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Proportional Hazards Models

Proportional Hazards Models: explore 7 source-linked works published from 2026 to 2026, with original documents and citations.

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Sources: pubmed. Collection updated 2026-09-17. Counts describe this index, not the complete source archives.

PubMed2026

Association of cancer antigen 15-3 with distant recurrence in immunohistochemically defined breast cancer subtypes in Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.32.

BACKGROUND: Circulating levels of cancer antigen (CA) 15-3 have been associated with distant breast cancer recurrence; data on breast cancer subtypes are sparse. We examined associations of CA 15-3 with outcomes across immunohistochemically defined breast cancer subtypes in MA.32. METHODS: A total of 3649 participants with T1-3, N0-1, M0 breast cancer were randomly assigned; 2740 (75.1%) provided blood at entry (mean = 278 days postdiagnosis) and 6 months later. Prognostic associations of baseline and 6-month change in CA 15-3 with distant recurrence-free survival (RFS) were examined in luminal (estrogen receptor-positive and/or progesterone receptor-positive, HER2-negative), triple-negative (estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, HER2 negative) and HER2-positive (any estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor) breast cancer using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Mean age was 52 years. Breast cancer was luminal in 1589 (58.7%), triple negative in 655 (24.2%), and HER2 positive in 464 (17.1%) participants. Median follow-up was 96 months. CA 15-3 at study entry was not associated with outcome in any subtype. Rising CA 15-3 at 6 months was associated with poor distant RFS in luminal and triple-negative breast cancer (hazard ratio [HR] per 25% increase = 1.41, P < .0001, and HR = 1.35, P < .0001, respectively). New elevations in CA 15-3 at 6 months were adversely associated with distant RFS in those with luminal or triple-negative breast cancer (HR = 4.14, 95% CI = 2.69 to 6.38; P < .001; and HR = 3.57, 95% CI = 1.59 to 7.99; P = .002, respectively). In HER2-positive breast cancer, CA15-3 was not associated with distant RFS. CONCLUSION: Rising CA 15-3 was associated with reduced distant RFS in luminal and triple-negative breast cancer but not in HER2-positive breast cancer. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01101438.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

The impact of supernormal lung function on mortality risk in adults with and without sleep-disordered breathing.

BACKGROUND: In the general population, supernormal lung function is associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. RESEARCH QUESTION: It remains unclear whether sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) affects this relationship. METHODS: This cohort analysis included 4,839 adults. Lung function was categorised as supernormal (FEV1 > ULN), normal (LLN ≤ FEV1 ≤ ULN), and below normal (FEV1 < LLN). SDB severity was classified using apnoea-hypopnoea index categories: no SDB (<5 events/hour), mild SDB (5-<15 events/hour), moderate SDB (15-<30 events/hour), and severe SDB (≥30 events/hour). The association between lung function and all-cause mortality was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models with subgroup analyses according to SDB severity and formal testing for interaction. Analyses were repeated using FVC-defined lung function groups as an alternative definition of supernormal lung function. RESULTS: Among the included participants, 4,068 (84.1%) had normal lung function, 369 (7.6%) had supernormal lung function, and 402 (8.3%) had below normal lung function. During 52 421.5 person-years of follow-up (median 11.72 years; IQR, 10.46-12.56), 1,188 deaths occurred. Compared with the normal lung function group, the supernormal lung function group had a lower prevalence of baseline hypertension and cardiovascular disease. The association between lung function and all-cause mortality varied across SDB severity strata (P for interaction = 0.034). A lower mortality risk associated with supernormal lung function was observed in participants without SDB (HR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.06-0.97), whereas this association was not statistically significant in the mild, moderate, or severe SDB strata. Below normal lung function was generally associated with an increased all-cause mortality risk. Sensitivity analyses using FVC-defined lung function groups yielded broadly consistent findings. CONCLUSION: Supernormal lung function was associated with lower all-cause mortality primarily among individuals without SDB. These findings underscore the importance of considering SDB severity when assessing the health implications of lung function.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

