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Familial clustering of cardiovascular disease in patients with insulin-dependent diabetes and nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Patients who have insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus and nephropathy have an excess of cardiovascular disease. Familial factors may in part account for this phenomenon. METHODS: We identified 61 white patients under 65 years of age with insulin-dependent diabetes who had nephropathy, and then matched them with 61 diabetic patients without nephropathy. We determined the prevalence of cardiovascular disease in the parents of these patients with use of information obtained from death certificates or from the World Health Organization questionnaire for cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: The rates of ascertainment of information were 96 percent (n = 117) for the parents of diabetic patients with nephropathy and 95 percent (n = 116) for the parents of patients without nephropathy. Cardiovascular disease was more often a direct cause of death among the parents of diabetic patients with nephropathy (40 percent vs. 22 percent, P less than 0.03), and the combined morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular disease in this group was greater than that in the parents of diabetic patients without nephropathy (31 percent vs. 14 percent, P less than 0.01). The age-adjusted and sex-adjusted relative risk of cardiovascular disease in this group of parents was 2.9 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 5.5; P less than 0.001). Moreover, a paternal history of cardiovascular disease was associated with a significantly increased risk of nephropathy in the diabetic patient after the analysis was adjusted for age, sex, and duration of diabetes (odds ratio, 3.2; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.3 to 7.9; P less than 0.01). Among the diabetic patients with nephropathy, those who had had a cardiovascular event were much more likely to have a family history of cardiovascular disease (odds ratio, 6.2; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.0 to 19.0; P less than 0.005) than those who had not had such an event. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with insulin-dependent diabetes, a parental history of cardiovascular disease is significantly associated with the development of nephropathy and, among those with nephropathy, increases the likelihood of cardiovascular disease.

Adolescent↗

Methylation and gene silencing of the Ras-related GTPase gene in lung and breast cancers.

BACKGROUND: RRAD, a small Ras-related GTPase, is highly expressed in human skeletal muscle, lung, and heart. Although loss of expression of RRAD in breast cancer cells has been reported and it may act as an oncogene, the mechanism of silencing is unknown. METHODS: We examined (1) mRNA expression of RRAD in lung and breast cancer cell lines using RT-PCR and (2) methylation status of lung and breast cancers. RESULTS: Loss of RRAD expression was found in 14 of 20 (70%) NSCLC cell lines, 11 of 11 (100%) SCLC cell lines, and 8 of 10 (80%) breast cancer cell lines; expression was not affected in normal bronchial and mammary epithelial cells. Treatment of 23 expression-negative cell lines with a demethylating agent restored expression in all cases. We developed a methylation-specific assay from the analysis of bisulfite sequencing of the 5' region of RRAD in expression-negative and positive cell lines, which resulted in good concordance between methylation and expression. Primary lung and breast cancers showed hypermethylation in 89 of 214 (42%) and 39 of 63 (62%) cases, respectively. RRAD hypermethylation correlated with smoking history and poorer prognosis in lung adenocarcinomas. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that epigenetic silencing of RRAD is a frequent event in lung and breast cancers, and analysis of it may provide novel opportunities for prognosis and therapy of these cancers.

Adenocarcinoma↗

The safety of anakinra in high-risk patients with active rheumatoid arthritis: six-month observations of patients with comorbid conditions.

OBJECTIVE: To determine in a placebo-controlled, double-blind trial the safety profile of daily anakinra (Kineret) use in patients with active rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and concurrent comorbid conditions. METHODS: In 169 centers in 9 countries, 1,414 patients with active RA were randomly assigned to receive either anakinra (100 mg) or placebo treatment (4:1 anakinra-to-placebo allocation ratio), with study drug administered by daily subcutaneous injection for 6 months. The current post hoc analysis assessed baseline comorbid conditions, and patients were considered at high risk for the occurrence of adverse events if they had a history of at least one of the following: cardiovascular event, pulmonary event, central nervous system-related event, infection, diabetes, malignancy, or renal impairment. Within each treatment group (anakinra or placebo), incidence rates were summarized for serious adverse events, infectious events, and serious infectious events in high-risk patients and compared with these incidence rates in patients without comorbid conditions. RESULTS: The majority of patients in the trial had one or more comorbid conditions. In these high-risk patients, there were no differences in the incidence of serious adverse events or infectious events between treatment groups. The incidence of serious infectious events with anakinra use was similar between high-risk patients (2.5%) and the entire study population (2.1%) and was not attributable to any single comorbidity. CONCLUSION: Results of the analysis of adverse events in patients with active RA and coexisting comorbidities suggest that the favorable safety profile of anakinra is maintained in a high-risk patient population.

