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Ventriculostomy-Related Infections by Country-Income Level: A Systematic Review and Bayesian Hierarchical Meta-analysis.

Our objective was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of published literature on ventriculostomy-related infection (VRI) and evaluate temporal and global trends. We conducted a systematic review and Bayesian hierarchical random-effects meta-analysis of VRI rates in adults, stratified by country-income level (high-income countries [HIC]; low- or middle-income countries [LMIC]), study design, sample size, enrollment period, VRI intervention, and VRI definition. We identified 159 articles published between 1989 and 2025 that included 523,704 patients with 7293 VRIs. The pooled VRI rate was 8.64% [95% CI: 7.44-9.97], with moderate heterogeneity and good model fit. The leave-one-out sensitivity analysis showed a mean absolute change of 0.06% and a maximum change of 0.2%, indicating robust analysis. Five of the 33 represented countries had VRI rates below the global pooled rate of 8.64%. Four were HICs: Singapore (VRI rate 3.3% [0.8-7]), the United States (VRI rate 4.6% [3.4-5.9]), Germany (VRI rate 6.1% [1.1-18.9]), Norway (8.3% [0.3-68.4]), with 1 LMIC: China (8.5% [5.4-12.4]). VRI was significantly higher in studies using definitions beyond CSF culture alone for VRI (+3.16% [0.11- 6.52]) and in those from Europe (+7.29% [4.62-10.10]) and the Western Pacific (+4.09% [1.55-6.98]). No other subgroup demonstrated significant differences. This Bayesian meta-analysis provides global estimates and factors associated with VRI. Standardization of VRI definitions is critical for future benchmarking of VRI rates.

Humans

Introgression among maternal lineages inferred from complete mitogenomes and molecular dating helps resolve phylogeography of European roe deer.

BACKGROUND: The European roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) is one of the most widespread ungulates in Europe, with a phylogeographic structure mainly shaped by Pleistocene glacial cycles and secondary contacts with the Siberian roe deer (C. pygargus). METHODS: We sequenced 52 complete mitogenomes of C. capreolus from Slovenia, Poland and France, and combined them with 24 publicly available sequences of C. capreolus and C. pygargus, yielding an alignment of 76 genomes representing 59 haplotypes (42 from C. capreolus and 17 from C. pygargus). Phylogeographic structure was assessed using a median-joining network, and divergence times were estimated using a time-calibrated Bayesian phylogeny based on mitochondrial coding regions, incorporating published ancient C. pygargus mitogenomes. We additionally screened mitochondrial protein-coding genes for selection. RESULTS: The haplotype network recovered the three major European roe deer clades (Eastern, Central, and Western) and detected Central-clade haplotypes in France. Two Polish haplotypes (Cp9 and Cp10), detected in C. capreolus, clustered within the C. pygargus mitochondrial lineage, supporting mitochondrial introgression. Time-calibrated phylogenies placed introgressed haplotypes within established C. pygargus lineages. Selection analyses provided limited evidence for episodic positive selection restricted to a small number of codons. CONCLUSIONS: Whole mitogenomes improve resolution of roe deer phylogeography and reveal introgressed maternal lineages, while time-calibrated phylogenies and selection tests add evolutionary context for interpreting mtDNA diversity in genus Capreolus.

Animals

Evolution of homologous recombination rates across bacteria.

Bacteria are nonsexual organisms but are capable of exchanging DNA at diverse degrees through homologous recombination. Intriguingly, the rates of recombination vary immensely across lineages where some species have been described as purely clonal and others as "quasi-sexual." However, estimating recombination rates has proven a difficult endeavor and estimates often vary substantially across studies. It is unclear whether these variations reflect natural variations across populations or are due to differences in methodologies. Consequently, the impact of recombination on bacterial evolution has not been extensively evaluated and the evolution of recombination rate-as a trait-remains to be accurately described. Here, we developed an approach based on Approximate Bayesian Computation that integrates multiple signals of recombination to estimate recombination rates. We inferred the rate of recombination of 162 bacterial species and one archaeon and tested the robustness of our approach. Our results confirm that recombination rates vary drastically across bacteria; however, we found that recombination rate-as a trait-is conserved in several lineages but evolves rapidly in others. Although some traits are thought to be associated with recombination rate (e.g., GC-content), we found no clear association between genomic or phenotypic traits and recombination rate. Overall, our results provide an overview of recombination rate, its evolution, and its impact on bacterial evolution.

