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At least 271 records · Page 15Linked to original sources
PubMed1996

Projecting interregional migration balances within a multiregional cohort-component framework.

"The main themes of the paper are developed in three parts. First, the setting for the study is established by reviewing the foundational theory of multiregional population projections, and by detailing how interregional migration is projected within this approach. Second, we will identify the requirements for making multiregional population projections in Canada and undertake to explain why the conventional approach to projecting interregional migration produces less than satisfactory results. Third, an alternative method for projecting interregional migration is proposed."

Americas↗
PubMed1989

National population forecasts in industrialized countries: main findings of an international workshop.

The main findings are presented from a workshop on national population projections in developed countries, held in Voorburg, Netherlands, October 25-28, 1988. "The programme concentrated on four themes: general aspects of national population projections, fertility, mortality and international migration. Under the first theme, an international comparison of the forecasting process was presented, and items like accuracy, variants and monitoring were discussed. The other sessions contained cross-country overviews of actual trends, most recent assumptions and currently applied extrapolation methods. Furthermore, special attention was given to the use of time series methods and explanatory models for the extrapolation of fertility."

Congresses as Topic↗
PubMed1991

Using census data for household projections: an overview of results from the HOMES Project.

"This article provides an overview of the household projection model HOMES [a computer model developed to forecast the number and characteristics of households] and presents new household projections for six countries--China, Indonesia, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Thailand, and the Philippines. The household projections are based on recently released population projections from The World Bank and on rules governing living arrangements quantified with the latest available census or demographic survey for each country. Growth in the number of households to the year 2030 is projected along with changes in household membership and the dependency burden."

Asia↗
PubMed2004

Small area population estimates project: data quality of administrative datasets.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has set up a project to investigate the feasibility of producing postcensal small area population estimates on a nationally consistent basis for England and Wales. Research has taken place to identify datasets that could potentially be used within a method to produce small area population estimates. Following an evaluation of a number of different administrative datasets, the most suitable have been short-listed for further consideration. This article presents the findings of the evaluation, based on 2001 data, and summarises the characteristics of these short-listed data sources. This article does not cover the methods that are being evaluated as part of the feasibility assessment.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1992

Forecasting the impact of demographic change: the case of the British National Health Service.

By projecting trends over the period 1971-85 in discharge rates and lengths of stay in acute and geriatric National Health Service hospitals in England, it is estimated that by 1995 the discharge rate will have risen by 13% and average lengths of stay will have fallen by 26%. Combining these projections with current population projections for England, it is estimated that 13% fewer beds will be in daily use. These changes are shown to vary widely across specialties. The projections reveal that demographic change per se is a less important source of change than are changing activity rates. The 'trend' projections suggest that purchasers and providers within internal markets will have to take account of very different degrees of pressure between specialties. They can provide information which is essential for negotiations about local needs and local contracts.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Understanding the sex ratio in India: a simulation approach.

The highly masculine sex ratio in India has increased substantially in the twentieth century, in contrast to most other countries in the world. Competing arguments alternatively posit under-enumeration, highly masculine sex ratios at birth, or excess female mortality throughout the life course as the factors underlying the level of the overall sex ratio; these arguments have not been resolved. Based on population projections that simulate population dynamics, our findings show that small differences in mortality at young ages, persisting over a long period, as well as a sex ratio at birth of 106 males per 100 females, result in a highly masculine population sex ratio.

Adolescent↗