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Models of tumor-host interaction as competing populations: implications for tumor biology and treatment.

Population ecology mathematical models examine tumors not as an isolated collection of transformed individuals but as part of a dynamic society of interacting malignant and normal cells. This approach investigates the mechanisms by which a small clone of neoplastic cells is able to replace the much larger and previously stable population of normal cells, despite the numerical advantage of the latter and the inhibitory effects of the host response. The models define a sequence of different stable equilibria with critical mathematical parameters which control the outcome of different stages of the neoplasm-host competition--parameters which can be correlated with cellular physiologic properties. When neoplasm is viewed as a network of interacting tumor and normal populations, a unifying hypothesis can be developed that allows the diverse but inconsistent properties of transformed cells to be understood according to their specific contributions to tumorigenesis within this network. It predicts general sequences of genetic changes necessary for tumor survival and invasion and demonstrates that apparently disparate properties found in different tumor models can be functionally equivalent. The paper proposes novel modes of therapy requiring classification and treatment of tumors according to the strategies they employ, rather than the traditional criteria of cell type and organ of origin.

Cell Survival↗

Absence of breast-feeding is associated with the risk of type 1 diabetes: a case-control study in a population with rapidly increasing incidence.

There are indications that the effect of environmental factors on the risk of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is increasing over time. This can be documented by the rapid increase of T1DM incidence in genetically stable populations. Our aim was to study an association of T1DM with the variable factors of the perinatal period and of early infancy, using data from children born over a period of changing exposure to some of the studied factors. A case-control dataset was analysed, consisting of 868 diabetic children and 1,466 anonymous controls, mostly schoolmates of the children with T1DM. The data were collected using structured questionnaires completed by parents. After performing univariate analyses, the associations were analysed using multiple logistic regression adjusted for potential confounders, including the year of birth. The risk of T1DM decreased with increasing duration of breast-feeding, while no breast-feeding was associated with an increased T1DM risk, OR=1.93 [95% CI: 1.33-2.80], breast-feeding for more than 12 months was protective, OR=0.42 [95% CI: 0.22-0.81], both being relative to the reference category of breast-feeding for 1-3 months. A short duration of day-care attendance (none or less than 1 year) was weakly associated with the risk of T1DM, OR=1.65 [95% CI: 1.05-2.62]. No association was detected between T1DM and signs of prenatal infections, perinatal stress factors, birth size and weight, indicators of crowding or the presence of a domestic pet in the household. Short breast-feeding period and short attendance to day care is associated with the risk of T1DM in Czech children.

Adolescent↗

Effects of O2 and CH4 on presence and activity of the indigenous methanotrophic community in rice field soil.

The activity and distribution of methanotrophs in soil depend on the availability of CH4 and O2. Therefore, we investigated the activity and structure of the methanotrophic community in rice field soil under four factorial combinations of high and low CH4 and O2 concentrations. The methanotrophic population structure was resolved by denaturant gradient gel electrophoresis (DGGE) with different PCR primer sets targeting the 16S rRNA gene, and two functional genes coding for key enzymes in methanotrophs, i.e. the particulate methane monooxygenase (pmoA) and the methanol dehydrogenase (mxaF). Changes in the biomass of type I and II methanotrophic bacteria in the rice soil were determined by analysis of phospholipid-ester-linked fatty acid (PLFA) biomarkers. The relative contribution of type I and II methanotrophs to the measured methane oxidation activity was determined by labelling of soil samples with 14CH4 followed by analysis of [14C]-PLFAs. CH4 oxidation was repressed by high O2 (20.5%), and enhanced by low O2 (1%). Depending on the CH4 and O2 mixing ratios, different methanotrophic communities developed with a higher diversity at low than at high CH4 concentration as revealed by PCR-DGGE. However, a prevalence of type I or II populations was not detected. The [14C]-PLFA fingerprints, on the other hand, revealed that CH4 oxidation activity was dominated by type I methanotrophs in incubations with low CH4 mixing ratios (1000 p.p.m.v.) and during initiation of CH4 consumption regardless of O2 or CH4 mixing ratio. At high methane mixing ratios (10 000 p.p.m.v.), type I and II methanotrophs contributed equally to the measured CH4 metabolism. Collectively, type I methanotrophs responded fast and with pronounced shifts in population structure and dominated the activity under all four gas mixtures. Type II methanotrophs, on the other hand, although apparently more abundant, always present and showing a largely stable population structure, became active later and contributed to CH4 oxidation activity mainly under high CH4 mixing ratios.

