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Predictive Value of Tests

Predictive Value of Tests: explore 23 source-linked works published from 2025 to 2026, with original documents and citations.

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Sources: pubmed. Collection updated 2026-09-17. Counts describe this index, not the complete source archives.

PubMed2026

Diagnostic utility of high-risk HPV polymerase chain reaction-based testing in head and neck FNA specimens with indeterminate cytomorphology.

BACKGROUND: Fine-needle aspiration (FNA) is critical in the initial diagnosis of many high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV)-associated, metastatic oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas. Updated guidelines recommend HR-HPV-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis over p16 immunohistochemistry on FNA specimens because p16 performs poorly on cytology material. PCR-based assays on liquid cytology material have demonstrated excellent analytic performance; however, the diagnostic utility of a positive HR-HPV PCR result in specimens with indeterminate cytomorphology remains uncharacterized. METHODS: The authors retrospectively identified 279 head and neck FNA specimens that had paired HR-HPV PCR testing on residual liquid cytology material over a 5-year period. The positive predictive value for histopathologically confirmed squamous cell carcinoma on surgical follow-up was calculated within each cytologic interpretive category. RESULTS: The HR-HPV PCR results were positive in 50.2% of specimens, negative in 40.9%, and indeterminate in 9.0%. The HR-HPV positivity rate ranged from 0% in specimens categorized as negative for malignancy to 57.3% in cytologically positive specimens, with 19.0%, 41.2%, and 50.0% positivity in the atypical, suspicious, and nondiagnostic categories, respectively. Among cytologically indeterminate specimens with positive HR-HPV PCR results (n = 14), the positive predictive value was 100% (95% confidence interval, 78.5%-100.0%). Blinded slide review additionally identified 15 cytologically positive specimens in which the definitive malignant interpretation depended substantially on HR-HPV positivity; all 15 were confirmed as squamous cell carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: A positive HR-HPV PCR result on liquid cytology material carries a positive predictive value of 100% for malignancy in cytologically indeterminate head and neck FNA specimens. These findings support integrating HR-HPV PCR analysis into routine cytologic interpretation with the potential to upgrade some indeterminate specimens to malignant when HR-HPV is detected, expediting definitive treatment and sparing patients additional, invasive sampling.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Could the preoperative urethral curve be used to predict immediate urinary continence following Retzius-sparing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy? A retrospective multi-center study.

