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PubMed2026

Exploring precision risk in pediatric vesicoureteral reflux: Innate immune gene variations and reflux outcomes in the RIVUR cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Children with vesicoureteral reflux (VUR) are at increased risk for morbidity from recurrent urinary tract infections (UTIs), yet the factors influencing spontaneous VUR resolution remain poorly defined. This study evaluates whether genetic variations in key urinary innate immune effectors (DEFA1A3, DMBT1, and RNASE7) influences VUR resolution and interacts with prophylaxis to alter clinical response. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of 303 RIVUR participants with available DEFA1A3 and DMBT1 copy number variation (CNV) data and RNASE7 rs1263872 genotype. Primary outcomes were (1) VUR improvement (decrease in grade) and (2) VUR resolution at study exit. Multivariable logistic regression models included genotype, treatment, and their interactions, adjusting for age, sex, baseline grade (high vs low), laterality, bowel/bladder dysfunction, and any UTI. Internal validation used 2000-sample bootstrap with bias-corrected and accelerated confidence intervals and influence diagnostics. RESULTS: Clinical covariates did not significantly predict VUR improvement. Children with DEFA1A3 CNV >5 had higher odds of improvement (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.12-4.96, p = 0.023), an effect that remained significant in bootstrap analyses. High-grade VUR was associated with lower odds of resolution (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.12-0.94, p = 0.038). A significant interaction was observed between prophylaxis and high DMBT1 copy number for VUR resolution (interaction OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.11-8.04, p = 0.031); no interaction was seen for improvement. RNASE7 rs1263872 was not associated with either outcome. CONCLUSION: Innate immune gene variation may contribute to heterogeneity in VUR outcomes. High DEFA1A3 copy number was associated with reflux improvement and a DMBT1-prophylaxis interaction was associated with reflux resolution. The results of this study is hypothesis-generating and prompt further evaluation to assess whether a subset of children may experience structural benefit from prophylaxis or have a more favorable natural history based on their innate immune genotype.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Stroke risk following BNT162b2 vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis of self-controlled case series studies.

INTRODUCTION: Whether BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) vaccination increases stroke risk remains a public health concern. This is the first meta-analysis to synthesize self-controlled case series (SCCS)-derived stroke risk estimates specifically for BNT162b2 vaccination. METHODS: PubMed and Embase were searched from inception through 9 May 2026, following PRISMA 2020 guidelines. Eight eligible SCCS studies were pooled using a random-effects model with restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation and the Knapp-Hartung adjustment. RESULTS: Eight studies across six countries encompassing several million vaccinated individuals were included. The pooled incidence rate ratio (IRR) was 0.967 (95% CI 0.892-1.049; I2 = 69.2%), indicating no statistically significant increase in stroke risk. Subgroup analyses showed no evidence of effect modification across continent, risk-window length, dose category, SCCS variant, or age group. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide no evidence of increased short-term stroke risk following BNT162b2 vaccination at the population level. The observed heterogeneity appeared to be partly driven by methodological differences rather than true biological variation in vaccine effect.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Comprehensive source-risk assessment of organophosphate esters in surface water of the Dianchi Lake Basin, Yunnan, China.

Organophosphate esters (OPEs), widely used as flame retardants and plasticizers, have been increasingly detected in aquatic environments. However, investigations of their distribution in high-altitude plateau lakes remain scarce. Identifying and quantifying the sources and associated risks of OPEs are crucial for subsequent water environment management. In this study, an integrated source-risk analysis approach was employed by combining the Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) model, the Geodetector (GD) model, and risk quotient (RQ). Analysis of 14 OPEs in surface waters of the Dianchi Lake Basin (DLB) revealed 12 detectable compounds, with total OPEs concentrations (ΣOPEs) ranging from not detected (ND)-64.6 ng/L during the wet season and ND-35.8 ng/L during the dry season. Elevated ΣOPEs were primarily observed at inflow sites in the northern part of the lake and in urban rivers. Source apportionment indicated four major contributing sources: agricultural films containing flame-retardant and plasticizer additives, traffic-related particulate emissions, releases from household and personal care products, and industrial production and applications of flame retardants in plastics, electronics, and related products (the predominant source). The ecological impact caused by OPEs ranges from no risk to low risk, with tris(2-chloroethyl) phosphate emitted from industrial source being the primary driver of potential environmental risk. These findings highlight the necessity of prioritizing industrial sources in future management strategies. Overall, this study provides a methodological framework for source apportionment and risk assessment of OPEs and offers scientific evidence to support environmental management of OPEs in the DLB.

