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Relation between the longitudinal development of lipoprotein levels and biological parameters during adolescence and young adulthood in Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To analyse the relation between the longitudinal development of total serum cholesterol (TC), high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL), and the TC/ HDL ratio and the longitudinal development of the biological parameters body fatness (SSF), lean body mass (LBM), and cardiopulmonary fitness (VO2-max). The relations were analysed with generalised estimating equations (GEE). SETTING: The relations were investigated with data from the Amsterdam growth and health study, a longitudinal study in which six measurements were carried out within a period of 15 years. PARTICIPANTS: Altogether 98 females and 84 males aged 13 years at the start of the study. MAIN RESULTS: Adjusted for lifestyle and other biological parameters, the longitudinal development of TC was inversely related to the development of LBM (standardised regression coefficient beta = -0.27; p < or = 0.01) and positively to SSF (beta males = 0.32; p < or = 0.01 and beta females = 0.15; p < or = 0.01). HDL was inversely related to LBM (beta = -0.26; p < or = 0.01) and positively to VO2-max (beta = 0.08; p < or = 0.05). The TC/HDL ratio was positively related to SSF (beta males = 0.39; p < or = 0.01 and beta females = 0.13; p < or = 0.01) and inversely to VO2-max (beta = -0.09; p < or = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The longitudinal analyses showed that body fatness was related to a high risk profile with respect to hypercholesterolaemia, and cardiopulmonary fitness to a low risk profile. Furthermore, it was shown that using body mass index as an indicator of body fatness in relation to lipoprotein values, has some important drawbacks.

Adolescent↗

Frequency and clinical implications of fluid dynamically significant diffuse coronary artery disease manifest as graded, longitudinal, base-to-apex myocardial perfusion abnormalities by noninvasive positron emission tomography.

BACKGROUND: Diffuse coronary atherosclerosis is the substrate for plaque rupture and coronary events. Therefore, in patients with mild arteriographic coronary artery disease without significant segmental dipyridamole-induced myocardial perfusion defects, we tested the hypothesis that fluid dynamically significant diffuse coronary artery narrowing is frequently manifest as a graded, longitudinal, base-to-apex myocardial perfusion abnormality by noninvasive PET. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study, 1001 patients with documented coronary artery disease by coronary arteriography showing any visible coronary artery narrowing underwent rest-dipyridamole PET perfusion imaging. Quantitative severity of dipyridamole-induced, circumscribed, segmental PET perfusion defects was objectively measured by automated software as the minimum quadrant average relative activity indicating localized flow limiting stenoses. Quantitative severity of the graded, longitudinal, base-to-apex myocardial perfusion gradient indicating fluid dynamic effects of diffuse coronary artery narrowing was objectively measured by automated software as the spatial slope of relative activity along the cardiac longitudinal axis. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with mild arteriographic disease without statistically significant dipyridamole-induced segmental myocardial perfusion defects caused by flow-limiting stenoses compared with normal control subjects, there was a graded, longitudinal, base-to-apex myocardial perfusion gradient significantly different from normal control subjects (P=0. 001) that was also observed for moderate to severe dipyridamole-induced segmental perfusion defects (P=0.0001), indicating diffuse disease underlying segmental perfusion defects; 43% of patients with or without segmental perfusion defects demonstrated graded, longitudinal, base-to-apex perfusion abnormalities beyond +/-2 SD of normal control subjects, indicating diffuse coronary arterial narrowing by noninvasive PET perfusion imaging.

