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Integrative genomic and transcriptomic analyses identify key regulators of skin pigmentation in Larimichthys crocea.

The yellow body coloration of large yellow croaker (Larimichthys crocea) constitutes a crucial economic trait, yet its underlying genetic regulatory mechanisms remain poorly understood. This study systematically elucidated the molecular basis of body color variation by integrating genome resequencing and skin transcriptome analyses, combined with the contextual analysis of key pigmentation-related genes and phenotypic histological validation. 200 phenotyped individuals (including yellow-selected lines, F1 progeny, and normal control groups, all derived from a well-characterized aquaculture stock) identified 39 significantly associated SNPs (-log₁₀(P) ≥ 6), mapping to multiple candidate genes. These genes were significantly enriched in pathways related to pigment deposition (GO:0033059), melanosome organization (GO:0032438), melanogenesis, and tyrosine metabolism. Cross-developmental stage transcriptome analysis revealed 2395 differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Multi-omics integration identified eight overlapping candidate genes, including tyrp1, slc45a2, oca2, and dgat2, among which tyrp1 was prioritized for in-depth validation based on its core regulatory role in eumelanin synthesis, significant SNP association signal, and consistent downregulation in transcriptomic data. Experimental validation demonstrated that the g.895C > T mutation in exon 2 of tyrp1b was strongly significantly associated with the yellow phenotype: the frequency of mutant genotypes (TT/CT) reached 92.86%in the yellow-selected group, whereas the control group exclusively exhibited the wild-type genotype (CC). qPCR confirmed significantly downregulated tyrp1b expression in the skin of yellow individuals, consistent with the transcriptome trend. Histological and stereomicroscopic observations of skin tissues further validated the physiological basis of the yellow phenotype, revealing a significant reduction in melanophore number and abnormal melanosome morphology in yellow-phenotype individuals, accompanied by increased xanthophore density. These results suggest that tyrp1b mutation is strongly associated with the yellow phenotype. However, the presence of a wild-type CC individual in the yellow group indicates that this mutation is not strictly required for yellow coloration, suggesting that other genetic or environmental factors may also contribute to the phenotype, Additionally, downregulation of the carotenoid metabolism gene bco2 coupled with upregulation of xdh, together with the functional changes of slc45a2 and oca2, may synergistically promote xanthophore pigment deposition, contributing to the yellow phenotype. As melanin synthesis in large yellow croaker relies on the conserved tyrosinase pathway and transporter proteins, mutations in associated genes (tyrp1b, slc45a2, oca2) represent a primary underlying cause for the loss of melanin-based coloration and transition to a yellow phenotype in L. crocea. These findings provide key molecular targets and a theoretical foundation for molecular breeding of body color in this species, and also enrich the understanding of xanthism regulatory mechanisms in teleosts.

Animals

A Smartphone-Based Ecological Momentary Intervention for Workplace Mental Health: Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Work-related stress has been widely associated with an increased risk of various mental disorders and poor mental well-being. The fast-growing mobile health services industry has provided new opportunities for workplace mental health. OBJECTIVE: This randomized controlled trial examined the effectiveness of Neurum (Neurum Limited), a smartphone-based intervention tool featuring ecological momentary assessments and interventions that aims to reduce workplace stress in real-time and real-world settings. METHODS: A total of 201 working adults were recruited for a 4-week smartphone-based intervention that incorporated cognitive behavioral therapy, mindfulness exercises, and self-regulation exercises delivered on Neurum. A simple randomization procedure was used. Participants in the intervention group were encouraged to log mood journals, complete mental health exercises, and provide user feedback whenever applicable. The key outcome was measured by the Depression, Anxiety, and Stress Scale-21 items (DASS-21; Cronbach &#x3b1;=0.87). RESULTS: The intervention group consisted of 102 participants, while the control group consisted of 99 participants. More participants dropped out from the intervention group (n=21) than from the control group (n=2; &#x3c7;21=18.259; P<.001). The final sample consisted of 178 participants (male: 85/178, 47.8%; female: 93/178, 52.2%; mean age of 34.65, SD 7.67 y). Analyses revealed that after the 4-week intervention, the DASS-21 scores decreased in the intervention group (mean difference [MD]post-pre intervention=-14.518) but increased in the control group (MDpost-pre intervention=3.319; F1,176=59.358, P<.001; &#x3b7;2=0.252). This effect was largely led by stress reduction (F1,176=64.679, P<.001; for the intervention group, MDpost-pre intervention=-6.692, while for the control group, MDpost-pre intervention=2.000). On average, participants completed 6.27 (SD 9.4) exercises and provided 9.74 (SD 18.2) mood journal logs, with a daily engagement of 4.95 (SD 6.89) minutes. However, the associations between the changes in DASS-21 scores and the numbers of exercises or mood journal logs did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: This study primarily established the effectiveness of Neurum in alleviating depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms in noninstitutionalized working adults, with a satisfactory user retention rate. Despite potential health-related culture differences, Neurum contributed to evidence-based digital health in nonclinical settings for timely needs and general accessibility as an alternative to traditional, face-to-face, and high-cost mental health services. Future directions involving a personalized approach in online mental health services were discussed.

