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Untilting age distributions: a transformation for graphical analysis.

"This article presents a new approach to the plotting of age distribution data. 'Untilting' is a way of transforming data that vary systematically from very high to very low values so as to show local variation more clearly. The article derives an untilting transformation from the formal structure of age distributions. The transformation turns out to be closely related to two familiar demographic techniques, reverse-survival estimation of births and birth rates, and comparison of observed with stable age distributions. The ideas are illustrated by application to age distributions from the 1979 and 1989 censuses of Vietnam."

Age Distribution↗

Markov chains as a shortcut method to estimate age distributions in herds of beef cattle under different culling strategies.

Markov chains were used to estimate the age distribution at equilibrium and average age in herds of beef cattle and the age distribution and average age of culled cows. These estimates are essential in systems simulation and economic analyses of beef production alternatives because the biological input and output from a beef production system depend on the age structure of the cows in the system. Ten sets of data on age-specific probabilities of culling for different reasons were found in the literature and used in simulation of different culling strategies. Three different culling strategies were simulated using these data. In addition to culling on maximum age, culling was either based on health alone, health and reproductive failure in one year (not pregnant) or health and reproductive failure in two consecutive years (not pregnant twice). The average herd age in the data sets reviewed under the actual culling strategies ranged from 4.58 to 6.73 yr and the average age of culled cows ranged from 5.41 to 9.94 yr. Description of the culling process as a Markov chain enables calculations of the age distribution at equilibrium by simple matrix operations, an advantage over the methods presently used. The scarcity of estimated age-specific probabilities of health and reproductive failure points to the need for more population analyses of beef cattle.

Age Factors↗

Exponential pattern of cell age distribution in dividing cells of plant meristems.

In order to determine the pattern of cell age distribution in proliferating cells of Allium cepa roots we have measured by cytophotometry two cell size parameters, protein content and surface area projection, in cells that correspond to the entire proliferating population or only to the ana-telophase subpopulation. The size values of ana-telophase cells have been employed to construct theoretical size distributions for the entire proliferating cell population of the root meristem by assuming either a uniform or an exponential cell age distribution. Statistical comparison of theoretical distributions with the experimental one rules out a uniform cell age distribution and strongly favours an exponential age distribution similar to that found in bacteria.

Cell Division↗

Prevalence of dominant mutations in Spain: effect of changes in maternal age distribution.

We studied the birth prevalence of autosomal dominant mutations in Spain and estimated how a decrease in maternal age distribution may lead to reduction in dominant mutations. The data were collected by the Estudio Colaborativo Español de Malformaciones Congénitas from April, 1976, to December, 1985. Among 553,270 liveborn infants monitored during the period, 66 infants with autosomal dominant conditions were identified. These included Apert, Crouzon, Hay-Wells, Treacher-Collins, Robinow, Stickler, Adams-Oliver, and the blepharophimosis syndromes, achondroplasia, cleidocranial dysostosis, and thanatophoric dysplasia. The overall rate of autosomal dominant conditions was 1.2 per 10,000 liveborn infants. Thirteen (20%) had an affected relative, and 52 (79%) had a negative family history. One case was excluded because of insufficient family data. The rate of autosomal dominant mutations was 0.9 per 10,000 liveborn infants, or 47 per 1 million gametes. A reduction in the maternal age distribution of mothers age 35 years and older from the current 10.8% to 4.9%, as in Atlanta, Georgia, would reduce the rate of Down syndrome in Spain by 33% and through a change in parternal age distribution may lead to a reduction in dominant mutations of about 9.6%. This suggests that a public health campaign to reduce older maternal age distribution in Spain may also lead to a reduction in dominant mutations and emphasizes the potential that a direct campaign for fathers to complete their families before age 35 years may have a small, but measurable, effect in the primary prevention of dominant mutations.

Adult↗

[Principle of plotting the age distribution of persons with hereditary diseases at various ages of onset and differential mortality].

A method for ascertaining the mode of current age distributions is suggested for accurate quantitative assessment of some genetic parameters of hereditary diseases, such as age-specific penetrance, frequency of heterozygotes in the general population, fitness. The method is based on estimating the age-specific proportion of affected among the total number of heterozygotes, which seems more reasonable than the common methodology, considering the age-specific proportion of affected among all cases of the disease indicated.

Age Factors↗

An elusive paleodemography? A comparison of two methods for estimating the adult age distribution of deaths at late Classic Copan, Honduras.

