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PubMed2004

Effect of population stratification on case-control association studies. I. Elevation in false positive rates and comparison to confounding risk ratios (a simulation study).

OBJECTIVES: This is the first of two articles discussing the effect of population stratification on the type I error rate (i.e., false positive rate). This paper focuses on the confounding risk ratio (CRR). It is accepted that population stratification (PS) can produce false positive results in case-control genetic association. However, which values of population parameters lead to an increase in type I error rate is unknown. Some believe PS does not represent a serious concern, whereas others believe that PS may contribute to contradictory findings in genetic association. We used computer simulations to estimate the effect of PS on type I error rate over a wide range of disease frequencies and marker allele frequencies, and we compared the observed type I error rate to the magnitude of the confounding risk ratio. METHODS: We simulated two populations and mixed them to produce a combined population, specifying 160 different combinations of input parameters (disease prevalences and marker allele frequencies in the two populations). From the combined populations, we selected 5000 case-control datasets, each with either 50, 100, or 300 cases and controls, and determined the type I error rate. In all simulations, the marker allele and disease were independent (i.e., no association). RESULTS: The type I error rate is not substantially affected by changes in the disease prevalence per se. We found that the CRR provides a relatively poor indicator of the magnitude of the increase in type I error rate. We also derived a simple mathematical quantity, Delta, that is highly correlated with the type I error rate. In the companion article (part II, in this issue), we extend this work to multiple subpopulations and unequal sampling proportions. CONCLUSION: Based on these results, realistic combinations of disease prevalences and marker allele frequencies can substantially increase the probability of finding false evidence of marker disease associations. Furthermore, the CRR does not indicate when this will occur.

Bias↗
PubMed2004

Effect of population stratification on case-control association studies. II. False-positive rates and their limiting behavior as number of subpopulations increases.

There has been considerable debate in the literature concerning bias in case-control association mapping studies due to population stratification. In this paper, we perform a theoretical analysis of the effects of population stratification by measuring the inflation in the test's type I error (or false-positive rate). Using a model of stratified sampling, we derive an exact expression for the type I error as a function of population parameters and sample size. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the bias to vanish when there is no statistical association between disease and marker genotype in each of the subpopulations making up the total population. We also investigate the variation of bias with increasing subpopulations and show, both theoretically and by using simulations, that the bias can sometimes be quite substantial even with a very large number of subpopulations. In a companion simulation-based paper (Heiman et al., Part I, this issue), we have focused on the CRR (confounding risk ratio) and its relationship to the type I error in the case of two subpopulations, and have also quantified the magnitude of the type I error that can occur with relatively low CRR values.

Bias↗
PubMed2004

Properties of structured association approaches to detecting population stratification.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the properties of the structured association approach for the detection and correction of population stratification. METHOD: A method is developed, within a latent class analysis framework, similar to the methods proposed by Satten et al. (2001) and Pritchard et al. (2000). A series of simulations illustrate the relative impact of number and type of loci, sample size and population structure. RESULTS: The ability to detect stratification and assign individuals to population strata is determined for a number of different scenarios. CONCLUSION: The results underline the importance of careful marker selection.

Algorithms↗
PubMed2005

Bias correction with a single null marker for population stratification in candidate gene association studies.

Population stratification is a form of confounding by ethnicity that may cause bias to effect estimates and inflate test statistics in genetic association studies. Unlinked genetic markers have been used to adjust for test statistics, but their use in correcting biased effect estimates has not been addressed. We evaluated the potential of bias correction that could be achieved by a single null marker (M) in studies involving one candidate gene (G). When the distribution of M varied greatly across ethnicities, controlling for M in a logistic regression model substantially reduced biases on odds ratio estimates. When M had same distributions as G across ethnicities, biases were further reduced or eliminated by subtracting the regression coefficient of M from the coefficient of G in the model, which was fitted either with or without a multiplicative interaction term between M and G. Correction of bias due to population stratification depended specifically on the distributions of G and M, the difference between baseline disease risks across ethnicities, and whether G had an effect on disease risk or not. Our results suggested that marker choice and the specific treatment of that marker in analysis greatly influenced bias correction.