Bacteria

SNP genotyping in Pseudotsuga menziesii and Pinus radiata using targeted genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS): improved Bayesian SNP calling using a beta-binomial distribution and other optimized input parameters.

BACKGROUND: Single-nucleotide polymorphism markers (SNPs) have important applications in gene conservation, breeding, and fundamental genetics research. Our long-term goal is to develop routine approaches for SNP genotyping in forest trees. Ideally, these approaches would be inexpensive, able to accommodate a wide range of samples and SNPs, available through commercial providers, and produce high-quality SNP data. RESULTS: Using targeted genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS), we developed SNP assays for two highly heterozygous tree species, Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) and radiata pine (Pinus radiata). Using Douglas-fir haploid and diploid data, we optimized Bayesian SNP calling by testing four input parameters: (1) allele and genotype prior probabilities, (2) Rho, the beta-binomial dispersion parameter, (3) estimated read error (BayesReadError), and (4) the logPO cutoff used to filter low confidence SNP calls. logPO is the Bayesian posterior odds ratio for a called SNP. Compared to assuming a binomial distribution of read counts (Rho = 0), the beta-binomial distribution (Rho = 0.33) substantially reduced call error and heterozygote undercalling. Compared to the other Bayesian parameters, genotype priors had little effect on genotyping success. For Douglas-fir, we tested 5,360 SNP assays, and then studied the performance of the best 4,000. For radiata pine, we tested 6,000 SNP assays, and then studied the performance of the best 4,570. In Douglas-fir and radiata pine, our Bayesian approach resulted in median call rates of 95% to 98% for the top-ranked SNPs, with an estimated call error of 1.60% for known homozygous genotypes and 2.27% for known heterozygotes. In radiata pine, median and mean call rates were above 91% for GBS and SNP genotyping using an Axiom fixed genotyping array. Additionally, the median correspondence between the GBS and Axiom genotypes was about 98% overall (mean 96%). CONCLUSIONS: By optimizing Bayesian SNP calling, selecting the best 4-5 K SNPs, and excluding samples with low DNA amounts, we substantially reduced call error and heterozygote undercalling, resulting in SNP genotypes that were nearly identical to genotypes obtained using the Axiom array. Furthermore, genotyping performance should increase even further if our SNP rankings were used to develop less complex probe pools that target fewer SNPs.

Pinus

Bayesian Mendelian randomization reveals a protective effect of later age at first sexual intercourse against erectile dysfunction.

Erectile dysfunction (ED) is a prevalent health condition with significant psychosocial impacts, yet the causal role of age at first sexual intercourse (AFS) remains unclear. This study investigated the causal effect of AFS on the risk of ED using Mendelian randomization (MR) and Bayesian methods. Five traditional 2-sample MR analyses and 5 Bayesian MR analyses were performed using genome-wide association studies summary statistics from European populations. Sensitivity analyses included MR Egger regression, MR-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier, and Cochran Q-test. In mixed-sex cohorts (Groups 1 and 2), inverse variance weighted results demonstrated significant protective effects: odds ratio (OR) = 0.626, θ = -0.469, P = 2.73 × 10-6 for Group 1 and OR = 0.617, θ = -0.483, P = 3.56 × 10-5 for Group 2. The analyses for male-specific cohorts (Groups 3-10) showed weaker but consistent effects. For Group 3, OR = 0.643, θ = -0.442, P = .010. For Group 4, some instrumental variables associated with confounders were removed. The result became statistically insignificant: OR = 0.680, θ = -0.385, P = .064. For Group 5, the instrument selection criteria were relaxed and significance was retained: OR = 0.695, θ = -0.364, P = .016. For Groups 6 to 10, Bayesian MR was used to strengthen the inferences. In particular, for Group 8, which has a strongly informed prior, a posterior mean θ = -0.358 and a 95% credible interval (-0.575, -0.136) were obtained. This study provides evidence supporting a causal protective effect of later AFS on ED risk. While traditional MR analyses in male-specific cohorts yielded suggestive results, Bayesian MR analyses, which allow for the integration of prior evidence, provided more precise estimates and strengthened the causal inference. These findings may inform future sexual health policies. Strengths include the use of male-specific cohorts and Bayesian enhancement for weak instruments. Limitations include reliance on European-ancestry data and inability to stratify ED subtypes.

