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Assessing the comorbidity between asthma and depression through polygenic risk scoring and time-to-event models.

BACKGROUND: Patients with asthma have an increased risk of developing depression, affecting their quality of life. To date, the processes contributing to this comorbidity remain unclear. METHODS: We integrated two large genome-wide association studies (88,486 patients with asthma and 447,859 controls; 412,024 patients with depression and 1,587,577 controls) with cross-sectional and longitudinal information available from the All of Us Research Program (N = 87,167) through polygenic risk scoring (PRS), Cox proportional-hazards models, one-sample Mendelian randomization (MR), and gene-set and drug-repurposing analyses. RESULTS: We observed that depression PRS was associated with increased asthma risk (hazard ratio, HR = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.09-1.17), also when accounting for comorbidity status (HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.04-1.12). Conversely, the effect of asthma PRS was null after accounting for comorbidity status. One-sample MR analysis showed an effect of depression genetic liability on asthma, ranging from beta = 0.36 ± 0.03 when considering a linear relationship to beta = 3.21 ± 0.31 when considering possible nonlinear relationships. Conversely, the effect of asthma genetic risk on depression was null after accounting for potential confounders. The gene-set analyses showed that asthma and depression polygenic risks share biological processes, molecular functions, and cellular components related to the immune system and the lung-brain axis. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic predisposition contributes to asthma-depression comorbidity through direct effects and shared pathogenic processes. These findings highlight the potential to develop targeted interventions to prevent and treat the co-occurrence of respiratory and neuropsychiatric disorders.

Comorbidity

A multi-ancestry polygenic risk score for body mass index predicts longitudinal weight change.

BACKGROUND: Identifying individuals at risk for future weight gain is challenging, partly because associations with traditional clinical risk factors may be biased by confounding and reverse causation. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) provide a stable, lifelong measure of genetic predisposition to obesity. However, existing PRS have not been evaluated for their association with longitudinal weight change in adulthood and often lack generalizability across diverse genetic ancestry groups. METHODS: We conducted ancestry-specific genome-wide association study meta-analyses of body mass index (BMI) in populations of European, African or African American, Admixed American, East Asian, and South Asian ancestries and developed ancestry-specific PRS. A multi-ancestry polygenic risk score (MAPRS) was trained using ancestry-specific PRS in a model selection dataset (N = 39,685) from the All of Us Research Program (AoU). We evaluated the MAPRS in an independent AoU model evaluation dataset (N = 158,743) for BMI prediction and in a separate AoU test dataset (N = 78,219) with repeated measurements over 1.5-2.5 years for weight change prediction. The outcomes included change in BMI and ≥ 10% or ≥ 5% total body weight (TBW) gain. We further examined the relationship between MAPRS and 12 clinical risk factors commonly comorbid with obesity in relation to weight change. RESULTS: The MAPRS captured 7.05% of the variance in measured BMI in the AoU model evaluation dataset and demonstrated improved generalizability across all non-European genetic ancestry groups. In the AoU test dataset, conditioned on baseline BMI at the second-to-last measurement, a one SD increase in MAPRS was associated with a 0.16 kg/m2 increase in future BMI (standard error = 0.012 kg/m2; p-value = 2.2 × 10-39), 1.27-fold increased odds of experiencing ≥ 10% TBW gain (95% CI: 1.24-1.31; p-value = 1.4 × 10-55), and 1.15-fold increased odds of experiencing ≥ 5% TBW gain (95% CI: 1.13-1.18; p-value = 2.8 × 10-39). These associations were observed across all genetic ancestry groups and remained highly consistent after adjustment for any clinical risk factor. In contrast, most clinical risk factors demonstrated inconsistent or weaker associations with weight change outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: We developed an MAPRS for BMI that represents a robust and generalizable risk factor for longitudinal weight gain in adulthood, providing a foundation for genetically informed risk stratification and earlier, more targeted obesity prevention strategies.

Humans

Evaluation of Multiple Breast Cancer Polygenic Risk Score Panels in Women of Latin American Heritage.