Adult↗

Cross-sectional and 4-year longitudinal associations between brachial pulse pressure and common carotid intima-media thickness in a general population. The EVA study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The cross-sectional and 4-year longitudinal associations between brachial pulse pressure (PP) and ultrasound measurements of common carotid intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) were assessed. METHODS: A population of 957 volunteers aged 59 to 71 years was recruited from the electoral rolls of the city of Nantes (western France) and reexamined 4 years later. Longitudinal changes in PP and CCA-IMT were computed as the difference between 4-year follow-up and baseline values. RESULTS: Baseline CCA-IMT and PP were positively associated in both age- and sex-adjusted analysis (partial correlation coefficient=0.20, P<0.001) and in multivariate analysis adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors and mean blood pressure (partial correlation coefficient=0.18, P<0.001). In longitudinal analysis, baseline PP was associated with the change in 4-year CCA-IMT (partial correlation coefficient=0.11, P<0.001), and baseline CCA-IMT was a predictor of the 4-year change in PP (partial correlation coefficient=0.10, 0.001<P<0.01). No association between mean blood pressure and CCA-IMT was observed once PP was taken into account, in either cross-sectional or longitudinal analyses (partial correlation coefficients ranged from 0.00 to 0.03). Similar patterns of results were observed in hypertensive, nonhypertensive, and antihypertensive-treated and -nontreated subjects. CONCLUSIONS: This longitudinal study of a large population of relatively aged subjects suggests that elevated levels of PP are associated with the progression of CCA-IMT, and increased CCA-IMT is associated with PP widening. The nature of these relationships and whether atherosclerosis progression over time is involved or not in these associations merit further investigations.

Aged↗

Longitudinal study of health maintenance organization efficiency.

Longitudinal studies looking at health maintenance organization (HMO) efficiency in the United States have not been performed before this study--previously there have only been small inter-group studies comparing efficiencies. The objectives here were twofold: to analyse HMO efficiency longitudinally, using a data envelopment analysis (DEA) model; and to compare the various types of HMOs and their efficiency using DEA. A cohort of HMOs was followed longitudinally and a number of variables measuring efficiency were studied. Data were derived from the HMO database survey (HCIA Inc.) for 1993-1997. Thirty-six HMOs were followed over a five-year period, and baseline input and output variables were collected. These measures are proxies for efficiency using the DEA methodology. Over all, using the DEA model it was demonstrated that HMOs tended to improve efficiency over time. Independent Practice Association HMOs appeared to show the highest level of improved efficiency. HMO type, profit status, federal eligibility and age were predictive variables for efficiency. Results of this study demonstrate that HMOs are improving efficiency longitudinally, and in general, certain specific models are longitudinally more efficient than others. Moreover, attributes of efficient HMOs have been identified. For policy-makers looking at efficiency, this information can be used to determine which HMO models are more appropriate when trying to achieve cost containment and effectiveness.

Benchmarking↗

A joint model for nonparametric functional mapping of longitudinal trajectory and time-to-event.

BACKGROUND: The characterization of the relationship between a longitudinal response process and a time-to-event has been a pressing challenge in biostatistical research. This has emerged as an important issue in genetic studies when one attempts to detect the common genes or quantitative trait loci (QTL) that govern both a longitudinal trajectory and developmental event. RESULTS: We present a joint statistical model for functional mapping of dynamic traits in which the event times and longitudinal traits are taken to depend on a common set of genetic mechanisms. By fitting the Legendre polynomial of orthogonal properties for the time-dependent mean vector, our model does not rely on any curve, which is different from earlier parametric models of functional mapping. This newly developed nonparametric model is demonstrated and validated by an example for a forest tree in which stemwood growth and the time to first flower are jointly modelled. CONCLUSION: Our model allows for the detection of specific QTL that govern both longitudinal traits and developmental processes through either pleiotropic effects or close linkage, or both. This model will have great implications for integrating longitudinal and event data to gain better insights into comprehensive biology and biomedicine.

Algorithms↗

Genetic linkage analysis of longitudinal hypertension phenotypes using three summary measures.

BACKGROUND: Longitudinal data often have multiple (repeated) measures recorded along a time trajectory. For example, the two cohorts from the Framingham Heart Study (GAW13 Problem 1) contain 21 and 5 repeated measures for hypertension phenotypes as well as epidemiological risk factors, respectively. Direct modelling of a large number of serially and biologically correlated traits in the context of linkage analysis can be prohibitively complex. Alternatively, we may consider using univariate transformation for linkage analysis of longitudinal repeated measures. RESULTS: We evaluated the utility of three conventional summary measures (mean, slope, and principal components) for genetic linkage analysis of longitudinal phenotypes by analyzing the chromosome 10 data of the Framingham Heart Study. Except for the temporal slope, all of the summary methods and the multivariate analysis identified the previously reported region, marker GATA64A09, for systolic blood pressure or high blood pressure. Further analysis revealed that this region may harbor gene(s) affecting human blood pressure at multiple stages of life. CONCLUSION: We conclude that mean and principal components are feasible alternatives for genetic linkage analysis of longitudinal phenotypes, but the slope might have a separate genetic basis from that of the original longitudinal phenotypes.

