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PubMed1991

Risk of fatal coronary heart disease in familial hypercholesterolaemia. Scientific Steering Committee on behalf of the Simon Broome Register Group.

OBJECTIVES: (a) To determine the excess mortality from all causes and from coronary heart disease in patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia; (b) to examine how useful various criteria for selective measurement of cholesterol concentration in cardiovascular screening programmes are in identifying these patients. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Eleven hospital outpatient lipid clinics in the United Kingdom. PATIENTS: 282 men and 244 women aged 20-74 with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Standardised mortality ratio, all adults in England and Wales being taken as standard (standardised mortality ratio = 100 for standard population). RESULTS: The cohort was followed up for 2234 person years during 1980-9. Fifteen of the 24 deaths were due to coronary heart disease, giving a standardised mortality ratio of 386 (95% confidence interval 210 to 639). The excess mortality from this cause was highest at age 20-39 (standardised mortality ratio 9686; 3670 to 21,800) and decreased significantly with age. The standardised mortality ratio for all causes was 183 (117 to 273) and also was highest at age 20-39 (standardised mortality ratio 902; 329 to 1950). There was no significant difference between men and women. Criteria for measurement of cholesterol concentration in cardiovascular screening programmes (family history, presence of myocardial infarction, angina, stroke, corneal arcus, xanthelasma, obesity, hypertension, diabetes, or any of these) were present in 78% of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Familial hypercholesterolaemia is associated with a substantial excess mortality from coronary heart disease in young adults but may not be associated with a substantial excess mortality in older patients. Criteria for selective measurement of cholesterol concentration in cardiovascular screening programmes identify about three quarters of patients with the clinically overt condition.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

War, famine and excess child mortality in Africa: the role of parental education.

BACKGROUND: Civilian-targeted warfare and famine constitute two of the greatest public health challenges of our time. Both have devastated many countries in Africa. Social services, and in particular, health services, have been destroyed. Dictatorial and military governments have used the withholding of food as a political weapon to exacerbate human suffering. Under such circumstances, war and famine are expected to have catastrophic impacts on child survival. This study examines the role of parental education in reducing excess child mortality in Africa by considering Tigrai-Ethiopia, which was severely affected by famine and civil war during 1973--1991. METHODS: This study uses data from the 1994 Housing and Population Census of Ethiopia and on communities' vulnerability to food crises. Child mortality levels and trends by various subgroups are estimated using indirect methods of mortality estimation techniques. A Poisson regression model is used to examine the relationship between number of children dead and parental education. RESULTS: Although child mortality is excessively high (about 200 deaths per 1000 births), our results show enormous variations in child mortality by parental education. Child mortality is highest among children born to illiterate mothers and illiterate fathers. Our results also show that the role of parental education in reducing child mortality is great during famine periods. In the communities devastated by war, however, its impact was significant only when the father has above primary education. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that both mother's and father's education are significantly and negatively associated with child mortality, although this effect diminishes over time if the crisis is severe and prolonged. The policy implications of our study include, obviously, reducing armed conflict, addressing food security in a timely manner, and expansion of educational opportunities.

Child↗
PubMed2006

Retrospective mortality cohort study of Italian workers compensated for silicosis.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate cause specific mortality in a large cohort of Italian workers compensated for silicosis. METHODS: The cohort included 14 929 subjects (14,098 men and 831 women) compensated for silicosis between 1946 and 1979, alive on 1 January 1980, and resident in Tuscany (a region of central Italy with 3,547,000 inhabitants). Mortality follow up ranged from 1980 to 1999. Vital status and the causes of death were determined by linkage with the regional mortality registry and with the national mortality database. The cohort mortality rates were compared to the rates of the local reference population. SMRs and their 95% confidence intervals were computed assuming a Poisson distribution of the observed deaths. Specific SMR analyses were performed according to the level of disability, the year of compensation assignment, and the job type. RESULTS: A significant excess mortality was observed in male silicotics for cancer of the lung, trachea, and bronchus and cancer of the liver, respiratory diseases (silicosis, asbestosis, antracosilicosis, and other pneumoconiosis), and for tubercolosis. Statistically significant mortality excess was observed in female silicotics for respiratory diseases (specifically silicosis and other pneumoconiosis) and tuberculosis. Analyses for period of compensation assignment showed a twofold increased SMR for biliary tract cancer among female workers and for liver cancer among male workers compensated before 1970. CONCLUSIONS: The excess mortality from respiratory tract cancers and respiratory tract diseases detected in Italian compensated silicotics are in agreement with previous epidemiological studies. Although the twofold increased risk for liver cancer among males is suggestive of a possible association with silica dust exposure, the finding needs to be confirmed.