BACKGROUND: A substantial portion of the genetic predisposition for breast cancer is explained by multiple common genetic variants of relatively small effect. A subset of these variants, which have been identified mostly in individuals of European (EUR) and Asian ancestries, have been combined to construct a polygenic risk score (PRS) to predict breast cancer risk, but the prediction accuracy of existing PRSs in Hispanic/Latinx individuals (H/L) remain relatively low. We assessed the performance of several existing PRS panels with and without addition of H/L-specific variants among self-reported H/L women. METHODS: PRS performance was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression and the area under the ROC curve. RESULTS: Both EUR and Asian PRSs performed worse in H/L samples compared with original reports. The best EUR PRS performed better than the best Asian PRS in pooled H/L samples. EUR PRSs had decreased performance with increasing Indigenous American (IA) ancestry, while Asian PRSs had increased performance with increasing IA ancestry. The addition of two H/L SNPs increased performance for all PRSs, most notably in the samples with high IA ancestry, and did not impact the performance of PRSs in individuals with lower IA ancestry. CONCLUSIONS: A single PRS that incorporates risk variants relevant to the multiple ancestral components of individuals from Latin America, instead of a set of ancestry-specific panels, could be used in clinical practice. IMPACT: The results highlight the importance of population-specific discovery and suggest a straightforward approach to integrate ancestry-specific variants into PRSs for clinical application.

Adult

A polygenic risk score for peripheral artery disease and major adverse limb events.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Large-scale genome-wide association studies have identified common genetic variants that predict the risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD). This study assessed whether a polygenic risk score (PRS) is associated with PAD and the incidence of major adverse limb events (MALE) independent of clinical risk factors in patients with established cardiometabolic disease. METHODS: A genetic analysis was performed, pooling individual patient-level data from six TIMI trials. The association of a recently validated PAD PRS with prevalent PAD and the incidence of MALE (acute limb ischaemia, chronic limb-threatening ischaemia, major amputation, or peripheral revascularization) was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 68 816 patients were included in this analysis, with a median follow-up of 2.6 years. Of these, 5986 (8.7%) had known PAD at baseline. After adjusting for clinical risk factors, a higher PAD PRS was independently associated with a 15% greater odds of prevalent PAD (adjusted odds ratio per 1-SD: 1.15 [95% confidence interval 1.12-1.18], P < .0001), a magnitude of risk as strong as established clinical risk factors. A total of 577 patients experienced MALE during follow-up. A higher PAD PRS was associated with a 30% increased risk of MALE (adjusted hazard ratio per 1-SD: 1.30 [1.19-1.42], P < .0001). Adding the PAD PRS to clinical risk factors resulted in a statistically significant but modest improvement in discrimination (area under the curve went from 0.651 to 0.662 P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: In a broad spectrum of patients with cardiometabolic disease, the PAD PRS is associated with an increased risk of PAD and the incidence of MALE beyond clinical risk factors; however, the improvement in discrimination was statistically significant but clinically modest.

Humans

Polygenic risk of coronary artery disease for long-term survivors of breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of death for long-term breast cancer survivors. We evaluated whether a polygenic risk score for coronary artery disease (CAD-PRS) was associated with the risk of incident CAD for survivors of unilateral or contralateral breast cancer. METHODS: The study included 1307 women with breast cancer first diagnosed at younger than 55&#x2009;years of age who participated in the Women's Environmental&#xa0;Cancer and Radiation Epidemiology Follow-up Study. The CAD-PRS was based on a PRS developed and validated in a separate population. We modeled the association between incident CAD and the CAD-PRS, adjusting for age, CAD risk factors, first (and second) breast cancer treatment, study recruitment phase, and genetic population stratification. We also explored whether the risk of CAD depended on interactions between the CAD-PRS and cardiotoxic cancer treatment. RESULTS: There were 66 incident CAD diagnoses reported at a median of 16&#x2009;years after breast cancer diagnosis. Participants with CAD-PRS&#x2009;at or above the median had a 2.48-times increased risk of CAD (95% confidence interval [CI]&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.44 to 4.29) relative to participants with CAD-PRS&#x2009;below the&#x2009;median. Anthracycline-based chemotherapy was associated with increased CAD risk (hazard ratio [HR]&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.04, 95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.04 to 3.98), and the association was not modified by the CAD-PRS. The association between incident CAD and left-sided radiation therapy (RT) was increased for those with CAD-PRS&#x2009;at or above the median (HR&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.90, 95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.26 to 6.68) but not for those with CAD-PRS&#x2009;below the median (HR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.96, 95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.32 to 2.88). There was evidence of super-additive interaction between the CAD-PRS and left-sided RT (relative excess risk due to interaction&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.06, 95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.05 to 4.06). CONCLUSION: A genome-wide CAD-PRS was associated with nonfatal CAD risk for long-term breast cancer survivors, providing potential utility for personalized cardiovascular care, particularly after RT.