Bias↗
PubMed2006

Acute pulmonary embolism: risk stratification.

The death rate from acute pulmonary embolism (PE) exceeds the mortality rate for acute myocardial infarction. Risk stratification helps optimize the selection of those patients who will benefit from more aggressive therapy, such as thrombolysis or embolectomy, in addition to anticoagulation. The classic paradigm was to observe patients deteriorate and to attempt to maintain acceptable hemodynamics by starting vasopressors. If hemodynamics failed to improve or if cardiogenic shock persisted, thrombolysis or surgical embolectomy was considered. Sadly, this "watch and wait" approach often resulted in irreversible cardiogenic shock and multisystem organ failure. The new approach hinges upon rapid and accurate risk stratification. There are four features of this strategy: 1) clinical evaluation, 2) bedside nonimaging tests-electrocardiography and pulse oximetry, 3) imaging tests-echocardiography and chest computed tomography,and 4) cardiac biomarkers-such as the troponin level. When high-risk patients are identified,they can be triaged for urgent or emergent therapy, usually prior to developing overt hypotension and cardiogenic shock.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2005

Plasma markers of endothelial damage/dysfunction, inflammation and thrombogenesis in relation to TIMI risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes.

Risk stratification at presentation with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) on the basis of the TIMI risk score for unstable angina and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (UAP/NSTEMI) identifies patients at high risk of recurrent cardiac events and those who benefit from more aggressive treatment strategy. We hypothesised the following: (a) that a high TIMI risk score brings a greater degree of acute changes in endothelial damage/dysfunction (circulating endothelial cells [CECs], von Willebrand factor [vWf]), inflammation (interleukin-6, IL-6) and blood thrombogenicity (plasma tissue factor, TF); and (b) that these indices are higher in those with high TIMI risk score who experienced recurrent cardiac event at day 14 and day 30. TIMI risk scores were determined at admission and 48 hours later in 88 ACS patients (60 male, age 67+/-12 yrs) with UAP or NSTEMI. CECs, IL-6 and TF levels were measured at both time points and the acute change (delta) calculated. Patients were split into high (score > or =4) or low (<4) TIMI score groups. The composite end point of death, myocardial infarction, and refractory angina requiring revascularisation following 14 and 30 days' follow-up was ascertained. Fifty-eight patients with high TIMI risk score (mean 4.7) had significantly higher baseline and 48 h CEC, vWf, IL-6,TF and deltaTF levels, compared to low TIMI risk score (mean 2.4) patients (all p<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis adjusted for clinical variables and TIMI risk score expressed as either continuous or categorical variable identified baseline CECs and deltavWf levels (both p< or =0.01) as independent predictors of subsequent cardiac events at both 14 days and 30 days. TIMI risk score for UA/NSTEMI identifies those patients with more profound vascular insult, inflammation and thrombogenicity that, in the 'high risk' patient group, predicts short-term outcomes, although vascular damage was the more sensitive predictor. These indices may further refine global risk stratification for short-term adverse cardiac events in these patients.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2000