Adult Children↗

Instrumental variables and inverse probability weighting for causal inference from longitudinal observational studies.

Inferring causal effects from longitudinal repeated measures data has high relevance to a number of areas of research, including economics, social sciences and epidemiology. In observational studies in particular, the treatment receipt mechanism is typically not under the control of the investigator; it can depend on various factors, including the outcome of interest. This results in differential selection into treatment levels, and can lead to selection bias when standard routines such as least squares regression are used to estimate causal effects. Interestingly, both the characterization of and methodology for handling selection bias can differ substantially by disciplinary tradition. In social sciences and economics, instrumental variables (IV) is the standard method for estimating linear and nonlinear models in which the error term may be correlated with an observed covariate. When such correlation is not ruled out, the covariate is called endogenous and least squares estimates of the covariate effect are typically biased. The availability of an instrumental variable can be used to reduce or eliminate the bias. In public health and clinical medicine (e.g., epidemiology and biostatistics), selection bias is typically viewed in terms of confounders, and the prevailing methods are geared toward making proper adjustments via explicit use of observed confounders (e.g., stratification, standardization). A class of methods known as inverse probability weighting (IPW) estimators, which relies on modeling selection in terms of confounders, is gaining in popularity for making such adjustments. Our objective is to review and compare IPW and IV for estimating causal treatment effects from longitudinal data, where the treatment may vary with time. We accomplish this by defining the causal estimands in terms of a linear stochastic model of potential outcomes (counterfactuals). Our comparison includes a review of terminology typically used in discussions of causal inference (e.g., confounding, endogeneity); a review of assumptions required to identify causal effects and their implications for estimation and interpretation; description of estimation via inverse weighting and instrumental variables; and a comparative analysis of data from a longitudinal cohort study of HIV-infected women. In our discussion of assumptions and estimation routines, we try to emphasize sufficient conditions needed to implement relatively standard analyses that can essentially be formulated as regression models. In that sense this review is geared toward the quantitative practitioner. The objective of the data analysis is to estimate the causal (therapeutic) effect of receiving combination antiviral therapy on longitudinal CD4 cell counts, where receipt of therapy varies with time and depends on CD4 count and other covariates. Assumptions are reviewed in context, and resulting inferences are compared. The analysis illustrates the importance of considering the existence of unmeasured confounding and of checking for 'weak instruments.' It also suggests that IV methodology may have a role in longitudinal cohort studies where potential instrumental variables are available.

Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active↗

The relationship of longitudinal change in reproductive hormones and vasomotor symptoms during the menopausal transition.

CONTEXT: The relationship of reproductive hormones to vasomotor symptoms (VMS) has been incompletely explored, although an increase in such symptoms at midlife and their reduction with hormone therapy suggest a strong and direct relationship. Vasomotor symptoms are reported by 65-76% of women traversing the menopausal transition and are a primary reason for medical intervention during this life stage. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this report was to relate longitudinal serum concentrations of the reproductive hormones estradiol (E2), FSH, testosterone (T), dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS), and SHBG and the free hormone indices free E2 index (FEI) and free T index (FTI) with the occurrence of VMS in women traversing the menopausal transition. DESIGN AND SETTING: The Study of Women's Health Across the Nation is a multisite, longitudinal, cohort study of the menopausal transition being conducted in community-based groups of women. PARTICIPANTS AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: At baseline, 3302 menstruating women who belonged to one of five ethnic/racial groups were recruited and followed up with annual visits. Frequencies of symptoms (hot flashes, night sweats) for the prior 2 wk and measures of other covariates as well as potentially confounding variables were self-reported in the annual interview. Serum was obtained annually, on d 2-5 of a spontaneous cycle in cycling women or within 90 d of the anniversary of the baseline study visit in noncycling women and assayed for FSH, E2, T, SHBG, and DHEAS. FTI and FEI were calculated. This analysis incorporated available longitudinal data from 3293 women, excluding information collected at or after first report of hormone therapy use or hysterectomy. Data were analyzed using longitudinal marginal logistic regression models and a partial proportional odds model. RESULTS: After adjusting for age, body mass index, and other related covariates, VMS prevalence increased with higher (log)FSH concentrations, and the increase was greater when blood was drawn more than 5 d after menses began. FSH concentrations were positively associated with the frequency of either hot flashes or night sweats, and higher FSH concentrations were associated with greater odds of reporting more frequent symptoms. Vasomotor symptom prevalence decreased with higher (log)E2, (sqrt)SHBG, and (log)FEI but only when these hormone values were modeled independently of (log)FSH values and the specimens were obtained outside the d 2-5 window. When modeled simultaneously with (log)FSH, (log)E2, (sqrt)SHBG, and (log)FEI were no longer significantly associated with symptom prevalence. (Cubic root)T and (sqrt)DHEAS concentrations and (log)FTI were not associated with the prevalence of VMS. CONCLUSIONS: Annual serum FSH concentrations, but not E2, T, DHEAS, FTI, or FEI when collectively modeled longitudinally, are associated with both the prevalence and frequency of VMS in women at midlife.