Male

GAMMA: gap-aware motif mining under incomplete labeling with applications to MHC motifs.

MOTIVATION: Sequence motif identification is crucial for understanding molecular recognition, particularly in immune responses involving peptide binding to major histocompatibility complex (MHC) Class I molecules for antigen presentation to T cells. Traditionally, MHC Class I binding motifs are assumed to be contiguous and span nine amino acids. However, structural evidence suggests that binding may involve nonadjacent residues, challenging the assumptions of existing methods. RESULTS: In this study, we propose Gap-Aware Motif Mining Algorithm (GAMMA), a probabilistic framework designed to identify noncontiguous motifs under conditions of incomplete labeling. GAMMA employs Bayesian inference with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling to jointly estimate motif parameters, binding locations, and the relative spacing between binding positions. Through extensive simulations and real-world applications to MHC Class I peptide datasets, GAMMA outperforms existing motif discovery tools such as GLAM2 in accurately localizing binding residues and identifying the underlying motifs. Notably, our results suggest that the true number of binding residues may be eight, fewer than the commonly assumed nine. In addition, for longer peptides, the model captures increased flexibility in the central region, consistent with structural observations that peptides may bulge in the middle. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The raw data and the source codes are available on GitHub (https://github.com/RanLIUaca/GAMMAmotif).

Amino Acid Motifs

Quantifying prevalence and risk factors of HIV multiple infection in Uganda from population-based deep-sequence data.

People living with HIV can acquire secondary infections through a process called superinfection, giving rise to simultaneous infection with genetically distinct variants (multiple infection). Multiple infection provides the necessary conditions for the generation of novel recombinant forms of HIV and may worsen clinical outcomes and increase the rate of transmission to HIV seronegative sexual partners. To date, studies of HIV multiple infection have relied on insensitive bulk-sequencing, labor intensive single genome amplification protocols, or deep-sequencing of short genome regions. Here, we identified multiple infections in whole-genome or near whole-genome HIV RNA deep-sequence data generated from plasma samples of 2,029 people living with viremic HIV who participated in the population-based Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS). We estimated individual- and population-level probabilities of being multiply infected and assessed epidemiological risk factors using the novel Bayesian deep-phylogenetic multiple infection model (deep - phyloMI) which accounts for bias due to partial sequencing success and false-negative and false-positive detection rates. We estimated that between 2010 and 2020, 4.09% (95% highest posterior density interval (HPD) 2.95%-5.45%) of RCCS participants with viremic HIV multiple infection at time of sampling. Participants living in high-HIV prevalence communities along Lake Victoria were 2.33-fold (95% HPD 1.3-3.7) more likely to harbor a multiple infection compared to individuals in lower prevalence neighboring communities. This work introduces a high-throughput surveillance framework for identifying people with multiple HIV infections and quantifying population-level prevalence and risk factors of multiple infection for clinical and epidemiological investigations.

Humans

Exploring hormonal influences on nicotine craving and use across the perinatal period: A prospective longitudinal study.

INTRODUCTION: Perinatal nicotine use is common despite well-documented adverse consequences. We examined associations between reproductive-related hormones with nicotine craving and use during the perinatal period to identify potential novel intervention points. METHODS: All participants reported use of nicotine during the perinatal period. Participants were enrolled at gestational week ≥ 36 and followed to postpartum week 12 via daily surveys (i.e., nicotine craving via 100-point scale, dichotomous use) and weekly hormone measurement in saliva (cortisol, oxytocin) or dried blood spots (progesterone, estradiol, testosterone, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate). Bayesian mixed-effects models accounted for within-person correlation while estimating hormone effects. RESULTS: Participants (n = 46) were 28.9 ± 4.9 years old. During follow-up, exclusive combustible cigarettes (n = 20), electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS; n = 13), or dual (n = 2) use was observed, with variability in use and craving across participants and over time. During pregnancy, higher oxytocin was linked to greater craving (β=16.31, 95% CI: 3.71, 28.83). Greater peripartum declines in oxytocin were associated with more craving (β=8.71, 95% CI: 0.75, 16.93) and use (β=1.13, 95% CI: 0.05, 2.43). During postpartum, lower estradiol was linked to more craving (β=-1.17, 95% CI: -2.15, -0.18) and use (β=-0.40, 95% CI: -0.76, -0.03). In models simultaneously evaluating all postpartum hormones, the lone meaningful association was between estradiol and craving (β=-1.66, 95% CI: -2.84, -0.48). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that oxytocin and estradiol may contribute to the risk of perinatal nicotine use. Additional research is needed to replicate our observations in more diverse study samples and explore implications for clinical intervention.