One-carbon metabolism and chemotherapy-induced toxicities in patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: One-carbon metabolism (OCM) is a target of the chemotherapeutic agent capecitabine. OBJECTIVES: We investigated OCM biomarker concentrations in relation to capecitabine-induced toxicities in patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer. METHODS: Within a prospective cohort, 297 patients receiving adjuvant capecitabine-based chemotherapy were included. Pretreatment plasma concentrations of the OCM biomarkers folate, vitamin B2, vitamin B6, vitamin B12, total homocysteine, methionine, serine, and glycine were determined. We also investigated whether associations differed according to methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) C677T genotypes. Chemotherapy-induced toxicities were defined as toxicity-induced modifications of capecitabine treatment. To allow for inspection of shapes of the associations, restricted cubic splines and Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for age and sex. RESULTS: In total, 156 (53%) patients experienced toxicity-induced modifications of capecitabine treatment. Folate was not associated with toxicities in the overall population. Higher folate concentrations were associated with a lower risk of toxicities in patients with MTHFR C677T CT/TT genotype (HRperdoubling: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.57, 0.98) but not in patients with CC genotype (HRperdoubling: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.84, 1.63). Higher concentrations of vitamin B2 were associated with a lower risk of toxicities (HRperdoubling: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.67, 0.99), whereas higher glycine concentrations were associated with a higher risk of toxicities (HRperdoubling: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.18, 2.94). The association between vitamin B6 and vitamin B12 and toxicities appeared nonlinear. Homocysteine, methionine, and serine were not associated with toxicities. CONCLUSIONS: Future studies investigating whether nutrition-guided optimization of OCM biomarkers will result in improved treatment tolerance are warranted.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Sugar rationing during the first 1000 days and early onset cancer: a natural experiment.

BACKGROUND: The "first 1000 days" of life is a critical window for metabolic programming, while the long-term oncological consequences of nutritional exposures during this period remain understudied. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate whether restricted sugar intake in utero and during early childhood reduces risk of early onset cancer diagnosis and mortality in adulthood, utilizing a natural experiment. METHODS: We analyzed 63,819 United Kingdom Biobank participants born between October 1951 and March 1956, spanning the end of United Kingdom sugar rationing (September 1953). Leveraging a quasi-experimental birth cohort design, we compared participants exposed to sugar rationing in utero and during infancy with those unexposed. Early onset cancer incidence (≤50 y) and mortality were ascertained via integrated national Cancer Registry and hospital inpatient records. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models (including Gompertz distribution) were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs), with exploratory site-specific analyses. RESULTS: Among 63,819 participants (56.3% female), 40,397 were exposed to rationing and 23,422 were unexposed. Early life sugar restriction significantly reduced early onset cancer risk (HR: 0.66; 95% confidence interval: 0.53, 0.81; P < 0.001). A dose-response relationship was observed, with peak protection in individuals exposed for ≤24 mo postnatally. This protection was observed systemically across solid tumors, independent of specific cancer sites. Specificity was corroborated by null associations with negative controls (herpes zoster and cataract). No significant difference was found for cancer-specific mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Restricting sugar intake during the first 1000 days is associated with a reduced risk of early onset cancer, extending the disease-free lifespan. The divergence between reduced incidence and unchanged mortality suggests early life metabolic environments primarily influence tumor latency rather than biological aggressiveness. These findings highlight the potential long-term public health implications of early life dietary guidelines against the rising burden of early onset cancer.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Gout and allopurinol adherence in newly diagnosed patients and the risk of fractures: a nationwide cohort study.

INTRODUCTION / OBJECTIVES: The association between gout and fractures remains controversial due to the competing effects of uric acid's antioxidant properties and gout-induced chronic inflammation. Our study aimed to evaluate the risk of fractures in newly diagnosed gout patients and to analyze the impact of Allopurinol medication adherence on this risk. METHODS: This nationwide cohort study utilized the National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort (NHIS-HEALS) database (2002-2019). We identified 4,107 patients newly diagnosed with gout who remained on continuous allopurinol therapy during the 24-month medication assessment period and matched them 1:3 with 12,321 non-gout controls using propensity score matching. Allopurinol adherence was assessed via the Medication Possession Ratio (MPR) over a 24-month period and categorized into three groups: MPR < 0.3, 0.3 ≤ MPR < 0.8, and MPR ≥ 0.8. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for fractures (vertebral, hip, and distal radius). RESULTS: Gout patients demonstrated a significantly higher risk of overall fractures compared to the non-gout group (aHR 5.52; 95% CI 4.19-7.26). A significant inverse linear relationship was observed between allopurinol adherence and fracture risk (P for trend < .001). The risk was highest in the low-adherence group (MPR < 0.3; aHR 5.91; 95% CI 4.40-7.93) and relatively lower in the high-adherence group (MPR ≥ 0.8; aHR 4.77; 95% CI 2.94-7.72). Consistent trends were observed for vertebral (aHR 5.68) and hip (aHR 4.22) fractures. These associations remained consistent across all subgroups, including age, sex, and comorbidities. CONCLUSION: Newly diagnosed gout is associated with a substantially increased risk of fractures. Higher adherence to Allopurinol therapy is correlated with a significant reduction in this risk, suggesting that consistent urate-lowering therapy may mitigate gout-related bone fragility. Key Points • Newly diagnosed gout patients have a significantly higher risk of major osteoporotic fractures compared to the non-gout population. • A significant inverse linear relationship exists between Allopurinol adherence and fracture risk, with the highest adherence group (MPR ≥ 0.8) showing a relatively lower risk. • Consistent urate-lowering therapy (ULT) may mitigate bone fragility in gout patients by reducing systemic inflammatory burden caused by urate crystal deposition.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Risk Factors and Predictive Model for Postoperative High Myopia in Children Undergoing Congenital Cataract Surgery With Intraocular Lens Implantation.

