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PubMed2002

Coastal modelling for flood defence.

This paper reviews practices and trends in hydrodynamic and statistical analyses and modelling in the Netherlands with regard to the risk of coastal flooding. We restrict ourselves to the physical phenomena of tides, storm surges and wind waves. We first give a brief outline of established policy in the Netherlands regarding accepted levels of risk of flooding, and current changes therein. This is followed by a summary of a statistical reanalysis of historical storm-surge data combined with numerical hydrodynamic modelling, aimed at improved estimates of probabilities of occurrence of extreme water levels along the Dutch coast. Recent developments concerning the physical and numerical modelling of inundation of low-lying areas are presented. State-of-the-art modelling of wind waves in coastal areas is also reviewed. Research issues in the area of coastal modelling for flood defence are indicated.

Climate↗
PubMed2005

Uncertainties and constraints on breaching and their implications for flood loss estimation.

Around the coasts of the southern North Sea, flood risk is mediated everywhere by the performance of natural and man-made flood defences. Under the conditions of extreme surge with tide water levels, the performance of the defences determines the extent of inland flooding. Sensitivity tests reveal the enormous increase in the volume of water that can pass through a defence once breaching is initiated, with a 1m reduction in sill elevation doubling the loss. Empirical observations of defence performance in major storm surges around the North Sea reveal some of the principal controls on breaching. For the same defence type, the maximum size and depth of a breach is a function of the integral of the hydraulic gradient across the defence, which is in turn determined by the elevation of the floodplain and the degree to which water can continue to flow inland away from the breach. The most extensive and lowest floodplains thereby "generate" the largest breaches. For surges that approach the crest height, the weaker the protection of the defence, the greater the number of breaches. Defence reinforcement reduces both the number and size of the breaches.

Computer Simulation↗
PubMed1989

Metabolic acclimation to hypoxia in winter cereals : low temperature flooding increases adenylates and survival in ice encasement.

Cold hardened seedlings of winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L. em Thell) show an hypoxic hardening response: an exposure to low temperature flooding increases the tolerance of plants to a subsequent ice encasement exposure. Seedlings of winter barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) do not show such a response in similar experimental conditions. During ice encasement, there are general declines in adenylate energy charge (AEC), total adenylates and ATP:ADP ratios in the crown tissues of two winter wheat cultivars, and a winter barley, but rates of decline are faster in the barley. When the ice period is preceded by low temperature flooding of the whole plant, levels of the adenylate components are raised significantly in the wheats, and to a lesser extent in the barley. The survival of plants in ice preceded by flooding is related to the increased initial level of adenylates at the onset of the ice encasement stress, and the maintenance of higher levels of adenylates and ATP in the early stages of ice encasement as a result of accelerated rates of glycolysis. Higher survival of both winter wheat and barley plants during ice encasement in the light is also associated with significantly higher levels of AEC and adenylates in the early stages of ice encasement.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1999

Community-based disaster management during the 1997 Red River Flood in Canada.

This paper examines the relationship between community preparedness and response to natural disaster and their level and pattern of community development. This is done by investigating preparation and response to the 1997 Red River Flood by three rural communities in Manitoba, Canada. The communities were selected because of their different ethnic mix and associated level and pattern of community development. The hypothesis was supported that the level and pattern of community development affect community capacity to respond to flooding. Communities characterised by higher levels of physical, human and social capital were better prepared and more effective responders to the flood. However, where the pattern of community development was characterised by high levels of social capital, decision-making processes were complicated.

Community Networks↗
PubMed2000

Female adolescents and their sexuality: notions of honour, shame, purity and pollution during the floods.

