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IgE production in atopic patients is not related to IL-4 production.

To analyse whether there is a general defect in T or B cell function in atopic individuals we have measured cytokine and IgE production by peripheral blood lymphocytes, isolated from 19 atopic donors (17 asthma/rhinitis and two dermatitis patients) in comparison with 19 non-atopic controls. After stimulation of lymphocytes with anti-CD2 and anti-CD28, we found no significant difference in IL-2, IL-4 and interferon-gamma (IFN-gamma) production. To examine the correlation between the production of IgE and IL-4, we stimulated lymphocytes with anti-CD2 and rIL-2. Under this condition both T cell IL-4 and B cell IgE production can be measured. No significant difference was found for the amount of IgE and IL-4 produced between the two groups (P > 0.05). The non-atopic donors showed a good correlation between IL-4 and IgE production (r = 0.70). Surprisingly, within the atopic group there was no correlation between IgE and IL-4 production at all (r = -0.04). The ratio of IgE to IL-4 was higher (although not significantly) in the atopic group. Our data suggest that in atopic donors IgE production is less dependent on IL-4, and that other cytokines are involved.

Adult↗

Production of prostaglandins by the pseudopregnant rat uterus, in vitro, and the effect of tamoxifen with the identification of 6-keto-prostaglandin F1alpha as a major product.

1 Prostaglandin production by rat uterus homogenates has been studied, in vitro, on days 2 to 13 of pseudopregnancy. 2 The highest production of prostaglandins occurred on day 5. 3 The amounts of prostaglandins F and D formed were higher than the amounts of prostaglandin E on every day studied. 4 The ratios of prostglandins F and D to prostaglandin E produced steadily decreased up to day 6. It then increased with the highest values occurring between days 10 and 13, 5 Progesterone levels in peripheral plasma increased rapidly from days 2 to 5, remained high up to day 9, then steadily decreased between days 10 and 13. 6 The anti-oestrogenic drug, tamoxifen administered on day 2, significantly inhibited the increase of prostaglandin production which occurred on day 5. Prostaglandin E production was inhibited more than the production of prostaglandins F and D. 7 Analysis of the uterine extracts by gas chromatography and mass spectrometry showed prostaglandin F2alpha, F1alpha (in trace amounts), E2 and D2 to be present. 8 The major product detected was 6-keto-prostaglandin F1alpha. Its identification forms an addendum to the paper. 9 Also present as a major product was 6(9)-oxy-11,15-dihydroxyprosta-7,13-dienoic acid.

Animals↗

Neutrophil function during pregnancy: is nitric oxide production correlated with superoxide production?

PROBLEM: Oxygen radical formation by neutrophils during pregnancy is not well studied. METHOD OF STUDY: We studied neutrophil-derived superoxide anion (O) and nitric oxide (NO) values in 75 normal pregnant women, 12 postpartum women, and 10 non-pregnant women. O production was measured by the superoxide dismutase-inhibitable reduction of ferricytochrome c. NO production was measured by accumulation of the stable end product nitrite using a modified Griess reaction method. RESULTS: O production of neutrophils stimulated by chemotactic peptide was significantly enhanced in the early second trimester of pregnancy. l-arginine analogue-inhibitable nitrite production was induced in neutrophils from pregnant women, but not from postpartum and non-pregnant subjects. In third-trimester subjects but not non-pregnant subjects, neutrophils pre-treated with l-arginine analogues enhanced O production compared with untreated neutrophils. CONCLUSION: These findings indicate that O and NO production by neutrophils during pregnancy were modulated separately, whereas neutrophil-derived NO might function as a regulator of O.

Case-Control Studies↗

In vivo production of artificial nonribosomal peptide products in the heterologous host Escherichia coli.

