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PubMed1995

Capture-recapture and multiple-record systems estimation II: Applications in human diseases. International Working Group for Disease Monitoring and Forecasting.

This article evaluates the potential epidemiologic uses of capture-recapture, which include the primary area of determining disease frequency. Capture-recapture may be a means to effectively "count" new cases (incidence) or count existing cases (prevalence). Specific applications of capture-recapture in epidemiology are presented, one of which is its use in estimating death rates in a region close to Calcutta, India. The method also has considerable potential to assess suicides, and it may be the only technique to assess disease frequency in developing countries. In addition to generating an estimate of population size, another application of capture-recapture is to assess the costs of ascertainment relative to the degree of accuracy. This approach provides a formal means for assessing the cost-benefits of lists for the identification of cases. The authors believe that with careful and appropriate use, capture-recapture methods will provide a new approach that can considerably improve our ability to monitor disease.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

The immune response of the desert locust Schistocerca gregaria during mycosis of the entomopathogenic fungus, Metarhizium anisopliae var acridum.

Topical application of Metarhizium anisopliae var acridum to the desert locust Schistocerca gregaria resulted in changes in the biochemistry and antimicrobial defenses of the haemolymph. M. anisopliae var acridum colonized the host haemolymph from day two post application. The haemocytes did not attach to, phagocytose or nodulate elements of the fungus. However, the presence of the fungus appeared to stimulate hemocyte aggregation over the first few days of mycosis though the number of aggregates declined subsequently. The total hemocyte count increased two days after application, indicating an overall stimulation of the immune system, but declined to a value below that for uninoculated controls by day four. The differential haemocyte count showed that the initial increase in total haemocyte count was primarily due to a larger number of coagulocytes. After day two consistent declines in cell number were observed for all haemocyte classes in mycosed insects. The activity of the enzyme, phenoloxidase, decreased during the course of infection. However, the converse was true for prophenoloxidase. Lysozyme levels were significantly smaller in infected than control locusts. There was a significant correlation between lysozyme and PO activities when data from mycosed and control insects were combined. The total protein content of the haemolymph decreased during the course of infection.

Journal Article↗
PubMedDate not supplied

The expanded application of most probable number to the quantitative evaluation of extremely low microbial count.

This paper is about the evaluation of the extremely low microbial counts from the field by expanding the most probable number (MPN) methodology when the data follow Poisson distribution in order to achieve more accurate estimation with limited number of data. Several data sets with extremely low microbial counts from pharmaceutical clean room and laboratory clean bench monitoring were found with good Poisson distribution fitness by chi2 test (P < 0.05), and the MPN calculations were conducted for these data by using the Halvorson and Ziegler equation. The MPN values are generally larger than the arithmetic average, indicating a higher sensitivity of the data assay. This approach is justified because Poisson distribution is the mathematical background of the MPN procedure, with the Halvorson and Ziegler equation as its foundation. It is considered that the MPN methodology has a potential application for quality control in the extremely low level microbial counting environment in the clean rooms levels ISO class 7 or above. Further studies on the precision of this method and development of a sampling plan based on careful mathematical analysis will help to refine the approach.

Air Microbiology↗
PubMed1977

The application of an image analyzing computer (Quantimet 720) for quantitation of biological structures--the automatic counting of mast cells.

A Quantimet 720 image analyzer was utilized in order to 1) quantify mast cells automatically in gingiva and in doing so to 2) investigate the applicability and accuracy of the machine for quantitative analysis of biological structures. The mast cells of two hundred gingival sections were counted first by means of the Quantimet and then by manual count. Results indicated that a) mean counts of mast cells obtained by means of the Quantimet were comparable to that of the manual counts, b) although the spread was larger than by manual methods, the Quantimet automatic image analyzer performed quantitation more rapidly.

Animals↗
PubMed2004

On-clock non-paralyzable count-loss model.