Comparison of different adult age estimation methods on the same skeletal sample with unknown ages could forward paleodemographic inference, while researchers sort out various controversies. The original aging method for the auricular surface (Lovejoy et al., 1985a) assigned an age estimation based on several separate characteristics. Researchers have found this original method hard to apply. It is usually forgotten that before assigning an age, there was a seriation, an ordering of all available individuals from youngest to oldest. Thus, age estimation reflected the place of an individual within its sample. A recent article (Buckberry and Chamberlain, 2002) proposed a revised method that scores theses various characteristics into age stages, which can then be used with a Bayesian method to estimate an adult age distribution for the sample. Both methods were applied to the adult auricular surfaces of a Pre-Columbian Maya skeletal population from Copan, Honduras and resulted in age distributions with significant numbers of older adults. However, contrary to the usual paleodemographic distribution, one Bayesian estimation based on uniform prior probabilities yielded a population with 57% of the ages at death over 65, while another based on a high mortality life table still had 12% of the individuals aged over 75 years. The seriation method yielded an age distribution more similar to that known from preindustrial historical situations, without excessive longevity of adults. Paleodemography must still wrestle with its elusive goal of accurate adult age estimation from skeletons, a necessary base for demographic study of past populations.

Age Determination by Skeleton↗

Age distribution of anginose mononucleosis.

The age distribution of anginose infectious mononucleosis in children was analysed retrospectively for the years 1966-85. During that period the disease became significantly more common in children of a young age and less common in older children. This shift could not be attributed either to socioeconomic conditions or to the diagnostic methods used.

Adolescent↗

The age distribution of Legg-Perthes disease. An analysis using Sartwell's incubation period model.

The etiology of Legg-Perthes disease of the hip is unknown. One current hypothesis suggests that an environmental factor affects the growth mechanism at a critical prenatal stage. The time interval between the critical exposure and the onset of clinical disease can be regarded as the incubation period, and the distribution of ages at onset of disease will reflect the distribution of incubation periods. Published series of cases were examined for fit to Sartwell's logarithmic normal model of incubation periods. All fit except two. The study results are consistent with a single cause acting at a critical stage of life, i.e., before two years of age. The findings are compatible with either a prenatal or postnatal influence.

Adolescent↗

Comparison of age distribution of umbilical cord erythrocytes in preeclampsia versus uncomplicated pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the age distribution of umbilical cord (fetal) erythrocytes in preeclamptic women. METHODS: Prospective evaluation of density distribution of erythrocytes was performed using the density distribution of cells method. Ten consecutive patients having preeclampsia in the third trimester and ten matched controls were studied. Maternal blood samples were taken during the latent phase of labor. Umbilical cord samples were taken immediately after the umbilical cord was cut. An additional control group that consisted of nonpregnant women (n = 30) was determined from our previously published studies. RESULTS: The erythrocyte population of umbilical cord blood of preeclamptic women has a younger age distribution than the erythrocyte population of umbilical cord blood of women with a normal pregnancy. CONCLUSION: The shift in age distribution of erythrocytes in umbilical cord blood of preeclamptic women could be attributed to a shorter life span of erythrocytes compared with that of uncomplicated pregnancy.

Adult↗

[A mathematical model of age distribution of malignant tumours mortality].

There was a tendency that the mortality of malignant tumours increased with age. In order to explore the law of this tendency, the data of malignant tumours mortality from disease monitoring points in Shandong Province were mathematically analogized, and the mathematical model of age distribution of malignant tumours mortality was established by using the exponential curve, y = 10a + bx. The model was also tested and verified by using national data, to observe the universal significance of the model. The model gave a theoretical account of the law of age distribution of malignant tumours mortality from a population, and provided an initial method to predict malignant tumours mortality. The increment quantity of malignant tumours mortality in various age groups when age increased one year could be calculated by using the differential equation from the exponential curve equation, y = 10a + bx. Further, "an increment multiple constant" of the increment quantity of malignant tumours mortality could be calculated. The constant could be used as an Index for comparison in risk degree and age distribution law of malignant tumours mortality among various age groups and the same age group in different periods, and provided leads for further research of the causes of malignant tumours.

Age Factors↗

Age distribution of right- and left-sided colorectal cancers.

The age distributions in different anatomic areas of the colorectum were compared in 410 patients. The average age for patients with right-sided cancers (71.3 yr) was significantly higher than that for patients with left-sided cancers (67.5 yr). In addition, there was a significantly higher percentage of patients over the age of 70 (mean age of the whole group) in the right colon group as compared with the left colon group. It was concluded that the older age distribution of right-sided cancers might be explained by the delayed effect of an environmental carcinogen in a population with a longer life expectancy.

Adenocarcinoma↗

[Sex and age distribution of patients with macroamylasemia found in the daily isoenzyme analysis].

We studied distributions of sex and age for 102 patients with macroamylasemia found in routine isoenzyme analysis. This study was based on a questionnaire to promote understanding of the clinical significance of macroamylase. More than half of the physicians received our report evaluated the information on macroamylase in the questionnaire. Macroamylasemia found in this study consisted of IgA type immunoglobulin in 92% and mostly had high activities in the serum. The back-ground of these patients with macroamylasemia were 10 cases of hepato-biliary disease, 9 cases of diabetes mellitus, 8 cases of autoimmune disease and so on. The frequency of macroamylasemia in males was double than in females and age distribution was not significant in statistic analysis.

Adolescent↗

Prevalence, age distribution and aetiology of bronchiectasis: a retrospective study on 144 symptomatic patients.