Humans

The impact of body mass index classification on operative characteristics and perioperative outcomes in lumbar microdiscectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Body mass index (BMI) stratification helps classify obesity severity. In patients undergoing microdiscectomy for symptomatic lumbar disc herniation, the effect of obesity on perioperative risk remains incompletely understood. This retrospective single-institution study evaluated whether BMI class influences perioperative risk in a large surgical cohort. METHODS: Adults older than 18&#xa0;years who underwent primary, elective single-level lumbar microdiscectomy between June 2018 and March 2025 with at least 3&#xa0;months of follow-up were included. Patients were grouped by BMI: without obesity (WO, BMI&#xa0;<&#xa0;30), class I (CI, 30-34.9), class II (CII, 35-39.9), and class III (CIII, &#x2265;40). Outcomes were analyzed separately for open microdiscectomy (OM), tubular microdiscectomy (TM), and endoscopic discectomy (ED). Continuous variables were compared using Kruskal-Wallis testing with Dunn post hoc analysis; categorical variables were compared with chi-square tests. Significance was set at p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05. RESULTS: A total of 757 patients were included (OM 422, TM 190, ED 145). Higher obesity classes underwent ED more frequently (p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.038). In the OM cohort (WO 258, CI 97, CII 50, CIII 17), CI had a higher proportion of males and CII a lower proportion (p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.007). Operative time, length of stay, and estimated blood loss were greatest in CII and CIII patients (all p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). CII patients also had more emergency department visits within 1&#xa0;year than other classes (p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.026). No differences were found in age, smoking status, disc herniation type, dural tears, intraoperative or postoperative complications, or revision presence/time. In the TM cohort (WO 117, CI 47, CII 21, CIII 5), WO patients were oldest and CIII youngest (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001), with no other significant differences. In the ED cohort (WO 79, CI 31, CII 20, CIII 15), WO patients were oldest and CIII youngest (p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.004). CIII patients had higher estimated blood loss (p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.028) and shorter time to revision (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001), while other variables were similar. CONCLUSIONS: ED was used more often in higher obesity classes. In OM, CII and CIII obesity were associated with longer operative time, longer hospital stay, and greater blood loss, likely due to increased exposure requirements. TM and ED showed few obesity-related differences in complications, suggesting minimally invasive approaches may mitigate obesity-related perioperative risk. However, the retrospective design and small number of CIII patients warrant further study.

Humans

Design, rationale, and baseline patient characteristics for the Sickle Cell Disease and CardiovAscular Risk-Red cell Exchange (SCD-CARRE) trial.

