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seq2ribo: Structure-aware integration of machine learning and simulation to predict ribosome location profiles from RNA sequences.

MOTIVATION: Ribosome dynamics are vital in the process of protein expression. Current methods rely on ribosome profiling (Ribo-seq), RNA-seq profiles, and full genomic context. This restricts their use in de novo sequence design, like messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines. Simulation-only approaches like the Totally Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process (TASEP) oversimplify translation by focusing solely on codon elongation times. RESULTS: We present seq2ribo, a hybrid simulation and machine learning framework that predicts ribosome A-site locations using only an mRNA sequence as input. Our method first employs a novel structure-aware TASEP (sTASEP), which models translation using a comprehensive set of fitted parameters that include codon wait times and structural features, such as local angles, base-pairing, and discrete positional buckets. The ribosome locations generated by sTASEP are then processed by a polisher model, which learns to refine the simulated ribosome distributions. seq2ribo provides high-fidelity predictions of ribosome locations across diverse cell types (iPSC, HEK293, LCL, and RPE-1), significantly outperforming baselines. seq2ribo is the first method to achieve meaningful positional correlation with observed ribosome profiles from sequence alone, reaching transcript-level Pearson correlations up to 0.920 and within-transcript shape correlations up to 0.186, where all baselines yield near-zero values on these metrics. seq2ribo also reduces elementwise error by up to 37.7% relative to the sequence-only Translatomer baseline. By adding a task-specific head, seq2ribo achieves Pearson correlations up to 0.732 with experimental translation efficiency (TE) across several cell lines, and up to 0.903 with measured protein expression. By operating from sequence alone, seq2ribo provides a new tool for synthetic biology, enabling the rational design and optimization of mRNA sequences without the need for expression-level data or genomic context.

Journal Article↗

Machine learning of motor vehicle accident categories from narrative data.

Bayesian inferencing as a machine learning technique was evaluated for identifying pre-crash activity and crash type from accident narratives describing 3,686 motor vehicle crashes. It was hypothesized that a Bayesian model could learn from a computer search for 63 keywords related to accident categories. Learning was described in terms of the ability to accurately classify previously unclassifiable narratives not containing the original keywords. When narratives contained keywords, the results obtained using both the Bayesian model and keyword search corresponded closely to expert ratings (P(detection) > or = 0.9, and P (false positive) < or = 0.05). For narratives not containing keywords, when the threshold used by the Bayesian model was varied between p > 0.5 and p > 0.9, the overall probability of detecting a category assigned by the expert varied between 67% and 12%. False positives correspondingly varied between 32% and 3%. These latter results demonstrated that the Bayesian system learned from the results of the keyword searches.

Accidents, Traffic↗

Phylogenetic Methods Meet Deep Learning.

Deep learning (DL) has been widely used in various scientific fields, but its integration into phylogenetics has been slower, primarily due to the complex nature of phylogenetic data. The studies that apply DL to sequencing data often limit analyses to four-taxon trees. Many of these studies serve as "proof of principle" and perform similarly to traditional phylogeny reconstruction methods. New ways of using training data, such as encoding with compact bijective ladderized vectors or transformers, enable the handling of much larger trees and genomic data sets. This short perspective focuses on the application of DL in phylogenetics, introducing prevalent DL architectures. We highlight potential problems in the field by discussing the risks of using simulation-based training data and emphasize the importance of reproducibility and robustness in computational estimates. Finally, we explore promising research areas, including the combination of phylogenetics and population genetics in DL, the analysis of neighbor dependencies, and the potential to significantly reduce computational cost compared to traditional methods. This perspective illustrates the potential of DL in complementing traditional phylogeny reconstruction methods and aiding the advancement of phylogenetic analysis, especially in performing computationally demanding tasks such as model selection or estimating branch support values.

Humans↗

Proteomic signatures and predictive modeling of cadmium-associated anxiety in middle-aged and elderly populations: an environmental exposure association study.

BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence implicates environmental contaminants such as cadmium (Cd) as modifiable risk factors for anxiety. Despite growing recognition of heavy metal toxicity in neuropsychiatric disorders, the molecular mechanisms linking environmental exposure to anxiety pathogenesis remain poorly understood. METHODS: Based on the established cohort of individuals with cognitive impairment in cadmium-contaminated areas, this cross-sectional association study enrolled 50 middle-aged and elderly hospitalized patients from these regions, adhering to the STROBE guidelines. Blood concentrations of cadmium (Cd), lead (Pb), and mercury (Hg) were analyzed in relation to anxiety severity assessed via the Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale (HAMA). Plasma proteomic profiling was performed using data-independent acquisition (DIA) quantitative technology with an LC-MS/MS platform (timsTOF Pro, Bruker Daltonics), systematically characterizing 2,531 proteins across all samples. Machine learning techniques, specifically XGBoost and LASSO, were employed to identify biomarkers that were subsequently validated through mediation analysis and animal experiments, allowing for the screening of key protein signatures. Finally, clinical variables were integrated to construct a comprehensive model, which was then thoroughly evaluated. RESULTS: Anxious individuals exhibited significantly higher blood Cd levels than controls (&#x3b2;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.50, 95% CI: 0.07-0.93, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.01), with anxiety positively correlating with depression (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.62, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.003) and inversely with ApoE3 genotype prevalence. Proteomics identified 120 differentially expressed proteins in anxious patients, enriched in oxidative phosphorylation and neurodegenerative pathways. CCDC126 emerged as a cadmium-associated biomarker, validated in rat models exposed to Cd. Combining CCDC126, blood Cd, Pb, and hypertension, a clinical prediction model achieved robust discrimination (AUC&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.80, validation cohort). CONCLUSIONS: This first integrative environmental-proteomic study highlights cadmium's synergistic role in anxiety pathophysiology and psychiatric comorbidity. The predictive model offers translatable potential for early risk stratification, while CCDC126 provides mechanistic insights for targeted interventions in populations exposed to environmental pollutants.

Cadmium↗

Survival prediction for clear cell renal cell carcinoma based on deep multimodal synergistic survival network.

Objective.To propose a deep multimodal synergistic survival analysis framework (Deep Multimodal Synergistic Survival Network, DMSSN) to achieve accurate prognostic analysis for clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC).Methods.This study (DMSSN) utilized matched multimodal data from the Cancer Genome Atlas-KIRC database, including CT imaging data, whole slide images, copy number variation (CNV) features, and clinical data. Deep Canonical Correlation Analysis was employed to map heterogeneous modalities into a shared latent space. Contrastive learning was introduced to enhance semantic consistency across multimodal features, and a gating network was utilized for the adaptive fusion of multimodal information to achieve precise survival risk prediction for patients.Results.Experimental results demonstrated that DMSSN achieved a Concordance Index (C-index) of 0.8153 &#xb1; 0.0994, with a Log-rank testp-value of 1.6553&#xd7;10-11. DMSSN exhibited significant performance advantages over traditional statistical methods like Log-rank-Cox (0.7055 &#xb1; 0.0670) and machine learning methods such as Random Survival Forest (RSF) (0.6836 &#xb1; 0.1048). Furthermore, in comparison with similar deep learning approaches, DMSSN outperformed late fusion strategies (0.7493 &#xb1; 0.1211) and discrete-time survival models such as DeepHit (0.7655 &#xb1; 0.1041) and Nnet-surv (0.7694 &#xb1; 0.0635). Notably, DMSSN still achieved the best predictive performance when compared to the classic deep survival model DeepSurv (0.7919 &#xb1; 0.0978) and advanced state-of-the-art multimodal fusion frameworks like Context-Aware Transformer (0.7735 &#xb1; 0.0818) and Multimodal Co-Attention Transformer (0.8102 &#xb1; 0.0972). Ablation studies showed that removing any single modality led to a decline in performance, with the largest numerical decrease occurring after removing CT imaging features (C-index decreased to 0.7327), validating the complementarity of multimodal data and the pivotal role of radiomic features in prognostic assessment. Module ablation experiments further confirmed the effectiveness of the core components.Conclusion:By effectively integrating imaging, pathology, genomic, and clinical features, the DMSSN framework demonstrates superior performance and robustness in the survival prediction of ccRCC.

Carcinoma, Renal Cell↗

Biological Parts in Yeast Synthetic Biology: From Regulatory Elements to Predictive Design Platforms.