Humans

Association of Vitamin D Polygenic Risk Scores and Disease Outcome in People With Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Observational studies suggest low levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) may be associated with increased disease activity in people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). Large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) suggest 25(OH)D levels are partly genetically determined. The resultant polygenic scores (PGSs) could serve as a proxy for 25(OH)D levels, minimizing potential confounding and reverse causation in analyses with outcomes. Herein, we assess the association of genetically determined 25(OH)D and disease outcomes in MS. METHODS: We generated 25(OH)D PGS for 1,924 PwMS with available genotyping data pooled from 3 studies: the CombiRx trial (n = 575), Johns Hopkins MS Center (n = 1,152), and Immune-Mediated Inflammatory Diseases study (n = 197). 25(OH)D-PGS were derived using summary statistics (p < 5 &#xd7; 10-8) from a large GWAS including 485,762 individuals with circulating 25(OH)D levels measured. We included clinical and imaging outcomes: Expanded disability status scale (EDSS), timed 25-foot walk (T25FW), nine-hole peg test (9HPT), radiologic activity, and optical coherence tomography-derived ganglion cell inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness. A subset (n = 935) had measured circulating 25(OH)D levels. We fitted multivariable models based on the outcome of interest and pooled results across studies using random effects meta-analysis. Sensitivity analyses included a modified p value threshold for inclusion in the PGS (5 &#xd7; 10-5) and applying Mendelian randomization (MR) rather than using PGS. RESULTS: Initial analyses demonstrated a positive association between generated 25(OH)D-PGS and circulating 25(OH)D levels (per 1SD increase in 25[OH]D PGS: 3.08%, 95% CI: 1.77%, 4.42%; p = 4.33e-06; R2 = 2.24%). In analyses with outcomes, we did not observe an association between 25(OH)D-PGS and relapse rate (per 1SD increase in 25[OH]D-PGS: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.87-1.10), EDSS worsening (per 1SD: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.87-1.28), change in T25FW (per 1SD: 0.07%; 95% CI: -0.34 to 0.49), or change in 9HPT (per 1SD: 0.09%; 95% CI: -0.15 to 0.33). 25(OH)D-PGS was not associated with new lesion accrual, lesion volume or other imaging-based outcomes (whole brain, gray, white matter volume loss or GCIPL thinning). The results were similarly null in analyses using other p value thresholds or those applying MR. DISCUSSION: Genetically determined lower 25(OH)D levels were not associated with worse disease outcomes in PwMS and raises questions about the plausibility of a treatment effect of vitamin D in established MS.

Humans

Polygenic risk scores in major depressive disorder: A systematic review across diagnostic, treatment, course/severity, and subtype domains.

BACKGROUND: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is heterogeneous across diagnostic, treatment-related, course/severity, and subtype domains. Polygenic risk score (PRS) studies have examined these domains, but differences in PRS sources, samples, methods, and endpoint definitions have fragmented the evidence. We synthesised findings and examined potential contributors to heterogeneity. METHODS: PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, and Web of Science were searched for studies published from January 2016 through 25 November 2025. Result records were synthesised using SWiM, and certainty was assessed with an adapted GRADE framework. RESULTS: Sixty studies contributed 493 retained records; 450 were descriptively classified as positive, null, or reverse, although records were not independent. Positive findings accounted for 44/56 diagnostic, 61/273 treatment-related, 64/100 course/severity, and 14/21 subtype records. For MDD/depression-derived PRSs and case-control MDD status, all 10 contributing studies showed higher liability in cases (exploratory exact sign test p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.002; FDR q&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.004). The same PRS group showed positive findings for overall depressive symptom severity (14/18), although the study-level test was imprecise (5/5 studies; p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.063). Pharmacological response/remission findings for these PRSs were mostly null or directionally mixed (10 positive, 18 null, and 9 reverse). Treatment-resistant depression (TRD) findings differed by operational definition. Atypical and psychotic subtype signals arose mainly from single-study PRS and endpoint contrasts. CONCLUSIONS: PRS evidence was clearest for MDD diagnostic status and showed a tentative pattern for overall symptom burden. Treatment and subtype findings were less consistent or less replicated. Larger, ancestrally diverse studies with standardised endpoints and transparent PRS methods are needed.