BACKGROUND: Despite wide utilization of automated red blood cell exchange (RBCX) transfusion in adult patients with sickle cell disease (SCD), no consensus or quality efficacy data exist on its use. The Sickle Cell Disease and CardiovAscular Risk- Red cell Exchange (SCD-CARRE) trial tests the hypothesis that an automated chronic RBCX transfusion strategy reduces acute health care encounters and death while improving quality of life and end-organ function (cardiac, pulmonary and renal) in participants with SCD that are at high risk of death. METHODS: Adult patients with SCD with elevated tricuspid regurgitant jet velocity (TRV) and/or chronic kidney disease were considered to be at high risk of death and were randomly assigned to RBCX plus standard of care vs standard of care alone. Participants assigned to RBCX received 12 months of exchange transfusions to maintain target pretransfusion hemoglobin S% < 30%, post-transfusion hemoglobin S% < 20%, and post-transfusion hemoglobin concentration &#x2265;10 g/dL. All study participants were managed according to NHLBI/ASH/ATS Expert Panel guidelines. The primary endpoint was the number of SCD acute health care encounters or death over 13 months. Secondary endpoints included measures of cardiovascular and renal function, exercise capacity, patient reported outcomes (all collected at baseline, and months 4, 8, and 12), and transfusion-related adverse events (collected monthly). RESULTS: Between 2020 and 2025, the SCD-CARRE trial randomized 173 participants at 23 sites across 3 countries. Enrolled participants had mean (SD) age of 45.8 (11.8) years and 54% were female. At baseline, participants had average TRV of 2.8 (0.5) m/s such that 45.9% had a TRV between 2.5 to 2.9 m/sec and 28.1% had a TRV &#x2265; 3.0 m/sec. The median (Q1, Q3) eGFR in this cohort was 60 (36, 110) mL/min/1.73 m2. The median (Q1, Q3) 6-minute walk test distance was 375 meters (309, 439), the median daily steps were 3,728 (2,187, 5,821), and participants experienced a median (Q1, Q3) of 2 (1, 5) pain episodes in the year prior to randomization. The trial results are pending. CONCLUSIONS: The SCD-CARRE trial successfully enrolled a cohort of n = 173 adults with SCD. This study highlights a rationale to evaluate the effect of automated chronic RBCX transfusion strategy plus standard of care as compared to standard of care alone in SCD patients at high risk of death with a focus on patient centered outcomes, preservation of cardiovascular function, end-organ complications and death. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, Identifier: NCT04084080, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04084080.

Adult

Effect of a digitally augmented general health promotion intervention on abstinence from health-risk behaviors among emergency department discharge patients: A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are the leading global cause of death and are driven by modifiable behaviors, such as tobacco use, harmful alcohol consumption, unhealthy diet, and physical inactivity. Recognizing that emergency department (ED) visits represent a unique opportunity to promote behavior change, this trial evaluated a digitally augmented, theory based general health promotion approach, combining a brief telephone-based intervention with mobile instant messaging support, to help discharged ED patients abstain from health risk behaviors. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This assessor-blinded randomized controlled trial was conducted in a major public hospital ED in Hong Kong. Adults (18-65 years) triaged as semi-urgent or non-urgent and with &#x2265;1 health-risk behavior and smartphone access were randomized to receive a digitally augmented, theory&#x2011;based general health&#x2011;promotion intervention consisting of a brief telephone&#x2011;based AWARD&#x2011;model intervention (Ask, Warn, Advise, Refer, and Do-it-again) followed by weekly WhatsApp or WeChat messages for 6 months, or to a control group receiving brief telephone advice only. The primary outcome was self-report abstinence from &#x2265;1 health-risk behavior at 6 months; secondary outcomes included the proportion of participants who achieved self-reported abstinence from &#x2265;1 health-risk behavior at 12 months and reduction in the number of behaviors at 6 and 12 months. Of the 2,134 screened patients, 572 were enrolled (286 per group). At 6 months, 30.1% of the intervention participants versus 19.9% of the controls achieved self-reported abstinence (RR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.51; 95% CI, 1.13-2.02; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.006). The intervention also significantly increased the likelihood of fewer risky behaviors at 6 (RR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.54; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.01) and 12 (RR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.48; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.02) months. Physical inactivity showed the greatest improvement at 6 months (31.7% versus 16.2%; P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). The effects attenuated after cessation of booster messaging. Limitations include reliance on self-reported outcomes, the single-center study design, and loss to follow-up, which may have affected the generalizability of the results. CONCLUSIONS: A digitally augmented, theory-based general health promotion strategy delivered at ED discharge through brief telephone intervention and mobile instant messaging support demonstrated short-term benefits in promoting self-reported abstinence and reducing health-risk behaviors at 6 months. However, the absence of a sustained effect at 12 months suggests that extended support or maintenance strategies may be required to maintain these improvements over time. Multicenter trials with longer follow-up are warranted to evaluate long-term effectiveness. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (Registration No: NCT06077565).