Adult↗

[Correlation between body mass index, lipoprotein (a) level and positive family history of cardiovascular diseases in children and adolescents with obesity, hypertension and diabetes].

The study was carried out in a group of 285 children and adolescents aged 4-20 yrs. Children were divided according to their main disease: group with obesity, obesity and coexisting hypertension, hypertension and diabetes. Each group was divided into children with positive or negative family history of cardiovascular diseases. We assessed routine lipid parameters, body mass index and new atherosclerosis risk factors: lipoprotein (a), apolipoproteins A-I and B, homocysteine, fibrinogen, t-PA and PAI-1. Positive family history of cardiovascular diseases was found in 28% families, and in 8% families it was premature cardiovascular disease. In 48% children we found hypertension in family. Children with positive family history had significantly higher body mass index (25.4 vs 23.8 kg/m2). In the group with obesity and hypertension we found significantly higher cholesterol (182 vs 160 mg/dl) and LDL-cholesterol level (114 vs 93 mg/dl). Lipoprotein(a) level was significantly higher in children with positive family history (38 vs 28 mg/dl). Significant differencies were also found in apolipoprotein B level (90 vs 84 mg/dl). In logistic regression analysis only BMI and lipoprotein(a) were significant in predicting future cardiovascular events in children. Obese, hypertensive and diabetic children often come from families with cardiovascular diseases. Hypertension is the most often prevalent atherosclerosis risk factor in families. Children with positive family history of cardiovascular diseases have significantly higher body mass index. Out of new atherosclerosis risk factors lipoprotein(a) and apolipoprotein B may have real value in predicting future cardiovascular disease in the child. The aim of the study was to compare obese, hypertensive and diabetic children with positive and negative family history of cardiovascular diseases. In the work we have tried to find which of the new atherosclerosis risk factors may have the real value in predicting future cardiovascular events in children already predisposed to atherosclerosis.

Adolescent↗

Natural and artificial secondary contact in brown trout (Salmo trutta, L.) in the French western Pyrenees assessed by allozymes and microsatellites.

Analysis of allozyme polymorphism in brown trout (Salmo trutta) populations from south-western France shows that two genetically differentiated wild forms (characterised by the LDH-C1*100 and 90 alleles) introgress in this area. As allozymes could not evaluate the impact of stocking in the Atlantic basin, microsatellites have been necessary to detect the influence of hatchery fish and to confirm that the observed structure was natural. Microsatellites confirm the distinctness of the two wild forms based on allozyme loci. This situation provides a new example of secondary contact for this species in the Atlantic basin, with various levels of mixing being seen between the two population groups. The origin of these forms is discussed in the light of previous studies concerning modern and ancestral Atlantic trout (Hamilton et al, 1989) and lineages stemming from different glacial refuges (Garcia Marin et al, 1999; Weiss et al, 2000). This local analysis provides new insights in defining the evolutionary history of this species and confirms the important role of glaciation events in this history.

Animals↗

Microsatellite polymorphism of the human leptin gene (LEP) and risk of cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: No data have been so far reported on the relationship between polymorphisms of LEP gene and cardiovascular disease. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We genotyped a tetranucleotide repeat mapped in the 3'UTR of the LEP gene (LEP-tet) in 109 subjects with cardiovascular events and in 109 control subjects. RESULTS: Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusted for age, gender, smoking status, history of hyperlipidemia, hypertension or diabetes showed not significant association between the genotype of the LEP-tet and cardiovascular diseases. Moreover, no differences were observed in the plasma leptin concentrations between cases and control subjects (22 +/- 19 vs 22 +/- 14 ng/ml, P = 0.52) and in relation to the LEP-tet classes or carriage of specific alleles (P = 0.76 for the association between LEP-tet classes and leptin levels in overall analysis). CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our data do not support an association between the LEP-tet microsatellite polymorphism of the human LEP gene and cardiovascular diseases.

