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Differences in delta13C and diameter growth among remnant Scots pine populations in Scotland.

Published data suggest that differences in wood cellulose carbon isotope composition (delta13C) and xylem ring width among natural populations of Scots pine in Scotland (Pinus sylvestris L.) are attributable to the persistence of palaeotypes of various post-glacial migratory origins. We assessed differences in wood cellulose delta13C and ring width among Scottish Scots pine populations grown in a clone bank and in natural stands at various locations in northern and central Scotland. Ring width and wood cellulose delta13C varied significantly among natural stands. Potential water deficit was positively correlated with wood cellulose delta13C and xylem ring width in the natural stands. Neither wood cellulose delta13C nor xylem ring width of clone bank trees correlated with any climate variables at the sites from which the trees originated, indicating little adaptation to climate for these traits. Xylem ring width showed a site x population interaction for the growth sites (i.e., natural stands versus clone bank), but wood cellulose delta13C did not. These results suggest that climate variation in Scotland has not resulted in significant genetic variation in wood cellulose delta13C or xylem ring width in post-glacial populations.

Carbon Isotopes↗

Modelling human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immune deficiency syndrome cases in Scotland: data sources, prior information and Bayesian estimation.

"The paper describes the methodology developed to carry out predictions of the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) epidemic in Scotland. Information on the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic comes from formal case reports of AIDS cases and HIV positive tests, reports from surveillance schemes and from special studies. These sources of information, up to the end of 1994, are reviewed.... A simple model of the HIV epidemic in Scotland is proposed and the information is summarized in terms of this model. Bayesian methodology, using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, is described and used to predict future cases of AIDS in Scotland and people who will be living with AIDS in the years 1995-1999."

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Annual incidence and mortality of bullous pemphigoid in the Grampian Region of North-east Scotland.

BACKGROUND: Data on the annual incidence of bullous pemphigoid (BP) in the U.K. are scarce. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the annual incidence of BP in Grampian Region (North-east Scotland) and to assess the causes of mortality in this cohort of patients. METHODS: Details were obtained of all patients with a diagnosis of BP recorded in the database of the Pathology Department, Aberdeen Royal Infirmary between January 1991 and December 2001. Community Health Index population data were obtained from the Grampian Health Board and the annual incidence and age- and sex-specific incidence were calculated. Mortality data were obtained from the Patient Administration System and causes of death obtained from the Office of the Registrar for Births and Deaths for Scotland. RESULTS: Eighty-three patients met criteria for diagnosis of BP. The annual incidence of BP in Grampian region was estimated to be 14 cases per million per year. There was a clear and marked rise in the incidence in patients over the age of 80 years. Forty-eight per cent of patients with BP died within 2 years of diagnosis. The all-cause age-standardized mortality ratio was 576%. When compared with cause-specific mortality in the Grampian population over 60 years of age, respiratory disease accounted for a higher than expected number of deaths in our cohort of patients with BP (odds ratio 5.3, 95% confidence interval 3.0-9.4). CONCLUSIONS: North-east Scotland appears to have a relatively high incidence of BP when compared with incidence rates in continental Europe. The mortality rate in patients with BP is considerable, especially within the first 2 years of diagnosis.

Adult↗

Management of basal cell carcinoma by surveyed dermatologists in Scotland.

BACKGROUND: The British Association of Dermatologists (BAD) has produced guidelines for management of basal cell carcinoma (BCC) in the UK. OBJECTIVES: Our primary objectives were to assess the management of BCCs in Scotland and to compare it with BAD guidelines. Our secondary objectives were to audit waiting times and referral patterns. METHODS: In phase I of the audit, dermatologists in 14 centres across Scotland prospectively registered demographic and clinical data of all lesions suspected to be BCCs over a 6-week period between October and December 2000. In phase II, details of management of these lesions were evaluated by case note review. RESULTS: Of the 48 consultant dermatologists contacted, 42 took part in the survey. There were 524 clinically suspected BCCs seen in 470 patients; 164 lesions in 146 patients showed pathology other than BCC and were excluded from analysis, thus leaving 360 lesions available for analysis. There was wide variation in waiting times among Scottish dermatology centres. BCCs were equally distributed between the sexes, and lesions most commonly presented in those aged 71-80 years. A diagnostic biopsy was taken in 22% of lesions, and the rest were treated definitively after a clinical diagnosis of BCC, of which 90% were confirmed on histology. Nodulocystic lesions were the most common type of tumour, comprising 48% of lesions, and most BCCs were located on the head and neck region. Correlation of the histological type of BCC and treatment received showed that nodulocystic and morpheic BCCs were managed as recommended. There were more superficial BCCs treated with surgical excision than expected (22 of 34 lesions). Four of 21 recurrent tumours and 9 of 81 tumours on high-risk areas of the face were managed with curettage and cautery or cryotherapy, rather than surgical excision. Of the 297 excised tumours, 25 (9%) were incompletely excised. All the high-risk tumours and incompletely excised tumours were offered follow-up in the dermatology clinics. CONCLUSIONS: In general, BCCs are managed according to BAD guidelines in Scotland, but waiting times vary considerably.