Yeasts, particularly Saccharomyces cerevisiae, are important eukaryotic chassis for synthetic biology because of their tractable genetics, versatile toolkits, and broad utility in metabolic engineering and functional genomics. Progress in this field has been driven by biological parts that enable programmable control of gene expression and cellular behavior. Early efforts focused mainly on promoters, terminators, and other regulatory elements for tuning individual genes. However, as engineering expanded to multigene pathways, genetic circuits, and dynamic regulatory systems, the limits of part-centric design became clear. Part performance is often shaped by genomic context, chromatin state, host physiology, and interactions with other components, which restricts modularity and predictability. In response, yeast synthetic biology is shifting toward integrated design frameworks combining multilayer regulation, standardized assembly, automated experimentation, and computational modeling. This review provides an integrated perspective on the evolution of biological parts across DNA-, RNA-, and protein-level regulation, connecting these advances with assembly frameworks, biofoundries, and machine learning to trace the trajectory from part-centric engineering toward predictive, system-level design in yeast synthetic biology.

Biofoundry↗

Using classification tree and logistic regression methods to diagnose myocardial infarction.

Early and accurate diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI) in patients who present to the Emergency Room (ER) complaining of chest pain is an important problem in emergency medicine. A number of decision aids have been developed to assist with this problem but have not achieved general use. Machine learning techniques, including classification tree and logistic regression (LR) methods, have the potential to create simple but accurate decision aids. Both a classification tree (FT Tree) and an LR model (FT LR) have been developed to predict the probability that a patient with chest pain is having an MI based solely upon data available at time of presentation to the ER. Training data came from a data set collected in Edinburgh, Scotland. Each model was then tested on a separate Edinburgh data set, as well as on a data set from a different hospital in Sheffield, England. Previously published models, the Goldman classification tree[1] and Kennedy LR equation[2], were evaluated on the same test data sets. On the Edinburgh test set, results showed that the FT Tree, FT LR, and Kennedy LR performed equally well, with ROC curve areas of 94.04%, 94.28%, and 94.30%, respectively, while the Goldman Tree's performance was significantly poorer, with an area of 84.03%. The difference in ROC areas between the first three models and the Goldman model is significant beyond the 0.0001 level. On the Sheffield test set, results showed that the FT Tree, FT LR, and Kennedy LR ROC areas were not significantly different (p > = 0.17), while the FT Tree again outperformed the Goldman Tree (p = 0.006). Unlike previous work[3], this study indicates that classification trees, which have certain advantages over LR models, may perform as well as LR models in the diagnosis of patients with MI.

Algorithms↗

Transcriptome Analysis, Machine Learning, and Experimental Identification of CDK7 Affecting the Progression of Pregnancy-induced Hypertension by Influencing Macrophage Polarization.

INTRODUCTION: Pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH) is a severe pregnancy complication characterized by placental insufficiency, abnormal vascular remodeling, and immune dysregulation, but personalized therapeutic markers remain unclear. This study aimed to identify key genes and explore immune mechanisms in PIH using transcriptome analysis, machine learning, and experimental validation. METHODS: We analyzed the GSE204835 transcriptomic dataset to screen differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and performed Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), Reactome, and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) for functional annotation. Immune infiltration analysis was also performed to examine the immune landscape in PIH. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression identified key genes, which were validated in a PIH cell model. Flow cytometry and immunofluorescence assays assessed the effect of CDK7 knockdown on macrophage polarization. RESULTS: A total of 1,598 DEGs (1,123 upregulated, 475 downregulated) were identified. Enrichment analyses highlighted associations with embryonic organ development, oxidative phosphorylation, angiogenesis, and oxidative stress. Immune infiltration analysis revealed altered eosinophil and macrophage polarization in PIH. LASSO regression selected 12 key genes, with CDK7 showing the most significant upregulation in the PIH model. CDK7 knockdown promoted macrophage polarization toward the anti-inflammatory M2 phenotype. DISCUSSION: These findings link CDK7 to immune dysregulation in PIH by modulating macrophage polarization, expanding our understanding of PIH's molecular mechanisms. The study's limitations include reliance on public datasets and in vitro models, warranting in vivo validation. CONCLUSION: CDK7 emerges as a potential therapeutic target for PIH, offering new insights into immunoregulatory interventions for this complication.

Female↗

MegaPlantTF: a machine learning framework for comprehensive identification and classification of plant transcription factors.

