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PubMed1992

Retirement decisions in a discrete choice model and implications for the government budget: the case of Belgium.

"The purpose of this paper was to analyse the determinants of the retirement decision of the elderly in Belgium, and, by making some simulations, to find out what would be the financial implications for the government budget of changes in the social security system.... The largest effect on labor supply is caused by changes in pensionable age. Giving a lump-sum pension to part-time workers seems an interesting policy to withdraw individuals from the labor market at a relatively low cost. Introducing flexible retirement also is beneficial for the government budget and has, especially for women, a relatively large positive effect on labor supply."

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Total uncertainty budget calculation for the determination of mercury in incineration ash (BCR 176R) by atomic fluorescence spectrometry.

The mercury mass fraction has been determined by atomic fluorescence spectrometry (AFS) in the framework of the project "Certification of a reference material (trace elements in fly ash) in replacement of BCR CRM 176". Calculation of the uncertainty budget, as described in this manuscript, emphasizes a practical and realistic approach to estimation of uncertainty components on the basis of statistical assumptions. GUM Workbench software was used, and resulted in a mercury mass fraction of 1.58+/-0.11 mg kg(-1) (with coverage factor k=2.2, 95% probability) related to dry mass, submitted in the certification exercise. The calculated total uncertainty budget applies to analogous samples analyzed by this procedure.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2003

An uncertainty budget for trace analysis by isotope-dilution ICP-MS with proper consideration of correlation.

Isotope-dilution mass spectrometry (IDMS) is considered to be a method without significant correction factors. It is also believed that this method is well understood. But unfortunately a large number of different uncertainty budgets have been published that consider different correction factors. These differences lead to conflicting combined uncertainties especially in trace analysis. It is described how the known correction factors must be considered in the uncertainty budget of values determined by IDMS combined with ICP-MS (ICP-IDMS). The corrections applied are dead time, background, interference, mass discrimination, blank correction and air buoyancy.IDMS measurements consist always of a series of isotope abundance ratio measurements and can be done according to different measurement protocols. Because the measurement protocols of IDMS are often rather sophisticated, correlations of influence quantities are difficult to identify. Therefore the measurement protocol has to be carefully considered in the specification of the measurand and a strategy is presented to properly account for these correlations. This will be exemplified for the estimation of mass fractions of platinum group elements (PGEs) and Re in the geological reference material UB-N (from CRPG-CNRS, Nancy in France) with ICP-IDMS. The PGEs with more than one isotope and the element Re are measured with on-line cation-exchange chromatography coupled to a quadrupole ICP-MS. All contents are below 10 microg kg(-1). Only osmium is separated from the matrix by direct sparging of OsO(4) into the plasma. This leads to transient signals for all PGEs and Re. It is possible to estimate the combined uncertainties and keep them favourably small despite the low contents, the transient signals and the sophisticated correction model.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1998

Monitoring and mass budget for mercury in the everglades nutrient removal project

The Everglades Nutrient Removal Project (ENRP) is a 1,545-ha prototype wetland constructed to test a larger system of stormwater-treatment areas that is being used to remove agricultural nutrients and help restore the remnant Everglades. Concerns that the ENRP may lead to mercury bioaccumulation as observed in other newly created reservoirs resulted in an effort to construct a mercury mass budget and measure bioaccumulation in aquatic organisms. For the first 2 years of operation, total mercury (THg) and methylmercury (MeHg) concentrations in water decreased significantly a short distance into the ENRP, probably through particle settling. During both years, THg concentrations in largemouth bass were about 0.1 &mgr;g/g throughout the ENRP while the adjacent Water Conservation Area bass were at or above the state health advisory level of 0.5 &mgr;g/g. THg levels in mosquitofish were lower than levels found in bass, and mosquitofish mercury concentrations in the interior of the ENRP were significantly lower than the inflow and outflow sites. The major THg pool was the sediment while less than 1% the total mass was stored in vegetation, water, and fish. The major MeHg pool also was the sediment but vegetation, water, and fish were significant fractions. Mass budget estimates showed the inflow pump and rainfall to be the major sources of THg, while the outflow pump was the major output. The inflow pump was the major source of MeHg while the outflow pump was the major output. Evasion of elemental mercury estimated by the stagnant-film model indicated a minor loss, but field measurements over cattails suggested that evasion may be the major pathway. When all inputs and outputs were considered, the ENRP removed about 70% of the THg and MeHg masses in the first 2 years of operation.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2004

Effects of body size on the diurnal activity budgets of African browsing ruminants.