Humans

Obesity Polygenic Risk and Healthy Lifestyle Interactions on Weight Trajectories in Women and Men.

BACKGROUND: Genetics and environmental factors contribute to obesity risk, but the extent to which healthy behaviors can offset genetic susceptibility remains unclear. We examined the interaction between obesity polygenic risk and a composite healthy lifestyle score on body mass index (BMI) trajectories in women and men. METHODS: We analyzed 13&#x2009;780 women from the Nurses' Health Study and 8242 men from the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study, all of European ancestry and free of major chronic disease at baseline. The lifestyle score comprised American Heart Association Essential 8 components (nonsmoking, physical activity, healthy eating, adequate sleep) plus moderate alcohol intake, modeled as a time-varying variable. A genome-wide polygenic score for BMI was derived from genome-wide association study. Adjusted linear mixed-effects models estimated associations and interactions on biennial BMI measures over up to 26&#x2009;years. RESULTS: Each SD increase in the polygenic score was associated with 1.80&#x2009;kg/m2 (95% CI, 1.72-1.87) and 1.12&#x2009;kg/m2 (95% CI, 1.06-1.19) higher BMI in women and men, respectively. Significant interactions between the polygenic score and healthy lifestyle score (both P<0.05) showed a dose-response attenuation of the genetic effects with healthier lifestyles. Comparing the healthiest with the least healthy lifestyle groups, genetic effects on BMI were 35% lower in women and 28% lower in men. In sensitivity analyses, higher diet quality and physical activity consistently attenuated genetic associations in both cohorts, whereas current smoking showed similar effects in women only. CONCLUSIONS: Adherence to a healthier lifestyle attenuated the association between obesity polygenic risk and BMI in a dose-response manner.

Humans

Addition of CAD polygenic risk score to coronary artery calcium score enhances prediction of MACE.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease (CHD) is prevalent in the United States, highlighting the need for accurate risk prediction to inform primary prevention strategies. While multivariate risk models like the Framingham Risk Score and ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations are commonly utilized, novel risk markers, such as the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) and polygenic risk score (PRS), are increasingly gaining recognition. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare the diagnostic utility of CACS and CAD PRS, both individually and in combination, for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of a cohort comprising 1,380 predominantly Caucasian participants from the Sanford Health System. CAD PRS was constructed using genetic variants, while CACS was assessed via cardiac computed tomography (CT). Statistical analyses evaluated the relationship between each modality and MACE. RESULTS: Both CAD PRS and CACS were significantly associated with future MACE. Following the adjustment for covariates, the area under the curve (AUC) for both the CACS and PRS models was comparable, indicating similar predictive capabilities for MACE. However, the combination of CAD PRS with CACS significantly enhanced predictive accuracy, outperforming either modality alone. CONCLUSIONS: This study underscores the value of integrating CACS and CAD PRS in predicting MACE. The synergistic effect of CAD PRS combined with CACS markedly improves predictive power. Further research and prospective studies are necessary to validate these findings and assess their clinical implications. Investigating the interactions between PRS and CACS will be crucial for refining cardiovascular risk prediction and optimizing prevention strategies.

cardiac genetics

Associations Between Polygenic Risk Score for Blood Pressure and Risk of Hypertension in Northeast Asian Individuals.