3' Untranslated Regions↗

Seasonal variation in the onset of acute microcrystalline arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether acute attacks of uric acid and calcium pyrophosphate microcrystalline arthritis show a seasonal variation and, if so, to verify whether the distribution of single episodes shows a rhythmic circannual pattern. METHOD: All suspected cases of microcrystalline acute arthritis observed at the General Hospital of Ferrara during an 8 yr period (January 1990-December 1997) were considered. Diagnosis was made on the basis of history, physical examination and analysis of synovial fluid by means of polarized light microscopy. Month and day of each event were categorized both into four 3-month periods (by seasons) and 12 monthly intervals. Two different statistical methods have been utilized: chi(2) test for goodness of fit and partial Fourier series. RESULTS: During the period considered, 210 episodes of acute gout were observed [196 in males (93.3%) and 14 in females (6.7%)] in 179 different subjects, and 179 episodes of acute pseudogout [58 in males (32.4%) and 121 in females (67.6%)] in 165 different subjects. Gout attacks showed a higher frequency peak in spring [76 cases (36. 2%), P<0.001]. Analysis of distribution of events by gender confirmed the clear spring pattern in males (36.2%), whereas the paucity of cases in females did not allow any valid statistical analysis. Pseudogout attacks showed a higher frequency peak in autumn [52 cases (29.1%)], without reaching a statistically significant level either for the total sample or for subgroups divided by gender. Analysis of the seasonal distribution of gout or pseudogout events was significantly different (chi(2) 15.7, P=0.001). Chronobiological evaluation by means of Fourier analysis showed a circannual pattern for gout attacks, both for the total sample (P=0.006) and the male subgroup (P=0.003), characterized by a peak in April and a trough in October. Again, as for pseudogout events, no seasonal variation was found, either for the total sample or subgroups by gender. CONCLUSIONS: The present study gives further confirmation that acute gout attacks exhibit a circannual distribution in their occurrence, being more frequent in April, whereas pseudogout attacks do not. Moreover, the seasonal distribution of gout and pseudogout acute events is significantly different.

Acute Disease↗

Hemostatic and fibrinolytic parameters in survivors of myocardial infarction: a low plasma level of plasmin-alpha2-antiplasmin complex is an independent predictor of coronary re-events.

Abnormalities of coagulation or fibrinolysis play a role in the pathogenesis of coronary artery disease (CAD). Elevated plasma levels of fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor antigen, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 and tissue-type plasminogen activator were reported to be predictive for reinfarction and death in patients with CAD. We investigated the risk for coronary re-events associated with 18 hemostatic and fibrinolytic parameters in a prospective study including 200 survivors of myocardial infarction (MI). During a 2-year follow-up, 37 patients suffered one of the following predefined re-events: fatal MI (n = 2), non-fatal MI (n = 5), percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (n = 17) or coronary artery bypass grafting (n = 13). Low plasmin-alpha2-antiplasmin complex (PAP) plasma levels were associated with an up to fivefold (95% confidence interval, 1.6-15.3) increase in relative risk. The association between decreasing PAP levels and coronary re-events remained significant (P = 0.004) after correction for possible confounders using multiple logistic regression analysis. Our data indicate low PAP plasma levels to be associated with subsequent coronary events in patients with a history of MI.

Adult↗

Carotid and peripheral atherosclerosis in patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention and outcome associated with multifocal atherosclerosis.

AIM: The aim of our study was to determine if patients with multifocal atherosclerosis have a worse prognosis than patients with atherosclerosis only in the coronary bed. METHODS: We studied 45 subjects admitted to intensive coronary care unit of the Division of Cardiology with the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Traditional cardiovascular risk factors were investigated and laboratory analysis included measurement of plasma lipids, glycemia, fibrinogen and high-sensitivity-C-reactive protein (hs-CRP). Each patient underwent coronary-angiography as well as carotid and peripheral arterial ultrasound examination. A follow-up of 13+/-2 months was performed. RESULTS: We found that the severity of coronary atherosclerosis is significantly associated with the presence of carotid (P<0.05) and peripheral atherosclerosis (P<0.005). Markers of inflammation, hs-CRP (P<0.005) and fibrinogen (P<0.05), were significantly associated with multifocal atherosclerosis. We have shown that an increased number of coronary vessels with atherosclerotic stenosis is associated with a higher value of carotid (P<0.0001) and peripheral intima media thickness (P<0.0001). During 13 months of follow-up the incidence of fatal or non fatal events was 18%. The multivariate analysis showed that the variables independently associated with fatal and non fatal events were: male sex (P<0.001), family history of cardiovascular disease (P<0.005), hypertension (P<0.01), diabetes mellitus (P<0.05), higher levels of total cholesterol (P<0.05), smoking habit (P<0.05), and multifocal atherosclerosis (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The ultrasound examination of carotid and peripheral atherosclerotic lesions may be useful in placing patients with AMI in a category of higher risk of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events. Moreover, the precocious identification of patients at risk can suggest a more aggressive pharmacological treatment and a more accurate follow-up in order to avoid future events.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗

Prognostic value of a history of hypertension in 11,483 patients with acute myocardial infarction treated with thrombolysis. GISSI-2 Investigators. Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della, Sopravvivena nell'Infarto Miocardico.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prognostic value of a history of hypertension in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) treated with thrombolysis. DESIGN: Retrospective adjusted analysis of outcome data of patients with AMI randomly allocated to treatment in a controlled study of alteplase versus streptokinase and heparin versus no heparin. SETTING: A highly representative sample (about 90%) of Italian Coronary Care Units. PATIENTS: Patients with (n = 3306) and without (n = 7406) a history of treated hypertension. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Morbidity and mortality during hospital stay and the next 6 months. RESULTS: Patients with a history of hypertension had a significantly higher mortality, both in hospital and during the next 6 months. The difference persisted also after a multivariate analysis including all major prognostic factors for in-hospital and 6-month mortality, respectively. Left ventricular failure and recurrent ischaemic events (angina and re-infarction) were also significantly more frequent in hypertensives both during their hospital stay and during follow-up study. CONCLUSIONS: A history of hypertension is a negative independent prognostic factor after acute myocardial infarction treated with thrombolysis.

Aged↗

Potential for suicide prevention in primary care? An analysis of factors associated with suicide.

BACKGROUND: General practitioners (GPs) need to be aware of the risk factors for suicide. GP records may provide clues to identifying the relative importance of such risk factors. AIMS: To identify, in suicide cases and matched controls, the patterns of consultation, diagnosis, and treatment of mental illness, and recording of risk factors for suicide. To examine the usefulness of data routinely collected by GPs in computerized databases to investigate treatment of patients in general practice prior to suicide. METHOD: Case control study using GP records from the General Practice Research Database (GPRD). Three controls selected for each case, matched for age, sex, and duration of registration with practice. Information extracted of the prevalence of major disease; diagnosis of, and treatment, or referral for, mental illness; frequency of recording of recent life events; and consultations with the GP in the 12 months prior to death. RESULT: Of the 339 suicide cases recorded, 80% were male, which is similar to the national percentage for this age group. Females were more likely than males to have a history of mental illness and to have been diagnosed and treated for mental illness in the 12 months before death (59% versus 35%), and women were more likely to have previously attempted suicide (47% versus 27%). There was no significant difference between males and females in period of time since last contact with GP practice, but females consulted more frequently. Twenty-nine per cent of cases had not consulted their GP in the six months prior to death. In multivariate analysis, the following were identified as independent risk factors: history of attempted suicide; untreated serious mental illness (odds ratio > 20); recent (past 12 months) marital life event; alcohol abuse; frequent consultations with GP; and previous mental illness. Recording of life events by GPs was poor. CONCLUSIONS: Females at risk of suicide are more likely than males to have been diagnosed and treated for mental illness. It is likely that GPs are under-diagnosed and under-treating males at risk. Data from the GPRD give comparable results to those from other studies. The GPRD is a potentially useful tool for research into relatively uncommon events in general practice.

Adolescent↗

Analysis of 100 upper limb injuries using the Merseyside Accident Information Model.

More than 2 million upper limb injuries occur each year in Britain. Information about the precise sequence of events leading up to an accident may help prevention of similar injuries by alteration of the work environment or through safety education. The first impression of the cause of an accident may not identify the key event triggering it. The Merseyside Accident Information Model (MAIM; Manning, 1987) provides a structured questionnaire, based on a menu-led computer programme. This not only allows the first unforeseen event to be identified from the history, but is also the basis of a database. Pooled data can then be analyzed. We present an analysis of 100 consecutive cases presenting to one Plastic Surgery Unit.

Accidents↗

Risk factors related to the 7-year prognosis for patients suspected of myocardial infarction with and without confirmed diagnosis.

This study prospectively evaluates the long-term prognosis of patients admitted with chest pain under suspicion of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with and without confirmed diagnosis. All patients below 76 years of age, free of other severe diseases and alive at discharge, who were admitted to a coronary care unit of a well-defined region during 1 year, constituted the study population. In all, 275 patients with and 257 patients without confirmed AMI (non-AMI) were included. During 7 years of follow-up, 122 cardiac events (96 cardiac deaths and 26 nonfatal AMI) occurred in the AMI patients, and 69 (44 cardiac deaths and 25 nonfatal AMI) were observed in the non-AMI patients. Using univariate analysis, the following risk variables were significantly related to an impaired prognosis of non-AMI patients: age, a history of previous AMI, angina pectoris, clinical heart failure, diabetes and ST or T changes in the electrocardiogram (ECG) on admission. By multivariate analysis, the following risk factors contained independent prognostic information for non-AMI patients: (1) a history of angina pectoris and (2) ST and T changes on the ECG on admission. We conclude that a subset of non-AMI patients at high risk for cardiac events even in the long term can be identified from the medical history and the ECG on admission. These patients should be carefully evaluated prior to discharge, whereas patients without signs of ischemic heart disease have an excellent prognosis.