PURPOSE: To identify risk factors associated with the development of high myopia following congenital cataract surgery and to establish a robust predictive model. DESIGN: Retrospective clinical cohort study. SUBJECTS: This retrospective study included 106 pediatric patients who underwent congenital cataract surgery with primary IOL implantation (mean follow-up 8.19 years). The model was externally validated in an independent cohort of 72 patients with a mean follow-up of 7.83 years. METHODS: Preoperative and postoperative ocular biometric parameters were collected. Risk factors for postoperative high myopia were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression, which served as the basis for model construction. The predictive performance of the model was rigorously evaluated for discrimination and calibration. Discriminative ability was quantified using Harrell's C-index and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Model calibration was assessed via calibration plots by comparing predicted probabilities with actual observed outcomes. Internal validation was performed using a bootstrapping method (500 iterations) to ensure model stability and adjust for potential overfitting. RESULTS: An initial postoperative refraction of <+0.75D, and a higher IOL Power to Axial length Ratio (IOL/AL ratio) were identified as significant risk factors for the development of postoperative high myopia. Shorter preoperative axial length was associated with a greater magnitude of postoperative myopic shift. The predictive model demonstrated robust performance, achieving a C-index of 0.711 (internal validation C-index: 0.713). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for predicting high myopia at 5 and 10 years were 0.858 and 0.745, respectively. Furthermore, calibration curves demonstrated excellent agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes throughout the follow-up period. In external validation, the model achieved a C-index of 0.825, 5-year AUC of 0.833, and 10-year AUC of 0.713. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis established that initial postoperative refraction <+0.75D, and an elevated IOL/AL ratio are key determinants of high myopia risk following surgery. Shorter preoperative axial length was associated with a greater magnitude of postoperative myopic shift. This predictive framework provides clinicians with a practical tool to optimize preoperative IOL selection and identify high-risk infants who require vigilant myopia prevention and balanced amblyopia management.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Psychological distress and incident cardiovascular disease independent of life's essential 8: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although psychological stress has emerged as an important determinant of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, it remains excluded from the recently updated cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics, known as Life's Essential 8 (LE8). This study aimed to examine the association between psychological distress and the incidence of CVD, independent of Life's Essential 8 metrics, in a large Korean adult population. METHODS: This study included 6,410 participants from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study Ansan-Ansung cohort, who had no history of CVD and had complete baseline data on psychological distress and Life's Essential 8 cardiovascular health (LE8 CVH) metrics. Psychological distress was assessed using the Psychosocial Wellbeing Index Short Form (PWI-SF). CVD events were identified based on participants' self-reports of physician-diagnosed conditions: myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary artery disease, and congestive heart failure. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between PWI-SF scores and incident CVD, adjusting for age, sex, residential area, educational attainment, household income, and LE8 CVH metrics. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 13.8 years, 500 new cases of CVD were identified. Higher PWI-SF scores were independently associated with an increased risk of CVD after adjusting for LE8 CVH metrics and other potential confounders (hazard ratio: 1.321; 95% confidence interval: 1.067-1.636; p = 0.011). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that higher levels of psychological distress are independently associated with an increased risk of CVD, even after accounting for established LE8 CVH metrics. Incorporating psychological distress into future CVH assessments may enhance risk stratification and prevention strategies.

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Compare source metadata on this page

Work	Published	Source identifier	Source
Association of cancer antigen 15-3 with distant recurrence in immunohistochemically defined breast cancer subtypes in Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.32.	2026-09-03	PMID 42360727	pubmed
The impact of supernormal lung function on mortality risk in adults with and without sleep-disordered breathing.	2026-09-01	PMID 42676065	pubmed
One-carbon metabolism and chemotherapy-induced toxicities in patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer: a prospective cohort study.	2026-07-27	PMID 42508575	pubmed
Sugar rationing during the first 1000 days and early onset cancer: a natural experiment.	2026-07-27	PMID 42508576	pubmed
Gout and allopurinol adherence in newly diagnosed patients and the risk of fractures: a nationwide cohort study.	2026-07-17	PMID 42467346	pubmed
Risk Factors and Predictive Model for Postoperative High Myopia in Children Undergoing Congenital Cataract Surgery With Intraocular Lens Implantation.	2026-06-13	PMID 42288323	pubmed
Psychological distress and incident cardiovascular disease independent of life's essential 8: a prospective cohort study.	2026-05-04	PMID 42080580	pubmed

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