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Hypoxaemia and mortality in children with lower respiratory infection in low-income and middle-income countries: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hypoxaemic lower respiratory infections (LRIs) are a leading cause of childhood mortality, with the highest burden in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). Hypoxaemia-low peripheral capillary oxyhaemoglobin saturation (SpO2)-is a marker of severity, and WHO recommends hospitalisation and oxygen administration for patients with SpO2 <90%. We aimed to update estimates from a 2015 systematic review and meta-analysis examining the association between hypoxaemia and mortality among children with LRIs in LMICs by incorporating studies published over the subsequent decade and evaluating mortality risk across multiple SpO2 thresholds. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review with meta-analysis by searching PubMed, Embase, LILACS, Global Index Medicus, Web of Science, and Scopus for peer-reviewed studies published between Jan 1, 2015, and June 18, 2025, with combined terms related to pneumonia, children, mortality, and LMICs. We also included selected earlier studies through citation checking. Eligible studies reported associations between hypoxaemia and mortality in children younger than 5 years with LRIs in LMICs. We excluded case reports and case series with fewer than five deaths, studies focused exclusively on the neonatal period, and those limited to children with specific comorbidities or to postoperative patients, for consistency with the original review. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed quality. Eligible studies were combined with those from the original review and analysed using random-effects models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) by hypoxaemia threshold subgroup. The protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023433946). FINDINGS: We identified 7734 records; 26 new studies met inclusion criteria and were combined with 18 from the original review. The 44 studies were published between 1993 and 2024 and were primarily from Africa (25 [57%] of 44) or Asia (19 [43%]); some studies spanned multiple locations. Data from 33 studies including 155&#x2009;633 participants were included in the primary meta-analysis. Hypoxaemia of any threshold was associated with higher odds of LRI mortality (OR 4&#xb7;36 [95% CI 3&#xb7;52-5&#xb7;39]) compared with no hypoxaemia. For SpO2 <90% versus 90-100%, OR for death was 4&#xb7;75 (95% CI 3&#xb7;42-6&#xb7;58). For SpO2 90-94% versus 95-100%, mortality risk was more than twice as high (OR 2&#xb7;27 [95% CI 1&#xb7;22-4&#xb7;25]). Heterogeneity was substantial (I2 64-85% across analyses), and eight (24%) of 33 studies in the primary meta-analysis had a high overall risk of bias; however, a sensitivity analysis restricted to studies with low or moderate risk of bias yielded similar results. INTERPRETATION: SpO2 <90% strongly predicts mortality in children with LRIs in LMICs. Children with SpO2 90-94% also have elevated risk, suggesting that paediatric LRI and pneumonia treatment algorithms should consider management at this hypoxaemia threshold. FUNDING: None.

Journal Article

Systemic biomarkers of treatment response to methotrexate in people with painful knee osteoarthritis: A biological substudy of the PROMOTE randomised controlled clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: Stratification of therapeutic responses may help identify efficacious therapies for osteoarthritis (OA). In the PROMOTE randomised trial, participants with elevated baseline high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) showed greater pain reduction after methotrexate treatment. We set out to interrogate a broader panel of serum/plasma inflammatory response markers relevant to methotrexate actions as potential biomarkers of therapeutic effect. Our objectives were to: (i) characterize changes in these systemic markers during methotrexate treatment; determine whether (ii) baseline levels or (iii) changes in any marker during treatment were associated with treatment response; and (iv) compare these findings with the more established clinical inflammatory marker, hs-CRP. DESIGN: Plasma/serum samples from participants in PROMOTE's biological substudy were analysed for 35 inflammatory markers at baseline (pre-treatment) and at 6-months (post-treatment), by MesoScale V-plex multiplex assay. Those with paired biological and clinical data at both baseline and 6-months were included in the substudy analysis set. Relationships between markers and overall data structure were assessed by Pearson correlation and Principal Component analysis. Associations between markers (baseline levels or change over time) and change in average knee pain severity in past week (numerical rating scale, NRS) were evaluated by univariable linear regression, adjusting for baseline age, sex, and body mass index. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression with bootstrap resampling enabled marker selection. Benjamini-Hochberg correction adjusted for multiple testing (Padj). RESULTS: 87 participants with paired blood marker and clinical data were eligible for substudy analysis. 18/35 markers were quantifiable and analysed. Systemic IL-8 and TNF-&#x3b1; levels decreased (Padj=0.015, 0.048 respectively) while IL-15 increased (Padj=0.033) with methotrexate treatment over 6-months. Analysing within this active treatment randomised arm, higher baseline IFN-&#x3b3; was associated with greater reduction in NRS pain change (0.66 [0.01, 1.31], P=0.047), as was decreasing TNF-&#x3b1; over 6-months (2.25 [0.00, 4.5], P=0.049). LASSO identified higher IFN-&#x3b3;, lower plasma IL-15 and IL-16, and younger age as the most important baseline predictors of pain improvement. hs-CRP was highly selected by LASSO for treatment response in both arms. In a secondary univariate treatment arm-by-biomarker interaction analysis, of the 19 markers, only hs-CRP showed consistent effects in adjusted models (at baseline, coeffic. 2.34 [0.53, 4.15], P=0.001; change over 6-months, (0.36 [0.06, 0.66], P=0.018). CONCLUSIONS: Blood measurement of IFN-&#x3b3;, TNF-&#x3b1;, IL-15 and IL-16 as well as hs-CRP could act as potential markers to stratify the treatment response by average knee pain to methotrexate in knee osteoarthritis.