Humans

BLIS study: a feasibility randomised controlled trial assessing compliance, acceptability and colonisation with different dosing regimens of the probiotic supplement Streptococcus salivarius K12 (Bactoblis) in adults in England.

OBJECTIVES: Streptococcus salivarius K12 (SsK12) is a bacterium used as a probiotic with some evidence for preventing acute sore throat/tonsillitis, but the optimal dosing strategy is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate two dosing regimens of SsK12 to establish (a) the prevalence and duration of colonisation with SsK12 and (b) the acceptability and feasibility of these regimens. DESIGN: A randomised, non-blinded feasibility trial. SETTING: Primary care in the south of England. PARTICIPANTS: Adults with &#x2265;2 episodes of sore throat within the 3 years before recruitment. INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomised to take SsK12 lozenges once weekly or daily over 14 days. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the prevalence and duration of colonisation with SsK12. This was determined by real-time PCR conducted on self-taken whole-mouth swabs provided by participants at baseline and on days 2, 7, 14, 21 and 35. Secondary outcomes were the compliance and acceptability of the two SsK12 dosing regimens, based on questionnaire data. RESULTS: 53 participants were recruited (26 randomised to weekly and 27 to daily dosing) between 26 April and 5 December 2023. All swabs were returned by 65.4% (17/26) and 70.4% (19/27) of the weekly and daily groups respectively. Swabs at all timepoints from participants with PCR positives observed at baseline (two and four from the weekly and daily group, respectively) were excluded. Therefore, swabs from 23 participants in the weekly and 22 in the daily group did not have evidence of baseline colonisation and were included in the microbiology analysis. SsK12 colonisation was found in 59.1% (13/22, 95% CI 38.6% to 79.6%) of samples in both groups on day 2; in 13.6% (3/22, 95%&#x2009;CI 0.0% to 28.0%) and 85.7% (18/21, 95%&#x2009;CI 70.8% to 100.0%) of the weekly and daily groups, respectively, on day 7; in 19.1% (4/21, 95%&#x2009;CI 2.3% to 35.8%) and 59.1% (13/22, 95%&#x2009;CI 38.6% to 79.6%), respectively, on day 14; and in only one participant (weekly group) on days 21 and 35. The dosing regimen was reported as easy to follow by 85.0% (17/20, 95%&#x2009;CI 69.4% to 100.0%) of the weekly and 96.2% (25/26, 95%&#x2009;CI 88.8% to 100.0%) of the daily dosing groups. CONCLUSIONS: SsK12 colonisation was more prevalent with daily dosing; however, colonisation was not maintained when dosing stopped. Both dosing regimens were acceptable to participants. These findings support the use of daily dosing in a future trial to evaluate the efficacy of SsK12 in preventing recurrence of sore throat/tonsillitis. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04297878.

Humans

Impact of renal dysfunction on immediate versus staged revascularization of non-culprit lesions in patients with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction: a pre-specified subgroup analysis of the randomized MULTISTARS AMI trial.

