Search PubMedSearch

SEARCH · Search PubMed

Results for “Organs at Risk”

Search indexed PubMed citations on genomics, clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health. Explore titles, authors and supplied subject terms, then open the PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

1,936 records · Page 18Linked to original sources

Frequent readmissions after hospitalization for alcohol withdrawal: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol use disorder and alcohol withdrawal syndrome impose substantial clinical and economic burdens, with repeated hospitalizations being common. We aimed to systematically review readmission rates following inpatient detoxification, assess variation across study designs and hospital settings, and identify key risk and protective factors. METHODS: We performed a literature search in Embase and Pubmed on 10/04/2026 focusing on studies assessing in hospital alcohol detoxification. Exclusion criteria included studies on substance use other than alcohol and outpatient or residential treatment. Main outcome was rehospitalization, and meta-analysis was performed to estimate pooled readmission proportions. Secondary outcomes were risk factors and protective factors influencing the rate of rehospitalization. RESULTS: Twenty-five studies were included. The pooled proportion of readmissions following alcohol detoxification was estimated at 17% (95% CI: 14%-21%; 13 studies, n = 287,896) within 1 month, increasing to 44% (95% CI: 36%-52%; 8 studies, n = 2,877) at 1 year. Substantial between-study heterogeneity was observed. Subgroup analyses found no significant differences by hospital setting or time period. Findings for study aim and study design were mixed and based on limited data A small number of studies suggested associations with housing stability, employment, and treatment engagement. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis suggests that approximately one in six patients are readmitted within 1 month and nearly half within 1 year after inpatient alcohol detoxification. However, readmission rates varied considerably across settings and populations. Future research should evaluate targeted interventions to reduce readmissions among high-risk patient groups.

Humans

Oil and gas well development and coccidioidomycosis risk in Kern County, CA, USA: a case-crossover study.

BACKGROUND: Coccidioidomycosis is an emerging fungal disease caused by inhaling Coccidioides spp spores. As spores reside in soil, activities that disturb soil and generate dust can aerosolise and transport the pathogen. The oil and gas industry has been extensively developed in some regions that are endemic for Coccidioides spp and has been associated with dust emissions. Although several adverse health outcomes have previously been associated with oil and gas development, its impact on coccidioidomycosis risk has not been investigated. We aimed to estimate the association between exposure to oil and gas well development (ie, wells in preproduction) and risk of coccidioidomycosis among residents living near new wells. METHODS: In this case-crossover study, we obtained information on reported coccidioidomycosis cases and oil and gas well development between 2007 and 2022 in Kern County, CA, USA. We then compared exposure to preproduction wells within 5 km of each individual's place of residence during both hazard (ie, the 49-139 days before case onset) and control periods using conditional logistic regression. FINDINGS: During the study period, 658 108 (72·4%) of 909 282 of Kern County residents lived within 5 km of at least one preproduction well, and 116 020 (12·8%) lived within 5 km of 23 or more preproduction wells within a single 90-day period. We estimated that the odds of coccidiomycosis incidence were 12·5% (95% CI 5·8-19·6) higher in the 90 days following exposure to at least one preproduction well within 5 km of an individual's place of residence and that the odds of infection increased by 0·7% (0·4-0·9) for each additional preproduction well developed within this distance. INTERPRETATION: These findings support a previously-unrecognised association between the development of oil and gas wells and transmission of coccidioidomycosis, potentially driven by dust generation. Given the prevalence of oil and gas development in the study region, its impact on coccidioidomycosis incidence might be large. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health, National Science Foundation.

Journal Article

Predicting ACL injury risk in athletes: A systematic review of machine learning-based models.