Adult↗

Longitudinal changes in verbal memory in older adults: distinguishing the effects of age from repeat testing.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the relationship between age-related memory change and repeat testing using serial administrations of the California Verbal Learning Test (CVLT) in 385 nondemented Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging participants aged 55 and older with two or more memory assessments. METHODS: The authors investigated longitudinal change and the effects of age, sex, education, and repeat testing on new learning and recall by analyzing measures of learning and interference, short- and long-delay free and cued recall, and recognition hits in separate mixed-effects regressions. RESULTS: The authors found cross-sectional effects of age (p < or = 0.001) and sex (p < or = 0.05) on learning and interference, regardless of baseline performance. Younger adults outperformed older adults, and women outperformed men. Longitudinal age changes were documented across total learning and long-delay free and cued recall regardless of baseline scores (p < or = 0.05). In addition, controlling for baseline scores enhanced the sensitivity for detection of longitudinal age changes on Trial 5, short-delay cued recall and recognition hits (p < or = 0.05). The influence of repeated administrations changed with advancing baseline age for total learning and short- and long-delay recall such that younger baseline age was associated with improvement over time whereas older baseline age was associated with decline over time. CONCLUSION: Longitudinal declines in CVLT performance exist in normal aging and are influenced by baseline age. Furthermore, failure to account for the influence of repeat testing with aging may decrease sensitivity to detect pathologic decline.

Age Factors↗

[Longitudinal studies in the prevention of cardiovascular diseases].

Longitudinal studies of well defined cohorts have contributed to the identification of risk factors of coronary heart disease and other clinical complications of atherosclerosis. After commenting on the conclusions of experimental atherosclerosis and risk factors suggested by the study of a series of myocardial infarction in young adults and their matched controls, we discuss the methodology, management and results of longitudinal studies carried out in the United States since 1949: Twin Cities, Framingham, Pooling Project, Western Collaborative, Puerto Rico Evans County, NI-IION-SAN, San Francisco, Harvard, Bogalusa and CARDIA. Special attention is given to the hypothesis proposed at the beginning of the Framingham Study and the obstacles and changes to continue the project after the first twenty-four years. We also expose the Seven Countries Study, designed and managed by Ancel Keys, as the first study performed with centralized methodology in various countries, and the studies in various European countries: Whitehall, Manresa, Paris, British Regional, Northwick Park, Caerphilly, Speedwell and PROCAM. We analyse the role of the longitudinal studies in the methodology of later studies: sons and daughters of the Framingham participants, longitudinal studies based on questionnaires, studies of the other risk factors, prevalence of risk factors in retrospective studies, trials of primary prevention (MRFIT, WHO European Collaborative Trial and Gotenburg Study) and the participation of the trained teams in the MONICA Project. We present the issues still under debate in connection with the methodology and results of the longitudinal studies: problems in the periodic examination of the participants in the epidemiologic studies, changes in definition of the new cases of acute cardiovascular events, use and selection of risk functions based on coronary charts to calculate the individual risk and cardiovascular risk factors as yet unknown.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗

Progression of ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament following en bloc cervical laminoplasty.