This paper explores the experiences of female adolescents during the 1998 floods in Bangladesh, focusing on the implications of socio-cultural norms related to notions of honour, shame, purity and pollution. These cultural notions are reinforced with greater emphasis as girls enter their adolescence, regulating their sexuality and gender relationships. In Bangladeshi society, adolescent girls are expected to maintain their virginity until marriage. Contact is limited to one's family and extended relations. Particularly among poorer families, adolescent girls tend to have limited mobility to safeguard their 'purity'. This is to ensure that the girl's reputation does not suffer, thus making it difficult for the girl to get married. For female adolescents in Bangladesh, a disaster situation is a uniquely vulnerable time. Exposure to the unfamiliar environment of flood shelters and relief camps, and unable to maintain their 'space' and privacy from male strangers, a number of the girls were vulnerable to sexual and mental harassment. With the floods, it became difficult for most of the girls to be appropriately 'secluded'. Many were unable to sleep, bathe or get access to latrines in privacy because so many houses and latrines were under the water. Some of the girls who had begun menstruation were distressed at not being able to keep themselves clean. Strong social taboos associated with menstruation and the dirty water that surrounded them made it difficult for the girls to wash their menstrual cloths or change them frequently enough. Many of them became separated from their social network of relations, which caused them a great deal of anxiety and stress. Their difficulty in trying to follow social norms have had far-reaching implications on their health, identity, family and community relations.

Adaptation, Psychological↗
PubMed2000

The urban poor in Dhaka City: their struggles and coping strategies during the floods of 1998.

Bangladesh experienced one of the worst floods in recorded history in 1998. This paper focuses on the needs and coping strategies of the urban poor in Dhaka City, which had been very badly affected. The city's roads were completely under water, and most areas were water-logged with drainage and sewage systems blocked. Rising water levels compelled many slum dwellers to move to temporary shelters and relief camps. Women and children were the worst affected. The lack of sanitation facilities and privacy forced women and children to defecate in their own homes. There was an acute scarcity of safe drinking-water, and food prices rose dramatically. Diarrhoea, fever and colds were the most common illnesses affecting the poor. The floods left many of them unemployed, and in some families, the result was increased tension and incidents of domestic violence. In some areas, members felt pressured to repay micro-credit loans. Most NGOs, however, suspended loan repayments. During this period, a committee was set up to co-ordinate and work towards addressing some of the main post-flood problems.

Adaptation, Psychological↗
PubMed2003

The 1998 flood in Bangladesh: is different targeting needed during emergencies and recovery to tackle malnutrition?

Bangladesh suffered the century's worst flood during July-October 1998 and appealed for assistance. To provide information for appropriate interventions to tackle nutritional problems, a rapid assessment survey was conducted to look at the nutritional situation, problems encountered by the community, their coping mechanisms and rehabilitation priorities in six rural areas. The survey was repeated after four months to measure the outcome of activities during the flood and the necessity for future assistance. There were 3,048 children measured in both surveys (1,597 and 1,451). The sample of most interest was a sub-group of 180 children present in two previous independent surveys. The analysis found that while moving from the crisis period to post-flood phase there was evidence of a 'crossover phenomenon' in the recovery pattern of nutritional status. Sixty-eight per cent of the children who were malnourished (WHZ < -2SD) during the crisis period (18 per cent) recovered enough to cross the cut-off point and became normal after four months. Another 8 per cent of children (9 per cent of all normal) who were normal during the crisis period, after four months had deteriorated to be malnourished. Thus, despite there being a shift in the overall distribution of nutritional status, there has been another shift that reduced the net effect. Subsequent episodes of diarrhoea, access to food and loan burden had also influenced the recovery pattern of the children's nutritional status as evident from the statistically significant associations. These findings raise questions about targeting acute malnutrition during emergencies, and using the same criteria during both the crisis and rehabilitation phases.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2003

The financial management of catastrophic flood risks in emerging-economy countries.