This paper proposes a new count-loss model that is applicable to radiation detection systems in the field of nuclear medicine. The proposed model, represented by n = (1 - exp(-tau(n)0))/tau(n)0: input rate, n: output rate,tau: system clock duration), gives higher count rates than the well-known standard nonparalyzable (non-extensible) model represented by n = n0/(1 + tau(n)0) does, being equally simple. This model assumes that a part of the data processing is performed on a fixed system clock, requiring a data buffering function (latch) to retain digital event information temporarily, and that input timing is random. The model's simple interpretation and expression also offers an advantage over various other advanced count-loss models proposed so far. This model was found to be a better fit to a data-acquisition system for a positron emission tomography scanner.

Algorithms↗
PubMed1976

Intrathecal cytostatic chemotherapy of meningitis carcinomatosa. Clinical manifestation and cerebrospinal fluid cytology in a case of metastatic carcinoma of the breast.

Effects of intrathecal cytostatic chemotherapy on the clinical symptoms and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) findings are being demonstrated in a case of metastatic carcinoma of the breast with sighns of meningeal irritation and cranial nerve involvement. Clinical symptoms disappeared after repeated intrathecal applications of methotrexate. CSF cell counts were reverted to normal but tumor cells were found to be persistant in CSF over a period of 19 months. Risks of combined intrathecal and systemic cytostatic therapy and possible effects of parenteral citrovorum factor applications are being discussed. The importance of continued intrathecal chemotherapy and of regular and thorough examination of CSF cells in meningitis carcinomatosa is emphasized. Cytological methods included investigations on viable CSF cells.

Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous↗
PubMed1999

Lung counting: a function to fit counting efficiency of a lung counting germanium detector array to muscle-equivalent-chest-wall-thickness and photon energy using a realistic torso phantom.

A function has been developed that will fit counting efficiency to chest wall thickness, adipose content of the chest wall, and photon energy. The adipose content of the chest wall is removed as a variable by use of the derived quantity: muscle equivalent chest wall thickness. The function has been tested on experimental data sets obtained from the LLNL and JAERI torso phantoms using a variety of germanium detector lung counting systems. The function is applicable over the range of existing phantoms and the range of equipment types tested. Subtle differences between the detector systems are shown by differences in the fit parameters. This analysis could be a useful addition to lung counting analysis software. The LLNL and JAERI phantoms have very similar counting characteristics as evidenced by the similarity of the function parameters when measured using a single detector system.

Calibration↗
PubMed2004

Protocol for evaluating the efficacy of cetylpyridinium chloride as a beef hide intervention.

The objective of this study was to establish the necessary protocols and assess the efficacy of cetylpyridinium chloride (CPC) as an antimicrobial intervention on beef cattle hides. Experiments using CPC were conducted to determine (i) the methods of neutralization needed to obtain valid efficacy measurements, (ii) the effect of concentration and dwell time after treatment, (iii) the effect of CPC on hide and carcass microbial populations when cattle were treated at a feedlot and then transported to a processing facility for harvest, and (iv) the effectiveness of spray pressure and two-spray combinations of CPC and water to reduce hide microbial populations. Residual CPC in hide sponge samples prevented bacterial growth. Dey-Engley neutralization media at 7.8% and a centrifugation step were necessary to overcome this problem. All dwell times, ranging from 30 s to 4 h, after 1% CPC application to cattle hides resulted in aerobic plate counts and Enterobacteriaceae counts 1.5 log CFU/100 cm2 lower than controls. The most effective dose of CPC was 1%, which reduced aerobic plate counts and Enterobacteriaceae counts 2 and 1 log CFU/100 cm2, respectively. Low-pressure application of 1% CPC at the feedlot, transport to the processing facility, and harvest within 5 h of application resulted in no effect on Escherichia coli O157 prevalence on hides or preevisceration carcasses. Two high-pressure CPC washes lowered aerobic plate counts and Enterobacteriaceae counts by 4 log CFU/100 cm2, and two medium-pressure CPC washes were only slightly less effective. These results indicate that under the proper conditions, CPC may still be effective for reducing microbial populations on cattle hides. Further study is warranted to determine if this effect will result in reduction of hide-to-carcass contamination during processing.

