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[[On the parameter estimation problems in the multiregional demographic growth model]].

"In this paper, we critically prove the formulas of Ledent-Rogers-Willekens.... Our procedure does not depend on multi-regional life table technique but on direct discretization of the continuous-time model. Here our main purpose is not to provide new results but to clear the conditions under which these methods for estimating the parameters can be applied. Finally, we give another method of calculation of parameters, which makes it possible to do a consistent disaggregated projection when we have already had an aggregated population projection." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

Demography↗

Cerebrovascular consequences of altering serotonergic transmission in conscious rat.

Many therapeutic strategies aim at altering serotonin brain levels. However, serotonin (5-HT) is known to influence the cerebral circulation. The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of acutely decreasing intracerebral serotonin release upon cerebral blood flow and cerebrovascular reactivity to hypercapnia in conscious rats. To this end, (1) we analyzed the time-course of cortical blood flow changes measured with laser-Doppler flowmetry following injection of 0.1 mg kg(-1) 8-OHDPAT (5-HT1A agonist), and (2) we evaluated the cerebrovascular reactivity to hypercapnia using a quantitative multiregional diffusible tracer technique 5 and 60 min following 8-OHDPAT administration. 8-OHDPAT induced a rapid and transient increase in cortical blood flow (+34%) that was prevented totally by WAY100135 (5-HT1A antagonist) pre-treatment. Five min following 8-OHDPAT administration, the cerebrovascular responsiveness to hypercapnia was increased significantly in striatum (+27%) and fronto-parietal cortex (+61%). This result is consistent with a vasoconstrictor role of the serotonergic system that becomes manifest during hyperemic conditions.

8-Hydroxy-2-(di-n-propylamino)tetralin↗

Increased synchronization of cortical oscillatory activities between human supplementary motor and primary sensorimotor areas during voluntary movements.

In human, both primary and nonprimary motor areas are involved in the control of voluntary movements. However, the dynamics of functional coupling among different motor areas has not been fully clarified yet. Because it has been proposed that the functional coupling among cortical areas might be achieved by the synchronization of oscillatory activity, we investigated the electrocorticographic coherence between the supplementary motor and primary sensorimotor areas (SMA and S1-M1) by means of event-related partial coherence analysis in 11 intractable epilepsy patients. We found premovement increase of coherence between the SMA proper and S1-M1 at the frequency of 0-33 Hz and between the pre-SMA and S1-M1 at 0-18 Hz. Coherence between the SMA proper and M1 started to increase 0.9 sec before the movement onset and peaked 0.3 sec after the movement. There was no systematic difference within the SMA (SMA proper vs pre-SMA) or within the S1-M1, in terms of the time course as well as the peak value of coherence. The phase spectra revealed near-zero phase difference in 57% (20 of 35) of region pairs analyzed, and the remaining pairs showed inconsistent results. This increase of synchronization between multiple motor areas in the preparation and execution of voluntary movements may reflect the multiregional functional interactions in human motor behavior.

Adolescent↗

Multiregion level-set partitioning of synthetic aperture radar images.

The purpose of this study is to investigate Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) image segmentation into a given but arbitrary number of gamma homogeneous regions via active contours and level sets. The segmentation of SAR images is a difficult problem due to the presence of speckle which can be modeled as strong, multiplicative noise. The proposed algorithm consists of evolving simple closed planar curves within an explicit correspondence between the interiors of curves and regions of segmentation to minimize a criterion containing a term of conformity of data to a speckle model of noise and a term of regularization. Results are shown on both synthetic and real images.

Algorithms↗

Genomics refutes an exclusively African origin of humans.

Ten years ago, evidence from genetics gave strong support to the "recent African origin" view of the evolution of modern humans, which posits that Homo sapiens arose as a new species in Africa and subsequently spread, leading to the extinction of other archaic human species. Subsequent data from the nuclear genome not only fail to support this model, they do not support any simple model of human demographic history. In this paper, we study a process in which the modern human phenotype originates in Africa and then advances across the world by local demic diffusion, hybridization, and natural selection. While the multiregional model of human origins posits a number of independent single locus selective sweeps, and the "out of Africa" model posits a sweep of a new species, we study the intermediate case of a phenotypic sweep. Numerical simulations of this process replicate many of the seemingly contradictory features of the genetic data, and suggest that as much as 80% of nuclear loci have assimilated genetic material from non-African archaic humans.

Africa↗

Molecular epidemiology of HIV Type 1 in preparation for a Phase III prime-boost vaccine trial in Thailand and a new approach to HIV Type 1 genotyping.