Alcohol Oxidoreductases↗

Epiphytic fitness of a biological control agent of fire blight in apple and pear orchards under Mediterranean weather conditions.

The behaviour of Pseudomonas fluorescens EPS62e was investigated in apple and pear orchards under Mediterranean climatic conditions. The trials studied the influence of weather conditions, plant host species, presence of indigenous microbial community and spread from treated to nontreated trees on colonization and survival. Population dynamics were assessed by real-time PCR and CFU-counting methods. With inoculated flowers, weather conditions were optimal for colonization, and EPS62e established high and stable population levels around 10(8) CFU per organ, according to both methods of analysis. The plant host species did not influence the colonization rate, and the biocontrol agent dominated the microbial communities of blossoms, representing up to 100% of the total cultivable population. With inoculated leaves, the EPS62e population decreased to nondetectable levels 30 days after treatment according to both methods used. EPS62e spread moderately in the orchard, being detected in nontreated flowers of trees 15-35 m from the inoculation site. The combined use of real-time PCR and CFU-counting methods of analysis permitted the identification of three physiological states for EPS62e in the field, which consisted of active colonization, survival and entry into a viable but nonculturable state, and cell death.

Climate↗

Isozyme diversity in Iris Cristata and the threatened glacial endemic I. Lacustris (Iridaceae).

Iris cristata and I. lacustris differ markedly in geographic distribution, glacial history of current ranges, and ecology. We hypothesized that I. cristata, a widespread species of unglaciated regions of eastern North America, would exhibit genetic diversity typical of other widespread plant species, whereas the threatened I. lacustris, which occupies glaciated habitats on Great Lakes shorelines, would display little genetic variation. Iris lacustris lacked detectable polymorphisms in 18 isozyme loci, although we found evidence of possible incomplete gene silencing in four additional loci in some populations. In contrast, I. cristata was polymorphic at 73% of 15 loci examined, with an average of three alleles per locus. Genetic diversity (H(e)) was 0.231. All species-level and population-level estimates of genetic diversity were higher than averages for plants having comparable life history traits. Nearly 98% of the total genetic diversity in I. cristata was apportioned within populations, and heterozygosity and fixation estimates suggest a high level of outcrossing in this species (t = 1.265). The long-lived perennial habit and high outcrossing rate in stable populations are proposed as factors contributing to high genetic diversity in I. cristata. The data are consistent with an hypothesis of a recent origin of I. lacustris from a very limited I. cristata gene pool exacerbated by repeated bottlenecks and founder effects as I. lacustris populations were displaced by lake-level changes over the past 11 000 yr.

Journal Article↗

An analysis of the multilineage production of human hematopoietic progenitors in long-term bone marrow culture: evidence that reactive oxygen intermediates derived from mature phagocytic cells have a role in limiting progenitor cell self-renewal.

To better understand the limited hematopoietic life span of human marrow "Dexter" cultures, we developed a miniaturized, two-stage culture system with which in vitro production of hematopoietic progenitors could be reproducibly detected and quantified. Light-density, gradient-separated human marrow cells were inoculated into Leighton slide tubes, and adherent ("stromal") cell layers were allowed to develop on the removable coverslips within these tubes during an initial 4 weeks of culture. Once stromal cell layers were established, cultures were irradiated (800 cGy) to eliminate all residual hematopoietic progenitors. The cultures were then recharged with autologous, cryopreserved marrow cells (enriched for BFU-E and CFU-GM) to reconstitute stem cell populations and to initiate in vitro hematopoiesis. Most progenitor cells added to irradiated cultures were no longer detectable by clonal assays within one to four days after recharge. Nonetheless, stable populations of adherent BFU-E and CFU-GM became established in these cultures within 24 to 48 hours, and when the total numbers of progenitors (adherent and nonadherent) were measured at weekly intervals thereafter, it was evident that both BFU-E and CFU-GM were generated in vitro. However, progenitor cell production declined as neutrophils and macrophages accumulated in the cultures. Moreover, with this accumulation of mature myeloid cells, increasing levels of O2- and H2O2 could be detected in the cultures, and it was found that the addition of oxidant scavengers (catalase and mannitol) to culture media enhanced the weekly expansions of progenitor cell numbers that could be measured. These findings support the conclusion that reactive O2 intermediates generated by mature myeloid cells have a role in limiting the duration and extent of hematopoietic progenitor cell self-renewal in long-term "Dexter" cultures of human marrow.

