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Factors affecting prognosis of patients who underwent corpectomy and fusion for treatment of cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament: analysis of 47 patients.

OBJECTIVE: Even though cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL) has several unique clinical features compared with spondylotic myelopathy or cervical disc disease, there have been few reports about factors affecting prognosis after decompression using corpectomy. To clarify the prognostic factors for cervical OPLL, the authors analyzed the clinical and radiologic parameters of 47 patients retrospectively. METHODS: The patients were classified into a good-prognosis group and a poor-prognosis group according to the changes of Nurick grade after operation. Age at operation, gender, preoperative Nurick grade, duration of symptoms, snake-eye appearance, occupying ratio, type of OPLL, Pavlov ratio, and double-layer sign did not affect the prognosis significantly. RESULTS: Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that diabetes mellitus (DM) was the only statistically significant factor predicting poor prognosis for the patients with cervical OPLL who underwent corpectomy and fusion. CONCLUSIONS: Surgeons do not have to be discouraged from performing anterior decompression for the patients with cervical OPLL on the basis of age, severity of disease (preoperative Nurick grade or occupying ratio), irreversible changes in gray matter of the spinal cord (snake-eye appearance), or duration of symptoms. We should direct our attention to DM as a potent risk factor for cervical OPLL and try to clarify the mechanism by which DM possibly affected the functional recovery of the patients.

Adult↗

Renal cell carcinoma MIB-1, Bax and Bcl-2 expression and prognosis.

PURPOSE: Proliferation and programmed cell death (apoptosis) are key factors in oncogenesis and tumor progression. In carcinogenesis important regulators of apoptosis are members of the Bcl-2 family. In this family the Bcl-2 gene has an inhibitory effect on apoptosis, while Bax promotes cell death. In renal cell carcinoma (RCC) the associations between Bcl-2 proteins and RCC prognosis have been controversial. We evaluated Bax and Bcl-2 levels in RCC, and their associations with prognosis, proliferation and traditional prognostic factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Our prospective study population comprised 138 consecutive patients who underwent radical nephrectomy for RCC. Immunostaining and semiquantitative indices for Ki-67 (MIB-1), Bax and Bcl-2 were estimated. Their associations with prognosis were explored. RESULTS: On univariate analysis according to survival statistically significant differences were achieved by Bax (positive vs negative HR 3.04, 95% CI 1.27 to 7.23), Bcl-2 (positive vs negative HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.81), MIB-1 (continuous HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.001 to 1.064), Fuhrman nuclear class (4 vs 1 plus 2 HR 8.15, 95% CI 3.13 to 21.20) and stage (4 vs 1 HR 60.04, 95% CI 13.99 to 257.68). Only stage (HR 47.96, 95% CI 10.85 to 212.03) and Fuhrman classification (HR 4.32, 95% CI 1.60 to 11.65) attained statistical significance on Cox regression multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: In our prospective study Bax and Bcl-2 showed a statistically significant association with prognosis in RCC but did not achieve the status of independent prognostic factors. Further studies are needed to clarify the role of the apoptotic process in tumor progression and prognosis.

Adult↗

Morphologic subtyping of papillary renal cell carcinoma: correlation with prognosis and differential expression of MUC1 between the two subtypes.

Papillary renal cell carcinoma is now a well-established entity with distinct histological and cytogenetic features. A subdivision has been proposed in correlation with prognosis. Type 1 is the most frequent subtype and appears to have a better prognosis than Type 2. The subdivision is based on microscopic criteria. To investigate these 2 types of papillary renal cell carcinoma, we have compared the clinical features, ancillary factors (TNM stage, Fuhrman grade), survival and MUC1 expression in 25 Type 1 and 12 Type 2 papillary renal cell carcinomas. Type 2 tumors were significantly associated with a higher Fuhrman grade (Grade III frequent; P <.001). Type 2 tumors were also associated with a poorer prognosis than Type 1 (P <.005). Fuhrman grade was significantly associated with prognosis (P <.005). The type and the prognosis were not correlated with the TNM stage. We have shown a differential expression of MUC1 between Type 1 and Type 2 with a polarized expression in Type 1 and a rare expression in Type 2. In conclusion we confirm that the morphologic sub-typing and Fuhrman grade are valuable factors of outcome of papillary renal cell carcinomas and that MUC1 immunostaining is useful in differentiating Type 1 and Type 2 tumors.