This article examines the potential of pre- and post-disaster instruments for funding disaster response and recovery and for creating incentives for flood loss mitigation in countries with emerging or transition economies. As a concrete case, we discuss the disaster recovery arrangements following the 1997 flood disaster in Poland. We examine the advantages and limitations of hedging instruments, which are instruments for transferring the risk to investors either through insurance or capital market-based securities. We compare these mechanisms with financing instruments whereby the government sets aside funds prior to a disaster or taps its own funding sources after the event occurs. We show how hedging instruments can be designed to create incentives for the mitigation of damage to public infrastructure using the flood proofing of a water-treatment plant on the hypothetical Topping River as an illustrative example. We conclude that hedging instruments can be an attractive alternative to financing instruments that have been traditionally used in the poorer, emerging-economy countries to fund disaster recovery. Since very poor countries are likely to have difficulty paying the price of protection prior to a disaster, we suggest that international lending institutions consider innovations for subsidizing these payments.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2003

International NGOs and the role of network centrality in humanitarian aid operations: a case study of coordination during the 2000 Mozambique floods.

In February 2000, Mozambique suffered its worst flooding in almost 50 years: 699 people died and hundreds of thousands were displaced. Over 49 countries and 30 international non-governmental organisations provided humanitarian assistance. Coordination of disaster assistance is critical for effective humanitarian aid operations, but limited attention has been directed toward evaluating the system-wide structure of inter-organisational coordination during humanitarian operations. Network analysis methods were used to examine the structure of inter-organisational relations among 65 non-governmental organisations (NGOs) involved in the flood operations in Mozambique. Centrality scores were used to estimate NGO-specific potential for aid coordination and tested against NGO beneficiary numbers. The average number of relief- and recovery-period beneficiaries was significantly greater for NGOs with high relative to low centrality scores (p < 0.05). This report addresses the significance of these findings in the context of the Mozambican 2000 floods and the type of data required to evaluate system-wide coordination.

Altruism↗
PubMed1997

Use of seasonally flooded marshes by fish in a Mediterranean wetland: timing and demographic consequences

In the Camargue (southern France), movements of fish between a canal and two seasonally flooded marshes were monitored continuously by fish traps for 3 years for one marsh and for 2 years for the other. The timing of the entry and exit of the main species was determined together with species annual demographic balance, defined as the difference between the number of fish leaving and the number of fish entering. Only some of the species inhabiting the canal colonized the marshes. Except those species that reproduced in salt or brackish waters, all the species colonizing the marshes reproduced in it. The most abundant of these species were small sized (mosquitofish, sand smelt and three-spined stickleback). The unpredictability of water levels in summer was particularly unfavourable for recruitment and survival of species that breed late in the year, e.g. pumpkinseed sunfish, or which prolonged their stay in the marsh and only attempted to leave just before the connection was broken, e.g. carp. Only the three-spined stickleback always had a positive demographic balance as a result of colonizing the marshes. Adults of this species entered in winter and young-of-the-year left in April. By limiting its stay in the seasonally flooded marshes, the stickleback minimized the risks related to environmental unpredictability. These results suggest that hydrology (temporal variations of water depth) may influence the fish community structure through interspecific differences in survival and recruitment, as a result of temporal variations in the use of seasonally flooded marshes.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1995

Flood control projects in Bangladesh: reasons for failure and recommendations for improvement.

Flood control and drainage projects in Bangladesh are intended to give protection from main river floods, flash floods in the east and northeast of the country, and saline intrusion in the lower delta and to improve drainage in order to avoid crop damage. While in some cases such projects have had positive results, in many others their benefits have fallen well below expectations. One of the major reasons for the poor performance of projects is embankment failure, brought about by poor planning, design, construction, operation and maintenance. Recommended measures to improve the efficiency of projects include the involvement of local people in the planning and operation of projects, better training of management staff and the allocation of adequate funds for maintenance.

Agriculture↗
PubMed1995

Rehabilitation planning for flood affected areas of Thailand: experience from Phipun District.