Environmental Monitoring↗

PubMed2026

Health risk assessment of inorganic arsenic: an umbrella review.

Inorganic arsenic (iAs) is a toxic environmental pollutant linked to serious health risks, prompting global regulatory efforts. This study identifies major health conditions associated with iAs exposure using text network analysis, and assesses health risk assessments through an umbrella review and dose-response analysis. It synthesizes previous systematic reviews to offer a broader perspective on iAs-related health effects. An optimized text network analysis-based search strategy was applied across multiple databases to identify relevant systematic reviews. An umbrella review framework was employed to synthesize and reinterpret findings across systematic reviews. The methodological quality of included systematic reviews was assessed using the A MeaSurement Tool to Assess systematic Reviews 2 tool. Extracted data on study characteristics, exposure levels, and risk estimates were analyzed to evaluate the dose-response relationship between iAs exposure and health outcomes. From 922 systematic reviews, 36 were included and categorized into 10 health condition groups. For example, seven SRs found a significant dose-response relationship between iAs and bladder cancer, with one systematic review reporting relative risks of 2.70, 4.20, and 5.80 at 10, 50, and 150 µg/L, respectively. Individual study analysis further showed that each 10 µg/L increase in iAs raised bladder cancer risk by 3.11 % (p=0.003). iAs exposure is associated with hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and adverse fetal outcomes. Dose-dependent increases in bladder cancer, lung cancer, and hypertension risks were observed. These findings support more precise health risk assessments and regulatory strategies.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Role of routine surveillance stress testing in patients with or without imaging-guided or physiology-guided PCI.

OBJECTIVE: The optimal follow-up strategy for high-risk patients who underwent imaging-guided or physiology-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains uncertain. We investigated whether routine surveillance stress testing after PCI provides clinical benefit when the procedure is guided by intravascular ultrasonography (IVUS) or fractional flow reserve (FFR). METHODS: In the Pragmatic Trial Comparing Symptom-Oriented vs Routine Stress Testing in High-Risk Patients Undergoing PCI randomised trial, 1706 high-risk patients who underwent PCI were assigned to either routine functional testing at 1 year or standard care alone. In this prespecified subgroup analysis, patients were subsequently categorised according to whether IVUS or FFR was used at the index procedure. The primary outcome was a composite of death, myocardial infarction or hospitalisation for unstable angina over 2 years. RESULTS: Among the randomised population, 74% underwent IVUS-guided intervention and 36% underwent FFR-guided intervention. At 2 years, rates of the primary outcome were similar between routine testing and standard care both in patients treated with IVUS guidance (5.3% vs 6.7%; HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.50 to 1.24) and without IVUS guidance (5.7% vs 3.8%; HR 1.52; 95% CI 0.63 to 3.68; interaction p=0.21). Comparable results were observed in patients with FFR guidance (2.6% vs 3.9%; HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.26 to 1.58) and without FFR guidance (7.0% vs 7.1%; HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.63 to 1.55; interaction p=0.59). Routine functional testing was consistently associated with higher use of invasive coronary angiography and repeat revascularisation, without improvement in clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Among high-risk patients who underwent PCI, routine surveillance stress testing did not reduce the risk of death, myocardial infarction or unstable angina, regardless of the use of IVUS or FFR at the index procedure. Routine functional testing increased downstream invasive procedures without clinical benefit. These findings support guideline recommendations against routine surveillance testing after PCI. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03217877.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Bone progression in multiple myeloma: Benefit of zoledronic acid for patients achieving at least Very Good Partial Response and prognostic value of bone turnover markers.

