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PubMed1994

Mending the Med.

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Conservation of Natural Resources↗
PubMed1997

[Population forecasts 1996: less population growth, increased aging].

"According to the new national population forecasts for the Netherlands for the period 1996-2050, the population size will continue to grow for another three decades. It will reach a maximum of 17.2 million, lower than the maximum according to the previous population forecasts.... The reason for this lower growth is that the assumption with respect to the future level of fertility is revised downwards.... Another adjustment of the forecasts is the assumption that life expectancy at birth will continue to increase until 2050, whereas in the previous forecasts life expectancy was held constant after 2010.... As a consequence of these revised assumptions the percentage of elderly people will increase more strongly." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

Age Distribution↗
PubMed1989

[The impact of the demographic crunch on standards of living over the long term].

The long-term implications of the radical decline in fertility that has occurred in all modern industrial societies are analyzed, with particular reference to Canada. "On first approximation, calculations based on the Solow growth model predict a decline in the time path of aggregate consumption per adult that could reach 5 or 6 per cent in Canada in 2011-2016, but would become smaller thereafter. The demographic shock would therefore not generate economic tragedy. This result is the outcome of the opposite effects on aggregate consumption of the declining population growth rate and of the rising dependency ratio." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

Americas↗
PubMed1996

[The working population should continue to rise for a decade].

Future trends in the size and characteristics of the population of working age in France are analyzed using data from official sources. "The future working population is expected to comprise even fewer young people and more women than today. This population should continue to grow and will probably have risen by one and a half million people by 2006, essentially for demographic reasons. The trend should subsequently reverse due to the first post-war generations reaching 60 years old. The working population should therefore start to decrease. Yet the effect of the turnaround should remain modest up to 2015." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND GER AND SPA)

Developed Countries↗
PubMed1997

Population scenarios for the European Union: regional scenarios.

"This article presents a look at future demographic developments at the regional level within the countries of the European Union. Although total population within the Union will still be growing in the next three decades, several regions will face a zero or negative population growth at some time. As a consequence of a declining fertility, coinciding with an increased number of deaths due to ageing, only a small number of regions will still experience a positive natural growth in 2025. For many regions the impact of net migration on population growth will become more important."

Demography↗

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