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Prognostic indicators in diffuse, aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphomas: regulators of growth fraction and programmed cell death.

Less than half of patients with diffuse, aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma are cured with conventional-dose chemotherapy. Prognostic indicators identifying those at greatest risk of treatment failure must be established so that novel therapeutic approaches may be studied in those patients most likely to benefit. To date, clinical features are the most powerful predictors of outcome, but are most likely surrogates for biologic characteristics. Individually, proliferative activity and regulators of programmed cell death have been identified as predictors of clinical outcome in the diffuse, aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphomas. Recent studies suggest that proliferative and apoptotic pathways are closely interrelated. Prospective study of biologic correlates as part of large phase III clinical trials, especially those involving new agents such as the anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody, will help to determine whether treatment with biologic therapies is associated with different prognostic features than conventional chemotherapy. In addition, such studies will help to unravel the underlying biology of the lymphoid malignancies.

Antibodies, Monoclonal↗

Prognostic indicators in the initial presentation of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia.

We prospectively evaluated 150 consecutive patients with Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) as their sole initial manifestation of AIDS (group 1). Admission laboratory and radiographic criteria were analyzed for diagnostic and prognostic indicators and compared with those of patients presenting with non-PCP pulmonary manifestations of AIDS (group 2). Mean admission serum LDH level was 465 +/- 67 IU/L in PCP patients (group 1) and 211 +/- 28 IU/L in group 2 (p less than 0.01). Seventy-eight percent of PCP patients (117 of 150) survived. Comparing survivors with nonsurvivors, the mean admission LDH level was 394 +/- 45 vs 717 +/- 51 IU/L (p less than 0.01), and the mean P(A-a)O2 gradient was 42 +/- 6 vs 55 +/- 6 mm Hg (p less than 0.05). Serum LDH levels and P(A-a)O2 gradients have diagnostic and prognostic implications in patients with AIDS-related PCP.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Prognostic indicators in the prenatal diagnosis of agenesis of corpus callosum.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to determine the accuracy of ultrasonography in the prenatal diagnosis of agenesis of the corpus callosum and to establish whether ultrasonography can provide prognostic indicators in cases of agenesis of the corpus callosum. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective ultrasonographic study of the corpus callosum in all cases during an 8-year period in which fetal cerebral ventriculomegaly was detected. RESULTS: A total of 14 cases of agenesis of the corpus callosum are reported. In seven cases agencies of the corpus callosum was an isolated finding, and in seven cases it was associated with other abnormalities. Six cases involved mendelian syndromes (3 Lissencephaly syndrome, 2 Aicardi syndrome, and 1 Andermann syndrome), and one case was associated with trisomy 13. In 5 of 14 fetuses, all male, agenesis of the corpus callosum was an isolated benign finding. The corpus callosum could never be visualized before midgestation, but diagnosis of agenesis of the corpus callosum was very accurate after 20 weeks. CONCLUSION: Prenatal ultrasonographic findings suggestive of agenesis of the corpus callosum should be followed by a careful search for associated anomalies that may indicate genetic syndromes. Isolated agenesis of the corpus callosum is often an isolated, benign finding, particularly in male fetuses. In families at risk for mendelian syndromes associated with agenesis of the corpus callosum, lack of visualization of this structure is suggestive of the diagnosis.

Agenesis of Corpus Callosum↗

Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and other common tissue prognostic indicators in breast cancer: a case-control study.