Aged↗

Prognostic determinants in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Prospective evaluation of a therapeutic strategy based on clinical, Holter, hemodynamic, and electrophysiological findings.

BACKGROUND: Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) frequently have arrhythmias and hemodynamic abnormalities and are prone to sudden death and syncope. An important need exists for improved risk stratification and definition of appropriate investigation and therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: The relation of 31 clinical, Holter, cardiac catheterization, and electrophysiological (EP) variables to subsequent cardiac events in 230 HCM patients was examined by multivariate analysis. Studies were for cardiac arrest (n = 32), syncope (n = 80), presyncope (n = 52), ventricular tachycardia (VT) on Holter (n = 36), a strong family history of sudden death (n = 9), and palpitations (n = 21). Nonsustained VT on Holter was present in 115 patients (50%). Sustained ventricular arrhythmia was induced in 82 patients (36%). Seventeen cardiac events (eight sudden deaths, one cardiac arrest, and eight syncope with defibrillator discharges) occurred during a follow-up of 28 +/- 19 months. The 1-year and 5-year event-free rates were 99% and 79%, respectively. Two variables were significant independent predictors of subsequent events: sustained ventricular arrhythmia induced at EP study (beta, 3.5; p = 0.002) and a history of cardiac arrest or syncope (beta, 2.9; p less than 0.05). Only two of 66 patients without symptoms of impaired consciousness had a cardiac event (3-year event-free rate, 97%). In contrast, nonsustained VT on Holter was associated with a worse prognosis only in patients with symptoms of impaired consciousness: 11 of 79 symptomatic patients with VT on Holter (14%) had events versus only four of 85 symptomatic patients without VT on Holter (5%) (p = 0.057). Notably, none of 51 patients without symptoms of impaired consciousness in whom VT was not induced at EP study had a cardiac event. CONCLUSIONS: In HCM, VT on Holter is of benign prognostic significance in the absence of symptoms of impaired consciousness and inducible VT, and sustained VT induced at EP study, especially when associated with cardiac arrest or syncope, identifies a subgroup at high risk for subsequent cardiac events.

Adolescent↗

Ancient origin of the tryptophan operon and the dynamics of evolutionary change.

The seven conserved enzymatic domains required for tryptophan (Trp) biosynthesis are encoded in seven genetic regions that are organized differently (whole-pathway operons, multiple partial-pathway operons, and dispersed genes) in prokaryotes. A comparative bioinformatics evaluation of the conservation and organization of the genes of Trp biosynthesis in prokaryotic operons should serve as an excellent model for assessing the feasibility of predicting the evolutionary histories of genes and operons associated with other biochemical pathways. These comparisons should provide a better understanding of possible explanations for differences in operon organization in different organisms at a genomics level. These analyses may also permit identification of some of the prevailing forces that dictated specific gene rearrangements during the course of evolution. Operons concerned with Trp biosynthesis in prokaryotes have been in a dynamic state of flux. Analysis of closely related organisms among the Bacteria at various phylogenetic nodes reveals many examples of operon scission, gene dispersal, gene fusion, gene scrambling, and gene loss from which the direction of evolutionary events can be deduced. Two milestone evolutionary events have been mapped to the 16S rRNA tree of Bacteria, one splitting the operon in two, and the other rejoining it by gene fusion. The Archaea, though less resolved due to a lesser genome representation, appear to exhibit more gene scrambling than the Bacteria. The trp operon appears to have been an ancient innovation; it was already present in the common ancestor of Bacteria and Archaea. Although the operon has been subjected, even in recent times, to dynamic changes in gene rearrangement, the ancestral gene order can be deduced with confidence. The evolutionary history of the genes of the pathway is discernible in rough outline as a vertical line of descent, with events of lateral gene transfer or paralogy enriching the analysis as interesting features that can be distinguished. As additional genomes are thoroughly analyzed, an increasingly refined resolution of the sequential evolutionary steps is clearly possible. These comparisons suggest that present-day trp operons that possess finely tuned regulatory features are under strong positive selection and are able to resist the disruptive evolutionary events that may be experienced by simpler, poorly regulated operons.