BACKGROUND: Early ACL injury risk identification in athletes is essential. This systematic review examines machine learning (ML) models for predicting ACL injuries, evaluating their methodological quality, performance, and reliability. METHOD: A comprehensive electronic search was conducted across PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and IEEE Xplore databases, supplemented by Google Scholar for grey literature, covering articles published between January 1, 2015, and August 30, 2025. Eligible studies were appraised using the Prediction Model Study Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) for methodological quality and risk of bias, and the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines for quality of evidence. RESULTS: Ten studies were included. PROBAST showed eight studies had moderate risk of bias and two low risk. TRIPOD found only two studies met quality criteria. ML models included logistic regression (n = 5), support vector machines (n = 4), k-nearest neighbor (n = 3), decision trees (n = 3), random forests (n = 5), neural networks (n = 2), linear discriminant analysis (n = 1), and pre-trained CNNs (n = 1). AUC ranged from 0.63 to 0.98. Accuracy (reported in six studies) ranged from 26% to 95%; however, these values should be interpreted with caution due to the absence of confidence intervals, lack of class imbalance handling, and limited external validation across studies. Tree-based ensemble methods such as random forest achieved competitive accuracy (74-86%), while SVM, a non-ensemble classifier, reported accuracy ranging from 71% to 95%; however, the highest values were obtained in studies with notably small sample sizes (n = 12 to n = 39), raising concerns about overfitting and generalizability. CONCLUSION: Current ML algorithms show promise for identifying athletes at high ACL injury risk and detecting relevant risk factors. Although study quality was generally satisfactory, future research should prioritize external validation and model interpretability to support clinical translation.

Humans

Risk factors and management strategies for needle disengagement from the visual field in pediatric robot-assisted laparoscopic pyeloplasty.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify risk factors for suture needle disengagement from the visual field during pediatric robot-assisted laparoscopic pyeloplasty (RALP) and propose effective strategies for prevention and management. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study analyzed clinical data from 339 pediatric patients who underwent RALP for ureteropelvic junction obstruction (UPJO) at a single institution between August 2017 and December 2020. Patients were categorized based on the occurrence of needle disengagement from the visual field. Various patient demographics and surgical procedural factors were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression, along with LASSO regression, identified independent risk and protective factors. RESULTS: Needle disengagement occurred in 38 (11.21%) of 339 cases. Multivariate logistic regression identified five independent risk factors for needle disengagement: use of a 3-mm auxiliary trocar (OR = 4.69, 95% CI: 1.98-12.53, P < 0.001), non-standard needle holder use (OR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.04-5.18, P = 0.038), unshaped suture needles (OR = 3.16, 95% CI: 1.44-7.19, P = 0.005), simultaneous use of &#x2265;2 intra-abdominal sutures (OR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.15-5.48, P = 0.023), and clamping the needle shank during withdrawal (OR = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.40-8.21, P = 0.006). Conversely, sufficient assistant experience (>10 cases) was identified as a protective factor (OR = 0.39, 95% CI: 0.18-0.88, P = 0.021). CONCLUSION: Suture needle disengagement from the visual field during pediatric RALP is associated with specific technical and instrumental factors. Implementing targeted strategies-such as mandating specialized needle holders, preoperative needle shaping, a single-needle workflow, prioritizing clamping the suture thread over the needle shank during withdrawal, and ensuring adequate assistant training-has the potential to significantly reduce significantly mitigate the risk of needle loss and enhance overall surgical safety in pediatric RALP.

Humans

Changes in sexual behavior among women in studies evaluating the dapivirine vaginal ring for HIV prevention.