VEGF is a specific mitogen and survival factor for endothelial cells and a key promoter of angiogenesis in physiological and pathological conditions. Nevertheless, VEGF tissue evaluation in cancer patients as a prognostic factor compared to the conventional histological and biological parameters is still controversial. In this case-control study, tissue VEGF was retrospectively determined by immunohistochemistry and related to T, N, ER, PgR, c-erbB-2, p53, MIB-1 and cyclin D1 in 129 breast cancer patients. Seventy-four of these patients had developed distant metastases postoperatively. The remaining 55 patients had remained disease-free >10 years after surgery. In 17 (13%) of the 129 patients (six with distant metastases and eleven disease-free) tissue and plasma VEGF were concomitantly evaluated. In univariate analysis no significant differences in VEGF and tumor size were found between metastatic and disease-free patients, whereas there were significant differences in N, ER, PgR, c-erbB-2, p53, MIB-1 and cyclin D1 (p ranging from 0.001 to 0.0001). In multivariate analysis VEGF showed less significance than N, ER, c-erbB-2, MIB-1 and cyclin D1 (p = 0.012, p = 0.007, p = 0.005, p = 0.005, p = 0.002 and p = 0.001, respectively). VEGF was a significant unfavorable prognostic indicator only in the N+ subset (p = 0.015), while ER (p = 0.05 and p = 0.021) and MIB-1 (p = 0.031 and p = 0.022) were significant in both the N+ and N- subgroups. In multivariate analysis in the 74 metastatic cases VEGF did not show any significance in relation to disease-free interval and overall survival from the time of mastectomy and from the time of relapse, whereas N and PgR did (p ranging from 0.018 to 0.001). In conclusion, tissue VEGF does not seem a suitable candidate to replace conventional histological and other common biological prognostic factors in breast cancer.

Adult↗

Ki67, E-cadherin, and p53 as prognostic indicators of long-term outcome after liver transplantation for metastatic neuroendocrine tumors.

BACKGROUND: Patients suffering from hepatic metastases of neuroendocrine tumors (NET) are potential candidates for orthotopic liver transplantation. Because recurrence rates are high and outcome is variable, prognostic indicators are required. The aim of our study was to identify predictors of long-term survival with a focus on the impact of tumor biology. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 19 patients who received an orthotopic liver graft for metastatic NET at the Medizinische Hochschule Hannover. Expression of Ki67, E-cadherin, and p53 was studied immunohistochemically in metastases of neuroendocrine tumors of the explanted livers. RESULTS: Patients were followed up to 146 months after liver transplantation. Six patients died during follow-up. The resulting 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival rates are 89%, 80%, and 50%, respectively. All deaths during long-term follow-up were tumor-associated. Recurrence was diagnosed in 12 patients between 2 weeks and 48 months after liver transplantation. Three patients are without tumor recurrence more than 8 years after liver transplantation. Survival in the 5 patients with low Ki67 and regular E-cadherin staining was significantly better than in the 12 patients with high Ki67 or aberrant E-cadherin expression (7-year survival 100% vs. 0%, respectively, log rank P=0.007). p53 expression did not significantly improve prognostic accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that analysis of Ki67 and E-cadherin expression may improve the identification of patients with a favorable prognosis after liver transplantation for metastatic neuroendocrine tumors.

Adolescent↗

High-resolution chromosomes as an independent prognostic indicator in adult acute nonlymphocytic leukemia.

Using high-resolution chromosomes of bone-marrow specimens from 105 consecutive adult patients with de novo acute nonlymphocytic leukemia, we found an unusually high degree of complexity in this disorder, which may explain previous difficulties in identifying useful prognostic indicators. Specimens from 99 of the 105 patients were successfully analyzed, and 92 (93 per cent) had a chromosomal defect. Seventeen categories were identified, 12 representing a specific recurrent defect. Three of them have been found to have independent prognostic importance. Patients with an inversion 16 (9 per cent), diagnosed as having M2, M4, or M5b disease according to the morphologic classification of the French-American-British Acute Leukemia Cooperative Study Group, had a uniform and sustained complete remission and a median survival of 25 months. In contrast, 14 patients (14 per cent) with complex chromosomal abnormalities and a diagnosis of M1, M2, M4, M5a, or M6 disease had a very poor prognosis. In 12 of the 14 patients efforts to achieve induction of remission failed, and the group had a median survival of 2.5 months. A third group with a trisomy 8 as the single defect (11 per cent) had an intermediate prognosis and a median survival of 10 months. With the different types of treatment for acute nonlymphocytic leukemia that are now available, we suggest that high-resolution chromosome analysis will become an important tool in selecting specific types of therapy for groups of patients with differing prognoses.

Acute Disease↗

Argyrophylic nucleolar organiser regions (AgNOR's) as a prognostic indicator in breast carcinoma.