BACKGROUND: Renal dysfunction might affect outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and multivessel coronary artery disease (MVD) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: In MULTISTARS AMI, patients with STEMI and MVD were randomized to immediate or staged PCI of non-culprit lesions. In this pre-specified analysis, patients were stratified according to the presence of renal dysfunction at baseline, defined at an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 60&#xa0;ml/min/1.73 m2. Patients with an eGFR&#x2009;<&#x2009;30&#xa0;ml/min/1.73 m2 were excluded from the trial. The primary endpoint was a composite of death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, stroke, unplanned revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure at 1&#xa0;year. RESULTS: In MULTISTARS AMI, 108 (13%) of 832 patients had renal dysfunction. The primary endpoint occurred more frequently in patients with renal dysfunction (19.4% vs. 11.2%, unadjusted HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.13-2.94), primarily driven by higher rates of death. Among patients with renal dysfunction, the rates of the primary end point were 14.5% and 24.5% in the immediate and staged PCI groups (unadjusted HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.23-1.33). There was no interaction between renal dysfunction and the randomized treatment assignment with respect to the primary end point (adjusted HR 1.30, 95% CI 0.8-2.20, pint 0.82). The occurrence of acute renal insufficiency was statistically similar in patients with renal dysfunction who underwent immediate and staged PCI (10.9% vs. 18.9%, unadjusted HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.22-1.72, pint 0.09). Renal dysfunction at baseline emerged as a strong risk factor for the development of acute renal insufficiency (adjusted HR 5.0, 95% CI 2.30-10.70, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Outcomes with immediate compared to staged multivessel PCI did not appear significantly altered by the presence of renal dysfunction&#xa0;at baseline. (Supported by Boston Scientific; MULTISTARS AMI ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03135275).

Humans

Multi-omics integrative analysis provides insight into potential molecular responses to sustained high water flow in common carp (Cyprinus carpio) cultured in recirculating aquaculture.

To investigate the potential molecular responses by which water flow intensity affects the growth of common carp (Cyprinus carpio) in a recirculating aquaculture system (RAS), a control group (CG, actual water velocity 0.3&#xa0;cm/s) and three sustained flow treatment groups were established, including a low-flow group (LF, 1 body length per second, bl/s), a medium-flow group (MF, 2 bl/s), and a high-flow group (HF, 3 bl/s). After 12&#xa0;weeks of culture in the RAS, growth performance was compared among groups under different flow intensities. The best-performing group and the control group were then selected for the determination of intestinal digestive enzyme activities, as well as transcriptomic and whole-genome bisulfite sequencing analyses of muscle tissue. The results showed that the specific growth rate and feed intake of the HF group were significantly higher than those of the other groups (P&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05), whereas no significant difference in feed conversion ratio was observed among groups. Compared with the CG group, lipase activity was significantly higher in the HF group (P&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05), while &#x3b1;-amylase and trypsin activities showed increasing trends without significant differences. RNA-seq identified a total of 273 differentially expressed genes, including 72 upregulated genes and 201 downregulated genes in the HF group relative to the CG group. These genes were mainly enriched in glycolysis, pyruvate metabolism, ATP metabolism, the pentose phosphate pathway, the insulin signaling pathway, the PPAR signaling pathway, and the adipocytokine signaling pathway, indicating that sustained high water flow induced a muscle transcriptional response characterized by remodeling of energy metabolism and substrate utilization. Whole-genome bisulfite sequencing analysis showed that DNA methylation in common carp muscle occurred predominantly in the CpG context. Differentially methylated regions between the HF and CG groups were mainly distributed in transcription-related regulatory regions, including promoters, CpG islands, and CpG island shores. In promoter regions, the number of hypermethylated regions in the HF group relative to the CG group was markedly higher than that of hypomethylated regions. Integrated analysis further identified two candidate genes showing both promoter differential methylation and differential expression, namely LOC109094644 and bcorl1, suggesting that adaptation to high water flow may involve IGF-related growth regulation and remodeling of upstream transcriptional programs. The qPCR results were consistent with the transcriptomic data. Taken together, within the tested range, a sustained water flow of 3 bl/s was more conducive to the growth of common carp in the RAS, which may be associated with enhanced lipid digestion and utilization, remodeling of the muscle energy metabolic network, changes in promoter methylation, and the coordinated regulation of key candidate genes. This study provides a theoretical basis for clarifying the exercise adaptation mechanism of common carp in recirculating aquaculture and for optimizing flow velocity parameters.

Animals

Effect of semaglutide on kidney outcomes in the SELECT, FLOW, and SOUL trials: a prespecified pooled analysis.

