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PubMed1997

Why perinatal mortality cannot be a proxy for maternal mortality.

In recent years, the perinatal mortality rate (PNMR) has been proposed as a proxy measure of maternal mortality, because perinatal deaths are more frequent and potentially more easily measured. This report assesses evidence for an association between these two statistics. This study, based upon data from Matlab, Bangladesh, shows that the maternal mortality ratio (MMR) and the PNMR do not vary together over time, and that the PNMR does not reliably indicate either the magnitude or the direction of change in the MMR from year to year. Statistical analysis shows that the correlation between the PNMR and the MMR is not significantly different from zero. An examination of the major causes of maternal and perinatal deaths indicates that the two measures cannot be expected to vary together. Almost half of perinatal deaths result from causes that do not pose a threat to the mother's life, and almost half of maternal deaths result from causes that do not lead to perinatal death. Monitoring of the PNMR can give an inaccurate picture of maternal mortality and should not be used as a proxy.

Bangladesh↗
PubMed1977

Mortality and community mental health. The Alachua County, Florida, mortality study.

This study reports the results of a household survey and search of death certificates that show a relationship between depression, anxiety, and subsequent mortality. It is part of an effort to develop practical epidemiologic techniques for continuous assessment of community mental health. Use is made of the population attributable mortality rate, estimated from a comparison of the prevalence of a given factor in life and at death. The study estimated attributable mortality prospectively by following up participants in a mental health survey of Alachua County, Florida, for up to four years. Of eight mental scales examined, five (mood, depression, somatic symptoms of anxiety, the Health Opinion Survey, and selected psychopathologic symptoms) showed significant association of scores with community mortality. The data suggest linkages of mental factors to mortality of an order of magnitude sufficient to warrant consideration of these factors as leading causes of death.

Anxiety Disorders↗
PubMed2006

Trends in testicular cancer incidence and mortality in 22 European countries: continuing increases in incidence and declines in mortality.

This study profiles testicular cancer incidence and mortality across Europe, and the effects of age, period and generational influences, using age-period-cohort modeling. Despite a 5-fold variation in incidence rates, there were consistent mean increases in incidence in each of the 12 European countries studied, ranging from around 6% per annum (Spain and Slovenia) to 1-2% (Norway). In contrast, declines in testicular cancer mortality of 3-6% per annum were observed in the 1980s and 1990s for the majority of the 22 countries studied, particularly in Northern and Western Europe. The mortality trends in several European countries were rather stable (Romania and Bulgaria) or increasing (Portugal and Croatia). Short-term attenuations in increasing cohort-specific risk of incidence were indicated among men born between 1940 and 1945 in 7 European countries. In Switzerland, successive generations born from the mid 1960s may have experienced a steadily declining risk of disease occurrence. While the underlying risk factors responsible remain elusive, the temporal and geographical variability in incidence may point to an epidemic in different phases in different countries-the result of country-specific differences in the prevalence of one or several ubiquitous and highly prevalent environmental determinants of the disease. Advances in treatment have led to major declines in mortality in many European countries from the mid 1970s, which has translated to cohorts of men at successively lower risk of death from the disease. Slower progress in the delivery of optimal care is however evident from the mortality trends in several lower-resource countries in Southern and Eastern Europe. The first beneficiaries of therapy in these populations may be those men born--rather than diagnosed--in the era of major breakthrough in testicular cancer care.

Adult↗
PubMed1985

Neonatal mortality in infants born weighing 501 to 1000 grams. The influence of changes in birth weight distribution and birth weight-specific mortality rates on neonatal survival.

We analyzed changes over time in neonatal mortality rates for infants born weighing 501 to 1000 gm. The decline in total mortality in this weight group due to improved small-group, birth weight-specific mortality was contrasted to the increase in mortality caused by changes in the birth weight distribution resulting from the care of smaller infants. Had the birth weight distribution remained unchanged, the total improvement in neonatal mortality for the entire 501 to 1000 gm group would have been substantially greater.

Alabama↗
PubMed1990

Periodic clustering of human disease-specific mortality distributions by shape and time position, and a new integer-based law of mortality.