Silver staining nucleolar organiser regions (AgNOR's) were determined in archival histological specimens of breast carcinoma. Representative samples from forty-eight female patients were counted manually for AgNOR's--median 3.85 (range 1.1-10.2 AgNOR's per cell). Taking the median value of 3.85 as a cutoff, the patients were divided into two groups: A = Those with AgNOR counts > 3.85; B = Patients with AgNOR counts < or = 3.85. The 5 year survival was 21% in group A and 85% in group B (p < 0.001). There was no significant correlation between AgNOR's and tumour size, lymph node status, tumour grade, menopausal status and oestrogen receptors. We conclude that nucleolar organiser regions may be useful as a prognostic indicator in breast carcinoma especially in patients in whom other prognostic information is unavailable.

Adult↗

The immunophenotype and activation status of the lymphocytic infiltrate in human breast cancers, the role of the major histocompatibility complex in cell-mediated immune mechanisms, and their association with prognostic indicators.

BACKGROUND: The aims of this study were to characterize, phenotypically, the immune infiltrate in human breast cancers, to assess the activation status of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), and to define the association of these findings with established prognostic indicators. METHODS: Immunohistochemistry was performed on frozen sections of 60 primary breast cancers by use of monoclonal antibodies to T lymphocytes (CD3), T-helper cells (CD4), cytotoxic T-cells (CD8), natural killer cells (CD56), interleukin-2 receptors (IL-2R), and major histocompatibility (MHC) class I antigen (HLA-ABC) and MHC class II antigen (HLA-DR). RESULTS: All tumors stained positive for CD3, CD4 and CD8, but with marked variation in the intensity of the infiltrate. In tumors with a moderate infiltrate of TIL, there was a trend toward a greater representation of T-helper cells. However, as the intensity of TIL increased, there was a decline in the proportion of T-helper cells and a concomitant rise in the relative proportion of cytotoxic T cells. There was a relative paucity of natural killer cells. A significant association was found between the intensity of TIL and the number of positive nodes (P=.02) and the intensity of the infiltrate of both T-helper cells and cytotoxic T cells with ER expression (P=.03 and.05, respectively). Most tumors stained positive for IL-2R. The expression of IL-2R was associated with the intensity of TIL (P<.0001), T-helper cells (P<.002), cytotoxic T cells (P=.01) and natural killer cells (P=0.04), and also with the degree of lymph node positivity (P=.02) and histologic tumor grade (P=.05). MHC class II expression was variable, and a large proportion of the tumors showed limited expression in individual cancer cells. There was an association between the expression of HLA-DR in tumor cells and the activation status of TIL (P=.03). CONCLUSION: An immune infiltrate is an invariable finding in breast cancers, and the intensity of the infiltrate is greater in node positive tumors. Additionally, TIL may well be activated, albeit partially, in most tumors, suggesting that cell-mediated immune mechanisms are functionally intact.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Immunocytochemical detection of ornithine decarboxylase (ODC) in paraffin-embedded tissues as a possible prognostic indicator for oral lesions.

Intracellular levels of ornithine decarboxylase (ODC) are raised following mitogenic stimulus and in neoplasia. Because lesions of the oral cavity are often difficult to assess histologically, we have determined the value of immunocytochemical detection of ODC as a prognostic indicator in 74 routinely fixed and paraffin-embedded oral biopsies using peroxidase-antiperoxidase and immunogold-silver staining. The latter proved more sensitive, yielding positive reactions in 32 of 43 oral carcinomas (11/14 well differentiated, 16/21 moderately differentiated and 3/5 poorly differentiated) and 7/11 potentially malignant lesions, compared with 19/45 carcinomas and 1/15 potentially malignant lesions, by peroxidase anti-peroxidase. Hyperplastic lesions (n = 7) and normal non-keratinized buccal mucosa (n = 7) were all negative. Follow-up was possible in 13 of the carcinoma patients. Of 7 positive ODC reactions but clinically node-free at biopsy, 2 died and 2 had recurrences within 3 years, whereas all of 6 with no immunoreactivity were symptom-free after 3-5 years. Immunostaining for ODC may be helpful for the prognostic assessment of routinely processed oral lesions and in choosing treatment.

