PubMed · 15991742
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Olavi Ukkola. 2005. [Cachexia].. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15991742/
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PURPOSE: To develop and internally validate the PANTHEIA-SIRI prognostic model, which integrates log-transformed systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) with clinical predictors, to estimate overall survival (OS) in metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC) treated with first-line chemotherapy. METHODS: We used data from the multicenter PANTHEIA-SEOM registry. OS was defined from chemotherapy start. The model was fitted as a Weibull accelerated failure time model in the survival-analysis population with multiple imputation. Predictors were log-transformed baseline SIRI, modeled with restricted cubic splines, ECOG, tumor burden, chemotherapy regimen, and anorexia-cachexia syndrome. Internal validation used a separate, non-overlapping cohort from the same registry; the centers contributing to each cohort are listed in a supplementary annex. TRIPOD was followed. Discrimination was assessed with Harrell´s C-index and calibration with IPCW Brier scores and IPA. RESULTS: The derivation cohort comprised 672 patients with SIRI data (593 analyzed for survival) across 22 Spanish hospitals (2015-2025); 80.1% had died after a median OS of 9.9 months. The imputation-pooled derivation C-index was 0.654 (95% CI, 0.627-0.681); optimism-corrected, 0.629. Internal validation used 62 separate patients from the same registry; 96.8% had died after a median OS of 9.2 months. The validation C-index was 0.603 (95% CI, 0.518-0.687). Calibration was adequate at 6 and 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: The PANTHEIA-SIRI model provides individualized OS estimates in mPDAC with routine clinical predictors. Its open-access calculator ( https://pantheia-siri.shinyapps.io/calc/ ) may support prognostic communication, treatment-intensity selection, and supportive-care planning. Routine clinical implementation will require further validation in larger, fully independent cohorts.
Enteral nutrition (EN) by means of oral nutritional supplements (ONS) and tube feeding (TF) offers the possibility of increasing or ensuring nutrient intake in cases where normal food intake is inadequate. These guidelines are intended to give evidence-based recommendations for the use of ONS and TF in cancer patients. They were developed by an interdisciplinary expert group in accordance with officially accepted standards, are based on all relevant publications since 1985 and were discussed and accepted in a consensus conference. Undernutrition and cachexia occur frequently in cancer patients and are indicators of poor prognosis. EN should be started if undernutrition already exists or if food intake is markedly reduced for more than 7-10 days. Standard formulae are recommended for EN. Nutritional needs generally are comparable to non-cancer subjects. In cachectic patients metabolic modulators such as progestins, steroids and possibly eicosapentaenoic acid may help to improve nutritional status. EN is indicated preoperatively for 5-7 days in cancer patients undergoing major abdominal surgery. During radiotherapy of head/neck and gastrointestinal regions dietary counselling and ONS prevent weight loss and interruption of radiotherapy. Routine EN is not indicated during (high-dose) chemotherapy.