Nonribosomal peptide synthetases represent the enzymatic assembly lines for the biosynthesis of pharmacologically relevant natural peptides, e.g., cyclosporine, vancomycin, and penicillin. Due to their modular organization, in which every module accounts for the incorporation of a single amino acid, artificial assembly lines for the production of novel peptides can be constructed by biocombinatorial approaches. Once transferred into an appropriate host, these hybrid synthetases could facilitate the bioproduction of basically any peptide-based molecule. In the present study, we describe the fermentative production of the cyclic dipeptide D-Phe-Pro-diketopiperazine, as a prototype for the exploitation of the heterologous host Escherichia coli, and the use of artificial nonribosomal peptide synthetases. E. coli provides a tremendous potential for genetic engineering and was manipulated in our study by stable chromosomal integration of the 4'-phosphopantetheine transferase gene sfp to ensure heterologous production of fully active holoenzmyes. D-Phe-Pro-diketopiperazine is formed by the TycA/TycB1 system, whose components represent the first two modules for tyrocidine biosynthesis in Bacillus brevis. Coexpression of the corresponding genes in E. coli gave rise to the production of the expected diketopiperazine product, demonstrating the functional interaction of both modules in the heterologous environment. Furthermore, the cyclic dipeptide is stable and not toxic to E. coli and is secreted into the culture medium without the need for any additional factors. Parameters affecting the productivity were comprehensively investigated, including various genetic setups, as well as variation of medium composition and temperature. By these means, the overall productivity of the artificial system could be enhanced by over 400% to yield about 9 mg of D-Phe-Pro-diketopiperazine/liter. As a general tool, this approach could allow the sustainable bioproduction of peptides, e.g., those used as pharmaceuticals or fine chemicals.

Anti-Bacterial Agents↗

Studies on the mechanism of endogenous pyrogen production. II. Role of cell products in the regulation of pyrogen release from blood leukocytes.

Some characteristics of the process by which endogenous pyrogen (EP), the mediator of fever, is released from cells were examined by using human blood leukocytes incubated in vitro. Studies were designed to examine a possible role for leukocyte products, including EP, in the induction, augmentation, or suppression of pyrogen release by blood leukocytes. Products of stimulated leukocytes, including a partially purified preparation of EP, did not induce significant activation of nonstimulated cells. Also, no evidence was obtained that stimulated cell products either augment or inhibit pyrogen production by other stimulated cells. A feedback control of EP production was thus not observed. A crude preparation of EP, containing other products of activated cells, maintained its pyrogenicity when incubated at pH 7.4 but not at pH 5.0. These studies thus provide no support for hypothesized control mechanisms regulating production of EP by blood leukocytes. By contrast, local inactivation of EP at inflammatory sites may modify the amount of EP entering the blood, and hence fever.

Animals↗

Ethanol production by thermophilic bacteria: metabolic control of end product formation in Thermoanaerobium brockii.

Specific changes in the chemical and microbial composition of Thermoanaerobium brockii fermentations were compared and related to alterations of process rates, end product yields, and growth parameters. Fermentation of starch as compared with glucose was associated with significant decreases in growth rate and intracellular fructose-1,6-bisphosphate concentration and with a dramatic increase in the ethanol/lactate product ratio. Glucose or pyruvate fermentation in the presence of acetone was correlated with increased substrate consumption, growth (both rate and yield), acetate yield, and quantitative reduction of acetone to isopropanol in lieu of normal reduced fermentation products (i.e., H2, ethanol, lactate). Acetone altered pyruvate phosphoroclastic activity of cell extracts in that H2, lactate, and ethanol levels decreased, whereas the acetate concentration increased. Glucose fermentation in the presence of exogenous hydrogen was associated with inhibition of endogenous H2 production and either increased ethanol/acetate product ratios and decreased growth at less than 0.5 atm (51 kPa) of H2 or total growth inhibition at 1.0 atm (102 kPA). The effects of exogenous hydrogen on glucose fermentation were totally reversed by the addition of acetone. Glucose fermentation in coculture with Methanobacterium thermoautotrophicum correlated with increased growth (both rate and yield), acetate yield, and the formation of methane in lieu of monoculture reduced products. In coculture, but not monoculture, T. brockii grew on ethanol as the energy source, and acetate and methane were the end products as a direct consequence of hydrogen consumption by the methanogen.

