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PubMed2000

Theory and practice: applying the ecological model to formative research for a WIC training program in New York State.

This article discusses the application of the ecological model to formative research in a practical setting of a training program developed for the Child Growth Monitoring Project of the New York State WIC program. The ecological model was selected to guide the formative research because it offered a concrete framework to account for the reciprocal interaction of behavior and environment. This model describes five levels of influence on behavior: individual, interpersonal, organizational, community and policy. Because we knew from the start that the intervention would focus on training, we focused our efforts on collecting data at those ecological levels that we considered potentially amenable to change through a training program--individual (WIC providers and clients), interpersonal (provider-client interaction) and organizational (physical layout of WIC sites and sequence of activities). However, our experiences both with the training program and the post-training evaluation, using ecological theory, indicated the fallacy of failing to apply the ecological model consistently throughout the formative research. Therefore, for maximum effect when using the ecological model, it is recommended that the whole model be applied at all stages of formative research: development, implementation and evaluation. A matrix is presented for monitoring complete application of the model.

Child↗
PubMed2002

A blueprint for the problem formulation phase of EPA-type ecological risk assessments for 316(b) determinations.

The difference between management objectives focused on sustainability of fish populations and the indigenous aquatic community, and a management objective focused on minimizing entrainment and impingement losses accounts for much of the ongoing controversy surrounding paragraph 316(b). We describe the EPA's ecological risk assessment framework and recommend that this framework be used to more effectively address differences in management objectives and structure paragraph 316(b) determinations. We provide a blueprint for the problem formulation phase of EPA-type ecological risk assessments for cooling-water intake structures (CWIS) at existing power plant facilities. Our management objectives, assessment endpoints, conceptual model, and generic analysis plan apply to all existing facilities. However, adapting the problem formulation process for a specific facility requires consideration of the permitting agency's guidelines and level of regulatory concern, as well as site-specific ecological and technical differences. The facility-specific problem formulation phase is designed around the hierarchy of biological levels of organization in the generic conceptual model and the sequence of cause-effect events and risk hypotheses represented by this model. Problem formulation is designed to be flexible in that it can be tailored for facilities where paragraph 316(b) regulatory concern is low or high. For some facilities, we anticipate that the assessment can be completed based on consideration of susceptibility alone. At the other extreme, a high level of regulatory concern combined with the availability of extensive information and consideration of costly CWIS mitigation options may result in the ecological risk assessment relying on analyses at all levels. Decisions on whether to extend the ecological risk assessment to additional levels should be based on whether regulatory or generator concerns merit additional analyses and whether available information is adequate to support such analyses. In making these decisions, the functional dependence between levels of analysis must be considered in making the transition to the analysis phase and risk estimation component of the ecological risk assessment. Regardless of how the generic analysis plan is modified to develop a facility-specific analysis plan, the resulting plan should be viewed as a tool for comparing representative species and alternative CWIS options by focusing on relative changes (i.e., proportional or percent changes) in various measures. The analysis plan is specifically designed to encourage consideration of multiple lines of evidence and to characterize uncertainties in each line of evidence. Multiple lines of evidence from different levels of analysis, obtained using both prospective and retrospective techniques, provide a broader perspective on the magnitude of potential effects and associated uncertainties and risks. The implications of the EPA's recent (April 2002) proposed regulations for existing facilities on the applicability of this blueprint are briefly considered.

Animals↗
PubMed2026

Beyond Morphology: Reframing Lymph-Node Metastasis Prediction Through Clonal Ecology-Decades-Long Genomic Instability and Polyclonal-to-Monoclonal Transitions as the Missing Dimension in Cancer.