BACKGROUND: Data on associations between genetic predisposition to high blood pressure (BP) and hypertension and its complications in non-European populations are limited. The current study investigated associations between polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for BP and risks of hypertension, cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease in Northeast Asian populations. METHODS: A genome-wide association study of systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) was conducted using data from the KoGES (Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study). Results were meta-analyzed using summary statistics from Biobank Japan to construct PRSs. RESULTS: Compared with a PRS in the lowest 5 percentiles, a PRS in the highest 5 percentiles was associated with an increased risk of hypertension (hazard ratio [HR], 2.44 [95% CI, 1.67-3.56] for PRS for SBP; and HR, 1.77 [95% CI, 1.20-2.62] for PRS for DBP) and earlier onset of hypertension (by a median of 8.5&#x2009;years for PRS for SBP and 8.0&#x2009;years for PRS for DBP). These associations remained significant when continuous PRS was analyzed. The genetic risk of hypertension incidence was attenuated by moderate to vigorous physical activity. Adding the PRS for BP to the clinical risk factors improved the predictive value for hypertension (both area under the curve values, 0.787&#xa0;[95% CI, 0.771-0.803]; P=0.063 for PRS for SBP and [95% CI, 0.771-0.804]; P=0.031 for PRS for DBP). However, neither PRS for SBP nor PRS for DBP was associated with the incidence of cardiovascular or chronic kidney disease. CONCLUSIONS: The PRS for BP was associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension and earlier-onset hypertension in a Northeast Asian population. PRS may facilitate early identification and targeted management of individuals at high risk of developing hypertension.

Adult

Polygenic Risk Scores for Preeclampsia Prediction Beyond Gold-Standard Clinical Models in Multiethnic Populations.

BACKGROUND: Preeclampsia is a major cause of maternal and fetal mortality and morbidity. Early risk stratification enables timely preventative therapy in high-risk women. Polygenic risk scores (PGS) improve prediction in complex diseases, but their added value for preeclampsia remains unclear, particularly in comparison to gold-standard first-trimester prediction models and across non-European ancestries. METHODS: We evaluated the performance of both a preeclampsia and systolic blood pressure PGS in 2 prospective pregnancy cohorts with detailed phenotyping: the Fetal Medicine Foundation study (n=5207; 2127 cases) and the Pregnancy Outcome Prediction study (n=3659; 228 cases). Risk models included (1) clinical factors; (2) clinical factors plus PGS; (3) advanced model including first-trimester mean arterial pressure, PAPP-A (pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A), and uterine artery pulsatility index; and (4) advanced model plus PGS. Discriminative performance, measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, was assessed overall and by ancestry. RESULTS: The preeclampsia PGS was independently associated with preeclampsia (odds ratio per SD, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.17-1.31]; P<0.001). It modestly improved prediction over clinical models (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.746 versus 0.750; P=0.017) but not over the advanced model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.817 versus 0.818; P=0.326). The systolic blood pressure PGS showed stronger performance, improving prediction over both models in women of European ancestry. No improvement was observed with either score in women of African ancestry. CONCLUSIONS: PGSs for preeclampsia and SBP provide modest added predictive value beyond clinical risk factors in European ancestry women. Limited utility in African ancestry women reflects underrepresentation in the genome-wide association studies used to develop current scores. As cohort sizes grow and models are refined, PGSs may become important tools for equitable risk stratification in maternal health.

Adult

Evaluation of population-specific polygenic risk scores for blood lipids: insights from Taiwanese cohorts and multiancestry meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Blood lipids are heritable risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD), a leading cause of mortality worldwide. However, the genetic architecture of lipid traits and the performance of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) remain underexplored in East Asian (EAS) populations, including Taiwanese Han individuals. METHODS: We conducted genome-wide association studies and PRS analyses for five lipid traits: total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, and the ratio of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol to total cholesterol. Lipid profile data were obtained from the China Medical University Hospital cohort. PRSs were evaluated on the basis of their correlations with measured lipid levels. To evaluate trans-ancestry PRS transferability, localized models were systematically compared against models derived from discovery-stage GWAS meta-analyses incorporating five ancestry groups from the Global Lipids Genetics Consortium. The performance of the PRS models in predicting lipid-related diseases was evaluated through receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. RESULTS: The population-specific PRS models explained 11%-40% of the variance in lipid levels within the target cohort. Models leveraging global multiancestry GWAS meta-analysis weights revealed limited predictive performance (r 2 = 0.04-0.19), whereas analyses incorporating EAS-specific data yielded higher correlations (r 2 = 0.13-0.30), although these correlations did not exceed those derived from the hospital-based cohort alone. When combined with age and sex, the PRS models demonstrated strong predictive performance for coronary artery disease, atherosclerosis, and ischemic stroke, with area under the curve values of 0.910, 0.926, and 0.854, respectively. CONCLUSION: Population-specific PRS models derived from a Taiwanese population outperformed meta-analysis-derived frameworks in predicting lipid levels and demonstrated substantial potential for predicting CVD risk, indicating the importance of ancestry-matched genetic studies in precision medicine.