Analysis of 12-lead T-wave morphology for risk stratification after myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The stratification of post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients at risk of sudden cardiac death remains important. The aim of the present study was to assess the prognostic value of novel T-wave morphology descriptors derived from resting 12-lead ECGs. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 280 consecutive post-MI patients, a 12-lead ECG was recorded before discharge, optically scanned, and digitized. For the present study, 5 T-wave morphology descriptors were automatically calculated after singular value decomposition of the ECG signal. The total cosine R-to-T (TCRT [describes the global angle between repolarization and depolarization wavefront]) and the T-wave loop dispersion were univariately associated (P:=0.0002 and P:<0.002, respectively, U: test) with 27 prospectively defined clinical events in 261 patients (mean follow-up 32+/-10 months). Kaplan-Meier event probability curves for strata above and below the median confirmed the strong risk discrimination by TCRT and T-wave loop dispersion (P:<0.003 and P:<0.001, respectively, log-rank test). On Cox regression analysis, with the entering of age, left ventricular ejection fraction, heart rate, QRS width, reperfusion therapy, beta-adrenergic-blocker treatment, and standard deviation of R-R intervals on 24-hour Holter monitoring, TCRT (P:<0.03) yielded independent predictive value, whereas T-wave loop dispersion was of borderline independence (P:=0.064). Heart rate (P:<0.02), left ventricular ejection fraction (P:<0.02), and reperfusion therapy (P:<0.02) also remained in the final model. CONCLUSIONS: Computerized T-wave morphology analysis of the 12-lead resting ECG permits independent assessment of post-MI risk and an improved risk stratification when combined with other risk markers.

Analysis of Variance↗
PubMed1989

Risk stratification of patients with non-Q wave myocardial infarction. The critical role of ST segment depression. The Diltiazem Reinfarction Study Research Group.

One-year follow-up data on 515 patients who survived hospitalization with MB-creatine kinase-confirmed, acute non-Q wave myocardial infarction were analyzed for factors related to mortality (n = 57) and late reinfarction (n = 64). Twelve of 24 analyzed variables were significantly associated with mortality. Those factors, which were independently predictive of mortality by Cox regression analysis, were persistent ST depression (p = 0.0009), a history of congestive heart failure (CHF) (p = 0.0069), older age (p = 0.0128), and ST elevation at hospital discharge (p = 0.0173). In-hospital reinfarction achieved borderline significance (p = 0.0512). Mortality during the follow-up period was 5.5% in patients with no ST depression, 10.1% in those with ST depression at baseline or discharge, and 22.2% in patients with ST depression at baseline and discharge (i.e., "persistent" ST depression). The age-adjusted risk of mortality for patients with persistent ST depression, discharge-ST elevation, and CHF was 13.99 times as high as was the risk for patients with no ST depression, no discharge-ST elevation, and no CHF. Of the 483 patients with complete electrocardiographic data at both baseline and discharge, 203 (42%) could be stratified into a high risk population with a risk ratio for 1-year mortality more than sevenfold that of patients with no risk factors. Although persistent ST depression was significantly associated with several measures of structural left ventricular damage, the independent significance of ST depression persisted even after adjusting for these factors. The independent predictors of late reinfarction (persistent ST depression, p = 0.0058; Killip class II or III, p = 0.0106; and left ventricular hypertrophy, p = 0.0470) permitted a similar risk stratification. We conclude that 1) easily identified clinical and electrocardiographic factors permit stratification of patients with non-Q wave infarction into high-risk subsets who may benefit from aggressive therapy; 2) ST depression is a highly significant and independent predictor of poor prognosis; and 3) the powerful predictive value of persistent ST depression suggests that non-Q wave myocardial infarction patients with this depression should be viewed as potentially high-risk patients who may be candidates for additional noninvasive testing or early coronary angiography.

Diltiazem↗
PubMed1990

Perioperative myocardial infarction after coronary artery bypass surgery. Clinical significance and approach to risk stratification.

