictors in addition to TNM. METHODS: Three hundred and ten consecutively untreated patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the tonsillar region admitted to the Norwegian Radium Hospital and/or the National Hospital between 1960 and 1996 were included. RESULTS: The five reported TN-based stage modifications were all highly significant predictors of survival. Four clinical variables indicating shorter disease-specific survival were identified: age > 60, male gender, total radiation dose < 70 Gy, and duration of radiotherapy > 50 days. CONCLUSIONS: Earlier reported TNM-based stage modifications are all very useful predictors of survival in tonsillar carcinomas. In addition, age, gender, total radiation dose, and duration of radiotherapy were important prognostic factors. We propose that both host and treatment factors should be tested carefully when building new prognostic indices in tonsillar carcinomas.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1986

Periodic acid-Schiff stain as a prognostic indicator in serous and mucinous ovarian tumors.

The prognostic significance of periodic acid-Schiff (PAS) stain in 112 serous: 43 benign, 25 borderline and 44 malignant cystadenomas: and in 106 mucinous: 60 benign, 32 borderline and 14 malignant cystadenomas of the ovary were investigated. The amount of positively stained mucin was estimated morphometrically. The outcome of most patients with benign or borderline lesion was good. One patient with benign mucinous cystadenoma died, however, of pseudomyxoma peritonei and another patient with borderline mucinous cystadenoma died of peritoneal carcinosis. Other patients were alive and free of the disease after a follow-up of 1-14 years, or had died of causes unrelated to the ovarian disease. Abundant PAS positive mucin predicted a longer survival both in serous and in mucinous malignant tumors. The 5-year survivals for the serous cystadenocarcinomas with and without PAS positive mucin were 21% and 13%, respectively (not statistically significant). For mucinous cystadenocarcinomas with mucin value over and below the median, the 5-year survival rates were 57% and 14%, respectively (P less than 0.10). High PAS positivity in both serous and mucinous cystadenocarcinomas clearly indicated better prognosis, although statistical significance was not achieved. Thus, further studies are needed for final evaluation of the prognostic significance of the PAS stain in these ovarian tumors.

Cystadenocarcinoma↗
PubMed1989

New malignancy grading is a better prognostic indicator than Broders' grading in oral squamous cell carcinomas.

The prognostic value of histopathologic grading of oral squamous cell carcinomas (SCC) has varied from not any to highly significant. We have retrospectively studied all (130) SCCs registered in Norway 1963-72 in the buccal and maxillary alveolar mucosa. From 68 of these cases biopsy specimens of acceptable quality were obtained. Broders' method of grading was compared with a modification of a recent malignancy grading system recommended by Anneroth et al. which was performed only within the histologically most invasive areas of the tumors. Cox's multivariate survival analyses showed that this grading in the invasive sites had highly significant prognostic value. Broders grade had no prognostic value. The stage of tumor had also prognostic value. These highly significant results indicate that the histologically invasive areas may be primarily responsible for the clinical behavior of the tumor, and this may be of importance for the choice of therapy for oral SCC.

Carcinoma, Squamous Cell↗
PubMed2003

International and Italian prognostic indices in follicular lymphoma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The International Prognostic Index (IPI), initially designed for aggressive lymphomas, has been successfully used in patients with follicular lymphoma (FL). The Italian Lymphoma Intergroup (ILI) created a new prognostic index specific for FL. The aim of this study was to compare which of these two indices is more useful when applied to a large group of FL patients. DESIGN AND METHODS: Both indices, IPI (age >60 years, extranodal involvement >=2 sites, elevated lactate dehydrogenase, ECOG >=2, stage >=3) and ILI (age >60 years, extranodal involvement >=2 sites, elevated lactate dehydrogenase, male sex, B symptoms, erythrocyte sedimentation rate >=30 mm 1(st) hour) were calculated in a group of 398 FL patients. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) associated with each prognostic group were calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: The overall concordance between both indices was 73%. According to the IPI 122 patients (31%) were in the higher risk group, whereas according to the ILI 132 (33%) were; concordance between the high risk groups was 66%. The 10-years OS and PFS rates after applying the IPI system were 73% and 37%, respectively, in the low risk groups; 47% and 26%, in the intermediate risk groups and 25% and 2%, in the high risk groups (log-rank=69.2 and 41.3, respectively; p<0.0001). According to ILI index the 10-year OS and PFS were 60% and 34%, respectively, in the low risk groups; 59% and 30%, in the intermediate risk groups and 17% and 0%, in the high risk groups (log-rank=86.6 and 58.5, respectively; p<0.0001). INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS: Both the IPI and ILI index, are useful for classifying FL patients into different risk groups. Although it seems that the ILI index has a higher discriminating power among groups, significant differences were not observed in identifying FL patients with a poor outcome.