BACKGROUND: Ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament often causes compressive myelopathy. Ossification is a progressive disease, and it has been reported that the area of ossification increases after decompressive surgery. However, it is uncertain how the progression of ossification affects the long-term outcome after cervical laminoplasty. This study was performed to clarify the relationship between the progression of ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament and the clinical results following en bloc cervical laminoplasty. METHODS: Forty-five patients who were followed for more than ten years after laminoplasty participated in this study. Radiographs and tomograms of the cervical spine of each patient were made before and after the operation and at the time of the latest follow-up. The extent of ossification in the longitudinal and sagittal axes was evaluated. Neurological function was graded with use of the Japanese Orthopaedic Association scoring system. The relationship between the progression of ossification and the score-based rate of recovery was analyzed. RESULTS: Thirty-three (73%) of the patients had progression of ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament after laminoplasty. Progression was frequent in patients with the mixed type of ossification and in those with the continuous type, whereas it was rare in patients with the segmental type. The patients with progression of the ossification were significantly younger than those without progression (p = 0.018). The Japanese Orthopaedic Association score improved rapidly within one year and continued to improve up to five years after surgery. The score tended to decrease thereafter. For thirteen patients, the score had worsened at the time of the latest follow-up. Three patients had neurological deterioration following an increase in the thickness of the ossification. CONCLUSIONS: Progression of ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament was often observed during the long-term follow-up period after laminoplasty. Young patients with mixed and continuous types of ossification had the greatest risk for progression. Preventive measures, such as the use of a wider laminar opening during the laminoplasty, should be considered for patients who are at risk for progression of ossification.

Adult↗

Biomarkers of aging in women and the rate of longitudinal changes.

The purposes of this study were (1) to estimate biological age score (BAS) in Japanese healthy women based on the 4-7 years longitudinal data for physiological, hematological and biochemical examinations and (2) to examine the rate of aging changes in adult women based on the estimated BAS. The samples consisted of cross-sectional (n=981) and longitudinal (n=110) groups. Out of 31 variables examined, five variables (forced expiratory volume in 1.0 s, systolic blood pressure, mean corpuscular hemoglobin, glucose, albumin/globulin ratio) that met the following criteria: 1) significant cross-sectional correlation with age; 2) significant longitudinal change in the same direction as the cross-sectional correlation; and (3) assessment of redundancy, were selected as candidate biomarkers of aging. This variable set was then submitted into a principal component analysis, and the first principal component obtained from this analysis was used as an equation for assessing one's BAS. Individual BAS showed a high longitudinal stability of age-related changes, suggesting high predictive validity of our newly developed aging measurement equation. However, changes in the aging rate based on the estimated BAS were not constant. The mean slopes of the regression lines of BAS for the three age groups (age<45, 45</=age<65 yrs, 65</=age) were 0.095, 0.065, 0.138, respectively. One-way analysis of variance detected a significant difference (F=5.14, p<0.01) among the three age groups. These results suggest that the rate of aging in adult women is relatively slower until 65 years of age, but after 65, the rate of aging shows a rapid increase. We concluded that the longitudinal method used for selection of variables to compute the BAS was useful and theoretically valid compared to those obtained from cross-sectional data analysis.

Adaptation, Physiological↗

Games researchers play--extreme-groups analysis and mediation analysis in longitudinal occupational health research.

OBJECTIVES: The study of causal processes using a longitudinal design is often hampered by two methodological problems. First, the lagged effects of a predictor variable on an outcome variable tend to be weak after control for a previous measure of this outcome. One approach that is advocated when effects are weak is to increase the extremeness of the study groups; this step often increases the significance and sizes of effects. Second, causal links are often mediated through third variables, and thus relatively complex mediational analyses are needed to understand the causal processes underlying particular associations. The present paper shows whether and when these two approaches are useful in longitudinal research. METHODS: The two approaches were evaluated using data from a three-wave study among 1251 newcomers from various Western countries (mean age 20.6 years, 59% female). RESULTS: Although the significances and effect sizes indeed increased with increasing extremeness of the study groups, extreme-groups analysis in the context of a longitudinal design may grossly bias findings. Cross-sectional applications of mediation analysis cannot provide evidence for any mediational model. Longitudinal models are better suited for examining mediation. CONCLUSIONS: Rather than using extreme-groups analysis to obtain significant effects across time, researchers should maximize the amount of change in their data by focusing on groups for which change can be expected. Especially multiphase longitudinal data sets offer good opportunities for analyzing mediation models.