Human mortality distributions were analyzed for 29 disease-specific causes-of-death in male and female, White (U.S.A.), Black (U.S.A.) and Japanese (Japan) populations, constituting a total of 162 separate cohorts. For each cohort distribution, the curve moments and the parameter values for fits to model equations were determined. The differences between cohort distributions were characterized by two degrees of freedom, related to distribution position and shape, respectively. A form of the Weibull function was shown to contain two parameters that mapped to these two degrees of freedom. Parametric analysis on 136 best-fitting cohorts yielded periodic clustering in the set of values for both Weibull parameters as quantitated using a Fourier transform method and an independent statistical method. This periodicity was unlikely to have occurred by chance (P less than 0.01). We have combined these results into a Law of Mortality, based on a Weibull function containing only integer parameters and constants, which is valid for all human age-related disease mortality. We show that the life expectancy differences between races and sexes is completely described by this formalism. We conclude that human mortality is controlled by discrete events, which are manifested in the appearance of only allowed mortality curve shapes and positions.

Adult↗
PubMed1992

Using the Gompertz-Strehler model of aging and mortality to explain mortality trends in industrialized countries.

Mortality trends in industrialized countries are characterized by declines in vascular disease (ischemic heart disease and stroke) and rises in cancers and degenerative diseases. These trends are typically analyzed by examining each disorder in isolation using the perspective of genetic and environmental influences. However, longitudinal Gompertzian analysis and the Gompertz-Strehler model of aging and mortality as modified by Lestienne suggest that age-specific mortality rates, for both general and disease-specific mortality, are an interrelated deterministic function of aggregate genetic, environmental and competitive influences. Consequently, evolving mortality trends and patterns appear to be influenced by three factors (with deterministic competition being the third factor), rather than just two factors (genetic and environmental) as commonly depicted.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1992

Coffee consumption and cause-specific mortality. Association with age at death and compression of mortality.

The relationship between reported coffee consumption and specific causes of death was examined in 9484 males enrolled in the Adventist Mortality Study in 1960 and followed through 1985. Coffee consumption was divided into three levels: less than 1 cup per day, 1-2 cups per day, and greater than or equal to 3 cups per day. Approximately one third of the subjects did not drink coffee. Cause-specific mortality rates were compared using survival analysis including Cox's proportional hazard model, and controlling for potential confounders such as body mass index, heart disease and hypertension at baseline, race, physical activity, marital status, educational level, smoking history, and dietary pattern. Inclusion of interaction terms between coffee consumption and attained age as time-dependent covariates allowed the hazard ratio to vary with age. Univariate analyses showed a statistically significant association (p less than 0.05) for coffee consumption and mortality for most endpoints. Multivariate analyses showed a small but statistically significant association between coffee consumption and mortality from ischemic heart disease, other cardiovascular diseases, all cardiovascular diseases, and all causes of death. For the major causes of death, the hazard ratios decreased from about 2.5 at 30 years of age to 1.0 around 95 years of age. These results indicate that abstinence from coffee leads to compression of mortality rather than an increase in lifespan.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Matrix metalloproteinases and their inhibitors have been implicated in both vascular and ventricular remodeling, and in atherosclerotic plaque rupture. The prognostic value of plasma tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) levels in patients with established or suspected coronary artery disease is unknown. METHODS: Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 and matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) levels, along with a number of other established biomarkers, were measured in 389 male patients undergoing coronary angiography at a Veterans Administration Medical Center. The patients were then followed prospectively for the occurrence of all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: Follow-up data at 24 months were available for 97% of the patients. For the entire cohort of patients, TIMP-1 was the only biomarker to independently predict all-cause mortality and MI. In addition, the ratio of TIMP-1 to matrix metalloproteinase-9 was independently predictive of cardiac mortality at 24 months. The 24-month survival rates for patients in the lower quartile (< 66.5 ng/mL), interquartile (66.5-100 ng/mL), and upper quartile (> 100 ng/mL) of plasma TIMP-1 values were 95.3%, 89.3%, and 72.2%, respectively (P < .001). Furthermore, when patients with chest pain were risk stratified into those with and without an acute coronary syndrome, TIMP-1 remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in both subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of male patients undergoing coronary angiography, a single baseline determination of plasma TIMP-1 is independently predictive of the subsequent risk of death and MI.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Mortality after emergent percutaneous coronary intervention in cardiogenic shock secondary to acute myocardial infarction and usefulness of a mortality prediction model.