The clinical significance of perioperative myocardial infarction (MI) after coronary artery bypass surgery is not known. Therefore, strategies for the risk stratification of these patients do not exist. This study was undertaken to define the effect of perioperative MI on prognosis after discharge from the hospital and to develop an approach to the risk stratification of these patients. Fifty-nine patients with and 115 patients without perioperative MI were observed for 30 months for the development of cardiac events (death, nonfatal MI, and admission to hospital for unstable angina or congestive heart failure). Patients with perioperative MI were significantly more likely than patients without to have a cardiac event (31% versus 12%, p less than 0.01) and multiple events (19% versus 1%, p less than 0.001). Cox regression analysis identified two independent predictors of cardiac events other than perioperative MI (relative risk, 2.7): inadequate revascularization (relative risk, 3.5) and depressed (less than 40%) postoperative ejection fraction (EF) (relative risk, 2.1). Event-free survival rate of patients with perioperative MI varied markedly depending on the number of other negative prognostic variables present. Patients with perioperative MI who were adequately revascularized and had a postoperative EF greater than 40% had an event-free survival rate similar to patients without a perioperative MI (92% versus 87%, p = NS). Patients with perioperative MI who were inadequately revascularized and had depressed postoperative EF had an event-free survival rate of 13% (p less than 0.001 versus all other subsets). Event-free survival rate was intermediate (68%) in patients with perioperative MI and with only one of the other two variables (p less than 0.001 versus other subsets). In conclusion, perioperative MI adversely affects prognosis. Patients can be stratified into low, high, and intermediate risk subsets based on a simple assessment of the adequacy of revascularization and a determination of residual left ventricular function.

Coronary Artery Bypass↗
PubMed1996

Exercise myocardial perfusion SPECT in patients without known coronary artery disease: incremental prognostic value and use in risk stratification.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the incremental prognostic value, the role in risk stratification, and the impact on patient management of myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) in a population of patients without prior myocardial infarction, catheterization, or revascularization. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined 2200 consecutive patients who at the time of their dual-isotope SPECT had not undergone catheterization, coronary artery bypass surgery, or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and had no known history of previous myocardial infarction. Follow-up was performed at a mean of 566 +/- 142 days (97% complete) for hard events (cardiac death and myocardial infarction) and for referral to cardiac catheterization or revascularization within 60 days after nuclear testing. Examination of clinical, exercise, and nuclear models by use of pre-exercise tolerance test (ETT), post-ETT, and nuclear information using a stepwise Cox proportional hazards model and receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that nuclear testing added incremental prognostic value after inclusion of the most predictive clinical and exercise variables (global chi2 = 12 for clinical variables; 31 for clinical + exercise variables; 169 for nuclear variables; gain in chi2, P < .0001 for all; receiver-operating characteristic areas: 0.66 +/- 0.04 for clinical, 0.73 +/- 0.04 for clinical + exercise variables, 0.87 +/- 0.03 for nuclear variables, P = .03 for gain in area with exercise variables; P < .001 for increase with nuclear variables). Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that scan information contributed 95% of the information regarding referral to catheterization with further additional information provided by presenting symptoms and exercise-induced ischemia. Referral rates to early catheterization and revascularization paralleled the hard event rates in all scan categories - very low referral rates in patients with normal scans and significant increases in referral rates as a function of worsening scan results. Even after stratification by clinical and exercise variables such as the Duke treadmill score, pre- and post-ETT likelihood of coronary artery disease, presenting symptoms, sex, and age, the nuclear scan results further risk-stratified the patient subgroups, thus demonstrating clinical incremental value. CONCLUSIONS: In a patient population with no evidence of previous coronary artery disease at overall low risk (1.8% hard event rate), myocardial perfusion SPECT adds incremental prognostic information and risk-stratifies patients even after clinical and exercise information is known. It appears that referring physicians use this test in an appropriate manner in selecting patients to be referred to catheterization or revascularization.

Cardiac Catheterization↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Dipyridamole stress echocardiography for risk stratification in hypertensive patients with chest pain.