Animals↗

Heat shock protein 27: an independent prognostic indicator of survival in patients with epithelial ovarian carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Heat shock protein 27 (HSP27) is produced in response to pathophysiologic stress in animal cells. The purpose of this study was to determine prospectively whether HSP27 was associated with known prognostic factors as well as survival in patients with epithelial ovarian carcinoma. METHODS: Ninety-nine patients with epithelial ovarian carcinoma were studied. Slides were prepared from fresh tissue. Patient records were examined for FIGO stage, grade, histology, level of cytoreduction, and survival. RESULTS: Immunohistochemical staining for HSP27 was not related to histologic grade, level of cytoreduction or histologic subtype. A statistically significant difference in HSP27 staining was found in relation to FIGO stage (P = 0.013). HSP27 staining was found to be an independent predictor of 2-year survival in these patients (P = 0.041). CONCLUSION: The level of HSP27 significantly decreases as the FIGO stage increases and is an independent prognostic indicator of survival in patients with epithelial ovarian carcinoma.

Adult↗

Cohort study of fever and leukocytosis as diagnostic and prognostic indicators in infected surgical patients.

The presence of fever and leukocytosis have traditionally been utilized as important diagnostic markers of infection despite some who question their reliability. To examine this point, the role of fever and leukocytosis as diagnostic and prognostic indicators for surgical infections was evaluated. A prospective observational study was performed on all patients with suspected infection in 1997 on the general surgical services at a university hospital. Fever was defined as maximum temperature (Tmax) > or = 38.5 degrees C, and leukocytosis was defined as a white blood cell (WBC) count > or = 11,000/microl. Among all infections, patients presenting with a Tmax > or = 38.5 degrees C were younger (51.3 +/- 1.1 vs. 53.8 +/- 0.9 years, p = 0.005) and had a higher APACHE II score (15.1 +/- 0.5 vs. 11.4 +/- 0.4; p < 0.001). By logistic regression analysis chronic renal insufficiency was associated with a Tmax < 38.5 degrees C [odds ratio (OR) 0.371, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.195-0.704], and chronic steroid therapy was associated with a WBC count < 11,000/microl (OR 0.556, 95% CI 0.335-0.921). In addition, infected transplant patients were more likely to present with a Tmax < 38.5 degrees C and a WBC count < 11,000/microl (OR 0.195, 95% CI 0.075-0.502). Mortality rates for infected patients with a Tmax < 38.5 degrees C or > 38.5 degrees C were 11.6% and 12.9%, respectively (p < 0.7), and the lengths of stay were 14 +/- 1 and 18 +/- 1 days, respectively (p < 0.03). Mortality rates for patients with a WBC count < 11,000/microl or > 11,000/microl were 4.7% and 18.6%, respectively (p < 0.001), and the lengths of stay were 14 +/- 1 and 19 +/- 1 days, respectively (p < 0.001). In the setting of infection, chronic renal insufficiency and chronic steroid therapy are associated with suppression of fever and leukocytosis, respectively. Transplantation is an independent predictor of infection in patients presenting without fever or leukocytosis. Leukocytosis, but not fever, may be predictive of hospital mortality in infected surgical patients.

Adolescent↗

Numerical chromosomal aberrations in muscle invasive squamous cell and transitional cell cancer of the urinary bladder: an alternative to classic prognostic indicators?

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the prognostic value of chromosomal aberrations in muscle invasive bladder cancer, because they are of diagnostic and prognostic significance in superficial bladder cancer. METHODS: One hundred ninety patients, who underwent radical cystectomy because of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the urinary bladder in 94 cases and transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) in 96 cases, were studied retrospectively. Numerical aberrations of chromosomes 7, 9, and 17, p53 positivity, histologic stage and grade, histologic tumor type, lymph node status, and the presence of bilharzial eggs were investigated as possible prognostic factors. RESULTS: Univariate analysis demonstrated the prognostic significance of all parameters analyzed, excluding chromosome 9. Multivariate analysis revealed only T category (P = 0.01095266), lymph node involvement (P = 0.00054877), and p53 positivity (P = 0.0316974) to be independent prognostic factors in muscle invasive SCC and TCC. CONCLUSIONS: Although chromosomal aberrations are associated with progression-free survival, they are not independent prognostic factors and give the clinician no additional information on patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer.

