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The impact of initiating a human immunodeficiency virus screening program in an urban obstetric population.

OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to describe the incidence of human immunodeficiency virus infection and to assess the cost/benefit ratio of universal antenatal human immunodeficiency virus screening. STUDY DESIGN: Medical records of women in this urban obstetrics population, from the years 1988 to 1993, were examined. The incidence of known human immunodeficiency virus seropositivity at delivery was determined. The costs of performing human immunodeficiency virus screening, evaluating the disease status, and administering therapy were calculated. These costs were compared with an averaged cost for care and follow-up of infants infected through vertical transmission. RESULTS: The incidence of known human immunodeficiency virus seropositivity at delivery approximately doubled since the initiation of a human immunodeficiency virus screening program (0.26% to 0.48%). Obstetric screening added an approximate $100,000 to medical costs. The calculated cost of pediatric follow-up of human immunodeficiency virus-seropositive infants for the first 18 months was estimated at $344,355. In our population, with universal screening and zidovudine therapy, the medical costs could be reduced by $175,500 per year. CONCLUSION: A program of voluntary human immunodeficiency virus screening increases the incidence of known human immunodeficiency virus infection. Offering screening and follow-up to all pregnant patients in an urban setting is both cost-effective and medically beneficial.

Adult

[Effects of a municipal immunization program on the vaccination coverage in a school population].

We report the results of a Municipal Immunisation Program in a industrial community. These results were evaluated through the School Health Program. Our immunisation policies resulted in a substantial increase of immunity covering with particular impact on the less wealthy social layers. Immunity rats rose from 32% to 71% of the population. We conclude that our program is an adequate policy for control of infection diseases.

Adolescent

A component analysis of recent fertility decline in singapore.

To aid in achieving demographic goals, since 1968 the government of Singapore has passed a series of laws designed to limit family size. Policies were instituted in 1968 to discourage couples from having more than three children; policies introduced in 1973 discouraged having more than two. Trends in fertility rates and in the numbers of abortions and sterilizations in recent years are consistent with the intent of these social policies. Decline in third and subsequent births was the most important factor in fertility decline after 1972, and the numbers of abortions and sterilizations undergone by higher parity women have increased substantially sin"e 1970. Although other factors have affected fertility in Singapore, the data suggest that the disincentives have played a role in continued fertility decline in recent years.

Abortion, Legal

Long-term body weight fluctuation in an overweight population.

Weight loss programs report such low percentages of overweight subjects who lose weight and maintain the loss that the concern arises whether these results represent anything more than baseline population weight fluctuations. In this study, weights recorded for medical purposes at two clinic visits separated by intervals of 1 to 5 years were analysed for 332 adult patients who were initially at least 20 percent over their ideal body weight. Weight change calculations for this general patient population revealed that 219 (66 percent) had increased in weight by a mean of 5.7 kg, and that 113 (34 percent) had decreased in weight by a mean of 5.3 kg. The 59 patients measured over a 5-year interval showed an 'apparent body weight loss' for 31 percent of this sub-group with a mean decrease of 7.3 kg. Weight loss studies and programs must demonstrate a rate of weight loss maintenance beyond that of a control group before attributing 'weight loss' in a population to any factor other than normal weight fluctuation.

Adult

The implications for information system design of how health care costs are determined.

As the costs of health care assume increasing importance in national health policy, information systems will be required to supply better information about how costs are generated and how resources are distributed. Costs, as determined by accounting systems, often are inadequate for policy analysis because they represent resources consumed (expenditures) to produce given outputs but do not measure forgone alternative uses of the resources (opportunity costs). To accommodate cost studies at the program level and the system level, relational information systems must be developed that allow costs to be summed across individuals to determine an organization's costs, across providers to determine an individual patient's costs, and across both to determine system and population costs. Program level studies require that cost variables be grouped into variable costs that are tied to changes in volume of output and fixed costs that are allocated rationally. Data sources for program-level analyses are organizational financial statements, cost center accounting records, Medicare cost reports, American Hospital Association surveys, and the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) cost distribution files. System-level studies are performed to predict future costs and to compare costs of alternative modes of treatment. System-level analyses aggregate all costs associated with individuals to produce population-based costs. Data sources for system-level analyses include insurance claims;n Medicare files; hospital billing records; and VA inpatient, outpatient, and management databases. Future cost studies will require the assessment of costs from all providers, regardless of organizational membership status, for all individuals in defined populations.

Accounting

A computer program for modeling the kinetics of gene expression.

Enzyme induction may be modeled on the basis of four, quantifiable processes that control the rates at which specific gene products accumulate and decay. These processes include synthesis of functional mRNA, translation and degradation of mRNA, and degradation of the protein product. We present a simple computer program that permits mathematical simulation of gene expression on the basis of experimentally determined rates of synthesis and degradation. The program was implemented as a spreadsheet using Microsoft Excel for Macintosh and MS-DOS operating systems and also was adapted for HyperCard on the Macintosh. It contains a formula to account for growth of tissue or cell populations. The program predicts amounts of individual mRNAs and proteins (or enzyme activities) in cells as a function of time after a stimulus alters their rates of synthesis or degradation.

Animals

Population and family planning in China.

