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Positive correlation between Epstein-Barr virus viral load and anti-viral capsid immunoglobulin G titers determined for Hodgkin's lymphoma patients and their relatives.

Markers of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection include measures of specific serological titers and of viral load (VLo) in peripheral blood mononuclear cells. Few studies have investigated the correlation between these two phenotypes. Here, we found that there was no correlation between VLo and either anti-EBV nuclear antigen type 1 or anti-early antigen immunoglobulin G (IgG) titer but that anti-viral capsid antigen (VCA) IgG titer increased with VLo in peripheral blood mononuclear cells in patients with Hodgkin's lymphoma (P = 3.10(-3)). A similar pattern was observed in healthy first-degree relatives (parents and siblings) of patients (P = 6.10(-4)). Our results indicate that anti-VCA IgG titers and EBV VLo are specifically correlated EBV phenotypes.

Adolescent↗

Quantitation of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA loads in cervicovaginal secretions in pregnant women and relationship between viral loads in the genital tract and blood.

The purpose of this study was to analyze the quantitation of the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA (HIV-1 RNA) in the genital tract of HIV-1-infected pregnant women and to evaluate a possible correlation with the viral load in blood plasma (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient). A total of 38 each of cervical, vaginal, and blood samples from 38 women were obtained during the third trimester of pregnancy for quantitation of the HIV-1 RNA load. Viral loads were determined by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. The HIV-1 RNA viral load was detectable in 29 of the 38 (76.3%) blood samples, in 6 of the 38 (15.7%) cervical secretion samples, and in 8 of the 38 (21%) vaginal secretion samples. Overall, the correlation between the HIV-1 RNA viral load in the blood plasma and in cervical secretion samples was 0.51 ( P<0.001). However, the correlation disappeared ( r=0.27) when three patients with high blood plasma viral loads were eliminated from the statistical study. The viral load in the vaginal secretions did not correlate with that in the blood samples ( r=0.26). There were two cases in which HIV-1 RNA was undetectable in the blood and cervix but was detectable in vaginal secretions: one woman had 220 copies/ml and the other 68 copies/ml. These results suggest that pregnant women with undetectable viral loads in blood plasma are still at risk of transmitting the virus vertically during vaginal delivery. Because of this, antiretroviral prophylaxis during vaginal delivery must be administered to HIV-1-infected women and their newborns, regardless of the mother's viral load in plasma. In conclusion, quantification of cervicovaginal levels of HIV-1 may represent a useful tool for assessing the individual risk associated with a vaginal delivery and for guiding decisions about whether a scheduled caesarean should be recommended.

Adult↗

Mutations in interferon sensitivity-determining region of hepatitis C virus: its relation to change in viral load.

OBJECTIVE: Interferon sensitivity-determining region (ISDR) in nonstructural region 5A of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype-1b has been reported to be associated with viral load. Viral load is usually small in the patients with mutant type (four or more amino acid substitutions, compared with HCV-J) and large in those with wild (identical to HCV-J) or intermediate type (from one to three amino acid substitutions). A possible correlation was investigated between mutations in ISDR and alterations of viral load during the course of disease. METHODS: The sequences of ISDR were determined in eight patients with significant changes of viral load and in 11 patients without changes. RESULTS: In two of the eight patients with significant alterations of viral load, ISDR sequences changed significantly. In one patient whose viral load increased after a course of interferon therapy, the number of substitutions, compared with HCV-J, decreased from five to zero or one; the type of ISDR converted from mutant type to wild or intermediate type. In one patient whose viral load decreased significantly after two courses of interferon therapy, the number of substitutions increased from one to six; ISDR changed from intermediate type to mutant type. In the remaining six patients with changes of viral load and in the other 11 patients without changes, the sequences of ISDR did not change significantly. CONCLUSIONS: The mutations in ISDR are one of the viral factors involved in the changes in viral load during the course of disease, although the majority of other factors involved are still unknown.