LDL-C/TC ratio

Integrative post-GWAS analysis prioritizes immune regulatory pathways and candidate effector signals in systemic lupus erythematosus.

BACKGROUND: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) has a complex polygenic architecture, but translating genome-wide association signals into biologically interpretable candidates remains challenging. We applied an integrative post-GWAS framework to refine SLE-associated loci and prioritize candidate regulatory mechanisms. METHODS: European-ancestry SLE GWAS summary statistics from FinnGen and Bentham et al. were meta-analysed, comprising 8417 cases and 354,277 controls. After quality filtering, 6,782,131 SNPs were retained. Downstream analyses included LAVA regional prioritization, Bayesian colocalization with GTEx v8 whole-blood and spleen eQTLs, independent replication in the Juli&#xe0; et al. Spanish cohort, pathway enrichment, bivariate LAVA cross-trait local genetic correlation, and therapeutic annotation. RESULTS: The discovery meta-analysis identified 46 genome-wide significant SLE-associated loci, including putative novel signals requiring database/literature qualification. LAVA identified 14 candidate index variants across 12 high-confidence regions, of which nine index variants were retained as the primary prioritized set based on LAVA support and/or convergent regulatory evidence. The strongest association mapped to the chr6p21.3/MHC region (rs389884), where four genes showed colocalization support, including CLIC1 in whole blood and C4A in spleen. Because the chr6p21.3/MHC rs389884 region lead variant was unavailable for replication and no suitable proxy was identified, this signal was interpreted as an emerging candidate for functional validation rather than a replicated causal signal. Seven available variants replicated with concordant effects. An exploratory Roadmap immune chromatin-state overlap analysis placed 15 of 45 non-MHC lead variants (33.3%) directly, and 34 of 45 (75.6%) within &#xb1;10&#x202f;kb, in active immune enhancer/promoter states. Pathway analyses highlighted type I interferon, JAK-STAT signaling, cytokine regulation, and antigen presentation, while bivariate LAVA analyses supported shared local genetic architecture with rheumatoid arthritis, systemic sclerosis, and Sj&#xf6;gren syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: This integrative post-GWAS analysis refines SLE association signals into biologically interpretable candidate regions and supports interferon and JAK-STAT signaling as central genetically supported pathways in SLE.

CLIC1

Polygenic Risk Identifies Older Adults Who May Benefit From Aspirin for the Primary Prevention of Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Low-dose aspirin is no longer recommended for routine primary prevention in older adults due to bleeding risks outweighing vascular benefits. We hypothesized that an integrative polygenic score (iPGS) could identify a subgroup of older individuals who derive net benefit from aspirin for the primary prevention of ischemic stroke. METHODS: We performed post hoc analysis of the ASPREE randomized, placebo-controlled trial (Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) of daily 100-mg aspirin, in 12&#x2009;031 genotyped participants of European ancestry aged >70 years without prior cardiovascular disease. The iPGS was derived from >1.2 million variants and evaluated both continuously and by quintiles. Cox models assessed associations between polygenic risk, ischemic stroke, and major bleeding events, and tested the interaction between the iPGS and treatment allocation, with adjustment for baseline lifestyle and clinical covariates. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 75.1 years, and 54.9% were women. Over a median of 4.6 years, 187 ischemic strokes and 373 major bleeds occurred, including 101 intracranial bleeds (46 hemorrhagic strokes). Each 1-SD increase in the iPGS was associated with higher incident ischemic stroke risk (hazard ratio, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.20-1.62]). An interaction between the continuous iPGS and aspirin allocation was observed for ischemic stroke (P=0.04) but not major bleeding. In the highest iPGS quintile, aspirin reduced ischemic stroke by 51% (hazard ratio, 0.49 [95% CI, 0.28-0.85]) without significantly increasing major bleeding (hazard ratio, 1.15 [95% CI, 0.71-1.88]). No benefit was observed in the overall cohort or in lower-risk quintiles. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, high polygenic risk identifies individuals who may experience substantial stroke reduction with aspirin, with no excess bleeding. These findings raise the possibility that genomic risk stratification may enable targeted aspirin use for the primary prevention of ischemic stroke. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01038583.