Bone Marrow Cells↗

[20-year monitoring of acute cardiovascular diseases in population of large industrial city in West Siberia (epidemiological study)].

AIM: To reveal trends in incidence rates of acute cardiovascular diseases (ACD) in a large industrial city of the West Siberia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Studies on WHO programs "Acute Myocardial Infarction Register" and "MONICA" have been performed in three districts of Novosibirsk. The diagnostic categories were detected without difference. The observation covered stable population of 500,000 residents aged 25-64 years. Trends in the myocardial infarction (MI) mortality, morbidity and lethality were analysed for 1977-1996. RESULTS: The above trends were stable except for 1986 when MI mortality, morbidity and lethality decreased and 1988 and 1994 when they went up. The reduction was due to 7-year prevention program while the rise was consequent to discontinuation of the preventive measures. Major risk factors of ischemic heart disease, according to screenings conducted in 1984, 1988 and 1994 remained at about the same level. Social stress closely correlates with a rise in MI morbidity and mortality. The latter in 1994 grew owing to higher rates of MI mortality and morbidity among the oldest men and females of different age groups. CONCLUSION: Urgent intensification of prophylactic measures is needed both at the populational level and the level of high risk strategy.

Adult↗

The estimation of risks from the induction of recessive mutations after exposure to ionising radiation.

Since recent assessments of genetic risks from radiation have concentrated on harmful dominant effects, a quantitative assessment of risks from recessives is needed. Presumably, harmful recessives can arise at all loci coding for essential proteins (perhaps 10 000), but mutation to dominant alleles is likely to be a property of relatively few loci. While many recessives doubtless remain to be discovered, those known at present tend to have earlier and more severe effects than dominants. Induced recessive mutations can cause harm by partnership with a defective allele already established in the population; partnership with another recessive mutation induced at the same locus; the formation of homozygous descendants, that is, identity by descent; and heterozygous effects. Calculations based on a combination of data from observations on human populations and from mouse experiments suggest that an extra genetically significant dose of 1 cGy (centiGray, equivalent to 1 rad) X or gamma irradiation received by each parent in a stable population with a million liveborn offspring would induce up to 1200 extra recessive mutations. From partnership effects, about one extra case of recessive disease would be expected in the following 10 generations. Homozygosity resulting from identity by descent could not normally occur until the fourth generation after exposure but, on certain assumptions, about ten extra cases of recessive disease would be expected from this cause by the tenth generation. In the same period, about 250 recessive alleles would be eliminated in heterozygotes (that is, Muller's 'genetic deaths') given 2.5% heterozygous disadvantage. These deleterious heterozygous effects should not be combined with those of dominants, as has been done in some previous risk estimates. It is considered unlikely that many radiation induced recessives would show heterozygous advantage. Certain dominants (combined frequently at least 10(-3)) should be excluded from calculations of mutational risk because they are unlikely to be maintained by mutation.

Abnormalities, Radiation-Induced↗

The incidence of fibromyalgia and its associated comorbidities: a population-based retrospective cohort study based on International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision codes.