The Magnolia study demonstrated that continuation of zoledronic acid (ZOL) beyond 2 years reduces the risk of progressive bone disease (PBD) in patients with multiple myeloma (MM). This follow-up study investigated the effects of ZOL in patients achieving very good partial response (VGPR) compared to patients who did not and whether bone turnover markers could identify patients at an increased risk of PBD following treatment cessation. Two Magnolia trial subgroups were analysed: patients with VGPR or better after 2 years of ZOL, randomized to either continued treatment or observation, and patients randomized to observation in whom serial bone markers (C-terminal cross-linked telopeptide of type I collagen [CTX], procollagen type I N-terminal propeptide [P1NP], bone-specific alkaline phosphatase [BAP], tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase isoform 5b [TRAcP]) were measured for up to 4 years. Continued monthly ZOL beyond 2 years significantly reduced the risk of PBD (hazard ratio 0.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.16-0.92) in patients with VGPR or better (subgroup 1). After ZOL discontinuation, bone markers increased gradually. Elevated CTX (≥0.30 μg/L) and TRAcP (≥4 U/L) levels were associated with increased 6-month PBD risk (29% and 15% respectively) (subgroup 2). Continuation of ZOL beyond 2 years seems to reduce skeletal progression risk in patients achieving VGPR or better. Elevated CTX or TRAcP levels may help identify patients who could benefit from re-initiating ZOL.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Pretreatment EBV-DNA/TLG-Based Risk Stratification Is Associated With Survival Outcomes in Nonmetastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: An Exploratory Study.

Whether combining pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) with 18F-FDG PET/CT-derived total lesion glycolysis (TLG) improves prognostic stratification in nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is unclear, particularly in nonendemic populations. We retrospectively analyzed 86 eligible nonmetastatic NPC patients treated with definitive radiotherapy (2010-2024) at a single nonendemic-region institution. EBV-DNA (prespecified cutoff 3500 copies/mL) and TLG (cutoff 200, ROC-derived within this cohort) were dichotomized. Both were available in 59/86 patients (68.6%), who differed from the rest in nodal and overall stage and in RT technique. Baseline PET/CT was in-house in 57 of 86 patients, and a robustness analysis in that subgroup is reported. Given limited events (13 PFS, 9 OS), Cox analyses are exploratory and were supplemented with penalized regression and bootstrap validation. At a median follow-up of 75.5 months, 5-year PFS and OS for the whole cohort (n = 86) were 81.1% and 85.9%. The EBV-DNAhigh/TLGhigh subgroup remained associated with inferior PFS after adjustment in an exploratory model (adjusted HR = 3.97, 95% CI: 1.32-11.93) and, in a single-variable model, with inferior OS (HR = 4.13, 95% CI: 1.10-15.52). Discrimination was comparable to the individual-biomarker model for PFS and lower for OS. Five-year PFS fell monotonically across the four risk groups in the complete-case cohort (n = 59; 89.7%-58.3%). OS differed across groups (log-rank p = 0.044) but was not strictly monotonic, with wide, overlapping confidence intervals. This two-biomarker model is hypothesis-generating and needs prospective, multicenter validation before any consideration of risk-adapted treatment.