Adult↗

Influence of viral load and alanine aminotransferase on viral genetic heterogeneity in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) populations in vivo consist of genetically different heterogeneous mixtures defined as 'quasispecies', which vary in the hypervariable region 1 (HVR1) mostly. To further address the role of quasispecies diversity in hepatitis C infection, this study aimed to evaluate the influence of ALT, viral load and genotypes on quasispecies heterogeneity in patients with HCV infection. METHODS: Thirty-six chronic hepatitis C patients with high levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were studied. None of them received any antiviral therapy. HCV RNA serum levels, genotype and genetic heterogeneity were determined by branched-chain DNA assay, restriction fragment length patterns and RT-PCR single-strand conformational polymorphism analysis of HVR1, respectively. RESULTS: Twenty-eight patients had genotype 1b (28/36; 78%), 6 patients had genotype 1a (6/36; 17%), 1 patient was 2a (1/36; 3%) and genotype could not be determined in 1 patient. The patients were categorized into two groups according to the number of bands representing the dominant strains in the circulation: group A with 2 bands having 1 strain (14/36 patients; 39%) and group B with more than 2 bands indicating more than 1 strain (22/36 patients; 61%). The serum viremia and ALT levels for these groups were 11 +/- 8.8 and 5.3 +/- 4.6 mEq/ml (p < 0.05), and 79 +/- 20, and 127 +/- 80 IU/l (p < 0.05), respectively. CONCLUSION: The results of this study suggest that hepatitis C patients having 1 dominant strain in the circulation may show a relatively weaker immune response resulting in lower ALT and higher viremia levels, whereas patients with high degrees of virus quasispecies diversity have higher ALT levels and a more active immune response causing the selection of new genome variants and depressing viral replication partly.

Adult↗

Predictive factors of virological non-response to interferon-ribavirin combination therapy for patients infected with hepatitis C virus of genotype 1b and high viral load.

Patients with high viral load (> or =1.0 x 10(5) IU/ml) of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1b do not achieve high sustained virological response rates to interferon (IFN)/ribavirin combination therapy. Previous studies suggested that pretreatment amino acid (aa) substitution patterns in the HCV core region could affect virological non-response especially in patients who could not achieve HCV-RNA negativity during treatment. The present study evaluated 167 consecutive Japanese adults with high HCV genotype 1b viral load who received combination therapy for > or =24 weeks. A case-control study matched for age, sex, genotype, and viral load was conducted to investigate the predictive factors for virological non-response, especially absolute virological non-response (patients who could not achieve >2 log decline of HCV RNA from baseline during the initial 24 weeks of therapy). Virological non-response was identified in 26.3% of patients, and 45.5% of these were absolute virological non-responders. Multivariate analysis identified ribavirin dose <11.0 mg/kg, moderate-to-severe hepatocyte steatosis, and substitutions of aa 70 and/or 91 in the core region as significant independent factors associated with virological non-response. The majority of absolute virological non-responders had such substitutions in the core region (95.0%), as well as substitution of glutamine at aa 70 and/or methionine at aa 91 (90.0%). In the present work, such substitutions significantly affected the viral kinetics in virological non-responders. The results suggest that viral, host, and treatment-related factors determine the response to IFN/ribavirin combination therapy in patients with high HCV genotype 1b viral load, and that amino acid substitution patterns in the core region is potentially useful pretreatment predictor of virological non-response.

Adult↗

Quantitative-competitive PCR monitoring of viral load following experimental guinea pig cytomegalovirus infection.

Human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) is the most common cause of congenital viral infection in the developed world, and can lead to significant morbidity. Animal models of HCMV infection are required for study of pathogenesis, because of the strict species-specificity of cytomegalovirus (CMV). Among the small animal CMV models, the guinea pig CMV (GPCMV) has unique advantages, in particular its propensity to cross the placenta, causing disease in utero. In order to develop quantitative endpoints for vaccine and antiviral therapeutic studies in the GPCMV model, a quantitative-competitive PCR (qcPCR) assay was developed, based on the GPCMV homolog of the HCMV UL83 gene, GP83. Optimal amplification of GPCMV DNA was observed using primers spanning a 248 base pair (bp) region of this gene. A 91 bp deletion of this cloned fragment was generated for use as an internal standard (IS) for PCR amplification. Standard curves based upon the fluorescent intensity of full-length external target to IS were compared with signal intensity of DNA extracted from blood and organs of experimentally infected guinea pigs in order to quantify viral load. Viral load in newborn guinea pigs infected transplacentally was determined and compared with that of pups infected with GPCMV as neonates. Viral loads were highest in pups infected as neonates. The most consistent isolation and highest quantities of viral DNA were observed in liver and spleen, although viral genome could be readily identified in brain, lung, and salivary gland. Viral load determination should be useful for monitoring outcomes following vaccine studies, as well as responses to experimental antiviral agents.