Humans

Polygenic risk score for neurodevelopmental disorders and cognitive impairment at long-term follow-up of first-episode psychosis.

BACKGROUND: One of the most outstanding contributions to the understanding of the etiopathogenesis of schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSD) was the neurodevelopmental hypothesis. SSD and neurodevelopmental disorders (NDD) share pathogenetic mechanisms and overlapping clinical and cognitive impairment features. METHODS: We investigated whether polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for NDD are associated with cognitive performance in patients with first-episode psychosis (FEP). The sample comprised 127 patients with FEP who were followed up for a mean of 20.9&#xa0;years. Cognitive examination was performed using the MoCA test at follow-up. Pearson coefficient correlations and multiple regression analyses were performed to examine the contribution of the three PRSs for rare neurodevelopmental conditions (PRSNDD), attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (PRSADHD) and autism spectrum disorder (PRSASD) to cognitive impairment after allowing for the effect of covariates. Furthermore, we examined the interconnections between the PRS for NDD and cognitive impairment using network analysis (NA), including core premorbid variables. RESULTS: PRSNDD showed significant associations with impairment on visuospatial/executive, attention, and language MoCA subtests, after allowing for the influence of covariates. PRSNDD and PRSADHD, but not PRSASD, were significantly associated with worse performance on the total MoCA score. Moreover, in the network analysis, the relationships between PRSs for NDD and cognitive impairment were highly interconnected with premorbid variables and PRSs for schizophrenia and educational attainment. CONCLUSIONS: These results provide evidence for a possible direct genetic effect on cognitive performance for the PRS of common genetic variations related to neurodevelopment and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in patients with FEP.

Cognitive impairment

Polygenic Profiles Are Associated with Multidomain Biochemical Adaptations Across a Competitive Season in Professional Football Players: A Longitudinal Observational Study.

Background/Objectives: The physiological adaptations required to sustain elite football performance are influenced by both genetic background and dynamic biochemical responses, although their interaction across a full competitive season remains insufficiently characterized. This study aimed to examine the association between polygenic profiles and longitudinal biochemical adaptations in professional football players. Methods: Forty male professional football players competing in the Spanish league were monitored across two consecutive seasons. Blood samples were collected at six time points representing different phases of the competitive cycle. Biomarkers related to muscle metabolism, iron status, and hepatic function were analyzed. Polygenic profiles were calculated using Total Genotype Scores (TGS) for muscle performance, hepatic resilience, and metabolic efficiency. Associations were initially explored using Pearson correlations and subsequently evaluated using linear mixed-effects models accounting for repeated measurements within subjects. Results: Exploratory correlation analyses identified several associations between polygenic profiles and biochemical markers. Muscle performance TGS was inversely associated with serum iron (r = -0.36, p = 0.017) and positively associated with CK (r = 0.32, p = 0.041), Hb (r = 0.29, p = 0.046), and Hct (r = 0.33, p = 0.024). Hepatic resilience TGS showed inverse associations with ALT (r = -0.39, p = 0.012), urea (r = -0.51, p = 0.011), and BUN (r = -0.51, p = 0.011). Metabolic efficiency TGS was negatively associated with AST (r = -0.43, p = 0.044), ALT (r = -0.33, p = 0.025), and GGT across multiple time points (p = 0.001-0.013). However, although several nominal associations emerged in linear mixed-effects models accounting for repeated measurements, none remained statistically significant after false discovery rate correction. These findings should therefore be interpreted as exploratory and hypothesis-generating. Conclusions: Polygenic profiles may be associated with inter-individual variability in biochemical adaptations throughout a competitive season. These findings suggest the integration of genomic and biochemical data in precision athlete monitoring, while highlighting causal relationships and predictive applications require further investigation.