The incidence of bronchiectasis (BCT) has probably decreased in developed countries in recent years, but reliable statistical data on its occurrence are still lacking. The aim of the present study was to retrospectively evaluate the prevalence, age distribution and aetiology of BCT, diagnosed in a selected series of symptomatic patients of a Western country by using bronchography. The authors analysed the main known predisposing and associated conditions (PACs), and the occurrence and age distribution of BCT in 144 consecutive patients who underwent bronchological examination (fibreoptic bronchoscopy and bronchography) in the years 1987-1994 because of recurrent purulent bronchitis and/or haemoptysis. The overall prevalence of BCT was 34% (49/144); its age distribution was: 17.2% (0-10 yrs), 43.7% (11-20 yrs), 38% (21-30 yrs), 37.5% (31-40 yrs), 33.3% (41-50 yrs), 40% (51-60 yrs), and 20% (61-70 yrs). Thirty-one PACs were found in 29/144 patients of the whole study group. The prevalence of BCT was significantly higher in the subgroup of 29 patients with PACs than in the subgroup of 115 patients without PACs (75.9% versus 23.5%; p < 0000001). The aetiology of BCT was mainly unexplained, as it was only possible to detect 24 PACs in 22/49 patients with BCT (44.9%): congenital, genetic and immune disorders (eight), localized airways obstructive diseases (five), pulmonary infections (three), bronchial asthma (two), pulmonary lobar fibrosis (two), ulcerative colitis (two), dermatomiositis (one), and toxin inhalation (one). The authors conclude that bronchiectasis still occurs in a large percentage of symptomatic patients of a developed country in the post-antimicrobial era, especially in the second to sixth decades, as well as in the presence of predisposing and associated conditions; its aetiology remains unknown in more than half of cases.

Adolescent↗

Sharing prosperity across the age distribution: a comparison of the United States and Germany in the 1980s.

Using six waves of data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and the German Socio-Economic Panel we compare the relative economic well-being of Americans and Germans in the 1980s. Economic growth during the 1980s substantially improved the economic well-being of the average person in the both the United States and Germany. But the rewards were disproportionately distributed across age and gender. In both countries, the family incomes of the very old, the very young and women were lower and grew more slowly than did the income of other families. Social security policy in Germany was more successful than American policy in providing income security in old age. But, despite massive social security programs in both countries, older women were still the most vulnerable members of society, in part because of a substantial drop in the level of social insurance they received following the death of their spouse.

Adolescent↗

Comparison of age distribution patterns for different histopathologic types of breast carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Historically, female breast carcinoma has been viewed as an etiologically homogeneous disease associated with rapidly increasing incidence rates until age 50 years, followed by a slower rate of increase among older women. More recent studies, however, have shown distinct age incidence patterns for female breast cancer when stratified by estrogen receptor (ER) expression and/or histopathologic subtypes, suggesting etiologic heterogeneity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: To determine if different age incidence patterns reflect etiologic heterogeneity (more than one breast cancer type within the general breast carcinoma), we applied "smoothed" age histograms at diagnosis (density plots) and a two-component statistical mixture model to all breast carcinoma cases (n = 270,124) in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program of the National Cancer Institute. These overall patterns were then reevaluated according to histopathologic type, race, and ER expression. RESULTS: A bimodal age distribution at diagnosis provided a better fit to the data than a single density for all breast carcinoma populations, except for medullary carcinoma. Medullary carcinomas showed a single age distribution at diagnosis irrespective of race and/or ER expression. CONCLUSIONS: Distinct age-specific incidence patterns reflected bimodal breast cancer populations for breast carcinoma overall as well as for histopathologic subtypes, race, and ER expression. The one exception was medullary carcinoma. Of note, medullary carcinomas are rare tumors, which are associated with germ-line mutations in the BRCA1 gene. These descriptive and model-based results support emerging molecular data, suggesting two main types of breast carcinoma in the overall breast cancer population.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Differences in temporomandibular joint pain and age distribution between marrow edema and osteonecrosis in the mandibular condyle.

This study investigated the differences of age distribution and temporomandibular joint (TMJ) pain between marrow edema and osteonecrosis in the mandibular condyle. Subjects consisted of 35 TMJs in 35 patients with abnormal bone marrow on MR images who were selected from a consecutive series of 527 patients with TMJ disorders. Proton density and T2-weighted MR images taken in the oblique sagittal and coronal planes were used to diagnose condylar marrow abnormalities and divide them into either edema or osteonecrosis. The differences in TMJ pain and age distribution for these two abnormalities were assessed with the one-sided Wilcoxon rank sum test with 0.05 alpha level. The degree of pain was higher in joints with marrow edema than in joints with osteonecrosis (p = 0.033). The mean age was higher in joints with osteonecrosis (p < 0.001). Our results suggest that there is more severe pain in TMJs with marrow edema of the mandibular condyle than in those with osteonecrosis. Since the patients with marrow edema have lower age, it also appears that marrow edema may be a precursor condition for osteonecrosis of the TMJ.

Adolescent↗