PURPOSE: Immediate urinary continence (UC) recovery following Retzius-sparing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RS-RARP) remains highly variable, highlighting the need for reliable preoperative prediction. We aimed to develop and validate models to identify patients likely to achieve immediate UC recovery following RS-RARP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 580 prostate cancer patients who underwent RS-RARP from four medical centers were assigned to a training set (n=348), an internal validation set (n=103) and an external validation set (n=129). Independent predictors were identified through univariate analysis and LASSO regression. A nomogram was constructed using multivariate logistic regression. Its performance was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Immediate UC recovery was observed in 84.5% (294/348) of patients in the training cohort, 80.6% (83/103) in the internal validation cohort, and 81.4% (105/129) in the external validation cohort, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified membranous urethral length (MUL) (OR=1.23, P=0.029) and urethral curvature (OR=2.84, P<0.001) as independent predictors, while prostate volume (PV) (OR=0.84, P <0.001) as a protective factor. The nomogram integrating MUL, PV, and urethral curvature demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.87 (95% CI, 0.83-0.91) in the training cohort. The bootstrap-corrected calibration slope was 0.96, and the Brier score was 0.08. Calibration curves and decision curve analysis confirmed the predictive accuracy and clinical utility of the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: Our study introduces a novel quantitative method for assessing urethral curvature. The mpMRI-based model, integrating urethral curvature and prostate spatial configuration, offers enhanced predictive accuracy for postoperative immediate UC recovery.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Manual, digital, and AI tumour-infiltrating lymphocyte scoring: a secondary analysis of the APHINITY randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Stromal tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are prognostic in early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer, but their role in the context of dual HER2 blockade remains undefined. We evaluated manual, digital, and artificial intelligence (AI)-based sTIL quantification, together with AI-derived spatial metrics, for prognostic and treatment-benefit stratification using tumour samples from the phase 3 APHINITY trial. METHODS: In the APHINITY trial, 4805 patients were randomly assigned to receive chemotherapy plus trastuzumab with pertuzumab or chemotherapy plus trastuzumab with placebo. Median follow-up was 74·1 months (IQR 68·3-75·4). We analysed 4262 haematoxylin and eosin-stained images using manual assessment, an automated digital approach, AI-based lymphocyte quantification (AI percentage lymphocytes), and two AI-derived spatial features (AI-TIL and immune hotspot). Interobserver reproducibility was assessed in 262 randomly chosen tumour samples scored independently by five pathologists. Multivariable Cox models were used to assess associations between TIL levels and invasive disease-free survival (primary outcome in APHINITY), distant recurrence-free interval, and overall survival. The heterogeneity of pertuzumab benefit was evaluated using subgroup analyses, subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot analyses, and nested Cox models with treatment-by-biomarker interaction terms. FINDINGS: Manual scoring showed high interobserver reproducibility (intraclass correlation coefficient 0·84 [95% CI 0·79-0·88]). Concordance between manual and automated methods was modest. AI-based scoring (AI percentage lymphocytes) reclassified 120 (11·6%) of 1035 node-positive tumours from immune-low (by manual scoring) to immune-high; this subgroup of patients showed greater separation of 5-year invasive disease-free survival curves between pertuzumab and placebo groups compared with patients whose tumours were concordantly classified as immune-low by both manual and AI-based approaches. Higher levels of TILs were associated with improved invasive disease-free survival for all sTIL measurement approaches and spatial measurements (hazard ratios [HRs] 0·41-0·93). Pertuzumab was associated with improved invasive disease-free survival at higher sTIL levels across all measurement approaches (HRs 0·36-0·48), but was not associated with higher values of spatial measures. The largest 6-year absolute improvements with pertuzumab were observed in patients with node-positive disease whose tumours scored in the highest level of immune infiltration of manual sTIL scoring (≥70·0%; mean absolute improvement 12·1 percentage points [SD 2·8]). In nested prognostic and predictive models, AI-based immune hotspot scores provided the most consistent additional information when combined with any sTIL measurement (all p<0·010). INTERPRETATION: Standardised manual sTIL scoring was reproducible, and digital and AI-based methods showed consistent prognostic stratification and potential for treatment-benefit stratification despite only modest correlation between platforms. AI spatial metrics provided complementary information beyond sTIL density and could support more scalable immune assessment. Future studies are needed to validate these approaches in independent cohorts and to clarify their clinical utility for stratifying contemporary HER2-directed therapies. FUNDING: None.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Angiography-Based Index of Microcirculatory Resistance in Assessing the MVO and Infarct Size in STEMI Patients.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate angiography-based index of microcirculatory resistance (angio-IMR) in assessing microvascular obstruction (MVO) and infarct size (IS) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). BACKGROUND: The effect of thrombolysis on post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) angio-IMR, and its associations with MVO and IS remains unclear. METHODS: One hundred twenty-three STEMI patients randomized to receive 5 mg intravenous bolus of recombinant staphylokinase (r-SAK) or normal saline (NS) before PCI were recruited. Angio-IMR was computed in infarct-related arteries. MVO and IS were detected by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. RESULTS: Compared with NS group, r-SAK group exhibited numerically lower post-PCI angio-IMR (39.12 U vs. 42.57 U; p = 0.567), MVO (54.0% vs. 70.9%; p = 0.059), MVO extent (0.70% vs. 1.90%; p = 0.101) and IS (21.30% vs. 24.50%; p = 0.079). Post-PCI angio-IMR was positively correlated with MVO extent (ρ = 0.347; p < 0.001) and IS (ρ = 0.324; p < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed moderate diagnostic performance of angio-IMR for MVO (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.750; p < 0.001), MVO > 2.6% (AUC = 0.735; p < 0.001) and IS > 25% (AUC = 0.712; p < 0.001). The exploratory optimal cut-off values for these endpoints were approximately 40 U. CONCLUSIONS: In STEMI patients, a single bolus of r-SAK before PCI was associated with numeric reductions in post-PCI angio-IMR, MVO, MVO extent and IS. Additionally, angio-IMR exhibited a significantly positive correlation with both MVO extent and IS, demonstrating the diagnostic value of this wire-free method for assessing microvascular injury.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Predictive Validity of Violence Screening Tools in Emergency and Psychiatric Services: A Systematic Review.

Violence against healthcare staff, including a threat or an act of violence toward people during their work, poses a physical and psychological risk to workers internationally. Screening is an important strategy in preventing violence against healthcare professionals. The aim of this systematic review was to synthesize evidence on the predictive validity of risk assessment tools used to screen for violence and aggression risk toward healthcare workers in emergency and psychiatric departments (PD). Primary studies that examined the predictive validity of risk assessment tools for workplace violence were identified via a systematic search of Medline, PsycINFO, Embase, and the Cochrane databases. There were 62 eligible studies, ten of which had a lower risk of bias (RoB). Those studies with high RoB were primarily due to a failure to present calibration measures as part of the analysis. All included studies adopted a longitudinal design and were conducted in PDs. The ten highest-quality studies reported on eight different instruments, four of which showed acceptable to outstanding predictive performance. The Dynamic Appraisal of Situational Aggression and the Brøset Violence Checklist showed the best predictive performance; they were also validated in emergency departments and are best suited for short-term risk prediction. We recommend that the selection of a risk assessment tool should consider the following: (a) the target population, (b) the violence operationalization, and (c) the purpose of the monitoring. We note that the use of a screening tool should be a part of a multicomponent strategy to ensure staff safety.

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Compare source metadata on this page

Work	Published	Source identifier	Source
Diagnostic utility of high-risk HPV polymerase chain reaction-based testing in head and neck FNA specimens with indeterminate cytomorphology.	2026	PMID 42622106	pubmed
Could the preoperative urethral curve be used to predict immediate urinary continence following Retzius-sparing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy? A retrospective multi-center study.	2026	PMID 42623599	pubmed
Manual, digital, and AI tumour-infiltrating lymphocyte scoring: a secondary analysis of the APHINITY randomised trial.	2026	PMID 42636838	pubmed
Angiography-Based Index of Microcirculatory Resistance in Assessing the MVO and Infarct Size in STEMI Patients.	2026	PMID 42683616	pubmed
Predictive Validity of Violence Screening Tools in Emergency and Psychiatric Services: A Systematic Review.	2025-08-17	PMID 40819240	pubmed

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