Recent whole-genome, lineage-tracing, single-cell, and spatial studies have reshaped our understanding of tumor evolution, revealing that cancers can arise from polyclonal populations, undergo decades-long genomic instability before clinical detection, and progress through dynamic changes in subclonal composition, cellular state, and ecological organization. These findings challenge the assumption underlying morphology-based prediction models that metastatic risk can be inferred from static histological features alone. Here, we revisit lymph-node metastasis prediction in colorectal cancer through clonal ecology, integrating computational pathology with evolutionary oncology. Drawing on the subclonal switchboard model proposed in 2012 and subsequent artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled approaches for tracking dominant and dormant subclones, we synthesize evidence that metastatic potential reflects clonal ancestry, evolutionary timing, spatial niche architecture, cellular plasticity, intercellular interactions, dormancy, and treatment-driven shifts in subclonal fitness. We define five complementary methodological pillars for operationalizing clonal ecology: single-cell transcriptomics for resolving rare subclones, evolutionary trajectories, and adaptive cell states; lineage tracing and phylogenetics for reconstructing clonal ancestry and divergence; spatial transcriptomics and genomics for mapping subclonal geography and tumor-stromal-immune interactions; longitudinal liquid biopsy surveillance for monitoring residual disease, clonal turnover, and emerging resistance; and AI-enabled multimodal integration for connecting histopathology, genomics, spatial biology, and longitudinal data into predictive ecological-state models. Multiple-instance learning and pathology foundation models provide scalable computational foundations for evolution-aware prediction. Translationally, dormant subclones represent actionable reservoirs of recurrence. A longitudinal clinical and experimental study of KMT2A-rearranged acute myeloid leukemia further supports central predictions of the subclonal switchboard framework by demonstrating treatment-associated shifts in subclonal dominance, persistence of cryptic adaptive programs, and ecological rewiring during resistance and relapse. We propose clonal ecology as a measurable dimension for extending morphology-driven prediction toward integrative models that anticipate evolutionary transitions, identify therapeutic windows, and proactively constrain adaptive tumor ecosystems before resistant or metastatic subclones achieve clinical dominance.

Humans↗
PubMed2003

Air pollution and case fatality of SARS in the People's Republic of China: an ecologic study.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) has claimed 349 lives with 5,327 probable cases reported in mainland China since November 2002. SARS case fatality has varied across geographical areas, which might be partially explained by air pollution level. METHODS: Publicly accessible data on SARS morbidity and mortality were utilized in the data analysis. Air pollution was evaluated by air pollution index (API) derived from the concentrations of particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide and ground-level ozone. Ecologic analysis was conducted to explore the association and correlation between air pollution and SARS case fatality via model fitting. Partially ecologic studies were performed to assess the effects of long-term and short-term exposures on the risk of dying from SARS. RESULTS: Ecologic analysis conducted among 5 regions with 100 or more SARS cases showed that case fatality rate increased with the increment of API (case fatality = - 0.063 + 0.001 * API). Partially ecologic study based on short-term exposure demonstrated that SARS patients from regions with moderate APIs had an 84% increased risk of dying from SARS compared to those from regions with low APIs (RR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.41-2.40). Similarly, SARS patients from regions with high APIs were twice as likely to die from SARS compared to those from regions with low APIs. (RR = 2.18, 95% CI: 1.31-3.65). Partially ecologic analysis based on long-term exposure to ambient air pollution showed the similar association. CONCLUSION: Our studies demonstrated a positive association between air pollution and SARS case fatality in Chinese population by utilizing publicly accessible data on SARS statistics and air pollution indices. Although ecologic fallacy and uncontrolled confounding effect might have biased the results, the possibility of a detrimental effect of air pollution on the prognosis of SARS patients deserves further investigation.

Air Pollutants↗
PubMed2006

Evaluating indices of traditional ecological knowledge: a methodological contribution.

BACKGROUND: New quantitative methods to collect and analyze data have produced novel findings in ethnobiology. A common application of quantitative methods in ethnobiology is to assess the traditional ecological knowledge of individuals. Few studies have addressed reliability of indices of traditional ecological knowledge constructed with different quantitative methods. METHODS: We assessed the associations among eight indices of traditional ecological knowledge from data collected from 650 native Amazonians. We computed Spearman correlations, Chronbach's alpha, and principal components factor analysis for the eight indices. RESULTS: We found that indices derived from different raw data were weakly correlated (rho<0.5), whereas indices derived from the same raw data were highly correlated (rho>0.5; p < 0.001). We also found a relatively high internal consistency across data from the eight indices (Chronbach's alpha = 0.78). Last, results from a principal components factor analysis of the eight indices suggest that the eight indices were positively related, although the association was low when considering only the first factor. CONCLUSION: A possible explanation for the relatively low correlation between indices derived from different raw data, but relatively high internal consistency of the eight indices is that the methods capture different aspects of an individual's traditional ecological knowledge. To develop a reliable measure of traditional ecological knowledge, researchers should collect raw data using a variety of methods and then generate an aggregated measure that contains data from the various components of traditional ecological knowledge. Failure to do this will hinder cross-cultural comparisons.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2003

Pathogen survival trajectories: an eco-environmental approach to the modeling of human campylobacteriosis ecology.