We compared the diurnal activity budgets of four syntopic species of African browsing ruminant that differ widely in body size. These were concurrently studied through all phases of the seasonal cycle, in the same area, using the same methods. We tested five predictions from the literature on how body size is expected to influence the behaviour of tropical ungulates: the smallest members of the browsing ruminant guild exhibit (1) the lowest allocation of diurnal time to activity; (2) the greatest hour-to-hour variation in activity and resting time; (3) the greatest reduction in activity time during the hottest days; (4) the least change between wet and the dry seasons in the ratio of feeding: ruminating time; and (5) the greatest time budget allocation to vigilance. Prediction 1 was supported in that the smaller species spent less time being active during the day. Prediction 2 was also supported in that the smaller species were more variable in their relative allocations of time to activity and resting through successive hours of the day. Contrary to Prediction 3, however, the greatest reduction in activity with increasing temperature was found for the largest guild member. The smaller species can achieve their daily food intake requirements by feeding at night and in the cool hours of the day, while the larger species have to feed during all hours of the day and are thus more susceptible to thermoregulatory constraints on foraging. Prediction 4 was partially upheld in that the largest species (giraffe) displayed the widest variation in feeding: ruminating time through the seasonal cycle. Prediction 5 was not supported, indicating that multiple factors interact with body size in determining vigilance behaviour.

Animals↗
PubMed2004

Masting by Betula-species; applying the resource budget model to north European data sets.

Masting, the intermittent production of large crops of flowers by a plant population, is a common feature among trees in boreal and temperate forests. The pollen of many broadleaved trees causes allergic diseases, which are major causes of increasing health-care costs in industrialised countries. As the prevalence and severity of allergic diseases are connected with the concentrations of airborne pollen, an universal model predicting the intensity of the coming flowering would be a valuable tool for pollen information services, and ultimately for allergic people and allergologists. We investigated whether a resource budget model created in Japan explains the fluctuations in the annual pollen sums of Betula-species in north European data sets (10-12 years at 4 sites, 20 years at 10 sites). Using the shorter data sets, the model explained 76-92% of the annual fluctuations at five study sites. Using the 20-year data set, the percentage for southern Finland was much lower, only 48%, compared with the 85% of the 12-year data set. The annual pollen sums have been higher during the 1990s than in the 1980s, which may explain the ineffectiveness of the model, while applied to the 20-year data set. Our results support the resource budget model: the masting of birch species is regulated by weather factors together with the system of resource allocation among years. The model can serve pollen information service. However, only the 10 most recent years should be used to avoid interference from trends in changing vegetation and/or climate.

Betula↗
PubMed1996

An energy budget model for the biodegradation and cometabolism of organic substances.

Expression of bacterial cellular processes (maintenance, heat loss, growth, cometabolism and substrate degradation) into energy units yielded surprisingly realistic figures on the bacterial energy balance in spite of the severe approximations and assumptions that had to be made. For studies without cometabolism, 47-83% of the calculated amount of available energy was consumed by growth; for maintenance + heat loss this percentage was 20-35%. When involved, cometabolism consumed 7-13% of the total energy budget. Overall, 67-118% of the calculated amount of energy generated was spent on these energy-consuming processes. This shows that the model is internally consistent. Relationships between growth and cometabolism may offer predictions of persistence of cometabolizable chemicals under different conditions. The energy budget model as presented provides a starting point for the development of such relationships. In addition, the method is used to explain threshold concentrations, below which normally degradable compounds are not degraded.

Bacteria↗
PubMed1992

Comparison and significance of annual hydrochemical budgets in three small granitic catchments with contrasting vegetation (Mont-Lozere, France).

Chemical budgets are presented for three small granitic catchments in Southeastern France, with contrasting vegetation type: beech coppice; spruce forest; and grassland. The results show a small net loss of cations, and a large accumulation of sulphur in the soil, which acts as an additional proton sink. Significantly higher weathering rates are observed for the conifer catchment. Clearfelling of the spruce forest, late in the monitoring programme, increased net cation and nitrate losses. The importance of dry atmospheric deposition in the input-output budget, particularly for forests, is highlighted.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1989

The impact of prospectively set hospital budgets on psychiatric admissions.

This article examines the impact of prospectively set hospital budgets on rates of admission of psychiatric patients in New York state, U.S.A. The analysis takes advantage of a natural experiment which took place in the early 1980s, whereby a geographic region adopted a prospective hospital budget reimbursement scheme that differed from the prospective per diem reimbursement scheme used in the rest of the state. The results indicate a strong decrease in psychiatric admissions attributable to the experimental payment method.