Animals↗

The dependence of viral parameter estimates on the assumed viral life cycle: limitations of studies of viral load data.

Estimation of viral parameters, such as the basic reproductive number (R0) and infected cell life span, is central to the quantitative study of the within-host dynamics of viral diseases such as human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis B or hepatitis C. As these parameters can rarely be determined directly, they are usually estimated indirectly by fitting mathematical models to viral load data. This paper investigates how parameter estimates obtained by such procedures depend on the assumptions made concerning the viral life cycle. It finds that estimates of the basic reproductive number obtained using viral load data collected during the initial stages of infection can depend quite sensitively on these assumptions. The use of models which neglect the intracellular delay before virion production can lead to severe underestimates of R0 and, hence, to overly optimistic predictions of how efficacious treatment must be in order to prevent or eradicate the disease. These results are also of importance for attempts at estimating R0 from similar epidemiological data as there is a correspondence between within-host and between-host models. Estimates of the life span of infected cells obtained from viral load data collected during drug treatment studies also depend on the assumptions made in modelling the virus life cycle. The use of more realistic descriptions of the life cycle is seen to increase estimates of infected cell life span, in addition to providing a new explanation for the shoulder phase seen during drug treatment. This study highlights the limitations of what can be learnt by fitting mathematical models to infectious disease data without detailed independent knowledge of the life cycle of the infectious agent.

Antiviral Agents↗

CSF, plasma viral load and HIV associated dementia.

Plasma viral burden has proven valuable in predicting the future course of systemic HIV related disease and the response to treatment. It is not known whether plasma or cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) viral burden can be used to predict onset of or response to treatment of nervous system disease. We propose a model of viral load mediated neurotoxicity underlying peripheral and central HIV associated neurological disease. The objective of this preliminary study was to assess the relationship of HIV associated neurological disease to quantitative viral load in plasma and CSF. 47 subjects (HIV- = 10, HIV+ = 37) participated in the study. Plasma and CSF samples were collected within a 3 h window. RT-PCR (Roche Amplicor Monitor) was utilized to assess HIV-1 RNA viral load in both plasma and cell free (centrifuged) CSF. Subjects underwent concurrent comprehensive neurological and neuropsychological evaluations. In general, systemic viral load, as measured in plasma, was greater than that found in cell free CSF. Cell free CSF HIV RNA viral load was significantly correlated with neurological dysfunction, whereas plasma viral load was not. The sole subject with an elevated CSF viral load (> 5 Log 10), had HIV associated dementia (HAD) on clinical examination.

AIDS Dementia Complex↗

Detection of HPV in genital condylomata: correlation between viral load and clinical outcome.

High DNA viral load in Human Papillomavirus type 16 cervical dysplastic lesions has been proposed as a marker of progression towards malignancy. To evaluate the prognostic value of DNA viral load in infection by HPV type other than HPV-16, a longitudinal study of patients with Anogenital Condylomata (AC) was designed. The study included 40 patients, 25 men and 15 women. Clinical data were collected through standard interview and routine serum analyses. Viral type in lesions was assayed by PCR with general primers (MY09-MY11) and Restriction Fragment Length Polymorphism (RFLP). Viral load was determined by PCR end point determination with type specific primers on serial sample dilutions. The duration of ano-genital lesions upon liquid nitrogen standard cryotherapy or Podofillin chemotherapy was correlated with viral and clinical data. Patients with higher lesional viral load at study entry showed a markedly longer disease clinical course than patients with lower viral loads. The HPV-6 was observed in 31 out of 40 patients (77.5%), much more frequently than HPV-11 (7/40 17.5%), the latter being associated with higher titres of viral load. Two cases (5%) remained undetermined. No HPV-16 or other high-risk type was detected, while HPV-61, not uncommon in Italy, was found once in a double infection carried by an HIV positive patient. No significant association was observed between clinical outcome and demographic and epidemiological data, or risk factors.

Anus Diseases↗

Assessment of antiretroviral therapy by plasma viral load testing: standard and ICD HIV-1 p24 antigen and viral RNA (QC-PCR) assays compared.