Campylobacteriosis, like many human diseases, has its own ecology in which the propagation of human infection and disease depends on pathogen survival and finding new hosts in order to replicate and sustain the pathogen population. The complexity of this process, a process common to other enteric pathogens, has hampered control efforts. Many unknowns remain, resulting in a poorly understood disease ecology. To provide structure to these unknowns and help direct further research and intervention, we propose an eco-environmental modeling approach for campylobacteriosis. This modeling approach follows the pathogen population as it moves through the environments that define the physical structure of its ecology. In this paper, we term the ecologic processes and environments through which these populations move "pathogen survival trajectories." Although such a modeling approach could have veterinary applications, our emphasis is on human campylobacteriosis and focuses on human exposures to Campylobacter through feces, food, and aquatic environments. The pathogen survival trajectories that lead to human exposure include ecologic filters that limit population size, e.g., cooking food to kill Campylobacter. Environmental factors that influence the size of the pathogen reservoirs include temperature, nutrient availability, and moisture availability during the period of time the pathogen population is moving through the environment between infected and susceptible hosts. We anticipate that the modeling approach proposed here will work symbiotically with traditional epidemiologic and microbiologic research to help guide and evaluate the acquisition of new knowledge about the ecology, eventual intervention, and control of campylobacteriosis.

Animals↗
PubMed1997

An ecological approach to public health intervention: Ross River virus in Australia.

A detailed look at the ecology of a disease can lead to recommendations for public health interventions that are not otherwise obvious. To illustrate this point, this paper discusses the ecology and control of infection with the Australian arbovirus Ross River virus (RRV). The traditional insecticidal approach to mosquito control is recommended when an outbreak of RRV results from the expansion of an area endemic for the disease to include a population of previously unexposed (nonimmune) people. In contrast, if an outbreak results from the expansion of a non-immune population into an endemic area, an insecticidal approach can lead to an increased incidence of the disease. Education about antimosquito measures is more appropriate in the latter situation; the differing applicability of these intervention strategies is highlighted. Both strategies could be more scientifically applied if endemic areas were clearly defined by modeling ecological variables and if intervention were more closely linked to improved surveillance systems. An ecologically based control strategy must be developed for RRV to manage the disease appropriately when faced with its probable ecological changes brought about by global warming, increased rainfall, and demographic change. Key words: arbovirus, ecology, endemic, epidemic, global change, intervention.

Alphavirus Infections↗
PubMed2001

Determining landscape function and ecosystem dynamics: contribution to ecological restoration in the southern Namib desert.

The southern Namib is characterized by high biodiversity, changes in winter and summer rainfall, extreme climatic conditions and associated geomorphologic processes, a paucity of ecological knowledge, and multiple environmental threats posed by conflicting development options. With the long-term view to establish a research initiative focussing on restoration ecology in the southern Namib Desert, this article provides a review of current ecological knowledge and proposes potential research priorities. The aims of a research initiative would be two-fold. On the academic side, understanding processes operating at different scales will be critical to develop methods of ecological restoration suitable for southern Namib ecosystems. On the practical side, the development of appropriate methods will focus on facilitating ecological processes such as restoration of biologically active substrate, natural succession, and concentration of limited resources. The function of landscapes, plant-soil interface, soil-, vegetation- and plant population dynamics will likely provide some of the answers for ecological restoration.

Desert Climate↗
PubMed2001

Ecological approaches to rural development projects.

Most rural development projects include ecological considerations, and most conservation projects include some reference to sustainable development. However, conservation projects frequently fail because they do not incorporate local communities' perceptions and needs. Many development projects are also unsuccessful because they are not based on adequate ecological assessment. We focus here on the most important ecological issues to be addressed in order to place development projects in an ecosystem context. Such projects should incorporate updated and precise ecological concepts and methods. Some key ecological issues in development projects are the relationships between ecosystem functions, services, and sustainability, the concept of loose connectivity, the distinct and complementary concepts of ecosystem resistance and resilience, and the links between biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. We claim that an ecologically sound development project maximizes the preservation and improvement of ecosystem services, especially for local communities. We pose a series of questions aimed at placing rural development projects in an ecosystem context and suggest ways of organizing this information.