Adult↗

p53 exon 5 mutations as a prognostic indicator of shortened survival in non-small-cell lung cancer.

Inactivation of the tumour-suppressor gene p53 has been described as one of the most common molecular changes found in lung tumours. Our purpose was to study the prognostic value of p53 alterations and to determine whether some specific mutation type in the p53 gene could be associated with poor clinical evolution in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. To this end, we studied 81 resected primary NSCLCs in order to detect p53 alterations. p53 protein accumulation was analysed using immunohistochemistry methods; p53 gene mutations in exons 5-9 were studied using polymerase chain reaction-single-strand conformation polymorphism and sequencing techniques. p53 protein was immunodetected in 46.9% of lung carcinomas and 44.7% of p53-immunopositive tumours showed p53 mutations. Survival analysis was performed on 62 patients. No survival differences were found for patients with or without p53 immunopositivity. A shorter survival was found in patients with underlying p53 gene mutations, mainly in patients with squamous cell lung tumours; the worst prognosis was found when mutations were located in exon 5 (P = 0.007). In conclusion, the location of p53 mutations might be considered as a prognostic indicator for the evaluation of poor clinical evolution in NSCLC patients.

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung↗

Biochemical markers as prognostic indices in breast cancer.

Traditional prognostic markers in breast cancer include histological variables such as tumor size, grade, and axillary node status. In recent years some new potential prognostic markers of a biochemical nature have been described: estradiol receptors, progesterone receptors, epidermal growth factor receptors, erbB-2 proto-oncogene, and certain proteolytic enzymes. None of these new markers excels axillary node status as a prognostic marker. Biochemical markers can, however, be evaluated with use of minimal surgery and may help distinguish the minority of aggressive axillary-node-negative breast cancers.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Upper digestive bleeding in cirrhosis. Post-therapeutic outcome and prognostic indicators.

Several treatments have been proven to be effective for variceal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis. The aim of this multicenter, prospective, cohort study was to assess how these treatments are used in clinical practice and what are the posttherapeutic prognosis and prognostic indicators of upper digestive bleeding in patients with cirrhosis. A training set of 291 and a test set of 174 bleeding cirrhotic patients were included. Treatment was according to the preferences of each center and the follow-up period was 6 weeks. Predictive rules for 5-day failure (uncontrolled bleeding, rebleeding, or death) and 6-week mortality were developed by the logistic model in the training set and validated in the test set. Initial treatment controlled bleeding in 90% of patients, including vasoactive drugs in 27%, endoscopic therapy in 10%, combined (endoscopic and vasoactive) in 45%, balloon tamponade alone in 1%, and none in 17%. The 5-day failure rate was 13%, 6-week rebleeding was 17%, and mortality was 20%. Corresponding findings for variceal versus nonvariceal bleeding were 15% versus 7% (P =.034), 19% versus 10% (P =.019), and 20% versus 15% (P =.22). Active bleeding on endoscopy, hematocrit levels, aminotransferase levels, Child-Pugh class, and portal vein thrombosis were significant predictors of 5-day failure; alcohol-induced etiology, bilirubin, albumin, encephalopathy, and hepatocarcinoma were predictors of 6-week mortality. Prognostic reassessment including blood transfusions improved the predictive accuracy. All the developed prognostic models were superior to the Child-Pugh score. In conclusion, prognosis of digestive bleeding in cirrhosis has much improved over the past 2 decades. Initial treatment stops bleeding in 90% of patients. Accurate predictive rules are provided for early recognition of high-risk patients.