MOTIVATION: Understanding the role of transcription factors (TFs) in plants is essential for the study of gene regulation and various biological processes. However, both TF detection and classification remain challenging due to the great diversity and complexity of these proteins. Conventional approaches, such as BLAST, often suffer from high computational complexity and limited performance on less common TF families. RESULTS: We introduce MegaPlantTF, the first comprehensive machine learning and deep learning framework for the prediction (TF versus non-TF) and classification (family-level) of plant TFs. Our method employs k-mer-based protein representations and a two-stage architecture combining a deep feed-forward neural network with a stacking ensemble classifier. To ensure robust performance assessment, we report micro-, macro-, and weighted-average performance metrics, providing a holistic evaluation of both frequent and underrepresented TF families. Additionally, we employ threshold-based evaluation to calibrate confidence in TF detection. The results show that MegaPlantTF achieves strong accuracy and precision, particularly with a k-mer size of 3 and a classification threshold of 0.5, and maintains stable performance even under stringent thresholds. In addition to the standard cross-validation tests, a use case study on Sorghum bicolor confirms that our method performs strongly in the genome-wide analysis, making it highly suitable for large-scale TF identification and classification tasks. MegaPlantTF represents a novel contribution by integrating k-mer encoding, binary family-specific classifiers, and a two-stage stacking ensemble into a unified, reproducible framework for large-scale plant TF identification and classification. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: MegaPlantTF is freely accessible through a public web server available at https://bioinformatics.um6p.ma/MegaPlantTF. The complete source code, including pretrained models and example datasets, is available at https://github.com/Bioinformatics-UM6P/MegaPlantTF.

Transcription Factors↗

Alzheimer's subtypes A supervised, unsupervised, multimodal, multilayered embedded recursive (SUMMER) AI study.

Since Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a heterogeneous disease, different subtypes may have distinct biological, genetic, and clinical characteristics, requiring tailored interventions. While several proposed subtypes of AD exist, there is still no clear consensus on a definitive classification. By leveraging complementary AI approaches, including supervised and unsupervised learning, within a recursive pipeline (SUMMER) that integrates multimodal datasets encompassing MRI measurements, phenotypes, and genetic data, our goal was to generate robust scientific evidence for identifying AD subtypes. Data was downloaded from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database and included neuroimaging data (MRI), genetics (SNPs), clinical diagnosis, and demographics. 1133 European American participants' images, aged 55-95, were included in this study. The analysis was multi-fold, where the first step involved applying an unsupervised application to a subset of the MRI sample (AD + cognitively normal (CN) aged matched groups, 100 men aged 68-85 years, and 76 women aged 68-85 years). The MRI brain gray matter was segmented into 44 regions of interest (ROIs) according to a standard atlas, and 618 features were extracted, including ROI voxel intensity measurements such as minimum, maximum, and histogram variables. Results identified a cluster of subtype AD men and a cluster of subtype AD women that were distinct from the rest of their respective samples. In the next step, the integrity of the identified subtype AD clusters was investigated using the XGBoost supervised machine learning application with genetic features (SNPs, N=36,724) and labels: the identified subtype AD cluster vs. the rest of the sample, stratified by sex. A significant AD subtype men model (accuracy=0.85, F1=0.72, AUC=0.83) and a significant women AD subtype model (accuracy=0.81, F1=0.81, AUC=0.81) were built, confirming the homogeneity of the isolated AD subtype clusters. Discriminative biomarkers were extracted from the significant models, including selected ROIs and SNPs. Finally, the subtype models were tested on an unseen subset of ADNI data. The genetic-based models identified clusters of AD subtype participants consisting of 34% of the men AD group and 47% of the women AD group. Phenotypic analysis indicates that lower body weight was associated with the women's AD subtype. Complex diseases like AD demand a sophisticated, multimodal approach for precise diagnosis. Effectively identifying disease subtypes enhances the potential for personalized treatment, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

Journal Article↗

Large-scale predictions of secretory proteins from mammalian genomic and EST sequences.

Machine learning techniques have improved predictions of secretory proteins from protein, genomic and expressed sequence tag (EST) sequences. Artificial neural networks, physical sequence analysis using high-performance optimization, and hidden Markov models identify extremely variable signal peptides (the vehicles of protein transport across the endoplasmic reticulum membrane), transmembrane segments, and specific extracellular and intracellular domains as indicators of possible roles in the intercellular and intracellular chemical signaling pathways. The major role of peptide hormones, blood coagulation factors, carcinogenesis agents, and other secretory proteins in orchestrating multicellular life indicates pharmacological potential in the cure of major diseases and numerous biotechnological applications.