Aged↗
PubMed1999

The utility of mitotic index, oestrogen receptor and Ki-67 measurements in the creation of novel prognostic indices for node-negative breast cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Prognostic factors can be useful to identify node-negative patients at increased risk of relapse who should receive adjuvant treatment. In the past, oestrogen receptor status and mitotic index have been shown to be significant predictors of prognosis. Different techniques for the measurement of these prognostic factors are available. METHODS: Paraffin-embedded tumour specimens from 441 pre-menopausal patients with node-negative breast cancer who were previously randomized onto a trial comparing peri-operative chemotherapy with no further therapy were studied. Oestrogen receptor status was determined by the classical biochemical assay and by immunohistochemistry (ER-IA). Mitotic index was assessed by counting the number of mitoses and by calculating the percentage of tumour cells positively staining for the antibody Ki-67. RESULTS: There was a good correlation between ER-IA and the biochemical ER-assay (P<0.01), and the percentage of Ki-67 positive tumour cells and mitotic counts (P<0.01) respectively. However, ER-IA significantly predicted disease-free survival (RR=2.67, 95% CI: 1.60-4.44, P<0.01) whereas the biochemical assay was only borderline significant (RR=1.54, 95% CI: 1.00-2.36, P=0.05). Similarly, Ki-67 was a stronger indicator of prognosis (RR=2.84, 95% CI: 1.80-4.48, P<0.01) than mitotic counts (RR=1.56, 95% CI: 1.22-2. 00, P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that ER-IA performs better in predicting prognosis than the classical biochemical oestrogen receptor assay. Ki-67 is a more accurate marker for tumour cell proliferation and predicts prognosis of patients with breast cancer better than do mitotic counts.

Adult↗
PubMed1989

Inducibility of sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia as a prognostic indicator in survivors of recent myocardial infarction: a prospective evaluation in relation to other prognostic variables.

The prognostic significance of sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia inducible with up to three extrastimuli was assessed in relation to other prognostic markers, including clinical assessment, signal-average electrocardiogram (ECG), Holter monitoring, ejection fraction measurement and exercise testing, in 75 patients after recent myocardial infarction. Among eight patients with inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia, six suffered arrhythmic events during a median follow-up period of 16 months. No patient without inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia suffered an arrhythmic event. Multivariate analysis showed that of all the variables examined, inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia was the only independent predictor of arrhythmic events during the follow-up period. The sensitivity for predicting arrhythmic events by this response was 100%, the specificity 97% and the positive predictive accuracy 75%. Individually, the other prognostic variables were less sensitive and much less accurate predictors of arrhythmic events, but the combination of the occurrence of acute phase complications or frequent ectopic activity with an abnormal signal-averaged ECG approached the sensitivity and accuracy of inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia. The prognostic utility of programmed ventricular stimulation in patients with recent myocardial infarction is limited because comparable information can be obtained less invasively. However, the test may have a role in selecting therapy in patients judged to be at risk from arrhythmias on the basis of noninvasive assessment.

Adult↗
PubMed1991

Right ventricular aneurysm: a new prognostic indicator after a first acute myocardial infarction.