Acetone↗

Dual functions of bacteriophage T4D gene 28 product: structural component of the viral tail baseplate central plug and cleavage enzyme for folyl polyglutamates. I. Identification of T4D gene 28 product in the tail plug.

The T4D bacteriophage gene 28 product is a component of the central plug of the tail baseplate, as shown by the following two independent lines of evidence. (i) A highly sensitive method for radioactive labeling of only tail baseplate plug components was developed. These labeled plug components were incorporated by a complementation procedure into new phage particles and were analyzed by radioautography after sodium dodecyl sulfate-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis. Three new structural proteins were found in addition to the three known tail plug proteins (i.e., gP29, gP27, and gP5). One of the three newly identified components had a molecular weight of 24,000 to 25,000 and appeared to be a product of T4D gene 28. (ii) Characterization of mutants of Escherichia coli bacteriophage T4D which produced altered gene 28 products also indicated that the gene 28 product was a viral tail component. T4D 28(ts) phage particles produced at the permissive temperature had altered heat labilities compared with parent T4D particles. We isolated a single-step temperature revertant of T4D 28(ts) and found that it produced phage particles which phenotypically resembled the original T4D particles. Since the properties of the phage baseplate components usually determine heat lability, these two changes in physical stability after two sequential single mutations in gene 28 supported the other evidence that the gene 28 product was a viral baseplate component. Also, compared with parent T4D particles, T4D 28(ts) and T4D 28am viral particles adsorbed at different rates to various types of host cells. In addition, T4D 28(ts) particles exhibited a different host range than parent T4D particles. This T4D mutant formed plaques with an extremely low efficiency on all E. coli K-12 strains tested. We found that although T4D 28(ts) particles adsorbed rapidly and irreversibly to the E. coli K-12 strains, as judged by gene rescue experiments, these particles were not able to inject their DNA into the E. coli K-12 strains. On the other hand, the T4D 28(ts) revertant had a plating efficiency on E. coli K-12 strains that was quite similar to the plating efficiency of the original parent, T4D. These properties of phage particles containing an altered gene 28 product supported the analytical finding that the gene 28 product is a structural component of the central plug of the T4D tail baseplate. They also indicated that this component plays a role in both host cell recognition and viral DNA injection.

Adsorption↗

Human receptor for measles virus (CD46) enhances nitric oxide production and restricts virus replication in mouse macrophages by modulating production of alpha/beta interferon.

Complement regulatory protein CD46 is a human cell receptor for measles virus (MV). In this study, we investigated why mouse macrophages expressing human CD46 restricted MV replication and produced higher levels of nitric oxide (NO) in response to MV and gamma interferon (IFN-gamma). Treatment of MV-infected CD46-expressing mouse macrophages with antibodies against IFN-alpha/beta blocked NO production. Antibodies against IFN-alpha/beta also inhibited the augmenting effect of MV on IFN-gamma-induced NO production in CD46-expressing mouse macrophages. These antibodies did not affect NO production induced by IFN-gamma alone. These data suggest that MV enhances NO production in CD46-expressing mouse macrophages through action of IFN-alpha/beta. Mouse macrophages expressing a human CD46 mutant lacking the cytoplasmic domains were highly susceptible to MV. These cells produced much lower levels of NO and IFN-alpha/beta upon infection by MV, suggesting the CD46 cytoplasmic domains enhanced IFN-alpha/beta production. When mouse macrophages expressing tailless human CD46 were exposed to culture medium from MV-infected mouse macrophages expressing intact human CD46, viral protein synthesis and development of cytopathic effects were suppressed. Pretreating the added culture medium with antibodies against IFN-alpha/beta abrogated these antiviral effects. Taken together, these findings suggest that expression of human CD46 in mouse macrophages enhances production of IFN-alpha/beta in response to MV infection, and IFN-alpha/beta synergizes with IFN-gamma to enhance NO production and restrict viral protein synthesis and virus replication. This novel function of human CD46 in mouse macrophages requires the CD46 cytoplasmic domains.