Adult↗
PubMed1996

Ozone exposure and daily mortality in Mexico City: a time-series analysis.

Daily death counts in Mexico City were examined in relation to ambient ozone levels during 1990-1992 for the purpose of investigating the acute, irreversible effects of air pollution, with emphasis on ozone exposure. Air pollution data were obtained from nine monitoring stations operated by the Departamento del Distrito Federal. Mortality data were provided by the Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía, e Informática. Increases in numbers of deaths were positively associated with elevated air pollution levels on the same day and on the previous day. The magnitude of the increases was small but statistically significant, after Poisson regression models were used to adjust for temperature and long-term trends. In models using data for a single pollutant, the "crude" ratio for total mortality associated with an increase of 100 parts per billion (ppb)* in one-hour maximum ozone concentration was 1.029 (95% CI 1.015, 1.044). A moving average of ozone showed a stronger association (rate ratio [RR] = 1.048, 95% CI 1.025, 1.070), and excess mortality (an increase in the number of deaths, relative to the average on days with low pollution levels) was more evident for persons over 65 years of age. Separate analyses of the effect of elevated ozone for different areas of the city showed similar results, but they were not statistically significant. Other pollutants also were related to mortality. The RR was 1.075 (95% CI 0.984, 1.062) per 100-ppb increase for sulfur dioxide and 1.049 (95% CI 1.030, 1.067) per 100 micrograms/m3 increase in total suspended particulates (TSP) when these pollutants were considered in separate models. However, when all three pollutants were considered simultaneously, only TSP remained associated with mortality, indicating excess mortality of 5% per 100 micrograms/m3 increase [RR = 1.052, 95% CI 1.034, 1.072]. The excess mortality associated with TSP is consistent with that observed in other cities in America and Europe. This study provides some evidence that ozone is associated with all-cause mortality and with mortality among the elderly after controlling for long-term cycles. However, ozone levels exhibited little or no effect on mortality rates when other air pollutants were considered simultaneously. Particulate matter appeared to be an important pollutant; it independently predicted changes in mortality. Nevertheless, because of the complexity and variability of the mixtures to which people are exposed, it is difficult to attribute the observed effects to a single pollutant. The technical feasibility and scientific validity of isolating the effect of single pollutants in such complex mixtures requires further research and careful consideration. Given the large population living in and exposed to ambient air pollution in Mexico City and other metropolises throughout the world, these small but significant associations of mortality with air pollution indices are of public health concern.

Adolescent↗
PubMedDate not supplied

[Does clinical depression increase the risk of death from non-violent causes?].

Studies of the effect of depression on life expectancy have found controversial results. In the past, an excess mortality was attributed to conditions seen at psychiatric institutions. More recently, in addition to an excess mortality due to violent causes of death, some studies also found excess mortality due to non-violent and all-cause mortality. Hospital studies that evaluated this relationship are generally flawed and lack of control for potential confounders. Underlying physical illnesses could explain the excess mortality reported. On the other hand, community-based studies have studied small number of depressed subjects, and have used diverse measurements of depression which hamper comparability. This paper critically reviews recent published studies and discusses possible mechanisms for this association.

Cause of Death↗
PubMed2003

Remote symptomatic epilepsy: does seizure severity increase mortality?