Bayesian

Impact of smoking on structural failure after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Rotator cuff tears cause significant shoulder pain and functional limitation. Arthroscopic rotator cuff repair improves symptoms, yet structural failure rates remain substantial. Smoking may impair tendon-to-bone healing, but clinical studies report mixed findings due to heterogeneous methodology. Therefore, a systematic synthesis of imaging-confirmed outcomes is needed to clarify the association between smoking and structural failure after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. METHODS: This review followed PRISMA 2020 and was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251246197). PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were searched from inception to 12 December 2025. Comparative clinical studies of adults undergoing arthroscopic rotator cuff repair that reported imaging-confirmed structural integrity (magnetic resonance imaging or ultrasonography) at ≥6 months were included. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The primary outcome (structural failure) was pooled as risk ratios using a random-effects model with the restricted maximum likelihood estimator and Hartung-Knapp adjustment. Secondary continuous outcomes were synthesized using Bayesian random-effects models; subgroup, sensitivity, and meta-regression analyses explored heterogeneity. RESULTS: Ten cohort studies (1,683 shoulders) were included. Smoking was associated with a higher risk of imaging-confirmed structural failure (risk ratio 1.53; 95% confidence interval 1.13-2.08; P = .011) with low heterogeneity (I2 = 24.7%). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses supported robustness, with no evidence of effect modification by region, follow-up duration, tear size, or smoking definition. Meta-regression showed no significant influence of age, smoking prevalence, or diabetes prevalence on the pooled effect. Secondary outcomes (3 studies) suggested slightly lower postoperative American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons scores among smokers, while visual analog scale pain scores and forward flexion showed no clear between-group differences. No publication-bias signals were detected for the primary outcome. CONCLUSION: Smoking is associated with a higher risk of imaging-confirmed structural failure after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. Functional outcomes were broadly similar between groups, with only a small, likely clinically negligible reduction in American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons scores among smokers. These findings support careful smoking history assessment and perioperative risk modification, including smoking cessation strategies.

Humans

Bayesian analysis of a dose-response experiment with serial sacrifices.

This paper presents analysis and comments which are believed to be appropriate for certain carcinogenesis studies where sacrifices are performed throughout the experiment. Estimates of the risk probability for each dose level and sacrifice time are found utilizing the sample likelihood as the posterior density. The dose-response relationship is investigated with these estimates as the response. In order to test if the dose is effective and to check the appropriateness of the time-to-incidence model a Bayesian multiple comparisons technique is introduced.

Animals

Investigating the zoonotic origins of ESBL-producing E. coli in community-acquired urinary tract infections in Ecuador.

Extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli (ESBL-producing E. coli) pose a growing global health threat. Although Latin America has been identified as a global hotspot of antimicrobial resistance, the zoonotic contribution to drug-resistant infections in the region remains poorly defined. We analyzed 137 clinical ESBL-producing E. coli isolates from urinary tract infections (UTIs) in Quito, Ecuador, applying a Bayesian latent class model informed by host-associated mobile genetic elements to estimate the fraction of infections attributable to food-animal sources. We estimated that 25.5% (35/137) of UTI isolates were putative zoonotic cases. This proportion rose to 42.5% after excluding ST131-H30, a human-associated pandemic lineage. Putative zoonotic isolates were enriched for animal-associated β-lactamase genes (e.g., blaTEM-1B, blaCTX-M-65), lacked human-associated markers such as blaOXA-1, and exhibited diverse antimicrobial resistance gene profiles resembling those observed among food-animal isolates. These isolates were also enriched for ColV-associated virulence genes typically linked to avian pathogenic E. coli. Putative zoonotic strains contributed substantially to third-generation cephalosporin-resistant UTIs in Quito, Ecuador, challenging assumptions derived from high-income settings that such infections are driven predominantly by human-to-human transmission. These findings highlight the importance of integrated One Health surveillance and mitigation, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where gaps in water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) may interact with antimicrobial use in food production to amplify antimicrobial resistance transmission.IMPORTANCEESBL-producing E. coli have rapidly emerged as a major global antimicrobial resistance threat. In Latin America, cephalosporins are commonly used in food-animal production, fueling the emergence of ESBL-producing E. coli. In low- and middle-income countries, excessive antimicrobial use driven by poorly regulated over-the-counter sales, combined with inadequate water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) infrastructure, can facilitate antimicrobial-resistant pathogen transmission from food animals to humans. Using a novel statistical-genomic approach, we found that over one in four cephalosporin-resistant UTIs in Quito, Ecuador, may be caused by E. coli strains originating from food animals. Our findings highlight the public health risks associated with antimicrobial use in food-animal production and the role of environmental and infrastructure-related vulnerabilities. As global demand for animal protein continues rising in middle-income countries, controlling zoonotic antimicrobial resistance transmission becomes increasingly urgent for protecting human health through integrated One Health strategies.