BACKGROUND: The GLP-1 receptor agonist semaglutide reduces clinically important kidney outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to assess the pooled effects of semaglutide on kidney outcomes in prespecified analyses of participant-level data from the diverse populations of the SELECT, FLOW, and SOUL randomised placebo-controlled trials. METHODS: Participants with CKD (FLOW) or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (SELECT and SOUL) were randomly assigned semaglutide (once-weekly subcutaneous 1&#xb7;0 mg [FLOW], once-weekly subcutaneous 2&#xb7;4 mg [SELECT], or once-daily oral 14 mg [SOUL]) or matching placebo, added to standard of care. The primary outcome in this pooled analysis was time to first occurrence of a kidney composite, defined as onset of persistent 50% or greater reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), kidney failure (persistent eGFR <15 mL/min per 1&#xb7;73 m2, or initiation of kidney replacement therapy), kidney-related death, or cardiovascular-related death. Safety was also assessed. FINDINGS: The pooled participants from the trials (N=30&#x2008;787) had a mean follow-up of 39&#xb7;5-47&#xb7;5 months. Among participants assigned to semaglutide, 973 first events of the primary kidney composite occurred compared with 1134 first events for placebo (hazard ratio [HR] 0&#xb7;84 [95% CI 0&#xb7;77-0&#xb7;91]). First events of a narrower secondary kidney composite (excluding cardiovascular-related death from the primary outcome) were also reduced with semaglutide versus placebo (347 and 416, respectively; 0&#xb7;80 [0&#xb7;69-0&#xb7;92]). Safety outcomes were overall similar between groups, and in line with other GLP-1 receptor agonist trials. Serious adverse events were numberically lower with semaglutide than with placebo. INTERPRETATION: Data pooled from three large phase 3 trials suggest that semaglutide reduces the risk of major kidney outcomes in a broad population with cardio-kidney-metabolic disease while having a favourable risk-benefit profile. In people with cardio-kidney-metabolic disease, with and without diabetes, semaglutide (oral or injected) prevents kidney-related and cardiovascular complications and induces adverse events in line with GLP-1 receptor agonist studies, regardless of baseline characteristics within the cardio-kidney-metabolic spectrum. This was a participant-level analysis conducted in a large database of three randomised controlled trials of similar design and examining the same treatment, but there were some differences in participants' baseline characteristics, and in the dose and route of administration of treatment. This pooled analysis adds evidence for the benefit of GLP-1 receptor agonists in general, and semaglutide in particular, in a broad population of people with cardio-kidney-metabolic disease, suggesting that the benefit of semaglutide might not be explained only by its glycaemic effects, weight-management effects, or both. FUNDING: Novo Nordisk.

Humans

Impacts of climate-driven yield changes on the affordability of healthy diets: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Food security is central to global nutrition improvement and public health goals, and healthy diets represent a higher-level aspiration beyond merely avoiding hunger. Climate change poses an increasing threat to food systems by affecting crop yields and food prices. Although climate change-driven risks to hunger have been widely studied, the extent to which climate change undermines the affordability of healthy diets while accounting for socioeconomic responses and regional inequalities remains insufficiently understood. This study aimed to quantify the effects of climate change on the future affordability of healthy diets under alternative socioeconomic and climate scenarios. METHODS: We developed an integrated modelling framework that explicitly couples multimodel crop-yield projections with an integrated assessment model (Global Change Analysis Model [GCAM]). Yield responses from six global gridded crop models driven by four climate models were integrated into GCAM, allowing endogenous socioeconomic adjustments such as land-use shifts, production reallocation, and price responses to emerge under shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Diet affordability was then assessed using the Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN's Cost and Affordability of a Healthy Diet framework across three socioeconomic-climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP3-6.0). FINDINGS: Under a high-emissions pathway (ie, SSP3-6.0), climate change was projected to render healthy diets unaffordable for a model-mean of 119 million people globally by 2100, even when CO2 fertilisation effects are included, with the upper end of the model ensemble reaching about 1&#xb7;6 billion people. In contrast, climate-induced affordability losses were found to be negligible under both a low-emissions pathway (ie, SSP1-2.6; -0&#xb7;3 million) and a medium-emission pathway (SSP2-4.5; +0&#xb7;2 million). Under a high-emission pathway, model-mean projections indicated that diet costs could increase by up to 12% in the most affected regions by the end of the century. Under medium emissions, cost increases were projected to remain below 4%, whereas under low emissions, affordability changes were projected to be minimum across regions (within approximately 0&#xb7;5%). Substantial regional disparities emerged, with the largest and most consistent affordability losses concentrated in low-income regions that contributed least to historical greenhouse gas emissions. Under SSP3-6.0, these disparities persisted particularly in regions of Africa and Asia despite projected three-to-five-fold increases in income over the century, with climate-induced disruptions to food systems increasing the number of people unable to afford a healthy diet through mid-century. INTERPRETATION: Climate change is likely to exacerbate global nutritional inequalities by disproportionately increasing the affordability risks of healthy diets in regions that have contributed least to historical greenhouse gas emissions. Under high-warming scenarios, socioeconomic development alone is insufficient to fully offset these risks, highlighting the structural vulnerability of low-income food systems to climate-driven price shocks. These findings suggest that in the absence of targeted interventions, climate change could continue to undermine progress towards equitable and health-oriented nutrition outcomes. FUNDING: Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China; National Natural Science Foundation of China; National Aeronautics and Space Administration Goddard Institute for Space Studies Climate Impacts Group; Future of Life Institute; and Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition.