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the excess mortality due to remote symptomatic epilepsy, taking account of frequency and type of seizures. METHODS: The authors compared mortality in persons with (n = 8,156) and without (n = 72,526) history of epilepsy in a 1988 to 1999 California population of persons with mild developmental disabilities. Subjects had traumatic brain injury, cerebral palsy, Down syndrome, autism, or no identifiable condition. There were 506,204 person-years of data, with 1,523 deaths. Excess death rates and standardized mortality ratios were computed for the persons in the study with epilepsy, relative to those in the study without epilepsy. Controlled comparisons were made using logistic regression on person-years. RESULTS: Compared to subjects with no epilepsy, the excess mortality was six (deaths per 1,000 persons per year) for persons with a recent (<12 months) history of status epilepticus, five for a recent history of generalized tonic-clonic seizure, three for a recent history of nonconvulsive seizures, and less than one for a history of epilepsy but no recent events. Proportion in remission and excess mortality showed no change over the 12-year study period. CONCLUSIONS: Persistent seizures are associated with increased mortality in remote symptomatic epilepsy. Mortality is highest among individuals with status epilepticus or generalized convulsions.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1985

Mortality of alcohol abusing men prospectively assessed in relation to history of abuse and degree of liver injury.

A prospective evaluation of mortality in relation to a broad range of alcoholic abuse and biopsy-assessed stage of alcoholic liver injury was carried out by following 315 men admitted to hospital for various medical disorders. During 10-13 years, 184 patients (58%) died, which, according to national mortality statistics, corresponds to a mortality ratio of 3.07. 43% of the excess mortality could be attributed to liver disease. Our results indicate that the alcohol abuse, irrespective of its magnitude and duration, is associated with a rather constant excess mortality and that the occurrence and severity of hepatic injury ranging from normal liver to active cirrhosis is directly associated with a subsequent liver-disease-related excess mortality.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Service screening with mammography. Long-term effects on breast cancer mortality in the county of Gävleborg, Sweden.

In the current study the long-term effects of a pilot service screening programme in the Swedish county of Gävleborg were studied. Women aged 40-64 years in 13 sub-areas were followed from start of screening between 1974 and 1979. Two control groups were used for comparison; the neighbouring counties and all of Sweden. A reference period prior to the study period was used to facilitate an adjustment for possible differences in baseline breast cancer mortality. Only deaths from breast cancer diagnosed after the first invitation to screening were analysed. Two outcome measures were used for breast cancer mortality; the underlying cause of death and excess mortality. Using the neighbouring counties as a control group, the relative risk, after 22 years of follow-up, of 10 years of screening was estimated at 0.84 (95% CI 0.71-1.00) using excess mortality. Due to lead time bias the relative risk was overestimated by 4%. Hence, a significant 20% reduction of breast cancer excess mortality was found.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Postneonatal and child mortality among twins in Southern and Eastern Africa.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have evaluated the difference in mortality between twins and singleton children during the postneonatal and childhood period in sub-Saharan Africa. The aim of this study was to quantify the excess mortality of twins during the postneonatal and childhood period and to identify factors that contribute to the excess mortality among twins. The different use made of health care services was hypothesized to contribute to the increased mortality. METHODS: The Demographic and Health Survey data on Malawi, Tanzania and Zambia were pooled. Logistic regression was used to estimate twin/singleton differences for the combined postneonatal and child mortality and to study the role of intermediate factors and effect modifiers. RESULTS: The study was based on 18 214 singleton children and 706 twins. The twin/ singleton odds ratio (OR) of the combined postneonatal and child mortality was 2.33 (95% CI : 1.85-2.93). This excess mortality was largest during the first year of life. Control for intermediate factors (preventive health care and breastfeeding) did not sizeably diminish the mortality difference. Effect modifiers that were associated with increased twin/singleton OR were male sex, unwanted child, short birth interval and low socioeconomic status. CONCLUSIONS: The excess mortality of twins compared to singletons is considerable. A difference in use of preventive health care or in breastfeeding cannot explain the increased mortality. Males, unwanted children, those born after a short birth interval and the socioeconomically disadvantaged are at special risk. The generally good attendance at under-5 clinics gives health care providers the opportunity for increased surveillance of these high-risk groups.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1997

A method for timely assessment of influenza-associated mortality in the United States.