ESBL-producing E. coli

Multilevel genomic, transcriptomic, and epidemiologic evidence linking diabetic retinopathy to Alzheimer disease.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) and Alzheimer disease (AD) share metabolic and vascular dysfunctions, but the extent to which they reflect overlapping genetic susceptibility and neurovascular-metabolic regulatory pathways remains unclear. We combined multi-omics analyses with population-based data to examine the genetic convergence, cellular pathways, and longitudinal association between DR and AD. METHODS: We performed a two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) to estimate the association between genetically predicted DR liability and AD risk. We used Bayesian colocalisation analysis to identify shared genomic loci, and summary-data-based MR (SMR) to detect expression-mediated genes jointly associated with DR and AD. We analysed single-cell RNA sequencing data to characterise shared cellular features and related biological pathways. We also conducted an MR-based mediation analysis to explore whether lipid-related, metabolic, or inflammatory traits mediated the observed DR-AD association, and a longitudinal analysis of the UK Biobank cohort to assess the association between DR and incident AD. RESULTS: With the MR analysis, we found that genetically predicted liability to DR was associated with a modest increase in AD risk. Colocalisation analysis supported a shared genetic signal. We identified three genes with shared expression-mediated associations across DR and AD through SMR. Functional enrichment analyses revealed partially overlapping neurovascular and metabolic pathways. Using MR-based mediation analysis, we found no significant intermediary traits linking DR and AD. Findings from the UK Biobank cohort were directionally consistent with the genetic analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic liability to DR is associated with an increased risk of AD and is accompanied by shared expression-mediated effects and convergent neurovascular-metabolic pathways. These findings support the possibility that DR may serve as a clinically accessible indicator of increased neurodegenerative vulnerability.

Humans

Genetic Susceptibility to Incisional Hernia Evaluation of Hernia Polygenic Risk Scores.

OBJECTIVES: Incisional hernia (IH) affects 13-30% of people after abdominal surgery, resulting in substantial morbidity and costs. While clinical risk factors have been studied extensively, genomic risk for IH is incompletely understood. We aimed to evaluate the impact of polygenic risk scores (PRS) on IH risk prediction. METHODS: We created and evaluated three PRS for abdominal hernia, ventral hernia and latent hernia susceptibility for prediction of IH in an institutional biobank. The primary outcome was defined as the diagnosis or repair of an IH based on ICD-9/10-CM/PCS and CPT codes. Clinical covariates included age, sex, body mass index (BMI), smoking status, index procedure type, and perioperative surgical site infection. A phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) was performed to assess clinical associations with increased PRS. We then tested the ability of the PRS to improve prediction for IH by modeling clinical covariates with and without PRS in patients who underwent abdominal surgery. Model performance was assessed using 10 iterations of 5-fold cross-validation to estimate Brier scores and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), which were compared using cross-model Bayesian analysis of variance. RESULTS: In 55,809 subjects, assessed PRS was significantly associated with incisional, umbilical, and ventral hernia on PheWAS, with 1.19 greater odds of developing IH per 1-SD increase in PRS (95% CI: 1.13-1.25, P < 0.001). Of 9,909 subjects who underwent qualifying abdominal surgery, 706 developed IH. In this cohort, the latent hernia susceptibility PRS was associated with a 16% increased hazard of developing IH per 1-SD increase (HR 1.16; 95% CI: 1.07-1.26; P < 0.001). Compared to a predictive model using clinical covariates (Brier score = 0.047, 95% CI: 0.046-0.048; AUROC = 0.660, 95% CI: 0.653-0.666), addition of the PRS showed similar Brier score and AUROC estimates (Brier score = 0.047, 95% CI: 0.046-0.048; AUROC: 0.667, 95% CI: 0.661-0.673) at five years. Cross-model Bayesian analysis demonstrated >99% probability of practical equivalence when trying to detect a difference of &#x2265; 0.02. CONCLUSION: All three PRS for hernia were independently associated with IH, suggesting that genomic factors contribute significantly to IH development. However, none of the three PRS meaningfully improved clinical IH risk prediction in patients who underwent abdominal surgery. This suggests that clinical comorbidities and surgical techniques may be equally as important as genomic architecture.