Epstein–Barr virus DNA↗

PubMed2026

Contact tracing for hepatitis C: perspectives of people with experience of substance use and hepatitis C on intervention acceptability.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic hepatitis C (HCV) is a major cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. In the UK, the principal risk factor for HCV is injecting drug use. The introduction of direct acting anti-virals (DAA's) have transformed HCV care, with cure rates of over 95%. However, HCV is often asymptomatic, and reinfection is a concern. Modelling and real-life studies demonstrate the potential effectiveness of a contact tracing approach for finding people who have acquired HCV through injecting drug use. However, it is not used routinely in the UK. This qualitative study was undertaken to assess the acceptability of a contact tracing approach to identify people who have injected drugs with an index patient recently diagnosed with HCV. METHODS: Twelve people with lived or living experience of injecting drug use and an HCV diagnosis were interviewed using semi-structured interview topic guides. Participants were purposefully selected according to the inclusion criteria and to ensure there was an even spread of male and female participants. Sekhon's Theoretical Framework of Acceptability, incorporating seven components (affective attitude, burden, ethicality, intervention coherence, opportunity cost, perceived effectiveness, and self-efficacy) was used to analyse data from interview transcripts. RESULTS: A sample of 12 people who inject drugs in the UK indicated that a contact tracing approach was acceptable across two components of Sekhon's acceptability framework: affective attitude and ethicality. Participants broadly found the idea of tracing people who may be at risk of contracting HCV acceptable, and the approach aligned with their value systems. A contact tracing approach would help alleviate concerns about putting other people's lives at risk through HCV transmission and was seen as a 'sensible' way of finding people at risk. However, there were caveats to this acceptability. Contact tracing approaches delivered by mainstream health, or governmental organisations increased burden, opportunity costs and perceived effectiveness of a contact tracing approach for HCV, particularly within contexts of exclusion and criminalisation of people who inject drugs. Burden and opportunity costs were also affected by individual experiences and risks of violence, sexual violence and abuse. There was a lack of knowledge of contact tracing approaches amongst respondents, leading to a lack of intervention coherence and misunderstandings of what contact tracing was and how it would work. Trusted relationships with NGOs and HCV specialist nurses reduced burden and increased confidence and ability (self-efficacy) to engage with a contact tracing approach. CONCLUSION: People who inject drugs broadly perceive contact tracing as an acceptable method of finding people who are at risk of HCV. However, this acceptability is based on specific modes of delivery through trusted organisations. Findings further highlight the importance of naming and describing contact tracing approaches appropriately, as well as assessing and mitigating against potential risk to index patients, to increase self-efficacy and capacity to engage. Considering these findings, the potential for expanding existing contact tracing approaches should be explored to ensure the UK reaches and maintains its elimination targets.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

A polygenic risk score for peripheral artery disease and major adverse limb events.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Large-scale genome-wide association studies have identified common genetic variants that predict the risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD). This study assessed whether a polygenic risk score (PRS) is associated with PAD and the incidence of major adverse limb events (MALE) independent of clinical risk factors in patients with established cardiometabolic disease. METHODS: A genetic analysis was performed, pooling individual patient-level data from six TIMI trials. The association of a recently validated PAD PRS with prevalent PAD and the incidence of MALE (acute limb ischaemia, chronic limb-threatening ischaemia, major amputation, or peripheral revascularization) was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 68 816 patients were included in this analysis, with a median follow-up of 2.6 years. Of these, 5986 (8.7%) had known PAD at baseline. After adjusting for clinical risk factors, a higher PAD PRS was independently associated with a 15% greater odds of prevalent PAD (adjusted odds ratio per 1-SD: 1.15 [95% confidence interval 1.12-1.18], P < .0001), a magnitude of risk as strong as established clinical risk factors. A total of 577 patients experienced MALE during follow-up. A higher PAD PRS was associated with a 30% increased risk of MALE (adjusted hazard ratio per 1-SD: 1.30 [1.19-1.42], P < .0001). Adding the PAD PRS to clinical risk factors resulted in a statistically significant but modest improvement in discrimination (area under the curve went from 0.651 to 0.662 P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: In a broad spectrum of patients with cardiometabolic disease, the PAD PRS is associated with an increased risk of PAD and the incidence of MALE beyond clinical risk factors; however, the improvement in discrimination was statistically significant but clinically modest.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Exploring China's Clean Air Act and associated cardiovascular disease risk: a prospective, quasi-experimental, and causal inference modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Substantial improvements in air quality have been recorded following the implementation of China's Clean Air Act (CCAA) in 2013. However, the association between CCAA implementation and individual-level cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remains unclear. We aimed to examine the long-term association between CCAA implementation and individual-level predicted CVD risk. METHODS: In this prospective, quasi-experimental study, we used data from the China Kadoorie Biobank, a prospective cohort study that recruited participants from five urban and five rural areas across China between 2004 and 2008, with three resurveys conducted after the baseline survey (in 2008, 2013-14, and 2020-21). We included 34 862 individuals (mean age 51·3 years) who participated in at least one resurvey and had no history of CVD at baseline. Participants were classified into intervention (n=25 497) and control (n=9365) groups based on the local government's targets for particulate matter reduction. We estimated the 10-year risk of incident CVD morbidity or mortality using a validated risk prediction model. We used a difference-in-difference model to assess the long-term association between CCAA implementation and predicted risk, with adjustments made for regional confounders and individual-level characteristics, including demographics, lifestyle factors, medical history, and indoor air pollution exposure. The relationship between changes in long-term exposure to PM2·5, PM10, and O3 and predicted risk after CCAA implementation was analysed using a linear model. The estimated risk differences associated with air pollutant changes were estimated based on the magnitude of changes and their corresponding effect sizes. FINDINGS: After the CCAA was implemented, PM2·5 and PM10 concentrations declined in both groups, but O3 concentrations increased. The intervention group showed a 3·95% (95% CI 3·18-4·72%) lower increase in predicted risk than the control group, with larger estimated differences under stricter enforcement. Between 2013 and 2021, each 10 μg/m3 change in PM2·5 concentration was positively associated with a 1·80 (1·34-2·27) percentage point change in predicted CVD risk, whereas each 10 μg/m3 change in PM10 concentration was associated with a 1·24 (0·84-1·63) percentage point change and each 10 μg/m3 change in O3 concentration with a 0·58 (0·33-0·83) percentage point change. Overall, the observed changes in air pollutants during the study period were associated with an average 6·6 percentage point reduction in predicted CVD risk. INTERPRETATION: The CCAA and improved air quality were associated with a slower increase in predicted CVD risk, supporting the necessity for stricter, multipollutant air quality policies to maximise public health benefits. FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China, Kadoorie Charitable Foundation, Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project, National Key R&D Program of China, Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology, and UK Wellcome Trust.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Association between fruit and vegetable intake and risk of depression: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.