To assess the utility of quantitative competitive-polymerase chain reaction (QC-PCR) measurements of plasma human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA and other viral load markers for assessment of antiretroviral therapy, we used archived cryopreserved specimens from a randomized controlled clinical trial of 135 patients (CD4+ T cell count < or = 500/mm3), comparing zidovudine (500 mg/day) versus the nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor L-697, 661 (50, 300, or 1,000 mg daily). We evaluated treatment-associated changes in plasma viral load by standard and immune complex-dissociated (ICD) HIV-1 p24 antigen assays, and, in a representative subset of patients (n = 46), by QC-PCR determination of virion-associated HIV-1 RNA. At baseline, HIV-1 RNA was quantifiable by QC-PCR in all patients tested (100%), whereas standard and ICD HIV-1 p24 antigen tests were positive (> or = 30 pg/ml) in 42% and 56%, respectively. All viral load parameters showed significant decreases from baseline within 1 week of initiation of zidovudine, as measured by standard p24 antigen assay, ICD p24 assay, and QC-PCR. At 1 week, patients treated with either 300 or 1,000 mg/day of L-697,661 showed significant decreases from baseline in plasma standard and ICD p24 antigen and QC-PCR-determined HIV-1 RNA levels. Whereas viral load decreases seen with zidovudine were sustained for the duration of treatment, plasma viral markers often returned to pretreatment levels despite ongoing L-697,661 treatment, with evidence of the emergence of drug-resistant virus. Whereas standard p24, ICD p24, and viral RNA levels changed similarly in response to treatment, the superior sensitivity and available dynamic range of plasma viral RNA assays like QC-PCR analysis provide an advantage for clinical monitoring of plasma viral load, allowing tracking of treatment-related changes even in patients with earlier stage disease and lower levels of viral load.

Antiviral Agents↗

Effect of hemodialysis and antiretroviral therapy on plasma viral load in HIV-1 infected hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Plasma viral load has become an important test in predicting the progress of HIV-1 infected patients. The higher the viral load the faster is the progression to AIDS. As HIV-1 infected hemodialysis (HD) patients have higher mortality and morbidity than HIV-1 infected non-dialysis patients, and as all the blood tests in the HD patients are drawn during HD, we measured the effect of HD and antiretroviral therapy on viral load in HIV-1 infected HD patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We measured plasma viral load pre-dialysis and post-dialysis in 10 HIV-1 infected HD patients. The viral load was measured using an in vitro quantitative nucleic acid amplification test. We also compared viral load in 8 HIV-1 infected HD patients on one antiretroviral drug with 8 HIV-1 patients on two (6) or three (2) antiretroviral drugs. RESULTS: There was a small reduction in plasma viral load postdialysis in all HIV-1 infected HD patients (45% +/- 5.4, 0.3 log +/- 0.05, p < 0.0004). However, HIV-1 RNA could not be detected in the ultrafiltrate. The patients who were on two or three antiretroviral drugs had lower viral load (8915 +/- 3702 vs. 351440 +/- 101237, p < 0.004) and higher CD4 count (355 +/- 81 vs 82 +/- 39, p < 0.009) than patients on only one antiretroviral drug. CONCLUSION: We conclude that there is a small reduction in plasma viral load in HIV-1 infected hemodialysis patients post-dialysis. As no viral RNA could be detected in the ultrafiltrate, the reduction could be due to nonspecific adsorption of the viral RNA to the dialysis membrane. HIV-1 infected hemodialysis patients who are on two or three antiretroviral drugs had significantly lower viral load and higher CD4 count than patients on only single antiretroviral drug. Therefore a single antiretroviral drug should not be used in treating HIV-1 infected HD patients.

Adult↗

Association of HIV viral load with oral diseases.

OBJECTIVE: The measurement of HIV viral load as a predictor of disease progression has revolutionized the medical management of HIV patients. In this study, oral diseases as measured by DMFT (decayed, missing and filled teeth), periodontal assessment and oral Candidacolonization, were related to HIV viral load. Also correlated was HIV status assessments, including CD4+ count, a history of intravenous drug abuse (IVDA) and the use of protease inhibitor drugs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Oral and periodontal examination, dental radiographs, and tongue swab for fungal culture was accomplished over a 2-month period on 39 HIV positive patients attending the University of Maryland Dental School. Twenty-eight (71. 8%) of these patients had a history of IVDA. Viral load was measured by a quantitative RT-PCR. RESULTS: Among the patients with high viral load (>10 000 copies ml-1), 92.3% were found to have a history of IVDA. Also, patients with high viral load demonstrated average CD4+ counts of 136 mm-3 while moderate viral load (400-10 000 copies ml-1) corresponded to average counts of 271 mm-3. Periodontal pocket depths (PPD) of >5 mm at a minimum of two oral sites were found in 76.9% of the patients with high viral load. Among the high viral load patients, 69.2% had DMFT >20, 69.2% were culture positive for Candida and 81.5% of patients on protease inhibitors demonstrated moderate or low viral loads. CONCLUSION: These data demonstrated that elevated viral load levels correlate well with oral disease prevalence in this predominantly IVDA population of HIV-infected dental patients.