Animals↗

Exploration of predictive and prognostic alternative splicing signatures in lung adenocarcinoma using machine learning methods.

BACKGROUND: Alternative splicing (AS) plays critical roles in generating protein diversity and complexity. Dysregulation of AS underlies the initiation and progression of tumors. Machine learning approaches have emerged as efficient tools to identify promising biomarkers. It is meaningful to explore pivotal AS events (ASEs) to deepen understanding and improve prognostic assessments of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) via machine learning algorithms. METHOD: RNA sequencing data and AS data were extracted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and TCGA SpliceSeq database. Using several machine learning methods, we identified 24 pairs of LUAD-related ASEs implicated in splicing switches and a random forest-based classifiers for identifying lymph node metastasis (LNM) consisting of 12 ASEs. Furthermore, we identified key prognosis-related ASEs and established a 16-ASE-based prognostic model to predict overall survival for LUAD patients using Cox regression model, random survival forest analysis, and forward selection model. Bioinformatics analyses were also applied to identify underlying mechanisms and associated upstream splicing factors (SFs). RESULTS: Each pair of ASEs was spliced from the same parent gene, and exhibited perfect inverse intrapair correlation (correlation coefficient&#x2009;=&#x2009;-&#x2009;1). The 12-ASE-based classifier showed robust ability to evaluate LNM status of LUAD patients with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) more than 0.7 in fivefold cross-validation. The prognostic model performed well at 1, 3, 5, and 10&#xa0;years in both the training cohort and internal test cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression indicated the prognostic model could be used as an independent prognostic factor for patients with LUAD. Further analysis revealed correlations between the prognostic model and American Joint Committee on Cancer stage, T stage, N stage, and living status. The splicing network constructed of survival-related SFs and ASEs depicts regulatory relationships between them. CONCLUSION: In summary, our study provides insight into LUAD researches and managements based on these AS biomarkers.

Adenocarcinoma of Lung↗

Machine learning on multiple epigenetic features reveals H3K27Ac as a driver of gene expression prediction across patients with glioblastoma.

Epigenetic mechanisms play a crucial role in driving transcript expression and shaping the phenotypic plasticity of glioblastoma stem cells (GSCs), contributing to tumor heterogeneity and therapeutic resistance. These mechanisms dynamically regulate the expression of key oncogenic and stemness-associated genes, enabling GSCs to adapt to environmental cues and evade targeted therapies. Importantly, epigenetic reprogramming allows GSCs to transition between cellular states, including therapy-resistant mesenchymal-like phenotypes, underscoring the need for epigenetic-targeting strategies to disrupt these adaptive processes. Understanding these epigenetic drivers of gene expression provides a foundation for novel therapeutic interventions aimed at eradicating GSCs and improving glioblastoma outcomes. Using machine learning (ML), we employ cross-patient prediction of transcript expression in GSCs by combining epigenetic features from various sources, including ATAC-seq, CTCF ChIP-seq, RNAPII ChIP-seq, H3K27Ac ChIP-seq, and RNA-seq. We investigate different ML and deep learning (DL) models for this task and ultimately build our final pipeline using XGBoost. The model trained on one patient generalizes to other 11 patients with high performance. Notably, H3K27Ac alone from a single patient is sufficient to predict gene expression in all 11 patients. Furthermore, the distribution of H3K27Ac peaks across the genomes of all patients is remarkably similar. These findings suggest that GSCs share a common distributional pattern of enhancer activity characterized by H3K27Ac, which can be utilized to predict gene expression in GSCs across patients. In summary, while GSCs are known for their transcriptomic and phenotypic heterogeneity, we propose that they share a common epigenetic pattern of enhancer activation that defines their underlying transcriptomic expression pattern. This pattern can predict gene expression across patient samples, providing valuable insights into the biology of GSCs.

Glioblastoma↗

Feedback error learning neural network for trans-femoral prosthesis.