Influenza-associated mortality has traditionally been estimated as the excess mortality above a baseline of deaths during influenza epidemic periods. Excess mortality estimates are not timely, because national vital statistics data become available after a period of 2-3 years. To develop a method for timely reporting, we used the 121 Cities Surveillance System (121 Cities), maintained at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, as an alternative data source. We fit a cyclical regression model to time series of weekly 121 Cities pneumonia and influenza deaths for 1972-1996 to estimate the excess pneumonia and influenza mortality and to compare these figures with national vital statistics estimates for 20 influenza seasons during 1972-1992. Seasonal excess mortality based on 121 Cities correlated well with the national data: for 18 (90%) of 20 seasons, our influenza epidemic severity index category approximated the result based on national vital statistics. We generated preliminary severity categories for the four recent seasons during 1992-1996. We conclude that the 121 Cities Surveillance System can be used for the timely assessment of the severity of future influenza epidemics and pandemics. Timely pneumonia and influenza mortality reporting systems established in sentinel countries worldwide would help alert public health officials and allow prompt prevention and intervention strategies during future influenza epidemics and pandemics.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.↗
PubMed1990

Mortality and causes of death in Crohn's disease. Review of 50 years' experience in Leiden University Hospital.

Six hundred and seventy one patients (52.5% women) with Crohn's disease seen at Leiden University Hospital between 1934 and 1984 were identified. Follow up was 98.2% complete. Sixty four (9.7%) of the 659 patients died. The cause of death was related to Crohn's disease in 34 patients, probably related to the disease in four, and unrelated, from incidental causes, in 25. The cause of death could not be identified in one patient. There was a significant decrease of deaths related to the disease after 1973. Causes of death such as amyloidosis and malnutrition have disappeared and postoperative deaths have decreased. The standardised mortality ratio showed an excess mortality of 2.23 for all patients. It was higher for women (3.30) than for men (1.76). A comparison of two recent 10 year periods showed a significant decrease in standardised mortality ratio in men but not in women. Patients whose disease started before the age of 20 years had an excess mortality compared with older patients. This study supports the view that the prognosis of Crohn's disease has improved in general but high quality medical and surgical management is important particularly for younger patients.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

[Five-year survival in persons aged 40 years or over with newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus].

The five- to six-year all-cause mortality is analysed in 1323 newly diagnosed diabetic patients aged 40 years or over. The median age at diagnosis is lower for males (63.6 years) than for females (67.5 years), but more males (24.7%) than females (20.0%) have died (p = 0.04). This male excess mortality can mainly be attributed to the 60-79-year old males. With increasing diabetes duration both male and female diabetic patients exhibit an increasing excess mortality in comparison with the Danish population. For males this excess mortality becomes statistically significant four years after diagnosis for the 40-59 year-olds and after six years for the 60-79 year-olds. For females and very old males no statistically significant excess mortality is observed, but after two to four years there is a tendency for the survival curve of 40-79-year old females to separate from that of the Danish female population to show an excess mortality. In this population-based study the disadvantageous mortality experience of even newly-diagnosed diabetic patients is clearly demonstrated.

Aged↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Five-year all-cause mortality of 1323 newly diagnosed middle-aged and elderly diabetic patients. Data from the population-based study, diabetes care in general practice, Denmark.