Admitting Department, Hospital↗
PubMed2005

Blood-sucking bugs as a gentle method for blood-collection in water budget studies using doubly labelled water.

During doubly-labelled water (DLW) experiments, blood collection by venous puncture may traumatize animals and consequently affect the animals' behaviour and energy budget. Recent studies have shown that blood-sucking bugs (Triatominae; Heteroptera) can be used instead of conventional needles to obtain blood from animals. In this paper, we validate the bug method in captive nectar-feeding bats, Glossophaga soricina, for water budget analysis by comparing the daily water flux estimated with the DLW method with values measured by an energy balance method. As the mean daily water flux of the DLW method was not significantly deviating from the expected value, blood-sucking bugs may substitute more invasive methods of blood collection in DLW experiments. Based on the DLW estimates, daily energy and water intake rates were calculated and compared to values measured with the energy balance method. The DLW method and the energy balance method yielded on average similar results regarding the daily energy intake (DLW method: 48.8+/-14.2 kJ d(-1) versus energy balance method: 48.1+/-9.9 kJ d(-1)) and daily water intake (DLW method: 13.7+/-2.4 mL d(-1) versus energy balance method: 14.7+/-3.0 mL d(-1)). Based on the calculated water and sugar intake per day, we estimated the sugar concentration of ingested nectar to equal on average 16.2+/-2.4% (mass/mass), which fell close to the measured sugar concentration of 17% (mass/mass) bats fed on during the experiment. We conclude that it is possible to extrapolate mean daily energy and water intake for animal groups, populations and species based on DLW estimates, but due to the large variance of results (low accuracy), it seems inadequate to calculate values for single individuals.

Animals↗
PubMed2005

Effects of dietary soybean protein levels on energy budget of the southern catfish, Silurus meridionalis.

Energy budgets were calculated for the southern catfish, Silurus meridionalis, fed diets replacing 0%, 13%, 26%, 39%, 52% and 65% fish meal protein with soybean meal (SBM) protein with or without methionine supplementation to apparent satiation at 27.5 degrees C. With increasing dietary soybean protein levels (SPL), the feed energy lost in feces, excretion and metabolism increased, while that available for growth decreased (P<0.05). When 0.12% or 0.26% methionine at 39% SPL was added to reach that in body carcass or the control group (0% SPL), no significant differences were found in each component of energy budgets. When 0.21% or 0.33% methionine at 52% SPL was added to reach the content of methionine in body carcass or the control group, energy spent on growth increased, but that on excretion and metabolism decreased (P<0.05). These results suggested that the differences in growth rate among the southern catfish fed the diets with different SPL were due to decreasing absorption rate, increasing excretion and metabolism with increasing dietary SPL. The most important factor limiting the use of soybean protein was the imbalance of essential amino acids, which resulted in more energy spent on metabolism and excretion, less energy on growth. Supplementation of methionine produced a relatively better amino acid profile and subsequently improved the utilization of soybean protein at high SPL, which resulted in less energy used for metabolism or lost in excretion and more energy available for growth.

Absorption↗
PubMed2006

The cost-effectiveness and budget impact of intravenous versus oral proton pump inhibitors in peptic ulcer hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The most cost-effective route of administering proton pump inhibitor (PPI) therapy in peptic ulcer hemorrhage remains uncertain. Oral (PO) PPI therapy may be less effective than intravenous (IV) PPI therapy, but is less expensive and does not mandate a 72-hour posthemostasis hospital stay to complete a full therapeutic course. Because there are currently no published head-to-head clinical trials comparing IV vs PO PPIs, we used decision analysis with budget impact modeling to measure the clinical and economic outcomes of these competing modes of administration. METHODS: We compared 3 postendoscopic strategies for high-risk peptic ulcer hemorrhage: (1) PO PPI therapy, (2) IV PPI therapy, and (3) IV histamine(2) receptor antagonist therapy. The primary outcomes were cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained, and per-member per-month cost in a hypothetical managed care organization with 1,000,000 covered lives. RESULTS: Compared with the PPI strategies, the histamine(2) receptor antagonist strategy was more expensive and less effective. Of the 2 PPI strategies, using IV instead of PO PPI cost an incremental 708,735 US dollars per year to gain 1 additional quality-adjusted life-year. Substituting IV in lieu of PO PPI cost each member 2.86 US dollars per month to subsidize. The IV PPI strategy became dominant when the rebleed rate with PO PPIs exceeded 24% (base case = 13%), and when the hospital stay on IV PPIs decreased to less than 72 hours. CONCLUSIONS: The higher effectiveness of IV PPI therapy may not offset its increased costs vs PO PPI therapy in ulcer hemorrhage. The managed care budget impact of IV PPIs exceeds most benchmarks.