Aged↗

Value of glutathione S-transferase pi and the oncogene products c-Jun, c-Fos, c-H-Ras, and c-Myc as a prognostic indicator in endometrial carcinomas.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between the expressions of glutathione S-transferase pi (GST-pi) and four oncogene products, c-Jun, c-Fos, c-H-Ras, and c-Myc, and clinicopathological prognostic factors and patients' prognosis in endometrial carcinomas, and to assess their prognostic value in endometrial carcinomas. METHODS: Specimens of endometrial carcinoma obtained from 63 patients were investigated immunohistochemically using respective specific antibodies. RESULTS: The overall positive rates in 63 carcinoma specimens were 34.9% for GST-pi, 44.4% for c-Jun, 34.9% for c-Fos, 47.6% for c-H-Ras, and 54.0% for c-Myc. Multivariate analysis revealed that GST-pi expression correlated independently with paraaortic lymph node (PAN) metastasis, and c-Jun expression was independently related to pelvic lymph node (PLN) and PAN metastasis. The prognosis of patients with a GST-pi-positive tumor was significantly poorer than that of those with a GST-pi-negative tumor (P < 0.05). The patients with c-Jun-positive tumor also had a significantly worse prognosis than those with c-Jun-negative tumor (P < 0.05). No significant relationship between the expressions of the remaining three oncogene products, c-Fos, c-H-Ras, and c-Myc, and the examined prognostic factors and clinical outcome was apparent. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that the expressions of GST-pi and c-Jun may reflect the metastatic potential of endometrial carcinomas and that their expressions of endometrial carcinoma may be useful as a prognostic indicator for predictive testing.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Angiogenesis, p53, and bcl-2 expression as prognostic indicators in endometrial cancer: comparison with traditional clinicopathologic variables.

We investigated the relation of expression of tumor-suppressor gene product p53, apoptosis-regulator gene product bcl-2, and CD34 (as a measure of microvessel density [MVD]) with traditional clinicopathologic prognostic variables in endometrial carcinoma (histologic type, grade, depth of myometrial invasion, angiolymphatic invasion, lymph node involvement). In specimens from 63 patients with endometrial carcinoma, the mean MVD (64.38+/-28.71 microvessels per 200x field) was not related to any clinicopathologic variables. Nuclear p53 expression was detected in 15 (23.8%) patients and was higher in nonendometrioid carcinomas (p<0.05) and in tumors with increasing histologic grade (p<0.001). Cytoplasmic bcl-2 staining was seen in 79.3% of the tumors. There was a negative correlation between bcl-2 expression and histologic type and tumor grade (p<0.05). In survival analysis, patient age, FIGO stage, high expression of p53, low expression of bcl-2, and high and intermediate MVD values were found to be the most significant prognostic indicators of survival (p<0.05). In multivariate regression analysis, FIGO stage and low bcl-2 expression were found to be the only independent indicators of prognosis (p<0.05).

Adenocarcinoma↗

End-tidal carbon dioxide monitoring during cardiopulmonary resuscitation. A prognostic indicator for survival.

The effectiveness of ongoing cardiopulmonary resuscitation efforts is difficult to evaluate. Recent studies suggest that carbon dioxide excretion may be a useful noninvasive indicator of resuscitation from cardiac arrest. A prospective clinical study was done to determine whether end-tidal carbon dioxide monitoring during cardiopulmonary resuscitation could be used as a prognostic indicator of resuscitation and survival. Thirty-five cardiac arrests in 34 patients were monitored with capnometry during cardiopulmonary resuscitation during a 1-year period. Nine patients who were successfully resuscitated had higher average end-tidal carbon dioxide partial pressures during cardiopulmonary resuscitation than 26 patients who could not be resuscitated (15 +/- 4 vs 7 +/- 5 mm Hg). The 3 patients who survived to leave the hospital had a higher average end-tidal carbon dioxide partial pressure than the 32 nonsurvivors (17 +/- 6 vs 8 +/- 5 mm Hg). All 9 patients who were successfully resuscitated had an average end-tidal carbon dioxide partial pressure of 10 mm Hg or greater. No patient with an average end-tidal carbon dioxide partial pressure of less than 10 mm Hg was resuscitated. Data from this prospective clinical trial indicate that findings from end-tidal carbon dioxide monitoring during cardiopulmonary resuscitation are correlated with resuscitation from and survival of cardiac arrest.

Blood Gas Monitoring, Transcutaneous↗