The 5- to 6-year all-cause mortality is analyzed in 1323 newly diagnosed diabetic patients aged 40 years or over. The median age at diagnosis is lower for men (63.6 years) than for women (67.5 years), but more men (24.7%) than women (20.0%) have died (p = 0.04). This male excess mortality can be attributed mainly to the 60- to 79-year-old men. With increasing diabetes duration, both male and female diabetic patients exhibit an increasing excess mortality in comparison with the Danish population. For men, this excess mortality becomes statistically significant 4 years after diagnosis for the 40- to 59-year-old patient and 6 years after diagnosis for the 60- to 79-year-old patient. For women and very old men, no statistically significant excess mortality is observed. After 2-4 years, however, there is a tendency for the survival curve of 40- to 79-year-old women to separate from that of the Danish female population to show an excess mortality. In this population-based study, the disadvantageous mortality experience of even newly diagnosed diabetic patients is clearly demonstrated.

Adult↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Injury fatalities among young children.

Injuries and violence are the primary causes of death among young children in the United States. In particular, in 1982-84 motor vehicle injuries, fires, drowning, and homicide were the leading external causes of death at ages 1-4 years and 5-9 years, accounting for nearly 80 percent of all deaths from external causes. The purpose of this article is to analyze race and sex differentials in injury fatalities among young children. Race and sex differentials in injury mortality were measured in terms of relative risks, that is, race (black to white) and sex (male to female) mortality ratios. Race ratios for external causes ranged from 1.7 to 1.9 for children 1-4 and 5-9, while sex ratios were somewhat lower, 1.4 to 1.8. Although race and sex ratios were relatively small for passenger-related motor vehicle fatalities (0.8 to 1.2) the ratios for pedestrian-related injuries were considerably greater (1.5 to 2.0). Race ratios for deaths caused by fires and homicide were particularly large (3.4 to 4.3). Mortality differences were also measured in terms of excess mortality. For each age-race group more than 65 percent of the overall excess deaths among males were due to external causes of death. Pedestrian-related motor vehicle injuries and drownings accounted for the largest proportion of excess deaths among males. At ages 1-4, 53 percent of the overall excess deaths among blacks were due to external causes. Deaths caused by fires and homicide accounted for more than two-fifths of the excess in this age group. At ages 5-9, 81 percent of excess mortality among black males and 69 percent among black females were accounted for by external causes. Fires, pedestrian-related motor vehicle fatalities, and homicides accounted for nearly 65 percent of excess mortality among black children.There has been a 30 percent decline in death rates from all external causes between 1972-74 and 1982-84. Pedestrian-related motor vehicle death rates declined the most in both age groups.Mortality also declined in each age-race-sex group for passenger-related motor vehicle injuries, for drownings, and for fires except among black males ages 5-9. Homicide, in contrast, increased in both age groups. There has been little change, however,in the incidence of injuries among children. Thus,it appears that declines in fatalities accounted for a major portion of the mortality reduction.

Accidents, Traffic↗
PubMed1999

Mortality of patients with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with observation for 10 years or longer: a population based registry study.