Depression is a leading cause of global disability, and identifying modifiable lifestyle factors is a public health priority. We conducted a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies examining the association between fruit and vegetable intake and incident depression. PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, and Google Scholar were searched through November 2025. Data on study characteristics, dietary assessment, outcomes, effect estimates, and covariates were independently extracted by two reviewers. Random-effects models were used to calculate pooled relative risks (RRs), and linear and non-linear dose-response relationships were assessed. Heterogeneity was evaluated using I2, and evidence certainty was rated with GRADE. Thirteen cohorts with 385,449 participants and 26,592 depression cases were included. Highest versus lowest combined fruit and vegetable intake was associated with a 37% lower risk of depression (RR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.50, 0.80). Each 200 g/day increase corresponded to a 16% risk reduction (RR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.74-0.94). Separate analyses showed that fruit and vegetable intake reduced depression risk by 16% and 12%, respectively, with a non-linear dose-response for vegetables. These findings indicate that higher consumption of fruits and vegetables is associated with lower depression risk, supporting dietary strategies as a potential approach for mental health prevention. However, given the observational nature of the included studies, these results should be interpreted with caution, as residual confounding may partially account for the observed associations. Registration: This study was registered at PROSPERO (CRD420261279998).

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Risk factors of venous thromboembolism in ICU patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with the development of VTE in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted via PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases up to 25 April 2025, to identify studies examining the association between risk factors and the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ICU patients. Data were pooled using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 2465 relevant studies were identified through the systematic search, of which 30 were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled data showed that the following were significant risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ICU patients: central venous catheterization (OR = 2.67, 95% CI: 1.67-4.28; I2 = 28%), invasive mechanical ventilation (OR = 2.08, 95% CI: 1.46-2.96; I2 = 0%), advanced age (OR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.28-3.31; I2 = 86%), length of ICU stay (OR = 4.24, 95% CI: 1.43-12.57; I2 = 98%), malignancy (OR = 2.30, 95% CI: 1.03-5.12; I2 = 67%), elevated D-dimer levels (OR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.37-4.40; I2 = 34%), and a history of VTE (OR = 2.84, 95% CI: 1.45-5.55; I2 = 51%). According to the GRADE assessment, the quality of evidence was rated as moderate for invasive mechanical ventilation, low for central venous catheterization and D-dimer levels, and very low for the remaining factors. CONCLUSION: Invasive mechanical ventilation, central venous catheterization, and elevated D-dimer levels are associated with VTE risk, supported by relatively high-quality evidence. These findings may help identify ICU patients at higher risk of VTE, inform the development of risk assessment models for patient stratification, and ultimately contribute to improved prognosis through optimal screening and management strategies.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Serum Copeptin Rises After Tolvaptan for Hyponatraemia, but Does Not Predict Risk of Rapid Sodium Rise: Pre-Specified Secondary Analysis of the TVFR Trial.