Adult↗

Dynamics of HIV-1 viral load rebound among patients with previous suppression of viral replication.

OBJECTIVE: To model the dynamics of HIV-1 rebound in patients receiving suboptimal therapy after suppression of plasma viremia to < 200 copies/ml by triple combination therapy. DESIGN: Mathematical modeling of data from 23 patients switched to indinavir maintenance therapy after viral replication was suppressed with a combination of indinavir, zidovudine and lamivudine. Modeling of HIV-1 rebound among 24 patients on zidovudine/lamivudine maintenance was also performed for comparison. METHODS: Evaluation of slopes of rebound and of their heterogeneity; calculation of the basic reproductive number (Ro, the number of newly infected cells arising from each productively infected cell); regression analyses for predictors of the slope of rebound. RESULTS: Rebound of plasma HIV RNA followed a sigmoid curve with an initial exponential phase. There was significant heterogeneity in the slopes of rebound for individual patients (P < 0.001). In the indinavir maintenance rebounds, the average initial slope was estimated to be 0.587/day (doubling time 1.2 days). The slopes of rebound in patients on zidovudine/lamivudine maintenance tended to be less steep on average (P = 0.025). Among patients taking indinavir maintenance, the average Ro for the initial rebound of viremia was 4.3; in multivariate regressions, the slope of rebound was steeper during early rebound and in patients with higher viral load at the start of triple therapy or a higher CD4 cell count when indinavir monotherapy was initiated. The slope was less steep in patients with a greater increase in the number of CD4 cells during triple therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of viral load increase among patients with viral rebound while receiving less than triple therapy are similar to those reported in patients interrupting therapy. Variability among patients may depend on viral fitness, target cell availability and extent of immune reconstitution.

Adult↗

Association of human papillomavirus viral load with HPV16 and high-grade intraepithelial lesion.

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the relationship between viral type and copy number of human papillomavirus (HPV) with respect to the grade of cervical disease, and also to identify the existence of an HPV type-dependent viral load effect. DNA from 275 exocervical specimens, previously evaluated for histologic diagnosis, were evaluated for HPV presence, HPV type, and viral load. Viral load determination was performed using the low stringency PCR method (LS-PCR). Significant differences were found between the samples infected with HPV16 with respect to the samples infected with other 'high-risk' viral types (HPV -18, -31, -33 or -51) and 'low-risk' types (P < 0.05). However, highly significant differences were found between the viral loads observed in the high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions group and normal epithelium (OR = 8.53) or the low grade ones (OR = 3.10). Moreover, a high viral load was detected in the condyloma acuminatum group compared to the normal epithelia samples (p< 0.05). This work confirms the genotype-specific association of viral load to the presence of HPV16. Also, a trend to higher viral loads could be seen in the more compromised cervical lesions. An unexpected level of viral particles appeared associated to the condylomas. This fact could be explained by a productive infection with high levels of viral replication.

Adult↗

The relationship between plasma viral load and neuropsychological functioning in HIV-1 infection.

Plasma viral load is helpful in monitoring systemic HIV infection but the relationship between plasma viral load and CNS functioning remains unclear. Equivocal results have been reported on the relationship between plasma viral load and cognitive functioning. The present study tested cognitive functions with a standardized neuropsychological battery consisting of 28 test scores. Participants (N=140) were grouped into undetectable (<400 copies), low (401-10,000 copies), or moderate (10,001-100,000 copies) viral load groups. Statistical analyses (MANOVA and MANCOVA) revealed no differences in neuropsychological test performance between the viral load groups. Fairly healthy patients with moderate plasma viral loads do not appear to show increased neuropsychological dysfunction. CSF viral load may be more helpful in evaluating cognitive correlates of HIV encephalitis.