Adult↗

Changing trends in incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer in Scotland.

OBJECTIVE: The incidence of thyroid cancer is increasing in several countries. The aim was to investigate trends in the incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer in Scotland, where thyroid cancer is relatively uncommon, between 1960 and 2002. DESIGN: Descriptive epidemiological study. METHODS: Thyroid cancer registrations between 1960 and 2000 were obtained from the Scottish Cancer Registry. Mortality data (1960-2002) and population estimates were supplied by the Registrar General for Scotland. Incidence and mortality data are expressed as age-specific rates and European age-standardized rates (EASRs). RESULTS: Thyroid cancer was three times more common in females than in males and was more common in older than younger age groups. Between 1960 and 2000, the annual EASR of thyroid cancer increased from 1.76 to 3.54 per 100,000 for females (P < 0.001) and from 0.83 to 1.25 per 100,000 in males (P < 0.001). The overall thyroid cancer increase between 1975 and 2000 was primarily caused by an increase in papillary thyroid cancer, particularly over the most recent decade. The incidence of follicular thyroid cancer also increased while the incidence of anaplastic and medullary thyroid cancer did not change significantly. Mortality from thyroid cancer fell progressively between 1960 and 2002. EASR for females decreased from 1.05 to 0.28 (P < 0.001) and in males from 0.73 to 0.34 (P < 0.001). For both sexes, in general, survival at 1-, 5- and 10-year follow-up intervals from diagnosis improved steadily over the study period. In both females and males, survival from thyroid cancer was better if the diagnosis was made under the age of 50 years. CONCLUSIONS: Thyroid cancer incidence has increased in Scotland over the past 40 years. This is accompanied by a change in the distribution of histological type with a particular increase in papillary carcinoma. The reasons for this may relate partly to changes in clinical practice and histological criteria. Falling mortality in the face of increasing incidence reflects improvements in survival, which should improve further with the introduction and implementation of standardized treatment protocols.

Adolescent↗

Blowfly species composition in sheep myiasis in Scotland.

Samples of dipteran larvae were collected from live sheep throughout Scotland, reared in the laboratory, and identified once adult flies emerged. Lucilia sericata was found in 77% of samples, and other species in 49%. The most common alternative species were L.caesar, which occurred in 31% of samples, and Protophormia terraenovae, which occurred in 18%. Three other calliphorid species, Calliphora vomitoria, C.vicina and L.illustris, and the muscid Muscina pabulorum were also found. The proportion of samples containing alternative species was significantly lower in eastern Scotland than in western Scotland. Significantly higher proportions of samples containing alternative species were collected at altitudes of 200m and above; from sheep of hill breeds; from rough grazing conditions and moorland; in the absence of trees; and in the presence of bracken.

Altitude↗

Managing knowledge to support the patient journey in NHS Scotland: strategic vision and practical reality.

BACKGROUND: The strategy for NHS Scotland Knowledge Services is set in the context of a global transition to a networked model of management within health services. OBJECTIVES: Development planning for NHS Scotland aims to establish strategic vision and operational delivery systems which meet the needs of this changing health environment. METHODS: Analysis of knowledge needs at strategic organizational level and through consultation with healthcare staff form the basis of a vision of seamless knowledge support throughout all stages of the patient journey, based on a hybrid model of complementary human- and technology-based knowledge networks. RESULTS: The central role of the NHS Scotland e-library as a system-wide technology infrastructure facilitating management of both explicit and tacit knowledge is described. The implementation pathway and approaches to evaluation are outlined, based on practical steps to translate the concept of knowledge networks into a working reality. CONCLUSIONS: The model emerging is that of a knowledge matrix, with the primary delivery system comprising inter-dependent human, organizational and technology-based networks focused on the overriding common purpose of improving patient care.