Humans

Risk of mortality and complications in people with depressive disorder and co-occurring diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: People with depressive disorder have increased premature mortality and higher rates of diabetes mellitus than general population. Evidence shows that diabetes may further increase their risk of premature death from diabetes-related complications, especially cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Earlier studies examining depression-associated outcomes in diabetes patients have shown mixed results and were hindered by important limitations, especially the use of self-reported questionnaires to ascertain depression, causing misclassification bias by identifying subclinical symptoms or diabetes distress. Associations of depression with specific diabetes complications have not been systematically evaluated. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the risk of mortality and complications among patients with depression and co-occurring diabetes (depression-diabetes group) relative to patients with diabetes-only (diabetes-only group), on their all-cause mortality rates, and if applicable cause-specific mortality rates, and occurrence of specific diabetes complications. METHODS: We systematically reviewed and quantitatively synthesized diabetes-related outcomes in patients with depression by searching Embase, MEDLINE, PsycInfo and Web-of-Science from inception to 20&#xa0;December 2024, and included studies that examined mortality and complication outcomes in depression-diabetes group relative to diabetes-only group. Results were synthesized by random-effects meta-analytic models, with stratified-analyses (subgroup analyses and meta-regression) by study-level characteristics, including age, gender, study period, geographic region, follow-up duration and nature of diabetes sample. The study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024595145). RESULTS: Twenty-six studies were identified from nine geographic regions. Regarding mortality risk, depression-diabetes group exhibited increased risks of all-cause mortality (RR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.30 [95% CI: 1.21-1.39]) and CVD-specific mortality (1.15 [1.02-1.29]) relative to diabetes-only group. Regarding complication risk, depression-diabetes group showed increased risk of complications (1.28 [1.18-1.40]) relative to diabetes-only group, especially in incident-diabetes sample signifying advanced disease stage upon presentation, with stratified-analyses showing higher risk of metabolic complications (1.63 [1.33-1.99]) and cardiovascular complications (1.20 [1.11-1.29]), and lower likelihood of retinopathy (0.84 [0.76-0.94]), albeit comparable rates of cerebrovascular complications (1.36 [0.99-1.87]), nephropathy (1.09 [0.93-1.27]) and peripheral-vascular complications (0.97 [0.79-1.18]). Both overall mortality and complication risks were present in various regions and persisted over time. Heterogeneities were noted and could not be entirely explained by stratified analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated that patients with depression and co-occurring diabetes were associated with elevated overall mortality risk and complication risk (particularly metabolic and cardiovascular-complications) than non-depressed counterparts, suggesting an overall poorer glycemic control that might eventually drive their earlier death. Comprehensive and multipronged interventions are needed for individualized risk estimation of diabetes-related outcomes, with consequent early interventions to minimize the avoidable physical morbidity and premature mortality in this vulnerable population.