Humans

Genetic Risk Factors for Kidney Function in Individuals with Type 1 Diabetes.

KEY POINTS: Previous research has identified polygenic risk scores that are associated with low eGFR and albuminuria in the general population. We observed that these eGFR and albuminuria polygenic risk scores were associated with eGFR and albuminuria, respectively, in type 1 diabetes. Associations were independent of glycemic control and suggest shared genetic kidney risk factors between type 1 diabetes and the general population. BACKGROUND: Genetic risk factors underlying kidney disease in type 1 diabetes (T1D) remain poorly understood. We examined whether previously established polygenic risk scores (PRS) for eGFR and albuminuria are associated with these measures in adults with T1D in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT)/Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications study. METHODS: We applied eGFR and albuminuria PRS derived in general population cohorts to 1304 DCCT/Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications participants with genome-wide genotyping. We tested PRS associations with eGFR and urine albumin excretion rate (AER) as well as incident eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , AER &#x2265;30 mg/24 h, and AER &#x2265;300 mg/24 h. For consistency, PRS values were linearly transformed so higher scores corresponded to higher eGFR and AER. We also examined associations of kidney outcomes with rs55703767 in COL4A3 , which has previously been associated with CKD in T1D. RESULTS: At DCCT baseline, participants had a mean age of 27 years; 53% were male. 49% of participants were randomized to intensive versus conventional glucose-lowering therapy. Participants were followed for median of (first-third quartiles) 35 (33-37) years. The eGFR PRS was significantly associated with continuous eGFR (per one SD higher PRS 2.72 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 higher [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.05 to 3.40]) and incident eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 (hazard ratio [HR]=0.82 [95% CI, 0.73 to 0.92]), but not consistently with albuminuria. There was no association with quantitative AER (2.42 mg/24 h [95% CI, -1.86 to 6.89]) or sustained AER &#x2265;30 mg/24 h (HR=1.03; [95% CI, 0.94 to 1.14]). The albuminuria PRS was significantly associated with incident AER &#x2265;30 mg/24 h (HR=1.12 [95% CI, 1.02 to 1.22]) but not continuous eGFR (0.49 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 higher [95% CI, -0.23 to 1.21]) or incident eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 (HR=0.96 [95% CI, 0.85 to 1.08]). Associations were similar in analyses stratified by DCCT treatment group assignment. rs55703767 was associated with lower incident macroalbuminuria in the overall cohort (HR=0.77 per minor allele [95% CI, 0.59 to 0.99]), and upon stratification by DCCT treatment group assignment, only within the conventional and not intensive glucose-lowering therapy group. CONCLUSIONS: PRS associated with eGFR and albuminuria in the general population were associated with corresponding measures in adults with T1D. The results suggest shared genetic risk factors for kidney disease between T1D and the general population but different genetic risk factors for albuminuria and eGFR in T1D. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION NUMBERS: NCT00360893 , NCT00360815 .

Adult

Genetic mapping and predictive modeling of paralog synthetic lethality.

Paralogs are abundant in the human genome and thought to be a primary source of synthetic lethality, yet the vast paralogome remains largely uncharacterized. A digenic screen of 36,648 paralogous pairs in the human genome revealed that synthetic lethalities were infrequent and varied in penetrance in different tumor backgrounds. We hypothesized that the variable penetrance of synthetic lethalities resulted from complex polygenic interactions with different cellular contexts. A machine learning classifier of a subset of paralog pairs tested across 49 cancer models revealed that endogenous perturbations in related pathways predicted paralog synthetic lethality. Further, predictive modeling of paralog synthetic lethality showed that the strength of synthetic lethal interactions was largely due to the overlap and essentiality of the protein-protein interaction networks shared by the paralog pairs. Collectively, this study tested 36,648 digenic paralog interactions and delineated the key feature classes that underlie the heterogeneity of paralog synthetic lethalities.

Humans