Animals↗
PubMed1997

Modeling accident frequencies as zero-altered probability processes: an empirical inquiry.

This paper presents an empirical inquiry into the applicability of zero-altered counting processes to roadway section accident frequencies. The intent of such a counting process is to distinguish sections of roadway that are truly safe (near zero-accident likelihood) from those that are unsafe but happen to have zero accidents observed during the period of observation (e.g. one year). Traditional applications of Poisson and negative binomial accident frequency models do not account for this distinction and thus can produce biased coefficient estimates because of the preponderance of zero-accident observations. Zero-altered probability processes such as the zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) and zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) distributions are examined and proposed for accident frequencies by roadway functional class and geographic location. The findings show that the ZIP structure models are promising and have great flexibility in uncovering processes affecting accident frequencies on roadway sections observed with zero accidents and those with observed accident occurrences. This flexibility allows highway engineers to better isolate design factors that contribute to accident occurrence and also provides additional insight into variables that determine the relative accident likelihoods of safe versus unsafe roadways. The generic nature of the models and the relatively good power of the Vuong specification test used in the non-nested hypotheses of model specifications offers roadway designers the potential to develop a global family of models for accident frequency prediction that can be embedded in a larger safety management system.

Accidents, Traffic↗
PubMed1993

Kinetics of the persistence of chromosomal DNA from genetically engineered Escherichia coli introduced into soil.

Investigations to quantify bacterial survival and DNA persistence of a genetically engineered population of Escherichia coli introduced into soil microcosms were carried out. The survival of E. coli was monitored by plate counting and immunofluorescence methods, whereas the persistence of the DNA was evaluated by using a most-probable-number-polymerase chain reaction method. Whereas the E. coli population density declined below the plate-counting-technique detection threshold (10(2) CFU.g-1) after 15 days, 10(3) extracellular and 5 x 10(5) total DNA target sequences were still detected after 40 days. Additionally, the E. coli cell counts fell below the detection limit of the immunofluorescence method (10(5) cells.g-1) before the end of the experiment. Colony hybridizations did not reveal gene transfer to the indigenous microflora. These results confirm the persistence of residual E. coli target sequences that could not be detected by the classical cell counting method and offer promising applications for the environmental detection of microorganisms, either engineered, pathogenic, or released for beneficial effects.

Base Sequence↗
PubMed1987

A predictive model for determining asbestos concentrations for fibers less than five micrometers in length.

The controversy of whether small asbestos fibers are biologically significant has not been resolved. The present standard method for evaluating asbestos fiber concentrations in workroom air excludes fibers less than 5 micron long even though it has been shown that small fiber concentrations dominate in a dust cloud. This research project was conducted to develop a mathematical model whereby one could predict small (less than 5 micron length) asbestos fiber concentration based on the fiber count concentration determined by phase contrast microscope analysis. Dry chrysotile asbestos was aerosolized into a chamber and sampled by membrane filtration. Segments from each filter were analyzed by both the NIOSH technique using phase contrast microscopy (PCM) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) at 2000 X for fiber concentrations. A linear relationship was found to exist between the natural logarithm of the SEM-determined concentration and the natural logarithm of the PCM-determined concentration (r = 0.852). Using these data, a mathematical model was developed to predict SEM concentrations based on PCM counts. This model may have application in retrospective epidemiological studies for estimating small fiber exposure levels to determine if small fibers play a role in disease production. The greatest utility would be in those retrospective studies where the only exposure information available is based on PCM counts.