BACKGROUND: The noninvasive prognostic assessment of coronary artery disease (CAD) in hypertensive patients represents an unresolved task to date. In this study, we investigated the value of dipyridamole stress echocardiography in risk stratification of hypertensive patients with chest pain and unknown CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Dipyridamole stress echocardiography was performed in 257 hypertensives (110 men; age, 63+/-9 years) complaining of chest pain and without a history of CAD. No major complications occurred. Four tests were interrupted prematurely because of side effects, with 98. 4% feasibility of test. A positive echocardiographic response was found in 72 patients (27 during the low-dose [</=0.56 mg/kg] and 45 during the high-dose [>0.56 mg/kg]). During the follow-up (32+/-18 months), 27 cardiac events occurred: 3 deaths, 8 infarctions, and 16 cases of unstable angina. Moreover, 27 patients underwent coronary revascularization. At multivariate analysis, the positive echocardiographic result (OR, 5.5; 95% CI, 1.4 to 16.6) was the only predictor of hard cardiac events (death, infarction). Considering spontaneous cardiac events (death, infarction, and unstable angina) as end points, the positive echocardiographic result (OR, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.8 to 9.6) and family history of CAD (OR, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.5 to 6. 9) were independently associated with prognosis. The 3-year survival rates for the negative and the positive populations were, respectively, 97% and 87% (P=0.0019) considering hard cardiac events and 96% and 74% (P=0.0000) considering spontaneous cardiac events. CONCLUSIONS: Dipyridamole stress echocardiography is safe, highly feasible, and effective in risk stratification of hypertensives with chest pain and unknown CAD. At present, it represents an attractive option for prognostic assessment of this clinically defined population.

Analysis of Variance↗
PubMed1999

Progression in acute stroke: value of the initial NIH stroke scale score on patient stratification in future trials.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The objective was to determine the occurrence of neurological changes during the first 48 hours after acute stroke as it relates to initial stroke severity. METHODS: The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) was performed serially for the first 48 hours on 127 consecutive ischemic stroke patients (129 strokes) admitted to the neuroscience intensive care unit. Incidence of stroke progression (a >/=3-point increase on the NIHSS) was recorded and analysis performed to determine its association with initial stroke severity and other demographic and physiological variables. Deficit resolution by 48 hours, defined as an NIHSS score of 0 or 1, measured the frequency of functional recovery predicted by the initial deficit. RESULTS: Overall progression was noted in 31% of events (40/129). Applying Bayes' solution to the observed frequency of worsening, the greatest likelihood of predicting future patient progression occurs with stratification at NIHSS scores of </=7 and >7. Patients with an initial NIHSS of </=7 experienced a 14.8% (13/88) worsening rate versus a those with a score of >7 with a 65.9% (27/41) worsening rate (P<0.000005). Forty-five percent (40/88) of those with an initial score of </=7 were functionally normal at 48 hours, whereas only 2.4% (1/41) of those with scores of >7 returned to a normal examination within this period (chi2, P<0.000005). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the early clinical course of the neurological deficit after acute stroke is dependent on the initial stroke severity and that a dichotomy in early outcome exists surrounding an initial NIHSS score of 7. These findings may have significant implications for the design and patient stratification in treatment protocols with respect to primary clinical outcome.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2002