Computer Communication Networks↗

Deprivation and dental caries status of 5-year-old children in Scotland.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the dental caries status of 5-year-old children in Scotland and deprivation, as assessed by the Carstairs score and its DEPCAT categories, which are composite descriptors of socio-economic status. METHODS: Anonymous records, including postcode sector of residence, from the 1995/96 Scottish Health Board's Dental Epidemiological Programme 5-year-old survey were linked though a multi-stage process to their corresponding Carstairs scores and DEPCAT categories. The data were analysed to investigate the relationship between d3t, mt, ft, d3mft, proportion 'free' of caries experience and socio-economic status for Scotland. RESULTS: When analysed by DEPCAT the mean d3mft ranged from 1.48 for children resident in the most affluent postcode areas (DEPCAT 1) to 4.87 for those in DEPCAT 7. The mean d3mft from the 1995/96 survey of 5-year-old children in Scotland was 2.93. For the percentage 'free' of caries experience (d3mft = 0) the findings in this study ranged from 62.4% (DEPCAT 1) to 19.8% (DEPCAT 7). The d3t and mt components of d3mft and mean d3mft showed a strong positive association with increasing deprivation. The proportion of 5-year-olds experiencing decay was also significantly associated with a more deprived Carstairs score. The f component showed no association with deprivation. The Care Index (ft/d3mft x 100%) ranged from 10.8% (DEPCAT 1) to 2.9% (DEPCAT 7). CONCLUSIONS: There was a striking association between increasing deprivation and increasing caries experience. Children from the most deprived areas had significantly more untreated decay and missing teeth. In a population with low levels of restorative intervention, no association was found between deprivation and the amount of restorative care received by Scottish 5-year-old children.

Chi-Square Distribution↗

Technical aspects of haemodialysis treatment: comparative results of Scotland and Belgium.

This paper reports the findings from the European Practice Database project providing an overview of the technical aspects of haemodialysis treatment, comparing practice in Scotland and Belgium. Findings identified that in Scotland almost all centres (95%) employed renal technicians compared to 67% of centres in Belgium. There was also a higher level of technical duties performed by technicians in Scotland compared with Belgium, and marked differences in the disinfection protocols of dialysis machines between the two countries. The study highlights the need for further investigation to discover why technical practice varies somuch between the two countries.

Belgium↗

Genetic heterogeneity of M type 3 group A streptococci causing severe infections in Tayside, Scotland.

To explain the worldwide increase in the frequency of severe infections by group A streptococci, molecular techniques are increasingly being employed to evaluate the genetic relationships of strains. We used restriction endonuclease analysis, pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE), the PCR, ribotyping, and DNA sequence analysis in a study of 13 group A streptococci isolated from a cluster of cases of serious infections over a 3-month period in Tayside, Scotland. Eight of the strains were M type 3; molecular characterization identified two subclones. The first, displaying PFGE profile 4, has been observed in Northern Scotland and has been circulating in New Zealand for over a decade. The second subclone has been documented only in the United Kingdom; it was first seen in 1993 in Scotland. Sequence analysis of emm-3 genes further differentiated the PFGE 4 subclone. DNA sequence analysis of virulence factors supports the suggestion that they may have recently been acquired by horizontal gene transfer.

Bacterial Typing Techniques↗

Potential impact of conjugate vaccine on the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease among children in Scotland.

We sought to determine the potential impact of seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) among children in Scotland. Invasive pneumococci from blood and cerebrospinal fluid, isolated between 2000 and 2004 from all children aged less than 5 years in Scotland, were characterized by serotyping. Using reported efficacy data of the seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) along with likely coverage rates, we made an estimation of the potential impact on the incidence of IPD among children in Scotland. A total of 217 pneumococci were characterized into 22 different serogroups/types, the most common, in rank order, being 14, 19F, 6B, 18C, 23F, 9V, 4, 1, 19A, and 6A. Estimated serotype coverage for PCV7 was 76.5% in those aged less than 5 years of age but increased to 88.9% for those aged 1 year. By using serotype coverage and estimates of vaccine efficacy and uptake, the potential impact of the vaccine for those greater than 2 months of age, but less than 5 years, was estimated as 67.3%, leading to an average of 29 preventable cases per year. The introduction of PCV7 into the childhood immunization schedule would reduce the burden of pneumococcal disease in children, and the incidence would be particularly reduced in those children aged 1 year. Additional benefits may be gained in adults through herd protection. Continued surveillance of IPD is required before, during, and after the introduction of PCV7.