Air Pollutants↗
PubMed1999

Allergen-induced accumulation of eosinophils and lymphocytes in skin chambers is associated with increased levels of interleukin-4 and sVCAM-1.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to characterize the kinetic accumulation of various inflammatory mediators in allergen-challenged skin chambers applied on patients with pollen-related allergic rhinitis/mild asthma. METHODS: Skin blisters were induced on the forearms and challenged with allergen or phosphate-buffered saline (PBS). Peripheral blood was drawn before and 8 h after challenge for analysis of differential cell counts, sVCAM-1, and alpha2-macroglobulin. Chamber fluids, collected at 1, 4, and 8 h after allergen application, were analyzed for differential cell counts, histamine, interleukin (IL)-4, sVCAM-1, and alpha2-macroglobulin. RESULTS: The number of recruited leukocytes was equal in allergen and PBS chambers; however, the numbers of eosinophils and lymphocytes were significantly (P< or =0.05) elevated in allergen-challenged chambers at 8 h. Compared to PBS chambers, allergen chambers contained significantly (P<0.01-0.05) higher levels of histamine (at 1 and 4 h), IL-4 (at 4 and 8 h), alpha2-macroglobulin (at 1 and 8 h), and sVCAM-1 (at 1 and 8 h). In contrast to alpha2-macroglobulin, levels of sVCAM-1 in peripheral blood were significantly (P<0.05) increased at 8 h. CONCLUSIONS: Increased levels of sVCAM-1 and IL-4 in allergen-challenged chambers, in parallel with increased recruitment of eosinophils and lymphocytes, points to the participation of IL-4 and VCAM-1 in the development of the late-phase reaction. Increased levels of sVCAM-1 in allergen-challenged chambers probably reflects a combination of leakage and local production.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Exact test of Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium by Markov chain Monte Carlo.

The assumption of Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) among alleles is of fundamental importance in genetic studies. There are numerous testing methods for it using genotype counts data. The exact test is used when the sample size is not large enough for asymptotic approximations. There are several numerical methods to carry out this test, such as complete enumeration, Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. Complete enumeration is impractical in many applications, especially when the table counts are large. The Monte Carlo method is simple to use but still difficult when the table counts become large. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method, by sampling a sub-table each time, is suitable for this latter situation. Based on switches among a few (no more than four) cells, the existing Markov chain samplers are highly dependent and inefficient for large tables. Here we consider a new Markov chain sampling, in which a sub-table of user-specified size is updated at each iteration. The resulting chain is less dependent, and the sampling is flexible and efficient. The conventional test for HWE is based on a few test statistics, such as the likelihood and the chi-squared statistic. To expand the family of test statistics, we consider a class of divergence measures for the departure of HWE. Examples are given as illustrations.

Alleles↗
PubMed2002

The effect of a polyhexamethylene biguanide mouthrinse compared to an essential oil rinse and a chlorhexidine rinse on bacterial counts and 4-day plaque regrowth.

OBJECTIVES: For various clinical applications, polyhexamethylene biguanide hydrochloride (PHMB) has been used for many years as an antiseptic in medicine. Recently, a 0.04% PHMB mouthwash was shown to inhibit plaque regrowth and to reduce oral bacterial counts. In this study, a 0.12% PHMB mouthrinse (A) was compared with a negative control placebo rinse (10% ethanol, flavour) (B), a positive control 0.12% chlorhexidine rinse (C), and a commercially available mouthrinse containing essential oils (Listerine) (D). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was a double-blind, randomised 4-replicate 4 x 4 Latin square cross-over design in which plaque regrowth was measured. The in vivo antibacterial effect was assessed by taking bacterial counts from the tooth surface and mucosa 4 h after the first rinse with the preparations on day 1 and prior to the clinical examination on day 5. 16 volunteers participated and, on day 1 of each study period, were rendered plaque-free, ceased toothcleaning, and rinsed 2x daily with the allocated mouthrinse. On day 5, plaque was scored and smears were collected according to the protocol. Washout periods were 9 days. Data were analysed using ANOVA with Bonferroni HSD adjustment for multiple comparisons (significance level alpha=0.05). RESULTS: The 0.12% PHMB mouthrinse (A) was significantly more effective in inhibiting plaque than the placebo (B) but no significant differences could be observed between A and 0.12% chlorhexidine (C), or between A and Listerine (D). Bacterial count reductions on the tooth surface with PHMB (A) were significantly greater compared to the placebo (B) after 4 h and significantly greater compared to B and D after 5 days. Chlorhexidine (C) was more effective than A after 5 days. On the mucosa, chlorhexidine (C) was significantly more effective in reducing bacterial counts than the other 3 treatments at both time points investigated. PHMB (A) was significantly more effective in reducing bacterial counts than the placebo (B) after 4 h and after 5 days, and than D after 4 h. CONCLUSION: Consistent with a previous study, a PHMB mouthrinse was shown to inhibit plaque recolonisation and to reduce oral bacterial counts, indicating that PHMB may find applications in the prevention of plaque-associated diseases.