To characterize HIV-1 genotypes in candidate populations for a prime-boost phase III vaccine trial in Thailand, specimens from prevalent and incident HIV-1 infections from a family planning clinic population in Rayong Province and a community cohort in Chon Buri Province, collected from 1998 to 2001, were genotyped. A new multiregion hybridization assay, MHAbce, capable of distinguishing HIV-1 CRF01_AE, subtype B, and subtype C and their recombinants, was developed and applied to prevalent infections. Most incident and selected prevalent infections were studied by complete genome sequencing. By MHAbce, 168 of 194 prevalent infections were genotyped. Of these, 90.5% were CRF01_AE, 2.4% were subtype B, and 7.2% showed discordant or dual probe reactivity, indicative of recombination or dual infection, respectively. Among 23 incident infections, 20 were sequenced. Eighteen CRF01_AE, one subtype B, and one CRF01/B recombinant strains were seen. Two CRF01/B and one CRF01/C recombinant were identified among selected prevalent infections. These results indicate that incident and prevalent HIV-1 infections in Rayong and Chon Buri during 1998-2001 were 90% CRF01_AE, 3% subtype B, and 7% either recombinant or dual. This study frames the genetic diversity of HIV-1 in these cohorts in their preparatory phase for the ongoing ALVACHIV (vCP1521) prime, AIDSVAX B/E boost, phase III vaccine trial and will provide a benchmark for interpretation and analysis.

AIDS Vaccines↗

Prevalence of spondyloarthropathies in France: 2001.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of spondyloarthropathies (SpAs) in France in a multiregional representative sample in the year 2001. METHODS: A two stage random sample was constituted in seven areas from the national telephone directory and the next birthday method in each household. Interviewers were patient-members of self help groups trained to administer telephone surveys using a validated questionnaire for detecting inflammatory joint disease. Quality of data collection was controlled periodically. SpA was confirmed by the patient's rheumatologist or by clinical examination. Prevalence estimates after probability sampling correction were standardised for age and sex (1999 national census). RESULTS: Among the 15 219 anonymous telephone numbers selected, 3.6% were places of work or secondary residences and were excluded. The phone interview participation rate ranged across regions from 55.1 to 69.9%. 3554 men and 5841 women were included in the study. Twenty nine cases of SpA were confirmed. All but one fulfilled ESSG criteria. Mean age was 47 years (range 21-78). The overall prevalence standardised for age and sex was 0.30% (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.17 to 0.46). Prevalence was similar in women (0.29% (95% CI 0.14 to 0.49)) and men (0.31 % (95% CI 0.12 to 0.60)). Geographical analysis by department clustering found no significant differences. The prevalence of SpA was as high as that of rheumatoid arthritis. CONCLUSION: Prevalence of SpA in France was 0.30% in 2001, with no difference between women and men. Ankylosing spondylitis and psoriatic arthritis were the most common SpA subsets.

Adolescent↗

HIV type 1 subtypes among blood donors in the Mbeya region of southwest Tanzania.

HIV-1 is endemic in Tanzania where three different subtypes, A, C, and D, have been identified. Information on HIV-1 genetic diversity is crucial to define requirements for an effective vaccine, in regions where HIV-1 vaccine trials are planned. To define the subtype distribution of HIV-1 in the Mbeya region of southwest Tanzania, peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) and plasma were obtained from 36 discarded HIV seropositive blood units. Multiregion hybridization assay (MHA) was performed on both PBMC DNA and plasma RNA to determine the subtype distribution. Twenty virtually full-length HIV-1 sequences were amplified from the extracted DNA, sequenced, and phylogenetically analyzed. Subtype distribution determined by all three assays was comparable. More than 50% of the samples analyzed were subtype C, followed by a high proportion of subtype C-containing intersubtype recombinants. Based on this work, subtype C appears to be the prevalent subtype in southwest Tanzania, followed by a high proportion of intersubtype recombinants.

Blood Donors↗

Evolutionary relationships of human populations on a global scale.

Using gene frequency data for 29 polymorphic loci (121 alleles), we conducted a phylogenetic analysis of 26 representative populations from around the world by using the neighbor-joining (NJ) method. We also conducted a separate analysis of 15 populations by using data for 33 polymorphic loci. These analyses have shown that the first major split of the phylogenetic tree separates Africans from non-Africans and that this split occurs with a 100% bootstrap probability. The second split separates Caucasian populations from all other non-African populations, and this split is also supported by bootstrap tests. The third major split occurs between Native American populations and the Greater Asians that include East Asians (mongoloids), Pacific Islanders, and Australopapuans (native Australians and Papua New Guineans), but Australopapuans are genetically quite different from the rest of the Greater Asians. The second and third levels of population splitting are quite different from those of the phylogenetic tree obtained by Cavalli-Sforza et al. (1988), where Caucasians, Northeast Asians, and Ameridians from the Northeurasian supercluster and the rest of non-Africans form the Southeast Asian supercluster. One of the major factors that caused the difference between the two trees is that Cavalli-Sforza et al. used unweighted pair-group method with arithmetic mean (UPGMA) in phylogenetic inference, whereas we used the NJ method in which evolutionary rate is allowed to vary among different populations. Bootstrap tests have shown that the UPGMA tree receives poor statistical support whereas the NJ tree is well supported. Implications that the phylogenetic tree obtained has on the current controversy over the out-of-Africa and the multiregional theories of human origins are discussed.