Child, Preschool↗

The Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative and breast feeding rates in Scotland.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of the Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative on breast feeding rates in Scotland. DESIGN: Observational study using an annual survey of progress towards the WHO/UNICEF Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative and routinely collected breast feeding rates gathered on the Guthrie Inborn Errors Screening card at 7 days of postnatal age. SETTING: Scotland, UK, population 5.1 million, with about 53 000 births a year. PARTICIPANTS: All 33 maternity units with over 50 births per annum and 464,246 infants born in Scotland between 1995 and 2002. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Baby Friendly status of each maternity unit at the time of an infant's birth: certificate of commitment, UK standard award, and breast feeding at 7 days postnatal age. RESULTS: Babies born in a hospital with the UK Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative standard award were 28% (p<0.001) more likely to be exclusively breast fed at 7 days of postnatal age than those born in other maternity units after adjustment for mother's age, deprivation, hospital size, and year of birth. From 1995, breast feeding rates had increased significantly faster in hospitals with Baby Friendly status by 2002: 11.39% (95% confidence interval 10.35 to 12.43) v 7.97% (95% confidence interval 7.21 to 8.73). CONCLUSION: Being born in a hospital that held the award increased the chance of being breast fed. All maternity units should be encouraged to undertake the significant strategic and practical changes required to achieve UK Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative standard status.

Accreditation↗

Contribution of general practitioner hospitals in Scotland.

The results of a survey of 64 Scottish general practitioner hospitals showed that in 1980 these hospitals contained 3.3% of available staffed beds in Scotland; 13.6% of the resident population had access for initial hospital care, and 14.5% of Scottish general practitioners were on their staffs. During the year of the survey they discharged 1.8% of all non-surgical patients, treated almost 100 000 patients for accidents and emergencies and 140 000 outpatients, and 4.4% of all deliveries in Scotland were carried out in the hospitals surveyed. Most communities which are served by general practitioner hospitals in Scotland are rural and on average are more than 30 miles from their nearest district general hospital. The contribution that these small hospitals make to the overall hospital workload has not previously been estimated. It has been shown nationally to be small but not inconsiderable . In terms of the contribution to the health care of the communities they serve it cannot and should not be underestimated.

Data Collection↗

Hospital and community health service costs: England and Scotland compared.

In publications which have compared the health expenditure in the component parts of the United Kingdom by applying the Resource Allocation Working Party (RAWP) formula to the health budget of England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland it has been previously concluded that Scotland's hospital and community health services expenditure is more than 19% above what would be a fair distribution. It has also been implied that Scotland's allocation should be cut substantially to improve services in England. On the assumption that the purpose of examining the distribution of the health and community health service budget is to ensure "equal opportunity of access to health care for people at equal risk" it is concluded that simple RAWPing of the United Kingdom budget is flawed and a conclusion based on this is therefore untenable.

Community Health Services↗

Deprivation: explaining differences in mortality between Scotland and England and Wales.

To detect reasons for the difference in mortality between Scotland and England and Wales a measure of deprivation was studied, comprising overcrowding, unemployment of men, low social class, and not having a car. Data for Scotland for 1980-2 showed this measure to be strongly associated with mortality, with gradients being particularly steep in young adults. Deprivation was much severe in Scotland than in England and Wales. These findings suggest that much excess mortality may be ascribed to more adverse conditions. Standardising the mortality ratios to take account of the relative affluence and deprivation of the two populations led to the differentials observed being radically adjusted, while standardising for social class had little effect. Deprivation measures based on areas overcome many of the limitations associated with social class analysis and also show much greater discrimination between populations. Measures of deprivation apparently provide a powerful basis for explanation of health differences. Such measures should therefore form part of the 1991 census output to facilitate their use on a consistent basis.

Automobiles↗

Control of blood pressure in Scotland: the rule of halves.