Animals↗

Analysis of DHE-derived oxidation products by HPLC in the assessment of superoxide production and NADPH oxidase activity in vascular systems.

Dihydroethidium (DHE) is a widely used sensitive superoxide (O2(*-)) probe. However, DHE oxidation yields at least two fluorescent products, 2-hydroxyethidium (EOH), known to be more specific for O2(*-), and the less-specific product ethidium. We validated HPLC methods to allow quantification of DHE products in usual vascular experimental situations. Studies in vitro showed that xanthine/xanthine oxidase, and to a lesser degree peroxynitrite/carbon dioxide system led to EOH and ethidium formation. Peroxidase/H2O2 but not H2O2 alone yielded ethidium as the main product. In vascular smooth muscle cells incubated with ANG II (100 nM, 4 h), we showed a 60% increase in EOH/DHE ratio, prevented by PEG-SOD or SOD1 overexpression. We further validated a novel DHE-based NADPH oxidase assay in vascular smooth muscle cell membrane fractions, showing that EOH was uniquely increased after ANG II. This assay was also adapted to a fluorescence microplate reader, providing results in line with HPLC results. In injured artery slices, shown to exhibit increased DHE-derived fluorescence at microscopy, there was approximately 1.5- to 2-fold increase in EOH/DHE and ethidium/DHE ratios after injury, and PEG-SOD inhibited only EOH formation. We found that the amount of ethidium product and EOH/ethidium ratios are influenced by factors such as cell density and ambient light. In addition, we indirectly disclosed potential roles of heme groups and peroxidase activity in ethidium generation. Thus HPLC analysis of DHE-derived oxidation products can improve assessment of O2(*-) production or NADPH oxidase activity in many vascular experimental studies.

Animals↗

Ethanol dissociates hormone-stimulated cAMP production from inhibition of TNF-alpha production in rat Kupffer cells.

Ethanol impairs hormone-stimulated cAMP production in a number of cell types, yet the effects of ethanol on downstream responses mediated by cAMP-dependent protein kinase (PKA) are not understood. Here we have investigated the effects of ethanol feeding on cAMP-mediated inhibition of tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) synthesis in rat Kupffer cells. Male Wistar rats were fed liquid diets containing 36% of calories as ethanol for 4 wk or were pair fed a control diet. Stimulation of cAMP production by the adenosine A2 receptor agonist 5'-(N-ethylcarboxamido)-adenosine (NECA), prostaglandin E2, or forskolin was decreased to 25% of control values in Kupffer cells isolated from ethanol-fed rats. This decrease was associated with a reduction in the quantity of immunoreactive Gsalpha protein in ethanol-fed rats, with no changes observed in Gialpha or Gbeta. TNF-alpha production was higher in ethanol-fed rats in response to stimulation with lipopolysaccharide or latex beads. Despite the profound reduction in the ability of hormone to increase cAMP production, NECA and prostaglandin E2 inhibited TNF-alpha production to an equivalent degree in Kupffer cells from ethanol- and pair-fed rats. Total activity and immuoreactive protein quantity of PKA did not differ between groups. Activation of PKA in response to a 15-min treatment with 1 microM NECA was reduced by 50% in ethanol-fed rats compared with control. Despite this reduction in activation, translocation of the catalytic subunit of PKA to the nucleus and phosphorylation of cAMP response element binding protein in response to activation were observed in Kupffer cells from both ethanol- and pair-fed rats. These data demonstrate that there is a dissociation between ethanol-induced desensitization of hormone-stimulated cAMP production in rat Kupffer cells and the downstream inhibition of TNF-alpha production mediated by cAMP.