BACKGROUND: The epidemiology of fibromyalgia is poorly defined. The incidence of fibromyalgia has not been determined using a large population base. Previous studies based on prevalence data demonstrated that females are 7 times more likely to have fibromyalgia than males and that the peak age for females is during the childbearing years. OBJECTIVE: We have calculated the incidence rate of fibromyalgia in a large, stable population and determined the strength of association between fibromyalgia and 7 comorbid conditions. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of a large, stable health insurance claims database (62,000 nationwide enrollees per year). Claims from 1997 to 2002 were examined using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes to identify fibromyalgia cases (ICD code 729.1) and 7 predetermined comorbid conditions. RESULTS: A total of 2595 incident cases of fibromyalgia were identified between 1997 and 2002. Age-adjusted incidence rates were 6.88 cases per 1000 person-years for males and 11.28 cases per 1000 person-years for females. Females were 1.64 times (95% confidence interval = 1.59-1.69) more likely than males to have fibromyalgia. Patients with fibromyalgia were 2.14 to 7.05 times more likely to have one or more of the following comorbid conditions: depression, anxiety, headache, irritable bowel syndrome, chronic fatigue syndrome, systemic lupus erythematosus, and rheumatoid arthritis. CONCLUSION: Females are more likely to be diagnosed with fibromyalgia than males, although to a substantially smaller degree than previously reported, and there are strong associations for comorbid conditions that are commonly thought to be associated with fibromyalgia.

Age Distribution↗

Stable chromosomal inversion polymorphisms and insecticide resistance in the malaria vector mosquito Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae).

Anopheles gambiae Giles has been implicated as a major vector of malaria in Africa. A number of paracentric chromosomal inversions have been observed as polymorphisms in wild and laboratory populations of this species. These polymorphisms have been used to demonstrate the existence of five reproductive units in West African populations that are currently described as incipient species. They have also been correlated with various behavioral characteristics such as adaptation to aridity and feeding preference and have been associated with insecticide resistance. Two paracentric inversions namely 2La and 2Rb are highly ubiquitous in the wild and laboratory populations sampled. Both inversions are easily conserved during laboratory colonization of wild material and one shows significant positive heterosis with respect to Hardy-Weinberg proportions. Inversion 2La has previously been associated with dieldrin resistance and inversion 2Rb shows an association with DDT resistance based on this study. The stability and maintenance of these inversions as polymorphisms provides an explanation for the transmission and continued presence of DDT and dieldrin resistance in a laboratory strain of An. gambiae in the absence of insecticide selection pressure. This effect may also be operational in wild populations. Stable inversion polymorphism also provides a possible mechanism for the continual inheritance of suitable genetic factors that otherwise compromise the fitness of genetically modified malaria vector mosquitoes.

Animals↗

[Analysis of mortality by population groups migrating within the country. Tumors of the digestive system].

This paper analyzes mortality of digestive system cancers in Italy during the years 1981-84 by groups of people migrated inside the country. Individuals born and died in the same region are defined as "stables". "Migrants" indicate individuals for which the region of birth differ from that of residence. Mortality for cancers of oral cavity and pharynx, and of the oesophagus, shows a negative effect of being born in the high risk regions of the north-east and a protective effect of being born in the low mortality regions of the south. Leaving high risk areas brings a positive effect, while to settle there makes mortality getting worse. For stomach cancer, the birth effect is very strong: in this first generation of migrants mortality rates are very similar to those of the stable in the birth areas. A strong migration effect is observed for colorectal cancer mortality: age specific mortality rates in migrants fit well those of host stable population. Liver cancer mortality of migrants from high risk areas approaches the one of the host population. Pancreatic cancer mortality shows a protective effect of being born in the south and a negative effect of residing in the northern high mortality areas.

Adolescent↗

Osteopenia and stable isotope ratios in bone collagen of Nubian female mummies.

Stable carbon and nitrogen isotopes were analysed on bone collagen of 43 Sudanese Nubians from the X-Group period to test dietary hypotheses for the high frequency of osteopenia in this population. Stable carbon isotope ratios indicate that both normal and osteopenic individuals consumed the same mixed diet of C3 and C4 sources, which are assumed to have been constituted by the grain staples wheat/barley and sorghum/millet respectively. Females with osteopenia, however, have significantly elevated delta 15N values. The enrichment effect is greatest in the third and fifth decades of life, and is consistently patterned with microstructural and frequency differences previously reported by other researchers. It is suggested that delta 15N is reflecting differences in urea excretion and the renal processing and clearance of calcium and phosphorus. The study not only alerts us to the susceptibility of stable nitrogen isotopes to non-dietary (i.e. physiological) factors, but also identifies nitrogen isotope ratios as a possible new marker for osteopenia.