OBJECTIVE: Audit of detection, treatment, and control of hypertension in adults in Scotland. DESIGN: Cross sectional survey with random population sampling. SETTING: General practice centres in 22 Scottish districts. SUBJECTS: 5123 Men and 5236 women aged 40-59 in the Scottish heart health study, randomly selected from 22 districts throughout Scotland, of whom 1262 men and 1061 women had hypertension (defined as receiving antihypertensive treatment or with blood pressure above defined cut off points). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Hypertension (assessed by standardised recording, questionnaire on diagnosis, and antihypertensive drug treatment) according to criteria of the World Health Organisation (receiving antihypertensive treatment or blood pressure greater than or equal to 160/95 mm Hg, or both) and to modified criteria of the British Hypertension Society. RESULTS: In half the men with blood pressure greater than or equal to 160/95 mm Hg hypertension was undetected (670/1262, 53%), in half of those in whom it had been detected it was untreated (250/592, 42%), and in half of those receiving treatment it was not controlled (172/342, 50%). In women the numbers were: 486/1061, 46%; 188/575, 33%; and 155/387, 40% respectively. Assessment of blood pressure according to the British Hypertension Society's recommendations showed an improvement, but in only a quarter of men and 42% of women was hypertension detected and treated satisfactorily (142/561, 215/514 respectively). IMPLICATIONS: The detection and control of hypertension in Scotland is unsatisfactory, affecting management of this and other conditions, such as high blood cholesterol concentration, whose measurement is opportunistic and selective and depends on recognition of other risk factors.

Adult↗

Twenty years of vocational training in the west of Scotland.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the career paths of doctors who completed vocational training in the west of Scotland between 1968 and 1987 and their views on the hospital component of their training. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of the experience and opinions of vocationally trained doctors obtained from a postal questionnaire. SETTING: West of Scotland. SUBJECTS: 1255 Doctors identified from Glasgow University records who had been vocationally trained in the west of Scotland between 1968 and 1987. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Personal details; employment; jobs held currently; additional professional commitments; importance of hospital posts held in various specialties to respondents currently in general practice; and retrospective choice of hospital posts, based on subsequent experience. RESULTS: 619 Responses were received, 543 initially and 76 after a letter of reminder, from a possible total of 974 (excluding 153 questionnaires returned by the post office and 128 returned because of misunderstanding between the name and address); the overall response rate was therefore 64%. 607/619 (98%) Respondents were employed at the time of the study, of whom 517/607 (85%) were in general practice. A third (202/609) had been unemployed at some point, significantly more of them women (122/243, 50% v 80/376, 21%; chi 2 = 54.8, p less than 0.001). 510/563 (91%) Respondents held one postgraduate qualification or more, and 284/612 (46%) had additional professional commitments. The hospital posts most commonly held were in obstetrics and gynaecology, psychiatry, paediatrics, and medicine. Medicine, obstetrics, paediatrics, and dermatology were considered to be the most relevant hospital specialties by those who had experience of them and were now in general practice. Although ophthalmology and ear, nose, and throat were not rated highly by these doctors, other respondents wished that they had held posts in these specialties (32 and 40 respectively). During the hospital training 354/475 (75%) respondents thought that they were looked on as a junior hospital doctor and not as a trainee for general practice. CONCLUSIONS: Most of those who had entered vocational training were in employment, and most were in general practice. According to them, the most beneficial hospital posts for vocational training are medicine, obstetrics, paediatrics, and dermatology. Trainees should be encouraged to attend clinics in gynaecology, ear, nose, and throat, and ophthalmology.

Adult↗

Oral cancer in Scotland: changing incidence and mortality.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of oral cancer in Scotland between 1960 and 1989 and oral cancer mortality from 1911 to 1989. SETTING: Data were obtained on oral cancer incidence from the information and statistics division of the Common Services Agency of the Scottish Health Service and mortality data from the office of the registrar general for Scotland. RESULTS: Mortality from intraoral cancers in Scotland substantially declined throughout this century until the mid-1970s. This trend, however, was then reversed, and fourfold increases in incidence were observed in younger age groups after 1960. Death rates in these younger age groups increased to levels previously recorded in the 1940s. These increases seemed to be cohort based and may therefore continue into the future. CONCLUSIONS: Reasons for increasing rates among younger age groups are speculative and rely on combining knowledge about risk factors and available ecological data. Though increases in incidence at younger ages do not result in a large change in the number of cases diagnosed, possible similar increases continuing into older ages, when oral cancer is more common, will correspond to a much larger increase in the actual number of cases. Given that such a large attributable risk is associated with tobacco and alcohol, however, these increases may be preventable.

Adolescent↗