Ecology↗
PubMed2006

Neutral theory and the evolution of ecological equivalence.

Since the publication of the unified neutral theory in 2001, there has been much discussion of the theory, pro and con. The hypothesis of ecological equivalence is the fundamental yet controversial idea behind neutral theory. Assuming trophically similar species are demographically alike (symmetric) on a per capita basis is only an approximation, but it is equivalent to asking: How many of the patterns of ecological communities are the result of species similarities, rather than of species differences? The strategy behind neutral theory is to see how far one can get with the simplification of assuming ecological equivalence before introducing more complexity. In another paper, I review the empirical evidence that led me to hypothesize ecological equivalence among many of the tree species in the species-rich tropical forest on Barro Colorado Island (BCI). In this paper, I develop a simple model for the evolution of ecological equivalence or niche convergence, using as an example evolution of the suite of life history traits characteristic of shade tolerant tropical tree species. Although the model is simple, the conclusions from it seem likely to be robust. I conclude that ecological equivalence for resource use are likely to evolve easily and often, especially in species-rich communities that are dispersal and recruitment limited. In the case of the BCI forest, tree species are strongly dispersal- and recruitment-limited, not only because of restricted seed dispersal, but also because of low recruitment success due to heavy losses of the seedling stages to predators and pathogens and other abiotic stresses such as drought. These factors and the high species richness of the community strongly reduce the potential for competitive exclusion of functionally equivalent or nearly equivalent species.

Biodiversity↗
PubMed2006

Coexistence of the niche and neutral perspectives in community ecology.

The neutral theory for community structure and biodiversity is dependent on the assumption that species are equivalent to each other in all important ecological respects. We explore what this concept of equivalence means in ecological communities, how such species may arise evolutionarily, and how the possibility of ecological equivalents relates to previous ideas about niche differentiation. We also show that the co-occurrence of ecologically similar or equivalent species is not incompatible with niche theory as has been supposed, because niche relations can sometimes favor coexistence of similar species. We argue that both evolutionary and ecological processes operate to promote the introduction and to sustain the persistence of ecologically similar and in many cases nearly equivalent species embedded in highly structured food webs. Future work should focus on synthesizing niche and neutral perspectives rather than dichotomously debating whether neutral or niche models provide better explanations for community structure and biodiversity.

Biodiversity↗
PubMed1982

Uses of ecologic analysis in epidemiologic research.

Despite the widespread use of ecologic analysis in epidemiologic research and health planning, little attention has been given by health scientists and practitioners to the methodological aspects of this approach. This paper reviews the major types of ecologic study designs, the analytic methods appropriate for each, the limitations of ecologic data for making causal inferences and what can be done to minimize these problems, and the relative advantages of ecologic analysis. Numerous examples are provided to illustrate the important principles and methods. A careful distinction is made between ecologic studies that generate or test etiologic hypotheses and those that evaluate the impact of intervention programs or policies (given adequate knowledge of disease etiology). Failure to recognize this difference in the conduct of ecologic studies can lead to results that are not very informative or that are misinterpreted by others.

Ecology↗
PubMed1992

The US decline in stroke mortality: what does ecological analysis tell us?

We review a study in this issue that concludes, from analyses of ecological associations, that the use of medication to lower high blood pressure has caused at most a small decline in US stroke mortality rates. Our analysis suggests that other possible sources of the decline may be population-wide falls in levels of blood pressure, cigarette smoking, and coronary heart disease mortality, as well as improved treatment of cardiac and respiratory sequelae of stroke. Although the ecological method is powerful for answering questions about medical interventions' population-wide effects on disease, it must be used with care. Of particular concern are variables with meanings that differ between the ecological and the individual levels, the number of ecological units available for analysis, the sample size within the ecological units, and the range of independent variables used in ecological regression.

Aged↗
PubMed1994

The fallacy of the ecological fallacy: the potential misuse of a concept and the consequences.

Ecological studies have been evaluated in epidemiological contexts in terms of the "ecological fallacy." Although the empirical evidence for a lack of comparability between correlations derived from ecological- and individual-level analyses is compelling, the conceptual meaning of the ecological fallacy remains problematic. This paper argues that issues in cross-level inference can be usefully conceptualized as validity problems, problems not peculiar to ecological-level analyses. Such an approach increases the recognition of both potential inference problems in individual-level studies and the unique contributions of ecological variables. This, in turn, expands the terrain for the location of causes for disease and interventions to improve the public's health.