Floods are common in Thailand. A flood in the southern part of the country in 1988 was of unprecedented magnitude. Several villages and vast tracts of agricultural land were covered with mud slides washed away from deforested hills. Rehabilitation of the affected areas, a task which required complex planning, was a challenge for the District Development Committee (DDC), which is the local level planning body. The Committee encountered several problems, including inability to use the existing data base and lack of accurate information, human resources, adequate funds and coordination among agencies. Unable to cope with the new challenges, the DDC resorted to conventional planning which failed to address the problems caused by the flood. Guidelines should be formulated to strengthen district level planning for rehabilitation after a disaster.

Community Participation↗
PubMed2006

Global sea-level rise is recognised, but flooding from anthropogenic land subsidence is ignored around northern Manila Bay, Philippines.

Land subsidence resulting from excessive extraction of groundwater is particularly acute in East Asian countries. Some Philippine government sectors have begun to recognise that the sea-level rise of one to three millimetres per year due to global warming is a cause of worsening floods around Manila Bay, but are oblivious to, or ignore, the principal reason: excessive groundwater extraction is lowering the land surface by several centimetres to more than a decimetre per year. Such ignorance allows the government to treat flooding as a lesser problem that can be mitigated through large infrastructural projects that are both ineffective and vulnerable to corruption. Money would be better spent on preventing the subsidence by reducing groundwater pumping and moderating population growth and land use, but these approaches are politically and psychologically unacceptable. Even if groundwater use is greatly reduced and enlightened land-use practices are initiated, natural deltaic subsidence and global sea-level rise will continue to aggravate flooding, although at substantially lower rates.

Disaster Planning↗
PubMed2006

Molecular analysis of the bacterial community in a continental high-temperature and water-flooded petroleum reservoir.

Water from a continental high-temperature, long-term water-flooded petroleum reservoir in Huabei Oilfield in China was analysed for its bacterial community and diversity. The bacteria were characterized by their 16S rRNA genes. A 16S rRNA gene clone library was constructed from the community DNA, and using restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis, 337 randomly selected clones were clustered with 74 operational taxonomic units. Sequencing and phylogenetic analyses showed that the screened clones were affiliated with Gammaproteobacteria (85.7%), Thermotogales (6.8%), Epsilonproteobacteria (2.4%), low-G+C Gram-positive (2.1%), high-G+C Gram-positive, Betaproteobacteria and Nitrospira (each <1.0%). Thermopilic bacteria were found in the high-temperature water from the flooded petroleum reservoir, as well as mesophilic bacteria such as Pseudomonas-like clones. The mesophilic bacteria were probably introduced into the reservoir as it was being exploited. This work provides significant information on the structure of bacterial communities in high-temperature, long-term water-flooded petroleum reservoirs.

Bacteria↗
PubMedDate not supplied

The determination of the contrast necessary for the detection of small positive or negative contrasting areas in flood field images by employing ROCs.

Flood field images are acquired and inspected visually during weekly quality control procedures for scintillation cameras. Nonuniformities are quantified by parameters such as integral and differential uniformity (IU and DU). This study is a first step toward understanding the relation between the standard quantitative parameters measured in regular quality control procedures and the performance of clinicians in the interpretation of studies conducted with the same scintillation camera. This study quantified the performance of observers to detect nonuniformities in an ideal case. Flood field images (64 x 64) were simulated on a computer. One contrasting area (2 x 2) was superimposed at random positions on each image. Positive and negative contrast values of 10%, 8%, 6%, 4%, 2%, and 0% were employed. The linearly scaled computer images were transferred to film. These films were evaluated by 11 observers to obtain receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The areas (A) below the average ROCs for every contrast value were utilized as an indication of the detectability of the contrasting areas superimposed on the flood images. The results indicate areas with positive contrasts greater than 6% and negative contrasts less than -8% were detected with 95% probability (A greater than or equal to 0.95). These contrasts correspond to optical density differences of greater than 0.051 and less than -0.072, respectively (assuming a gamma, G, or gradient of 2.0 for the x-ray film characteristic curve). The contrast values and optical density differences obtained may serve as guide values, beyond which action must be taken to correct the scintillation camera nonuniformity to ensure optimum imaging. These results can be utilized by other institutions to predict the threshold contrasts of their imaging systems if G can be measured or estimated for the systems.