PURPOSE: We studied the outcome in patients with early and probably organ confined prostate cancer who were considered candidates for curative therapy and treated expectantly. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 2,570 patients with newly diagnosed prostate cancer reported to the Danish Cancer Registry from 1943 to 1986 and surviving for 10 years or longer. Mortality and causes of death were analyzed and stratified by stage, age and time of diagnosis. Excess mortality was calculated from life expectancy tables for the general population. RESULTS: An overall excess mortality (standard mortality ratio 1.58, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.51 to 1.65) was found. Young age and advanced clinical stage at diagnosis entailed a higher risk of death from prostate cancer. Overall 42.7 and 19.1% of the patients who died had prostate cancer as the direct or contributing cause of death, respectively. Of the annual deaths 13% were attributable to prostate cancer. In 1,326 patients 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 years old with clinically localized prostate cancer at diagnosis the excess mortality was still significant (standard mortality ratio 1.72, 95% CI 1.54 to 1.93 and 1.50, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.62, respectively). Prostate cancer was the primary or contributing cause of death in 42.9% of the younger group and 21.5% of the older group. In these patients 15% of the annual deaths were related to prostate cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with clinically localized prostate cancer for 10 years or longer, who were likely candidates for curative therapy when diagnosed, had significant excess mortality when treated expectantly.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Mortality risk after hip fracture.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the mortality risk following hip fracture and identify factors predictive of increased mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective review of prospectively collected data. SETTING: Tertiary care orthopaedic hospital. BACKGROUND: Approximately 250,000 hip fractures occur annually in the United States. The greatest mortality risk following hip fracture has been demonstrated to be within the first 6 months of fracture, and some studies report that the risk approaches expected mortality after 6 months. However, more recent studies have demonstrated that an increased risk of mortality may persist for several years postfracture. The purpose of this study was to assess the excess mortality associated with hip fracture at up to 2 years postinjury. METHODS: All patients with a hip fracture who were admitted to our institution over a 10-year period were evaluated. Criteria for inclusion included: Caucasian, age 65 or older, previously ambulatory, and home dwelling. Patients were followed prospectively to determine the mortality risk associated with hip fracture over a 2-year follow-up period. Mortality was compared to a standardized population and standardized mortality ratios were calculated. RESULTS: Eight hundred thirty-six patients met the inclusion criteria and were included. The mortality risk was highest within the first 3 months following fracture, with standardized mortality ratios approaching that of the control population by two years. Patients age 65-84 had higher mortality risk when compared with patients age > or =85. American Society of Anesthesiologists classification was predictive of increased mortality risk in younger patients, with these patients having triple the mortality risk when compared to the reference population at 2-year follow-up. More elderly patients had minimal excess mortality associated with hip fracture at 1- and 2-year follow-up, regardless of ASA classification. CONCLUSION: The data demonstrate that hip fracture is not associated with significant excess mortality amongst patients older than age 85. Amongst younger patients, however, those with ASA classifications of 3 or 4 have significant excess mortality following hip fracture that persists up to 2 years after injury.

Activities of Daily Living↗
PubMed1992

Oral, pharyngeal and laryngeal cancer as a cause of death among Swiss cooks.

In an analysis of Swiss mortality data (1979-1987) excess mortality due to oral, pharyngeal and laryngeal cancer was found among cooks, and the rate was very high in the age group < 55 years. The peak number of cases was observed among cooks in the age category 45-49 years. In the standard population the highest number of such deaths was observed between 65 and 69 years of age. The numbers of alcohol-related causes of death were also elevated among the cooks, while the numbers of smoking-related deaths were not. Although the dominant role of combined alcohol and tobacco consumption for the development of oral, pharyngeal and laryngeal cancer has been confirmed by many studies, other factors (eg, volatile carcinogenic compounds formed during the cooking process) may contribute to the excess mortality from oral, pharyngeal and laryngeal cancer among cooks. The question of the relevance of such factors will have to be answered by further studies.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1989

Diabetic renal disease in Pima Indians.

Diabetic renal disease is a major source of morbidity and mortality in Pima Indians. Excess mortality in NIDDM occurs principally in those with proteinuria regardless of whether death is due to cardiovascular or renal disease. Diabetes duration is a strong predictor of diabetic renal disease. Additional predictors include blood pressure, severity of diabetes, and, most likely, genetic or shared environmental determinants. The incidence rate of diabetic renal disease in Pima Indians with NIDDM is similar to that reported for subjects with IDDM with equivalent durations of diabetes. These observations suggest that clinical proteinuria and renal failure may occur in patients with NIDDM just as frequently as in those with IDDM. This finding has important implications and suggests that the variations in the frequency and age of onset of NIDDM among different populations and ethnic groups may be primarily responsible for the apparent variations in the frequency of ESRD associated with diabetes in different populations. Furthermore, diabetic renal disease appears to account for virtually all of the excess mortality associated with diabetes among Pima Indians and may perhaps do so in other populations. Improved survival of persons with NIDDM, an increasing incidence of this disease, and a relatively early age of onset in many populations could lead to a dramatic increase in the incidence of ESRD in the future. On the other hand, if diabetic renal disease and its consequences could be prevented, a profound improvement in the longevity and quality of life of those afflicted with diabetes might be possible.

Albuminuria↗