Adult↗

The fluctuations of viral load and serum alanine aminotransferase levels in chronic hepatitis C.

Although viral load of hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a predictor of response to interferon therapy, little is known about its fluctuations. We assessed its fluctuations and their correlation with serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels. Viral load was prospectively measured bimonthly for 22 months in 109 patients. In 40 patients, viral load changed more than five fold. Changes were transient and always returned to the baseline levels. ALT levels changed more than three fold in 30 patients. Changes of viral load accompanied simultaneous changes of ALT levels in only 7 of 40 patients with changes of viral load. Mean viral load in 22 months was significantly correlated with mean ALT levels inversely (r = 0.278, P = 0.0036). Mean viral load was significantly higher in 27 patients with persistently normal ALT levels (452.0 +/- 342.5pg/ml) than in 30 patients with changes of ALT levels (202.4 +/- 215.0pg/ml) (P = 0.0016) and than in 52 patients without changes of ALT levels (301.1 +/- 295.4pg/ml) (P = 0.0458). Inverse correlation of viral load with ALT levels suggests that viral load is in suppression by inflammatory activity. However, changes of ALT levels infrequently accompanied simultaneous changes of viral load and vice versa, as often seen in chronic hepatitis B virus infection.

Journal Article↗

Gender difference in HIV-1 RNA viral loads.

OBJECTIVES: To test and characterize the dependence of viral load on gender in different countries and racial groups as a function of CD4 T-cell count. METHODS: Plasma viral load data were analysed for > 30,000 HIV-infected patients attending clinics in the USA [HIV Insight (Cerner Corporation, Vienna, VA, USA) and Plum Data Mining LLC (East Meadow, NY, USA) databases] and the Netherlands (Athena database; HIV Monitoring Foundation, Amsterdam, Netherlands). Log-normal regression models were used to test for an effect of gender on viral load while adjusting for covariates and allowing the effect to depend on CD4 T-cell count. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of conclusions to assumptions regarding viral loads below the lower limit of quantification (LLOQ). RESULTS: After adjusting for covariates, women had (nonsignificantly) lower viral loads than men (HIV Insight: -0.053 log(10) HIV-1 RNA copies/mL, P = 0.202; Athena: -0.005 log(10) copies/mL, P = 0.667; Plum: -0.072 log(10) copies/mL, P = 0.273). However, further investigation revealed that the gender effect depended on CD4 T-cell count. Women had consistently higher viral loads than men when CD4 T-cell counts were at most 50 cells/microL, and consistently lower viral loads than men when CD4 T-cell counts were greater than 350 cells/microL. These effects were remarkably consistent when estimated independently for the racial groups with sufficient data available in the HIV Insight and Plum databases. CONCLUSIONS: The consistent relationship between gender-related differences in viral load and CD4 T-cell count demonstrated here explains the diverse findings previously published.

Adult↗

Clinical utility of viral load measurements in individuals with chronic hepatitis C infection on antiviral therapy.

SUMMARY: Both absolute viral load and log decline in viral load from baseline were found clinically useful in predicting sustained virological response and lack of sustained virological response (non-sustained virological response, NSVR) to treatment. We assessed the clinical utility of hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA quantitation and changes in viral load using the VERSANT HCV RNA 3.0 Assay (bDNA) in 351 HCV-infected individuals treated with interferon plus ribavirin. We show that viral load decision thresholds provided negative predictive values (NPVs) of >95% at week 4 using a 100 000 IU/mL cut-off and at weeks 8 and 12 using 10 000 IU/mL cut-offs. A 2-log decline from baseline provided NPVs >95% at weeks 8 and 12. Combinations of absolute viral loads and changes in viral load from baseline did not enhance the performance of the decision rules for predicting NSVR. The positive predictive values (PPVs) at weeks 8 and 12 were 59.1 and 67.3%. This study highlights the critical importance of viral quantitation in gauging therapeutic response in patients with chronic HCV infection on antiviral therapy. Early changes in viral load, measured as absolute viral loads or change in viral load from baseline, are highly predictive of NSVR at 8 and 12 weeks. PPVs are modest but these data may provide encouragement to patients who are in the early phases of treatment when side effects are frequent. Additionally, we demonstrated the need for cautious interpretation of stopping rules when the values are at or near the decision thresholds.

Adult↗