Humans

Safety, tolerability, and efficacy of RIPK1 inhibitor, SAR443820, in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (HIMALAYA): a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: RIPK1, a protein regulating inflammatory signalling and cell death, is implicated in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) pathophysiology. SAR443820 is a selective, oral, CNS-penetrant, reversible RIPK1 inhibitor. We aimed to evaluate the safety, tolerability, and efficacy of SAR443820 in participants with ALS. METHODS: This multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial was conducted at 63 clinical sites in 13 countries (Belgium, Canada, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden, the UK, and the USA). Adults (aged 18-80 years) with a diagnosis of possible ALS, clinically probable ALS, clinically probable laboratory-supported ALS, or clinically definite ALS, in accordance with the revised El Escorial World Federation of Neurology criteria, were randomly assigned (2:1) by use of a stratified block design (blocks of three) to receive either 20 mg SAR443820 orally twice per day or matching placebo in the 24-week double-blind period. Randomisation was done centrally using interactive response technology and stratified by geographical region of trial site, region of ALS onset, use of riluzole, use of edaravone, and use of the combination of sodium phenylbutyrate and taurursodiol. Participants, care providers, investigators, and outcomes assessors were masked to trial intervention. The primary outcome was a change in ALS Functional Rating Scale Revised (ALSFRS-R) total score from baseline to week 24 and was calculated for all participants who had an ALSFRS-R total score available at baseline and at week 24. Safety analyses included all randomly assigned participants receiving one dose or more of trial intervention. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05237284) and was terminated early. FINDINGS: Between April 13, 2022, and July 17, 2023, 397 participants were screened and 305 randomly assigned to SAR443820 (n=203) or placebo (n=102); six were excluded from the primary analysis due to missing baseline ALSFRS-R values. Mean age was 56&#xb7;9 years (SD 11&#xb7;5); 183 (60%) participants were male and 122 (40%) were female. Least squares mean change in ALSFRS-R from baseline to week 24 was -6&#xb7;73 (95% CI -7&#xb7;48 to -5&#xb7;98) for SAR443820 group (n=169) and -6&#xb7;32 (-7&#xb7;36 to -5&#xb7;27) for placebo group (n=87). There was no statistically significant difference between the study groups (least squares mean difference -0&#xb7;41 [95% CI -1&#xb7;71 to 0&#xb7;88]). Participants in the SAR443820 group had higher incidence of adverse events (171 [85%] of 202 vs placebo 80 [78%] of 102) and treatment discontinuations (28 [14%] of 202 vs placebo five [5%] of 102), with elevated hepatic enzymes being the most common cause. Nine deaths occurred in the double-blind period (seven [3%] of 202 in the SAR443820 group and two [2%] of 102 in the placebo group); none was attributed to SAR443820. INTERPRETATION: SAR443820 did not show clinical benefit and was associated with higher hepatic enzyme increase, indicating that further clinical development of SAR443820 in ALS is not warranted. FUNDING: Sanofi.

Humans

Long-term safety of oral orforglipron in Japanese participants with type 2 diabetes (ACHIEVE-J): a multicentre, randomised, open-label, parallel-group phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Orforglipron, an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, requires further evaluation in east Asian populations with type 2 diabetes, given this group's distinct pathophysiological characteristics. This study aimed to assess orforglipron as add-on treatment to diet and exercise alone or to oral antihyperglycaemic medications in Japanese participants with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: This multicentre, randomised, open-label phase 3 study was conducted in 40 medical research centres and hospitals in Japan. Adults with type 2 diabetes and elevated glucose levels managing their condition with diet and exercise alone or with one or two oral antihyperglycaemic medications were assigned (1:1:1) via computer-generated random sequence to receive once-daily oral orforglipron (3 mg, 12 mg, or 36 mg). Randomisation was stratified by background therapy, baseline HbA1c (&#x2264;8&#xb7;5% or >8&#xb7;5%), and metformin use (yes vs no; applied only to &#x3b1;-glucosidase inhibitors, thiazolidinedione, and glinides). Investigators, participants, and site staff were not masked to treatment. The primary endpoint was safety for 52 weeks, assessed in all randomly assigned participants who received at least one dose of orforglipron. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT06010004 (ACHIEVE-J). FINDINGS: Between Sept 28, 2023, and June 5, 2025, 450 participants were screened and 401 were randomly assigned to three groups (3 mg, n=132; 12 mg, n=135; and 36 mg, n=134). 352 (88%) completed study treatment. 339 participants (85%, 95% CI 80&#xb7;7-87&#xb7;8) had at least one treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE), more frequently in the 36-mg group (118 [88%, 95% CI 81&#xb7;5-92&#xb7;5]) than in the 3-mg (107 [81%, 73&#xb7;5-86&#xb7;8]) and 12-mg (114 [84%, 77&#xb7;4-89&#xb7;6]) groups. Most TEAEs were of mild (267 [67%, 61&#xb7;8-71&#xb7;0]) or moderate (63 [16%, 12&#xb7;5-19&#xb7;6]) severity. Discontinuations due to an adverse event occurred in 19 of 134 participants (14%, 95% CI 9&#xb7;3-21&#xb7;1) in the 36-mg group compared with seven of 132 (5%, 2&#xb7;6-10&#xb7;5) in the 3-mg group and 11 of 135 (8%, 4&#xb7;6-14&#xb7;0) in the 12-mg group. Across treatment groups, gastrointestinal symptoms were the most common TEAEs leading to study treatment discontinuation (3 mg: 5 [3&#xb7;8%, 1&#xb7;6-8&#xb7;6]; 12 mg: 8 [5&#xb7;9%, 3&#xb7;0-11&#xb7;3]; and 36 mg: 11 [8&#xb7;2%, 4&#xb7;7-14&#xb7;1]). Level 2 (blood glucose <54 mg/dL) hypoglycaemia events occurred in three of 135 participants in the 12-mg group (2%, 0&#xb7;8-6&#xb7;3) and in three of 134 in the 36-mg group (2%, 0&#xb7;8-6&#xb7;4) groups. No level 3 (severe) hypoglycaemia events occurred. Outcomes were generally similar across background therapies. INTERPRETATION: Treatment with orforglipron in combination with diet and exercise alone or one or two oral antihyperglycaemic medications for 52 weeks demonstrated an acceptable safety profile in Japanese adults with type 2 diabetes. FUNDING: Eli Lilly. TRANSLATION: For the Japanese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Aged

