The Long Road to Long-Acting: What Oral PrEP and CAB-LA Teach Us About Scaling Lenacapavir.

Abstract

Despite significant biomedical advances, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a persistent global health crisis, with over 40 million people affected as of 2023, two-thirds of whom live in the World Health Organization (WHO) African Region. However, from an HIV prevention perspective, the more urgent concern is the continued occurrence of approximately 1.3 million new infections annually, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and in settings where incidence is stable or increasing. This commentary explores the evolving landscape of HIV prevention, focusing on the trajectory of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), long-acting injectable cabotegravir (CAB-LA), and the newly emerging lenacapavir. While oral PrEP opened new possibilities, adherence challenges have limited its impact. CAB-LA demonstrated superior efficacy but encountered access, cost, and delivery barriers that restricted uptake. Lenacapavir, offering 6-monthly subcutaneous dosing with ≥ 99.9% efficacy in trials, holds the potential to overcome these hurdles. As of May 2026, lenacapavir had received regulatory approval in 17 countries, including several African nations, while regulatory reviews remained ongoing in multiple additional countries, reflecting the rapid global expansion of access to this long-acting HIV prevention option. However, its success depends on clinical promise, timely licensing, affordability, and integration into health systems. Drawing from real-world lessons of oral PrEP and CAB-LA, this paper argues that a proactive, coordinated rollout of lenacapavir could dramatically expand prevention reach. With global stakeholders aiming for 3 million users by 2028 and strategic licensing in 120 countries, the groundwork is in place. The recent release of WHO guidance recommending lenacapavir as an additional PrEP option further strengthens this momentum. Yet, equitable delivery, user-centred models, and strong policy backing will be critical. Ultimately, long-acting PrEP is not just a clinical breakthrough; it is a test of health systems' ability to deliver innovation at scale.