Gamma Cameras↗
PubMed2002

Aminoacyl-tRNA enrichment after a flood of labeled phenylalanine: insulin effect on muscle protein synthesis.

Muscle protein synthesis in dogs measured by flooding with L-[(2)H(5)]phenylalanine (70 mg/kg) was significantly stimulated by infusion of insulin with amino acids. The stimulation of muscle protein synthesis was similar when calculated from the enrichment of phenylalanyl-tRNA (61 +/- 10%, P < 0.001), plasma phenylalanine (61 +/- 10%, P < 0.001), or tissue fluid phenylalanine (54 +/- 10%, P < 0.001). The time course for changes in enrichment of L-[(2)H(5)]phenylalanine throughout the flooding period was determined for plasma, tissue fluid, and phenylalanyl-tRNA in the basal state and during the infusion of insulin with amino acids. Enrichments of plasma free phenylalanine and phenylalanyl-tRNA were equalized between 20 and 45 min, although the enrichment of phenylalanyl-tRNA was lower at early time points. Rates of muscle protein synthesis obtained with the flooding method and calculated from plasma phenylalanine enrichment were comparable to those calculated from phenylalanyl-tRNA and also to those obtained previously with a continuous infusion of phenylalanine with phenylalanyl-tRNA as precursor. This study confirms that, with a bolus injection of labeled phenylalanine, the enrichment of aminoacyl-tRNA, the true precursor pool for protein synthesis, can be assessed from more readily sampled plasma phenylalanine.

Amino Acids↗
PubMed2003

Carbon dioxide field flooding versus mechanical de-airing during open-heart surgery: a prospective randomized controlled trial.

Removal of intracardiac air during valvular surgery should be accomplished in the most effective manner. We conducted a prospective randomized controlled trial to compare mechanical de-airing and carbon dioxide (CO2) field flooding in 18 patients undergoing elective valvular surgery. Transoesophageal echocardiography was used to record intracardiac bubbles, and this was assessed postoperatively by two independent echocardiographers blinded to treatment group. Both assessors graded the bubble count higher in the mechanical deairing group compared with the CO2 flooding group, and there was good agreement between assessors. CO2 field flooding is more effective than mechanical de-airing in removing intracardiac bubbles following valvular surgery.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Human health risk assessment: A case study involving heavy metal soil contamination after the flooding of the river Meuse during the winter of 1993-1994.

At the end of December 1993 and also at the end of January 1995, the river Meuse, one of the major rivers in Europe, flooded and river banks were inundated. We investigated the possible health risks of exposure to heavy metal concentrations in river bank soils resulting from the flooding of the river Meuse at the end of 1993. Soil and deposit samples and corresponding aerable and fodder crops were collected and analyzed for heavy metals. Although the soils of the floodplain of the river Meuse appeared severely polluted mainly by Cd and Zn, the heavy metal concentrations in the crops grown on these soils were within background ranges. Incidentally, the legal standard for Cd as endorsed by the Commodities Act was exceeded in wheat crops. The main exposure pathways for the general population were through the consumption of food crops grown on the river banks and through the direct ingestion of contaminated soils. For estimating potential human exposure in relation to soil pollution, we used a multiple pathway exposure model. For estimating the actual risk, we determined metal contents of vegetables grown in six experimental gardens. From this study, it can be concluded that there is a potential health risk for the river bank inhabitants as a consequence of Pb and Cd contaminations of the floodplain soils of the river Meuse, which are frequently inundated (averaged flooding frequency once every 2 years).

Adult↗