Journal Article

Methods for defining equity-stratifying variables: a systematic review of validation studies.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Disease burden is often disproportionally higher among those who are socially disadvantaged by factors defined in the PROGRESS-Plus framework (ie, Place of residence, Race/ethnicity/culture/language, Occupation, Gender/sex, Religion, Education, Socioeconomic status, and Social capital, with "Plus" covering features like age and disability). The accuracy and applicability of case definitions to identify these variables from administrative and clinical health data are unknown. We conducted a systematic review to explore how equity-stratifying variables, as categorized by the PROGRESS-Plus framework, have been defined and validated in epidemiologic studies using administrative health, population-level, or electronic health record (EHR) data. METHODS: Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched from the inception of the databases to 2024 for validation studies of equity-stratifying variables in adults using administrative health datasets, health registries, or EHR data. Titles and abstracts, followed by relevant full-text articles, were screened in duplicate by two reviewers for eligibility. The data sources utilized, algorithms employed, and their associated performance measures were extracted and synthesized from included studies. Given substantial heterogeneity in study design, equity-stratifying variable definition, and performance metrics, meta-analysis was not possible. RESULTS: Of the 9099 unique citations screened, 188 full texts were reviewed and 116 were included in this review. Most studies were published between 2019 and 2024 (n = 64, 55%) and were validation studies of race/ethnicity definitions that used race/ethnicity codes or surname list algorithms (n = 66, 57%). No studies examined religion. Regarding the reported performance measure estimates, the race/ethnicity/culture/language equity-stratifying variables category had the largest variability across sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV), and Cohen's Kappa. Occupation validation studies had the lowest variation in sensitivity and PPV. CONCLUSION: Despite an increasing number of publications reporting on the validation of equity-stratifying variables relevant to the PROGRESS-Plus framework, performance measures varied widely across studies. The significant heterogeneity in equity-stratifying variable definitions and methods used to validate them support the need for further rigorous validation of equity-stratifying variables in administrative and clinical health data. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Disease burden is often higher in people who experience financial hardships, lower level of education, discrimination due to race/ethnicity, and unstable housing. These social factors can be considered health equity factors and are important for understanding health inequalities. Health researchers often use large datasets, such as hospital or electronic health records (EHRs), to study these health equity factors. However, it is not clear how accurately these data sources capture information about people's social circumstances and how these factors are defined. In this study, we reviewed existing research to understand how health equity factors have been defined across health data sources and how accurate they are at measuring aspects of health equity and social disadvantage. Of the more than 9000 studies we identified, we included 116 that met our criteria for this systematic review. Most included studies focused on identifying race and ethnicity, often using codes or surname-based methods. We found that the accuracy of these methods varied widely across studies, meaning results may not always be reliable or comparable. Overall, our findings show that there are inconsistencies in how social factors are defined and measured in health data. This makes it difficult to fully understand and address health inequalities using routinely collected health data. More work is needed to develop and validate better quality and more consistent methods for capturing these important social factors.