Although percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the setting of cardiogenic shock has a high in-hospital mortality rate, it has been shown to decrease the mortality rate in certain subgroups. The identity and relative importance of variables that are predictive of in-hospital mortality rate after PCI for cardiogenic shock are uncertain. Accordingly, we examined data of >300,000 patients in the American College of Cardiology-National Cardiovascular Data Registry (ACC-NCDR) that were collected from 1998 to 2002 and evaluated the outcomes in 483 consecutive patients who underwent emergency PCI for cardiogenic shock. Patients' mean age was 65 +/- 13 years, with men predominating (61%). All underwent emergency/salvage PCI in the setting of cardiogenic shock after acute myocardial infarction. Mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 30 +/- 16%. Stents were placed in 64% of patients, and thrombolytic agents were administered in 26%. Although PCI was angiographically successful in 79% of patients, the in-hospital mortality rate was 59.4%. Length of stay after PCI was 7.2 +/- 8 days. Logistic regression using all available variables identified 6 multivariate predictors of death: age (odds ratio [OR] 2.34, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.68 to 3.28, p <0.001) for each 10-year increment, female gender (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.00 to 2.41, p <0.001), baseline renal insufficiency (creatinine >2.0 mg/dl; OR 4.69, 95% CI 1.96 to 11.23, p <0.001), total occlusion in the left anterior descending artery (OR 1.99, 95% confidence interval 1.28 to 3.09, p <0.01), no stent used (OR 2.55, 95% CI 1.63 to 3.96, p <0.01), and no glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor used during PCI (OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.30 to 2.98, p <0.01). In a second analysis using only variables known to the clinician at the time of initial presentation, gender, age, renal insufficiency, and total occlusion of the left anterior descending coronary artery were significant. In conclusion, analysis of patients from the ACC-NCDR who underwent emergency PCI for acute myocardial infarction in the presence of cardiogenic shock shows an in-hospital mortality rate of approximately 60% when PCI is attempted.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1989

[Maternal mortality, its definition and assessment. Report of maternal mortality at the Bamberg Gynecologic Clinic 1963-1988].

During the period of observation from 1963-1988 (26 years) 16 maternal deaths during pregnancy, birth and post partum were registered among 59,681 births at the Departm. of Obstetr. and Gynaec. Bamberg. This corresponds to a maternal mortality ratio of 0.26%. Thirteen of the deaths were direct material deaths, three cases of death belong in the category of indirect deaths. In this timeframe 4,257 (7.13%) C-sections were done. The rate of C-sections has almost tripled during the last 26 years, increasing from 3.6% in 1963 to 10.1% in 1988. In 10 cases maternal death followed a C-section. Taking the complete period of observation into account, the mortality rate after C-section of 2.34% is about 20 times higher than the mortality risk after vaginal delivery. This heightened mortality risk after C-section is clearly diminishing. In the years 1973-1982 the C-section mortality rate was only 6 times higher than maternal deaths after vaginal deliveries.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Mortality statistics in immigrant research: method for adjusting underestimation of mortality.

BACKGROUND: It is difficult to carry out fair comparisons of the mortality of different ethnic groups in a population in register-based studies because sizeable numbers of immigrants who subsequently leave their new homeland fail to register this fact with the national registration authorities. In this article we present a method which attempts to address these problems. METHODS: Age-standardized mortality rates for native Swedes and immigrants in the age group 20-64 years were calculated for all individuals who either were included in the Swedish Population Censuses for 1985 or 1990, or who moved to Sweden during the period November 1990-1994. In order to define the population under scrutiny different sources of income are used as indicators of residence in the country. RESULTS: When an analysis is made of all nationally registered individuals, significantly reduced death rates are found among immigrants outside the north-east of Europe compared to those for Swedish-born people. Extremely low death rates are found for those born in Turkey, Southern Europe, Latin America, Asia, and Africa and for those who are younger and without any income. When the income criterion is introduced, there is a change so that the earlier significantly reduced relative death risks for immigrants born outside the north-east of Europe for some subgroups are no longer significantly lowered. CONCLUSION: This study has important implications for the interpretation of every study of mortality among immigrants based on official mortality statistics. Using information about income as an indicator of residence in the country appears to be a method which can be pursued further in order to achieve a more accurate understanding of mortality among immigrant groups.