As the most populous country of the world, China pursues an integrated programme for socio-economic development with family planning as a vital part of it. The aim is to ensure that population growth does not outpace the economic development, the availability of natural resources and environmental protection efforts. Current policy on family planning includes: the promotion of late marriage and deferred child bearing, advocating the practice of "one couple, one child", to encourage birth spacing for those who want a second child. Technical guidelines are: contraception as the priority; comprehensive use of various contraceptive methods in men and women; induced abortion allowed on request if no contraindications; state provided contraceptives, barrier devices and technical services. The birth rate of 33.34/1000, death rate of 7.6/1000 and natural increase rate of 25.83/1000 in 1970 was brought down to 21.04/1000, 6.7/1000 and 14.26/1000 respectively in 1985. A total fertility for 1950 of 5.87 was gradually brought down to 2.31 in 1990. 260 million births were averted between 1970-1991; the world's "5-billion population day" was postponed for 2 years and Asian "3-billion population day" was postponed for 3 years. The State Family Planning Commission under the State Council was set up in 1981. The China Family Planning Association, the China Population Association and non-governmental organisations promote family planning work in a coordinated way. The current family planning policy is now well accepted in the urban area, and gaining increasing momentum in the rural area. Persistant education is still important to break the millennia old tradition of having more children and more boys.

Aging

Plasma lipid distributions in selected North American populations: the Lipid Research Clinics Program Prevalence Study. The Lipid Research Clinics Program Epidemiology Committee.

Cross-sectional age- and sex-specific plasma lipid distributions (means, medians and selected percentiles) are given for 48,431 white participants in visit 1 of the Lipid Research Clinics (LRC) Prevalence Study. This study consisted of two visits in which 10 LRCs screened participants selected from well-defined North American target populations that included a broad range of sociodemographic subgroups. These data confirm findings from earlier studies in developed countries, showing age-related differences in plasma lipid levels. However, for overall distributions, the LRC data showed slightly lower cholesterol and markedly higher triglyceride values than those previously reported for North America. Some variation in plasma lipid values was evident among the clinic populations. The large number of participants within most subgroups permitted a variety of analytic and comparative studies. For example, data from the large pediatric population revealed a drop in plasma cholesterol levels in adolescent males and females. Males aged 20--50 years had higher cholesterol levels than females in the same age group, and higher triglyceride levels between ages 20--70 years. Numbers were also sufficient for meaningful comparisons between lipid distributions of females who were taking sex hormones and those who were not: In females taking sex hormones, cholesterol and triglyceride levels were higher for subjects younger than 45 years, but slightly lower after age 45, than lipid levels in females not taking hormones.

Adolescent

Infant feeding practices in Bombay slums.

A study was conducted in two slum areas in a Bombay suburb covering a total population of 4879. One hundred and fifty-three mothers having children below two years were interviewed. Ninety six per cent infants below the age of 4 months received breast milk, though exclusive breastfeeding was practised only in 37% infants. Timely complementary feeding rate was only 0.48. Twenty three per cent of mothers used bottle for administration of supplementary food or water. Only 15.7% of mothers used commercial milk formula and 8.5% used commercial weaning food.

Bottle Feeding

Estimation of potential carcinogenic effects related to waterborne environmental contaminants.

Described here is a computer program that provides estimates of theoretical cancer levels in a community following long-term exposure to contaminants found in domestic drinking water. The program employs one of three low-dose risk assessment models using dichotomous outcome data to derive a dose-response curve. Based on this curve, lifetime probabilities are determined, by dose, for acquiring selected types of cancer in a specified population. The program allows for sensitivity analyses of varying demographic, epidemiologic, and environmental factors, all of which could influence the occurrence of disease at the community level.

Carcinogens, Environmental

A model for planning local contraceptive services.

Data were collected on abortion referral rates, single young maternity rates and uptake of contraceptive services in order to identify specific areas of unmet need in the Nottingham Health District. Comparisons were made between boroughs and in the City of Nottingham between electoral wards. There was a direct relationship between abortion rate, single young maternity rate and social disadvantage. Analysis of contraceptive usage suggested a more ineffective service in the inner city, which has implications for the more efficient use of resources in the future. Targeting of consumer acceptable services to residents of the inner city and teenagers in general was recommended as a result of the study. For future planning a more useful routine data set was developed to record the activity at family planning clinics.

Adolescent

Inbreeding of Wistar-Kyoto rat strain with hyperactivity but without hypertension.

A genetic inbreeding program using Wistar-Kyoto rat strains as progenitors was used to combine the hyperactivity trait of the spontaneously hypertensive rat (SHR) with the normotensive trait of the WKY genetic control strain. From an SHR X WKY cross we produced a gene-assorting F2 population from which selected brother-sister matings were carried out through seven successive inbred populations. This program produced a new strain of hyperactive rats with normotensive mean systolic blood pressure levels, and we have designated the new strain as the Wistar-Kyoto hyperactive (WK/HA) rat. Another behavioral characteristic of the SHR rat, poor habituation in a nonreinforcing novel environment, did not appear as a characteristic trait of the new strain of WK/HA rats, suggesting a separate underlying genetic basis for the two traits that had been apparently fortuitously fixed in the SHR genotype as a result of intensive inbreeding of that strain. The new WK/HA strain, together with the WKY control strain, is considered as more suitable for subjects in studying hyperactivity in rats than the original SHR strain with its concomitant hypertension and poor habituation traits.

Animals