BACKGROUND: Access to novel HIV prevention technologies often raise concerns of risk compensation. This analysis examined changes in the sexual behaviors of MTN 020/ASPIRE participants, a placebo controlled randomized control trial, who subsequently enrolled in MTN-025/HOPE, an open-label extension using the dapivirine vaginal ring. METHODS: Both studies enrolled healthy, sexually active, HIV-negative women from Malawi, South Africa, Uganda and Zimbabwe. Longitudinal data on participants' sexual behaviors, specifically sex with a nonprimary partner (past 3&#xa0;months), and use of male or female condoms at the last vaginal sex act were compared between ASPIRE and HOPE. Conditional and mixed ordinal logistic regression models evaluated associations between study and sexual behaviors at enrollment,&#xa0;and quarterly over the first 12&#xa0;months. RESULTS: Of the 2629 individuals enrolled in ASPIRE, 1456 (55%) participated in HOPE. At enrollment, the proportion of participants who reported sex with a nonprimary partner and condom use at last vaginal sex act did not differ by study. Across all quarterly follow-up visits, sex with a nonprimary partner was more common in HOPE (13.9-18.7%) than ASPIRE (10.7-12.6%); adjusted OR&#xa0;1.47, 95% CI 1.24-1.75, P&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001. There was no difference in condom use at the last vaginal act across all quarterly follow-up visits between ASPIRE (36.5-42.7%) and HOPE (43.6-46.7%); adjusted OR&#xa0;1.05, 95% CI 0.94-1.18. CONCLUSION: More women reported sex with nonprimary partners in HOPE, with little change in condom use over time between the two studies. Understanding behavior changes during PrEP use allows for tailored, holistic reproductive health programming.

Humans

Predictive Models for Hypoglycemia Risk in Haemodialysis Patients With Diabetic Kidney Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

AIM: To provide evidence for selecting and developing reliable clinical assessment tools for hypoglycemia in diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis. DESIGN: Review. METHODS: Systematic searches were performed in 9 Chinese and English databases to collect literature regarding the development of hypoglycemia risk prediction models in haemodialysis patients with diabetic kidney disease. Two reviewers independently performed literature screening, data extraction, risk-of-bias assessment, and applicability evaluation. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was used to assess the risk of bias and applicability of the included studies. Meta-analysis was conducted using R software. DATA SOURCES: CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, CBM, PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMbase, Web of Science, and CINAHL. The search period covered from the establishment date of each database to December 2025. RESULTS: Six studies, comprising six prediction models, were included. Two studies performed internal validation, and three conducted external validation. All models reported the area under the curve, ranging from 0.813 to 0.866, and calibration measures. Four studies were rated as having a high risk of bias, while all six demonstrated good overall applicability. The meta-analysis showed that the pooled AUC value of the six studies was 0.846 (95% CI: 0.823-0.867). CONCLUSION: Research on hypoglycemia risk prediction models in haemodialysis patients with diabetic kidney disease remains in the developmental stage. Although the included prediction models exhibited satisfactory apparent discriminatory ability and clinical applicability, most of the original studies suffered from a high risk of bias and lacked adequate validation. The true predictive performance and clinical application value of these models remain to be further verified. Accordingly, routine and unconditional clinical application is not recommended at this stage. Future studies should include more high-quality, multicenter external validation and develop models with high generalizability, favourable clinical applicability, and robust predictive performance to facilitate early identification of hypoglycemia risk in this population. IMPACT: This study systematically evaluated the hypoglycemia risk prediction models for diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis, and the research on hypoglycemia risk prediction models for maintenance haemodialysis patients during dialysis is still in the development stage. This study provides a reference for clinical medical staff to select or develop hypoglycemia risk prediction and assessment tools for diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis. REPORTING METHOD: This study was conducted in accordance with the relevant guidelines of the EQUATOR Network and followed the TRIPOD-SRMA Checklist. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: No patient or public contribution. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO: CRD420251243352.

Humans

Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity Increases the Risk of Hip Fracture: A Longitudinal Cohort Study Based on CHARLS.

