PubMed2026
INTRODUCTION: Plasma next-generation sequencing (NGS) is endorsed by ESMO as an alternative to tissue testing in advanced hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer (HR+/HER2- mBC), particularly after progression on endocrine therapy plus CDK4/6 inhibitors. However, prospective real-world data across distinct therapeutic contexts remain limited. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this prospective observational study conducted within a nationwide cancer network in Brazil, centralized plasma NGS, and tissue NGS when available, was performed in two independent cohorts: prior to initiation of first-line endocrine therapy in the metastatic setting (Cohort 1) and at progression on endocrine therapy plus a CDK4/6 inhibitor (Cohort 2). The primary objective was to evaluate plasma-detected ESR1 mutation prevalence across these therapeutic contexts, and secondarily to assess other actionable drivers detected by plasma or tissue NGS. RESULTS: Among 86 collected plasma samples, 72 (84%) had evaluable NGS results (Cohort 1, n = 37; Cohort 2, n = 35). ESR1 mutations were identified in 18.9% of patients in Cohort 1 and 40.0% in Cohort 2, mostly at low variant allele fractions (<0.5%), corresponding to an absolute prevalence difference of 21.1 percentage points (95% CI, -0.2 to 40.3; P value=0.07). When considering any actionable alteration detected by plasma, including ESR1, PIK3CA, AKT1, PTEN, BRCA1, BRCA2, and ERBB2, prevalences were 43.2% and 68.6%, respectively (P value=0.04). Only four patients had ESR1 mutations identified in tissue, three in metastatic samples. Plasma-tissue concordance was higher for PIK3CA mutations (85.1%). CONCLUSION: Plasma NGS identified clinically meaningful ESR1 mutation rates across both contexts, supporting guideline-endorsed plasma-based genomic profiling in HR+/HER2- mBC.