Adult↗
PubMed1977

Mortality and industrial employment. III. Industries with high standard mortality ratios for persons with social security coverage in 1960 and 1965.

Data are available on a 1% sample of social security covered employees by industry, age, sex and race for years 1960 and 1965 and their mortality through 1972. Previous papers have reported on overall rates by age, sex and race and on industries in which mortality appears to be increased among younger workers. In this paper mortality ratios, compared to the expected overall race-sex-age specific rates for this population, are shown for the Standard Industrial Classification two-digit-industry classes for the 1960 and the 1965 cohorts. Among women employed in four industries involving chemical exposures, an abrupt increase in mortality occurred around 1965. Possible reasons for this are discussed. The epidemiologic usefulness of social security mortality data for occupational and preventive purposes and for surveillance is emphasized.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1994

Has primary health care reduced infant mortality in east Bhutan? The effects of primary health care and birth spacing on infant and child mortality patterns in east Bhutan.

In a traditional, agricultural society in East Bhutan studies of infant and child mortality were carried out in 1984 and 1991. Mothers were interviewed regarding births during the preceding 5 years and deaths among these children. A significant fall in infant mortality rate (IMR) from 145 to 49 (P < 0.001) was found. In 1991, measles was almost eliminated as a cause of death. Families with 1, 2 and 3 children, respectively, during the period studied, were found to have significantly different IMRs, with higher mortality for higher number of births (P < 0.001 for 1984 and P = 0.002 for 1991). To quantify the effect on mortality from birth intervals both the possibility of reverse causation and confounding factors, such as socio-economic conditions must be considered, but the study suggests that the association is partly causal. The living conditions of the population do not seem to have improved so greatly as to have caused the reduction in IMR. Monthly Mother and Child Health outreach clinics and a network of Village Health Workers have provided the framework necessary for implementation of different health programmes. As a result Primary Health Care has improved during the period between 1984 and 1991, and may have contributed considerably to the reduced mortality.

Bhutan↗
PubMed2007

Avian growth and development rates and age-specific mortality: the roles of nest predation and adult mortality.

Previous studies have shown that avian growth and development covary with juvenile mortality. Juveniles of birds under strong nest predation pressure grow rapidly, have short incubation and nestling periods, and leave the nest at low body mass. Life-history theory predicts that parental investment increases with adult mortality rate. Thus, developmental traits that depend on the parental effort exerted (pre- and postnatal growth rate) should scale positively with adult mortality, in contrast to those that do not have a direct relationship with parental investment (timing of developmental events, e.g. nest leaving). I tested this prediction on a sample of 84 North American songbirds. Nestling growth rate scaled positively and incubation period duration negatively with annual adult mortality rates even when controlled for nest predation and other covariates, including phylogeny. On the contrary, neither the duration of the nestling period nor body mass at fledging showed any relationship. Proximate mechanisms generating the relationship of pre- and postnatal growth rates to adult mortality may include increased feeding, nest attentiveness during incubation and/or allocation of hormones, and deserve further attention.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2003