BACKGROUND: Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity (CMM) is defined as the co-occurrence of two or more conditions among heart disease, diabetes mellitus, stroke, and hypertension. Previous studies have shown associations between cardiometabolic diseases and fragility fractures; however, the relationship between CMM and hip fractures remains unclear in the Chinese population. This study therefore aims to investigate this association in a Chinese cohort to inform fracture prevention strategies. METHODS: This prospective cohort study used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) collected from 2011 to 2020. Participants from the 2011 baseline survey cohort were initially included. Subsequently, individuals were sequentially excluded if they were under 45&#x2009;years of age, had incomplete baseline CMM information, had a history of hip fracture, lost to follow-up, or had missing data on confounders. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazards regression, subgroup analyses, and sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the association between CMM and the risk of hip fracture. RESULTS: A total of 6314 participants aged 45&#x2009;years and older were included, of whom 544 had CMM. Over a 9-year follow-up period, 287 incident hip fractures (4.55%) were identified. Among these, 36 participants had been diagnosed with CMM at baseline, whereas 251 had not. The incidence of hip fracture was significantly higher in participants with CMM than in those without CMM (13% vs. 8%, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.015). After full adjustment for confounders, multivariable Cox regression showed that CMM was associated with a 70% increased risk of hip fracture (HR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.70, 95% CI: 1.318-2.47; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.005). Subgroup analyses indicated that age and history of falls were significant effect modifiers. The association between CMM and hip fracture was more pronounced in participants under 60&#x2009;years old (P for interaction&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.048) and those with a history of falls (P for interaction&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.014). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that CMM increases the risk of hip fracture, particularly among relatively younger individuals and those with a history of falls.

Humans

Clopidogrel Versus Dual-Antiplatelet Therapy for Long-Term Maintenance After Coronary Stenting in Ischemic and Bleeding Birisk Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes and Diabetes: A Prespecified Subgroup Analysis of the OPT-BIRISK Trial.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with acute coronary syndromes at both high bleeding and ischemic risk (birisk), extended clopidogrel monotherapy after 9 to 12&#x2009;months of dual-antiplatelet therapy reduces bleeding without increasing ischemia. Whether this benefit extends to birisk patients with diabetes is unknown. METHODS: This prespecified subgroup analysis of the OPT-BIRISK (Optimal Antiplatelet Therapy for High Bleeding and Ischemic Risk Patients) trial included birisk patients with acute coronary syndrome who had completed 9 to 12&#x2009;months of dual-antiplatelet therapy after percutaneous coronary intervention. Patients were then randomized 1:1 to 9&#x2009;months of clopidogrel&#x2009;plus&#x2009;placebo versus clopidogrel&#x2009;plus&#x2009;aspirin. Outcomes were compared by diabetes status. The primary end point was Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 2, 3, or 5 bleeding at 9 months after randomization. The key secondary end point was major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, defined as a composite outcome of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or clinically driven revascularization. RESULTS: Of 7758 patients, 4072 (52.5%) had diabetes. Clopidogrel monotherapy decreased Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 2, 3, or 5 bleeding (2.1% versus 3.2%; hazard ratio [HR], 0.66 [95% CI, 0.45-0.97]) with no increase in major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (2.9% versus 3.6%; HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.56-1.12]) compared with clopidogrel plus aspirin in patients with diabetes. Outcomes were consistent in patients without diabetes, with no significant interactions by diabetes status. CONCLUSIONS: In birisk patients with acute coronary syndrome who were stable on dual-antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel plus aspirin for 9 to 12 months after percutaneous coronary intervention, clopidogrel monotherapy for an additional 9 months reduced clinically relevant bleeding without increasing ischemic events compared with continued dual-antiplatelet therapy, irrespective of diabetes status. REGISTRATION: URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03431142.

Aged

Development and Validation of a Predictive Model for Identification of Cognitive Impairment Risk in Older Adults with Subjective Cognitive Decline&#xff1a;A Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND: Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) is a transitional state between objective cognitive impairment and cognitively intact mental status, providing a critical window for implementing preventive interventions to delay objective cognitive decline. AIMS: We aimed to develop a predictive model for SCD progression in older adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). This model will facilitate the identification of risk factors and establishment of targeted interventions for community-based SCD management. METHODS: Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) was utilized in this study, extracting 18 indicators. Potential predictors selected through univariate Cox regression and LASSO regression analyses were sequentially incorporated into a multivariable Cox regression model. A nomogram was constructed to establish a predictive model. Model validation encompassed Area Under Curve (AUC) metrics for discriminative capacity, complemented by quantitative assessments using calibration curve analysis for precision verification and decision curve analysis (DCA) for clinical utility evaluation. RESULTS: A total of 1099 older adults with SCD were included in the final analysis, of whom 114 (10.3%) developed MCI. Multivariable Cox regression identified residence, marital status, educational level, social participation, gait speed, and baseline cognitive function. The model demonstrated time-dependent AUC values of 0.885, 0.830, 0.839, and 0.836 in the training set when evaluating discriminative capacity at 2-, 4-, 7-, and 9-year, respectively. The predictive model showed excellent predictive ability according to AUC, calibration curve, and DCA. CONCLUSIONS: A predictive model was created to estimate the risk of developing MCI in older individuals with SCD, offering clinician-actionable intervention benchmarks for preventive care.