Adult↗

Hormone replacement therapy and longitudinal changes in blood pressure in postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of hypertension in postmenopausal women exceeds that in age-matched men. Longitudinal studies relating hormone replacement therapy (HRT) to blood pressure changes are sparse. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between HRT and longitudinal changes in blood pressure in postmenopausal women. DESIGN: Longitudinal observational study. SETTING: Community-dwelling volunteers. PATIENTS: 226 healthy, normotensive postmenopausal women from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging with a mean (+/-SD) age of 64 +/- 10 years were followed for 5.7 +/- 5.3 years. Seventy-seven women used both estrogen and progestin, and 149 used neither. MEASUREMENTS: Lifestyle variables, blood pressure, and traditional cardiovascular risk factors were measured at baseline and approximately every 2 years thereafter. RESULTS: Systolic blood pressure at baseline was similar in HRT users and nonusers (133.9 +/- 16.0 mm Hg vs. 132.4 +/- 14.8 mm Hg). Over time, average systolic blood pressure increased less in HRT users than nonusers, independent of other cardiovascular risk factors, physical activity, and alcohol use. For example, HRT users who were 55 years of age at their first Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging visit experienced a 7.6-mm Hg average increase in systolic blood pressure over 10 years; in contrast, the average increase in nonusers was 18.7 mm Hg. The lesser increase in systolic blood pressure in HRT users was more evident at older age. Diastolic blood pressure, which did not change statistically over time in either group, was not associated with HRT. CONCLUSION: Postmenopausal women taking HRT have a smaller increase in systolic blood pressure over time than those not taking HRT. This difference is intensified at older ages.

Age Factors↗

In the long run...longitudinal studies of psychopathology in children. Committee on Child Psychology. Group for the Advancement of Psychiatry. Report no.143.

Longitudinal studies are difficult to do well. Too short a study and the results may be meaningless. Too long a study and the subjects cannot be found, money runs out, and research methods become seriously out of date. Despite these problems, there have been some longitudinal studies done that have greatly advanced our understanding of the nature and the treatment of psychopathology in childhood. Without these studies, much less would be known about the clinical course of important disorders, the effects of treatments, and the various risk and protective factors. None of these studies has been perfect. Some longitudinal studies did not focus on quite the right questions, some produced contradictory results, and others produced results that were hard to interpret. What have we learned from the longitudinal studies reviewed in this Group for the Advancement of Psychiatry (GAP) report? Many of the things that we have learned have been surprising--even counterintuitive. Pre- and perinatal insults need not necessarily lead to serious consequences in later life. Premature infants, if raised in nondeprived settings, are not likely to be mentally retarded or learning disabled. Today, of course, premature infants who would not have been kept alive 15 years ago are surviving. Will this advancement led to an untoward outcome? We do not know. New longitudinal studies need to be done. Certain serious illnesses emerging later in childhood may be associated with a greater risk of psychopathology. This risk is true at least for those with asthma. Psychological factors, such as psychological stress, also may lead to exacerbation of asthmatic attacks. Whether other illnesses are associated with a greater risk of psychopathology simply has not been studied adequately. Infant temperamental characteristics can be classified and measured; however, they appear to predict little in terms of later personality development or psychopathology. Although temperamental characteristics measured in infancy correlate poorly with temperamental characteristics measured at age 4 or 5 years, they appear to be much more stable and correlate well with temperament at ages 8 and 12 years. Some of these temperamental characteristics, particularly aggressivity and negativity at age 5 years, are serious risk factors for behavioral psychopathology at age 8 or 12 years and, possibly, at later ages as well. Aggressive, negative 5-year-olds do not necessarily grow out of their problems. Their problems are important and should be dealt with when children are age 5 years. What does appear important is early language development. Delays in language development or developmental language disorders are risk factors for later psychopathology. Fifty percent of school-age children with language problems requiring speech and language therapy also have diagnosable psychopathology. Hyperactivity and short attention span are characteristics that tend to persist in later childhood--even adulthood. Alone, each of these characteristics may not be a risk factor for later psychopathology, but, when accompanied by oppositional behavior and conduct disorder, the outcome is detrimental to the child. Many studies have shown that children with these comorbid problems are at risk later for becoming delinquent and antisocial. Conduct disorder in childhood, which is much more common in males, is a risk factor for later delinquency, even if it is not associated with hyperactivity. Again, early intervention is important. The effects of comorbidity in this instance can be serious. Comorbidity in general, especially as children grow older, leads to adverse social, academic, and psychopathological outcomes. Depression does occur in children, in all of its adult manifestations. Mania, in contrast, is rarely seen in children younger than age 12 years. Depression in school-age children can be severe or mild. In contrast to adolescents with depression, depressed children are most likely to have somatic compla