Adult↗

Significant host- and tumor-related factors for predicting prognosis in patients with esophageal carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To identify clinically useful parameters obtainable before treatment of predicting clinical outcomes in patients with esophageal carcinoma. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Various factors regarding the biologic state of tumors or the nutritional state of patients have been individually reported to correlate with prognosis. Reliable estimates of life expectancy before treatment are important, and consideration needs to be given not only to tumor-related but also to host-related factors in patients with esophageal carcinoma. METHODS: The following clinicopathological factors were retrospectively analyzed in 356 consecutive patients with surgical treatment: sex; age; serum C-reactive protein (CRP); proportion of lymphocytes; body weight changes; serum albumin; clinical TNM staging; tumor location; serum squamous cell-related antigen; serum carcinoembryonic antigen; and histology. Factors related to prognosis were evaluated by using univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: According to univariate analysis, significant differences in survival were found for sex, serum CRP, proportion of lymphocytes, body weight change, serum albumin, serum squamous cell-related antigen, and clinical TNM staging. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that CRP levels (P = 0.0285), body weight change (P = 0.0165), and clinical TNM staging (P = 0.0008) displayed independent correlations to prognosis. When serum CRP elevation, body weight loss, and clinical TNM staging III and IV were scored as a combined index, the total score (prognostic index for esophageal cancer, PIEC) demonstrated a good stratification value for prognosis. Moreover, PIEC was superior to the conventional clinical TNM staging by the likelihood ratio test. CONCLUSIONS: PIEC based on serum CRP, body weight change, and clinical TNM staging before treatment offers a very simple and informative method for predicting the prognosis of patients with esophageal carcinoma.

Adult↗

The prognosis of skin carcinoma and malignant melanoma with special reference to their extents as represented in terms of T, N, and M of union internationale contre le cancer (UICC).

The prognosis of skin carcinoma and malignant melanoma was studied statistically. One hundred and one cases of basal cell epithelioma (BCE), 93 cases of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), and 34 cases of malignant melanoma (MM) were studied. No cases of death due to basal cell epithelioma were found. The squamous cell carcinomas and malignant melanomas were classified according to the TNM system into three classes with different prognoses. The first class represents the initial stage, in which cure is expected if treatment is adequate. The second class is the intermediate stage, in which cure is uncertain and the prognosis depends upon the degree of extension. The third class is the late stage, in which distant metastasis is found and in which cure might not be anticipated. Furthermore, the prognosis of previously treated cases was poorer than that of untreated cases. Our findings indicate that early diagnosis and appropriate treatment in the initial stage results in the best prognosis and that the success or failure of the initial treatment has an appreciable influence on the prognosis of skin malignancy.

Basal Cell Carcinoma↗

Prediction of prognosis of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer with combination of selected estrogen-regulated genes.

Estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer is a distinct subpopulation of breast cancer exhibiting a high response rate to endocrine therapy. However, not all ER-positive patients respond to the therapy, and a subgrouping of ER-positive patients based on the physiology of estrogen signaling is expected to be useful for predicting the prognosis. This study has revealed that selected estrogen-regulated genes (ERGs) are useful in identification of a poor-prognosis population among ER-positive breast cancer patients. First, the expression levels of 11 ERGs, selected based on our earlier microarray study in cultured cells, were analyzed by means of real-time reverse transcription-PCR in 14 ER-positive human breast cancer tissues. The patients were clearly divided into two groups in cluster analysis. Then, we examined the expression levels of two representative ERGs, histone deacetylase 6 (HDAC6) and insulin-like growth factor binding protein 4 (IGFBP-4), in 62 ER-positive patients with immunohistochemistry to assess the impact of ERG expression on prognosis (median follow-up 4409 days). Positive HDAC6 staining was significantly correlated with a lower disease-free survival rate. Moreover, when the expression level of HDAC6 was assessed in combination with IGFBP-4 expression in the nucleus, the poor-prognosis patients were more accurately identified. This study has identified new candidate ERGs for prediction of prognosis, and we suggest that combined assessment of the expression levels of these ERGs will contribute to the clinically useful stratification of ER-positive breast cancer patients.

Adult↗

A long-term prognosis for the fixed saddle-bridge. A study of 100 constructions.