Humans

Timing and Dose Matter: Late High-Speed Exposure and Higher High-Intensity Acceleration Volumes Reduce Hamstring Reinjury Risk in Elite Male Football (Soccer).

OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to (a) investigate whether the timing and magnitude of exposure to high-speed running (HSR), sprinting, and high-intensity accelerations during on-field rehabilitation after hamstring strain injury were associated with reinjury risk and (b) examine changes in match running performance upon return to play (RTP). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Data from 95 elite male football (soccer) players from five professional clubs competing in major European and Middle Eastern leagues were analyzed. Players with complete rehabilitation load profiles were included in the 2-month and 6-month reinjury analysis. Modified Poisson regression assessed associations between rehabilitation load characteristics and reinjury risk. Match running performance (HSR distance, sprint distance, and high-intensity accelerations per minute) during the five matches before injury and the first five matches after RTP was compared using paired t-tests for the entire cohort. RESULTS: Late introduction of HSR, sprinting, and high-intensity accelerations during rehabilitation (ie, &#x2265; 60% of rehabilitation progression) was associated with a significantly lower reinjury risk at 2 months (relative risk [RR] range = 0.948-0.969; P < .01) and 6 months (RR range = 0.964-0.979; P < .05). Higher daily exposure to high-intensity accelerations once introduced was protective (RR = 0.861 (0.778-0.951)). There were no meaningful associations between total volume of HSR or sprinting and reinjury. Match running performance metrics did not differ between pre-injury and post-RTP matches (all P > .05). Changes in performance were not correlated with rehabilitation load characteristics. CONCLUSION: The timing of high-intensity running exposure during on-field rehabilitation appeared associated with a lower hamstring reinjury risk. Delaying the introduction of HSR, sprinting, and accelerations, followed by a structured and progressive build-up, was associated with lower risk of reinjury without compromising the subsequent match performance of elite male football players. J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 2026;56(9):611-621. Epub 7 Jul 2026. doi:10.2519/jospt.2026.14077.

Humans

Intravenous thrombolysis for ischemic stroke in extended time window selected with CT perfusion: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: Recent randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have provided new evidence regarding the efficacy and safety of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) presenting within the extended time window (ETW). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy and safety of IVT, in patients treated within the ETW and selected with perfusion imaging criteria, predominantly computed tomography perfusion (CTP). METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis, registered in PROSPERO, was conducted including all available RCTs comparing IVT with best medical treatment (BMT) in patients with AIS within the ETW, selected using advanced perfusion imaging criteria. The predefined efficacy outcomes were excellent functional outcome and good functional outcome at 3 months. The safety endpoints included symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) and all-cause mortality at 90 days. RESULTS: Six RCTs, including 1182 patients treated with IVT and 1176 patients receiving BMT, were included. IVT was associated with a higher likelihood of achieving excellent and good functional outcomes at 3 months. Exploratory subgroup analyses by treatment timing suggested consistent findings up to 24 hours. No significant difference in 90-day mortality was observed between groups, whereas IVT was associated with an increased risk of sICH. CONCLUSION: Treatment with IVT in the ETW (4.5-24 h) in patients selected using advanced perfusion imaging, predominantly CTP, may be associated with improved functional outcomes in patients with AIS. Although IVT was associated with an increased risk of sICH, no significant increase in 90-day mortality was observed. PROSPERO REGISTRATION: CRD420261304314.