[Exploring the mechanism underlying the efficacy differences of "Tiaojing Cuyun Acupuncture"for premature ovarian failure based on vaginal microbiota structure].

OBJECTIVE: To observe the efficacy of "Tiaojing Cuyun Acupuncture" combined with hormone replacement therapy in the treatment of premature ovarian failure (POF), and to investigate differences in vaginal microbiota among patients with different therapeutic responses, thereby preliminarily exploring the mechanism underlying efficacy differences. METHODS: Ninety-eight patients with POF were randomly divided into an observation group (49 cases, 1 case was eliminated)and a control group (49 cases, 1 case dropped out). The control group was treated with hormone replacement therapy with Femoston, one tablet each time, once daily. On the basis of the control group, the observation group was additionally treated with "Tiaojing Cuyun Acupuncture". Acupoint group 1 included Baihui (GV20), Zhongwan (CV12), Guanyuan (CV4), and bilateral Tianshu (ST25), Zigong (EX-CA1), Dahe (KI12), Zusanli (ST36), Sanyinjiao (SP6), and Taichong (LR3). Acupoint group 2 included Baihui (GV20), bilateral Shenshu (BL23), Ciliao (BL32), and Taixi (KI3). The two acupoint groups were used alternately, beginning with acupoint group 1. Treatment was administered once every other day, three times per week.Both groups were treated for three menstrual cycles. Serum follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH), luteinizing hormone (LH),estradiol (E2), and anti-M &#xfc; llerian hormone (AMH) levels on days 3-5 of the menstrual cycle were measured before and after treatment in the two groups. Self-rating anxiety scale (SAS) scores were assessed before and after treatment, and clinical efficacy was evaluated in the two groups. Five effective patients (G0 subgroup) and five ineffective patients (G1 subgroup)were randomly selected from each group, and their vaginal microbiota structure was analyzed using 16S rRNA sequencing. RESULTS: After treatment, FSH levels in both groups were lower than those before treatment (P<0.05); SAS scores in both groups were lower than those before treatment (P<0.05), and the observation group had lower SAS score than the control group (P<0.05). The total effective rate was 77.1% (37/48) in the observation group, which was higher than 56.3% (27/48) in the control group (P<0.05). Vaginal microbiota analysis showed that at the phylum level, the relative abundance of Firmicutes in the G0 subgroup of the control group was higher than that in the G1 subgroup, while the relative abundances of Bacteroidetes, Actinobacteria and Proteobacteria were lowed in the G0 subgroup. In contrast, the observation group exhibited an opposite trend: the G0 subgroup had lower Firmicutes abundance but higher abundances of Actinobacteria, Bacteroidetes and Proteobacteria compared with the G1 subgroup. At the family and genus levels, Bifidobacterium was enriched in the G0 subgroups of both groups, whereas Lactobacillus predominated in the G1 subgroups. The G0 subgroup of the control group showed higher abundance of Gardnerella, while both Lactobacillus and Gardnerella were concurrently elevated in the G1 subgroup of the observation group. Additionally, in the observation group indicated that Clostridiales and Rikenellaceae were significantly more abundant in the G0 subgroup than in the G1 subgroup (P<0.05). CONCLUSION: The "Tiaojing Cuyun Acupuncture" combined with hormone replacement therapy is superior to hormone replacement therapy alone in improving anxiety. There are differences in vaginal microbiota structure among patients with different theraputic efficacy, suggesting that the vaginal microecological environment may be involved in the mechanism of treatment response in POF.

Humans