Natural history of Brugada syndrome: insights for risk stratification and management.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of patients with Brugada syndrome is complicated by the incomplete information on the natural history of the disease related to the small number of cases reported. Furthermore, the value of programmed electrical stimulation (PES) for risk stratification is highly debated. The objective of this study was to search for novel parameters to identify patients at risk of sudden death. METHODS AND RESULTS: Clinical data were collected for 200 patients (152 men, 48 women; age, 41+/-18 years) and stored in a dedicated database. Genetic analysis was performed, and mutations on the SCN5A gene were identified in 28 of 130 probands and in 56 of 121 family members. The life-table method of Kaplan-Meier used to define the cardiac arrest-free interval in patients undergoing PES failed to demonstrate an association between PES inducibility and spontaneous occurrence of ventricular fibrillation. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjusting for sex, family history of sudden death, and SCN5A mutations, the combined presence of a spontaneous ST-segment elevation in leads V1 through V3 and the history of syncope identifies subjects at risk of cardiac arrest (HR, 6.4; 95% CI, 1.9 to 21; P<0.002). CONCLUSIONS: The information on the natural history of patients obtained in this study allowed elaboration of a risk-stratification scheme to quantify the risk for sudden cardiac death and to target the use of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Impact of diabetes on the risk stratification using stress single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with symptoms suggestive of coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease can develop prematurely and is the leading cause of death among diabetics, making noninvasive risk stratification desirable. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with symptoms of coronary artery disease who were undergoing stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) from 5 centers were prospectively followed (2.5+/-1.5 years) for the subsequent occurrence of cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI), and revascularization. Stress MPI results were categorized as normal or abnormal (fixed or ischemic defects and 1, 2, or 3 vessel distribution). Of 4755 patients, 929 (19.5%) were diabetic. Patients with diabetes, despite an increased revascularization rate, had 80 cardiac events (8.6%; 39 deaths and 41 MIs) compared with 172 cardiac events (4.5%; 69 deaths and 103 MIs) in the nondiabetic cohort (P<0.0001). Abnormal stress MPI was an independent predictor of cardiac death and MI in both populations. Diabetics with ischemic defects had an increased number of cardiac events (P<0.001), with the highest MI rates (17.1%) observed with 3-vessel ischemia. Similarly, a multivessel fixed defect was associated with the highest rate of cardiac death (13.6%) among diabetics. The unadjusted cardiac survival rate was lower for diabetic patients (91% versus 97%, P<0.001), but it became comparable once adjusted for the pretest clinical risk and stress MPI results. In multivariable Cox analysis, both ischemic and fixed MPI defects independently predicted cardiac death alone or cardiac death/MI. Diabetic women had the worst outcome for any given extent of myocardial ischemia. CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of diabetics undergoing stress MPI, the presence and the extent of abnormal stress MPI independently predicted subsequent cardiac events. Using stress MPI in conjunction with clinical information can provide risk stratification of diabetic patients.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

What is the optimal evaluation time of the QT dispersion after acute myocardial infarction for the risk stratification?

The sequential changes of the corrected QT dispersion (QTcD) were studied in 136 patients 1 day to 30 days after a transmural acute myocardial infarction (AMI) to investigate the optimal measurement time of QT dispersion for risk stratification. The study group included 136 patients (89 men; mean age, 57+/-10 years) with transmural AMI who were treated with thrombolytics (Tr+ group, n = 73) or not (Tr- group, n = 63) and 65 healthy controls (43 men; mean age, 56+/-7 years). Fourteen patients in whom ventricular tachycardia (VT), ventricular fibrillation (VF), or sudden cardiac death developed during the 30-day period were also evaluated as major cardiac arrhythmia (MCA) group. ECGs were obtained for each patient on days 1, 3, 5, 10, 15, and 30 after AMI. QTc dispersion in patients with AMI (for every period of QTcD after MI) was significantly more prolonged than in normal controls (49.3+/-16.3 ms) (p<0.001). QTcD was significantly greater in patients without thrombolytics than in patients with thrombolytics for every period (days 1, 3, 5, 10, 15, and 30) of QTcD after MI (p<0.001). The mean of QTcD was significantly greater in patients with MCA than in patients without MCA group for every period (days 1, 3, 5, 10, 15, and 30) of QTcD after MI (p < 0.05). Maximal QTcD was seen on day 10 (p < 0.05 1st vs day 10 for each group) after myocardial infarction, and then reached a plateau for an each group. The ideal time to measure the QTD for risk stratification is at least 10 days after AMI.

Death↗
PubMed1996

Early 'rule-in' diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction 4 h post admission for rapid risk stratification by creatine kinase increment (creatine kinase change).