Adenosine-5'-(N-ethylcarboxamide)↗

Method for measuring ATP production in isolated mitochondria: ATP production in brain and liver mitochondria of Fischer-344 rats with age and caloric restriction.

The production of ATP is vital for muscle contraction, chemiosmotic homeostasis, and normal cellular function. Many studies have measured ATP content or qualitative changes in ATP production, but few have quantified ATP production in vivo in isolated mitochondria. Because of the importance of understanding the energy capacity of mitochondria in biology, physiology, cellular dysfunction, and ultimately, disease pathologies and normal aging, we modified a commercially available bioluminescent ATP determination assay for quantitatively measuring ATP content and rate of ATP production in isolated mitochondria. The bioluminescence assay is based on the reaction of ATP with recombinant firefly luciferase and its substrate luciferin. The stabilities of the reaction mixture as well as relevant ATP standards were quantified. The luminescent signals of the reaction mixture and a 0.5 microM ATP standard decreased linearly at rates of 2.16 and 1.39% decay/min, respectively. For a 25 microM ATP standard, the luminescent signal underwent a logarithmic decay, due to intrinsic deviations from the Beer-Lambert law. Moreover, to test the functionality of isolated mitochondria, they were incubated with 1 and 5 mM oligomycin, an inhibitor of oxidative phosphorylation. The rate of ATP production in the mitochondria declined by 34 and 83%, respectively. Due to the sensitivity and stability of the assay and methodology, we were able to quantitatively measure in vivo the effects of age and caloric restriction on the ATP content and production in isolated mitochondria from the brain and liver of young and old Fischer-344 rats. In both tissues, neither age nor caloric restriction had any significant effect on the ATP content or the rate of ATP production. This study introduces a highly sensitive, reproducible, and quick methodology for measuring ATP in isolated mitochondria.

Adenosine Triphosphate↗

A mechanism of antigen-induced mucus production in nasal epithelium of sensitized rats. A comparison with lipopolysaccharide-induced mucus production.

We produced ovalbumin (OVA)-sensitized rats as an animal model of nasal allergy. Intranasal instillation of OVA induced hypertrophic and metaplastic changes of goblet cells in nasal epithelium of OVA- sensitized rats. Intraepithelial mucosubstance in nasal mucosa increased significantly at 24 h after 3 or 7 d of OVA instillation, accompanied by mucosal infiltration of eosinophils. The effects of H1-antagonist (d-chlorpheniramine malate), H2-antagonist (cimetidine), dexamethasone, indomethacin, cysteinyl leukotrienes (cysLTs)-antagonist (ONO1078), and antirat neutrophil antiserum on OVA-induced changes were examined. Mucus production was significantly inhibited by dexamethasone, and ONO1078, whereas eosinophil infiltration was significantly inhibited by H1-antagonist, dexamethasone, and anti-rat neutrophil antiserum. These results indicate that cysLTs (LTs C4, D4, and E4) may play an important role in antigen-induced mucus production, and that eosinophil infiltration does not relate to mucus production. Intranasal instillation of lipopolysaccharide (LPS) also induced intraepithelial mucus production, and it was significantly inhibited by dexamethasone, indomethacin, and antirat neutrophil antiserum; however, cysLTs antagonist had no effect on LPS-induced change. These results indicate that neutrophil and cyclooxygenase products are important in LPS-induced mucus production, and there are different mechanisms of mucus production between allergic inflammation and LPS stimulation.

Animals↗

Novel Pseudomonas product stimulates interleukin-8 production in airway epithelial cells in vitro.