Evolution, Molecular↗

Derivation and validation of a disease-specific risk score for cardiac risk stratification in chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiac events (CE; cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and acute coronary syndrome) are the principal causes of death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We sought to devise and validate a cardiac risk score to risk-stratify patients with CKD. METHODS: Clinical history and biochemical data were obtained in 167 CKD patients. CE were recorded over a median follow-up of 22 months. The hazard ratio (HR) of each independent variable using Cox regression analysis was used to derive a cardiac risk score for the prediction of events. The cardiac risk score was then applied to a validation population of 99 CKD patients to confirm its validity in predicting CE. RESULTS: CE occurred in 20 patients in the derivation group. The independent predictors of CE were cardiac history (HR 9.83, P = 0.001), body mass index (BMI; HR 1.15, P = 0.002), dialysis duration (HR 1.24, P = 0.004) and serum phosphate (HR 4.29, P = 0.001). The resulting cardiac risk score (range 26-67) gave an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.86. CE occurred in 25 patients in the validation group; the ROC curve area was similar (0.84, P = 0.11). An optimal cardiac risk score cut-off of 50 assigned high risk to 29% of the derivation and 35% of the validation group (P = 0.26). CE occurred in 35 and 57% of the high-risk derivation and validation groups, respectively (P = 0.09), and in 2 and 8% of the low-risk groups (P = 0.15). CONCLUSION: Application of a cardiac risk score using cardiac history, dialysis duration, BMI and phosphate identifies CKD patients at risk of future CE.

Adult↗

Seven-year follow-up after dobutamine stress echocardiography: impact of gender on prognosis.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of gender on long-term prognosis of patients undergoing dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE). BACKGROUND: Gender differences in the predictors of outcome among patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease undergoing DSE have not been adequately studied. METHODS: We studied 2,276 men and 1,105 women with known or suspected coronary artery disease who underwent DSE. Follow-up events were cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: Dobutamine stress echocardiography was normal in 687 men (30%) and 483 women (44%) (p <0.0001). Ischemia on DSE was present in 1,194 men (52%) and 416 women (38%) (p <0.001). During a mean follow-up of 7 +/- 3.4 years, there were 894 (26%) deaths (442 attributed to cardiac causes) and 145 (4%) nonfatal MIs. The annual cardiac event rate was 2.5% in men and 1.2% in women with normal DSE. Independent predictors of cardiac events in patients with normal DSE using a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were male gender (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.7 [range 1.1 to 2.8]), age (HR: 1.02 [range 1.01 to 1.04]), history of heart failure (HR: 3.4 [range 1.5 to 7.9]), previous MI (HR: 1.7 [range 1.1 to 2.8]), and diabetes (HR: 2.4 [range 1.3 to 4.5]). Independent predictors of cardiac events in patients with an abnormal DSE were age (HR: 1.03 [range 1.02 to 1.04]), history of heart failure (HR: 1.7 [range 1.3 to 2.1]), diabetes (HR: 1.4 [range 1.1 to 1.8]), heart rate at rest (HR: 2.8 [range 1.4 to 5.8]), wall motion abnormalities at rest (HR: 1.06 [range 1.04 to 1.09]), and ischemia on DSE (HR: 1.04 [range 1.02 to 1.07]). Myocardial ischemia was an independent predictor of cardiac events in both men and women. CONCLUSIONS: Dobutamine stress echocardiography provides independent prognostic information in both men and women. In patients with normal DSE, gender is independently associated with cardiac events. The outcome of patients with abnormal DSE is not related to gender, after adjusting for stress echocardiographic abnormalities.

Coronary Disease↗

Analysis of mortality data from the former USSR: age-period-cohort analysis.

The objective of this article is to review research on age-period-cohort (APC) analysis of mortality and to trace the effects of contemporary and historical factors on mortality change in the former USSR. Several events in USSR history have exerted a lasting influence on its people. These influences may be captured by an APC model in which the period effects measure the impact of contemporary factors and the cohort effects the past history of individuals which cannot be attributed to age or stage in the life cycle. APC models are extensively applied in the study of mortality. This article presents the statistical theory of the APC models and shows that they belong to the family of generalized linear models. The parameters of the APC model may therefore be estimated by any package of loglinear analysis that allows for hybrid loglinear models.

Adolescent↗