Ecology↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Assessment of the integration of the ecological approach in health promotion programs.

PURPOSE: This article proposes a model of the ecological approach in health promotion programs. Based on system theory, the model identifies intervention settings and targets as two independent dimensions for assessing the integration of this approach in programs. Additional objectives are to present and pretest an analytical procedure that allows the assessment of integration of the ecological approach in programs. DESIGN: This was a descriptive study of the integration of the ecological approach in a sample of health promotion programs. SUBJECTS: Subjects were 44 health promotion programs drawn from the population of Canadian federally funded programs. MEASURES: Descriptions of programs were obtained by telephone interviews. A coding scheme was applied to the data to identify intervention settings and targets for each program. Using this information, a summative score of the integration of the ecological approach was estimated for each program. RESULTS: Single-setting programs were the dominant pattern in the sample. Individuals whose health was of concern were very frequently the direct targets of the programs. However, organizational and interpersonal environments were also often directly targeted. Single-setting or single-intervention strategy programs outnumbered ecological programs. CONCLUSION: The proposed model and analytical procedure is a useful framework for the assessment of integration of the ecological approach in health promotion programs. The pilot test having been conducted on a convenience sample, future work should replicate the study in a representative sample of programs.

Canada↗
PubMed2000

[Adaptation, ecological stability and the evolution of diploid organisms].

The possibility of the existence of an organism under different environmental conditions is determined by its ecological stability. This parameter can be expressed as the product of the average life span corresponding species and the probability of an organism's participation in reproduction. If ecological conditions are not substantially altered, regulatory selection provides an increase in fitness of an organism in a certain direction of adaptation. It is supposed that the process of regulatory selection is accompanied by the accumulation of mutations occurring in regulatory genes and mutations in regulatory regions of structural genes which correct the effect of the former mutations. An alteration in ecological stability occurs when the conditions of population existence are changed and is usually accompanied by a decrease in the fitness level earlier achieved. Thus, an increase in organisms' ecological stability is achieved by hybridization between populations of different origin and is accompanied by a decrease in fitness due to outbreeding depression. Under conditions of inbreeding, ecological stability is decreased due to the segregation, in the homozygous state, of recessive alleles of adaptive genes that have not yet reached the stage of evolutionary fixation. Diploidy is a factor allowing organisms to improve their ecological stability in every new generation.

Adaptation, Biological↗
PubMed2002

[Perspectives in researches on grassland ecology for the early 21st century in China].

Grassland degeneration is a prominent problem in China. More in-depth studies should be carried out on the key problem--grassland degeneration for Chinese grassland ecologists in the early 21st century. Some hot research fields were restoration ecology, interface ecology, grazing ecology, health diagnoses and evaluation for grasslands. Among them, restoration ecology was the foundation for restoring degenerative grasslands; interface ecology involved with the point of contact for analyzing degenerative grasslands; grazing ecology was the effective way to control degenerative grasslands; diagnoses of grassland health benefited accurately appraising degenerative levels of grasslands; and evaluation for grassland was also considered as an estimation on services and benefits of grassland ecosystems.

China↗
PubMed2002

Herbivorous insects: model systems for the comparative study of speciation ecology.

Does ecological divergence drive species-level evolutionary diversification? How so and to what degree? These questions were central to the thinking of the evolutionary synthesis. Only recently, however, has the ecology of speciation become an important focus of empirical study. Here, we argue that ecologically specialized, phylogenetically diverse, and experimentally tractable herbivorous insect taxa offer great opportunities to study the myriad mechanisms by which ecology may cause reproductive isolation and promote speciation. We call for the development and integrated experimental study of a taxonomic diversity of herbivore model systems and discuss the availability and recent evaluation of suitable taxa. Most importantly, we describe a general comparative framework that can be used to rigorously test a variety of hypotheses about the relative contributions and the macroevolutionary generality of particular mechanisms. Finally, we illustrate important issues for the experimental analysis of speciation ecology by demonstrating the consequences of specialized host associations for ecological divergence and premating isolation in Neochlamisus bebbianae leaf beetles.

Animals↗