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Rotavirus vaccine effectiveness against rotavirus and acute gastroenteritis mortality: an analysis of pooled case-control studies from the MNSSTER-V dataset.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus accounts for an estimated 25% of diarrhoea deaths in children under 5 years globally, and more than 140 countries have included rotavirus vaccines in their routine national infant vaccination programmes. We aimed to calculate rotavirus vaccine effectiveness against rotavirus-positive and all-cause acute gastroenteritis deaths. METHODS: The Multi-National Subpopulations Study to Evaluate Rotavirus Vaccines (MNSSTER-V) dataset combines child-level data from test-negative case-control studies of rotavirus vaccine effectiveness that enrolled children under 5 years of age seeking care for acute gastroenteritis at hospitals or emergency departments in 24 countries between July 1, 2007, and Aug 24, 2023. Children were included in this study if they were: younger than 5 years, met the acute gastroenteritis case definition (had at least three episodes of diarrhoea in a 24-h period, had non-bloody and non-chronic diarrhoea, and were enrolled within 7 days of diarrhoea onset), met vaccine card quality metrics, had vaccine delivery dates if the child was reported to have received a rotavirus vaccine, and had a reported outcome of death or discharge. In-hospital acute gastroenteritis deaths were characterised, and rotavirus vaccine effectiveness against all-cause and rotavirus-positive acute gastroenteritis mortality was calculated using an unconditional logistic regression model with adjustment for national under-5 mortality strata and child's age. Vaccine effectiveness analyses against all-cause and rotavirus-positive acute gastroenteritis mortality were restricted to children aged at least 3 months who received any routine vaccines from countries reporting at least one acute gastroenteritis death. FINDINGS: From the MNSSTER-V dataset, we included 27 252 children younger than 5 years enrolled from 22 countries; outcomes of patients were not available for two countries. At least one in-hospital acute gastroenteritis death was reported from 16 countries including 21 522 children; in total, 183 all-cause acute gastroenteritis deaths and 25 rotavirus-positive deaths were reported. Among children aged at least 3 months who had received any routine vaccines, receiving at least one dose of a rotavirus vaccine had an adjusted vaccine effectiveness of 75·8% (95% CI 28·4 to 91·8; n=13 630) against rotavirus-positive acute gastroenteritis mortality and 20·8% (-47·0 to 57·3; n=20 005) against all-cause acute gastroenteritis mortality. INTERPRETATION: Rotavirus vaccines are effective in preventing rotavirus-positive acute gastroenteritis mortality. Continued efforts to improve vaccine delivery could help to reduce acute gastroenteritis mortality due to rotavirus worldwide. FUNDING: None.

Humans

Premenarche risk factors for future dysmenorrhoea: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dysmenorrhoea, or pain during menstruation, is common in adolescence and is often dismissed or left untreated. Dysmenorrhoea can interfere with daily functioning and can lead to other chronic pain conditions; however, little is known about the risk factors for dysmenorrhoea. We aimed to characterise premenarche risk factors for the presence and severity of future dysmenorrhoea. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we obtained data for female adolescents from the population-based Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development Study (USA) who were premenarchal at baseline (age 9-10 years) and had both reached menarche and completed the Menstrual Cycle Survey at 3-year follow-up (age 12-13 years). Parents or guardians provided sociodemographic information and completed the Child Behavior Checklist, the Sleep Disturbance Scale for Children, and the Pubertal Development Scale, which captured data on non-painful somatic symptoms, attention problems, anxiety, depression, sleep disturbances, and pubertal development at baseline. Our primary objective was to analyse associations between dysmenorrhoea at 3-year follow-up (status and severity) with select symptom domains (sleep problems, attention problems, somatic symptoms, anxious or depressive symptoms, and baseline pain status) at baseline. We also investigated associations between dysmenorrhoea and participant characteristics (pubertal status, race or ethnicity, and income-to-needs ratio) that underlie social determinants of health. Differences by race were tested using Fisher exact tests. Differences by ethnicity and baseline pain status were tested using &#x3c7;2 tests. Differences in continuous variables were assessed using ANOVA. Wilcoxon-Rank Sum tests were used in analyses of sleep problems, attention problems, and somatic symptoms, and ANOVA was used for pubertal status and income-to-needs ratio. Multinomial logistic regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea severity, and linear regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea status and menstrual pain interference. FINDINGS: 2254 female adolescents were included in this study. 1299 (57&#xb7;6%) participants developed dysmenorrhoea at age 12-13 years, and 247 (19&#xb7;0% of those with dysmenorrhoea) reported severe dysmenorrhoea. Non-painful somatic symptoms were prospectively associated with future dysmenorrhoea (odds ratio [OR] 1&#xb7;17 [95% CI 1&#xb7;04-1&#xb7;32]; p=0&#xb7;0070), whereas anxiety or depression, sleep disturbances, and attention problems were not. Sleep disturbances were prospectively associated with menstrual pain interference (&#x3b2; coefficient 0&#xb7;16 [95% CI 0&#xb7;01-0&#xb7;31]). Advanced pubertal status at ages 9-10 years was prospectively associated with risk of dysmenorrhoea 3 years later (OR 1&#xb7;79 [95% CI 1&#xb7;47-2&#xb7;17]; p<0&#xb7;0001), as was lower income-to-needs ratio (0&#xb7;96 [0&#xb7;93-1&#xb7;00]; p=0&#xb7;031). Black (1&#xb7;38 [1&#xb7;05-1&#xb7;83]; p=0&#xb7;024) and Hispanic (1&#xb7;34 [1&#xb7;03-1&#xb7;68]; p=0&#xb7;010) young females were at a significantly greater risk of experiencing dysmenorrhoea than were White and non-Hispanic young females, respectively. INTERPRETATION: Sociodemographic characteristics and clinical symptoms present before menarche might help to identify at-risk individuals for dysmenorrhoea before pain becomes a lifelong issue. FUNDING: The National Institute of Nursing Research, the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, and the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute for Child Health and Human Development.