This report constitutes a long-term study of 100 saddle-bridges applied by the author during the years 1958-1973. The aim of the investigation has been to assess the prognosis for this form of therapy. The probability that a saddle-bridge will still be functioning completely, without repair, after 5 years is 93%, and after 10 years (as also after 12 years) 83%. Only 12% of the appliances had been removed 12 years after the application. The risk of defects is about the same during the first 5-year period after the application as it is during the second and the third 5-year periods. A comparison between saddle-bridges applied before and after 1965 shows no demonstrable difference as regards the 5-year prognosis in spite of modifications with respect to range of indication and therapy. The causes of the defects have been divided into biological and technical. During the first 5-year period technical defects appear to be in the majority, whereas during the later stages, biological defects predominate. Background factors such as sex, the age of the patient, length of saddle, localization in the jaw do not prove to have any appreciable importance for the prognosis. There is, on the other hand, a significantly better prognosis when the opposing jaw is furnished with the patient's own teeth and/or fixed bridges than with a removable denture. The author points out that from the result of the study, the saddle-bridge has such a good long-term prognosis that its range of application for fixed constructions should be considerably extended.

Adult↗

Impact of thrombocytosis and C-reactive protein elevation on the prognosis for patients with renal cell carcinoma.

AIM: C-reactive protein (CRP) elevation is reportedly a prognostic factor in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Thrombocytosis has recently been reported also to be a prognostic factor in RCC and, like CRP, to be related to inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-6. The aim of this study was to evaluate the importance of both thrombocytosis and CRP elevation in tumor recurrence and prognosis for patients with RCC. METHODS: The clinical records of 178 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy were reviewed. Thrombocytosis was defined as a platelet count >or=350,000/mm(3), and CRP elevation was defined as a CRP level >or=1.0 mg/dL. Disease-free survival and cause-specific survival rates were calculated. Independent predictors for recurrence and prognosis were determined. RESULTS: Patients with thrombocytosis and patients with elevated CRP levels had significantly higher pathological T stage, clinical stage, tumor size, histological grade, and percentage of microvascular invasion than did patients without THC and patients with CRP levels <1.0 mg/dL, respectively. There was a significant correlation between platelet counts and CRP levels. Multivariate analysis showed that distant metastasis, tumor size, grade 3 components, and CRP elevation were independent predictors for prognosis but thrombocytosis was not. In N0M0 RCC patients, tumor size, microvascular invasion, and CRP elevation were independent predictors for recurrence. CRP elevation and tumor size were independent predictors for prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Platelet count and CRP level are strongly correlated in patients with RCC, but only CRP elevation is an independent predictor for recurrence and prognosis.

C-Reactive Protein↗

Walking prognosis in cerebral palsy: a 22-year retrospective analysis.

A retrospective study was performed of 272 patients with spasticity to determine criteria for the prognosis for ambulation based on the ages at which children with cerebral palsy attain important gross motor milestones. The variables analysed were age at last clinical assessment, clinical type of cerebral palsy and ages at attainment of gross motor milestones. Achievement of head balance before nine months was an important parameter for good prognosis for walking and, after 20 months of age, an indicator for poor prognosis. Sitting by 24 months indicated a favourable outcome, and motor control of crawling at 30 months of age was a predictor for good prognosis. Based on these data, a chart for walking prognosis in children with cerebral palsy is presented.

Age Factors↗

Short-term prognosis of community-acquired bacteremia in patients with liver cirrhosis or alcoholism: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Liver cirrhosis is associated with an increased risk of infection and a poor prognosis, but the role of alcoholism in these outcomes is uncertain. This study looks at the short-term prognosis for bacteremia in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis, nonalcoholic liver cirrhosis, and alcoholism, compared with the prognosis for other bacteremia cases. METHODS: All patients who were hospitalized with their first community-acquired bacteremia in North Jutland County, Denmark, in the period 1992 to 2002 were retrieved from a population-based bacteremia registry. Denmark's Hospital Discharge Registry then allowed us to disaggregate these patients into the following groups: 47 patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis, 19 with nonalcoholic liver cirrhosis, 190 with alcoholism, and a comparison group of 3,535 other bacteremia cases. Using logistic regression, we estimated odds ratios (ORs) for 30-day case fatality for the main study variable, adjusted for gender, age, focus of infection, and comorbidity. RESULTS: The case fatality rate (CFR) was 43% for patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis, 32% for patients with nonalcoholic liver cirrhosis, 24% for patients with alcoholism, and 15% for other bacteremia patients. The adjusted OR estimates for patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis, nonalcoholic liver cirrhosis, and alcoholism compared with other bacteremia cases were 6.3 (95% CI 3.3-11.7), 2.4 (95% CI 0.9-6.7), and 2.5 (95% CI 1.7-3.7), respectively. Focus of infection and group of bacteria did not noticeably affect the increased CFR. CONCLUSION: Liver cirrhosis and alcoholism were associated with a poor short-term prognosis for community-acquired bacteremia. Liver cirrhosis and alcoholism may have independent effects on the prognosis for patients with liver cirrhosis and bacteremia.