Administration, Oral↗
PubMed2006

Analysis of carbon monoxide budget in North China.

A global chemical transport model (MOZART-2; model of ozone and related tracers, version 2) was used to assess physical and chemical processes that control the budget of tropospheric carbon monoxide (CO) in North China. Satellite observations of CO from the measurements of pollution in the troposphere (MOPITT) instrument are combined with model results for the analysis. The comparison between the model simulations and the satellite observations of total column CO (TCO) shows that the model can reproduce the spatial and temporal distributions. However, the model results underestimate TCO by 23% in North China. This underestimation of TCO may be caused by the uncertainties of emissions. The tropospheric CO budget analysis suggests that in North China, surface emission is the largest source of tropospheric CO. The main sinks of tropospheric CO in this region are chemical reaction and stratosphere_and_troposphere exchange. The analysis also shows that most of inflow CO to Pacific regions comes from the upwind regions of North China. This transport of CO is significant during Winter and Spring time.

Carbon Monoxide↗
PubMed2004

Water and sediment quality, partial mass budget and effluent N loading in coastal brackishwater shrimp farms in Bangladesh.

The present study aimed to quantify the water and sediment quality and growth and production parameters and to establish nutrient budgets for an average of five selected semi-intensive shrimp ponds in Bangladesh over a growing cycle. Physico-chemical parameters of water and sediments were measured and analyzed by standard methods. Gross yield (kg ha-1) of shrimp was calculated from the stocking and harvesting data. Finally, a partial nutrient mass budget for N and P was calculated. Most of the parameters of water and sediments correlated significantly with each other suggesting a high degree of interactions between different parameters in the system. Significantly higher concentrations of all species of nitrogenous nutrients were recorded in the effluent waters than that entering into the ponds. Therefore, a high loading and net output of nitrogenous nutrients in effluent waters was documented. The study also indicated a net discharge of solids and minerals through effluent loading. However, significantly lower concentrations of phosphorus in the effluent water indicated a net retention and trapping of phosphatic nutrients in the environment. Total production ranged between 532.0 and 697.0 kg ha-1 cycle-1 and P. monodon production between 484.0 and 562.0 kg ha-1 cycle-1. Ponds gained nitrogen primarily from intake water (55%) and fertilizers (29%), and nitrogen was lost primarily from water exchange (78%) and harvested shrimp (12%). Phosphorus gain occurred mostly from intake water (52%) and fertilizers (25%), and phosphorus was lost primarily from water exchange (52%) and harvested shrimp (3.3%). About 10% of input nitrogen and 44% of phosphorus were not accounted for in measured losses, and presumably were fixed or metabolized in the system. On average, 78 g N was discharged to and 25 g P was removed from the surrounding water by the system for each kilogram of shrimp produced. Mean conversion of feed nitrogen and phosphorus to shrimp flesh averaged 74% and 40%, respectively. It was concluded that semi-intensive systems serve as net supplier of N to and net remover of P from the surrounding water.

Animals↗
PubMed2004

Estimating nutrient budgets in tropical estuaries subject to episodic flows.

Most Australian estuaries are subject to riverine discharge regimes that are highly episodic. This characteristic poses difficulties for estimating nutrient budgets of such systems based on sampling regimes that do not resolve the discharge variation and the changes in nutrient distributions that they cause. This paper presents a method for calculating nutrient budgets in estuaries having episodic hydrology. The method utilises a simple hydrodynamic transport model that is calibrated using measured salinities and which is used to describe the transport properties of the estuary as they respond to river discharge. Using this transport model, the temporal variation in nutrient concentrations within the estuary can be resolved between sampling surveys even when the discharge events are of short duration. An inverse method is then applied to calculate internal fluxes of nutrients from measurements obtained on successive sampling surveys. The approach is demonstrated through an application to the Fitzroy Estuary in Queensland, Australia.

Ecosystem↗
PubMed2004

Evaluating river water quality through land use analysis and N budget approaches in livestock farming areas.