Impact of childhood and adulthood socioeconomic position on cause specific mortality: the Oslo Mortality Study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the impact of childhood and adulthood social circumstances on cause specific adult mortality. DESIGN: Census data on housing conditions from 1960 and Personal Register income data for 1990 were linked to 1990-94 death registrations, and relative indices of inequality were computed for housing conditions in 1960 and for household income in 1990. PARTICIPANTS: The 128 723 inhabitants in Oslo aged 31-50 years in 1990. MAIN RESULTS: Adulthood mortality was strongly associated with both childhood and adulthood social circumstances among both men and women. Cardiovascular disease mortality was more strongly associated with childhood than with adulthood social circumstances, while the opposite was found for psychiatric and accidental/violent mortality. Smoking related cancer mortality was related to both adulthood and childhood social circumstances in men, but considerably more strongly to adult social circumstances. CONCLUSIONS: Childhood social circumstances have an important influence on cardiovascular disease risk in adulthood. Current increases in child poverty that have been seen in Norway over the past two decades could herald unfavourable future trends in adult health.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Mortality after colon surgery: the value of a mortality registration system.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Postoperative mortality after colon surgery is relatively infrequent. In order to evaluate the quality of colon surgery, post-mortem evaluation is useful. This study was performed to determine the value of a mortality register used at the Department of Surgery of the Red Cross Hospital. METHODS: From 1991 to 2000, 882 colon resections were performed for both malignant and benign disorders, including elective and emergency surgery. Permission for autopsy was asked routinely. All cases were reviewed and categorized in a multidisciplinary meeting. Any discrepancy between the clinical and post-mortem diagnosis was determined by a pathologist. RESULTS: The mortality rate of colon surgery was 8.0% (n = 71), 23% for emergency surgery and 6% for elective surgery (p < 0.001). For patients under 70 years of age the mortality rate was 4.3%, for patients over 70 years of age 11.2% (p < 0.001). Autopsy was performed in 62% (n = 44) of the patients. Discrepancy between clinical and post-mortem findings was documented in 14%. CONCLUSION: Postoperative mortality after colon surgery is influenced by the timing of surgery (elective or emergency procedure) and the age of the patient. A discrepancy of 14% between clinical cause of death and post-mortem cause of death justifies the need for obtaining autopsy in this type of surgery.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2000

Effect of mibefradil, a T-type calcium channel blocker, on morbidity and mortality in moderate to severe congestive heart failure: the MACH-1 study. Mortality Assessment in Congestive Heart Failure Trial.

BACKGROUND: Calcium antagonists have proved disappointing in long-term congestive heart failure (CHF) studies. Mibefradil, a new calcium antagonist that selectively blocks T-type calcium channels, has been shown to be an effective antihypertensive, antianginal, and anti-ischemic agent, and because of its different mechanism of action, it may be beneficial as adjunct therapy in CHF patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: This multicenter, randomized, double-blind study compared mibefradil with placebo as adjunct to usual therapy in 2590 CHF patients (NYHA class II to IV; left ventricular fraction <35%). The initial 50-mg daily dose of mibefradil was uptitrated to 100 mg after 1 month and continued up to 3 years. Patients were monitored at 1 week; 1, 2, and 3 months; and every 3 months thereafter. All-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular morbidity/mortality were analyzed by use of the log-rank test (alpha=0.05). Substudies included exercise tolerance, plasma hormone and cytokines, echocardiography, and quality of life. Total mortality was similar between mibefradil- and placebo-treated patients (P=0.151). The 14% increased risk of mortality with mibefradil in the first 3 months was not statistically significant (P=0.093). Treatment groups had similar cardiovascular mortality (P=0.246), cardiovascular morbidity/mortality (P=0.783), and reasons for death or hospitalization. Patients comedicated with mibefradil and antiarrhythmics (class I or III), including amiodarone, had a significantly increased risk of death. Substudies demonstrated no significant differences between treatments. CONCLUSIONS: When used as adjunct therapy, mibefradil did not affect the usual outcome of CHF. The potential interaction with antiarrhythmic drugs, especially amiodarone, and drugs associated with torsade de pointes may have contributed to poor outcomes early in the study.

Aged↗
PubMed1977

Mortality in patients with schizophrenia, mania, depression and surgical conditions. A comparison with general population mortality.

Mortality data are presented from a four-decade follow-up study of 200 schizophrenic, 100 manic, 225 depressive patients, and 160 surgical controls (80 appendicectomy; 80 herniorrhaphy). Data for this analysis were available on 648 (95 per cent) members of the study population. Using sex-age standardized mortality ratios (SMR), the mortality experience of the study population was compared with that of the state of Iowa, the geographical area served by the admitting medical facility for the study group. Results are presented for a four-decade period beginning 1935-44, and ending 1965-74. All three psychiatric groups had a significant increase in mortality risk. This was most pronounced in the first decade following admission, although schizophrenic patients, especially females, continued to show a significant excess of deaths throughout the entire four decades of the follow-up period. During no decade of the follow-up period did the mortality of the surgical controls differ significantly from that of the Iowa population.

Adult↗