Adult↗

Association of poor prognosis with loss of 12q, 17p, and 18q, and concordant loss of 6q/17p and 12q/18q in human pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Pancreatic cancer is one of the diseases with the poorest prognosis, but the associated genetic alterations are not yet well understood. The genetic alterations reported to date in pancreatic cancer include frequent mutations of the KRAS, TP53, p16, and SMAD4 genes. Mutation of the TP53 gene was reported to be associated with a poor prognosis. In this study, we analyzed the association of loss of heterozygosity (LOH) with clinicopathological features to attempt to devise effective methods in the future for clinically applying our results to diagnosis and treatment. METHODS: A total of 55 tumors from patients with primary pancreatic ductal carcinomas (34 men and 21 women, mean average age 63.9 yr) in which all the relevant clinical and pathological data were available were analyzed. A total of 46 cases were surgically resected, and nine cases were not. Tumor cells as well as corresponding normal cells were collected by microdissection under a microscope, and DNAs were purified. Allelotype analysis was performed by the PCR-based method, and the results were statistically analyzed. RESULTS: LOH of > or =30% were observed on chromosome arms 17p (47%, 17/36), 9p (45%, 14/31), 18q (43%, 15/35), 12q (34%, 10/29), and 6q (30%, 10/33). LOH of 12q, 17p, and 18q were significantly associated with a poor prognosis. Concordant losses of 6q with 17p and 18q were significantly associated with a poor prognosis. Concordant losses of 6q with 17p and of 12q with 18q were also found. CONCLUSIONS: Because LOH of 12q, 17p, and 18q are significantly associated with a poor prognosis, mutation of the putative tumor suppressor genes on these chromosome arms may play significant roles in the disease progression. Concordant losses of 6q with 17p and of 12q with 18q suggest that protein products of putative tumor suppressor genes on 6q and 12q may function in association with TP53 and SMAD4, respectively.

Alleles↗

Visual prognosis after panretinal photocoagulation for proliferative diabetic retinopathy.

INTRODUCTION: Proliferative diabetic retinopathy is treated with panretinal photocoagulation, which improves the visual prognosis in this complication considerably. The visual acuity (VA) and grade of retinopathy before treatment are known indicators of the visual prognosis after treatment, but the prognostic value of other clinical background and treatment parameters is unknown. METHODS: The study reports predictors for visual outcome identified among retrospective clinical background data and treatment parameters from 4422 panretinal photocoagulation sessions for proliferative diabetic retinopathy in 1013 eyes of 601 patients performed at the Department of Ophthalmology, Arhus University Hospital between 1985 and 2002. RESULTS: High pretreatment VA and low age were strong positive predictors of post-treatment VA (p < 0.0001). However, diabetes type, diabetes duration and calendar year of treatment showed no influence on post-treatment VA (p = 0.7829, 0.1782, and 0.3747, respectively). The visual prognosis was inversely related to the number of treatment sessions (p = 0.0259) and the number of vitrectomies (OR = 2.66 [1.24; 5.69], p = 0.0117, for more than two operations). However, the visual prognosis was unrelated to any of the other parameters studied. CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment VA, age and the number of panretinal photocoagulation treatment sessions and vitrectomies necessary to halt the disease are indicators of the visual prognosis after panretinal laser photocoagulation for proliferative diabetic retinopathy.