Humans

Long-term safety of oral orforglipron in Japanese participants with type 2 diabetes (ACHIEVE-J): a multicentre, randomised, open-label, parallel-group phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Orforglipron, an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, requires further evaluation in east Asian populations with type 2 diabetes, given this group's distinct pathophysiological characteristics. This study aimed to assess orforglipron as add-on treatment to diet and exercise alone or to oral antihyperglycaemic medications in Japanese participants with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: This multicentre, randomised, open-label phase 3 study was conducted in 40 medical research centres and hospitals in Japan. Adults with type 2 diabetes and elevated glucose levels managing their condition with diet and exercise alone or with one or two oral antihyperglycaemic medications were assigned (1:1:1) via computer-generated random sequence to receive once-daily oral orforglipron (3 mg, 12 mg, or 36 mg). Randomisation was stratified by background therapy, baseline HbA1c (&#x2264;8&#xb7;5% or >8&#xb7;5%), and metformin use (yes vs no; applied only to &#x3b1;-glucosidase inhibitors, thiazolidinedione, and glinides). Investigators, participants, and site staff were not masked to treatment. The primary endpoint was safety for 52 weeks, assessed in all randomly assigned participants who received at least one dose of orforglipron. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT06010004 (ACHIEVE-J). FINDINGS: Between Sept 28, 2023, and June 5, 2025, 450 participants were screened and 401 were randomly assigned to three groups (3 mg, n=132; 12 mg, n=135; and 36 mg, n=134). 352 (88%) completed study treatment. 339 participants (85%, 95% CI 80&#xb7;7-87&#xb7;8) had at least one treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE), more frequently in the 36-mg group (118 [88%, 95% CI 81&#xb7;5-92&#xb7;5]) than in the 3-mg (107 [81%, 73&#xb7;5-86&#xb7;8]) and 12-mg (114 [84%, 77&#xb7;4-89&#xb7;6]) groups. Most TEAEs were of mild (267 [67%, 61&#xb7;8-71&#xb7;0]) or moderate (63 [16%, 12&#xb7;5-19&#xb7;6]) severity. Discontinuations due to an adverse event occurred in 19 of 134 participants (14%, 95% CI 9&#xb7;3-21&#xb7;1) in the 36-mg group compared with seven of 132 (5%, 2&#xb7;6-10&#xb7;5) in the 3-mg group and 11 of 135 (8%, 4&#xb7;6-14&#xb7;0) in the 12-mg group. Across treatment groups, gastrointestinal symptoms were the most common TEAEs leading to study treatment discontinuation (3 mg: 5 [3&#xb7;8%, 1&#xb7;6-8&#xb7;6]; 12 mg: 8 [5&#xb7;9%, 3&#xb7;0-11&#xb7;3]; and 36 mg: 11 [8&#xb7;2%, 4&#xb7;7-14&#xb7;1]). Level 2 (blood glucose <54 mg/dL) hypoglycaemia events occurred in three of 135 participants in the 12-mg group (2%, 0&#xb7;8-6&#xb7;3) and in three of 134 in the 36-mg group (2%, 0&#xb7;8-6&#xb7;4) groups. No level 3 (severe) hypoglycaemia events occurred. Outcomes were generally similar across background therapies. INTERPRETATION: Treatment with orforglipron in combination with diet and exercise alone or one or two oral antihyperglycaemic medications for 52 weeks demonstrated an acceptable safety profile in Japanese adults with type 2 diabetes. FUNDING: Eli Lilly. TRANSLATION: For the Japanese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Aged