OBJECTIVE: Hyponatraemia is a common electrolyte disorder often driven by excess arginine vasopressin (AVP). Copeptin is a stable surrogate marker co-secreted with AVP. It is unclear whether treatment of hyponatraemia with tolvaptan, an AVP-V2 receptor antagonist, impacts copeptin. We aimed to assess the effects of tolvaptan on serum copeptin, compared to fluid restriction. DESIGN: Pre-specified secondary analysis of an open-label randomised trial comparing tolvaptan or fluid restriction for 3 days. PATIENTS: Hospitalised patients with plasma sodium (pNa) 115-130 mmol/L at a single-centre tertiary hospital in Melbourne, Australia. MEASUREMENTS: Copeptin measured at baseline and completion (Day 4, or discharge if sooner). RESULTS: Copeptin results were available in 45/54 participants, randomised to tolvaptan (n = 25) or FR (n = 20). Mean baseline copeptin was 10.4 pmol/L. pNa increased in both groups, significantly more with tolvaptan as previously reported. Copeptin remained stable after FR, but significantly increased after tolvaptan (mean adjusted difference between groups over 3 days 8.4 pmol/L, 95% CI 2.1-14.6, p = 0.01). Baseline copeptin did not predict rapid sodium rise. The rise in copeptin after tolvaptan may represent an exaggerated response to osmolality rise in these patients ('reset osmostat'), or feedback mechanisms from AVP blockade. CONCLUSION: Tolvaptan increased serum copeptin compared to fluid restriction. Further research is required to determine if there is clinical utility for measuring copeptin in hyponatraemia before it is adopted into practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN12619001683123.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Associations Between Routine Vaccinations and the Risk of New-Onset Idiopathic Uveitis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between vaccination and the risk of new-onset idiopathic uveitis (NIU). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of aggregated electronic health records from multiple health systems across the United States. SUBJECTS: Subjects who received the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), human papillomavirus (HPV), varicella, recombinant herpes zoster, or live herpes zoster vaccinations from 2006 to 2025 and propensity-score matched controls. INTERVENTION: Vaccines against COVID-19, HPV, varicella, recombinant herpes zoster, or live herpes zoster. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcome was the incidence of NIU at 3, 6, and 12 months following vaccination. Vaccinated patients were compared with matched controls who did not receive the respective vaccines. Analyses were repeated, excluding patients with previous diagnosis of the respective viral infection. Risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for overall NIU and constituent subtypes (anterior, intermediate, posterior, and panuveitis). RESULTS: All tested vaccinations were associated with reduced risk of NIU through 12 months compared with matched controls. Relative risk reductions were 65% for COVID-19 (RR, 0.35; CI, 0.33-0.37), 56% for HPV (RR, 0.44; CI, 0.35-0.54), 71% for varicella (RR, 0.29; CI, 0.25-0.33), 68% for live zoster (RR, 0.32; CI, 0.23-0.43), and 69% for recombinant zoster vaccination (RR, 0.31; CI, 0.26-0.37). Similar reductions were observed after excluding patients with prior diagnoses of the respective viral infections. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination was associated with a lower risk of idiopathic uveitis, representing the complex interplay between immune modulation and the development of NIU.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Long-term hormone therapy for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: Hormone therapy is widely provided to control menopausal symptoms and has been used for the management and prevention of cardiovascular disease, osteoporosis and dementia in older women. This is an updated version of a Cochrane review first published in 2005. OBJECTIVES: To assess the long-term effects of prolonged use (at least one year) of hormone therapy on mortality, cardiovascular outcomes, cancer, gallbladder disease, fractures and cognition in perimenopausal and postmenopausal women. SEARCH METHODS: We used the Cochrane Gynaecology and Fertility Group Specialised Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, three other databases and two trial registers, together with reference checking, citation searching and contact with study authors to identify the studies included in the review. The latest search date was 26 September 2024. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised, double-blind trials in which peri- or postmenopausal women took hormone therapy or placebo for at least one year. We included various oestrogen formulations, with or without progestogens. We focused on studies assessing hormone therapy's effects on long-term clinical outcomes, including death, coronary events and cancer. Hormone therapy's efficacy in managing menopausal symptoms was beyond the scope of this review, and is assessed in other Cochrane reviews. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently selected studies, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. We calculated risk ratios (RRs) for dichotomous data and mean differences (MDs) for continuous data, along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We assessed the certainty of the evidence using GRADE. MAIN RESULTS: We included 24 studies - with two newly added in this update - involving 45,660 participants. We derived nearly 70% of the data from two well-conducted studies: the Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study (HERS 1998) and the large, multi-component Women's Health Initiative research programme, which included two hormone therapy arms (WHI 1998). Across all the studies, most participants were postmenopausal American women with one or more comorbidities. The mean participant age in most studies was over 60 years. Only one included study focused on perimenopausal women. We present full results for all included studies with available data in the main review. The results presented below are drawn from WHI 1998, in which the combined hormone therapy arm and the oestrogen-only arm were run concurrently, with women assigned to the appropriate trial based on their uterus status. One study with 16,608 postmenopausal women with an intact uterus compared combined continuous hormone therapy (conjugated equine oestrogen and medroxyprogesterone acetate) to placebo, and measured outcomes at an average of 5.6 years of follow-up. Based on this study, combined continuous hormone therapy probably makes little to no difference to the risk of a coronary event (RR 1.17, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.44; moderate-certainty evidence). It may increase the risk of stroke (RR 1.39, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.09; low-certainty evidence) and venous thromboembolism (RR 2.03, 95% CI 1.55 to 6.64; low-certainty evidence). Compared to placebo, combined continuous hormone therapy probably increases the risk of breast cancer (RR 1.27, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.56; moderate-certainty evidence) and probably makes little to no difference to the risk of lung cancer (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.46; moderate-certainty evidence). It may increase gallbladder disease requiring surgery (RR 1.64, 95% CI 1.30 to 2.06; 14,203 participants; low-certainty evidence), and probably reduces the risk of all clinical fractures (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.86; moderate-certainty evidence). One study including 10,739 postmenopausal women who had undergone a hysterectomy compared oestrogen-only (conjugated equine oestrogen) hormone therapy to placebo, and measured outcomes at an average of seven years' follow-up. Based on this study, oestrogen-only hormone therapy probably makes little to no difference to the risk of coronary events (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.13), venous thromboembolism (RR 1.32, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.74) and breast cancer (RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.01), all with moderate-certainty evidence. It may make little to no difference to the risk of lung cancer (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.73 to 1.48; low-certainty evidence). Oestrogen-only hormone therapy probably increases the risk of stroke (RR 1.33, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.67) and gallbladder disease requiring surgery (RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.42 to 2.24), and probably reduces the risk of all clinical fractures (RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.80), all with moderate-certainty evidence. We judged most included studies to have a low risk of bias for most domains. The overall certainty of evidence for the main comparisons was moderate. The main limitation was that only about 30% of women were 50 to 59 years old at baseline, the age group most likely to consider hormone therapy for vasomotor symptoms. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Long-term follow-up of women using hormone therapy suggests that the risk profiles vary between combined hormone therapy and oestrogen-only therapy. Oestrogen-only hormone therapy probably makes little to no difference to coronary events, and probably increases the risk of stroke and gallbladder disease. It probably makes little to no difference in the risk of breast cancer, and probably reduces the risk of all fractures. Combined hormone therapy may increase the risk of thromboembolism and probably increases the risk of breast cancer. These results should be interpreted with caution as they are based on one study using oral hormone therapy, which may not represent the risks of the hormone therapy currently used in clinical practice.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Extreme Temperature and Incident Diabetes Risk Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China: A National Longitudinal Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The metabolic consequences of extreme temperature exposure in nondiabetic populations remain poorly understood. This study aimed to examine associations between heatwave and coldwave exposure and incident diabetes mellitus (DM) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in middle-aged and older Chinese adults. METHODS: A total of 1803 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study participants aged ≥45 years with normoglycemia at baseline were followed from Wave 1 (2011) to Wave 3 (2015). Eighteen extreme-temperature indicators were derived from city-level fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalysis data. Outcomes were classified according to American Diabetes Association criteria. Generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs) were pooled across five imputed datasets, with Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons (α = 0.0028) and sensitivity analysis adjusting for individual follow-up duration. RESULTS: All nine heatwave indicators showed odds ratios (ORs) < 1.0 for DM and IGT. HT9 (≥97.5th percentile, ≥4 consecutive days) was the sole Bonferroni-significant result: OR = 0.845 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.802-0.890). Coldwave indicators showed no consistent associations. Age significantly modified the HT9 effect (P-interaction = 0.004): adults aged 65-84 showed a stronger inverse association (OR = 0.616) than those aged < 65 (OR = 0.921). CONCLUSION: Prolonged heatwave exposure was consistently associated with reduced diabetes risk, with pronounced age heterogeneity. Replication in larger prospective studies is warranted.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

