[New trends in Swiss migration flows. Part 1: an overview of the literature on the phenomenon of counterurbanization].
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"This paper uses the official annual population estimates to examine changes in the scale of urban-rural shift in the distribution of the British population since the 1960s. These reveal that the level of population deconcentration at regional and more local scales stood at its highest at the beginning of the 1970s and that since the mid 1970s the rate of population loss experienced by London and several other large cities has diminished markedly. An analysis of the components of population change reveals that trends in net migration have been primarily responsible, though generally reinforced by trends in natural change rates. It is concluded that...most of [the 1970s] featured the downwave of a longer cycle of decentralisation which had its origins at least as early as the first half of the 1960s."
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"The term counterurbanisation is frequently used to describe the redistribution of a population away from major cities and metropolitan areas and towards more rural areas. The widespread nature of this phenomenon has attracted much attention, yet the concept remains relatively under-developed, and even the basic definition lacks rigour. It is not surprising, therefore, that there has been a lack of cumulative evidence as to the extent of the process and little agreement as to its significance. In essence, ambiguity surrounds the types of movement that should be admitted, the necessary motives for movement and the appropriate measures for both. This paper offers some preliminary suggestions for a more structured approach to the problem. It draws on original survey data from Devon [England], a county which has experienced substantial net in-migration, both to examine the contribution of three alternative definitions of counterurbanisation and to consider how these issues relate to motivation."
"The role of government policy in the housing market is examined for its impact on residential mobility in medium-sized Dutch cities. Mobility rates for these cities are regressed against in-migration rates, age and family composition variables, housing stock characteristics and measures of policy. There is little relationship between in-migration and intra-urban movement. After controlling for demographic and housing stock characteristics, the policy measures (the provision of subsidies for new construction and renewal subsidies) do explain a significant proportion of the variation in mobility rates across cities." It is also found that "when the cities are grouped by mobility rate, the policy measures account for important proportions of the variance in two of the three groups of cities. For the other group of cities housing stock characteristics are important explanatory variables."
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Recent migration trends affecting the Tokyo metropolitan area (TMA) in Japan are analyzed. The focus is on the factors affecting the change in migration patterns which resulted in a net outflow of migrants from the area in 1994, the first time this has occurred. "The results from a set of time-series analyses lead the authors to conclude that, as far as the study period (1979-92) as a whole is concerned, the changing migration pattern of the TMA arose from factors closely related to Tokyo's transformation into a world city (specifically in terms of industrial restructuring and changes in residential land prices) and from cycles of economic boom and bust. However, it was found that the change to world city was more important than the economic cycle. Such findings suggest that the Japanese migration system experienced structural change during the 1980s and entered a new phase in the 1990s."
"Urban deconcentration is the most dominant and consistent feature of population movement in Britain nowadays.... The scale of urban out-migration varies over time, some types of people and places are more fully represented in the urban exodus than others, and the net figures hide the fact that quite sizeable numbers of people move in the opposite direction.... The research was based largely in 1991 Population Census data on people who changed address within Great Britain during the year preceding Census night, focusing mainly on migration between local authority districts grouped according to their degree of 'urbanness' and their distance from the main metropolitan centres."
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"This paper is an investigation of the dynamics of interstate migration flows to and from New England since 1975. The main goal of the research is to study the timing and volume of the lagged migration adjustment to the regional economic turnaround and the temporal stability of patterns of regional inflows and outflows. The paper is an examination of the responsiveness of interstate migration to changing regional economic conditions based on annual interstate migration data and a set of cross-sectional destination-specific Poisson regression models." The data are from a series developed by the Bureau of the Census based on Federal income tax returns.
"The aim of this paper is to illuminate basic characteristics of metropolitan areas in Japan. [The authors] first delineate the boundaries of ninety-eight Japanese metropolitan areas based on the concept of cut-off point on the P-M curve the idea of which was originally developed by Ogawa in 1957. Secondly, [they] carry out empirical analyses on spatial structure and growth patterns of those metropolitan areas by use of 1960 and 1975 data." The results indicate that the population share of central cities declined from 1960 to 1975.
Trends in urbanization in developed countries over the past four decades are analyzed. "Particular attention is given to the process of counterurbanization, and the recent reversal of this population trend has been highlighted. The recent developments in the fortunes of cities also entail a need for new classifications. These are obviously necessary in order to analyze the restructuring of the economic base and to foresee the emergence of new social categories on labour and housing markets in urban regions."
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Recent trends in migration in the United States are reviewed, focusing on the links between regional and metropolitan population change. Three explanations for the counterurbanization phenomenon of the 1970s are presented and their implications for future migration trends considered. The author concludes that "while 1970s core region declines may have been strongly linked to the counterurbanization process, post-1980 core region gains do not appear to signal a return to the metropolis."
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