Because high concentrations of IL-8 are found in the sputum of cystic fibrosis patients, we hypothesized that Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) induces the production of IL-8 in airway epithelial cells and in monocytes. Therefore, we incubated the supernatant from PA culture with human transformed bronchial epithelial cells (16-HBE) or with monocytes. The culture medium of 16-HBE cells that had been incubated with PA supernatant for 6 h had chemotactic activity that was inhibited by an antibody to human IL-8. The PA supernatant induced IL-8 production by primary bronchial epithelial cells, by 16-HBE cells, and by monocytes. After incubation with PA supernatant, 16-HBE cells showed a marked increase in the levels of IL-8 gene expression. The PA product responsible for IL-8 production resisted freezing, boiling, and proteolysis. This product was not lipid extractable and was present in a 1-kD filtrate. We conclude that a small molecular mass product of PA stimulates IL-8 production by 16-HBE cells and by monocytes, and that the chemotactic activity produced by 16-HBE cells after exposure to PA is due principally to IL-8.

Blotting, Northern↗

Decreased interleukin-10 production by neonatal monocytes and T cells: relationship to decreased production and expression of tumor necrosis factor-alpha and its receptors.

The production of IL-10 by human neonatal blood mononuclear leukocytes (BML) stimulated with lipopolysaccharide (LPS), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha), antibodies to CD3, or phorbol 12-myristate 13-acetate (PMA) was measured. The production of IL-10 by neonatal BML cultured with LPS or TNF-alpha was approximately 20 and approximately 15%, respectively, of adult BML. The combination of human recombinant TNF-alpha and LPS failed to augment IL-10 production in neonatal BML. The decreased production of IL-10 by neonatal leukocytes was not due to an autocrine feedback mechanism because only low concentrations of IL-10 were found in newborn sera. A connection with TNF-alpha could not be ruled out, because TNF-alpha production by LPS-stimulated newborn BML and the expression of TNF-alpha receptors on newborn monocytes were reduced. Mean +/- SD of concentrations of IL-10 in supernatants from adult and neonatal BML after stimulation with antibodies to human CD3 for 48 or 72 h were 914 +/- 386 and 178 +/- 176 pg/mL, respectively (p < 0.0001). In experiments with enriched populations of neonatal T cells, the addition of PMA failed to augment IL-10 production. This suggested that newborn T cells may be in a different state of activation than adult T cells Thus, IL-10 production in neonatal monocytes and T cells is reduced and this study suggests that the reduction may be secondary in part to regulatory processes involving TNF-alpha and its receptors.

Adolescent↗

Simulated efficiency of range beef production. I. Growth and milk production.

A revised version of the Texas A&M University Beef Cattle Production Model was used to simulate the effects of growth, milk production and management system on biological and economic efficiency of beef production in a northern plains, range environment. Animals varying in genetic potential for birth weight (BWA), yearling weight (YW), mature weight (WMA) and milk production (PMA) were simulated under both a weanling system of management (weaned calves custom-fed in the feedlot) and a yearling system (calves wintered on the ranch, then custom-fed after their second summer). The yearling system of management was biologically less efficient, but economically more efficient than the weanling system due primarily to heavier slaughter weights of fed animals. The advantage of the yearling system was most apparent for smaller genotypes. Herd efficiency improved with decreased BWA and increased YW, but changed little when WMA was varied while other growth traits were held constant. Increased PMA was favored for production of live weight at weaning and for production of slaughter product when feedlot costs were high. Increased PMA was not favored when feed costs for the cow herd were high. Economic weights generated from the simulation indicated the importance of selection for rapid early growth followed by selection for lighter birth weight. While larger genotypes were generally favored in this study, optimal cow size depended on economic conditions. Larger types were more biologically efficient and more economically efficient using standard costs, but medium- and small-size cattle were more efficient when feedlot costs were high. Small cattle were least efficient when feed costs for the cow herd were high.

Animal Husbandry↗

Recent advances in the large-scale production of lipid vesicles for use in food products: microfluidization.