From premature adrenarche to adult metabolic risk and hyperandrogenism: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: Idiopathic premature adrenarche (IPA) has been associated with a higher risk of metabolic and reproductive dysfunction, but long-term/adult outcomes remain incompletely known. OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationship between IPA and metabolic syndrome, as well as polycystic ovarian syndrome, in premenarcheal adolescent and adult women. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies reporting outcomes in females with IPA after menarche. Databases were searched through February 2025. Primary outcomes included body mass index (BMI), insulin resistance markers, and clinical and biochemical markers of hyperandrogenism. Data were pooled using random-effects models. The GRADE approach was applied to assess the certainty of evidence. RESULTS: A total of 21 studies comprising 635 females with IPA and 307 age-matched controls were included. Compared to controls, IPA individuals showed significantly higher BMI (mean difference: 1.4; CI: 1.0-1.9), fasting insulin, and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, indicating persistent insulin resistance. Markers of hyperandrogenism, including Ferriman-Gallwey score, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, and Free androgenic index, were also elevated. Secondary analyses revealed higher triglycerides, lower high-density lipoprotein, increased leptin, and greater carotid intima-media thickness, supporting an early pattern of cardiometabolic risk. GRADE assessment rated most outcomes as low certainty. CONCLUSION: Women with a history of IPA are at increased risk of long-term insulin resistance and hyperandrogenism, with early signs of adverse cardiometabolic profiles. These findings support the need for long-term monitoring in this population.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Depressive Symptoms and Smoking Cessation Among Adolescents and Young Adults Who Smoke: A Prospective Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: This study examined the bidirectional prospective associations between depressive symptoms and smoking cessation among adolescent and young adults who smoke. METHODS: Data on 1,151 participants aged ≤25 years who smoke and receive peer-led quitline counseling in Hong Kong (2016-2022) were analyzed. Exposures included baseline depressive symptoms and smoking cessation (self-reported 7-day abstinence) at 1, 3, and 6 months; Outcome measures included smoking cessation at 1, 3, and 6 months and depressive symptoms at 6 months. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale, with a score ≥16 indicating at risk for depression. RESULTS: More severe baseline depressive symptoms were associated with lower odds of smoking cessation at 1, 3, and 6 months, which reversely was associated with lower depressive symptoms at 6 months (all p < .05). Similarly, being at risk for depression at baseline was associated with lower odds of smoking cessation at 1 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] .66, 95% confidential interval [CI] .47-.93) and 3 months (aOR .71, 95% CI .52-.97). Conversely, smoking cessation at 1 (aOR .40, 95% CI .23-.69), 3 (aOR .58, 95% CI .37-.92), and 6 months (aOR .44, 95% CI .29-.69) was associated with lower odds of at risk for depression at 6 months. DISCUSSION: More severe depressive symptoms were prospectively associated with lower odds of smoking cessation, while smoking cessation was associated with lower depressive symptoms and risk for depression. Integrated interventions simultaneously addressing psychological needs and smoking are warranted, when delivered in smoking cessation programs or embedded within mental health services for youth who smoke.

Humans↗