Aged

Comparative safety of lipid-lowering drugs alone or in combination: insights from a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although the safety profile of lipid-lowering therapies (LLTs) is known, there are no comprehensive comparative assessments. We aimed to compare the risk of muscle-related events, diabetes, liver dysfunction, and cognitive disorders among LLTs through a network meta-analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Databases were searched from inception to May 2025. Eligible studies included adult patients, using statins, ezetimibe, PCSK9 monoclonal antibodies (PCSK9mAbs), inclisiran, bempedoic acid, or their combinations as intervention, reporting the information about any of the selected adverse events, a total sample size of &#x2265;200 subjects, and had &#x2265;1 month of intervention. Pooled estimates were assessed by fixed effects model within a frequentist setting. Pooled relative risks (RR) and their 95% confidence interval were estimated. A total of 303,397 subjects from 153 RCTs were included. Bempedoic acid ranked the lowest risk of myalgia (vs PCSK9mAbs, RR 0.80 [0.69, 0.93]). PCSK9mAbs were associated with lower incidence of creatine kinase (CK) elevation, diabetes, and liver dysfunction comparing to statins (statins vs PCSK9mAbs, RR 1.44 [1.14, 1.81], RR 1.13 [1.05, 1.22], and RR 1.38 [1.17, 1.62], respectively). In terms of muscle-related events and cognitive disorders, no significant risk differences were found among treatments and their combinations. CONCLUSIONS: PCSK9mAbs appear to have a more favourable safety profile regarding the risk of CK elevation, diabetes, and liver dysfunction. Bempedoic acid seem to be a better choice for subjects with high risk of myalgia. This information can be valuable when selecting therapy for specific patient subgroups at higher risk of certain adverse events.

Humans

A Dynamic Nomogram to Predict Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease in Patients with Metabolic Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) involves multiple metabolic disorders. This study aimed to identify high-risk populations for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) in patients with MetS and to establish a dynamic predictive nomogram. METHODS: A total of 627 patients with MetS from six regions in Zhejiang Province were enrolled and categorized into MAFLD and non-MAFLD groups, then randomly assigned to training and validation sets at a ratio of 7:3. Independent predictors of MAFLD were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and multivariable logistic regression analyses. These predictors were then used to construct a dynamic nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 627 patients with MetS were included in the final analysis, of whom 77.0% (483/627) were diagnosed with MAFLD. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), total cholesterol (TC), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), MetS-defined dysglycemia, and education level as independent risk factors for MAFLD. MetS-defined dysglycemia showed the highest odds ratio (OR) for MAFLD development [OR = 1.87, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-3.29]. Although the number of MetS components and the metabolic syndrome score were significantly associated with MAFLD in univariate analysis, they were not independently associated with MAFLD in the multivariate model. A dynamic nomogram for predicting MAFLD risk in patients with MetS was developed and internally validated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.834 (95% CI: 0.787-0.880) in the training set and 0.839 (95% CI: 0.771-0.899) in the validation set, indicating strong predictive performance. Bootstrap internal validation demonstrated good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes in calibration curves. Decision curve analysis further indicated favorable clinical applicability of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: BMI, WC, TC, ALT, MetS-defined dysglycemia, and education level are independent risk factors for MAFLD. A dynamic nomogram for predicting MAFLD risk in patients with MetS was successfully developed and validated.

Humans

Role of Polygenic Risk Scores in Predicting Cognitive Functioning after Mild Traumatic Brain Injury: A TRACK-TBI Study.

Patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and Glasgow Coma Scale scores of 13-15 (historically called mild TBI [mTBI]) commonly experience changes in cognitive functioning, including processing speed, memory, and executive functioning. In a prospective sample (N = 523) of individuals of European descent who had been treated in a U.S. level 1 trauma center for mTBI, we examined the prognostic value of four polygenic risk scores (PRS) for cognitive outcomes at 6-months postinjury. To estimate the impact of mTBI on cognition, primary cognitive outcomes were scaled as z-scores reflecting changes in performance relative to predicted preinjury performance. The PRS examined were previously developed and validated to predict cognition-related outcomes of educational attainment (Education-PRS), intelligence (Intelligence-PRS), and Alzheimer's disease (AD-mild traumatic brain injury (APOE)-PRS and AD + APOE-PRS). Both the Education-PRS and Intelligence-PRS displayed bivariate associations with all four cognitive outcomes (&#x3b2; = 0.19-0.32), whereas neither Alzheimer's disease PRS was significantly associated with any outcome. After controlling for other factors known to predict cognitive outcomes of TBI (e.g., sex, education, mTBI severity defined by a combination of Glasgow Coma Scale scores and the presence/absence of acute intracranial findings on clinical neuroimaging), the Education-PRS and Intelligence-PRS remained independently predictive of verbal episodic memory (&#x3b2; = 0.10-0.16), whereas their associations with processing speed and executive functioning were mostly nonsignificant and were mediated through educational attainment. Looking across primary z-score and secondary raw score outcomes, cognitive outcomes 6 months post-mTBI were good on average, and PRS made small independent contributions to outcome prediction. The mediation model findings may support theories of cognitive reserve, which propose that individuals with stronger preinjury cognitive processing abilities (often estimated by educational history) can better compensate for TBI. Moreover, findings indicate that PRS may contribute modestly to multivariable models predicting cognitive function after TBI.

Humans

Changes in ACL T2* Metrics Over the Course of the Female Menstrual Cycle: A New Biomarker for the ACL Injury Risk?

BACKGROUND: Sex-based disparities in the anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury risk may be partly explained by cyclic variations in sex hormones that drive systemic shifts in tissue osmoregulation. Ultrashort echo time (UTE) T2* magnetic resonance imaging provides a noninvasive, quantitative means of evaluating the water content and collagen orientation in tissue. HYPOTHESIS: Eumenorrheic female participants will exhibit significant ACL T2* changes across the cycle, while anovulatory control participants will demonstrate no significant changes over time. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2. METHODS: A total of 25 women with no prior knee injuries were enrolled: 10 premenopausal, eumenorrheic participants and 15 anovulatory control participants (6 postmenopausal and 9 premenopausal using oral contraceptives). Bilateral knee magnetic resonance imaging was performed at 4 time points evenly spaced over 1 month, with the first visit within 24 hours of menses onset. Ovulation status was confirmed using commercially available ovulation predictor kits. Three-dimensional UTE sequences (11 echoes; 0.03-25 ms) were acquired to evaluate bicomponent ACL T2* metrics. Linear mixed-effects models assessed temporal differences in long and short T2* values, and the Cohen d quantified effect size. RESULTS: Eumenorrheic participants demonstrated significantly shorter preovulatory long T2* values compared with postovulatory values (mean difference, 1.0 ms [95% CI, 0.2-1.9 ms]; P = .015; Cohen d = 0.51). No significant temporal differences were observed for any T2* metric in anovulatory controls. CONCLUSION: Eumenorrheic female participants exhibited significant preovulatory to postovulatory changes in ACL T2* metrics, while anovulatory controls demonstrated no significant changes over time. These findings suggest that ACL T2* metrics are sensitive to cyclic fluctuations in female sex hormones across the menstrual cycle.

Humans

Breaking the Debilitating Cycle: Pathophysiology, Assessment, and Multimodal Intervention of Secondary Debilitation After Hip Fracture in Older Adults-A Narrative Review.

Hip fractures pose a serious threat to the quality of life among older adults and impose a heavy burden on both society and families. Although current surgical techniques for hip fractures have become increasingly refined, postoperative quality of life and overall function in older adult populations often steeply decline. This decline is marked by "secondary debilitation," characterized by exacerbated sarcopenia, functional impairment, and physiological reserve depletion-a process that becomes a risk factor for recurrent fractures, creating a "vicious cycle" with hip fractures. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying "secondary debilitation," discusses the clinical application of risk assessment tools, and presents a phased, stepwise intervention strategy aimed at interrupting the "vicious cycle." The strategy includes early rapid rehabilitation, nutritional support, and prevention of complications; a mid-phase multimodal approach involving multidisciplinary management, comanaged wards, fracture liaison services, and systematic rehabilitation; and, finally, late-phase exploration of emerging pharmacotherapies and treatment methods. This review seeks to offer an evidence-based foundation for optimizing clinical risk assessment and developing precise interventional strategies.