Prevalence of unruptured intracranial aneurysms according to comorbidities, risk factors, country, and time period: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage declined between 1980 and 2010, which coincided with a decline in smoking and prevalence of hypertension. We aimed to investigate whether the decrease in subarachnoid haemorrhage incidence is paralleled by declines in unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) prevalence. METHODS: For this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science for articles published in any language from Jan 1, 2011 to Dec 31, 2025, and reassessed 68 articles published before March 1, 2011 from a 2011 systematic review and meta-analysis. Articles were eligible for inclusion if they used a cross-sectional or case-control design and provided the crude number of participants and those with UIA. We only included studies reporting numbers of UIA separately from ruptured aneurysms and with ten or more patients. Summary data were independently extracted by JD with AZ or CB and conflicts were resolved by GJER. The primary outcome was proportion of participants with UIA. Relative to a hypothetical reference population (mean age 50 years, 50% women, and no comorbidities), age and/or sex-adjusted prevalence ratios (PRs) for regions, comorbidities, and risk ratios (RRs) for female sex, smoking, and hypertension were estimated using generalised linear mixed models. A time trend analysis was done by binomial meta regression using the mid-year of data acquisition. We assessed the certainty of evidence using GRADE. The study was registered with PROSPERO, number CRD420261296728. FINDINGS: Our search screened 4708 studies. 67 reassessed and 95 newly identified articles, reporting on 316&#x2008;131 participants and 11&#x2008;822 people with UIAs, were included in our meta-analysis. In the reference population, the estimated prevalence of UIAs was 3&#xb7;9% (95% CI 3&#xb7;0-5&#xb7;1). The prevalence of UIAs in individuals with atherosclerosis was 5&#xb7;5% (4&#xb7;7-6&#xb7;4; 2229 of 40970 participants) and the adjusted PR was 1&#xb7;3 (95% CI 0&#xb7;8-2&#xb7;0) compared with the reference population. For positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) or UIA, the UIA prevalence was 7&#xb7;9% (5&#xb7;6-11&#xb7;1; 412 of 4252 participants) and the adjusted PR was 2&#xb7;4 (0&#xb7;5-11&#xb7;2). For connective-tissue disorder, the UIA prevalence was 10&#xb7;3% (6&#xb7;5-16&#xb7;0; 94 of 879 participants) and the adjusted PR was 3&#xb7;9 (2&#xb7;0-7&#xb7;6). For autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), the UIA prevalence was 12&#xb7;8% (9&#xb7;2-17&#xb7;6; 293 of 1990 participants) and the adjusted PR was 4&#xb7;4 (1&#xb7;5-12&#xb7;6). RRs were for current smoking 1&#xb7;4 (1&#xb7;2-1&#xb7;6; 798 of 27911 participants), for having hypertension 1&#xb7;6 (1&#xb7;5-1&#xb7;7, 4043 of 83053 participants), and for female sex 1&#xb7;9 (1&#xb7;8-2&#xb7;0; 3415 of 65020 women and 2122 of 76130 men). In studies on healthy individuals with MR angiography or CT angiography as imaging modality, the prevalence in 2016-2022 was 6&#xb7;6% (6&#xb7;3-6&#xb7;8; 2904 of 41191 participants). The adjusted PR was 1&#xb7;8 (1&#xb7;1-2&#xb7;8) for 2016-2022 versus 2002-2015. Prevalence of UIAs of 5 mm or larger was 0&#xb7;7% (0&#xb7;6-0&#xb7;8) in 2002-2015 and 1&#xb7;4% (1&#xb7;0-1&#xb7;9) in 2016-2022. The UIA prevalence did not differ between countries. &#x3c4;2 showed significant heterogeneity between studies. The certainty of the evidence ranged from very low to moderate. INTERPRETATION: Prevalence of UIA is increasing, particularly over the past two decades. This increase is only in part explained by improved detection of small UIAs and an ageing population, and other factors-such as environmental-are likely involved. Alongside patients with ADPKD and a positive family history of aSAH, patients with connective-tissue disorders had a higher prevalence of UIA than the reference population. Our findings warrant further investigation into the potential benefit of personalised screening and management strategies in groups at high risk for having UIAs. FUNDING: None.

Humans