Adolescent↗

Phenoxybenzamine treatment differentiates dopaminergic 3H-ligand binding sites in bovine caudate membranes.

Phenoxybenzamine, the classic alpha-adrenergic receptor alkylating agent, also acts as an irreversible antagonist of the binding of [3H]spiroperidol, a D-2-selective dopaminergic ligand, to bovine caudate membranes. Doses completely eliminating the binding of this ligand leave the binding of [3H]dopamine to D-3 sites virtually unaffected. The binding sites for these two ligands thus represent distinct subtypes of dopamine receptors, not interconverting states of a single receptor. This phenoxybenzamine-mediated inhibition proceeds via a dose-dependent (pseudo-IC50 = 1 microM) decrease in Bmax with little or no change in affinity for 3H-ligands at the D-2 site. The effect is site-directed, as the dopaminergic agonists dopamine and apomorphine and the antagonist domperidone are able to protect against phenoxybenzamine-mediated attack in proportion to their affinities for D-2 sites. Epinephrine, norepinephrine, and serotonin are much less effective in protecting these sites. The sensitivity of [3H]apomorphine binding is intermediate to that of [3H]spiroperidol and [3H]dopamine. [3H]Apomorphine binding can be resolved into a phenoxybenzamine-labile population of binding sites which have equal phenoxybenzamine sensitivity, selectivity among protecting agents, and butyrophenone affinity to those of D-2 sites labeled by 3H-butyrophenones, and a separate phenoxybenzamine-stable population of sites which have an affinity for dopamine comparable to that of D-3 sites labeled by [3H]dopamine. [3H]Apomorphine therefore appears to label a portion of D-2 receptor sites in addition to D-3 receptors.

Animals↗

Variation in the use of laparoscopic cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis: a population-based study.

HYPOTHESIS: There is wide variation in the use of laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) for acute cholecystitis among all public hospitals in Hong Kong. The objective of this study was to determine the factors responsible for the use of LC for acute cholecystitis in a stable population. DESIGN: A retrospective survey on 2353 patients with pathologically proven acute cholecystitis treated with cholecystectomy in Hong Kong from 1998 to 2002. SETTING: All public hospitals in Hong Kong. RESULTS: The rate of using LC for acute cholecystitis increased by 30.4% from 1998 to 2002. We observed a wide variation in the use of LC for acute cholecystitis ranging from 3.7% to 92.9% (P<.001). There was no correlation between the number of cholecystectomies performed and the percentage of LCs performed in each hospital (P = .39). Logistic regression analysis showed that the hospital, year of operation, and age of the patients were independent variables for LC. CONCLUSIONS: A wide variation in the use of LC for acute cholecystitis was observed among the public hospitals in Hong Kong. Young female patients from selected hospitals recently are more likely to be treated with LC.

Aged↗

Epidemiological model of typhoid fever and its use in the planning and evaluation of antityphoid immunization and sanitation programmes.

An epidemiological model has been constructed for typhoid fever in a stable population in order to study the transmission of infection at different levels of endemicity. It involves a number of parameters representing the proportions of epidemiological subgroups in the population-such as the susceptible, the infected, and the immune-and rates of transition between the groups. Numerical values based on available evidence were assigned to the parameters, to provide a realistic simulation of stable endemicity.Changes were then introduced in the values of some of the parameters in order to study the consequences of mass vaccination and improvements in general health conditions and sanitation, in particular on the incidence of disease.The model shows that a single mass vaccination reduces the incidence of disease considerably, but the gain is largely lost after a few years. Repeated vaccinations at 5-year intervals will produce further decreases in incidence, though the additional gain becomes smaller at each consecutive vaccination.The model was also used to estimate the possible effect of improvements in sanitation. The incidence decreases to a new level of stability when the transmission of the infection is reduced because of improved sanitation. The effect of sanitation is long-lasting and in this respect gives better results than vaccination.The simultaneous application of mass vaccination and sanitation gives a cumulative effect, which in some cases tends to be close to the effect of sanitation alone.The model was used to forecast the probable effect of preventive measures against typhoid fever, such as mass immunization and sanitation programmes, on a selected population in terms of prevention of disease, as well as in terms of relative costs and benefits. It provides a useful guide for the rational use of funds and the facilities to be set aside for typhoid fever control purposes.Other possible uses of the model are briefly discussed.The need to adjust the model in relation to specific conditions in the community is stressed, as is the need to readjust it to take into account changes in the pattern of life and the natural history of typhoid fever.