This study was carried out to evaluate the quality of river water by analysis of land use in drainage basins and by estimating the N budgets. The drainage basins of Shibetsu River (Shibetsu area) and Bekkanbeushi River (Akkeshi area) in eastern Hokkaido, Japan were selected for a case study, and the evaluation of water quality was up-scaled to the regional level in Hokkaido by using the Arcview/GIS and statistical information. Water sampling was carried out in August 2001 and May 2002 in the Shibetsu and Akkeshi areas, respectively. The proportions of major land uses in drainage basins such as upland field, forest, urban area, wetland and wasteland for each sampling site were estimated by using topographic maps scaled at 1:25,000. The linear regression results showed that the correlation between NO3-N concentration and the proportion of upland in the drainage basins was highly and positively significant for both the Shibetsu area (r = 0.84, n = 57) and the Akkeshi area (r = 0.71, n = 73) at < 0.001 significance level. The regression coefficients or impact factors of river water quality were 0.015 and 0.0052 for the Shibetsu and Akkeshi areas, respectively. A comparison of these results with that of the previous study results in Hokkaido indicated that the impact factors were highest for intensive livestock farming areas (0.040), medium for mixed agriculture and livestock farming (0.020-0.030), and the lowest for grassland-based dairy cattle and horse farming areas (0.0052-0.015). The results of a simple regression analysis showed that the impact factors had a significant positive correlation with the cropland surplus N (r = 0.93, P < 0.01), chemical fertilizer N (r = 0.82, P < 0.05), and manure fertilizer N (r = 0.76, P < 0.05), which were estimated by using the N budget approach. Using the best-correlated regression model, impact factors for all cities, towns and villages of the Hokkaido region were estimated. The NO3-N concentrations for all major rivers in Hokkaido were predicted by multiplying the estimated impact factors by the proportion of uplands. The regression analysis indicated that the predicted NO3-N concentrations were significantly correlated (r = 0.62, P < 0.001, n = 203) with the measured NO3-N concentrations, reported previously. It can be concluded that estimating the proportions of upland fields in drainage basins, and calculating cropland surplus N enables us to predict river water quality with respect to NO3-N concentration.

Animals↗
PubMed2006

Effect of different land use on soil erosion in the pre-alpine fringe (North-East Italy): Ion budget and sediment yield.

Data concerning ion budget from rainfall, runoff and soil loss measurements from two experimental plots located in North-East Italy, under different land cover (beech forest and vineyard, respectively), are reported. The chemical composition of rainfall, soil solution and runoff was determined to study the solute cycle within the soil, and the relationships between water, soil and vegetation. The forest ecosystem is more prone to acidification than the agricultural one; the elemental concentration of runoff water is considerably lower than that of soil solution. Comparing the ion input (rainfall) and output (runoff) at the two sites, it was possible to estimate the ion budget in the two soil-vegetation systems. The runoff amount and the ion balance are related to rainfall volumes and composition; the measured runoff under vineyard is 59% in comparison to the one under beech. The soil loss at the two experimental sites (170 kg/ha and 132 kg/ha, respectively) is quite limited. The measured sediment yield of the two catchments (0.24-0.19 t/ha/year, respectively) is consistent with data reported for native forests of western Europe. Comparing rainfall and soil loss at the two sites proved that maintenance of some form of land cover is advisable if runoff and erosion are to be minimized. In the European context, where the most important consequences of erosion are sedimentation downstream and loss of productivity, this type of data will yield valuable information for the understanding of such processes occurring at catchment scale, and will help policy-makers develop appropriate programs for the territory safeguard.

Agriculture↗
PubMed2002

The phosphorus budget of the Thame catchment, Oxfordshire: 2. Modelling.

The phosphorus budget of the River Thame was modelled at a daily time scale, using estimates of diffuse and point source contributions of discharge. The model simulated suspended sediment (SS), soluble unreactive phosphorus (SUP), soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) and particulate phosphorus (PP) concentrations within the main river and major tributaries. Diffuse source estimates of phosphorus loads were based on characteristic losses from identified main landscape classes, with hydrology described by a simple conceptual storage model. In-stream flow was modelled using a kinematic wave equation. Transfer of suspended sediment and phosphorus components was approximated by advection. In-stream sources and sinks included uptake and release of soluble reactive phosphorus by bed sediment, instant equilibration between SRP and the PP concentration on suspended sediment, and flow-related entrainment and deposition of suspended sediment. Simulations at sites within the catchment were compared with measurements made in 1998-1999. Results showed the P budget is dominated by mixing of diffuse and point source water, but some within-river processes have been shown to be capable of significantly influencing SRP concentrations. The development of a sediment entrainment and deposition component of the model has proved particularly valuable in emulating the hysteretic relationship between discharge and suspended sediment concentration in the river. It also provides a measure of available bed sediment.

England↗