Adolescent↗

[Roaming through the methodology. XXVIII. More problems with longitudinal studies: dropouts, head-start effects and interval correlations].

The Amsterdam Growth and Health Longitudinal Study with about 300 teenage boys and girls illustrates a number of problems that can occur in a longitudinal study. By adopting a more complex study design (multiple birth cohorts and a separate control group without longitudinal measurements) confounding factors may be found. A problem with the longitudinal design are the dropouts: by comparing their study results in the period before the dropout with the results of the 'stayers' in the same period, selective dropout may be identified. In a multiple longitudinal design with overlapping cohorts, head-tail effects may occur: the most reliable results are found in the middle area where there is the most overlap. Interperiod correlations may assist in determining the stability and the accuracy of the measurements.

Adolescent↗

Differential aging of the human striatum: longitudinal evidence.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Information about age-related changes in the striatum comes almost exclusively from cross-sectional studies. We examined age-related differences and longitudinal changes in the volume of the striatal nuclei, compared longitudinal measures of changes with their cross-sectional estimates, and addressed the question of differential aging of the basal ganglia. METHODS: We measured the volumes of the caudate nucleus (head), the putamen, and the globus pallidus on MR images of 53 healthy adults whose ages at baseline ranged between 20 and 77 years. The measurements were conducted twice, 5 years apart. RESULTS: On both measurement occasions, the volume of the neostriatal nuclei (caudate and putamen) but not of the globus pallidus correlated negatively with age. However, longitudinal comparison revealed significant declines in the neostriatal volumes and smaller (but statistically significant) shrinkage of the paleostriatum. In 5 years, the striatal components (caudate, putamen, and globus pallidus) shrunk by 1.21, 0.85, and 0.55 standard deviation units, respectively. The average annual shrinkage rate was 0.83% in the caudate nucleus, 0.73% in the putamen, and 0.51% in the globus pallidus. CONCLUSION: Although cross-sectional estimates suggested preservation of some striatal nuclei, longitudinal shrinkage of the whole striatum was evident even in a selected group of healthy adults. Moreover, the magnitude of observed longitudinal change was greater than predicted from cross-sectional studies.

Adult↗

An analysis of genotype effects and their interactions by using the apolipoprotein E polymorphism and longitudinal data.

We investigate the interaction between the apolipoprotein E polymorphism and changes in weight and height as they affect the longitudinal profile of total cholesterol, triglyceride, beta lipoprotein, and glucose levels. Data were available on a sample of 466 individuals in 158 nuclear families from Nancy, France. Longitudinal data analyses were carried out on 128 unrelated adults and 56 unrelated children. We estimate the relative frequencies of the epsilon 2, epsilon 3, and epsilon 4 apolipoprotein E alleles in this population to be .120, .764, and .116, respectively. There is no significant evidence from these data that supports an effect of the apolipoprotein E polymorphism on the longitudinal profile of any of the variables considered. There is a significant interaction between the effects of this gene and weight change on the longitudinal change of serum triglyceride and beta lipoprotein levels in adults. In conjunction with weight gain, individuals with an epsilon 4 allele are expected to show a larger increase in triglyceride levels (0.15 +/- 0.03 mmol/L/kg) compared with individuals with no epsilon 4 allele. An increased production of very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) as one gains weight, along with retarded VLDL clearance attributable to the effects of the epsilon 4 allele, may account for this results. The significant interaction between the apolipoprotein E polymorphism and changes in weight on the longitudinal change in triglyceride levels corroborates epidemiological studies reporting that the epsilon 4 allele increases the risk of hypertriglyceridemia among obese individuals.

Apolipoproteins E↗