Feedback-error learning (FEL) neural network was developed for control of a powered trans-femoral prosthesis. Nonlinearities and time-variations of the dynamics of the plant, in addition to redundancy and dynamic uncertainty during the double support phase of walking, makes conventional control methods very difficult to use. Rule-based control, which uses a knowledge base determined by machine learning and finite automata method is limited since it does not respond well to perturbations and environmental changes. FEL can be regarded as a hybrid control, because it combines nonparametric identification with parametric modeling and control. This paper presents simulation of a powered trans-femoral prosthesis controlled by a FEL neural network. Results suggest that FEL can be used to identify inverse dynamics of an arbitrary trans-femoral prosthesis during simple single joint movements (e.g., sinusoidal oscillations). The identified inverse dynamics then allows the tracking of an arbitrary trajectory such as a desired walking pattern within a multijoint structure. Simulation shows that the identified controller responds correctly when the leg motion is exposed to a perturbation such as a frequent change of the ground reaction force or the hip joint torque generated by the user. FEL eliminates the need for precise, tedious, and complex identification of model parameters.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Honest assessments of automatic learning algorithm performance.

OBJECTIVE: To compare methods of evaluating probabilistic predictors in systems that learn from examples. STUDY DESIGN: The performance of four automatic learning algorithms, representing current machine learning technology, were assessed using four methodologies in the task of separating normal squamous intermediate cervical cells from all other segmented objects in digital images. Two of the methodologies were carefully constructed to model sources of variation associated with the choice of training and test sets. These assessments were statistically compared with assessments using both standard and a modified version of cross-validation. RESULTS: The investigation illustrates the tradeoffs involved in obtaining statistical rigor as compared with the cost of collecting data. While cross-validation makes frugal use of data, it can produce misleading assessments of algorithm performance in terms of both bias and variance. The modified version produces more reliable assessments but in some cases may also be misleading. CONCLUSION: We suggest that users of learning algorithms should exercise judicious care in evaluating learning algorithm performance in order to avoid unnecessary bias and large variance in their assessments.

Algorithms↗

CORA--a knowledge-based system for the analysis of case-control studies.

Carrying out a statistical analysis, the researcher is concerned with the problem of choosing an appropriate statistical technique from a large number of competing methods. Most common statistical software offer different methods for analysing the data without giving any support regarding the adequacy of a method for a particular data set. This paper outlines the main features of the computer system CORA which provides a statistical analysis of stratified contingency tables and additionally supports the researcher at the different steps of this analysis. Here, the support given by the system consists of two different aspects. On the one hand, the help system of CORA contains general information on the implemented statistical methods which can be obtained on request. On the other hand, an advice tool recommends an adequate statistical method which depends on the actual empirical case-control data to be analysed. To build up the advice tool, a set of rules being discovered by machine learning from simulation studies is integrated into the system CORA.

Case-Control Studies↗

Genome-wide association, polygenic risk scores, and machine learning for chronic post-surgical pain risk stratification: A UK biobank study.

Chronic post-surgical pain is a prevalent and debilitating complication following surgery, representing a clinical challenge. Despite the established heritability of pain phenotypes, large-scale genetic studies remain limited. This study aimed to identify genetic variants associated with chronic post-surgical pain, develop polygenic risk scores, and integrate these with clinical features for risk prediction. UK Biobank data from 47,836 participants (2490 cases and 45,346 controls) were split into training (80%; n = 38,268) and validation (20%; n = 9568) sets prior to analysis. A genome-wide association study was conducted on the training set only, across 19 million variants, and polygenic risk scores were constructed and integrated with clinical features in a logistic regression framework. Two close, rare, imputed signals crossed the genome-wide significance threshold but lacked local linkage-disequilibrium support, while 220 variants crossed the suggestive threshold. In the held-out validation set, cases had higher mean polygenic risk scores than controls (0.138 vs. -0.021; Cohen's d = 0.16, p < 0.001). A logistic regression model integrating clinical features and polygenic risk scores achieved an area under the curve of 0.639 (95% CI: 0.583-0.693), higher than models using either feature set alone. The polygenic risk score for chronic post-surgical pain was among the most important predictors. Risk stratification revealed the top quartile had 3.84-fold higher odds of chronic post-surgical pain than the bottom quartile (95% CI: 2.00-7.37). These findings suggest a possible modest genetic contribution to chronic post-surgical pain. Polygenic risk scores may complement clinical factors in surgical risk stratification. PERSPECTIVE: Chronic post-surgical pain may have a modest genetic contribution. This UK Biobank study identified over 220 variants at suggestive significance and constructed a polygenic risk score that was significantly elevated in cases. A combined clinical-genomic model achieved a 3.84-fold difference in odds across predicted-risk quartiles.

Chronic post-surgical pain↗