PubMed · 250449
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M T Oberst. 1978. Cancer cachexia.. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/250449/
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PURPOSE: To develop and internally validate the PANTHEIA-SIRI prognostic model, which integrates log-transformed systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) with clinical predictors, to estimate overall survival (OS) in metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC) treated with first-line chemotherapy. METHODS: We used data from the multicenter PANTHEIA-SEOM registry. OS was defined from chemotherapy start. The model was fitted as a Weibull accelerated failure time model in the survival-analysis population with multiple imputation. Predictors were log-transformed baseline SIRI, modeled with restricted cubic splines, ECOG, tumor burden, chemotherapy regimen, and anorexia-cachexia syndrome. Internal validation used a separate, non-overlapping cohort from the same registry; the centers contributing to each cohort are listed in a supplementary annex. TRIPOD was followed. Discrimination was assessed with Harrell´s C-index and calibration with IPCW Brier scores and IPA. RESULTS: The derivation cohort comprised 672 patients with SIRI data (593 analyzed for survival) across 22 Spanish hospitals (2015-2025); 80.1% had died after a median OS of 9.9 months. The imputation-pooled derivation C-index was 0.654 (95% CI, 0.627-0.681); optimism-corrected, 0.629. Internal validation used 62 separate patients from the same registry; 96.8% had died after a median OS of 9.2 months. The validation C-index was 0.603 (95% CI, 0.518-0.687). Calibration was adequate at 6 and 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: The PANTHEIA-SIRI model provides individualized OS estimates in mPDAC with routine clinical predictors. Its open-access calculator ( https://pantheia-siri.shinyapps.io/calc/ ) may support prognostic communication, treatment-intensity selection, and supportive-care planning. Routine clinical implementation will require further validation in larger, fully independent cohorts.
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In 1919, glucose intolerance became the earliest recognized metabolic abnormality in cancer patients. Prior to the development of severe malnutrition, colon, gastric, sarcoma, endometrial, prostate, localized head, neck, and lung cancer patients had many of the metabolic abnormalities of type II (noninsulin dependent) diabetes mellitus. These metabolic abnormalities include glucose intolerance, an increase in both hepatic glucose production (HGP) and glucose recycling, and insulin resistance. In a study of over 600 cancer patients, a diabetic pattern of glucose tolerance test was noted in over one-third of the patients. An increased rate of HGP, commonly seen in diabetics, has been noted in almost all types of cancer patients studied to date. Etiology of the increased glucose production in the cancer patient is not known, but abnormalities in the counter regulatory hormones, especially growth hormone, may contribute to the development of abnormal glucose metabolism. A second possible stimulus for the increase in HGP could be the glucose needs of the tumor. Abnormally high glucose utilization rates in small amounts of tumor tissue have recently been described. This suggests that small tumors may have large needs for glucose calories. An increase in anaerobic glycolysis in the tumor tissue can increase lactate production in the tumor-bearing human, thus supplying substrate to the liver to increase glucose production rates. In this paper, the nature of abnormal glucose metabolism in cancer patients is described.