Communicable Disease Control↗

Effective size and F-statistics of subdivided populations. II. Dioecious species.

For a dioecious diploid population subdivided into an arbitrary number of subpopulations, we have derived recurrence equations for the inbreeding coefficient and coancestries between individuals within and among subpopulations and formulas for effective size and F-statistics. Stable population size and structure, discrete generations, autosomal inheritance, and the island migration model are assumed, and arbitrary distributions of the numbers of male and female progeny per family, different numbers and variable migration rates of males and females are incorporated in our derivation. Some published equations for effective size and F-statistics for a subdivided population are shown to be incorrect because several incorrect probabilities are used in the derivation. A more general equation for effective size is obtained by finding eigenvalue solutions to the recurrence equations for inbreeding coefficient and coancestry in this article, which reduces to the simple and familiar expressions derived by previous authors for the special case of a single unsubdivided population. Our general expressions for F-statistics also reduce to the classical results of WRIGHT's infinite island model and its extensions. It is shown that population structure is important in determining effective size and F-statistics and should be recognized and incorporated into programs for genetic conservation and evolution.

Biological Evolution↗

Prevalence of allergic disorders in early childhood.

The purpose of this paper has been to highlight some of the work which has been carried out in "The David Hide Asthma and Allergy Research Centre". Some of results of 1, 2 and 4 years follow-ups of Isle of Wight 1989 cohort have been described. The geographically defined population of Isle of Wight allows epidemiological studies such as this to be carried out with relative ease. The high percentage of those who were followed up although in part is explained by the stable population of the Island, no doubt it also reflects the esteem that David was held in not only in the medical and scientific community but also amongst the local population of Isle of Wight. His legacy will go on and his team will endeavour to carry on with the excellent work that he initiated.

Allergens↗

Blurred edges to population policies.

Fertility is now below replacement level in most European countries, especially the industrialized ones. In the last 20 years, several countries have developed or improved pronatalist programs containing incentives that are designed to motivate couples to have a 2nd and especially a 3rd child, to maintain a stable population. The WHO Sexuality and Family Planning Unit called a short consultation on this subject last October. What actually constitutes a pronatalist population program and the connections between public policies and private reproductive behavior were not very clear. Nor is it easy to assess the longer--term demographic effects of pronatalist policies or what influences their effectiveness. The outcome usually reflects the country's history, cultural and religious traditions, changes in lifestyle, and the value given to the family and children. Incentives are defined as monetary or nonmonetary inducements to voluntary reproductive behavior that conforms to specified population policies. They may be small or large, in cash or kind, parity-specific or income-linked, immediate or developed, one-time or incremental, or any combination of these. Disincentives are negative sanctions that are either incurred or thought likely as a result of violating the policy. But both incentives and disincentives are difficult to define. Pronatalist policies designed to encourage early marriage and larger families, thereby raising the future total fertility rate should not be confused with traditional social welfare policies designed simply to ease the burden of childbearing. Some policies have both demographic and social welfare aims. Strong pronatalist policies may be linked with restrictions on contraceptive availability and legal abortion. Moreover, other public policies affecting social security, education, employment, housing, regional planning and the emancipation of women may unintentionally influence demographic behavior. Population policies are the product of politics. Often written in ambiguous language and intended to affect society as a whole, they still depend for their outcome on microlevel changes in a couple's perceptions of the costs and benefits of having children. In theory, they can be carried out in many ways but in practice such policies are severely limited by administrative, political, technological, economic, and ethical constraints. One difficulty is that governments is rarely enunciate precise goals. Their approach may range from noninterference in private reproductive behavior to total coercion using controls ranging from traditional cultural influences to imposition of fertility regulations. In some countries, fertility rates have increased briefly (in terms of period rates) following introduction of pronatalist policies. However, it is not clear how the rates were influenced, particularly in the case of parities 1, 2, and 3. A forthcoming report will describe experiences in Bulgaria, France, Germany, Sweden, and Norway.

Developed Countries↗