Alleles↗

The reliability of approximate reduction techniques in population models with two time scales.

As a result of the complexity inherent in some natural systems, mathematical models employed in ecology are often governed by a large number of variables. For instance, in the study of population dynamics we often find multiregional models for structured populations in which individuals are classified regarding their age and their spatial location. Dealing with such structured populations leads to high dimensional models. Moreover, in many instances the dynamics of the system is controlled by processes whose time scales are very different from each other. For example, in multiregional models migration is often a fast process in comparison to the growth of the population. Approximate reduction techniques take advantage of the presence of different time scales in a system to introduce approximations that allow one to transform the original system into a simpler low dimensional system. In this way, the dynamics of the original system can be approximated in terms of that of the reduced system. This work deals with the study of that approximation. In particular, we work with a non-autonomous discrete time model previously presented in the literature and obtain different bounds for the error we incur when we describe the dynamics of the original system in terms of the reduced one. The results are illustrated by some numerical simulations corresponding to the reduction of a Leslie type model for a population structured in two age classes and living in a two patch system.

Animals↗

Reconstructing recent human evolution.

The two most distinct models of recent human evolution, the multiregional and the recent African origin models, have different retrodictions concerning specific archaic-recent population relationships. The former model infers multiple regional archaic-modern connections and the ancient establishment of regional characteristics, whereas the latter model implies only an African archaic-all modern relationship, with recent (late Pleistocene) development of regionality. In this paper, four late archaic groups from Europe, southwest Asia, Africa and East Asia are compared with various fossil and recent Homo sapiens crania or cranial samples. The results of Penrose shape comparisons narrowly favour a late archaic African-modern special relationship over an East Asian-modern one, with European and southwest Asian Neanderthal groups much more distant. No specific archaic-recent regional relationships are indicated in the shape analyses, nor in separate examinations of patterns of regionality, which indicate a recent origin for present day regionality. The Skhul-Qafzeh sample provides an excellent shape intermediate between the archaic and recent samples.

Animals↗

The prevalence of clinical diabetic polyneuropathy in Spain: a study in primary care and hospital clinic groups. Neuropathy Spanish Study Group of the Spanish Diabetes Society (SDS).

A multiregional cross-sectional study of clinical diabetic polyneuropathy (DPN) was carried out among Spanish diabetes patients using a standard system for scoring symptoms and signs of polyneuropathy. The main patient sample comprised 2644 patients (54.7% women) aged 15-74 years (mean 57.2 +/- 0.3 years), 86.9% of whom had Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 29.4% were attending hospital clinics. Mean duration of diabetes since diagnosis was 10.2 +/- 0.2 years. The prevalence of DPN was 22.7% (95% confidence interval 21.2-24.3%) in the whole sample, 12.9% (9.4-16.5%) among patients with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 24.1% (22.4-25.9%) among patients with Type II diabetes; there was no significant difference in prevalence between men and women. Prevalence increased with age (from < 5% in the 15- to 19-year-old age group to 29.5% in the 70- to 74-year-old group) and with duration of diabetes since diagnosis (from 14.2% among those with duration < 5 years to 44.2% among those with duration > 30 years). In a supplementary sample of 161 diabetic patients aged 75 to 79 years (excluded from the main sample to prevent confusion between diabetes-induced and ageing-induced neuropathies), prevalence was 37.8%. Ninety-three patients (3.3%) had or had had foot ulcers and 21 of these 93 (0.7%) had undergone amputation; 90.8% of ulcerated patients had Type II diabetes, and 54% had DPN (in most cases with loss of perception of vibration), as against a prevalence of DPN of 19.9% among patients without ulcers. We conclude that nearly a quarter of Spanish diabetic patients have DPN; that over 90% of DPN patients have Type II diabetes; that the prevalence of DPN increases with age and with the duration of the disease, and that the risk of foot ulcers among DPN patients is about three times the risk among diabetic patients without DPN. We accordingly emphasize the responsibility of primary care physicians to try to prevent diabetic foot lesions by early diagnosis of DPN.

Adolescent↗