The development of a method for the continuous mass production of liposomes is vital for the industrial use of liposomes in food products. The method should be mild enough to prevent denaturation of the encapsulated material, and the materials used for the preparation of the liposomes should be safe and edible. Among the methods available, microfluidization seems to be the most promising. Microfluidization consists of processing emulsions under high pressure through an apparatus called a Microfluidizer. This apparatus also allows the production of another type of lipid vesicle: milkfat-coated microcapsules composed of milkfat and emulsifiers. The main advantages of microfluidization include the continuous production of large quantities of lipid vesicles without dissolving the phospholipids in organic solvents. These vesicles could be used in various food products for a variety of objectives. The addition of encapsulated material in liposomes or in milkfat-coated microcapsules to cheese milk resulted in a retention of 80-90% of the vesicles in the cheese, compared to only 2-4% if the material was added directly to the milk in the unencapsulated form. Liposomes and milkfat-coated microcapsules could be used as enzyme carriers to accelerate cheese ripening, or as carriers for flavouring systems to improve the organoleptic properties of low-fat cheeses or to impart distinctive flavours to new speciality cheeses. These microcapsules could also be used in food products to avoid undesirable side-reactions during food processing, or to supplement food products with nutritious additives.

Animals↗

Determining the capability of a drug product to be terminally sterilized: a case study involving a heat-sensitive, oxygen-sensitive drug product.

A decision scheme for determining the capability of a finished product dosage form to be terminally sterilized was presented and followed for a heat-sensitive, oxygen-sensitive drug product (DP). Studies were conducted first in a laboratory steam sterilizer and then in a production unit. When a nonheat-sensitive steam sterilization cycle produced unfavorable loss of potency and increases in the amount of impurities, a new heat-sensitive steam sterilization cycle was investigated. An acceptable product was produced by reducing the headspace oxygen level and reducing the heat delivered to the product during terminal sterilization. The amount of sterilizing steam heat delivered to the product was reduced by reducing the allowable temperature range from set-point of the terminal steam sterilizer, and by developing a new heat-sensitive cycle. The heat-sensitive cycle, with a model based upon a known relationship of the biological indicator, product D value, and the environmental bioburden, can achieve a 10(-6) sterility assurance level when it delivers an F0 > or = 4 min. When the standard terminal sterilization model and cycle produced unacceptable levels of degradation, formulation/production changes, and terminal sterilization model and cycle modifications were explored, before the DP was directed to aseptic filling. Acceptable moist heat terminal sterilization the DP was then achieved.

Drug Stability↗

Forecasting herd structure and milk production for production risk management.

Substantial increases in milk price volatility have resulted from changes in federal dairy policies. For a dairy farm, however, monthly gross milk receipts are a function of unit price and quantity produced. Both can vary substantially over time. Therefore, to be effective, risk management strategies must address milk and input price volatility (price risk management) and fluctuations in milk production per cow and cow numbers (production risk management). Herd milk production through time can be modeled as a discrete stochastic process using finite Markov chains. Cows at time t = 0 are assigned to homogeneous production cells in four-dimensional arrays with coordinates determined by parity (1, 2, 3), week in milk (1, ..., 104), pregnancy status (0, 1), and week pregnant (1, ..., 40). The processes of aging, pregnancy, involuntary cull, voluntary cull, abortion, dry-off, and freshening from week i-1 to week i are accounted for, using nonstationary transition probabilities. Bayesian estimates of transition probabilities are derived from historical herd data, assuming that individual outcomes are from Bernoulli distributions. The values of parameters theta(i) for the Bernoulli distributions are unknown but have prior distributions that follow beta distributions with parameters alpha(i) and beta(i) estimated from historical data. Herd observations are then used to generate posterior distributions of theta(i), also from beta distributions. Projecting from one week to the next is accomplished by moving virtual animals from one production cell to the next based on the transition probability assigned to that path. Summing production estimates and variances of all independent cells provides for an expected herd production with an associated variance. As expected, the forecast variance increases with time, reflecting increased uncertainty of distant projections. Model validation presents an interesting problem because future observations used for validation are under human control and are not independent of the forecast.

Animal Husbandry↗