Bayesian analysis

Mendelian randomization and FinnGen analysis of the causal relationship between 473 gut microbiota species and chronic sinusitis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the causal associations between Gut Microbiota (GM) and Chronic Sinusitis (CRS) using Mendelian Randomization (MR). METHODS: Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) summary statistics for 473&#x2009;GM taxa were obtained from MiBioGen consortium. CRS data (22,099 cases vs. 371,520 controls) were sourced from the FinnGen R12 cohort. Causal effects were estimated via Inverse Variance-Weighted (IVW), MR-Egger, weighted median, and Bayesian-weighted MR methods. Sensitivity analyses (heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy tests) were performed to validate robustness. RESULTS: IVW analysis identified 20&#x2009;GM taxa significantly associated with CRS risk (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05). Of these, 7 taxa (e.g., Francisellales, Roseibacillus, Merdibacter massiliensis) exhibited risk-increasing effects, while 13 taxa (e.g., Firmicutes I, Succinivibrionaceae) showed protective effects. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the absence of significant heterogeneity (Cochran's Q p&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.05) or pleiotropy (MR-Egger intercept p&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.05). Bayesian-weighted MR validated 18 causal relationships (posterior probability > 95%), except for RUG420 sp900317985 and UBA7703 (non-significant). CONCLUSIONS: This MR study provides genetic evidence supporting causal roles of specific GM taxa in CRS pathogenesis. These findings highlight the gut-sinus axis as a potential therapeutic target and underscore the utility of large-scale biobanks (e.g., FinnGen) in advancing precision medicine. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 5. Mendelian Randomized (MR) studies are second only to randomized controlled trials in terms of the level of evidence.

Humans

Replicating lipid micelles: a feasible precursor to the origin of life and the earliest appearance of genomes.

The most commonly accepted scenario of early Earth includes: creation of the universe around 13.8 Ga (Giga-annus; or 109 years ago); establishment of our solar system&#x2009;~&#x2009;4.60 Ga; and formation of Earth&#x2009;~&#x2009;4.54 Ga. The earliest life forms on our planet so far observed to have existed, are microbes that left signals of their presence in rocks&#x2009;~&#x2009;3.6 Ga - suggesting that Life forms existed within the first 940&#xa0;million years after Earth's formation. However, an intriguing recent publication [1] infers that the last universal common ancestor (LUCA) likely existed by 4.2 Ga, and that the inferred LUCA had a genome of at least 2.5&#xa0;Mb of DNA, encoding around 2,600 proteins; this suggests that sophisticated Life might have existed within the first 340&#xa0;million years after Earth was formed. The commonly accepted geological history of early Earth suggests that the turbulent Hadean Eon lasted until 4.0 Ga, with the Late Heavy Bombardment (LHB) period occurring around 4.1 to 3.8 Ga. If Earth during the Hadean exhibited a molten surface, intense volcanic activity, and constant bombardment by asteroids and comets - how were sensitive molecules (e.g., nucleic acids, proteins) able to survive? Considering the "Lipid First" hypothesis [2], we propose that replicating lipid micelles are feasible candidates for having populated much of Earth's deep hydrothermal vents and turbulent surface within the first 340&#xa0;million years of Earth's existence. These lipid micelles could therefore have provided a plausible form of "protective capsules" inside which early Life's sensitive molecules were able to evolve.

Origin of Life

Bayesian identification of differentially expressed isoforms using a novel joint model of RNA-seq data.