The use of creatine kinase (CK) measurement on admission, CK at 4 h, percentage CK change and electrocardiography (ECG) were compared for early risk stratification in the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). A total of 248 patients (median age 62 years, range 26-84) were studied (187 men, 61 women) of whom 118 had a final diagnosis of AMI. Median time to presentation was 3.92 h (range 0-11.17 h). Overall, the admission ECG had a sensitivity of 72.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 64.6-80.7] with specificity of 88.9% (CI 83.4-94.4); 4 h CK change had a sensitivity of 100% (CI 96.1-100) with a specificity of 90.4% (CI 83.5-95.1). After excluding those with contraindication to anti-thrombotic therapy there were 109 patients with an uncertain initial diagnosis. In this group, admission CK had a sensitivity of 37.5% (CI 18.8-59.4) with a specificity of 94% (CI 86.8-98.1); 4 h ECG had a sensitivity of 43.8% (CI 19.8-70.1) with specificity of 97.4% (CI 86.5-99.9%); 4 h CK had a sensitivity of 79.2% (CI 57.8-92.9) with a specificity of 96.5% (CI 90-99.3); 4 h CK increment had a sensitivity of 100% (CI 85.8-100) with a specificity of 94% (CI 86.8-98.1). The admission ECG remains the investigation of choice for early 'rule-in' diagnosis of AMI for thrombolysis. Admission measurement of CK offers a small advantage in the patient with an uncertain diagnosis but the overall benefit is low. A strategy of admission ECG plus serial testing allows diagnosis to be complete by 4 h for accurate risk stratification. Whether this can be used for selection for therapeutic options (thrombolytic, anti-coagulation, anti-platelet or anti-anginal agents) requires further clinical trials.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: risk stratification and management of relapsed disease.

The clinical factors described by the International Prognostic Index (IPI) provide a model for risk stratification in diffuse large B-cell lymphomas (DLBCLs). However, there is variability in outcome within IPI risk groups, indicating the biological and clinical heterogeneity of these diseases. Studies of gene expression profiling (GEP) in DLBCL are uncovering biological heterogeneity with prognostic significance. Various gene expression signatures with predictive value independent of the IPI are now recognized. Immunophenotypic features of DLBCL have also been shown to have prognostic value. The use of fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) scanning may provide additional predictive information when used at diagnosis or soon after initiation of treatment. Future prognostic models in DLBCL are likely to incorporate functional imaging, immunophenotype and GEPs as well as clinical data in risk stratification and choice of treatment. Treatment of relapsed DLBCL remains a major problem. High-dose therapy (HDT) and stem cell transplantation (SCT) has been shown to produce superior overall survival (OS) compared with conventional dose salvage therapy in patients with relapsed, chemosensitive DLBCL. However, only 20% to 30% of patients are cured by this approach, and the effectiveness of HDT and SCT in patients treated with rituximab-based combinations as first-line therapy is unknown. Although new transplant techniques including non-myeloablative allogeneic SCT are being investigated, their role is unclear. New treatment strategies are needed for these patients. The use of molecular techniques such as GEP is identifying many potential new therapeutic targets in DLBCL including histone deacetylase, HLA-DR, bcl-2, bcl-6, mTOR and TRAIL.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗
PubMed2004

Geographic stratification of linkage disequilibrium: a worldwide population study in a region of chromosome 22.

Recent studies of haplotype diversity in a number of genomic regions have suggested that long stretches of DNA are preserved in the same chromosome, with little evidence of recombination events. The knowledge of the extent and strength of these haplotypes could become a powerful tool for future genetic analysis of complex traits. Different patterns of linkage disequilibrium (LD) have been found when comparing individuals of African and European descent, but there is scarce knowledge about the worldwide population stratification. Thus, the study of haplotype composition and the pattern of LD from a global perspective are relevant for elucidating their geographical stratification, as it may have implications in the future analysis of complex traits. We have typed 12 single nucleotide polymorphisms in a chromosome 22 region--previously described as having high LD levels in European populations--in 39 different world populations. Haplotype structure has a clear continental structure with marked heterogeneity within some continents (Africa, America). The pattern of LD among neighbouring markers exhibits a strong clustering of all East Asian populations on the one hand and of Western Eurasian populations (including Europe) on the other, revealing only two major LD patterns, but with some very specific outliers due to specific demographic histories. Moreover, it should be taken into account that African populations are highly heterogeneous. The present results support the existence of a wide (but not total) communality in LD patterns in human populations from different continental regions, despite differences in their demographic histories, as population factors seem to be less relevant compared with genomic forces in shaping the patterns of LD.

Asia↗