The prognostic implication of a right ventricular aneurysm after a first acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was assessed on a series of 137 AMI patients 12 of whom had a right ventricular aneurysm detected at radionuclide angiocardiography. The follow-up lasted 36 months. Mortality was 50 and 18.4% in patients with and without right ventricular aneurysm, respectively (p less than 0.02). Groups did not differ in age, male-to-female ratio, AMI site, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), peak filling rate (PFR), left ventricular size. A multivariate logistic analysis showed that only three out of ten clinical and functional variables qualified to be independent predictors of death: right ventricular aneurysm (odd ratio = 2.48, confidence limits = 1.21-4.98), LVEF less than 52% (odd ratio = 1.91, confidence limits = 1.03-3.48), abnormal terminal P wave forces (odd ratio = 1.72, confidence limits = 1.07-2.75). The analysis of single case histories did not provide a clue to clarify the reasons accounting for the negative prognostic implication of a right ventricular aneurysm. In conclusion, a significant positive relationship between right ventricular aneurysm and mortality after AMI has been demonstrated; further study is needed to clarify the relevant mechanisms.

Aged↗
PubMedDate not supplied

The serum ferritin concentration is a significant prognostic indicator of survival in primary lung cancer.

The prognostic significance of serum ferritin on survival in lung cancer was evaluated. One hundred and ninety-seven patients were referred for evaluation of pulmonary lesions; 115 patients (85 men) had primary lung cancer. Their median age was 57 years. Seventy-four patients (43 men) with benign lung disease were enrolled as controls. Their median age was 53 years. Serum ferritin was measured at diagnosis. Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) (n=90) was graded according to the TNM-system and small cell lung cancer (SCLC) (n=25) in limited and extensive disease. Follow-up was median 30 months (range 23-36). Patients with lung cancer had higher median ferritin than controls (245 vs. 145 microg/l, p<0.00001): the prevalence of ferritin >300 microg/l was 37% in patients with lung cancer and 14% in controls (p<0.001). There was no significant difference in ferritin between patients with different stages either in NSCLC or in SCLC. Patients with SCLC had higher median ferritin than patients with NSCLC (344 vs. 233 microg/l, p<0.05). No significant differences in ferritin could be demonstrated among the other histological tumour types. The overall survival rate in patients with lung cancer was 52% after 1 year, 33% after 2 years, and 13% after 3 years. Survival rate was lower in patients with ferritin >300 microg/l than in those with ferritin < or =300 microg/l (p<0.0001). The probability of survival 1, 2 and 3 years after diagnosis in patients with ferritin >300 microg/l was 36, 20 and 4%, respectively, and in patients with ferritin < or =300 it was 63, 42 and 18%, respectively (p<0.0001). An elevated ferritin was a significant prognostic factor (p<0.01) even after adjustment for performance status, age, sex, TNM stage, and histological tumour type. TNM stage and performance status were likewise predictors of survival (p<0.01 and p<0.001, respectively). There exists a clinically relevant relationship between serum ferritin concentration and the prognosis of survival in patients with primary lung cancer. The routine use of serum ferritin should be considered in the evaluation and follow-up of pulmonary malignancies.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed1990

Nuclear morphometry as a prognostic indicator in colorectal carcinoma resected for cure.

The prognostic value of nuclear morphometry in addition to clinical and pathologic features was retrospectively studied in 64 cases of colorectal carcinoma resected for cure with a minimum of five years of follow-up. By univariate analysis, patient outcome was found to correlate with the presence of serosal involvement (P = .003), the presence of lymph node involvement (P = .01), the number of involved lymph nodes (P = .0001) and the mean nuclear area (P = .02). With multivariate analysis, only the number of involved lymph nodes significantly correlated with the survival (P = .0001). In a subsequent multivariate model expressing lymph node status as the presence or absence of metastasis, the presence or absence of serosal involvement and the mean nuclear area were both found to independently correlate with the outcome (P = .003 and P = .02, respectively). Linear regression analysis revealed significant colinearity between the mean nuclear area and the number of involved lymph nodes (P = .03). Accelerated failure time models based on determination of serosal involvement and then either specification of the number of involved lymph nodes or calculation of the mean nuclear area were of comparable predictive value to the determination of the number of involved lymph nodes alone. The former appeared to be better at identifying a subgroup of patients with good prognosis. This study demonstrates that two or more models based on pathologic features may be of comparable predictive value in colorectal carcinoma resected for cure, including models that incorporate mean nuclear area.

Adenocarcinoma↗