Adult↗

Expression of CD44 variants and prognosis in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The CD44 variant (CD44v) isoforms have been noted as markers for tumour metastasis and prognosis in several adenocarcinomas. AIMS: To investigate whether CD44v, especially the CD44v2 (v2) isoform, may be a useful prognostic factor for patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, using a recently developed monoclonal antibody against a v2 epitope. PATIENTS: 233 patients (211 men and 22 women; mean age 61.9 years), with oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas curatively removed without additional treatment between 1987 and 1996 at the National Cancer Center Hospital, were analysed for CD44v expression. METHODS: The expression of CD44v was evaluated immunohistochemically using monoclonal antibodies against epitopes of the standard and variant protein, in paraffin embedded oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma tissue from 233 patients who had undergone cervical, mediastinal, and abdominal lymphadenectomy (three field dissection) for oesophagectomy. The data were evaluated for any correlation with clinicopathological indices or prognosis. RESULTS: Although total CD44 and CD44v6 (v6) were respectively observed in 99% and 97% of the cancer specimens, the expression of v2 was only 30%. Patients whose tumours were v2 positive had a significantly better prognosis than those whose tumours were v2 negative (p = 0.031). Furthermore, in patients without lymph node metastasis, v2 positivity alone was a significant independent factor of prognosis (relative risk of death associated with v2 negativity, 4.7; p = 0.037) in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that v2 is a useful marker for clinical prognosis in patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Particularly in patients without lymph node metastasis, v2 status may thus have implications for the use of adjuvant chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy in patients with oesophageal cancer at an early stage.

Adult↗

Prognosis and morphometrical features of non-bronchioloalveolar cell adenocarcinoma: an assessment of the non-alveolar replacing area and high grade atypical area.

AIM: It has become obvious that the prognosis of bronchioloalveolar cell carcinoma (BAC) in small peripheral adenocarcinoma of the lung is good, but most cases actually treated as pulmonary adenocarcinoma in hospitals tend to be non-bronchioloalveolar cell carcinoma (non-BAC). The prognoses of non-BAC are greatly varied. We studied the relationships between the morphometrical features and the prognoses of non-BAC. METHODS: In total, 69 cases of non-BAC measuring <or=20 mm in diameter across their greatest dimension were evaluated. We considered that the non-alveolar replacing area and the high grade atypical area were related to the prognosis, and therefore defined the ratio of both areas to the total area at the maximum face of the tumours as the non-alveolar replacing area ratio (NAAR) and the high grade atypical area ratio (HAAR), respectively. We thereafter analysed the relationships between both ratios and the prognosis. RESULTS: The NAAR and HAAR were significantly higher in the recurrent cases than in the recurrence free cases. We divided the non-BAC cases at the centre of both ratios into two groups, high and low. The 5 year survival rate of the high NAAR and high HAAR group was 48.3%, while that of the low NAAR and low HAAR group was 72.2%. The groups showing high rates for both ratios had significantly worse prognoses. A multivariate analysis indicated that the HAAR contributes most to the prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that the NAAR and HAAR are closely associated with the prognosis of non-BAC.

Adenocarcinoma↗

The temporal aspects of prognosis in epilepsy.

A major reason for the conflicting views concerning prognosis in epilepsy has been the failure to account for the temporal aspects of seizure relapse and remission. In this paper prognostic studies in a variety of areas are reviewed to emphasise this point. Most traditional studies (including studies of withdrawal of medication) show a generally poor prognosis for epilepsy. These have been hospital-based and, as such, inevitably over-represent patients with chronic epilepsy. Investigations (both hospital and community based) of patients from the onset of seizures show a much better prognosis, and most patients suffer only a small number of seizures in total over a relatively short period of time and then remit. The longer the epilepsy is active the less likely is eventual remission, but once remission is achieved it is usually permanent. The traditional view of epilepsy as a chronic condition with a continuing tendency to relapse is therefore not tenable for the majority of patients. The patterns of epilepsy are established relatively early in its course in most cases, and long term prognosis might therefore be predictable within a few years of the onset of seizures in most patients. Prior to the introduction of effective treatment, it was said that epilepsy rarely remitted, and it is possible that early treatment may actually improve long term prognosis.

Anticonvulsants↗

Malignant astrocytic tumors: clinical importance of apparent diffusion coefficient in prediction of grade and prognosis.