Humans

Machine learning-based prediction of unplanned readmission and construction of an online calculator for elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To screen for independent risk factors for unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke, and to construct and validate an online risk prediction calculator based on an interpretable machine learning model, thereby providing a promising practical tool for accurate clinical assessment of 30&#x2011;day all&#x2011;cause unplanned readmission risk in this population. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted, including 1050 patients aged&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;60&#xa0;years with mild ischemic stroke admitted between August 2023 and September 2024. Participants were randomly divided into a training set (840 cases) and a test set (210 cases) at a ratio of 8:2. Risk factors were screened by univariate analysis and multivariable Logistic regression. Four machine learning models, namely LightGBM, XGBoost, Random Forest, and K&#x2011;Nearest Neighbors (KNN), were developed and their performance was evaluated using AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity as metrics. The SHAP framework was used for interpretability analysis, and an online calculator was subsequently developed based on the optimal model. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed significant differences (P&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05) in 13 factors including age, smoking, AIP, TyG index, HALP score, etc. Multivariable Logistic regression identified age (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;9.752), smoking (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;5.171), AIP (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;6.691), TyG index (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;4.393), HALP score (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.831), and&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;2 comorbidities (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;3.664) as independent risk factors. All four machine learning models demonstrated good predictive performance. Based on a comprehensive evaluation of multiple metrics and computational efficiency, the LightGBM model exhibited the best predictive performance (AUC&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.884, accuracy&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.829, sensitivity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.812, specificity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.875). SHAP analysis showed that age, AIP, TyG index, smoking, and HALP score were key predictors. An online calculator developed based on this model enables individualized risk predictions. CONCLUSION: Key risk factors associated with 30&#x2011;day unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke were identified. The LightGBM model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, and together with the interpretability analysis and online calculator, offers a practical tool to support clinical risk assessment. However, this tool requires future external validation.

Humans

Major cardiovascular event risk of advanced therapies in inflammatory bowel diseases: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic immune-mediated disorders (IMIDs), including inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease. While advanced therapies show cardioprotective effects in other IMIDs, their impact on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in IBD remains unclear. We conducted a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies evaluating MACE risk with advanced therapies in IBD. METHODS: Systematic search of PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials identified 43 studies (36 RCTs, including 9 long-term follow-up (LTF) studies, and 7 observational studies) published between 2002 and 2024. Primary analyses estimated odds ratios (OR) for MACE comparing advanced therapy to placebo, with secondary analyses stratifying studies by drug class and length of follow-up. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using alternative methods to account for zero-event data. RESULTS: Placebo-controlled RCTs showed a nonsignificant trend toward reduced MACE risk (OR 0.60; 95% CI 0.24-1.51), with similar findings across sensitivity analyses accounting for sparse and zero-event data. Class-specific trends suggested lower MACE risk with IL-12/IL-23 inhibitors (OR 0.35; 95% CI 0.05-2.21), JAK inhibitors (OR 0.57; 95% CI 0.16-2.06), and a potential increase with Anti-TNF agents (OR: 3.04; 95% CI 0.31-29.47), though none reached statistical significance. LTF studies showed consistent findings. Observational studies suggested lower MACE risk with Anti-TNF therapies (OR 0.29; 95% CI 0.21-0.40), but not with IL-12/IL-23 (OR 4.41; 95% CI 0.49-39.28) or JAK inhibitors (OR 1.57; 95% CI 0.86-2.84). CONCLUSION: Advanced therapies did not demonstrate a clear increase or decrease in cardiovascular risk in IBD. The discrepancies between RCTs and observational studies underscore the urgent need for rigorous-designed observational research with long-term follow-up to evaluate the real-world impact of advanced therapies on MACE risk.

Humans