Arrhythmia and cardiomyopathy risk in Taiwan with complementary biobank evidence on thyroid genetic susceptibility: an integrative population-based framework.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Arrhythmia-induced cardiomyopathy (AiCM) is a potentially reversible cause of ventricular dysfunction; however, only a subset of patients with arrhythmia develop cardiomyopathy. Emerging evidence suggests that endocrine factors, particularly thyroid dysfunction with genetic susceptibility, may contribute to inter-individual variability in arrhythmia-related myocardial outcomes. METHODS: We performed a dual-cohort population-based study using the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD, 2000-2015) and the Taiwan Biobank (TWB). In NHIRD, we examined the association between newly diagnosed arrhythmia and incident cardiomyopathy using Cox proportional hazards models. In TWB, genome-wide data, thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), polygenic risk scores (PRSs), lifestyle factors, and metabolic comorbidities were analyzed using multivariable regression and interaction models to assess determinants of thyroid dysfunction. RESULTS: In the NHIRD cohort, arrhythmia was associated with a significantly increased risk of incident cardiomyopathy (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 2.49, 95% CI: 1.94-2.96), with atrial fibrillation showing the strongest association among arrhythmia subtypes. In the TWB cohort, a higher thyroid polygenic risk score was strongly associated with thyroid dysfunction (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 6.64, 95% CI: 5.86-7.52). The association between genetic susceptibility and thyroid dysfunction was further modified by metabolic and lifestyle factors, including diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and dietary patterns. Genome-wide analysis identified multiple loci associated with thyroid-stimulating hormone regulation, consistent with a polygenic architecture of thyroid endocrine traits. CONCLUSION: Arrhythmia was associated with an increased risk of cardiomyopathy in a nationwide cohort, while thyroid genetic susceptibility was strongly associated with thyroid dysfunction in a biobank cohort and modified by metabolic and lifestyle factors. These findings provide complementary population-level evidence of parallel cardiovascular and endocrine-genetic associations. Because the two cohorts were not individually linked, causal inference cannot be established. The results support a systems-level framework of endocrine-cardiac interaction and suggest that integrated clinical and genetic risk assessment may help identify individuals who warrant closer monitoring.