Adult↗
PubMed1992

Relation between leukocyte counts and cortisol secretion in CML patients undergoing combined TNF alpha/IFN alpha therapy.

During long-term interferon alpha-2b (IFN) therapy of Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) patients, short-term effects of tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF) on peripheral leukocyte counts, as well as cortisol and corticotropin (ACTH) release were studied. TNF (40-160 micrograms/m2) was given as a 2-h infusion on 5 consecutive days every 3 weeks, in addition to s.c. daily IFN injections (4 mio U/m2), to four (two male/two female) patients, who had been treated for more than 8 months with IFN and additionally for 0-7 months with TNF. Leukocyte counts, cortisol, and ACTH were determined at 30-min intervals between 4 p.m. and midnight. Profiles were determined the day before and on day 1 of TNF therapy. Leukocyte numbers decreased 30 min after start of TNF administration and increased 30-60 min later with a rebound until the next TNF application. The increase of leukocyte counts was due mostly to neutrophil granulocytes. ACTH levels increased 30 min, cortisol 60 min, and leukocyte counts 90 min after start of TNF infusion. Metopirone, an inhibitor of cortisol synthesis given to one patient, suppressed the TNF-induced stimulation of cortisol secretion and subsequent increase of leukocyte counts, while ACTH blood levels were enhanced. It was concluded that leukocyte count increases after TNF/IFN administration might be related to TNF-evoked cortisol secretion.

Adrenocorticotropic Hormone↗
PubMed2000

Colorado potato beetle (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) feeding, development, and survival to adulthood after continuous exposure to Bacillus thuringiensis subsp. tenebrionis-treated potato foliage from the field.

Colorado potato beetle, Leptinotarsa decemlineata (Say), feeding, development, and survival to adulthood were examined after continuously exposing large larvae to Bacillus thuringiensis subsp. tenebrionis-treated potato foliage from the field. In laboratory assays, the overall consumption and the length of period to become prepupae were determined for larvae, which began as 3rd and 4th instars, that were offered potato leaf disks with naturally declining levels of B. thuringiensis residue. In small-cage field experiments, survival to adulthood and the period to adult emergence for beetles confined to potato plants treated with B. thuringiensis beginning as 3rd and 4th instars also were examined. Third instars remaining on plants after a B. thuringiensis application were unlikely to feed and 4th instars consumed only approximately 50% as much foliage as those fed untreated foliage. Many late instars subjected to B. thuringiensis-treated foliage failed to survive to adulthood; 58-83% of these beetles died during the larval stage. Reduced feeding and poor survival of late instars suggest that counts of large larvae after application do not provide a complete picture of the efficacy of the B. thuringiensis treatment. Late instar Colorado potato beetles that were exposed continually to naturally declining levels of B. thuringiensis-treated potato foliage took an average of 1.8-4.5 d longer to become prepupae and 4-8 d longer to emerge as adults compared with those provided with untreated foliage. Delayed emergence of adults that fed on B. thuringiensis-treated potatoes as late instars indicated that development was prolonged in these insects because of ingestion of a sublethal dose of B. thuringiensis.

Animals↗