Social aspects of urbanization.
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In the year 2000, the UN General Assembly resolved the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), and all the Member States of the UN pledged to take any measures to get the MDGs achieved. Concerning water supply and sanitation, a rough calculation clearly tells that it is impossible to meet the MDGs by just copying and pasting the traditional technology as it has been developed in the industrialized countries. Novel concepts and technologies have to be developed, tested and made available which allow fast implementation for a reasonable price, and which provide high treatment efficiency, reliability and robustness. Based on the latest estimates on population growth and migration rates it appears that top priority should be given to investments in the water infrastructure of municipalities. Introduction of water re-use systems should be favoured to avoid over-exploitation of local water resources. Suggested are step changes of the infrastructural system components with emphasis on technology innovation. Many small steps are often more effective than a single big one. In the attempt to quickly improve local situations specific attention should be paid to modern physico-chemical methods based on membrane technology. Decentralized wastewater treatment and re-use methods should be installed simultaneously to the construction of new houses. Further development of methods for separate collection and treatment of particularly composed waste streams should be encouraged. Wastewater should be rated as a source of valuable materials rather than a nuisance. Technology development should proceed hand-in-hand with the development of the societal, economical and political framework. Concerted actions are necessary to make novel technology function. Otherwise, meeting of the MDGs will remain an illusion.
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We introduce the mid-depth method, a practical approach for testing hypotheses of demographic history using genealogies reconstructed from sequence data. The relative positions of internal nodes within a genealogy contain information about past population dynamics. We explain how this information can be used to (1) test the null hypothesis of constant population size and (2) estimate the growth rate and current population size of an exponentially growing population. Simulation tests indicate that, as expected, estimates of exponential growth rates are sometimes biased. The mid-depth method is computationally rapid and does not require knowledge of the sample's mutation rate. However, it does assume that the reconstructed genealogy is correct and is therefore best suited to the analysis of variation-rich viral data sets. When applied to HIV-1 sequence data, the mid-depth method provides phylogenetic evidence of different exponential growth rates for subtypes A and B. We posit that this difference in growth rate reflects the different transmission routes and epidemiological histories of the two subtypes.
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"The principal objective of this paper...is to estimate the number of Kurds in Turkey and their spatial distribution.... The ethnically Kurdish component of the population has increased from 3.132 million in 1965 to 7.046 million in 1990. This very substantial increase has been due to high fertility, which is a characteristic of agrarian or recently agrarian societies...,coupled with falling mortality, a typical case of demographic transition.... Perhaps more importantly, the massive population movements during the last two decades have spatially redistributed the Kurds."
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