Humans

Adolescent health across Asia Pacific, 2000-23: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023.

BACKGROUND: The Asia Pacific region is home to more than half of the world's 1&#xb7;93 billion adolescents (aged 10-24 years). Addressing adolescent health in this region is of global importance, but to date a systematic analysis of key contributors to disease in adolescents has not been done, which is a barrier to responsive action. This systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 aims to provide a comprehensive assessment of adolescent health across the Asia Pacific region, at both the subregional and national levels, encompassing burden of disease, mortality, and prevalence of adolescent risk factors. METHODS: As part of GBD 2023, we obtained estimates for cause-specific mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and risk factor prevalence by sex for adolescents aged 10-24 years and 5-year age groups (10-14 years, 15-19 years, and 20-24 years) across 44 countries and territories (hereafter referred to collectively as Asia Pacific), grouped by seven UN subregions, from 2000 to 2023. We extracted GBD 2023 population counts and estimates of number and rate (per 100&#x2008;000 population) for mortality and disease burden (DALYs). Risk prevalence estimates were obtained directly from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, and binge drinking estimates were sourced from WHO. Estimates are reported with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) where possible. UIs were estimated by running 250 draws of the posterior distribution, ordering the draws, and selecting the 2&#xb7;5th and 97&#xb7;5th percentiles for each metric. FINDINGS: In 2023, in adolescents across Asia Pacific, there were 637&#x2008;496 deaths and a total disease burden of 115&#xb7;8 million DALYs, representing 34&#xb7;1% of global adolescent deaths and 40&#xb7;6% of the global adolescent burden of disease. Non-communicable diseases (NCDs; particularly mental disorders) were the leading causes of disease burden and mortality (64&#xb7;8% of DALYs and 43&#xb7;9% of deaths). Unintentional and transport injuries were also leading causes of death (14&#xb7;7% of deaths due to transport injury and 13&#xb7;3% of deaths due to unintentional injury) and leading causes of disease burden particularly among males in south-eastern Asia. In Melanesia, Micronesia, and some parts of south-eastern Asia (Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, the Philippines, and Timor-Leste), respiratory infections and tuberculosis remained important contributors. Southern Asia had the largest reduction (1&#xb7;5% per year) in all-cause DALYs over the study period, and Australia and New Zealand (0&#xb7;2% per year) had the smallest, with females in Australia and New Zealand showing a slight increase contrary to regional trends. Eastern Asia had the largest reduction (2&#xb7;8% per year) in all-cause mortality rate and Melanesia (0&#xb7;8% per year) the smallest. Risk factors generally had between-subregion and within-subregion variation; however, some regional trends stood out, with overweight and obesity increasing in all countries across the region, and binge drinking increasing in more countries than not. In 2023, prevalence of smoking in males exceeded that in females in every country, from 40% difference in Timor-Leste to less than 1% difference in Australia. Anaemia prevalence is decreasing in all countries, but female prevalence was higher and reducing at a slower rate than in males. Bullying prevalence was slightly higher in Polynesia, Micronesia, and Melanesia combined, Australia and New Zealand, and eastern Asia compared with southern and south-eastern Asian subregions. INTERPRETATION: Several patterns were consistent across the region: the dominance of mental disorders and NCDs, the universal rise in overweight and obesity (particularly high in Oceanic countries but increasing rapidly in south and south-eastern Asia), and persistent sex-specific challenges across subregions: unintentional injuries and smoking in males, and anaemia in females. Actions to tackle shared risk factors (while accounting for context-specific local health profiles, workforce deficits, cultural factors, and health system capacity) should not be forgone due to local variation. Future research could focus on subnational variation, intersecting inequalities, and multi-sectoral interventions targeting shared risk factors. Priority actions should include regional investment in adolescent mental health services and obesity prevention, targeted injury reduction strategies for high-risk populations, and sex-specific approaches to smoking cessation and anaemia reduction, delivered through local health systems with the capacity and cultural responsiveness to meet local needs. FUNDING: Gates Foundation and Australian Government.

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