We develop a Bayesian approach, BayesIso, to identify differentially expressed isoforms from RNA-seq data. The approach features a novel joint model of the sample variability and the deferential state of isoforms. Specifically, the within-sample variability and the between-sample variability of each isoform are modeled by a Poisson-Lognormal model and a Gamma-Gamma model, respectively. Using a Bayesian framework, the differential state of each isoform and the model parameters are jointly estimated by a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. Extensive studies using simulation and real data demonstrate that BayesIso can effectively detect isoforms of less differentially expressed and differential transcripts for genes with multiple isoforms. We applied the approach to breast cancer RNA-seq data and uncovered a unique set of isoforms that form key pathways associated with breast cancer recurrence. First, PI3K/AKT/mTOR signaling and PTEN signaling pathways are identified as being involved in breast cancer development. Further integrated with protein-protein interaction data, pathways of Jak-STAT, mTOR, MAPK and Wnt signaling are revealed in association with breast cancer recurrence. Finally, several pathways are activated in the early recurrence of breast cancer. In tumors that occur early, members of pathways of cellular metabolism and cell cycle (such as CD36 and TOP2A) are upregulated, while immune response genes such as NFATC1 are downregulated.

Humans

Umbilical Cord-Derived Cell-Based Interventions for Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia and Related Complications in Preterm Infants: A Bayesian Sparse-Data Meta-Analysis.

Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is a major complication of prematurity with limited disease-modifying therapies. We evaluated umbilical cord-derived cell-based interventions for BPD and related complications in preterm infants. This Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020-based systematic review and meta-analysis were registered in PROSPERO. PubMed, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, and Wanfang were searched from inception to June 14, 2026. Comparative clinical studies of umbilical cord-derived cell-based interventions in preterm infants at risk of or diagnosed with BPD were included. Outcomes included BPD, BPD severity, death, persistent pulmonary hypertension of the newborn (PPHN), patent ductus arteriosus (PDA), intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), retinopathy of prematurity (ROP), late-onset sepsis (LOS), and adverse events (AEs). Bayesian random-effects meta-analysis used a binomial-normal hierarchical model to estimate pooled odds ratios (ORs), 95% credible intervals (CrIs), prediction intervals, and heterogeneity. Twelve studies were included. Umbilical cord-derived cell-based interventions showed a possible protective effect on overall BPD (OR, 0.48; 95% CrI, 0.14-1.20). Stronger associations were observed for severe BPD (OR, 0.17; 95% CrI, 0.01-0.85), moderate or severe BPD (OR, 0.28; 95% CrI, 0.09-0.70), and ROP stage &#x2265;3 (OR, 0.17; 95% CrI, 0.02-0.65). No conclusive benefit or harm was observed for death, PPHN, PDA, IVH, NEC, or LOS. No treatment-related serious AEs were identified. However, prediction intervals were generally wide, and the certainty of evidence was low to very low for most outcomes. Umbilical cord-derived cell-based interventions may reduce the risk of moderate or severe BPD in preterm infants, with an additional potential benefit for ROP stage &#x2265;3. Current evidence remains limited, and larger randomized trials with standardized outcomes and long-term follow-up are needed.

Humans

BTS: a scalable Bayesian Tissue Score for prioritizing GWAS variants and their functional contexts across >1000s of omics datasets.

MOTIVATION: statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are widely used in fine-mapping and colocalization analyses to identify causal variants and their enrichment in functional contexts, such as affected cell types and genomic features. With the expansion of functional genomic (FG) datasets, which now include hundreds of thousands of tracks across various cell and tissue types, it is critical to establish scalable algorithms integrating thousands of diverse FG annotations with GWAS results. RESULTS: We propose BTS (Bayesian Tissue Score), a novel, highly efficient algorithm uniquely designed for (i) identifying affected cell types and functional elements (context-mapping) and (ii) fine-mapping potentially causal variants in a context-specific manner using large collections of cell type-specific FG annotation tracks. BTS leverages GWAS summary statistics and annotation-specific Bayesian models to analyze genome-wide annotation tracks, including enhancers, open chromatin, and histone marks. We evaluated BTS on GWAS summary statistics for immune and cardiovascular traits, such as Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD), Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA), Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE), and Coronary Artery Disease (CAD). Our results demonstrate that BTS is over 100&#xd7; more efficient in estimating functional annotation effects and context-specific variant fine-mapping compared to existing methods. Importantly, this large-scale Bayesian approach prioritizes both known and novel annotations, cell types, genomic regions, and variants and provides valuable biological insights into the functional contexts of these diseases. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Docker image is available at https://hub.docker.com/r/wanglab/bts with preinstalled BTS R package (https://bitbucket.org/wanglab-upenn/BTS-R) and BTS GWAS summary statistics analysis pipeline (https://bitbucket.org/wanglab-upenn/bts-pipeline).

Genome-Wide Association Study