PURPOSE: To retrospectively assess the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) for prediction of malignancy and prognosis of malignant astrocytic tumors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The institutional review board approved this study and did not require patient informed consent. Findings from 37 consecutive patients (21 men, 16 women; mean age, 43 years) with pathologically proved malignant astrocytic tumors that included 22 glioblastomas (GBMs) and 15 anaplastic astrocytomas (AAs) were retrospectively evaluated. The minimum ADC value of each tumor was preoperatively determined from several regions of interest defined in the tumor, preferably with avoidance of cystic or necrotic components, on ADC maps derived from isotropic diffusion-weighted images. Surgical intervention, followed by radiation therapy, was undertaken in all cases according to hospital protocol. Immunohistologically, Ki-67 labeling index (LI), indicating cell proliferation, was also determined. The patients were classified into two groups, progressive and stable, according to the 2-year observation after the initial treatment. Correlation analysis (Pearson product moment correlation), Student t test, Welch test, receiver operating characteristic analysis, and Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test were used for statistical evaluation. RESULTS: There was a significant negative correlation between minimum ADC and Ki-67 LI (r = -0.562, P < .001). The mean minimum ADC (0.834 x 10(-3) mm2 x sec(-1)) of GBM was significantly lower than that (1.06 x 10(-3) mm2 x sec(-1)) of AA (P < .001, Student t test). The mean minimum ADC (0.80 x 10(-3) mm2 x sec(-1)) of the progressive group was significantly lower than that (1.037 x 10(-3) mm2 x sec(-1)) of the stable group (P < .001). The cutoff value of 0.90 x 10(-3) mm2 x sec(-1) for minimum ADC for differentiation of patients with a favorable prognosis from those with a poor prognosis provided the best combination of sensitivity (79%) and specificity (81%) (receiver operating characteristic analysis). The significant difference in the prognosis between two groups classified by using this cutoff value of minimum ADC was noted (P = .002, log-rank test). CONCLUSION: The minimum ADC of malignant astrocytomas can provide additional information about their clinical malignancy related to posttreatment prognosis.

Adult↗

Symptom dimensions of depression following myocardial infarction and their relationship with somatic health status and cardiovascular prognosis.

OBJECTIVE: The reporting of depressive symptoms following myocardial infarction may be confounded by complaints originating from the myocardial infarction. Therefore, it is difficult to estimate the effects of post-myocardial infarction depression and its treatment on cardiovascular prognosis. The authors' goal was to study the relationship between depressive symptom dimensions following myocardial infarction and both somatic health status and prospective cardiovascular prognosis. METHOD: In two studies of myocardial infarction patients (N=494 and 1,972), the Beck Depression Inventory was used to determine the dimensional structure of depressive symptoms following myocardial infarction. Three symptom dimensions-somatic/affective, cognitive/affective, and appetitive-were compared with baseline left ventricular ejection fraction, Charlson comorbidity index, Killip class, and previous myocardial infarction. The relationship between depressive symptom dimensions and prospective cardiovascular mortality and cardiac-related readmissions was also examined (mean follow-up duration=2.5 years). RESULTS: Somatic/affective symptoms were associated with poor health status (left ventricular ejection fraction, Charlson comorbidity index, Killip class, and previous myocardial infarction) and predicted cardiovascular mortality and cardiac events. Cognitive/affective symptoms were only marginally associated with somatic health status and not with cardiovascular death and cardiac events. Appetitive symptoms were related to somatic health status but did not predict cardiovascular death or cardiac events. CONCLUSIONS: Somatic/affective depressive symptoms following myocardial infarction were confounded by somatic health status yet were prospectively associated with cardiac prognosis even after somatic health status was controlled. Cognitive/affective depressive symptoms were only marginally related to health status and not to cardiac prognosis. These findings suggest that treatment of depression following myocardial infarction might improve cardiovascular prognosis when it reduces somatic/affective symptoms.

Cause of Death↗

Prognosis of acute low back pain: design of a prospective inception cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical guidelines generally portray acute low back pain as a benign and self-limiting condition. However, evidence about the clinical course of acute low back pain is contradictory and the risk of subsequently developing chronic low back pain remains uncertain. There are few high quality prognosis studies and none that have measured pain, disability and return to work over a 12 month period. This study aims to provide the first estimates of the one year prognosis of acute low back pain (pain of less than 2 weeks duration) in patients consulting primary care practitioners. A secondary aim is to identify factors that are associated with the prognosis of low back pain. METHODS/DESIGN: The study is a prospective inception cohort study. Consecutive patients consulting general medical practitioners, physiotherapists and chiropractors in the Sydney metropolitan region will complete a baseline questionnaire regarding their back pain. Subsequently these patients will be followed up by telephone 6 weeks, 3 months and 12 months after the initial consultation. Patients will be considered to have recovered from the episode of back pain if they have no pain and no limitation of activity, and have returned to pre-injury work status. Life tables will be generated to determine the one year prognosis of acute low back pain. Prognostic factors will be assessed using Cox regression. DISCUSSION: This study will provide the first estimates of the one year prognosis of acute low back pain in a representative sample of primary care patients.

Acute Disease↗